LIVE session coverage...
SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      Mobile Version     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
*** UPDATED x1 - Davis makes “Young Guns” *** Poll has Davis leading Gill, but there’s a catch

Friday, Jun 8, 2012

* 13th Congressional Democratic nominee David Gill released a poll last month showing he was leading the Republicans who wanted to replace incumbent Congressman Tim Johnson on the ballot. His lead over the eventual choice, Rodney Davis, was 10 points, 41-31.

We Ask America is out with a new poll, however, which has a big Davis lead over the Democratic candidate

* However, there is a caveat. From the pollster

Since our sample was evenly divided between the two parties and Independents, Gill is probably a point or so closer than this nine-point spread.

I’m not sure why the heck they would do that, but whatever. More

Gill is well-known among a large portion of the Democratic base of IL-13 (especially in the Champaign-Urbana area) due to the fact that he won the Silver Medal in three out of the last three elections. Plus, Gill barely won the March Democratic primary in a real squeaker where he was not the Party’s Chosen One. His openly bitter post-primary attitude has left a lot of area Dems unimpressed. Those wounds may heal, but in the meantime, Davis has received a lot of earned media in the last month. Gill hasn’t had a real chance to “define” Davis yet, so this one is like trying to decide the winner of a horse race a few seconds after the gate opens.

Davis is out to an early lead, but expect Gill to go the whip sooner than later.

*** UPDATE *** Davis was just put into the NRCC’s “Young Guns” program. From a press release…

Rodney Davis, Republican candidate for the 13th Congressional District, has been named to the National Republican Congressional Committee’s “Young Guns” program. The program, founded by Reps. Eric Cantor (R-VA), Kevin McCarthy (R-CA), and Paul Ryan (R-WI) in the 2007-2008 election cycle, is the primary method for recruiting strong candidates for open-seat races like the 13th District.



“Rodney Davis has met a series of rigorous goals that will put him in a position to win on Election Day,” said NRCC Chairman Pete Sessions (R-TX). “The momentum behind his campaign is proof-positive that Americans are fed up with Nancy Pelosi policies that spend too much, tax too much, and borrow too much at the expense of hard-working Illinois families. Rodney Davis is leading the pack as Republicans continue to send a loud and clear message that we will hold Democrats accountable for their unpopular partisan agenda.”


- Posted by Rich Miller        


12 Comments
  1. - Oswego Willy - Friday, Jun 8, 12 @ 9:28 am:

    YDD …

    Read the poll, leave the cannoli?

    Way, way, WAY to early …

    Also, who says their poll is “flawed” by a point or two by the manner by which it was conducted?

    Just asking …


  2. - Downstate - Friday, Jun 8, 12 @ 9:34 am:

    Wow! Davis is just named as the Republican candidate and he’s already leading in the polls? I can’t see Dems spending much money on this race after seeing this.

    This is as much about the anti-Obama, anti-union vote in Central Illinois than it is about the particular candidate. The only thing that Davis and Gill agree on is that Obamacare should be scrapped. The problem is that Gill wants to scrap it for a single payer system. Yup, that will play well in Central Illinois.

    Gill had much better name recognition, having run two times already, but couldn’t beat Davis in this early poll?

    Davis by 15 when the votes are counted.


  3. - so.... - Friday, Jun 8, 12 @ 9:40 am:

    Even if the sample is slightly off, this can’t be anything but encouraging for Republicans. With less than a month as the Republican nominee, Davis has a healthy lead over a four-time candidate in what is ostensibly a Democrat leaning district.

    P.S. for those those Dems consoling themselves that the sampling is probably off, look at the independents number, Davis is leading Gill by 9 points. Not good for Gill.


  4. - CircularFiringSquad - Friday, Jun 8, 12 @ 9:58 am:

    Wow is that the best the GOPies can do?
    Rapid Rodney better get going once the Griffin campaign cash laundering scandal hits full bloom and money flows away from the district to protect Daddy’s Little Deduction sure thing win this will be tough one.
    Too bad Billboards got stomped on the bid to fix remap.


  5. - J - Friday, Jun 8, 12 @ 10:16 am:

    I’ve always felt like something was a little off at We Ask America. This confirms it.


  6. - hisgirlfriday - Friday, Jun 8, 12 @ 11:04 am:

    Is Plummer a “young gun” too? Just wondering.


  7. - Ahoy! - Friday, Jun 8, 12 @ 11:11 am:

    Why does every republican press release have to mention Nancy Pelosi? Is there some kind of wierd fetish there that we don’t know about?


  8. - Team Sleep - Friday, Jun 8, 12 @ 11:48 am:

    Friday - yes, Plummer is a Young Gun. He got that designation almost immediately after his primary win.


  9. - wordslinger - Friday, Jun 8, 12 @ 2:05 pm:

    I find the self-named Young Guns hilarious. Sounds like something Spanky and Alfalfa would come up with for a clubhouse in the backyard.


  10. - benevolent hegemon - Friday, Jun 8, 12 @ 2:31 pm:

    Gee Ahoy, I guess you don’t know that Pelosi is catnip to conservatives just like the Tea Party, Rutherford, Joe Walsh, Koch, Fox News, etc. are catnip here at CapFax.

    Red meat for the faithful.

    That is all.


  11. - Anon - Friday, Jun 8, 12 @ 2:55 pm:

    I know Rodney. No one will out work him.


  12. - Endangered Moderate Species - Friday, Jun 8, 12 @ 4:06 pm:

    David Gill= Nice Guy, Good Doctor, challenged pol

    The Young Guns better not get to cocky. Their tea party friends have proven they should be more aptly named “The Gang that can’t Shoot Straight”.


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


* Good morning!
* Yesterday's blog posts

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............


Search This Blog...

Search the 98th General Assembly By Bill Number
(example: HB0001)

Search the 98th General Assembly By Keyword

          
        * iOS Text Bug Begins to Affect Twitter and Snapchat Apps
        * Android Pay hands-on: buying soda with a phone
        * NVIDIA SHIELD, SHIELD Pro now available in the US and Canada
        * How to make Apple Watch battery last longer
        * Spotify now available as an app for Android Wear
        * The Agenda For The Europas Conference: AI, Drones, Health, FinTech, Fashion & More
        * Inbox now available for everyone, with new features to boot

        * Lobster Butter: An Awesome Use For Leftover Shells
        * Use a Takeout Menu as the Contact Photo for a Restaurant
        * Flike Personal Tricopter Takes Flight (video)
        * How Much to Ask for When You're Negotiating Salary
        * MIT Cheetah Robot Can Now Jump Obstacles (video)
        * Sticky Password Premium Lifetime Subscription Save 50%
        * DARPA Thinks That Playing Video Games Can Identify Software Flaws

        * White Sox MLB draft 2015 possibilities: Carson Fulmer, RHP, Vanderbilt
        * Beck hopes to build on debut, earn return trip
        * White Sox hurt by miscues, can't bottle up O's
        * Orioles 6, White Sox 3: Settling for a split
        * White Sox hurt by miscues, can't bottle up O's
        * Dominant Sale sets up tight Game 1 victory
        * White Sox recall Webb for twin bill coverage

        ...............


        Main Menu
        Home
        Illinois
        YouTube
        Pundit rankings
        Obama
        Subscriber Content
        Durbin
        Burris
        Blagojevich Trial
        Advertising
        Updated Posts
        Polls

        Archives
        May 2015
        April 2015
        March 2015
        February 2015
        January 2015
        December 2014
        November 2014
        October 2014
        September 2014
        August 2014
        July 2014
        June 2014
        May 2014
        April 2014
        March 2014
        February 2014
        January 2014
        December 2013
        November 2013
        October 2013
        September 2013
        August 2013
        July 2013
        June 2013
        May 2013
        April 2013
        March 2013
        February 2013
        January 2013
        December 2012
        November 2012
        October 2012
        September 2012
        August 2012
        July 2012
        June 2012
        May 2012
        April 2012
        March 2012
        February 2012
        January 2012
        December 2011
        November 2011
        October 2011
        September 2011
        August 2011
        July 2011
        June 2011
        May 2011
        April 2011
        March 2011
        February 2011
        January 2011
        December 2010
        November 2010
        October 2010
        September 2010
        August 2010
        July 2010
        June 2010
        May 2010
        April 2010
        March 2010
        February 2010
        January 2010
        December 2009
        November 2009
        October 2009
        September 2009
        August 2009
        July 2009
        June 2009
        May 2009
        April 2009
        March 2009
        February 2009
        January 2009
        December 2008
        November 2008
        October 2008
        September 2008
        August 2008
        July 2008
        June 2008
        May 2008
        April 2008
        March 2008
        February 2008
        January 2008
        December 2007
        November 2007
        October 2007
        September 2007
        August 2007
        July 2007
        June 2007
        May 2007
        April 2007
        March 2007
        February 2007
        January 2007
        December 2006
        November 2006
        October 2006
        September 2006
        August 2006
        July 2006
        June 2006
        May 2006
        April 2006
        March 2006
        February 2006
        January 2006
        December 2005
        April 2005
        March 2005
        February 2005
        January 2005
        December 2004
        November 2004
        October 2004

        Blog*Spot Archives
        November 2005
        October 2005
        September 2005
        August 2005
        July 2005
        June 2005
        May 2005

        Syndication

        RSS Feed 2.0
        Comments RSS 2.0
        WordPress

        Loading


        * Illinois Senate rejects Rauner’s priorities..
        * Unions take aim at lockout by Rauner..
        * Rauner stays out of sight as he maps out overti.....
        * Union presses measure to prevent strike, lockout..
        * Effort to expand Illinois gambling likely pushe.....
        * State Employee Union Presses Measure To Prevent.....
        * Dems reject more Rauner proposals..


        * Timeline of the career of ex-US House Speaker Dennis Hastert
        * Hastert indictment offers few clues about alleged misconduct
        * Union presses measure to prevent strike, lockout
        * Latest on Dennis Hastert: Ex-House speaker resigns from firm
        * Illinois man cleared of 1999 murder freed from prison

        * Rauner agenda bills defeated in committee
        * Bill would prevent strike, lockout
        * AFSCME pushing bill to prevent state workers from going on strike, being locked out
        * Effort to expand Illinois gambling likely pushed into summer
        * Body camera rules, other police reforms approved by Illinois House
        * Springfield-area unemployment at seven-year low in April
        * April unemployment rates fall in all Illinois metro areas
        * Illinois Senate to consider plan for new casinos in Chicago, elsewhere
        * Report: Rauner's education secretary paid with funds from state agency facing cuts
        * Records show Rauner's edication secretary paid under IDHS

        * For this banker, a teenage pregnancy was a start, not an end
        * AG Madigan asks feds to halt looming downstate rate spike
        * Is there room for an Audi-only rental company at O'Hare?
        * Walgreens chairman says company never planned to leave U.S.
        * Did Dennis Hastert pay hush money?


          * 3 shot on their block, sisters find it harder to escape the violence
          * Animal cruelty charges filed after video catches dog walker kicking beagle
          * Hastert, the accidental House speaker, faces own scandal after noted career
          * Doctor: Dying son gives mom 'the gift of life'
          * Northwestern to settle suit involving book on Leopold and Loeb murder trial
          * 1 dead, 15 hurt in shootings across Chicago
          * Ex-top cop in Countryside to be sentenced Friday for fraud
          * Man charged in shooting of grandmother in McKinley Park
          * Mother, son found dead in SW Side home after possible home invasion, fire
          * Police: Indiana woman gets fork in eye in dispute over last rib at barbecue


