Brown will do ok on the west side and not as well on the south side. Daley is not going to do as well in the white ethnic wards as he has in the past because of his problem with the police, firemen and the unions but most of those not voting for him will just skip that race.
72% - Daley will do fine in my ‘white ethnic’ Ward; the only firemen and police officers doing the squeaking seem to be the ones posting on the nut-bag blog in the 19th ward - some of the comments are right out of the ozone layer. Rugai and Daley will be fine.
Probably one of the lowest voters turnouts in Chicago history. No one cares anymore. But Corrupt money still buys the office. Of the few loyal Democrats the the organization still has, Daley will get 65%.
Daley got 78% last time running against nobody.
Here, Brown is running a race so she will get some votes. Also, there may be a lot of new people out voting this time who are fed up by the clowns in the City Counsel. A percentage of those people will try and wipe the slate clean by voting gainst the incumbent aldermen and also against Mayor Daley.
Some of the unions are not thrilled with Daley, which will hurt.
Still, Daley takes 62%. A lot of people view things as I do: We may not like our own alderman, but we generally like the direction that Daley is taking the city and don’t see any reason to make a change in the big office.
If it is under 60% expect 10 incumbent aldermen to lose also. If he polls over 75%, it will be two or three.
I live in Springfield. I am a “Hard R” and will be voting for Davlin. He gets 60%; I would give him more but I can see some people voting for Bruce Strom just because Davlin isn’t married and frequents many watering holes.
I am just going to pos what my last poll said. Oh by they way if you want to vote in my latest mayoral poll go to www.jakeschicagopolitics.blogspot.com anyway even though this may sound ridiculous here you go: