SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      Mobile Version     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
Voting myths and realities

Tuesday, Oct 14, 2008

* Something to keep in mind when you hear all this talk about “swing” or “undecided” voters…

(M)any of those who claim to be undecided are not. Some don’t want to admit their preference. In their paper, “Swing Voters? Hah!” political scientists Adam Clymer and Ken Winneg amassed substantial data suggesting that very few undecided voters are truly indecisive. Examining the 2004 election, Clymer and Winneg found that even the most hard-core of undecided voters were fairly predictable.

They asked the 4% of their sample that claimed to be undecided to rate the two candidates in early October. When they went back to the same people after the election, more than 80% had in fact voted for whichever candidate they’d rated most highly a month earlier.

What this could mean is that pollsters who push their respondents the hardest to make a choice (which is generally the automated polls like the highly successful SurveyUSA) may be the most accurate at predicting the eventual results because the vast majority of undecideds really aren’t undecided.

* Another point from the same piece…

Examining nine presidential elections, [James Campbell, a political scientist at the State University of New York at Buffalo] compared the size of the swing vote (defined here as voters with weak leanings before the heat of the campaign) with the size of the non-swing vote. Swing voters are known to be a minority of the population, but it turns out that they’re not a particularly decisive minority. “In only one of the nine elections, the 1976 race between Gerald Ford and Jimmy Carter,” writes Campbell, “did the swing vote majority override an opposite majority among non-swing voters.”

In other words, in eight of the last nine elections, the winner could have lost swing voters but won the race. In a second test, which examined voters who were undecided at a later point in the race, Campbell found that the last campaign in which they were decisive was 1960.

…ADDING… From Marc Ambinder

McCain advisers say they’re saving their best material for the last ten days of the race, when, the campaign hopes, three quarters of the remaining undecided voters will make up their minds, and their minds will be concentrating on Barack Obama. When the urgency of the presidential election impresses itself, the hope is that these voters will swing back to the familiar, rather than the unknown.

They’d better have enough cash and message discipline to burn that in. So far, it doesn’t look like they have either. But, whatever floats your boat, man.

* Here’s an interesting point about how the so-called “Bradley Effect” could impact the undecided vote in the current presidential race…

The hype surrounding the Bradley Effect has evolved to where some political pundits believe in 2008 that Obama must win in the national pre-election polls by 6-9 points before he can be assured a victory.

That’s absurd. There won’t be a 6-9 point Bradley Effect — there can’t be, since few national polls show a large enough amount of undecided voters and it’s in the undecided column where racism supposedly hides.

Bottom line: Since all undecideds are not racists, any “Bradley Effect” will not impact the outcome, as current polls stand.

* Also, this same author, who polled for Los Angeles mayoral candidate Tom Bradley’s Republican opponent in 1982, concludes that there really was no “Bradley Effect” in California

Even though Tom Bradley had been slightly ahead in the polls in 1982, due to sampling error, it was statistically too close to call. For example, the daily Tarrance and Associates tracking polls for the Deukmejian campaign showed the following weekly summations (N=1000 each) during the month of October:

Week of: Oct.7th Oct. 14th Oct. 21st Oct. 28 Nov. 1

Bradley 49 45 46 45 45

Deukmejian 37 41 41 42 44

It is obvious that this election was closing fast

But what about exit polls from that election day which showed Bradley far ahead?

Bradley actually won on election day turnout, but lost the absentee vote so badly that Deukmejian pulled ahead to win.

…ADDING MORE… What about Ronald Reagan’s big 1980 comeback? Not so much

A post-election summary of polls by then-CBS News pollster Warren Mitofsky shows that at no point over the final two weeks did Carter have a lead bigger than three percentage points. There is a published Gallup poll not included in that report showing Carter up six among likely voters in a poll conducted Oct. 24 to 27. Whether six or the eight points cited today, Carter’s advantage in Gallup polling was offset by similarly large Reagan leads in NBC-Associated Press or DMI (Reagan’s pollsters) polls.

The bottom line is that there was no evident momentum for either candidate as the 1980 presidential election neared its completion. That is until Reagan’s breakthrough debate performance.

* Illinois political history shows no signs of any Bradley Effect in any major political contests dating back to Harold Washington’s 1983 mayoral victory. This year, though, it’s the Rod & Todd Effect which most troubles Democrats

Rep. Tom Cross said Illinois Republicans think they can clip the coattails of Barack Obama here in his own home state. They are reminding voters that should Obama move to the White House, several other local Democrats will stay behind to run things in Springfield and Chicago.

“Not only Governor Blagojevich, Speaker Madigan and Emil Jones have done things, Todd Stroger has done an awful job at Cook County government,” Cross said. “But as you move down that ballot, you say to yourself, ‘What? Why another Democrat in the Illinois General Assembly? It makes no sense.’”

Republican polling shows Obama running strongly in suburbs around Chicago. It also shows Gov. Blagojevich and Cook County Board President Todd Stroger are extraordinarily unpopular.

But Cross appeared to admit to CBS 2 that McCain’s negative campaign against Obama wasn’t helping his efforts to hold onto GOP seats here, and advised a retooling.

* The Obama Effect is what’s keeping Illinois Republicans awake at night

Suburban folks flooded polling places in Democratic strongholds including Orland Park, South Holland and Evanston. By 5 p.m., 7,616 suburban residents had cast ballots, county election officials said. That’s nearly five times the record turnout on the first day of early voting — 1,591 early votes cast on Jan. 14 before the February primary.

In Chicago, voters cast nearly 11,735 ballots — nearly three times the record for first-day early voting. Monday’s turnout was just short of the single-day early voting record of 11,971, which came on the last day of early voting before the February primary.

“Normally, we don’t see a number like this until the last four days of early voting,” Chicago elections board spokesman James Allen said.

* Obama is running TV and radio ads on Chicago network channels to boost his Indiana effort. That will undoubtedly run up his suburban vote. Whether the down-ballot candidates can attach themselves to his coattails is the big question, however…

“I don’t think it’s going to be quite the wipeout that maybe we feared a few months ago,” said former Gov. Jim Edgar, a Republican.

Maybe, maybe not.


* Related…

* DuPage early voting busy despite holiday confusion

* Eager voters flock to the polls

* First Day Rivals Biggest Turnout Ever in Early Voting

* 2008 early voting history

* State Board’s online voters guide up — see which candidates took advantage

* Obama Is Campaigning on Xbox 360

- Posted by Rich Miller        


30 Comments
  1. - Thanks for taking my call - Tuesday, Oct 14, 08 @ 10:48 am:

    the professors for once actually are correct. It is rare not to know how an undecided voter will react. Almost always you can count on them to go 80-85% of the time with the non incumbent or against the party in office (aka Bush and the republicans). Anyone worth their salt in poll reading understands this.


  2. - tanstaafl - Tuesday, Oct 14, 08 @ 10:51 am:

    Democratic precints in the Chicago area reporting high early turn out numbers? It is just that old Chicago addage - VOTE EARLY; VOTE OFTEN.


  3. - wordslinger - Tuesday, Oct 14, 08 @ 10:59 am:

    I wouldn’t dismiss the Bradley Effect so quickly. I don’t think it’s a measure of the “Undecideds” breaking one way or the other. Rather, it’s a measure of those who, for fear of some social bias, tell pollsters they plan to vote for a black candidate then pull the lever for a white candidate on election days.

    Examples of this include: Doug Wilder, ahead by nine points in the polls and winning by half a point for Virgina governor; David Dinkins, who was 14 points ahead of Rudy in their first race for NYC mayor and won be two points.

    Even Harold was 14 points ahead of Epton in the polls, and won by four.


  4. - EmptySuitParade - Tuesday, Oct 14, 08 @ 11:00 am:

    More important than his decision to rap WhackeyJack’s campaign was the stunning rebuke contain in a highly respected political journal….”Democratic incompetence and corruption is just about all the GOPs have going for them….But Blagojevich has been the Republicans’ prime focus, which is pretty ironic since both the House and Senate Republicans trusted Blagojevich enough that they closely allied themselves with the alleged pariah….”
    WHAT WERE THEY THINKING???????
    BTW isn’t time for StateWideTom to release the MOUs they penned with the Blagoat in May. Voters ought to understand the full scope of the partnership.

    Mc


  5. - Rich Miller - Tuesday, Oct 14, 08 @ 11:07 am:

    wordslinger, part of the problem with citing those races is often outliers are the ones most people remember. Also, some of those polls may have been taken long before election day, but were the last polls in the field.


  6. - bored now - Tuesday, Oct 14, 08 @ 11:20 am:

    i would be very weary of using a study from 2004 — a race that was basically locked 18 months out — for drawing conclusions about undecided voters. while those so-called swing voters may not have known much about john kerry at the time of the initial survey, they certainly knew george bush. and while i assume that you can comparing apples to apples (the 2004 presidential race to the 2008 presidential race), i’d be even more weary of using this data to talk about undecided voters in downballot races.

    while i’m agnostic about surveyusa’s methodology — i’d like to see a longer history of results first — my biggest complaint about pollsters is the screens they use to winnow their results. that’s the art of political polling, and it’s more a throw of the dice and perhaps a little intuition than anything objective or scientific. i also liked it better when pollsters used to increase the number of participants in their polls as election day got closer.

    finally, it has always been republican campaign doctrine to ramp up absentee votes in targeted races/areas. “banking the vote” before election day has always been crucial to republican electoral success. people who depend on exit polls in contested areas (dis)miss about 18% of the vote. as if those votes don’t count…


  7. - babs - Tuesday, Oct 14, 08 @ 11:20 am:

    wordslinger & Rich - add in Harvey Gantt v Jesse Helms. Polls have Gantt ahead very near the end of the campaign.


  8. - Easy - Tuesday, Oct 14, 08 @ 11:23 am:

    What was Madigan thinking when he recruited Blago fundraisers and hacks like Tuite and Austriaco…

    oh wait…

    He probably met them when he was co-chairing blago’s campaign. It’s a small world after all….


  9. - LTM - Tuesday, Oct 14, 08 @ 11:29 am:

    The Bradley effect is not in the undecideds, but in the numbers overall. It’s the fact that people won’t reveal their true preferences because there is some sort of shame or response bias in where the respondent answers the question in the way the questioner wants. I say shame because the number of people willing to admit they are not voting for Barack Obama because he’s black (or a Muslim, or a foreigner, etc.) is small. However when folks get into the voting booth, alone and free to do as they please, you have the possibility of a Bradley Effect.

    With the innovation of touch-tone polling there is probably less response bias. So I bet those numbers may actually be more accurate that those from Bradley’s election. It’s also possible that in more recent elections (Tennessee Senate 2006 - Ford vs. Corker) There has been little or no “Bradley Effect”.


  10. - Greg - Tuesday, Oct 14, 08 @ 11:34 am:

    Rich, good observation about seletivity bias. I don’t think stats back up a Bradley effect. If I presented an analysis based on one datapoint (exit polls versus results in one election) I would be laughed away. There are other problems with the theory, but those are the simplest.


  11. - Greg - Tuesday, Oct 14, 08 @ 11:40 am:

    Adding: I love that media and pundits are pounding away about the Bradley Effect, as if it were a proven, statistically-significant phenomenon, but dismiss so many other reports–political or not–as within the “margin of error,” “inconclusive,” etc, when they often aren’t.


  12. - Team Sleep - Tuesday, Oct 14, 08 @ 1:42 pm:

    Rich, this was an excellent post. The economic situation we currently find our collective selves in will go a long was to quashing a good deal of election day bias. After all, Bush and McCain are the same person - right?! Snicker. But that is a serious caveat that we cannot take lightly.

    My prediction three weeks out: Obama widens his margins enough in Ohio and Virginia that McCain’s people will close up shop in both states, this leaving Obama with 35-40 “gift” electoral college votes.

    I still think Obama will give a cabinet post.


  13. - archpundit - Tuesday, Oct 14, 08 @ 1:59 pm:

    The Bradley effect petered out in the mid-1990s. The research is pretty strong on this, and that the press keeps talking about it as a current phenomenon only demonstrates people don’t care much about an idea once they’ve heard about it.

    One minor quibble with Greg–there was a well demonstrated effect as late as the early 1990s. Why it disappeared is a bit less clear, but the most important thing is it is not current.

    Also, as mentioned above, the Bradley effect wasn’t about undecideds, it was about people who said they were decided for a black candidate and then voted contrary to their response. Given we are dealing with aggregate results, that could mean lots of different things about how things changed, but the key point of the Bradley effect is that a lower percentage vote for the black candidate than in the last polling.


  14. - Captain America - Tuesday, Oct 14, 08 @ 2:04 pm:

    When all is said and done, Obama has bested McCain on every measure of what it takes to win a presidential election - pretty much the same thing he did to Hillary Clinton in the primaries. Hillary Clinton was a more formidable opponent than John McCain has proven to be.

    Based upon the margins that are emerging in the battleground states and the undeniable fact that Obama has many alternative paths to electoral college victory, this election is over - it’s shaping up as a landslide victory for Obama.I can say that I am no longer worried about the Bradley effect simply because of the organizational, financial, and issues-edge that Obama has achieved.

    Palin and the economy have been the final nails in the coffin of John McCain’s career as a Presidential candidate. Moderate Republicans, independents, and even some bona fide, thinking conservatives like William Buckley’s son are supporting Obama.

    I think the Bradley effect is the only thing that kept McCain in the ballgame, but it isn’t going to be sufficient to carry the inferior candidate to victory.


  15. - Pat Collins - Tuesday, Oct 14, 08 @ 2:34 pm:

    Palin and the economy have been the final nails in the coffin of John McCain’s career as a Presidential candidate.

    Palin is the only reason he was in contention as long as he was. If it were Bradley effect then why did we see a Mccain charge for a month or so after he selected her?

    The economy has not helped, and worse, the way he tried to handle it backfired.

    No thinking conservative supports Obama, unless he doesn’t care about conservative policies. One can only hope Obama’s support of judicial filibusters and voting against qualified court selections comes back to haunt him.


  16. - Pat Collins - Tuesday, Oct 14, 08 @ 2:36 pm:

    pretty much the same thing he did to Hillary Clinton in the primaries.

    Actually, he ran up big numbers in caucus states, Hillary closed ground when people voted.

    But McCain will do things his way, for good or for ill.


  17. - VanillaMan - Tuesday, Oct 14, 08 @ 2:48 pm:

    Jeez, let’s get back on track after that one from the Captain. Sheesh!

    Look at that stuff!

    You want to know why polls are so off? It is because if you don’t vote the way Hollywood, People magazine, the popular media, Newsweek, Time, the New York Times tell you to, they have a long list of labels to apply to your forehead.

    Jesusland, Red States, Fundamentalists, Racists, Closet-Racists, Homophobes, narrow-minded, Alaskan Hillbillies, Fly-Over Land…which label do you want to wear?

    People don’t like confrontation. So when a pollster asked someone in 2004 who they voted for, they answered Kerry so that they wouldn’t have to hear emotional rants against their decision for the rest of their lives.

    This year, they know the routine; “We are suppose to tell people we are voting for Obama”, or we will be considered pond scum by society and those within our society who dictate what we see on TV, in the movies, and read in the news.

    Honestly, we have gotten to a point where people who do not vote Democratic have to hide in the polling stations and lie.

    Cars are being vandalized that have McCain bumper stickers on them. The governor of Missouri had to step in and threaten the Obama campaign to stop it’s attacks against those who are not supporting Obama. It is frankly nuts out there, and getting worse.

    Bradley effect? So, even those who say they are Obama voters are still suspect of being closet-what? It isn’t good enough to claim you are for Obama, what’s next? Blood tests?

    You read through what the Captain posted and there isn’t anything respectful regarding those people who haven’t already decided to support The One.

    If a pollster contacted me. I’d tell them I’m voting for Obama, so that I won’t find my pet dead on my doorstep.


  18. - Captain Flume - Tuesday, Oct 14, 08 @ 2:48 pm:

    McCain may be the inferior candidate, but I seriously doubt he would be the inferior president. I long for an presidential election with better choices than the two with which we are faced. I am getting too old to have my comfort zone stretched this far.


  19. - Rich Miller - Tuesday, Oct 14, 08 @ 2:55 pm:

    ===You want to know why polls are so off? It is because if you don’t vote the way Hollywood, People magazine, the popular media, Newsweek, Time, the New York Times tell you to, they have a long list of labels to apply to your forehead.===

    LOL


  20. - VanillaMan - Tuesday, Oct 14, 08 @ 3:26 pm:

    I especially liked my, ” I’d tell them I’m voting for Obama, so that I won’t find my pet dead on my doorstep.” line!


  21. - Rich Miller - Tuesday, Oct 14, 08 @ 3:53 pm:

    Sometimes, I swear you are so right on the money, and other times you seem to go completely off your meds. lol


  22. - Carl Nyberg - Tuesday, Oct 14, 08 @ 4:29 pm:

    Do any Republicans find it distasteful that their party is hanging its hopes on the idea that there is more racism in the United States?