          * Chicago school board to consider charter relocations, renewals
          * Ex-US Speaker Hastert indicted on bank-related charges
          * Vets' best friend: Two veterans trekking cross-country with the dogs that 'saved their lives'
          * After pig farm raises a stink, Hoosiers debate rural-city divide
          * City planners and neighborhood residents map out Chinatown’s future
          * City planners and neighborhood residents map out Chinatown's future
          * Sheriff calls on feds to investigate Puerto Rican agencies that send addicts to Chicago
          * Illinois prisons director resigns 2 months after taking job
          * Nebraska repeals death penalty, but U.S. isn't quite ready to abandon it
          * Illinois moves to downgrade pot possession to a fine


          * Rauner agenda bills defeated in committee
          * Our Opinion: What's next, Springfield? More jobs, please
          * Brent Glass: Leadership the answer to presidential museum's problems
          * E.J. Dionne: Ireland's 'social revolution'
          * Bill would prevent strike, lockout
          * Effort to expand Illinois gambling likely pushed into summer
          * Body camera rules, other police reforms approved by Illinois House
          * Springfield-area unemployment at seven-year low in April
          * Cinda Klickna: Threats do not equate to leadership


          * The Fit List
          * Carle's Amy Jessup 5/29/2015
          * Unions take aim at lockout by Rauner
          * HCC chairman says contract with president a local decision
          * Lane closures ahead for most of June on Kirby, Bradley
          * Dems reject more Rauner proposals
          * Mobile Navy museum to visit Mahomet
          * 'I am so proud of you'
          * Study to examine cancer, heart risks for firefighters
          * VA director out; no word on why


          * Hastert indictment offers few clues about alleged misconduct
          * THE LATEST: Netanyahu urges FIFA not to suspend Israelis
          * The Latest: Hey Makarova! 9th seed into French 4th round
          * The Wildbird Shack to open in Mount Prospect
          * Athlete making the most out of life after health scares

          * DCCC hits Republicans on Amtrak safety fun...
          * U.S. Steel Plant in Granite City to remain...
          * US Rep Duckworth says potential Democratic...
          * DCCC hits Republicans on Amtrak safety fun...
          * LGBT Veterans Monument dedicated
          * Official: U.S. Steel Not Idling Granite Ci...
          * Democrats face contested primaries in 2016...
          * Laura Washington: A crowd gathers to chall...
          * U.S. Steel staying open
          * Barr and Maloney lead 254 House Members as...

          * New violence threatens Baghdad; China puts......
          * Bustos, Durbin announce $600,000 in federa......
          * Peoria, Rockford share grant to clean up c......
          * Column: Let’s do some railing...

          * Susquenita football coach Mark Kirk resign......
          * Researchers Discover Superior Radiation To......
          * Duckworth sticks verbal shiv into opponent......

          * Back to the future. Rauner’s turnaround agenda is a trip back in time.
          * Humboldt Park Beach and the priorities of corporations over neighborhood schools and neighborhood parks.
          * Beachwood Photo Booth: Eat At Odge's
          * Paging George Bailey, You Have A Call
          * From A Tiny ACORN, Scandal Grows
          * Starbucks Brewing Health Care Cuts?
          * Hang On! Economy Hasn't Hit Bottom Yet
          * Tribune Tower? Nice Condo With View
          * Lt. Gov Quinn on Blago, Obama and Biz
          * Chicago Tonight The Week In Review


          * Celebrate National 529 Day with a College Illinois!® Savings Plan - Enrollment Open Through June 1st
          * State Announces Business Resource Event Coming to Aurora - ‘Make a Connection’ networking and resource program promotes economic growth of small and diverse businesses
          * Gulf War Veteran Reports for Duty as IDVA Women Vets Coordinator, Vet Business Champion
          * Illinois EPA Pollution Prevention Interns begin Twelve Week Program at Illinois Facilities - Students find cost-effective approaches for reducing environmental impacts
          * Vietnam Veteran Confirmed as IDVA Assistant Director




              Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller