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*** UPDATED x1 *** Sun-Times Poll: Chicago voter interest high, but no clear frontrunner

Friday, Sep 10, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* A new poll commissioned by the Sun-Times shows lots of interest in the coming mayoral primary, but probably not quite as much as political reporters

And according to this poll, there is no clear frontrunner…

From the story

But with a margin of error of plus or minus 4.3 percentage points, the poll essentially put the nine contenders it included all in a statistical dead heat. […]

The survey relied on 600 personal interviews with randomly selected registered Chicago voters. It was conducted Wednesday evening, just a day and a half after Mayor Daley made his stunning announcement that he would not seek a seventh term.

* And there’s not nearly as much fear of the future out there as one might suspect, at least, not yet…

* The pollster the paper used was once brutally slammed by its late political columnist Steve Neal, so the Sun-Times’ choice was odd, to say the least.

From the story

Perhaps not surprisingly, the poll did find evidence of votes breaking along racial lines. Dart’s strongest support was among white voters, Meeks’ among black voters, and clearly Gutierrez benefitted the most from his base of Hispanic voters.

Emanuel, who is white, curiously also found his largest base of support among Hispanic voters — conceivably because “Emanuel” can also be read as a Hispanic name.

Voters who said they were most eager to vote were most likely to give their support to Dart or Gutierrez.

The survey did not include every possible candidate but focused on those most often mentioned as likely contenders.

*** UPDATE *** Your exclusive advance copy of this week’s WBEZ program “The Best Game in Town” can now be downloaded. Click here. From the producer…

No offense to the home opener for the Bears, but the best game in town this week is at City Hall. In this episode, it’s Daley, Daley, Daley.

UIC Professor and former Alderman Dick Simpson talks about how the Daley machine occupied the 4th floor of City Hall for 42 years.

WBEZ’s Sam Hudzik parses and analyzes the political rhetoric coming from alderman, jockeying for position.

And we host a roundtable discussion from Schaller’s Pump in Bridgeport, featuring Cheryl Corley (NPR), Salim Muwakkil (In These Times) and Carol Felsenthal (Chicago magazine).

Subscribe to the iTunes podcast by clicking here.

* Roundup…

* Daley more concerned with being respected than loved

* Daley wants respect, not love, in retirement

* Huntley: What qualities make a good mayor?

* Sheriff Tom Dart would have ‘head start’ if chose to run for mayor

* Dart considers run for mayor

* Candidates for Mayor Begin to Throw Hats in Ring

* Zorn: February mayoral election will see no clowning around

* Schmich: Imagine when Daley told Oprah

* ‘Daley’ isn’t going anywhere

* Will next mayor keep focus on classroom?

* Rep. Luis Gutierrez Considering Mayoral Run

* Latinos predict big impact on mayoral race

* Pantagraph: Chicago mayoral race has statewide impact

* News-Gazette: Daley steps down, others will step up

* Barton Lorimor: SIU prof Greer recalls covering Mayor Daley (VIDEO)


  1. - wordslinger - Friday, Sep 10, 10 @ 11:14 am:

    Triple-J was smacking Rahm and, by extension, Obama last night on the news about unemployment.

    Does Trips really think he’s viable for mayor after his little dance with Blago on the Senate seat? That’s chutzpah, and probably waving a red flag to the federales bulls.

  2. - Rich Miller - Friday, Sep 10, 10 @ 11:19 am:

    Those who think the Blagojevich trial fatally wounded J3 need to remember the dynamics of the coming campaign. Blagojevich wasn’t completely fatally wounded among black voters by his trial’s outcome. I doubt J3 was, either.

  3. - Ghost - Friday, Sep 10, 10 @ 11:19 am:

    I wonder which canidate willbe the first to come out proising to undo the sale of the pakin meters, to better fund the schools and put more cops on the street to reduce violence…

    If triple J runs, he could camapaign on the third airport creating jobs and bringing more money to the city….

    I still like Sandi for a mayoral run myself.

  4. - CircularFiringSquad - Friday, Sep 10, 10 @ 11:30 am:

    Steve Neeal was not the only one to rip the pollster…..but let’s just say most have asked for his phone bills and been turned down….Once again the pollster fails to add one female name in this little ditty…..same mistake capt fax made on Wednesday.

  5. - Logical Thinker - Friday, Sep 10, 10 @ 11:32 am:

    Would an indictment against JJJ hurt him?

  6. - Quinn T. Sential - Friday, Sep 10, 10 @ 11:33 am:

    The survey includes NO WOMEN!

    STEP 1 Add one woman; any woman, and repeat the survey.

    STEP 2 Add LISA MADIGAN as the only woman, and repeat the survey again.

    LISA MADIGAN could gather 5 times the necessary sognatures to get on the ballot; after having been re-elected as AG, and before the filing deadline; thus eliminating the opportunity for any effective challenge to her petitions.

    If LISA MADIGAN were on the 5th Floor at City Hall, that would neatly dispose of both RAHMBO and Dart as any thorn in the Speaker’s side. This would also consolidate the political power of both the State of Illinois and the City of Chicago in one family.

    The Speaker would also make sure that she has the horsepower to mount a successful challenge to the petitions of anyone that might loook like they could pose an impediment to her ascendancy to the throne.

  7. - Whatever - Friday, Sep 10, 10 @ 11:42 am:

    A McKeon poll? Is the S-T kidding? And where did the S-T get the money for a poll? Again, makes one question the quality. Just another example of the MSM doing everything it can to discredit itself.

  8. - Quinn T. Sential - Friday, Sep 10, 10 @ 11:47 am:

    Another point is that the Madigan squared power bridge between Chicago and Springfield could be constructed without suburban or downstate voters having any say in the matter; AND the State Democratic Party Chairman could use the VELVET HAMMER in helping to fill the vacancy in the AG’s office in 2011 as well.

  9. - Downstate - Friday, Sep 10, 10 @ 11:59 am:

    I’m not a Chicagoan, but among the names listed, Meeks has the best reputation of the bunch. It’s the one I actually respect based on what I’ve read of the man.

  10. - Rich Miller - Friday, Sep 10, 10 @ 12:11 pm:

    ===same mistake capt fax made on Wednesday===

    That was not my poll. If it was, I would’ve definitely included at least one woman.

  11. - VanillaMan - Friday, Sep 10, 10 @ 12:17 pm:

    The world changes November 2nd. This impacts this race. The Majority Party is going to take an historic hit. The typical Democrat games will end. Chicagoans may want a piece of this new action. We are bankrupted. We know it.

    So this frothiness over the current players is for naught.

    We know Chicagoans are unhappy. We know they are scared. They want change. The next Mayor will be the one who can win over these voters. If the Democrats go with the status quo, they will not win these voters.

    None of the names listed are businesspeople at a time when jobs and business are top priorities. So there is a HUGE opening for an authentic outsider millionaire businessperson to be a dominant player.

    So can it with all this nonsense. It is like watching rich folks fight over the shuffleboard schedule on the Titanic. Iceberg ahead November 2nd!

  12. - Anonymous - Friday, Sep 10, 10 @ 1:06 pm:

    wonder why Art Turner who finished second in Lt Gov primaary never gets a mention. Where oh where did Art go?

  13. - Rahm's Parking Meter - Friday, Sep 10, 10 @ 1:09 pm:

    One last Mayors race note From the Ward Room - Ward_Room “I’m considering it.” former senate candidate David Hoffman says about a potential mayoral run.

    David would be a solid solid candidate!

  14. - wordslinger - Friday, Sep 10, 10 @ 1:37 pm:

    ==The world changes November 2nd.==

    Martians in New Jersey? Frogs falling from the sky? Barring that, it’ll be pretty much the same. The American system is built for incremental change, despite what the easily alarmed think is happening.

Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.

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