    “I know the polling shows McCain/Palin and the Republican Party are down in the polls, but I’m pretty sure there are enough racist ‘Whites’ who won’t vote for Obama (and are lying to pollsters) that the McCain ticket still has a chance.”

    Does it seem sorta pathetic, or maybe immoral, to be hoping that there’s more racism in the country?

    But I like that the Republicans are projecting some confidence. I can’t wait to see some of these Republicans get interviewed on election night.

    Hey, Vanilla Man & company, maybe your team should have governed better. Accountability for crappy results sucks, eh?


  23. - VanillaMan - Tuesday, Oct 14, 08 @ 4:43 pm:

    I’m back on so I feel better.
    But I am very freaked out over the idea of an Obama presidency, a Pelosi House and a Reid Senate, filibuster-proof.

    Thank God we are too broke for them to find any money to fund ACORN’s drive to register pets as voters.


  24. - VanillaMan - Tuesday, Oct 14, 08 @ 4:45 pm:

    And I’ve been seeing Bill’s bald head rising up over the horizon with an evil grin with only Sarah Palin to stop him…


  25. - Been There - Tuesday, Oct 14, 08 @ 5:03 pm:

    ===In other words, in eight of the last nine elections, the winner could have lost swing voters but won the race.====
    How can this be? I thought if Gore only picked up a thousand or so votes in Florida he would have won. Are they saying there were less than a few truly undecided swing voters in all of Florida?


  26. - Ken in Aurora - Tuesday, Oct 14, 08 @ 5:55 pm:

    “- Rich Miller - Tuesday, Oct 14, 08 @ 3:53 pm: Sometimes, I swear you are so right on the money, and other times you seem to go completely off your meds. lol”

    So, Rich - which one was this? :)


  27. - Leatherneck - Tuesday, Oct 14, 08 @ 8:54 pm:

    Rich,

    Also don’t forget the 1982 gubernatorial race here in Illinois–Governor Thompson’s first contest against Adlai III. I have read accounts that the immediate pre-election polls had Thompson winning by a landslide–but of course we ended up with a Florida 2000-style recount and “Big Jim” winning his 3rd term by only 5,074 votes.


  28. - wordslinger - Tuesday, Oct 14, 08 @ 9:02 pm:

    I have my doubts. Maybe I just do business and socialize too much with white men, who I’m sure it is no surprise to anyone, are solidly in the McCain camp (they’ve voted GOP since 64).

    Greg and his whiz kids can get out their slide rules, protractors and dance to the logarithms all night long, but I’m quite certain that there is, for a lack of a better term, a Bradley Effect.

    That just comes from paying attention, a lifetime of experience, and the stone-cold knowledge that a black man has never come close to winning the big job.

    If the Dow can punch 10,000 before election day, every point gain will tilt to McCain.


  29. - wordslinger - Tuesday, Oct 14, 08 @ 9:04 pm:

    ==Also don’t forget the 1982 gubernatorial race here in Illinois–Governor Thompson’s first contest against Adlai III. I have read accounts that the immediate pre-election polls had Thompson winning by a landslide–but of course we ended up with a Florida 2000-style recount and “Big Jim” winning his 3rd term by only 5,074 votes.==

    Brother Big Jim?


  30. - Holdingontomywallet - Tuesday, Oct 14, 08 @ 9:47 pm:

    Hey, maybe Blagojevich can donate some of his war chest to Acorn and make a big run in 2010. There are a lot of Illinois voters out there to register and we can celebrate the effort to get them to the polls.


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


* Reader comments closed for the weekend
* Rauner vetoes several social service bills
* Ok, that's enough
* I truly hate this US Senate race
* Rauner signs life insurance bill
* Question of the day
* State bond sale goes well, but still paid a higher price
* *** UPDATED x1 *** Picking on the little guys
* We've been a sorry state for a long time
* Munger and Mendoza face off in hostile debate
* I'm still befuddled by this move
* *** UPDATED x5 - Motion approved - Noven to withdraw - $421 million budget hit - One appointee appears to be ineligible - The plot thickens as three new board members appointed *** Controversy expected at TRS hearing today
* React to remap reform ruling
* Divided court kicks remap reform off ballot
* Yesterday's blog posts

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............
<


Search This Blog...

