SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      Mobile Version     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
The Daley impact

Monday, Sep 13, 2010

* It’s a challenge when you have a statewide syndicated column and want to write about the Chicago mayor’s race, but I went ahead anyway this week

Chicago Mayor Richard M. Daley’s stunning decision to step down at the end of this term has at least temporarily sucked almost all the oxygen out of Illinois politics and focused just about everyone’s attention on an extremely rare open seat contest.

There hasn’t been an open seat race for mayor since 1947, when Ed Kelly stepped aside so the Machine could endorse reformer Martin Kennelly. Richard J. Daley defeated Kennelly in the 1955 primary, and the rest is history. This upcoming open seat race is just about the rarest Illinois political event most of us have seen in our lifetimes.

Since this race is so unique, one of the big worries of state Democrats is that groups allied with them could decide to husband their resources in anticipation of an all-out Chicago war next February. The mayor’s race will cost a fortune, and several aldermanic seats look to be in contention. Most of the same big groups who play statewide will also be extremely interested in holding sway over Chicago.

Some top union officials consulted last week said they had no plans at all to alter their November budgets, with one even saying that his union would borrow money if it needed the cash to compete in the mayor’s race.

However, if Gov. Pat Quinn can’t get his act together and make this battle with Republican Bill Brady a reasonably close contest, then there may be no reason to toss money down the drain with him. Better to save the cash for the city contest.

White House chief of staff Rahm Emanuel was perhaps the most prominently featured potential candidate in last week’s speculation. The former congressman and Clinton White House official has long been a Daley favorite.

Emanuel reportedly won’t announce a decision until after the Nov. 2 election. That means he and the rest of the White House could be hugely damaged by the national (and Illinois) election results, so we’ll have to see how this plays out.

An Emanuel run might mean more White House focus on his home state. That could be helpful to Illinois Democrats, particularly Quinn and U.S. Senate nominee Alexi Giannoulias. If those two do poorly in Chicago and the White House wasn’t perceived as being “all in,” Emanuel will start out with a significant local handicap. Add to that any blame he gets for the party’s national losses and he’ll be seriously damaged goods - and his opponents will undoubtedly use that against him.

Attorney General Lisa Madigan has long been thought of as a potential mayoral contender, but she seems satisfied right where she is, at least for now. Madigan passed on an opportunity for U.S. Senate and governor last year, saying she thoroughly enjoyed her job. Madigan is the most popular politician in Illinois and would enjoy union support that might not coalesce behind Emanuel, who is not known for being a pro-union member of President Barack Obama’s administration.

Cook County Sheriff Tom Dart, a former state legislator, last week signaled his openness to a run. Dart is a popular, capable politician who enjoys a strong base of support. He’s greatly expanded that base by protecting homeowners facing foreclosure, crusading against online prostitution advertising and being featured in a national cable series about Cook County Jail.

Comptroller Dan Hynes reportedly was approached by unions months ago about preparing for a run, but many don’t expect Hynes to jump in after losing his second statewide primary race. State Sen. James Meeks has talked about higher office for years, but never has pulled the trigger.

There are just too many more names to delve into right now. Keep in mind that this is a nonpartisan primary with a runoff if no candidate receives at least 50 percent plus one. The contest will be who can get into that runoff, which means that a whole host of folks could think they might make it.

The business community will undoubtedly be more than a bit freaked out about losing the stability and friendship of Daley, so expect them to back a candidate. The runoff calculation and the current national mood means that even some Republicans are musing about their chances at making the final cut. Millionaire Ron Gidwitz was just one of the names mentioned last week. Gidwitz is chairing Bill Brady’s gubernatorial campaign.

* Roundup…

* Rahm Polling Likely Voters

* Gutierrez for mayor? He tests parade-goers reaction

* Gutierrez, Meeks test mayoral waters

* James Meeks, Potential Mayoral Candidate, Draws Ire of Gay Rights Supporters

* Rep. John Fritchey Opts Out Of Mayoral Race

* Politicians parade their hopes of being mayor

* Politicians work crowds at 26th Street parade

* Chicago black leaders meet to discuss mayoral race: The Rev. Jesse Jackson and other black religious and political leaders from across Chicago have met to discuss the city’s upcoming mayoral race. Jackson says the leaders met Saturday to start coming up with criteria they think candidates should meet.

* Maggie Daley: Months went into decision

* Mrs. Daley ‘proud’ of husband’s work as mayor

* Oh, the perks Mayor Daley will miss

* Q&A | Mayor talks about his exit and challenges ahead

* Daley the Builder leaves unfinished business

* Oak Park president praises Daley’s ‘true leadership’

* Daley Eligible to Practice Law in Illinois

* Daley dynasty: 1 family rule of Chicago nears end

* Word on the Street: Turning heads the Chicago way

* Suburban mayors cite regional caucus as lasting Daley legacy

* Cepeda: Want to be mayor? Skip lies, pandering

* Washington: Next mayor must have foot in many ‘hoods

* Friedman: Civic issues and the mayoral succession

- Posted by Rich Miller        


11 Comments
  1. - wordslinger - Monday, Sep 13, 10 @ 11:29 am:

    The runoff calculation is a volatile dynamic. Second place might not take very much.


  2. - Excessively Rabid - Monday, Sep 13, 10 @ 11:32 am:

    There hasn’t been an open seat race for mayor since 1947…

    I don’t understand this statement. What about Washington v. Epton?


  3. - Old Shepherd - Monday, Sep 13, 10 @ 11:36 am:

    Washington defeated incumbent Mayor Byrne in the primary, so it wasn’t an open seat.


  4. - Rich Miller - Monday, Sep 13, 10 @ 11:38 am:

    OS is correct.


  5. - Excessively Rabid - Monday, Sep 13, 10 @ 11:41 am:

    Thanks. I forgot how the Epton thing started.


  6. - Irish - Monday, Sep 13, 10 @ 12:00 pm:

    With Daley’s political astuteness, I am wondering if the timing of the announcement of his not running was not an attempt to get the Demos to wake up and get Quinn to realize that he has to get on the ball. If the Demos fail in the Governor’s race it will have repercussions as Rich has stated in the Mayoral race. Daley might be telling them all, including Madigan, to start working together, because there is a lot at stake.

    Even those of us who tire of Chicago taking center stage in the political arena of the state know that an ineffective mayor in Chicago will mean that more of Chicago’s problems will be the focus of the state legislature. A weak or non-productive governor and an ineffective mayor of Chicago and you might as well hang the foreclosure signs up on all the borders.


  7. - Quinn T. Sential - Monday, Sep 13, 10 @ 1:02 pm:

    {Some top union officials consulted last week said they had no plans at all to alter their November budgets, with one even saying that his union would borrow money if it needed the cash to compete in the mayor’s race.}

    Which union is this?

    This almost screams out for an injunction and restraining order. If I was a member of that union; sitting at home, waiting for an opportunity to work, or perhaps just spending my furlough days, because my public entity employer can not afford to pay me to work full time, I would be IRATE if they were borrowing in order to make campaign contributions.

    It is bad enough that they simply divert union dues to political initiatives without allowing the membership a say, but to incur debt to do so seems completely outrageous.


  8. - Rich Miller - Monday, Sep 13, 10 @ 1:07 pm:

    ===This almost screams out for an injunction and restraining order. ===

    Based on what law?


  9. - Loop Lady - Monday, Sep 13, 10 @ 1:15 pm:

    This is a sole ray of hope today for Quinn’s campaign…it looks bad for him…God help us all
    if Gov. Brady happens…when does he start killing puppies and kittens and take away health care services from low income residents of IL?


  10. - Quinn T. Sential - Monday, Sep 13, 10 @ 1:46 pm:

    {Based on what law?}

    Breach of fiduciary duty


  11. - OneMan - Monday, Sep 13, 10 @ 3:25 pm:

    Then again what union at this point is going to say at this point “You know we are going to keep our powder dry and save it for the Chicago election” so I suspect what is being said and what is going to happen are two different things.


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


* Afternoon updates
* Hospitals back removal of income tax sunsets
* The other strategy
* *** UPDATED 1x *** Quinn onboard; Rauner latches onto term limits proposal
* Because Illinois is a real battleground state
* Quinn dodges Rahm question on "Morning Joe"
* Morning Shorts
* Yesterday's blog posts

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............


Search This Blog...

Search the 98th General Assembly By Bill Number
(example: HB0001)

Search the 98th General Assembly By Keyword

          
        * Pickup crashes in to T-Mobile store window in attempted smash-and-grab
        * No, Google Glass is not available for everyone
        * You Know You Want A Galaxy S5 With Swarovski Crystals On The Back
        * Verizon DROID DNA Kit Kat update detailed
        * Vic Gundotra leaving Google, has his “and then” moment
        * Samsung Galaxy Beam 2 launches, pico projector in tow
        * Find the best indie games—in our new collection available now!

        * Got Deep Pockets? Have Lunch With Tim Cook
        * The FCC doesn’t want to destroy net neutrality, but it’s going to anyway
        * Volunteer to Get Bumped from a Flight for Free Travel and Many Perks
        * Vladimir Putin Calls The Internet A ‘CIA Project’
        * With Prime Pantry, Amazon offers slow grocery delivery on the cheap
        * How to Pick the Best iOS Cloud Music App for Your CD Collection
        * Samsung’s ‘Milk Music’ Will Soon Include Ads, Have a $3.99/Month Premium Option

        * Walks working against the White Sox' plans for the bullpen
        * Viciedo maturing at the plate
        * Beckham returns, thrust into starting lineup
        * Konerko adjusting to role off the bench
        * Eaton better; Gillaspie needs rest
        * Abreu takes professional approach to BP
        * Beckham off DL, returns to White Sox


        Main Menu
        Home
        Illinois
        YouTube
        Pundit rankings
        Obama
        Subscriber Content
        Durbin
        Burris
        Blagojevich Trial
        Advertising
        Updated Posts
        Polls

        Archives
        April 2014
        March 2014
        February 2014
        January 2014
        December 2013
        November 2013
        October 2013
        September 2013
        August 2013
        July 2013
        June 2013
        May 2013
        April 2013
        March 2013
        February 2013
        January 2013
        December 2012
        November 2012
        October 2012
        September 2012
        August 2012
        July 2012
        June 2012
        May 2012
        April 2012
        March 2012
        February 2012
        January 2012
        December 2011
        November 2011
        October 2011
        September 2011
        August 2011
        July 2011
        June 2011
        May 2011
        April 2011
        March 2011
        February 2011
        January 2011
        December 2010
        November 2010
        October 2010
        September 2010
        August 2010
        July 2010
        June 2010
        May 2010
        April 2010
        March 2010
        February 2010
        January 2010
        December 2009
        November 2009
        October 2009
        September 2009
        August 2009
        July 2009
        June 2009
        May 2009
        April 2009
        March 2009
        February 2009
        January 2009
        December 2008
        November 2008
        October 2008
        September 2008
        August 2008
        July 2008
        June 2008
        May 2008
        April 2008
        March 2008
        February 2008
        January 2008
        December 2007
        November 2007
        October 2007
        September 2007
        August 2007
        July 2007
        June 2007
        May 2007
        April 2007
        March 2007
        February 2007
        January 2007
        December 2006
        November 2006
        October 2006
        September 2006
        August 2006
        July 2006
        June 2006
        May 2006
        April 2006
        March 2006
        February 2006
        January 2006
        December 2005
        April 2005
        March 2005
        February 2005
        January 2005
        December 2004
        November 2004
        October 2004

        Blog*Spot Archives
        November 2005
        October 2005
        September 2005
        August 2005
        July 2005
        June 2005
        May 2005

        Syndication

        RSS Feed 2.0
        Comments RSS 2.0
        WordPress

        Loading


        * 'Black Republicans are like Jewish Nazis' artic.....
        * Gov. Quinn responds to charges of political hir.....
        * Rauner wants Quinn to release hiring documents..
        * Quinn backs term limits for constitutional offi.....
        * BRIEF: Quinn in Collinsville to promote home lo.....
        * Gov. Pat Quinn taken to court for patronage hir.....
        * Quinn visits Collinsville to tout loan program .....
        * Illinois GOP and business community garner supp.....
        * Rauner skips GOP event over pastor's comments..


        * Rauner skips GOP event over pastor's comments
        * Bronze statue of Roger Ebert unveiled at Ebertfest
        * ISU rehires fired grounds worker
        * Indiana man faces gun charge at NJ airport
        * Skeletal remains found near Quincy shopping center
        * Mother says triple-homicide victim was fearful
        * Chicago doctor among those killed in Afghanistan
        * Rauner wants Quinn to release hiring documents
        * WIU to build $72 million performing arts center
        * Thomson prison jobs come with tough hiring process

        * Rauner skips GOP event over pastor's comments
        * Quinn backs term limits for constitutional officers
        * U of I asks state legislators to prevent retirement rush; could affect 200 at UIS
        * Video gaming may get its own exclusion list
        * Quinn grants 43 clemency requests
        * Rauner wants Quinn to release hiring documents
        * Illinois approved for No Child Left Behind waiver
        * Remap group says it is not political
        * Quinn clout hiring faces scrutiny
        * Illinois Medicaid paying for dead clients

        * Bronze statue of Roger Ebert unveiled at Ebertfest
        * After CEO shakeup, Accretive nixes move to Dallas
        * After CEO shake-up, Accretive nixes move to Dallas
        * Chicago doctor among those killed in Afghanistan
        * Investors reward boost in net sales at Mead Johnson


        * Robo-calls on pension reform bill raise Rauner-Rahm rift
        * Truck fatally strikes semi driver taking picture of accident
        * Semi fatally strikes pedestrian in Noble Square
        * Police: Pedestrian fatally struck by semi in Noble Square
        * Editorial: How to improve graduation rates
        * Gary killer’s warning: Divorce ‘not going to be pretty’
        * Maine West principal reported early hazing to ex-superintendent: officials
        * DNA solves murder of man missing since 1978, mistakenly feared to be Gacy victim
        * Judge, citing possible innocence, orders release of Hickory Hills woman in shaken baby case
        * Despite pleas, CPS hands three schools to private operator


        * Officials propose ride share regulations
        * Remap spat: Aldermen differ on Sandburg Village development
        * Ex-girlfriend: Waukegan murder suspect confessed to me
        * New Chicago high school to be named for Obama
        * Dutch man charged in Chicago with selling drugs for bitcoins
        * Pediatrician killed in Afghanistan 'was driven by the kids'
        * Gunrunning case featured in Tribune brings 11 years in prison
        * Emanuel touts U. of C. study to show CPS gains
        * Quinn now backs term limits for statewide elected officials
        * Quinn now backs term limits for statewide elected officials


        * Senator Kirk joins Revolution in backing Small BREW Act
        * Listen To State Week - April 18, 2014
        * Illinois Finally Gets 'No Child Left Behind' Waiver
        * Earth Friendly Event In Springfield This Weekend
        * Madigan Vs. The Maps
        * Chemical found on U.S. apples banned in Europe over safety concerns
        * Aging Population Biggest Economic and Financial Challenge Ahead
        * Employment Improves, But Illinois Still Lags U.S.
        * Murray Center Advocates Win Appeals Decision
        * Marian Anderson Tribute - 'The Concert That Shook The Establishment'


        * Rauner skips GOP event over pastor's comments
        * Quinn backs term limits for constitutional officers
        * Rauner wants Quinn to release hiring documents
        * Bernard Schoenburg: Barr borrowed late in sheriff campaign to keep ads flowing
        * Cristal Thomas: Protecting Illinois’ pregnant workers shouldn’t be a heavy lift
        * Remap group says it is not political
        * Quinn clout hiring faces scrutiny
        * Judge OKs use of lawmaker's post-arrest statement
        * Bill would get state police cruisers on road
        * Patronage allegations give Rauner fodder in race against Quinn


        * LinguiSystems ready to be sold
        * Allsup is laying off 90 workers
        * No asbestos exposure during project, Heritage says
        * Ebert statue unveiled
        * Thomson prison jobs come with tough hiring process
        * State bicyclists group honors Madison County trails
        * Pasta House revamps menu, renames Fairview Heights restaurant
        * Police search for three men in Wal-Mart iPad theft
        * Showers, thunderstorms likely this afternoon, tonight
        * Alorton police officer accused of domestic battery


        * The 10th District money race
        * Aurora Democrat calls out IHSA
        * Lawyers: Ill. hazing law vague, unconstitutional
        * Ill. House OKs lower-cost hunting bill for seniors
        * Quinn’s running mate takes new consulting job

        * Lipinski Votes to Protect the Paychecks of...
        * Meet the 8 House Dems who don't co-sponsor...
        * Jeff Vorva's Editor's Notebook: In this ca...
        * Rep. Lipinski to Honor Vietnam Veterans at...
        * Rep. Lipinski Honors Vietnam Vets on House...
        * Rep. Lipinski Reviews Operations at Hanson...
        * Rep. Lipinski Helps Secure Funds for Safet...
        * Lipinski announces 2014 Congressional Art ...
        * Lipinski seeks artistic submissions - The ...
        * Lemont VFW honors Vietnam veterans - Subur...

        * Loading Koch Industries Website Too Many T......
        * Maryland and DC among worst for food aller......
        * Cleveland State University to reestablish ......
        * Convicted political boss Al Sanchez runnin......
        * Candidates make last filings for local, st......

        * Illinois Lt. Gov. Simon opposes pension le......
        * Dillard Odd Man Out on Pension Deal Reaction...
        * Sen. Mark Kirk sides with Rauner on pensio......
        * Governor's race infighting threatens pensi......
        * SCHOONERS - Home of Everyone's Favorite Be......

        * Black Power TV
        * Speakers At Chicago Board of Education Meeting
        * Madigan Re-Elected As Illinois Democratic Party Chairman
        * Foster Introduces Bill To Trim College Textbooks Costs
        * Emanuel Pushes Back On Rauner's Robocalls Against Pension Bill
        * The [Thursday] Papers
        * "Standing up for our jobs" sign at Walmart protest in Chicago
        * Protesters rally outside Walmart in Chicago
        * "Walmart stop the death" sign at protest in Chicago
        * Activists protest for higher wages and better living conditions at Walmart in Chicago


        * Cases of Chlamydia, Gonorrhea and HIV on the Rise Nationally - Residents Are Encouraged to Get Tested for STDs
        * State Insurance Regulators Urge Property Owners to Review/Add Coverage to Protect from Floods & Water Damage - Most homeowners’ policies do not cover flood damage
        * Governor Quinn Statement on New Proposal to Enact Term Limits for Constitutional Officers
        * Governor Quinn Proclaims “Wrigley Field Day” - Home of the Chicago Cubs Turns 100 Years Old Today
        * Douglas County students win statewide contest - Governor proclaims April 23 "YOUR ACTIONS MATTER!" DAY as statewide underage drinking prevention efforts are kicked off in eastern Illinois




            Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller