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Question of the day

Thursday, May 8, 2014

* Handicap the state treasurer’s race?

- Posted by Rich Miller        


54 Comments
  1. - 47th Ward - Thursday, May 8, 14 @ 1:14 pm:

    Frerichs. By 18 inches.


  2. - Where are the May Flowers? - Thursday, May 8, 14 @ 1:16 pm:

    Frerichs -110
    Cross +120


  3. - Roland the Headless Thompson Gunner - Thursday, May 8, 14 @ 1:17 pm:

    @47th Ward — that’s a stretch.


  4. - Norseman - Thursday, May 8, 14 @ 1:18 pm:

    Frerichs has the public pensioners vote locked in.


  5. - Spliff - Thursday, May 8, 14 @ 1:24 pm:

    frerichs by 6%


  6. - 4 percent - Thursday, May 8, 14 @ 1:25 pm:

    Suburban Cook will determine race while Cross is golfing in Arizona.

    Frerichs wins 50.7 to 49.3


  7. - Just Observing - Thursday, May 8, 14 @ 1:26 pm:

    Cross by 3.84526 percent.


  8. - Quick Nick - Thursday, May 8, 14 @ 1:30 pm:

    Frerichs will flip flop all the way to 46%.


  9. - Oswego Willy - Thursday, May 8, 14 @ 1:31 pm:

    Tall order to try and predict this;

    51-49 Cross, and it’s Comptroller Topinka dragging Cross over, with her personal plurality staying with the GOP winning the day for “Two-Putt”.

    I am STILL waiting for golf outing invites Cross Crew!


  10. - DuPage Rep - Thursday, May 8, 14 @ 1:31 pm:

    Provided Mr. Willy is handling Cross’ ground game and GOTV, Cross with a smaller margin than Rauner over Quinn. 50.5% Cross


  11. - Oswego Willy - Thursday, May 8, 14 @ 1:33 pm:

    Frerichs, I predict, and see, will be, by the time this campaign season is over, the most annoying candidate running statewide this cycle.

    No one will be close to being as annoying.

    There is a Treasurer’s Race “bonus” prediction.


  12. - Big Ole Bob - Thursday, May 8, 14 @ 1:35 pm:

    Tax Hike Mike 45%. Cross will walk with 55%.


  13. - Oswego Willy - Thursday, May 8, 14 @ 1:36 pm:

    I can’t even get a golf invite, how is Artl going to get me out to help the GOTV? lol

    The Comptroller/Treasurer races will be a whole ‘nother animal than Oberweis/Durbin and Rauner/Quinn, that will help Cross


  14. - VanillaMan - Thursday, May 8, 14 @ 1:36 pm:

    Unless he travels with Oberweis to Florida for a game of golf, Cross has the edge by 5%.


  15. - Southie - Thursday, May 8, 14 @ 1:40 pm:

    Close. Give Cross the slight edge as I would BR. Republican wave coming.

    Cannot see a Quinn L and a Frerichs W happening. Hinges on Gubernatorial

    Cross -1.5%

    Frerichs moneyline +125
    Cross ML -110


  16. - Average Joey - Thursday, May 8, 14 @ 1:45 pm:

    I’m from “farmland” and Frerichs just doesn’t do it for me. If he can’t get me on board I don’t know who else he has left. Cross by 7-8 points.


  17. - Snucka - Thursday, May 8, 14 @ 1:47 pm:

    Big money edge, and Cullerton/SDems are strongly behind him… Frerichs +2%.


  18. - fear and meh-ing I'm moline - Thursday, May 8, 14 @ 1:49 pm:

    I’d go with Cross assuming he pulls the moderates as much as I think he will. 7%?


  19. - Lance - Thursday, May 8, 14 @ 1:49 pm:

    Cross keeps his slim lead till the end.. 51-49


  20. - John A Logan - Thursday, May 8, 14 @ 1:49 pm:

    Tom Sawyer Hot double Cross Buns by 5 percent.


  21. - The Captain - Thursday, May 8, 14 @ 1:50 pm:

    Cross will run against the tax increase, Frerichs will fun against Rutherford. Their debates will be the them talking past each other. My guess is that at the end of the day the blue state carries Frerichs.


  22. - Almost the Weekend - Thursday, May 8, 14 @ 1:51 pm:

    Frerichs’ campaign has been less than stellar, but his fundraising team is blowing Cross away. Not having to face a primary too allowed him to save enough money which will pay dividends after Labor Day.

    As long as Frerichs doesn’t shoot himself in the foot again. I say he wins by 3 points


  23. - Toure's Latte - Thursday, May 8, 14 @ 1:51 pm:

    Frerichs by >10pts. It will be amusing to see him try and jump on Topinka’s coat tails only to find she has none.


  24. - Ron Burgundy - Thursday, May 8, 14 @ 1:52 pm:

    Cross by two strokes.


  25. - ballpoint ben - Thursday, May 8, 14 @ 1:55 pm:

    I’m already sick of the treasurers race bit cross lead by 3.5823893%


  26. - A modest proposal - Thursday, May 8, 14 @ 1:56 pm:

    Frerichs by 4


  27. - Kane - Thursday, May 8, 14 @ 1:56 pm:

    Since Rutherford could win on Quinn victory there is no reason to think Cross couldn’t win with either Rauner or Quinn. I Cross plus 6


  28. - Jeff Trigg - Thursday, May 8, 14 @ 1:58 pm:

    There will likely be more than two candidates on the ballot. The winner will be lucky to break 50%. I’d guess Frerichs. “Other” candidates could have a better than usual year.


  29. - George Snorewell - Thursday, May 8, 14 @ 2:00 pm:

    Agreed with above, if Rauner people show up cross has 5.5%

    People dont get excited about the treasuers race.


  30. - Formerly Known As... - Thursday, May 8, 14 @ 2:05 pm:

    Midterm elections, Rauner spending big money, and Frerichs’ incurable tendency to shoot himself in the foot all add up to

    a Cross victory by 2.5 to 3.5 points.


  31. - I enjoy ham - Thursday, May 8, 14 @ 2:09 pm:

    Frerichs stands a chance if he can bring the youth vote. But, that won’t happen unless Quinn is behind it

    Cross by 7 without that


  32. - Barney - Thursday, May 8, 14 @ 2:17 pm:

    So far team cross hasn’t really even had to push anything out against Frerichs, it’s all been unforced errors by Frerichs. Cross has strong headwinds right now and an opponent who isn’t ready for prime time. Cross wins 53-47


  33. - Ty Webb - Thursday, May 8, 14 @ 2:17 pm:

    Nobody likes taxes…Cross wins by at least 5 points


  34. - Farm to Table - Thursday, May 8, 14 @ 2:37 pm:

    Frerichs just isn’t sustainable. Cross for the win.


  35. - Cheryl44 - Thursday, May 8, 14 @ 2:39 pm:

    Some of us don’t mind paying for schools and roads and cops–Frerichs by a nose.


  36. - Laughtrack - Thursday, May 8, 14 @ 2:40 pm:

    Frerichs by 4 %. Thanks to a massive Dem get out the vote effort across the whole ticket.


  37. - Walker - Thursday, May 8, 14 @ 2:49 pm:

    Cross in upset by 1, with unexpected very low Dem turnout.

    But, I’m often wrong.


  38. - Tim Snopes - Thursday, May 8, 14 @ 2:50 pm:

    If Intellect beats Politics, it’s Frerichs by a landslide.


  39. - railrat - Thursday, May 8, 14 @ 2:59 pm:

    OW @ 1:36 don’t hold your breath Artl is Cross’ Albatross and I don’t mean “double eagle”, you know it and so do most!


  40. - Walker - Thursday, May 8, 14 @ 3:12 pm:

    ===If Intellect beats Politics, it’s Frerichs by a landslide.===

    So you’re calling it for Cross. LOL


  41. - Oswego Willy - Thursday, May 8, 14 @ 3:15 pm:

    - railrat -, To the “albatross/double eagle”, rare “birds” indeed, eluded me so far…

    I figure I have a better chance calling out Artl to get golf outing invites. Tom hasn’t invited me yet…


  42. - A. Nonymous - Thursday, May 8, 14 @ 3:17 pm:

    This was Cross’ 3rd choice option after Lisa stayed at AG and his own caucus pulled the rug out from under him while he danced with Lisa’s decision.

    He doesn’t want it and doesn’t care if he wins or loses.

    On the other hand, Frerichs has had his eyes on the office for years and the party cleared the field for him. He’s working the race on multiple levels and clearly going nonstop from now to November.

    Frerichs by a point and a half.


  43. - ChrisB - Thursday, May 8, 14 @ 3:18 pm:

    - Ron Burgundy–Cross by two strokes.

    I can’t believe OW passed this up. Rich gave you a slowpitch softball, buddy.


  44. - Almost the Weekend - Thursday, May 8, 14 @ 3:31 pm:

    Has Frerichs retweeted this Capfax link? He needs to bring in some backup, more people think Cross will win. #socialmediawinselections


  45. - Oswego Willy - Thursday, May 8, 14 @ 3:33 pm:

    - ChrisB -,

    I read, it was good. I was letting it “breathe”

    You need to remember, the last time I played golf with Cross, he threw by clubs, bag and all, in a pond.

    I haven’t gotten over it, so sometimes golf references… They sting. They hurt.

    Tom needs to give strokes to Frerichs, just sayin’

    If this race is going to be decided, @FakeMikeFrerichs might be the best to get a prediction…

    @FakeMikeFrerichs - if I run on my real record, I have a good shot. If I run on my made up record, I have a shot too. If I keep deciding to make up which of the 2 to use, I may be in trouble. #EvenFakeMikeGetsConfusedWhoIsWho


  46. - railrat - Thursday, May 8, 14 @ 3:44 pm:

    OW @ 3:15 well stated, my suggestion is, release your angst, but the spirit is formidable, if you aren’t a member of the TC “fraternity club”, odds do not favor a tee time :-)


  47. - Oswego Willy - Thursday, May 8, 14 @ 3:50 pm:

    - railrat -, when you see the final bubbles of you bag and clubs stop, and the ripples of where the were dissipate, I’m not going to sugar coat it, it haunts you.

    By stating I feel Cross will win, that is really me taking baby steps towards recovery. It will be Comptroller Topinka breaking away from the Lisa/Jesse Democratic lean to help Cross. I feel that will be a huge factor in the Treasurer’s Race.

    BTW, the bag still smells of the pond.


  48. - A guy... - Thursday, May 8, 14 @ 4:37 pm:

    Owing it all to people north of I-80, an undeserving Cross will win by 8 points. Hillary can now tell Cross, it light of recent events, he is now the luckiest person in Illinois politics. Frierichs makes Cross a lousy better choice.


  49. - Etown - Thursday, May 8, 14 @ 6:17 pm:

    does anybody really care who wins this offce other than folks workiing in either campaign or family members


  50. - wordslinger - Thursday, May 8, 14 @ 6:21 pm:

    Apathy and Disinterest are neck and neck.

    Without a doubt, the most useless down-the-bench Constitutional office. You could get “Bob” from AccounTemps to run that show from home.


  51. - Just The Way It Is One - Thursday, May 8, 14 @ 7:11 pm:

    Cross pulls this one out by 1 1/2 lengths.


  52. - Filmmaker Professor - Thursday, May 8, 14 @ 7:31 pm:

    Frerichs is such a career do-nothing. Fortunately, he’ll only keep the job for one term before running for Governor.


  53. - Rahm's Middle Finger - Thursday, May 8, 14 @ 10:26 pm:

    Quite simply, Frerichs is a much more attractive candidate than Cross. Plus he has significantly more money and will work much harder t. Frerichs by 7.


  54. - Fightin Dem - Friday, May 9, 14 @ 1:44 pm:

    Cross… Frerichs won’t have the cash to compete and it is hard to get people to care about that race. It is still going to be a GOP electorate and Quinn is going down.


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