Capitol Fax.com - Your Illinois News Radar » Election results live blog, Part 1 - Exit poll has Quinn up by 2.5, Kirk and Giannoulias tied - Peraica way down
SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      Mobile Version     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
Election results live blog, Part 1 - Exit poll has Quinn up by 2.5, Kirk and Giannoulias tied - Peraica way down

Tuesday, Nov 2, 2010

* 7:00 pm - And here we go.

Election results can be found here. Exit polling can be found here.

* CNN has the gubernatorial exit polls up

Since they’re evenly divided between the genders, those numbers mean Pat Quinn is up by 2.5 points over Bill Brady. Wow. [Corrected stupid math error]

* On to the Senate…

That would mean Kirk up by half a point, but there’s rounding in there, so it’s essentially tied. [Corrected stupid math error]

* Vote by region, governor

Looks like Quinn just barely hit his targets.

* Vote by region, Senate…

* Keep in mind that this is a poll. It’s a big poll, but it’s still a poll. So both election results are well within the margin of error. There’s no guarantee of a Quinn win just yet.

*** 8:04 pm *** From the Chicago elections board…

We’re seeing 50.36% turnout in the City of Chicago from the first 919 precincts of the City’s 2,570 precincts that now have unofficial totals.

The unofficial totals we report tonight represent Election Day voting, Early Voting, Grace Period Voting and Absentee ballots received through Saturday. Absentee ballots received more recently (Monday, Tuesday, etc.) will be added in supplemental counts to be conducted later this week.

By the time later-arriving absentee ballots, provisionals and other ballots arrive and are counted, the City turnout number is likely to move closer to 51-52%.

*** 8:16 pm *** With slightly over half the precincts reporting, Tony Peraica is losing badly…

Tony Peraica (REP) 39.38% 12,153
Jeffrey R. Tobolski (DEM) 53.11% 16,389
Alejandro Reyes (GRN) 7.51% 2,318

There’s only one precinct in the city and it hasn’t reported yet.

*** 8:19 pm *** With over half the vote counted, Joe Berrios has the lead…

*** 8:24 pm *** With half the vote in, Republican Bob Dold is leading Dan Seals…

* Let’s take a look at some congressional races. Congressman Phil Hare is behind…

55% of precincts reporting
Updated 9:02 p.m.
Schilling (R) 51,212 53.0%
Hare (D) 41,093 42.5%
Davis (G) 4,363 4.5%

Dold is ahead…

81% of precincts reporting
Updated 9:02 p.m.
Dold (R) 76,481 51.6%
Seals (D) 71,595 48.4%

As is Bean…

66% of precincts reporting
Updated 9:02 p.m.
Bean (D) 54,600 50.3%
Walsh (R) 50,732 46.7%
Scheurer (G) 3,273 3.0%

Lots of votes left to count…

31% of precincts reporting
Updated 9:02 p.m.
Hultgren (R) 41,522 52.0%
Foster (D) 35,454 44.4%
Kairis (G) 2,804 3.5%

- Posted by Rich Miller        

76 Comments
  1. - cuban pilot - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:06 pm:

    according the returns at 7:05, Its still tied. Maybe that scott cohen still has a chance.


  2. - Jo - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:08 pm:

    CNN exit poll looks good for Quinn.


  3. - Oswego Willy - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:12 pm:

    Like Kevin Bacon said in “Animal House” …

    “Stay Calm … all is well!” …


  4. - Anon - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:15 pm:

    Jo - I remember back in ‘90 CNN said the same thing about Hartigan. We all know how that worked out.


  5. - Expat - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:17 pm:

    CNN and ABC exit polls are wildly divergent. ABC shows Brady ahead Guess we will have to wait for the actual numbers.


  6. - Scott217 - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:17 pm:

    For what it’s worth, a Reddit thread on a voter at ISU who says he was disenfranchised.

    http://www.reddit.com/comments/e09gf/i_tried_to_vote_in_illinois_i_was_disenfranchised/


  7. - siriusly - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:17 pm:

    It’s way too early to know anything. Ask President Gore.


  8. - Jo - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:19 pm:

    Ask President Dewey!


  9. - babs - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:21 pm:

    Patricia for chicago - tv ad just aired on MSNBC. No rest for the weary.


  10. - swingstate - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:22 pm:

    I have a feeling I’ll be doing a lot of refreshing tonight, and not a lot of work.


  11. - Jo - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:23 pm:

    Rich - do you think result publishing will be delayed since there are a couple precincts that will be open until 8?


  12. - Lewis Grad - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:26 pm:

    Either the exit poller will have egg on their face or every pre-election pollster will. Quinn’s Real Clear Politics average is 39 and the exits suggest he will get 45-47% of the vote.


  13. - kj - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:30 pm:

    I think the exit poll may have missed the model, this may be the most downstate heavy electorate in a long time.


  14. - IrishPirate(Bluto) - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:31 pm:

    Was it over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor?

    And it ain’t over now. Imagonna go to a movie.

    I’ll check back in later to see whether I should be miserable or just mildly annoyed.

    Now the real question we all need to ask ourselves is where is Rahm today and what does he think about the election results.


  15. - Jo - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:32 pm:

    Chicagoelections.com is the only place online that has election results at this point…


  16. - cuban pilot - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:32 pm:

    —KJ—

    That is what I was thinking but too nervous to ponder?


  17. - hisgirlfriday - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:32 pm:

    Scott, Not surprised to hear something fishy going on with voting at ISU. There was some article in the Pantagraph about early/grace period voting where the clerk was saying she was not allowing students to grace period register/vote at the same time at their on-campus grace period registration sites (even though they would allow people vote early at the same time they grace period registered elsewhere and even though legally they could have set up things to help those people vote early at the same time they registered). The clerk sounded somewhat hostile to student voters in the article, although maybe she was just upset about unfunded mandates on county clerks… I don’t know.


  18. - Angry Chicagoan - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:34 pm:

    Beginning to wonder if I should have stayed with my original prediction, Quinn and Alexi, with the GOP taking the state House. But what I really can’t quite believe is Quinn running ahead of Alexi.


  19. - Ghost - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:35 pm:

    over under on this being done by morning?


  20. - Jo - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:35 pm:

    Suburban Cook results are now coming up as well:


  21. - hisgirlfriday - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:37 pm:

    Recall amendment returns from chicagoelections.com:

    Amendment to Illinois Constitution
    403 out of 2570 precincts (15.68 %)

    Yes 64,333 69.93 %
    No 27,659 30.07 %

    How much does this need to get? 60 percent?


  22. - cuban pilot - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:38 pm:

    On an unrelated topic,

    Rich asked about memories you will remember about this election. I now have my favorite memory. Right now, I am sitting in my car outside a polling place with my young children (their mother has a master’s class tonight). We are waiting for the judge’s to post the returns on the door before leaving for the county office building. (the county chair asked that I get numbers to him immediately). Righ now, I am Listening to WLS while the girls watch matilda the movie. They still don’t get why we are sitting in a parking lot. However, still this awesome to pass along the tradition of actually somewhat caring about elections. As I write this, one of my daughters is asking why this is taking so long. I told her that this might not be over…for a few days.


  23. - Jo - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:38 pm:

    Quinn running 2% ahead of Alexi in Suburban Cook so far.


  24. - Jo - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:39 pm:

    cuban - next time… get in before the doors close. :)


  25. - Lewis Grad - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:39 pm:

    Anyone else surprised that Kirk is running ahead of Brady in Southern Illinois?


  26. - cuban pilot - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:42 pm:

    –jo–

    way to spoile a memory. Just kidding. The answer is that I was in the middle of a cohiba and b/c we cant smoke in doors all of a sudden, I now wait listening while listening to bruce demount.


  27. - Louis XVI - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:46 pm:

    Quinn is doing slightly better in Chicago than Blago-Quinn did in 2006 by 1 point.


  28. - Anonymous ZZZ - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:48 pm:

    Oh, geez…CLTV is talking about the mayoral race. Please - can we just focus on TODAY’S election????


  29. - Still Gettin Twisted - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:53 pm:

    what was turnout in Dupage?


  30. - MLG - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:55 pm:

    It would be very helpful, at some point, if the Suntimes took the uncontested races off their website.


  31. - Jo - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:56 pm:

    Scott Lee Cohen pulling 4%(!) in Chicago. But it looks like it is coming from Brady by a ratio of 2-1 (comparing to senate race and treasurer race).


  32. - babs - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:57 pm:

    John Mulroe is ahead in the 10th over Doherty! this is gonna be fun


  33. - Nearly Normal - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:57 pm:

    If you go to Carl’s Ice Cream in Normal with you “I Voted” sticker you get free ice cream. Owner says it’s his way to encourage people to vote. By early afternoon, he had 100 people. Not too much publicity but it is on the the web now. Wonder how many more he will get tonight.


  34. - Anonymous - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:58 pm:

    There was just a commercial for Patricia Van Pelt-Watkins for Mayor of Chicago on CLTV. I think she’s going to give Rahm a run for his money. At least it was positive.


  35. - hisgirlfriday - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 8:00 pm:

    Can Rich put in a filter on this site for that five letter word starting with m just for tonight?


  36. - Jo - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 8:08 pm:

    PQ currently winning Sangamon County (to answer an earlier question)


  37. - Nearly Normal - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 8:08 pm:

    From McLean County-

    Brady 1881
    Quinn 807
    Whitney 74
    Green 39
    Cohen 44

    Kirk 1782
    Alexi 741

    City of Bloomington has not reported yet


  38. - Jo - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 8:12 pm:

    Wow - in the current results… Scott Lee Cohen appears to be pulling almost completely from Brady:

    Quinn (D)447,718
    Brady (R)242,835
    Cohen (I)28,321

    compared to:

    Giannoulias (D)447,800
    Kirk (R)272,969


  39. - Way Way Down Here - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 8:12 pm:

    Lewis: I sure am.


  40. - Nearly Normal - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 8:16 pm:

    Previous votes have been taken down from the McLean County site. Now, have posted only one pecinct.


  41. - VoterUSA - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 8:17 pm:

    The City has Alexi at 292,606…. and this does not include early voting, that was very good for the Dems….. Long night, but looking good.


  42. - Cheswick - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 8:17 pm:

    Is it too soon to be giddy? I am.


  43. - VoterUSA - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 8:19 pm:

    ….1529 out of 2570 precincts (59.49 %)


  44. - VoterUSA - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 8:23 pm:

    Cheswick, mildly giddy, but I’v been down this road before with Hartigan


  45. - Anonymous - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 8:25 pm:

    The lesson re: Peraica - don’t get arrested the weekend before the election.


  46. - Nearly Normal - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 8:28 pm:

    Now 4 precincts in McLean County–
    Brady 6524
    Quinn 2668
    Whitney 304
    Cohen 171
    Green 159

    Kirk 6242
    Alexi 2426


  47. - Jo - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 8:29 pm:

    Quinn is being helped tremendously by the other folks on the ballot:

    - Cohen is pulling nearly all his votes from Brady
    - Whitney is only getting 2% this time

    That’s a big hurdle for Brady to climb…


  48. - metro transplant - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 8:30 pm:

    Majority of Dem’s trailing right now in Madison County. Lisa and Jesse ahead (of course).


  49. - VoterUSA - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 8:30 pm:

    McHenry County: 8:30

    Precincts Reporting 52/212 24.53%
    PAT QUINN DEM 5851 35.81%
    RICH WHITNEY GRN 572 3.50%
    BILL BRADY REP 8989 55.02%
    LEX GREEN LIB 206 1.26%
    SCOTT LEE COHEN 700 4.28%


  50. - Tin hat? Laugh if you will ... - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 8:34 pm:

    I’ve been saying for awhile that I thought the SLC meeting at 65th and Pulaski was a bit more strategic than just “drop off the ticket.”

    You wonder where that cash was spent and how it was targeted.


  51. - stateandlake - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 8:35 pm:

    Walsh and Bean dead even in Lake Co, Bean still up by 4000 votes in Cook.


  52. - Jo - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 8:36 pm:

    Seals is trailing… but most of the remaining votes will come in from Cook…


  53. - Jo - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 8:37 pm:

    Then again… I don’t know if what’s left of Cook will go for Seals…


  54. - stateandlake - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 8:39 pm:

    And.. Walsh ahead 2000 in McHenry. Very tight race!


  55. - metro transplant - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 8:46 pm:

    Total number from Madison County. Mind you it was only 8 precincts.
    DEANNA DEMUZIO 1297
    WILLIAM “SAM” McCANN 1642


  56. - chitownguy - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 8:48 pm:

    Think Bean has it. Same for Dold. Very tight Treasurer’s race though.


  57. - VoterUSA - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 8:49 pm:

    McHenry County:

    Precincts Reporting 14/80 17.50%
    MELISSA BEAN DEM 1804 45.36%
    BILL SCHEURER GRN 143 3.60%
    JOE WALSH REP 2030 51.04%


  58. - VoterUSA - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 8:50 pm:

    Walsh is not ahead by 2000..

    http://www.mcvote.org/


  59. - Jo - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 8:51 pm:

    Rich - I suggest linking to the ABC results. They are already at 49% reporting statewide:

    http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/2010_Elections/Illinois


  60. - Nearly Normal - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 8:51 pm:

    From McLean County–

    Brady, Kirk, Rutherford,Topinka have comfortable leads of 66-70% in their respective races. Lisa Madigan has 50.9% over Kim’s 45.21% and Jesse White has 55.93% over Enriquez 40.42% in this Republican majority area.

    In City of Bloomington, the percentages are lower for Reps although they still lead in the same races as above. Madigan and White have better percentages in their respective races.

    The Kinzinger - Halverson race is closer in the city than it is in the rest of the county. Again, due to higher numbers of Dems in the city.


  61. - Arthur Andersen - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 8:51 pm:

    Of interest here in the ‘Patch, looks like Sheriff Williamson will survive the snoozing deputy debacle…with 67% reporting, he’s up 62-38 or 9,000 votes on Regan.


  62. - Anonymous - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 8:57 pm:

    Welcome back, AA!


  63. - Whew! - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 9:02 pm:

    Tony Peraica loses? Well, my question has been answered: There is a God


  64. - Whew! - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 9:02 pm:

    Tony Peraica loses? Well, my question has been answered: There is a God


  65. - sing me something new - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 9:03 pm:

    Is the city waiting to find out how many votes it needs?


  66. - Whew! - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 9:03 pm:

    I was so excited, I had to say it twice to believe it. Sorry Rich.


  67. - hisgirlfriday - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 9:11 pm:

    The Brady campaign party looks completely dead on the WGN coverage.


  68. - Far Northsider - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 9:14 pm:

    Whew! Yes, there is a God!


  69. - hisgirlfriday - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 9:16 pm:

    They just interviewed Pat Brady on WGN. Interesting that he immediately pivoted from governor’s/Senate discussion to talk up the U.S. House races.

    Forrest Claypool conceding and holding back tears with a literally flowery speech… says they have victory in defeat and “planted seeds in defeat that will grow and be harvested by others” Seeds of fairness, liberty and decency.

    Oh and now we get John Kass suggesting Claypool lead the Stop Rahm coalition for mayor. Ugh. Give us ONE NIGHT off!


  70. - Elmhurst - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 9:17 pm:

    Don’t see how there’s enough votes for Foster to turn the margin around with almost all of Aurora in.


  71. - Oswego Willy - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 9:19 pm:

    Saw Pat Brady do that too … not a “good” sigh for Bill Brady … but not a death nail … I think there are some nervous people in Bloomington.


  72. - Elmhurst - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 9:20 pm:

    John Kass on TV is even worse than John Kass in print. Oy.


  73. - Way Way Down Here - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 9:21 pm:

    hisgirlfriday: lol


  74. - Cheswick - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 9:22 pm:

    It looks like Phil Hare is going down. Unfortunately.


  75. - Oswego Willy - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 9:23 pm:

    Jim Edgar “Illinois is a Democratic State …” Ut oh …”Kirk is doing better downstate than Bill Brady” … ut oh #2 ….


  76. - Rich Miller - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 9:26 pm:

    We have a fresh thread, campers. Go there, because I’m closing this one.


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


* *** UPDATED x1 *** Afternoon campaign notebook
* *** UPDATED x2 *** An eerily prescient 1997 prediction from the US Census Bureau
* Richard Irvin's origin story
* Morning campaign notebook
* Rate Steve Kim's first TV ad
* Report: Pat Quinn polling possible mayoral bid
* Open thread
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - This just in...
* * LIVE COVERAGE *
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Fundraiser list
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Update to today's edition
* Yesterday's stories

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............


Loading


Main Menu
Home
Illinois
YouTube
Pundit rankings
Obama
Subscriber Content
Durbin
Burris
Blagojevich Trial
Advertising
Updated Posts
Polls

Archives
May 2022
April 2022
March 2022
February 2022
January 2022
December 2021
November 2021
October 2021
September 2021
August 2021
July 2021
June 2021
May 2021
April 2021
March 2021
February 2021
January 2021
December 2020
November 2020
October 2020
September 2020
August 2020
July 2020
June 2020
May 2020
April 2020
March 2020
February 2020
January 2020
December 2019
November 2019
October 2019
September 2019
August 2019
July 2019
June 2019
May 2019
April 2019
March 2019
February 2019
January 2019
December 2018
November 2018
October 2018
September 2018
August 2018
July 2018
June 2018
May 2018
April 2018
March 2018
February 2018
January 2018
December 2017
November 2017
October 2017
September 2017
August 2017
July 2017
June 2017
May 2017
April 2017
March 2017
February 2017
January 2017
December 2016
November 2016
October 2016
September 2016
August 2016
July 2016
June 2016
May 2016
April 2016
March 2016
February 2016
January 2016
December 2015
November 2015
October 2015
September 2015
August 2015
July 2015
June 2015
May 2015
April 2015
March 2015
February 2015
January 2015
December 2014
November 2014
October 2014
September 2014
August 2014
July 2014
June 2014
May 2014
April 2014
March 2014
February 2014
January 2014
December 2013
November 2013
October 2013
September 2013
August 2013
July 2013
June 2013
May 2013
April 2013
March 2013
February 2013
January 2013
December 2012
November 2012
October 2012
September 2012
August 2012
July 2012
June 2012
May 2012
April 2012
March 2012
February 2012
January 2012
December 2011
November 2011
October 2011
September 2011
August 2011
July 2011
June 2011
May 2011
April 2011
March 2011
February 2011
January 2011
December 2010
November 2010
October 2010
September 2010
August 2010
July 2010
June 2010
May 2010
April 2010
March 2010
February 2010
January 2010
December 2009
November 2009
October 2009
September 2009
August 2009
July 2009
June 2009
May 2009
April 2009
March 2009
February 2009
January 2009
December 2008
November 2008
October 2008
September 2008
August 2008
July 2008
June 2008
May 2008
April 2008
March 2008
February 2008
January 2008
December 2007
November 2007
October 2007
September 2007
August 2007
July 2007
June 2007
May 2007
April 2007
March 2007
February 2007
January 2007
December 2006
November 2006
October 2006
September 2006
August 2006
July 2006
June 2006
May 2006
April 2006
March 2006
February 2006
January 2006
December 2005
April 2005
March 2005
February 2005
January 2005
December 2004
November 2004
October 2004

Blog*Spot Archives
November 2005
October 2005
September 2005
August 2005
July 2005
June 2005
May 2005

Syndication

RSS Feed 2.0
Comments RSS 2.0




Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller