Beyond the horse race
Monday, Feb 6, 2023 - Posted by Rich Miller * Kinda old (January 27 to Feb 2) IZQ Strategies poll…
Crosstabs show Vallas was getting 37% of White voters, 21% of Latino voters and 10% of Black voters. Brandon Johnson was backed by 18% of White voters, 5% of Latino voters and 16% of Black voters. Garcia got 14% of White voters, 25% of Latino voters and just 5% of Black voters. Lightfoot had 7% of White voters, 6% of Latino voters and 22% of Black voters. Memo here. * But rather than focus on the somewhat dated horse race numbers, let’s look at some other toplines…
From the crosstabs, CTU’s unfavorables with Black voters were 29% (66% favorable), FOP’s Black unfavorables were 69% (20% favorable) and CPD’s were 49%. Whites also had favorable views of CTU (57-42) and had negative views of FOP7 (35-55). Latino voters were split evenly on CTU while the majority had a favorable view of FOP7 (55-29). Black voters were evenly split on CPD, while White (54-45) and Latino (62-37) voters had favorable views. * Also…
The crosstabs show that both questions were backed by wide margins in every demographic tested. The “crime” issue is just not as simple as it may appear to some. 1,040 likely Chicago voters using SMS responses, poll conducted in both English and Spanish, MoE was ±3 percentage points.
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Monday, Jan 30, 2023 - Posted by Rich Miller
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