Search the 98th General Assembly By Bill Number
(example: HB0001)

Search the 98th General Assembly By Keyword

  
* Eighth beta for Apple software out for devs, seventh iOS 10 beta for public
* China’s Galaxy Note 7, the same as everyone else’s — 4GB RAM, 64GB storage
* Google Wallet debuts automatic transfers so you can skip “cashing out”
* Android 7.0 factory images are live for most Nexus devices
* Sony Xperia X Compact and Xperia XR specs revealed
* Mobile ad startup AppLovin in talks for $1.5 billion acquisition
* Apple’s own Snapchat could signify a huge services milestone

* Sale nearly makes history in hard-luck defeat
* Scouting, development shaping Hansen's dominance
* White Sox fall despite Sale's 14-K gem
* Sox acquire Turner from Toronto for Navarro
* Quintana seeks career-high 11th win against Mariners
* White Sox fall despite Sale's 14-K gem
* White Sox fall despite Sale's 14-K gem

...............


Main Menu
Home
Illinois
YouTube
Pundit rankings
Obama
Subscriber Content
Durbin
Burris
Blagojevich Trial
Advertising
Updated Posts
Polls

Archives
August 2016
July 2016
June 2016
May 2016
April 2016
March 2016
February 2016
January 2016
December 2015
November 2015
October 2015
September 2015
August 2015
July 2015
June 2015
May 2015
April 2015
March 2015
February 2015
January 2015
December 2014
November 2014
October 2014
September 2014
August 2014
July 2014
June 2014
May 2014
April 2014
March 2014
February 2014
January 2014
December 2013
November 2013
October 2013
September 2013
August 2013
July 2013
June 2013
May 2013
April 2013
March 2013
February 2013
January 2013
December 2012
November 2012
October 2012
September 2012
August 2012
July 2012
June 2012
May 2012
April 2012
March 2012
February 2012
January 2012
December 2011
November 2011
October 2011
September 2011
August 2011
July 2011
June 2011
May 2011
April 2011
March 2011
February 2011
January 2011
December 2010
November 2010
October 2010
September 2010
August 2010
July 2010
June 2010
May 2010
April 2010
March 2010
February 2010
January 2010
December 2009
November 2009
October 2009
September 2009
August 2009
July 2009
June 2009
May 2009
April 2009
March 2009
February 2009
January 2009
December 2008
November 2008
October 2008
September 2008
August 2008
July 2008
June 2008
May 2008
April 2008
March 2008
February 2008
January 2008
December 2007
November 2007
October 2007
September 2007
August 2007
July 2007
June 2007
May 2007
April 2007
March 2007
February 2007
January 2007
December 2006
November 2006
October 2006
September 2006
August 2006
July 2006
June 2006
May 2006
April 2006
March 2006
February 2006
January 2006
December 2005
April 2005
March 2005
February 2005
January 2005
December 2004
November 2004
October 2004

Blog*Spot Archives
November 2005
October 2005
September 2005
August 2005
July 2005
June 2005
May 2005

Syndication

RSS Feed 2.0
Comments RSS 2.0
WordPress

Loading


* How Illinois politicians consciously created th.....
* The black hole in the legislative process..
* State's pension payment expected to increase by.....
* Rauner Cuts Ribbon to Open Du Quoin - West Kent.....


* Appeals court grapples with unions, free speech, giant rats
* New corn disease found in Illinois field
* Dwyane Wade's cousin fatally shot pushing baby in stroller
* EXCHANGE: Scout spends summer cataloging Senators' trophies
* EXCHANGE: Back-to-school shopping is more than crayons
* Chicago students to get free admission to city's top museums
* Prison releases Illinois woman convicted in daughter's death
* Air Force says retired 4-star general under investigation
* The colonel's secret recipe revealed? Not so fast, says KFC
* Illinois' pension payment expected to increase by $400M

* Despite budget warnings from Rauner, TRS board votes to lower investment estimates
* Progress on U.S. 67 sputters due to lack of funds
* New law makes insurance companies find, pay beneficiaries
* Decatur woman can petition to become nurse under new law
* Illinois redistricting referendum won't appear on ballot
* Comptroller hopefuls argue independence from Madigan, Rauner
* Springfield-area jobless rate remains lowest in Illinois
* Illinois 'Obamacare' health insurance rates up significantly
* Rauner's office warns teachers' pension change could be 'devastating'

* Rauner is missing a chance to push back on gun crime
* Hedge fund becomes biggest Tronc shareholder
* Hedge fund becomes big Tronc shareholder
* Former CS Publisher John Carroll dies
* Oct. 16 for a teacher strike?


* Man charged with Waukegan robberies, home invasion
* THE WATCHDOGS: Park district hired clout contractor CPS fired
* Police: 4 dead, 16 wounded in Chicago weekend shootings
* Man wounded in Englewood shooting
* Man shot during robbery at Navy Pier
* 2 shot in West Pullman
* Teen boy, 2 men shot in Austin
* Bryant writes dramatic ending for Cubs in Hollywood
* Man shot in Englewood
* 2 wounded in Chicago Lawn shooting


* Pushing back retirement age to 70 would be harder on low-income workers
* Dwyane Wade's cousin shot dead while pushing her baby in stroller on South Side
* LINDA C. BLACK HOROSCOPES for 8/27/16
* After obscene tirade, Maine governor calls people of color, hispanics 'the enemy' in drug war
* Kevin White, Bears pass rush on the spot in last tuneup for starters
* Clayton Kershaw could be the Dodgers' postseason wild card
* Kris Bryant ignites 'MVP' chants as Cubs beat Dodgers in 10 innings
* 2 dead, 1 critically hurt in Back of the Yards fire
* Cubs' Joe Maddon: Jason Heyward 'a winner'
* Fotis Kokosioulis, Nick Leongas help Maine South roll past Montini


The widget AQL4JYGHIY powered by Feed Informer does not exist.


* Despite budget warnings from Rauner, TRS board votes to lower investment estimates
* Progress on U.S. 67 sputters due to lack of funds
* New law makes insurance companies find, pay beneficiaries
* Charles Krauthammer: The bribery standard
* Lloyd Richardson: Tuskegee Red Tails were a force to be reckoned with
* Guest Column: Bradley ad on wrong side of policy, politics
* Decatur woman can petition to become nurse under new law
* Illinois redistricting referendum won't appear on ballot
* Comptroller hopefuls argue independence from Madigan, Rauner
* Springfield-area jobless rate remains lowest in Illinois


* PODCAST: Terri Reifsteck with Visit Champaign County 8-27-16
* PODCAST: Holder Wealth Management 8-27-16
* PODCAST: Honda BMW of Champaign 8-27-16
* More steps to improve Unit 5 bus system begin Monday
* Jogger's death remains under investigation
* Boys & Girls Club names Strassheim as interim CEO
* IWU freshmen start year with a mission
* Sandra Mason: Hydrangeas a popular pick
* A steady stream of tax increase proposals
* Champaign-Urbana unemployment rates improved in July


* Restoration work underway at Gurnee's St. Paul the Apostle Church
* Meadows quickly gets rolling
* North Side wins Wheaton game
* Palatine denies Stevenson
* Bangladesh police kill 3, including suspect in Dhaka attack

* House lawmakers overcome hurdle on key tra...
* Rodney Davis talks funding with Bloomingto...
* The agency that fought Illiana gets a new ...
* Rep. Dold takes educational cruise down Ch...
* Lawmakers decry high turnover rate of VA h...
* CBD Oil, and politics
* Simon considering state Senate bid
* Killer Congressman Tom MacArthur trying to...
* Shutdown? State may not notice
* Rep. Bob Dold

* Des Plaines Gets $11.4 Million To Purchase......

* Supreme Cout nominee Merrick Garland tells......
* Senate Candidates Court Farmers - Alton Da......

* John Oliver’s smack-down of charter schools.
* Keeping retirement weird. Learning theory and the ukulele.
* Back To School Picnic On Wednesday
* Even nonpartisan attempt at redistricting reform was partisan effort
* “The Driver’s Side” – News From The Motorist’s Perspective
* Person Shot At Wilson/Hazel Friday Evening (Updated 3x)
* Person Shot and Killed At Wilson/Hazel Friday Evening (Updated 4x)
* Person Shot At Wilson/Hazel Friday Evening
* Judge Orders Release Of Additional Clinton Emails
* Illinois Corrections Department, AFSCME Pointing Fingers On Inmate Assault Of Pontiac Prison Workers


* Statement on Redistricting Referendum
* Rauner Administration Takes Action to Help Illinoisans Find Lost Life Insurance Money
* Illinois Residents Encouraged to Register for ‘The Great ShakeOut’ Earthquake Drill - 'Drop, Cover and Hold On’ Drill Set for October 20
* Governor Takes Bill Action
* Illinois Seeking Flexibility to Improve Delivery of Behavioral Health Care




      Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller