SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      Mobile Version     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
*** UPDATED x1 - Davis makes “Young Guns” *** Poll has Davis leading Gill, but there’s a catch

Friday, Jun 8, 2012

* 13th Congressional Democratic nominee David Gill released a poll last month showing he was leading the Republicans who wanted to replace incumbent Congressman Tim Johnson on the ballot. His lead over the eventual choice, Rodney Davis, was 10 points, 41-31.

We Ask America is out with a new poll, however, which has a big Davis lead over the Democratic candidate

* However, there is a caveat. From the pollster

Since our sample was evenly divided between the two parties and Independents, Gill is probably a point or so closer than this nine-point spread.

I’m not sure why the heck they would do that, but whatever. More

Gill is well-known among a large portion of the Democratic base of IL-13 (especially in the Champaign-Urbana area) due to the fact that he won the Silver Medal in three out of the last three elections. Plus, Gill barely won the March Democratic primary in a real squeaker where he was not the Party’s Chosen One. His openly bitter post-primary attitude has left a lot of area Dems unimpressed. Those wounds may heal, but in the meantime, Davis has received a lot of earned media in the last month. Gill hasn’t had a real chance to “define” Davis yet, so this one is like trying to decide the winner of a horse race a few seconds after the gate opens.

Davis is out to an early lead, but expect Gill to go the whip sooner than later.

*** UPDATE *** Davis was just put into the NRCC’s “Young Guns” program. From a press release…

Rodney Davis, Republican candidate for the 13th Congressional District, has been named to the National Republican Congressional Committee’s “Young Guns” program. The program, founded by Reps. Eric Cantor (R-VA), Kevin McCarthy (R-CA), and Paul Ryan (R-WI) in the 2007-2008 election cycle, is the primary method for recruiting strong candidates for open-seat races like the 13th District.



“Rodney Davis has met a series of rigorous goals that will put him in a position to win on Election Day,” said NRCC Chairman Pete Sessions (R-TX). “The momentum behind his campaign is proof-positive that Americans are fed up with Nancy Pelosi policies that spend too much, tax too much, and borrow too much at the expense of hard-working Illinois families. Rodney Davis is leading the pack as Republicans continue to send a loud and clear message that we will hold Democrats accountable for their unpopular partisan agenda.”


- Posted by Rich Miller        


12 Comments
  1. - Oswego Willy - Friday, Jun 8, 12 @ 9:28 am:

    YDD …

    Read the poll, leave the cannoli?

    Way, way, WAY to early …

    Also, who says their poll is “flawed” by a point or two by the manner by which it was conducted?

    Just asking …


  2. - Downstate - Friday, Jun 8, 12 @ 9:34 am:

    Wow! Davis is just named as the Republican candidate and he’s already leading in the polls? I can’t see Dems spending much money on this race after seeing this.

    This is as much about the anti-Obama, anti-union vote in Central Illinois than it is about the particular candidate. The only thing that Davis and Gill agree on is that Obamacare should be scrapped. The problem is that Gill wants to scrap it for a single payer system. Yup, that will play well in Central Illinois.

    Gill had much better name recognition, having run two times already, but couldn’t beat Davis in this early poll?

    Davis by 15 when the votes are counted.


  3. - so.... - Friday, Jun 8, 12 @ 9:40 am:

    Even if the sample is slightly off, this can’t be anything but encouraging for Republicans. With less than a month as the Republican nominee, Davis has a healthy lead over a four-time candidate in what is ostensibly a Democrat leaning district.

    P.S. for those those Dems consoling themselves that the sampling is probably off, look at the independents number, Davis is leading Gill by 9 points. Not good for Gill.


  4. - CircularFiringSquad - Friday, Jun 8, 12 @ 9:58 am:

    Wow is that the best the GOPies can do?
    Rapid Rodney better get going once the Griffin campaign cash laundering scandal hits full bloom and money flows away from the district to protect Daddy’s Little Deduction sure thing win this will be tough one.
    Too bad Billboards got stomped on the bid to fix remap.


  5. - J - Friday, Jun 8, 12 @ 10:16 am:

    I’ve always felt like something was a little off at We Ask America. This confirms it.


  6. - hisgirlfriday - Friday, Jun 8, 12 @ 11:04 am:

    Is Plummer a “young gun” too? Just wondering.


  7. - Ahoy! - Friday, Jun 8, 12 @ 11:11 am:

    Why does every republican press release have to mention Nancy Pelosi? Is there some kind of wierd fetish there that we don’t know about?


  8. - Team Sleep - Friday, Jun 8, 12 @ 11:48 am:

    Friday - yes, Plummer is a Young Gun. He got that designation almost immediately after his primary win.


  9. - wordslinger - Friday, Jun 8, 12 @ 2:05 pm:

    I find the self-named Young Guns hilarious. Sounds like something Spanky and Alfalfa would come up with for a clubhouse in the backyard.


  10. - benevolent hegemon - Friday, Jun 8, 12 @ 2:31 pm:

    Gee Ahoy, I guess you don’t know that Pelosi is catnip to conservatives just like the Tea Party, Rutherford, Joe Walsh, Koch, Fox News, etc. are catnip here at CapFax.

    Red meat for the faithful.

    That is all.


  11. - Anon - Friday, Jun 8, 12 @ 2:55 pm:

    I know Rodney. No one will out work him.


  12. - Endangered Moderate Species - Friday, Jun 8, 12 @ 4:06 pm:

    David Gill= Nice Guy, Good Doctor, challenged pol

    The Young Guns better not get to cocky. Their tea party friends have proven they should be more aptly named “The Gang that can’t Shoot Straight”.


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


* Obi-Wan... Karen?
* Drilling into the numbers
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Dunkin crosstabs and a supplement to today’s edition
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today's edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)
* Getting around today
* Yesterday's blog posts

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............


Search This Blog...

Search the 98th General Assembly By Bill Number
(example: HB0001)

Search the 98th General Assembly By Keyword

  
* Apple Recruiting Specialized Engineer to Focus on Apple Watch Clock Faces
* Another Snapdragon 820 benchmark test surfaces, impressive results
* Alcatel OneTouch Fierce XL with Windows 10 now available from T-Mobile
* Leaked images shows the front and rear of the Galaxy S7
* Japanese operator lists Marshmallow-ready Sony devices, Xperia Z2 notably absent
* StreetView VR is the unofficial Google Street View app for the Gear VR
* Cizoo Drops The Beat So That You Can Send Music Messages To Your Friends

* White Sox ink Ishikawa to Minor League deal
* White Sox sign righty Latos to 1-year deal
* White Sox sign Mat Latos for one year, $3 million
* Source: White Sox land right-hander Latos
* White Sox lag behind league in solving second spot
* 7 White Sox who could use a rebound season
* Podcast: White Sox Prospects

...............


Main Menu
Home
Illinois
YouTube
Pundit rankings
Obama
Subscriber Content
Durbin
Burris
Blagojevich Trial
Advertising
Updated Posts
Polls

Archives
February 2016
January 2016
December 2015
November 2015
October 2015
September 2015
August 2015
July 2015
June 2015
May 2015
April 2015
March 2015
February 2015
January 2015
December 2014
November 2014
October 2014
September 2014
August 2014
July 2014
June 2014
May 2014
April 2014
March 2014
February 2014
January 2014
December 2013
November 2013
October 2013
September 2013
August 2013
July 2013
June 2013
May 2013
April 2013
March 2013
February 2013
January 2013
December 2012
November 2012
October 2012
September 2012
August 2012
July 2012
June 2012
May 2012
April 2012
March 2012
February 2012
January 2012
December 2011
November 2011
October 2011
September 2011
August 2011
July 2011
June 2011
May 2011
April 2011
March 2011
February 2011
January 2011
December 2010
November 2010
October 2010
September 2010
August 2010
July 2010
June 2010
May 2010
April 2010
March 2010
February 2010
January 2010
December 2009
November 2009
October 2009
September 2009
August 2009
July 2009
June 2009
May 2009
April 2009
March 2009
February 2009
January 2009
December 2008
November 2008
October 2008
September 2008
August 2008
July 2008
June 2008
May 2008
April 2008
March 2008
February 2008
January 2008
December 2007
November 2007
October 2007
September 2007
August 2007
July 2007
June 2007
May 2007
April 2007
March 2007
February 2007
January 2007
December 2006
November 2006
October 2006
September 2006
August 2006
July 2006
June 2006
May 2006
April 2006
March 2006
February 2006
January 2006
December 2005
April 2005
March 2005
February 2005
January 2005
December 2004
November 2004
October 2004

Blog*Spot Archives
November 2005
October 2005
September 2005
August 2005
July 2005
June 2005
May 2005

Syndication

RSS Feed 2.0
Comments RSS 2.0
WordPress

Loading


* In Illinois, Obama to plead for a unity that's .....
* Obama to preach 'better politics' to bickering .....
* Bruce Rauner: “Higher taxes or fewer services” .....
* Rauner to Dems: Work with me or pass tax hike -.....
* Rauner to Dems: Work with me or pass tax hike -.....
* Obama to preach 'better politics' to bickering .....
* Obama to preach 'better politics' to bickering .....


* EXCHANGE: Horses visit terminally ill woman - in her house
* EXCHANGE: Family takes precautions after son's 2 concussions
* Alton postal worker throws out hundreds of pieces of mail
* Chicago gets taxi apps to compete with ride-hailing industry
* Granite City woman sentenced for health care fraud
* Obama adviser Axelrod to deliver Eureka commencement
* Museum offers free admission for Abraham Lincoln's birthday
* City expected to settle police hiring lawsuit
* Collinsville to buy land to relocate water treatment plant
* Jury trial ordered in juvenile court fatal shooting case

* Rauner: Bureaucracy is holding Illinois back
* Peoria's Par-A-Dice casino laying off 40, cites impact of video gaming
* IDOT Traffic Safety Division moving to new Springfield location
* Illinois bill would criminalize filming fights to put online
* Obama looking forward to fun visit to Springfield, his spokesman says
* Democrats vying for U.S. Senate talk up experience, background
* Illinois State Museum could reopen within weeks if changes approved, DNR director says
* Obama looking forward to fun visit, his spokesman says
* Some neighboring state museums surviving without admission fee
* College-accrediting agency sends warning amid budget impasse

* Here's what to do this weekend
* Here's a preview of Obama's Springfield visit today
* Sears gives up even on its own brand name
* Supreme Court puts Obama's Clean Power Plan on hold
* US Foods files for IPO


* Georgia Nicols horoscopes for Feb. 10
* Dear Abby: Make me a bridesmaid or I skip brother’s wedding
* WATCH: Joel Quenneville storms out of press conference after addressing no-goal
* Blackhawks lose at home for the first time in 2016
* Overturned goal proves costly as Blackhawks fall to Sharks
* Sweet: Sanders, Trump triumph; electability not a factor
* WATCH: Another Blackhawks goal overturned because of goalie interference
* Sweet: Obama to ask Illinois lawmakers to end gerrymandering
* Movie aims to show nongamers the world of ‘Warcraft’
* Alden Ehrenreich impresses big names on the way to playing ‘Hail, Caesar!’ cowboy


* 4 people wounded in Chicago shootings from Tuesday through early Wednesday
* Is risk of state discipline scaring doctors away from medical marijuana?
* Boyfriend in Bali murder wants baby's health to remain private, lawyers say
* City prepares to tear down crumbling Western Avenue overpass
* Wheaton College students, alumni plan solidarity fast
* U. of I. suspends 2 athletes for vandalizing Jewish center
* 6 displaced, 1 injured in Gresham fire
* Semi truck fire on outbound Skyway causes closures
* Chicago Public Schools slashes budgets midyear
* Indiana's Pence changes running mate before election


* Our View: State Museum closure a frustrating saga
* Rauner: Bureaucracy is holding Illinois back
* Peoria's Par-A-Dice casino laying off 40, cites impact of video gaming
* Jerry Jacobson: Council needs to delay YWCA demolition
* Michael Gerson: Trump's authenticity is a lie
* E.J. Dionne: Is Rubio too good to be true?
* Catherine Rampell: 'Progressive' and 'conservative' have become meaningless terms
* IDOT Traffic Safety Division moving to new Springfield location
* Illinois bill would criminalize filming fights to put online
* Obama looking forward to fun visit to Springfield, his spokesman says


* Bill allowing DACC, VA to trade land passes House
* Mild weather seen on much of the Plains
* Podcast: State Representative Chad Hays 02-10-16
* Leonard Pitts Jr.: Lawsuit conveys contempt
* Wednesday begins Lenten season
* Tom Kacich: Cruz-ing to area contribution lead
* Show faith by going meat-free
* Chamber challenges businesses to increase local purchasing
* Dee Brown: Time for fans to rally around Illini
* Area update: Lead tests show no need for cleanup at Rantoul site


* The Latest: Stock markets solid after Yellen remarks
* Bill to strip Planned Parenthood funds nears Kasich's desk
* Yellen: Slower rate hikes if economy disappoints
* Obama to preach 'better politics' at testy Illinois Capitol
* Officials: Cause of fire that killed 5 likely electrical

* House lawmakers overcome hurdle on key tra...
* Rodney Davis talks funding with Bloomingto...
* The agency that fought Illiana gets a new ...
* Rep. Dold takes educational cruise down Ch...
* Lawmakers decry high turnover rate of VA h...
* CBD Oil, and politics
* Simon considering state Senate bid
* Killer Congressman Tom MacArthur trying to...
* Shutdown? State may not notice
* Rep. Bob Dold

* NRF Applauds Senate Support for E-Fairness......
* NRF Applauds Senate Support for E-Fairness......
* Customs bill expected to clear Senate on T......

* Kirk, Bipartisan Group of Senators and Rep......

* Sunday posts, pics and tweets.
* CTU responds to yesterday’s massive cuts.
* Special education class sizes are the target (again).
* Random thoughts. Clinton’s defeat and Randi’s explanation.
* Presto Change-o -- Firehouse By Design
* Preckwinkle Says Program, Staff Cuts Possible If State Budget Stalemate Continues
* Ald. Arena Talks Next Steps On TIF Funding Proposal For CPS
* Obama ‘farewell’ tour begins Wednesday; there’s nothing more to it
* City Drivers See Gas Drop Below $2, Lowest Prices in 7 Years
* Chicago Aldermen, Community Groups Want Action On TIF Surplus (UPDATED)


* Emergency Management Officials, National Weather Service Encourage Winter Preparedness - November is Winter Weather Preparedness Month in Illinois
* Keep Your Family Safe This Winter - November through February are leading months for carbon monoxide related incidents
* Governor Takes Bill Action
* Illinois Department of Labor Director Hugo Chaviano Awards Governor’s Award for Contributions in Health and Safety to the Illinois Refining Division of Marathon Petroleum Company LP
* State Regulator Elected Treasurer of Interstate Medical Licensure Compact




Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller