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Roll Call: Rauner race is “Toss-up/Tilt Democrat”

Friday, Apr 21, 2017

* From the DGA…

Illinois Gov. Bruce Rauner is the most vulnerable incumbent governor in 2018, according to new national election rankings today from Roll Call analyst Nathan Gonzales.

Rauner is the only incumbent governor currently projected to lose in 2018, according to the non-partisan rankings. Gonzales lists Illinois as “Tilt Democratic,” citing difficult headwinds for Rauner.

“The governor is willing and able to spend tens of millions of dollars to get re-elected. But that doesn’t change the distinct Democratic lean of the state. … The state and political environment will likely work against the governor. Tilt D.”

The announcement caps off another tough week for the embattled governor. Newspapers around the state have grown weary of Rauner’s dearth of answers to the state’s problems.

From the excuses over the budget impasse, to the thinly veiled campaign trips, to his flip-flops on reproductive rights, Rauner has done little to inspire confidence.

If you click here and go to the report, the Rauner race is actually listed as “Toss-up/Tilt Democrat.” The subscriber section referenced by the DGA lists it as “Tilt D.” Either way, it’s gonna be a heckuva race.

* In other campaign news, JB Pritzker was interviewed by Tom Miller at WJPF Radio today. Have a listen

He’s getting better. That’s the best interview I’ve heard him do yet. But the questions were friendlier than the others.

- Posted by Rich Miller   10 Comments      


Sabato rates Illinois a “toss-up,” but Rauner is “most endangered”

Thursday, Apr 20, 2017

* Sabato’s Crystal Ball

Gov. Bruce Rauner (R) is ready to spend millions to win reelection, but he might have a wealthy opponent in the general in either venture capitalist J.B. Pritzker (D) — who just injected $7 million into his nascent campaign — or businessman Chris Kennedy (D), a scion of Robert Kennedy. Pritzker and Kennedy seem to be the Democratic favorites, but there could be a very crowded field. Rauner has a weak approval rating, so he will be vulnerable in Democratic-leaning Illinois. Toss-up

* Asked on Twitter why Illinois wasn’t “lean Democratic,” one of the author’s responded…


I tend toward agreement. Nobody knows yet who will win the Democratic primary. Plus, the Republicans have the Madigan issue here.

* As the governor said yesterday during a GOP fundraiser, do we want a strong future for our children

“Or are we gonna stay under the thumb of a group of corrupt, career politicians who’ve been dragging our state down the drain for decades? Corruption, cronyism, patronage, deficit spending, higher taxes, job losses, poorly funded schools. Are we gonna stay on this track we’ve been on for years? […]

“There’s only one thing holding us back and that’s corrupt Democrats down in Springfield controlling our government for their own benefit.”

The man is not going to be easy to defeat.

…Adding… But…


- Posted by Rich Miller   43 Comments      


PREVIOUS POSTS »
* Poll: 53 percent of Illinoisans disapprove of Trump, 64 percent say Rauner should "act to protect the reproductive health care of all women in Illinois"
* Reader comments closed for the weekend
* Question of the day
* Roll Call: Rauner race is "Toss-up/Tilt Democrat"
* Clear as mud
* Can CPS avoid closing early?
* *** UPDATED x1 - Biss responds *** Rauner says HB 40 is "divisive" and "we need to focus" on fixing other problems
* Signs of the times
* Blagojevich again denied
* Illinois is heading for junk bond status
* The "growth only" canard
* Biss criticizes Democratic Party, Madigan
* Democrat Manar blasts Bourne, Rauner
* Caption contest!
* SIU and WIU join EIU, NEIU and GSU in junk bond territory
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* Our View: The longer we wait, the worse it will get
* Statehouse Insider: Let the show resume


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