Capitol Fax.com - Your Illinois News Radar » Dated, online poll has Rauner’s numbers in the tank
SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      About     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact Rich Miller
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
Dated, online poll has Rauner’s numbers in the tank

Tuesday, Sep 20, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Zoe Galland for Crain’s

Gov. Bruce Rauner’s approval rating comes in at 33 percent in a new poll.

MorningConsult, a media and polling firm, finds that the governor’s disapproval rating is at 56 percent. Governors who are more unpopular include New Jersey’s Chris Christie, Michigan’s Rick Snyder and, at No. 1, Kansas’ Sam Brownback.

Where would Rauner’s numbers be if he actually got his agenda through?

I about spit out my coffee when I read that line.

According to the poll, Rauner is just slightly more popular than Maine’s bizarre governor Paul LePage.

Whew.

* However, take these numbers with a gigantic grain of salt

Morning Consult surveyed 71,900 registered voters in all 50 states from early May 2016 through early September 2016. Survey respondents were asked whether they approved or disapproved of their governor’s job performance.

Ancient numbers and an online poll.

       

26 Comments
  1. - Anon - Tuesday, Sep 20, 16 @ 9:34 am:

    ===Where would Rauner’s numbers be if he actually got his agenda through?===

    This actually sounds like a question of the day with heavily encourage snark.


  2. - X-prof - Tuesday, Sep 20, 16 @ 9:35 am:

    CC is going to be tough to beat going forward given yesterday’s news (bridge, not bombing-related) from the Garden State, but I think Rauner has a real shot at overtaking Snyder and Brownback. Go Bruce!


  3. - illini - Tuesday, Sep 20, 16 @ 9:36 am:

    Actually, I’m surprised that it is that high !!!


  4. - Sam Weinberg - Tuesday, Sep 20, 16 @ 9:39 am:

    It’s right to question, or even ignore, an online poll.

    But precisely what about September 2016 versus May 2016 would make a difference? Granted, there’s been a lot of motorcycle-ridin’, cowboy shirt wearin’ and restaurant droppin’-in this summer, but as far as I can tell that’s been it.


  5. - Oswego Willy - Tuesday, Sep 20, 16 @ 9:40 am:

    May thru September?

    Online poll?

    I’d trust this poll as much as I trust Rauner when he says he’s not involved in campaigns.


  6. - Ron Burgundy - Tuesday, Sep 20, 16 @ 9:44 am:

    Yeah the poll is a bit old, but President Nixon’s numbers are up, so I’m sure he’s thrilled…


  7. - RNUG - Tuesday, Sep 20, 16 @ 9:45 am:

    == Actually, I’m surprised that it is that high !!! ==

    I am too.

    Must mean 33% of Illinois voters are also business owners who hope to reap the benefits of the TA. /s


  8. - Bobby Catalpa - Tuesday, Sep 20, 16 @ 9:46 am:

    As FiveThirtyEight repeatedly points out — it’s not the single poll that matters, it’s the data model for the trend that’s the make-or-break.

    Ancient numbers? Ok, whatever. Online? Whatever.

    But show me a data model of multiple Rauner polls that disputes (or confirms) this single — and then I’m interested.

    I suspect — a hunch — that this poll would fall in line with a consistent trend.


  9. - Linus - Tuesday, Sep 20, 16 @ 9:47 am:

    ==Where would Rauner’s numbers be if he actually got his agenda through?==

    At about 85% disapproval.


  10. - Honeybear - Tuesday, Sep 20, 16 @ 9:48 am:

    –Where would Rauner’s numbers be if he actually got his agenda through?–

    Aye, there’s the rub.

    Right so if failure has made him this unpopular. Think about where success would land him. It’s not about victories for working people, for the vulnerable, for the sick, for veterans, for the aged, for the homeless,

    Even for the taxpayer,

    To the corporations and to the wealthy would go the spoils of a Rauner victory.

    The Turnaround agenda was only designed to destroy labor and the last remaining protections and forces from lowering wages for the working person. It was also designed to set up privatization and corporate takeover of government function which removed again checks and balances away from the people into the hands of corporations.


  11. - RetiredStateEmployee - Tuesday, Sep 20, 16 @ 9:55 am:

    Well, the first day it rained, the second day there was a power failure, … or the numbers would have been higher. /s


  12. - NoGifts - Tuesday, Sep 20, 16 @ 9:55 am:

    http://www.lincolncourier.com/news/20160920/gov-rauner-to-answer-questions-on-facebook-live-at-noon Scroll down and view the STATE OF ILLINOIS colored RED! I can’t believe how I’m shocked at the sight. LOL Maybe we can get a sense of how popular he really is at lunchtime.


  13. - Lucky Pierre - Tuesday, Sep 20, 16 @ 9:58 am:

    Hmmm, why no mention of America’ s second most unpopular Governor, Connecticut’s Dan Malloy with a 70 percent disapproval rating?

    Could it be that just raising taxes and not reforming government and their business environment is not working?


  14. - Responsa - Tuesday, Sep 20, 16 @ 10:08 am:

    Open ended online polls are useless for anything more than pure entertainment. But in the process, by their sheer numbers, they also unfortunately help mute and dilute the learnings that can be achieved from legitimate, actual polls run by polling organizations that are conducted to cover a specific point in time or that attempt to gauge the impact of a specific event. Many readers are grinning at the Rauner numbers of this “poll”, but as Rich wisely says, “grain of salt”.


  15. - IllinoisBoi - Tuesday, Sep 20, 16 @ 10:12 am:

    OK this was a bad, old poll — so let’s see some results from a good, recent one. Are there any? Are any in the works?


  16. - Anon - Tuesday, Sep 20, 16 @ 10:14 am:

    I’m a little curious about his lunchtime Q and A, but I think you have to like him on FB to watch and I can’t bring myself to do it. He’ll probably only take the questions he can use to his advantage anyway.


  17. - Triple fat - Tuesday, Sep 20, 16 @ 10:21 am:

    RNUG, I’ll take it a step further. I know there are a lot of Private Equity Firms in Illinois… But 33%??? There must be some Charter School scammers mixed in with the Private Equity scammers.


  18. - Rich Miller - Tuesday, Sep 20, 16 @ 10:23 am:

    ===and I can’t bring myself to do it===

    You can unlike him after it’s over.

    Just sayin…


  19. - Earnest - Tuesday, Sep 20, 16 @ 10:29 am:

    >Where would Rauner’s numbers be if he actually got his agenda through?

    If it meant we had a stable, balanced budget with some taxation predictability for businesses and individuals, I think the numbers would go up.


  20. - Give Me A Break - Tuesday, Sep 20, 16 @ 10:30 am:

    “You can unlike him after it’s over.” Kinda like AFSCME is doing after many of their members voted for him.


  21. - Triple fat - Tuesday, Sep 20, 16 @ 10:31 am:

    Honeybear- I’m pretty sure talk like a pirate day was yesterday. That being said (in jest)… You’re comment is spot on!


  22. - Triple fat - Tuesday, Sep 20, 16 @ 10:34 am:

    Your!!! I know this is third grade stuff.


  23. - Remington Rick - Tuesday, Sep 20, 16 @ 10:40 am:

    High disapproval rating is meaningless - look at HRC’s polling numbers in Illinois.


  24. - Annonin' - Tuesday, Sep 20, 16 @ 10:44 am:

    OK…let all repeat after Capt. Fax “BigBrain is the most beloved leader since Mao, we continue to be grateful that he is fighting again great devils and that Sheldon Adelson will spend $45 million for Trump so Nick has somethin’ to do.


  25. - Triple far - Tuesday, Sep 20, 16 @ 11:45 am:

    His Facebook questions are designed to allow him easier access to your posts… Just sayin, if you post anything negative about him you might be disciplined. He’s going to have to access my posts the old fashioned way… By hiring a hacker!


  26. - The_Equalizer - Tuesday, Sep 20, 16 @ 1:16 pm:

    Online makes it highly questionable, but seems in line with other polls I’ve seen, albeit a few points lower (if memory serves).


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


* Did Dan Proft’s independent expenditure PAC illegally coordinate with Bailey's campaign? The case will go before the Illinois Elections Board next week
* PJM's massive fail
* $117.7B In Economic Activity: Illinois Hospitals Are Essential To Communities And Families
* It’s just a bill
* Showcasing The Retailers Who Make Illinois Work
* Open thread
* Isabel’s morning briefing
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Supplement to today's edition
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today's edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)
* Live coverage
* Pritzker calls some of Bears proposals 'probably non-starters,' refuses to divert state dollars intended for other purposes (Updated)
* Yesterday's stories

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............


Loading


Main Menu
Home
Illinois
YouTube
Pundit rankings
Obama
Subscriber Content
Durbin
Burris
Blagojevich Trial
Advertising
Updated Posts
Polls

Archives
April 2024
March 2024
February 2024
January 2024
December 2023
November 2023
October 2023
September 2023
August 2023
July 2023
June 2023
May 2023
April 2023
March 2023
February 2023
January 2023
December 2022
November 2022
October 2022
September 2022
August 2022
July 2022
June 2022
May 2022
April 2022
March 2022
February 2022
January 2022
December 2021
November 2021
October 2021
September 2021
August 2021
July 2021
June 2021
May 2021
April 2021
March 2021
February 2021
January 2021
December 2020
November 2020
October 2020
September 2020
August 2020
July 2020
June 2020
May 2020
April 2020
March 2020
February 2020
January 2020
December 2019
November 2019
October 2019
September 2019
August 2019
July 2019
June 2019
May 2019
April 2019
March 2019
February 2019
January 2019
December 2018
November 2018
October 2018
September 2018
August 2018
July 2018
June 2018
May 2018
April 2018
March 2018
February 2018
January 2018
December 2017
November 2017
October 2017
September 2017
August 2017
July 2017
June 2017
May 2017
April 2017
March 2017
February 2017
January 2017
December 2016
November 2016
October 2016
September 2016
August 2016
July 2016
June 2016
May 2016
April 2016
March 2016
February 2016
January 2016
December 2015
November 2015
October 2015
September 2015
August 2015
July 2015
June 2015
May 2015
April 2015
March 2015
February 2015
January 2015
December 2014
November 2014
October 2014
September 2014
August 2014
July 2014
June 2014
May 2014
April 2014
March 2014
February 2014
January 2014
December 2013
November 2013
October 2013
September 2013
August 2013
July 2013
June 2013
May 2013
April 2013
March 2013
February 2013
January 2013
December 2012
November 2012
October 2012
September 2012
August 2012
July 2012
June 2012
May 2012
April 2012
March 2012
February 2012
January 2012
December 2011
November 2011
October 2011
September 2011
August 2011
July 2011
June 2011
May 2011
April 2011
March 2011
February 2011
January 2011
December 2010
November 2010
October 2010
September 2010
August 2010
July 2010
June 2010
May 2010
April 2010
March 2010
February 2010
January 2010
December 2009
November 2009
October 2009
September 2009
August 2009
July 2009
June 2009
May 2009
April 2009
March 2009
February 2009
January 2009
December 2008
November 2008
October 2008
September 2008
August 2008
July 2008
June 2008
May 2008
April 2008
March 2008
February 2008
January 2008
December 2007
November 2007
October 2007
September 2007
August 2007
July 2007
June 2007
May 2007
April 2007
March 2007
February 2007
January 2007
December 2006
November 2006
October 2006
September 2006
August 2006
July 2006
June 2006
May 2006
April 2006
March 2006
February 2006
January 2006
December 2005
April 2005
March 2005
February 2005
January 2005
December 2004
November 2004
October 2004

Blog*Spot Archives
November 2005
October 2005
September 2005
August 2005
July 2005
June 2005
May 2005

Syndication

RSS Feed 2.0
Comments RSS 2.0




Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller