Rauner by 4%. Rutherford to blame for Dillards loss by not dropping out. Quinn beats Hardiman 55 to 45. Signaling major problems for the Quinn campaign with his own base. In the 115th, Terri Bryant over Bob White, 60 to 40. Kilquist over Mayville 51 to 49. Rauner contributes 20 million to his campaign fund at 11:59 pm.
- IbendahlLuvsJBT - Tuesday, Mar 18, 14 @ 11:49 am:
Rauner 1. Illinois 0.
- Coles County Anti-Liberal - Tuesday, Mar 18, 14 @ 11:51 am:
Jeanne Ives wins and Oswego Willy throws a fit. Berrios-Guzzardi goes to a recount.
Tom Cross wins 62-38 and plays miniature golf.
Dillard pulls the upset by 2%, DR gets around 6% and Brady 17-18%. A significant number of people who thought about voting for Rauner end up going a different direction and a lot of undecideds break for Dillard.
Rauner ‘only’ wins by 6 points, story turns to how this is a disappointment and he might not be all that strong of a candidate despite running a good campaign and having all the money.
Quinn gets 65% and everyone freaks out, but really it’s because no one in Cook County voted/Dems pulling GOP ballots.
Post primary: The 2014 general starts to feel a bit like the 2006 race… not sure why and maybe it’s only a passing feeling. This race could end up becoming more about angry voters, but my guess is voters will be indifferent/not to excited about either candidate ala ‘06. Gotta wonder if a third party candidate jumps in (frankly, this probably should have been Rauner’s move).
47th Ward, it’s more than apathy. Disgust. Each of the Republicans are ethically challenged from sexual harassment and the cover-up, to voting on legislation that helped his own business interest, to selling his principles for a union endorsement. And then there’s Rauner. Quinn never spoke out against Rod, well till the conviction.
Interesting, many here predicting a comfortable Rauner win, but seems very few are actually voting for BR. And, many seem to hear stories of people voting against Rauner and turnout in Chicago light so far.
What % would Tio need in order to mildly embarrass Quinn? Don’t think it will matter in eight months, just curious. I know Blago got about 71% in his 2006 primary.
- Phineas J. Whoopee - Tuesday, Mar 18, 14 @ 12:55 pm:
There is an obvious cross over vote happening and the totals will be nowhere near what has been polled. Whether that is enough for Dillard is the question. I can’t predict exact numbers without more information but suffice it to say, I think Dillard has a small shot.
It will be interesting to see how the crossover affects Quinn’s totals as well.
Hey Cassiopeia, can I have some of what you’re smoking?
- Steve Downstate - Tuesday, Mar 18, 14 @ 2:46 pm:
As a Dem who can’t stomach voting for Quinn again (undercut my pension and my spouse’s), I’m rooting for Rauner and am about to go cast my vote for him. Would love to be able to vote for him in the fall. But Billionare Bruce’s checkbook will probably still win him the nomination, and I’ll be stuck looking for a third-party candidate in November.
- Steve Downstate - Tuesday, Mar 18, 14 @ 2:48 pm:
Yikes! I meant to say I’m rooting for DILLARD. Let’s hope I actually check the right name on the ballot!
It’s a bit of a long shot but I’m guessing Rauner and Dillard end up more or less tied at a figure between 35% and 37%. The difference is only a couple of hundred votes and the presumptive loser calls for a recount.
If only Cass, if only. That would be freaking awesome.
Besides the crossover, there is surely to be a fair number of vote switchers going from Brady or Rutherford to Dillard, and some will go to Rauner as well. Folks like to vote for a winner, and almost no one believes either of them can win. That plus the crossover says this could be much closer than anyone anticipates, but at the end of the day, I give Dillard one chance in five.