SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      Mobile Version     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
Poll: Mark Kirk an unknown Senator

Tuesday, Dec 3, 2013

* Public Policy Polling has released more details of its latest poll

Almost halfway through his first term, Mark Kirk is one of the most anonymous Senators in the country. 32% approve of him, 32% disapprove, and the largest percentage at 37% doesn’t have an opinion about him one way or the other.

What’s interesting about Kirk’s numbers though is that while Republicans are not that enthused about him (only a 35/27 approval), Democrats don’t really have much of a problem with him compared to most Republican Senators (a 23/35 approval).

So, maybe Republican state legislators shouldn’t care all that much about what Sen. Kirk thinks of the pension reform bill. However

That crossover support means he might not be an easy out in 2016- he ties Lisa Madigan at 41 in a hypothetical head to head, taking 15% of the Democratic vote while losing only 11% of Republicans.

That could be a sign of Kirk’s strength. More likely, though, it’s an indication that Lisa Madigan’s star is truly falling.

* Meanwhile

As we’re finding most places Illinois voters strongly support raising the minimum wage to $10 an hour. 58% support such a move to only 34% who oppose it. The concept has overwhelming support from Democrats (77/19) and independents (57/30), and even 34% of Republicans favor it.

That’s pretty strong support, but I wonder if it would be as high if respondents were told that Illinois has the highest minimum wage of any of its neighboring states.

* Hilarious

Who do you think’s done a better job this year: Congress or the Chicago Cubs?

Congress ………….. 9%
The Cubs …………. 67%
Not sure ………….. 23%

Man oh man.

* More

Jay Cutler’s net favorability with voters in Illinois has declined a net 19 points over the last year from +26 (41/15) in November 2012 to now just +7 at 34/27.

I can’t believe he’s still net favorable.

* Methodology…

PPP surveyed 557 Illinois voters, including an oversample of 375 usual Republican primary voters, from November 22nd to 25th. The margin of error for the overall survey is +/- 4.2% and +/- 5.1% for the GOP sample. PPP’s surveys are conducted through automated telephone interviews.

- Posted by Rich Miller        


26 Comments
  1. - Formerly Known As... - Tuesday, Dec 3, 13 @ 12:20 pm:

    Kirk was “unknown” enough to win one of the most hotly-contested Senate races in the country.

    The fact that 37% have no strong opinion one way or another may stem from the fact that most of his focus is on legislation that doesn’t evoke strong partisan divisions. Few people get up in arms over helping veterans, stronger sanctions on Iran or assisting people who need rehab services.

    Ted Cruz and Al Franken, Kirk is not.


  2. - 47th Ward - Tuesday, Dec 3, 13 @ 12:21 pm:

    Finally, a nice comment about the Cubs on Capitol Fax! Thanks Rich for the early Christmas miracle.


  3. - Rich Miller - Tuesday, Dec 3, 13 @ 12:22 pm:

    ===Finally, a nice comment about the Cubs on Capitol Fax===

    Um, no. Allow me to rephrase…

    When your approval rating is a fraction of that awful loser team’s, then you’re the worst thing ever.


  4. - Mr. Big Trouble - Tuesday, Dec 3, 13 @ 12:24 pm:

    Raising the minimum wage results in job reduction. Simple economics says if something costs more, people purchase less of it. Low skill labor, which is generally who is covered by minimum wage, is the something in the equation; people are the employers who purchase it.


  5. - 47th Ward - Tuesday, Dec 3, 13 @ 12:27 pm:

    C’mon Rich, even herpes enjoys a higher approval rating than Congress. But a win is a win, and Cubs fans like me don’t see too many of them, so I’ll take it nonetheless.

    Plus, at least the Cubs are rebuilding. Congress is stuck with the same, tired old lineup of has beens and never wases.

    67-9! Boo yeah!


  6. - Drago - Tuesday, Dec 3, 13 @ 12:29 pm:

    Interesting, Mr. T.

    Let’s look at those state with lower minimum wages. Know what else we find in those states? Higher numbers of people on food stamps.

    So Mr. B. Trouble, would you prefer a decent min. wage, or do you want to reduce numbers of people on food stamps? You can’t have both. Choose one.


  7. - J - Tuesday, Dec 3, 13 @ 12:29 pm:

    FKA, this is the stroke hurting Kirk.

    His office has been trying to project lots of activity, but there’s no real replacement for having the elected official out there making announcements and meeting people.

    He just isn’t as active as he used to be, and he definitely can’t be out there meeting hundreds of people every day.


  8. - shore - Tuesday, Dec 3, 13 @ 12:29 pm:

    His problem as a congressman was that he spent too much time in dc, doing foreign aid issues and not enough time in the district. You can’t be senator by press release and editorial board interview session.

    I never believed in Lisa Madigan, but her shot was in 2010 as a US senator and she blew it. I respected Julie Hamos more.

    They also did a poll on the most popular college team in the area-which has always been either notre dame or michigan which they left out. I regard UIUC as a d-3 football school.

    I will not miss cutler or his wife when Halas Hall declines to keep him at the end of the season.


  9. - Cincinnatus - Tuesday, Dec 3, 13 @ 12:35 pm:

    - Rich Miller - Tuesday, Dec 3, 13 @ 12:22 pm:

    ===Finally, a nice comment about the Cubs on Capitol Fax===

    Um, no. Allow me to rephrase…

    +++++++++++++++++++++++

    Too late, you’ve already been quoted…


  10. - wordslinger - Tuesday, Dec 3, 13 @ 1:11 pm:

    –Raising the minimum wage results in job reduction. Simple economics says if something costs more, people purchase less of it.–

    Simple economic says you hire people when you need the help. Nobody is doing it out of the goodness of their hearts.

    Washington state has the highest minimum wage and has an unemployment rate below the national average. Vermont has the third highest minimum wage and has an unemployment rate of 4.5%, one of the lowest in the country.

    Conversely, Mississippi has no minimum wage law and has an unemployment rate above the national average.

    Way too simplistic to link minimum wage laws to employment. Higher wages do stimulate consumer spending that grows the economy, however.


  11. - Mason born - Tuesday, Dec 3, 13 @ 1:24 pm:

    Rich,

    As for Cutler don’t forget there are a lot of Rams, Colts, and even some Packers fans in IL. crappy QB with the bears they love it.


  12. - Willie Stark - Tuesday, Dec 3, 13 @ 2:20 pm:

    Mr. Big T, get back here you maniac and respond to wordslinger’s points! Back up your assertion with actual facts, man. Also, was uber-capitalist Henry Ford wrong when he realized he’d sell a lot more automobiles if the people who made them could also afford to purchase them?


  13. - dupage dan - Tuesday, Dec 3, 13 @ 2:28 pm:

    Mr Stark, When Ford introduced that concept did he have to contend with unions and legacy costs?


  14. - Anonymous - Tuesday, Dec 3, 13 @ 2:36 pm:

    = Few people get up in arms over helping veterans, stronger sanctions on Iran or assisting people who need rehab services.=

    Oh please. I call BS on the first two, and Kirk didn’t get involved in rehab services until he had his stroke.

    My prob with Kirk: I had questions pertaining to who was making decisions in his office (and the motivation for same) prior to his stroke and they certainly haven’t gone away since. And his reputation for constant flip-flopping and “stretching the truth” only reinforces same.

    I’m at the point where I envision a bunch of people running around his office, saying what a donor wants to hear with their palms out.

    Sorry, but it is what it is.


  15. - Willie Stark - Tuesday, Dec 3, 13 @ 2:37 pm:

    Mr. DD, are businesses paying minimum wage TODAY having to contend with unions and legacy costs? For example, McDonald’s, Walmart? Forgive me, but I’m not following you. Automakers today don’t pay minimum wage and contemporary UAW members, even those making less than they and their predecessors once did, can still afford to buy the cars they make.


  16. - dupage dan - Tuesday, Dec 3, 13 @ 3:30 pm:

    All those folks who used to work for Chevrolet but no longer do may disagree with your contention that they can still afford to buy the cars the make. Especially since many of them no longer make those cars. Many of them work 2 jobs and still don’t make as much as they did when they assembled Chevys in Detroit.


  17. - Willie Stark - Tuesday, Dec 3, 13 @ 3:46 pm:

    DD, still not following the logic, but maybe it’s clearer in the DuPage air.


  18. - Drago - Tuesday, Dec 3, 13 @ 4:07 pm:

    Du Page,
    Do states with a lower min wage also have higher numbers of people on food stamps?
    Or are you simply OK with government effectively providing a subsidy (through food stamps) so that companies can pay a lower wage?

    Because when McDonalds pays minimum wage, and the rest of us pay for food stamps for McDonalds’ employees, we are effectively paying part of their salary.


  19. - Mr. Big Trouble - Tuesday, Dec 3, 13 @ 4:25 pm:

    Apparently. I have tripped a trigger here with a few folks. Willie, settle down, all I did was throw out basic economic theroy. Go read a micro economic books with supply and demand charts for the facts you seek. I think we would all agree that a specific states unemployment rate is a function of not just the minimum wage of that state, but also the job prospects , skills, and education levels of job applicants. Dont forget how much unemplyment is covered ( per cent of average weekly covered for unemployment benefits varies by state). And dont call me a maniac; you dont know me that well..


  20. - Anonymous - Tuesday, Dec 3, 13 @ 4:57 pm:

    Forgot to mention earlier that the questions pertaining to self-identification are, again, interesting.


  21. - Loop Lady - Tuesday, Dec 3, 13 @ 5:13 pm:

    Cutler sealed his dwindling popularity in Chicago when he said he was voting for Romney in ‘12…what a complete doofus …really Jay? Just lie and say you’re voting for BO…


  22. - Willie Stark - Tuesday, Dec 3, 13 @ 5:29 pm:

    MBT — Funny. First, it was “simple economics” that a higher minimum wage leads to job loss. You get challenged, and suddenly it’s more complicated and many factors contribute to employment levels. But, ideology wins out in the end with the admonishment to go read a textbook that necessarily simplifies the world’s complexities, but surely you must know is not alone a sufficient basis for crafting policy.


  23. - Ruby - Tuesday, Dec 3, 13 @ 6:58 pm:

    Check Fred Klonsky’s blog for the vote on SB 1.


  24. - Steve Downstate - Tuesday, Dec 3, 13 @ 10:45 pm:

    I’m a Democrat (from now on, I’m one of the “Go away Pat Quinn” variety) and am pretty okay with Mark Kirk. He’s a moderate Republican, such a rare thing these days, and he believes in compassion for his fellow human beings (e.g., support for marriage equality; support for more physical therapy sessions for stroke victims on Medicaid).

    Many Dems are glad to see a Republican who doesn’t mind working in a bipartisan fashion. We’re the ones who were sorry to see Lincoln Chaffee and Steve LaTourette more or less get pushed aside by their own party. Dems are more likely to see “moderate” as a term of endearment, while the GOP/Tea Party crowd believes that word is the type of obscenity that should be reserved for bathroom walls.


  25. - CarrollCounty - Wednesday, Dec 4, 13 @ 7:24 am:

    “My prob with Kirk: I had questions pertaining to who was making decisions in his office (and the motivation for same) prior to his stroke and they certainly haven’t gone away since. And his reputation for constant flip-flopping and “stretching the truth” only reinforces same.”

    We stopped in his DC office around the 4th of July for gallery passes, bunch of real nice kids running the place…We could have gone to Durbin’s office, but I can’t stand him, so we went to Kirk.

    They offered candy from a big dish on the coffee table, nice people.

    When we got to the overlook gallery, the guide there told us the story of a PA senator who kept a desk full of candy in his floor desk, and this desk is now Kirk’s, since he is the most junior senator. The desk is all the way back on the side aisle, and everyone who walks by raids it for sweets.

    Long story short, Kirk is continuing this small tradition and the senate is a quirky place. He fits in.


  26. - Angry Chicagoan - Wednesday, Dec 4, 13 @ 8:53 am:

    Kirk talks a moderate game but is vote is there for the Tea Party in the vast majority of close situations. That’s a faux moderate. There’d need to be a big change in his voting record — not just the usual surveys that count every vote, but in analysis of the close votes — for me to consider him in the same category as past moderate Republican senators like Charles Percy, or, from other states, Charles Mathias (MD) and Lowell Weicker (CT).


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


* Then and now
* Like deja vu all over again
* Kirk to campaign for Oberweis afterall
* Today's numbers
* Morning Shorts
* Yesterday's blog posts

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............


Search This Blog...

Search the 98th General Assembly By Bill Number
(example: HB0001)

Search the 98th General Assembly By Keyword

          
        * OnePlus One purchases will be invite only at launch
        * Comparison Engine Versus Launches Its First App To Grow Its 3.5M Monthly Uniques
        * Surgeon Simulator review: Entertainingly grisly iPad game
        * iPhone 6 Renders Reimagined as iPhone 6c
        * Flickr for Android 3.0 update brings new look, improved editing and more
        * Twitter Introduces Mobile App Install Ads And Integrated Ad-Buying With MoPub
        * Google’s Project Tango Includes Tech Apple-Acquired 3D Imaging Company PrimeSense

        * Google’s New Android Camera App Packs in Lens Blur
        * How Survivorship Bias Skews Your Perceptions and Decisions
        * Money Saving Habits That Can Backfire and Wreck Your Finances
        * Samsung Galaxy devices will get a custom Kindle app
        * Flickr Redesign Brings Instagram-Like Photo Filters, New Interface
        * Getac T800 tablet is rugged and has 8.1-inch screen
        * Sky And Twitter Team Up To Let You Record TV Shows From Tweets

        * Three questions after a four-reliever inning
        * Despite taking loss, Garcia savors pitching experience
        * Sale, Lester set for marquee matchup in finale
        * Bullpen springs late leak in White Sox loss
        * Alexei homers to push hitting streak to 15 games
        * Red Sox 6, White Sox 4 (14 innings): Leury Garcia pitched
        * Bullpen springs late leak in White Sox loss


        Main Menu
        Home
        Illinois
        YouTube
        Pundit rankings
        Obama
        Subscriber Content
        Durbin
        Burris
        Blagojevich Trial
        Advertising
        Updated Posts
        Polls

        Archives
        April 2014
        March 2014
        February 2014
        January 2014
        December 2013
        November 2013
        October 2013
        September 2013
        August 2013
        July 2013
        June 2013
        May 2013
        April 2013
        March 2013
        February 2013
        January 2013
        December 2012
        November 2012
        October 2012
        September 2012
        August 2012
        July 2012
        June 2012
        May 2012
        April 2012
        March 2012
        February 2012
        January 2012
        December 2011
        November 2011
        October 2011
        September 2011
        August 2011
        July 2011
        June 2011
        May 2011
        April 2011
        March 2011
        February 2011
        January 2011
        December 2010
        November 2010
        October 2010
        September 2010
        August 2010
        July 2010
        June 2010
        May 2010
        April 2010
        March 2010
        February 2010
        January 2010
        December 2009
        November 2009
        October 2009
        September 2009
        August 2009
        July 2009
        June 2009
        May 2009
        April 2009
        March 2009
        February 2009
        January 2009
        December 2008
        November 2008
        October 2008
        September 2008
        August 2008
        July 2008
        June 2008
        May 2008
        April 2008
        March 2008
        February 2008
        January 2008
        December 2007
        November 2007
        October 2007
        September 2007
        August 2007
        July 2007
        June 2007
        May 2007
        April 2007
        March 2007
        February 2007
        January 2007
        December 2006
        November 2006
        October 2006
        September 2006
        August 2006
        July 2006
        June 2006
        May 2006
        April 2006
        March 2006
        February 2006
        January 2006
        December 2005
        April 2005
        March 2005
        February 2005
        January 2005
        December 2004
        November 2004
        October 2004

        Blog*Spot Archives
        November 2005
        October 2005
        September 2005
        August 2005
        July 2005
        June 2005
        May 2005

        Syndication

        RSS Feed 2.0
        Comments RSS 2.0
        WordPress

        Loading


        * Like deja vu all over again..
        * Excerpts of editorials from Illinois newspapers..
        * Then and now..
        * Index cards tell tales of nearly 10 years of cl.....
        * Southeast Chicago residents take petcoke fight .....
        * Cook County Democratic Party Re-Elects Joseph B.....
        * Anti-violence funds paid for salary of another .....


        * Illinois medical marijuana rules drop gun language
        * Fake Peoria mayor Twitter account prompts raid
        * Robber who was homesick for prison to be sentenced
        * Hearing set in lawsuit filed against Rutherford
        * Ill. lawmakers to discuss money for Obama library
        * Kirk promotes stroke research funding, treatments
        * Chicago casino plan draws more support at hearing
        * New warden named for Menard prison
        * Illinois-Chicago, faculty union reach agreement
        * ComEd seeks rate hike to help pay for Smart Grid

        * Bernard Schoenburg: Battle on for GOP state party post
        * Bernard Schoenburg: Scherer got more than $90,000 from Madigan in primary
        * Report: Big cuts to state aid for schools if tax expires
        * Report: Big cuts to state aid for schools if income tax increase expires
        * Simon: Illinois farmers markets should accept LINK
        * Strip club tax brings in much less than expected
        * Lt. Gov. Simon to raise sex assault awareness
        * Legislative hearing on Chicago casino begins
        * Chicago casino plan draws more support at legislative hearing
        * Quinn promotes autism awareness at Brookfield Zoo

        * Recharge your iPhone without batteries or a power cord
        * Northwestern's finances improve on addition of faculty docs
        * 'Business model' Linal Harris: Trendy, conservative and sophisticated
        * No need for psych beds at Holy Cross Hospital: state report
        * 10 Things to do this weekend


        * Aldermen searching everywhere for alternatives to property tax hike
        * Boy, 15, charged with shooting 14-year-old in West Pullman
        * Officials nix proposed rule barring medical pot users from getting gun ID cards
        * Another pol’s spouse got money from Quinn’s anti-violence program
        * Proposed rule allows gun ID cards for medical pot users
        * Anti-violence funds paid for salary of another pol’s spouse
        * 500-plus drivers sign up for pay-by-phone parking option in West Loop
        * Palos Heights man shot, casino winnings stolen in home invasion
        * Gunfire location sensor data show residents fail to call 911
        * Judge Harris spends $1M for appeals court bid — 5 times the salary


        * Police searching for two boys, 9 and 11, taken by mother
        * Boy, 15, charged with wounding boy, 14
        * Northwest Indiana mayor, wife and step-daughter indicted
        * Medical marijuana entrepreneurs decry fees
        * Index cards tell tales of nearly 10 years of clout Metra
        * Quinn with nearly $9 million as Rauner reloads
        * Quinn with nearly $9 million as Rauner reloads
        * Attempted kidnapping reported in North Mayfair neighborhood
        * Truck driver questioned in fatal Whiting hit-and-run
        * Hawks fans gobbling up tickets for St. Louis game


        * State Legislation Hints At Marijuana Legalization
        * Plan Threatens Proposed Downstate Casinos
        * Raising Gax Tax "Unwise," Says Quinn, But Offers No Other Ideas
        * How Much Would Your School District Lose?
        * Illinois Senate Joins Push For U.S. Constitutional Convention
        * Study: Pre-K Education Provides For Economic Growth
        * The Vanishing Millionaire Tax
        * City Approves More Video Gaming Despite Upcoming Ordinance
        * Rutherford: Dismiss Sexual Harassment Lawsuit
        * Durbin Calls For A Return of 'Earmarks'


        * Bernard Schoenburg: Scherer got more than $90,000 from Madigan in primary
        * Bernard Schoenburg: Scherer got more than $90,000 from Madigan in primary
        * Tom Bertrand: Poverty grants contribute to inequality among Illinois schools
        * Report: Big cuts to state aid for schools if income tax increase expires
        * Comptroller Topinka reports $125K in income
        * Addiction experts: Illinois budget cuts could hurt drug treatment
        * Legislative hearing on Chicago casino begins
        * Strip club tax brings in much less than expected
        * Their view: Remembrance in the cruelest month
        * 2015 tax rates still far from settled


        * River Bandits Ferris wheel taking shape on Quad-City skyline
        * Finke, all-stars to hoop Saturday
        * SIU basketball adds Lavender, Weiher
        * Man arrested after stolen vehicle chase
        * St. Clair County's Public Building Commission to meet Thursday
        * Daily Digest
        * Daily business briefing: Unemployment benefits up
        * SIU possibly facing deeper budget, job cuts
        * Warmer weather in the weekend forecast
        * Down-ballot fundraising shows big gaps


        * The 10th District money race
        * Aurora Democrat calls out IHSA
        * Lawyers: Ill. hazing law vague, unconstitutional
        * Ill. House OKs lower-cost hunting bill for seniors
        * Quinn’s running mate takes new consulting job

        * Rep. Jan Schakowsky: The Affordable Care A...
        * Rep. Jan Schakowsky: The Republican Ryan B...
        * Schakowsky in Tokyo for Aspen Institute co...
        * Rep. Jan Schakowsky Statement on Shootings...
        * Schakowsky on pre-Passover Kansas Jewish C...
        * On Equal Pay Day, Rep. Schakowsky Calls fo...
        * Statement by Rep. Jan Schakowsky on Senate...
        * Statement by Rep. Jan Schakowsky on Suprem...
        * Northwestern unionization leaders turn eff...
        * The Affordable Care Act's Successful First...

        * Loading Koch Industries Website Too Many T......
        * Maryland and DC among worst for food aller......
        * Cleveland State University to reestablish ......
        * Convicted political boss Al Sanchez runnin......
        * Candidates make last filings for local, st......

        * Illinois Lt. Gov. Simon opposes pension le......
        * Dillard Odd Man Out on Pension Deal Reaction...
        * Sen. Mark Kirk sides with Rauner on pensio......
        * Governor's race infighting threatens pensi......
        * SCHOONERS - Home of Everyone's Favorite Be......

        * The U.S. Government Is Undermining Internet Security
        * MLK Library as preservation controversy
        * Shorts: parking craters, carbon tax, Census tools
        * Oberweis releases federal tax returns
        * New Illinois Republican Party leadership picked Wednesday night
        * GTCR is Rauner’s Baine Capital. So Squeezy gives him a state contract. Shaking up Springfield?
        * GTCR is Rauner’s Bain Capital. So Squeezy gives him a state contract. Shaking up Springfield?
        * The Midwest's Best: Little Known Facts
        * Inside The Mind Of A Man Who Killed His Family
        * Family and religious leaders to speak out against Chicago casino


        * Governor Quinn Releases First-Ever Illinois Bike Transportation Plan - Plan Formally Makes Bicycles Part of Illinois’ Long-Range Transportation Vision
        * IEMA, American Lung Association Announce Winners in Student Video, Poster Contests - Winning entries unveiled during IEMA’s 11th Annual Radon Networking Day
        * Governor Quinn to Address Small Business Advocacy Council Annual Meeting - Will Discuss His Proposals to Drive Small Business Development and Expansion
        * Governor Quinn Honors Jackie Robinson - Barrier-Breaking Baseball Player Was American Icon
        * Governor Quinn Urges Homebuyers to Act Fast and Take Advantage of Welcome Home Illinois Program - Program Offers First-Time Homebuyers Down-Payment Assistance and a 3.75 Percent Interest Rate on a 30-Year Fixed Mortgage




            Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller