SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      Mobile Version     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
“Don’t worry, there’s plenty of money”

Friday, Mar 7, 2014

* Apparently, the House and Senate Republicans are not operating out of the same budgetary playbook

Illinois senators voted along party lines Thursday to adopt a revenue estimate for next year that is about $1 billion less than was used to create the current state budget. […]

The new revenue estimate is lower in large part because much of the temporary income tax increase is set to expire at the end of 2014, midway through the next budget year. At the same time, budget negotiators must cope with increased costs that cannot be avoided, such as for pensions, health insurance for both retirees and active workers and Medicaid. Between the higher costs and less revenue, budget negotiators are looking at a $2.3 billion hole they will have to fill in the next budget.

Senate Republicans all voted against the revenue estimate. Some accused Democrats of hiding revenue to make the budget numbers look worse than they are. They said it was part of an attempt by Democrats to build support for continuing the income tax hike. […]

The same resolution passed the Illinois House on a 112-0 vote. Some House Republicans noted that the figures were based on estimates from the legislature’s Commission on Government Forecasting and Accountability, which has provided reliable estimates in the past. Republicans said they were also encouraged that Gov. Pat Quinn’s budget office had estimates very similar to COGFA’s.

- Posted by Rich Miller        


32 Comments
  1. - wordslinger - Friday, Mar 7, 14 @ 11:59 am:

    I guess the Senate GOP thinks the economy is gangbusters and there will be more revenue available after a tax cut.

    Or maybe they’re just not thinking at all.


  2. - A guy... - Friday, Mar 7, 14 @ 12:04 pm:

    Someone still swinging a 2×4 in the House Caucus. Man, this is just plain embarrassing.


  3. - PublicServant - Friday, Mar 7, 14 @ 12:13 pm:

    The borg queen has lost contact with her senate drones.


  4. - Frosty-The Snowman - Friday, Mar 7, 14 @ 12:13 pm:

    “Rauner-Rauner-Rauner-Rauner” was the chant that went across the land when the taxpayers of Illinois realized that nothing was going to change in Springfield unless they brought in a hired gun or a bounty hunter.
    “Have money & conviction”—”Will Travel”
    Wire Rauner — Winnetka, Illinois


  5. - DuPage - Friday, Mar 7, 14 @ 12:15 pm:

    Maybe the Democrats are estimating a little low. They might be thinking of possible injunctions against SB1 before the cuts actually happen.
    After that the courts may well throw SB1 out entirely, so they will want to keep the income tax where it is. By estimating low they can justify needing to do that.


  6. - RNUG - Friday, Mar 7, 14 @ 12:23 pm:

    Senate GOP must know where the bag of magic beans is hidden away if they think the COGFA numbers are off.


  7. - Empty Suit - Friday, Mar 7, 14 @ 12:28 pm:

    Yeah darn Senate GOPs! We all know how wrong they were about the Governor’s Violence Prevention Program.


  8. - Formerly Known As... - Friday, Mar 7, 14 @ 12:30 pm:

    All I know for certain is that we suddenly have money for tax cuts to corporations and building museums.

    That has been surprising to learn.


  9. - For Whatever It's Worth - Friday, Mar 7, 14 @ 12:32 pm:

    Is this one of those “Laughter” (actually Laffer) Curve deals?


  10. - Anon - Friday, Mar 7, 14 @ 12:38 pm:

    So Obama is a secret Muslim, climate change is a liberal hoax, and COGFA is hiding money.


  11. - dupage dan - Friday, Mar 7, 14 @ 12:41 pm:

    Senate GOP members: “you are hiding the deck chairs on the port side where we can’t see them”.
    (somewhere on the Atlantic Ocean, April 14, 1912)


  12. - Palm Tree - Friday, Mar 7, 14 @ 12:44 pm:

    Dems want to make the budget deficit seem gargantuan, so that no fool would ever think the tax hike can be allowed to sunset.

    Underestimating revenue and overestimating spending helps them do that. So that’s what they are doing.

    The tax increase isn’t going away. It never was. You all know it.


  13. - wordslinger - Friday, Mar 7, 14 @ 12:57 pm:

    –Underestimating revenue and overestimating spending helps them do that.–

    For crying out loud, COGFA has a track record for revenue estimates. Check it out. It’s sterling. Their only miss was the crash in revenues after the bubble burst.

    Where do the conspiracies end for some of these guys?


  14. - DuPage Bard - Friday, Mar 7, 14 @ 1:02 pm:

    So are the Senate R’s saying the House R’s are not smart enough to know what’s really going on?
    Don’t look at the man behind the curtain.


  15. - VanillaMan - Friday, Mar 7, 14 @ 1:09 pm:

    This whole thing is FICTION crafted by politicians during an election year.

    So, naturally the folks losing the political goal these fictional numbers are supposed to represent are going to call the winners dishonest for lying about the fictional numbers.

    Because Illinois and the State’s leadership has been so outstanding a public servant regarding it’s fiduciary responsibilities to its citizens and has for many generations been as spot-on regarding these budgets as a real-life organization with responsible fiduciary responsibilities - we can believe this crap.

    Or believe that it is somehow tethered to some semblance of reality.

    I don’t believe anything these people say or do.


  16. - 100 Miles West - Friday, Mar 7, 14 @ 1:10 pm:

    Frosty, when I was a kid I thought Paladin’s first name was Wire.


  17. - wordslinger - Friday, Mar 7, 14 @ 1:19 pm:

    –I don’t believe anything these people say or do.–

    I don’t understand what you’re saying. You don’t believe whom?

    Do you think money is being hidden, too?

    Again, COGFA has an excellent track record. You can look it up. They are professionals, not politicians.

    You believe in empirical evidence, don’t you?


  18. - Palm Tree - Friday, Mar 7, 14 @ 1:20 pm:

    Word,
    It’s not a conspiracy. It is a strategy. Don’t pretend like it’s an outrageous assertion. It doesn’t take a brain surgeon to understand posturing.

    Why do you think Cullerton has already tried to estimate the budget hole at $3 billion? So that people will say, “There’s no way we can fill that hole with cuts alone. We must extend the tax.”

    You can bemoan the conspiracy theorists, but that is exactly what’s happening.


  19. - VanillaMan - Friday, Mar 7, 14 @ 1:26 pm:

    Geez word -
    These are the same people who can’t find the $54,000,000 they gave to their voter base. So, what do you think the chances are that these people are suddenly being honest about money?

    How many times do you need to be hit over the head by these people before you start to duck?

    You’ve lost me right after you finished singing, “When You Wish Upon A Star”, Mr. Cricket.


  20. - Formerly Known As... - Friday, Mar 7, 14 @ 1:47 pm:

    COGFA does excellent work. They are one of the best resources in Illinois government, imho.

    There is, however, nearly a $1 billion discrepancy between the CGFA estimate and the IDoR/GOMB revenue estimates. $717 million, to be specific.

    A cynic might ask why they chose to use the CGFA estimates instead over the IDoR/GOMB estimates?

    A cynic might also wonder which revenue estimate Governor Quinn will use when introducing his budget? CGFA’s or his office’s?

    Fortunately, I am not a cynic so I do not have to think about such things.


  21. - Demoralized - Friday, Mar 7, 14 @ 2:02 pm:

    Oh for pete’s sake. Nobody is hiding revenues. It’s said they we are now to the point where we are impugning the integrity of COGFA. If you are looking for a conspiracy you are barking up the wrong tree. Some of you need to grow up and be adults.


  22. - Demoralized - Friday, Mar 7, 14 @ 2:03 pm:

    “sad that” not “said they”

    ugh . . . TGIF


  23. - Demoralized - Friday, Mar 7, 14 @ 2:06 pm:

    Also, the Republicans need to get their act together. If the revenues would have been estimated higher they would have been throwing a fit. You have to be FOR something. Anything. Pick something. You can’t just say NO NO NO to everything. If they don’t like the estimate then what do they think it should be? There schtick is getting old.


  24. - Rich Miller - Friday, Mar 7, 14 @ 2:06 pm:

    ===It’s not a conspiracy. It is a strategy. ===

    You are aware that COGFA is run by a Republican and governed by a bipartisan legislative commission, correct?

    If you are not aware of either or both of those, you might wanna stop commenting here about stuff you’re pulling outta your patootie.


  25. - archimedes - Friday, Mar 7, 14 @ 2:06 pm:

    It also might be worth pointing out that the CGFA legislative members are 6 republicans and 6 democrats (6 from each house, 12 total).

    CGFA has a lot of earned credibility.


  26. - archimedes - Friday, Mar 7, 14 @ 2:07 pm:

    Oops - Rich beat me to it….


  27. - Rich Miller - Friday, Mar 7, 14 @ 2:10 pm:

    No worries, arch. It’s worth repeating.

    Those who believe that Cullerton controls the former Republican staffer who runs CGFA to the point where all the commission’s economists and other experts would sign off on a deliberately inflated revenue report need to get their heads examined. Pronto.

    Differences exist all the time between GOMB and CGFA. Almost every year. Sometimes they are small, sometimes they are large.


  28. - Walker - Friday, Mar 7, 14 @ 3:17 pm:

    ===These are the same people who cannot find the $54Millioon…===

    VMan, these are NOT the same people. These are the apolitical analysts who correct the nonsense put out by the politicians. They do not work for any faction or party.

    Anyone who wants to raise the CoGFA revenue estimate, which is the best available in the state, until proven otherwise, must realize that that would justify greater spending in the budget, not less.

    Is that what the Senate GOP wants? More spending?

    Beyond stupid.

    Those who disagree with CGFA’s revenue estimates better have their data and economic experts all lined up — or they are playing pure politics.

    Those who accept CGFA’s estimate as the best available in this state, are dealing with reality.

    Inflating a revenue estimate, as the Senate GOP is trying to do, leads to more spending when aiming for a balanced budget, not less. Beyond stupid.


  29. - wordslinger - Friday, Mar 7, 14 @ 3:39 pm:

    VMan, Palm, sorry, you don’t have a rational or coherent thought to respond to.

    Take a breath, take your Ritalin, and maybe you can follow the discussion.

    It ain’t that difficult, if you focus.

    You can do it.


  30. - Under Influenced - Friday, Mar 7, 14 @ 3:45 pm:

    All praise Leader McCarter, he does math good.

    But seriously, there is only 19…so who cares?


  31. - Formerly Known As... - Friday, Mar 7, 14 @ 3:51 pm:

    COGFA does great, objective work. They are not part of the “problem” in Springfield, they are part of the “solution”.

    They are one of the few things that actually works very well in our government. I personally rely on COGFA’s numbers more than the GOMB’s and would have no problem with using COGFA’s numbers every single year.

    That said, when I previously criticized our budget process as convoluted for using numbers from COGFA, GOMB and so on instead of one streamlined source, some rebuked such criticisms of our process: http://capitolfax.com/2013/09/24/question-of-the-day-1676/

    There has to be a better way of doing things than picking between competing sets of projections rom year to year.


  32. - SAP - Friday, Mar 7, 14 @ 3:52 pm:

    So the Senate portion of the party of small government wants to spend $1Billion more that Madigan, Cullerton, and all those other tax and spend Democrats. Jeez, sometimes irony is wasted on the wrong people.


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


* Tomorrow's news today
* Oddities and ends
* Durbin launches second positive ad
* *** UPDATED x3 - Full Rauner response - Rauner issues statement - Quinn responds *** Question of the day
* Black radio ad slams Rauner for failure to hire a single African-American at company
* Today's chart
* *** UPDATED x1 - Quinn responds *** Rauner unveils ethics reform plan
* Today's number: 30 percent less likely
* Bigfooted by the Trib
* *** UPDATED x1 - Bustos responds *** Schilling ad attacks Bustos over budget cuts
* *** UPDATED x1 *** SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Supplement to today’s edition: Crosstabs, TV ads, cable TV buys and an events list
* Quinn moves to second negative track
* Rate Bruce Rauner's new TV ad: "100 years of failure"
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today's edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)
* Yesterday's blog posts

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............


Search This Blog...

Search the 98th General Assembly By Bill Number
(example: HB0001)

Search the 98th General Assembly By Keyword

          
        * Apple Updates iMovie and Numbers for iOS 8
        * Moto Maker now available in France, Germany, UK
        * T-Mobile’s new 4G LTE Signal Booster revealed [unboxing video]
        * More Moto X (2014) apps branch out to Google Play for updates
        * The kill switch is here: iOS 8 enables it by default
        * Microsoft removes yearly Windows Phone developer fee
        * Sony forecasts quadruple losses due to smartphone business

        * Sapphire Was Apparently Never In The Cards For The iPhone 6
        * Activation Lock Enabled On iOS 8 By Default
        * The Spotless White Workspace
        * Apple Confirms Bug That Delayed HealthKit Compatible Apps
        * Assassin’s Creed Pirates Returns To Windows Phone
        * Candy Crush Developer Puts Its Windows Phone Developments On Hold
        * It Pays to Globalize: Why Marketers Must Embrace Localization

        * Following up: Adam Eaton's second half, Chris Sale's schedule
        * Gillaspie, White Sox solve Royals' bullpen
        * White Sox 7, Royals 5: Kansas City bullpen titans falter
        * Sale seeks another stellar start in KC, series win
        * Gillaspie, White Sox solve Royals' bullpen
        * Out call on Viciedo confirmed on replay
        * High hopes, no set plan for Konerko's remaining ABs


        Main Menu
        Home
        Illinois
        YouTube
        Pundit rankings
        Obama
        Subscriber Content
        Durbin
        Burris
        Blagojevich Trial
        Advertising
        Updated Posts
        Polls

        Archives
        September 2014
        August 2014
        July 2014
        June 2014
        May 2014
        April 2014
        March 2014
        February 2014
        January 2014
        December 2013
        November 2013
        October 2013
        September 2013
        August 2013
        July 2013
        June 2013
        May 2013
        April 2013
        March 2013
        February 2013
        January 2013
        December 2012
        November 2012
        October 2012
        September 2012
        August 2012
        July 2012
        June 2012
        May 2012
        April 2012
        March 2012
        February 2012
        January 2012
        December 2011
        November 2011
        October 2011
        September 2011
        August 2011
        July 2011
        June 2011
        May 2011
        April 2011
        March 2011
        February 2011
        January 2011
        December 2010
        November 2010
        October 2010
        September 2010
        August 2010
        July 2010
        June 2010
        May 2010
        April 2010
        March 2010
        February 2010
        January 2010
        December 2009
        November 2009
        October 2009
        September 2009
        August 2009
        July 2009
        June 2009
        May 2009
        April 2009
        March 2009
        February 2009
        January 2009
        December 2008
        November 2008
        October 2008
        September 2008
        August 2008
        July 2008
        June 2008
        May 2008
        April 2008
        March 2008
        February 2008
        January 2008
        December 2007
        November 2007
        October 2007
        September 2007
        August 2007
        July 2007
        June 2007
        May 2007
        April 2007
        March 2007
        February 2007
        January 2007
        December 2006
        November 2006
        October 2006
        September 2006
        August 2006
        July 2006
        June 2006
        May 2006
        April 2006
        March 2006
        February 2006
        January 2006
        December 2005
        April 2005
        March 2005
        February 2005
        January 2005
        December 2004
        November 2004
        October 2004

        Blog*Spot Archives
        November 2005
        October 2005
        September 2005
        August 2005
        July 2005
        June 2005
        May 2005

        Syndication

        RSS Feed 2.0
        Comments RSS 2.0
        WordPress

        Loading


        * Gov. Quinn announces aluminum company locating .....
        * Rauner: Stop the revolving door..
        * Quinn blasts NFL owners with dig at GOP opponent..
        * Quinn, Rauner ads focus on corruption..


        * Journalists criticize White House for 'secrecy'
        * Emanuel wants no more signs as large as Trump's
        * Warrant: SC dad feared 5 slain kids would kill him
        * Peoria forgoes search, promotes interim cop chief
        * Woman gets prison sentence in 5-year-old's death
        * Emanuel wants no more signs as large as Trump's
        * Herbicides indirectly kill fish in Manteno lake
        * GOP appeal seeks to knock Libertarian off ballot
        * Rauner ethics plan targets lobbyists, lawmakers
        * Ex-deputy gets 50 years prison in child sex case

        * White to focus on technology, highway safety in fifth term
        * Quinn blasts NFL owners with dig at Rauner
        * GOP appeal seeks to knock Libertarian gubernatorial candidate off ballot
        * Rauner’s ethics reform plan targets lobbyists, lawmakers
        * Hundreds apply for jobs at northern Illinois federal prison
        * Rauner questions medical marijuana program secrecy
        * New subpoena issued for Quinn’s anti-violence program
        * Evans: Eliminate conflicts of interest in legislature
        * State legislative panel delays decision on fracking rules
        * Quinn: Monitor not needed to oversee state hiring

        * Emanuel wants no more signs as large as Trump's
        * Old Second CEO retires after 42-year bank career
        * Leo Burnett, WPP lose Miller Lite ad account to TBWA
        * Pizza Hut testing 'skinny slice'
        * Photos: Pizza Hut testing 'skinny slice'


        * Trump happy over Emanuel crackdown on signs
        * Lawyers allege state Sen. Donne Trotter took $2,000 in FBI sting
        * Highland Park woman sentenced to five years for running over, killing 5-year-old girl
        * Appeals court to decide if Beanie Baby billionaire got off easy
        * Hitting a child is always wrong
        * Tightwalk across the Chicago River is ‘real deal’
        * Pro-Rahm group tells Karen Lewis to choose: Mayor’s race or CTU?


        * Wallenda walks on wire, prayer and $20M insurance
        * 1 dead, 2 wounded in city shootings
        * Outfit enforcer gets 15 years in prison for gun conviction
        * Four charged in fatal shooting at River Oaks Mall
        * TSA boss: Passenger pre-screening to be new standard
        * Ex-sheriff's deputy gets 50 years in child sex abuse case
        * Cops: Man tried to assault girl walking to school on South Side
        * Third person arrested in fatal shooting of retired police sergeant
        * Chicago Public Schools' personnel chief steps down
        * 5 years in 'huffing' crash that killed girl, 5


        * Teen Arrested For Threat Against Glenwood High School
        * I Like Illinois Website Debuts, In Time For The Election
        * Cullerton: I LIKE Illinois!
        * Trauma Care Decision Highlights Competition Between Springfield Hospitals
        * Springfield Art Co-Op Founder "Blossoms" On East Coast
        * Springfield Mayor Houston Points Out Sewer Improvements
        * Mayor: We Are Doing Sewer Work
        * N.J. Gov. Christie Stumps For Rauner In Springfield
        * Fracking Rules Action Delayed; Could Be A Sign Of Revision
        * Who Owns The Rights To Vivian Maier's Photos?


        * White to focus on technology, highway safety in fifth term
        * Quinn blasts NFL owners with dig at Rauner
        * GOP appeal seeks to knock Libertarian gubernatorial candidate off ballot
        * Rauner’s ethics reform plan targets lobbyists, lawmakers
        * Hundreds apply for jobs at northern Illinois federal prison
        * Our Opinion: Carbon monoxide alarms belong in schools
        * Rauner questions medical marijuana program secrecy
        * New subpoena issued for Quinn’s anti-violence program
        * Evans: Eliminate conflicts of interest in legislature
        * Michael Gerson: Leading from behind the curve


        * Recovering from Phases
        * Fly-in to benefit food pantry
        * Downtown Morrison on register of historic places
        * UI professor: MacArthur award 'completely blindsided me'
        * Boil order cancelled in Johnston City
        * Sports Talk 9-17-14
        * Carbondale Police investigating late night shooting
        * I-80 bridge at LeClaire closed in both directions
        * Salukis and fans gearing up for SIU Homecoming 2014
        * Museum facing eviction; would close


        * Cardinals RB deactivated after arrest on domestic assault charges
        * Moeller, Meyer in race for 43rd House
        * Trial begins for accused mastermind of Villa Park home invasion
        * Toll takers to get raises, but toll-free perk uncertain
        * Tollway's video swan song for Des Plaines Oasis

        * Former "youngest member of Congress" to vi...
        * Congressman Aaron Schock Reacts To Preside...
        * Congressman Schock Congratulates Local Her...
        * Local Letter Carrier Honored as a Hero - C...
        * House Votes to Condemn GITMO Detainee Rele...
        * Issa, Capito, Chabot, Meeks, and Schock jo...
        * Letter: Some questions for Schock about In...
        * Schock travels to India to promote humanit...
        * Congressman leads humanitarian trip to Ind...
        * Ill. congressman Schock spreads anti-pover...

        * Senator Durbin Applauds Decision to Raise ......
        * Senator Durbin Applauds Decision to Raise ......
        * Senator Durbin Applauds Decision to Raise ......
        * Senator Durbin Applauds Decision to Raise ......
        * Senator Durbin Applauds Decision to Raise ......

        * Shangri La's Barr al Jissah ResortSpa to o......
        * ISIS fight: Congress to vote on arming Syr......

        * Neil Steinberg compares opposition to Israeli policies and campus rape.
        * Richard Skoda’s dreams.
        * S.O.R.E. field trip. Town Hall with Senators Biss and Manar on school funding, Special Needs.
        * Learning Disabilities Association (LDA) of Illinois opposes SB16.
        * Chicago’s Marshall High School and Zombie education reform.
        * California public pension funds to hedge fund managers: “Drop dead.”
        * Leadership.
        * Hooray for cartoonists.
        * Biss and Manar want schools to make do with less. SB16.
        * Susan Sadlowski-Garza.


        * Rauner Launches New TV Ad: 100 Years
        * 100 Years
        * Bruce Rauner Announces Ethics Blueprint
        * Across Illinois, They’re Talking About Pat Quinn’s Corruption
        * New subpoena in federal probe of Quinn anti-violence grant program




            Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller