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Delia Ramirez poll has her ahead of Gil Villegas 25-10, but still a lot of undecideds in four-way race
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* Earlier this month, Lynn Sweet reported on a poll conducted in CD3 from Feb. 28 through March 3…
66% said they were undecided; 19% said they were for [state Rep. Delia] Ramirez; 11% for [Ald. Gil] Villegas and 1% for Chehade.
That poll was conducted by Celinda Lake’s firm for the Working Families Party.
* Rep. Delia Ramirez has a newer poll out which shows even better results than the previous survey. From the memo…
Delia Ramirez leads the Congressional race by 15-point margin and grows her support as voters learn more about her. Currently, Ramirez is leading the field with 25% of the vote in the four-way race and maintains her double-digit lead in a head-to- head matchup with Gilbert Villegas (28% Ramirez / 12% Villegas / 60% undecided.
Ramirez starts with a higher favorability rating than Alderman Villegas because more people who know her like her. Ramirez (28% name ID) and Villegas (27% name ID) are known to a similar share of the electorate. But almost everyone who knows Delia likes her (24% favorable / 4% unfavorable), while many people who know Villegas dislike him (16% favorable / 11% unfavorable).
Ramirez is polling even with her favorability rating, while Villegas is polling below his faves. It’s still early yet. Just look at all those undecideds. Obviously, money is gonna be key for both Ramirez and Villegas. Click here to see the memo and the messaging which the pollster claims boosts her numbers much higher.
* Also, Lynn Sweet told us that the earlier poll had Bernie Sanders with a 74 percent favorable rating. The Ramirez poll has Sanders’ faves at 82 percent. And when asked about the most important issue that Congress should make a top priority, the economy was first at 15 percent and “climate” was second at 14 percent. Crime was sixth at 9 percent.
This tends to show again that the district’s Democrats may not be as conservative as portrayed by some. I suppose we’ll see.
By the way, Mayor Lori Lightfoot’s fave/unfave was 36/58 in the Ramirez poll, which is right about where she was in the Celinda Lake poll. Ald. Villegas was Mayor Lightfoot’s floor leader for a time.
* Methodology…
These findings are based on the results of a multi-modal telephone and text-to-web survey conducted by Impact Research from March 14-17, 2022 among N=400 likely 2022 Democratic primary voters in Illinois’ 3rd Congressional District. Interviews were conducted in English and Spanish and 75% of all interviews were conducted over cell phone. These results are subject to a margin of sampling error of +4.9 percentage points.
posted by Rich Miller
Wednesday, Mar 23, 22 @ 9:26 am
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Iymen Chehade running for Congress this year is… bold, to say the least. If I were that deeply on the wrong side of the Stringer Bell rule I might be keeping my head down.
Comment by vern Wednesday, Mar 23, 22 @ 9:48 am
I reside in the far far west reaches of the new 3rd district. Truthfully I have no idea who I will vote for. Hard to feel represented when all of the candidates are from the city.
Comment by train111 Wednesday, Mar 23, 22 @ 10:15 am
My part of that district is both very conservative and very progressive. Not a lot of middle ground. Somehow Bernie speaks to both sides. Somehow Lori speaks to neither.
Comment by NW Sider Wednesday, Mar 23, 22 @ 10:38 am
I live near, but not in the district. Feel as if this is Rep. Ramirez’ to lose so long as she can tap into national small donor network. She seems to have few negatives unless you think of her as too progressive. Villegas is getting a lot of exposure given the fight over the competing Chicago ward maps, but I think this will hurt him in the end. Few people will follow or care about the details of the differing maps, image is of yet more Chicago alderman fighting with each other and not getting the work done.
Comment by Urban Girl Wednesday, Mar 23, 22 @ 10:39 am
Whew that unfavorable rating for Lightfoot.
Comment by Boone's is Back Wednesday, Mar 23, 22 @ 1:06 pm
“Vote for Ald. Gill Villegas for Congress
City Council Floor Leader for Mayor Lori Lightfoot.
Endorsed by former State Rep. Luis Arroyo”
Comment by Ashland Adam Wednesday, Mar 23, 22 @ 1:58 pm
I live in the 3rd district and I received the poll call. I don’t know who I will vote for but the poll questions seem a bit bias towards Delia. I think it’s anyones race.
Comment by Northwest burbs Wednesday, Mar 23, 22 @ 4:22 pm