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Thursday, Oct 14, 2004 - Posted by Rich Miller

Fellow-Countrymen:

At this second appearing to take the oath of the Presidential office there is less occasion for an extended address than there was at the first. Then a statement somewhat in detail of a course to be pursued seemed fitting and proper.

Now, at the expiration of four years, during which public declarations have been constantly called forth on every point and phase of the great contest which still absorbs the attention and engrosses the energies of the nation, little that is new could be presented.

The progress of our arms, upon which all else chiefly depends, is as well known to the public as to myself, and it is, I trust, reasonably satisfactory and encouraging to all. With high hope for the future, no prediction in regard to it is ventured.

On the occasion corresponding to this four years ago all thoughts were anxiously directed to an impending civil war. All dreaded it, all sought to avert it.

While the inaugural address was being delivered from this place, devoted altogether to saving the Union without war, urgent agents were in the city seeking to destroy it without war—seeking to dissolve the Union and divide effects by negotiation.

Both parties deprecated war, but one of them would make war rather than let the nation survive, and the other would accept war rather than let it perish, and the war came.

One-eighth of the whole population were colored slaves, not distributed generally over the Union, but localized in the southern part of it. These slaves constituted a peculiar and powerful interest. All knew that this interest was somehow the cause of the war. To strengthen, perpetuate, and extend this interest was the object for which the insurgents would rend the Union even by war, while the Government claimed no right to do more than to restrict the territorial enlargement of it.

Neither party expected for the war the magnitude or the duration which it has already attained. Neither anticipated that the cause of the conflict might cease with or even before the conflict itself should cease.

Each looked for an easier triumph, and a result less fundamental and astounding.

Both read the same Bible and pray to the same God, and each invokes His aid against the other. It may seem strange that any men should dare to ask a just God’s assistance in wringing their bread from the sweat of other men’s faces, but let us judge not, that we be not judged. The prayers of both could not be answered. That of neither has been answered fully. The Almighty has His own purposes.

“Woe unto the world because of offenses; for it must needs be that offenses come, but woe to that man by whom the offense cometh.”

If we shall suppose that American slavery is one of those offenses which, in the providence of God, must needs come, but which, having continued through His appointed time, He now wills to remove, and that He gives to both North and South this terrible war as the woe due to those by whom the offense came, shall we discern therein any departure from those divine attributes which the believers in a living God always ascribe to Him?

Fondly do we hope, fervently do we pray, that this mighty scourge of war may speedily pass away. Yet, if God wills that it continue until all the wealth piled by the bondsman’s two hundred and fifty years of unrequited toil shall be sunk, and until every drop of blood drawn with the lash shall be paid by another drawn with the sword, as was said three thousand years ago, so still it must be said “the judgments of the Lord are true and righteous altogether.”

With malice toward none, with charity for all, with firmness in the right as God gives us to see the right, let us strive on to finish the work we are in, to bind up the nation’s wounds, to care for him who shall have borne the battle and for his widow and his orphan, to do all which may achieve and cherish a just and lasting peace among ourselves and with all nations.

  2 Comments      


A good question (Updated)

Thursday, Oct 14, 2004 - Posted by Rich Miller

From today’s Illinois Campaign for Political Reform The Race is On blog:

The Prairie Political Action Committee, a federal PAC associated with Sen. Durbin’s staff, has given $92.5K to the Illinois Democratic County Chairmans Association. And they aren’t even on the ballot this year.

Don’t they have to file with the State Board of Elections if they’re giving more than $3,000 to an Illinois political organization within a 12-month period? The last I checked, the Prairie Political Action Committee hadn’t filed any state paperwork.

You’ll find the relevant statutes here. There’s no mention of an exception for a federal PAC.

 (10 ILCS 5/9‑1.8) (from Ch. 46, par. 9‑1.8)
    Sec. 9‑1.8. “State political committee” means the candidate himself or any individual, trust, partnership, committee, association, corporation, or any other organization or group of persons which‑‑
    (a) accepts contributions or grants or makes expenditures during any 12‑month period in an aggregate amount exceeding $3,000 on behalf of or in opposition to a candidate or candidates for public office who are required by the Illinois Governmental Ethics Act to file statements of economic interests with the Secretary of State,
    (b) accepts contributions or makes expenditures during any 12‑month period in an aggregate amount exceeding $3,000 in support of or in opposition to any question of public policy to be submitted to the electors of an area encompassing more than one county,
    (c) accepts contributions or makes expenditures during any 12‑month period in an aggregate amount exceeding $3,000 and has as its primary purpose the furtherance of governmental, political or social values, is organized on a not‑for‑profit basis, and which publicly endorses or publicly opposes a candidate or candidates for public office who are required by the Illinois Governmental Ethics Act to file statements of economic interest with the Secretary of State, or
    (d) accepts contributions or makes expenditures during any 12‑month period in an aggregate amount exceeding $3,000 for electioneering communications relating to any candidate or candidates described in paragraph (a) or any question of public policy described in paragraph (b). Source: P.A. 93‑847, eff. 7‑30‑04.)

I think they gotta file.

UPDATE: Chris Rhodes of the CrossBlog points out in the comment section that the Prairie Political Action Committee contributed to Rep. Careen Gordon (D-Coal City). The PAC gave Gordon $5,000 on October 6.

There’s almost no doubt that the PAC has to file.

And, how much does the State Board of Elections website suck? Type the word “Prairie” into the Contributor Search Page and you get bupkiss for results. I know the new director inherited that clunky old 1990s junker, but he ought to fix it. They actually have to code every committee, contributor, etc. by hand. Ridiculous. And a waste of money.

UPDATE 2: This could be one of those situations I’ve worried about - when I thought it would be fun to post a little tidbit here and it may turn out to be Fax-worthy. Oops. I’m gonna have to watch that. Don’t want to screw up my real gig.

  4 Comments      


Breaking news

Thursday, Oct 14, 2004 - Posted by Rich Miller

Will the weirdness never stop?

Illinois Senate candidate Alan Keyes’ 2000 presidential campaign has been fined $23,000 for campaign finance violations including taking excessive contributions.

The Federal Election Commission also ordered Keyes’ presidential campaign to repay the federal government $95,302. Keyes accepted partial government financing for the 2000 presidential primaries, in which he competed unsuccessfully for the Republican nomination against President Bush and others.

In all, Keyes’ 2000 presidential campaign must pay the government $118,302, the FEC said Thursday.

The campaign admitted accepting $168,200 worth of contributions over the individual donation limit, which in 2000 was $1,000 per person. It also acknowledged it had taken at least $15,000 in anonymous contributions, among other violations.

The earlier story said it was just $1,500 in anonymous contributions.

  2 Comments      


Bean releases poll

Thursday, Oct 14, 2004 - Posted by Rich Miller

I wrote about this in this morning’s Capitol Fax, but since Melissa Bean’s campaign has issued a press release, I figured it was safe to disclose it now.

LAKE ZURICH – With three weeks to go before the election, Melissa Bean has surged in the polls and is now in a statistical dead heat with U.S. Rep. Phil Crane in the campaign to represent Illinois’ 8th Congressional district.  Melissa Bean has closed to within two points, 44%-46%, against Crane, the most senior Republican in the House of Representatives, according to polling released by the Bean campaign. [Snip]

Since June, Bean has increased her support among all partisan groups, especially the pivotal groups of Independents and Republicans. [Snip]

Just 37% rated Crane’s performance as a Member of Congress as “excellent” or “good” while 47% rated his performance as “only fair” or “poor.”  Crane has a favorable rating of just 38% positive and 29% negative. [Snip]

The results are a summary of findings from a telephone survey conducted by Bennett, Petts and Blumenthal among 400 likely voters in the Eighth Congressional District of Illinois. Interviews were conducted October 6-7, 2004. The sampling error for this survey is plus or minus 4.9 percentage points.

That’s a pretty high margin of error.

  4 Comments      


“Candy” (updated with video links)

Thursday, Oct 14, 2004 - Posted by Rich Miller

The new Gordon Maag TV ad I wrote about today has just landed in my in-box. It’s harsh. You can click here to see the 5th District Supreme Court candidate’s spot.

He used candy to lure the children into the house. 

Once inside, the three children were sexually molested.  A four-year-old girl raped, her brothers sodomized.

A Belleville man was arrested and convicted of the crime after trying to develop pictures of the abuse.

Despite prosecutors’ objections, Judge Lloyd Karmeier gave him probation, saying “The court should grant leniency.”  [St. Clair County Court transcript 9/28/90 and case numbers that pulsate and glow]

Another case where Karmeier let a violent criminal out into the community.

Lloyd Karmeier, the wrong choice for Supreme Court. [Also in that same pulsating, glowing font]

The Republican Karmeier’s attack ad was pretty harsh as well, as was Democrat Maag’s first negative hit on Karmeier. My question is, why isn’t the local media doing any “truth squad” work on this campaign?

Click here to watch Maag’s first negative TV ad, which ran all last week and the first part of this week.

We count on judges to protect us and put violent criminals behind bars.

Judge Lloyd Karmeier let us down by giving reduced sentences to violent criminals.

Five years ago, Karmeier caused outrage when he gave only probation to kidnappers who tortured and nearly beat a 92-year-old grandmother to death. And despite objections, Karmeier reduced bail for a couple who beat their own child to death. [Newspaper quotes: “…lenient sentences for their vicious crimes” Belleville News Democrat, 2/15/01. “thugs terrorized a helpless old woman” Belleville News Democrat, 2/15/01. Circuit Judge Lloyd A. Karmeier reduced the bond…” St. Louis Post Dispatch, 1/18/90.]

Karmeier failed us.

Lloyd Karmeier, the wrong choice for Supreme Court.

And click here to watch Karmeier’s first attack ad.

Before we pick a judge to make important decisions, their record matters. [Newspaper clipping: Candidate for Illinois Court gets Low Marks From Attorneys” - St. Louis Post Dispatch (no date)]

Take Gordon Maag, ranked almost last among judges for his troubling record, including voting to overturn the conviction of a man who sexually assaulted a six-year-old girl. [Source: Chicago Daily Law Bulletin, March 1, 2000.]

There’s a better choice. Judge Lloyd Karmeier shares the southern Illinois values that we live by.

Rated “highly qualified” by the Illinois State Bar, Judge Lloyd Karmeier has the integrity and common sense judgement needed for our Supreme Court.

I think I’ll be analyzing these ads in tomorrow’s Capitol Fax (since nobody else is). Without seeing the ads it’s difficult to comment on them, which is why I uploaded them. Not sure how long it will last, though. Whatever. What do you, the blogosphere, think of these three spots?

  9 Comments      


Trouble?

Thursday, Oct 14, 2004 - Posted by Rich Miller

Washington, DC, — Earlier today, Citizens for Responsibility and Ethics in Washington (CREW) filed a complaint with the Federal Election Commission (FEC) regarding a new political ad funded by a recently formed 527 organization, Empower Illinois Media Fund, as well as against candidate for U.S. Senate Alan Keyes and wealthy Keyes supporter Jack Roeser.

CREW filed the complaint after learning that Empower Illinois Media Fund has begun running ads in central Illinois against Democratic Senate nominee Barack Obama. The 30 second ad, which superimposes a running commentary atop a photograph of Mr. Obama, blatantly attacks Mr. Obama in direct violation of federal campaign finance law.

CREW’s executive director Melanie Sloan stated “Empower Illinois, which was founded only this past August by the former treasurer for the Jack Ryan campaign committee, has made no secret that its goal is to defeat Barack Obama. It was created as a vehicle through which Jack Roeser could make an end run around campaign contribution limits. Today, CREW is calling on the FEC to immediately investigate and stop Mr. Keyes, Mr. Roeser and Empower Illinois from attempting to illegally influence the Illinois Senate campaign.”

CREW’s complaint alleges that because a major purpose of Empower Illinois Media Fund is to influence the upcoming election, it is a “political committee” under FEC law and must comply with the same contribution limits and reporting requirements followed by other political committees.

The complaint alleges that Jack Roeser, who has committed to spending $100,000 in support of Mr. Keyes’ candidacy, made a $40,000 donation to Empower Illinois Media Fund less than 2 weeks before the ad began airing on October 12, 2004; that Empower Illinois is illegally coordinating its activities with the Keyes for Senate campaign committee; and that Empower Illinois is engaging in “electioneering communications” by running ads within 60 days of the election, specifically naming and using the likeness of Senate candidate Barack Obama.

Sloan stated, “it cannot be a coincidence that Jeffrey Davis, who created Empower Illinois is a paid Republican political consultant and is the former treasurer for the Ryan campaign. Given the circumstances, any claim that Empower Illinois is actually an independent organization with any purpose other than that of defeating Barack Obama cannot even pass a straight face test. Alan Keyes’ use of a 527 organization to run negative campaign ads is clearly illegal and unethical and it is up to the FEC to stop it.” A copy of the complaint can be found on the web at www.citizensforethics.org.

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Congratulations, Mike!

Thursday, Oct 14, 2004 - Posted by Rich Miller

My favorite Mike Lawrence story is from the days when he was Gov. Jim Edgar’s spokesman.

I’m pretty harried because of Internet access problems last night and a surreal difficulty getting anyone to talk about Gordon Maag’s new ad this morning, so I’ll tell you right now I won’t get this story completely right.

Anyway, the way I remember it, Edgar was in favor of a certain “revenue enhancement” that looked an awful lot like a tax increase. This was Edgar’s first term, remember, when he said he would only sign a tax hike if it received a three-fifths majority in both chambers. The budget was in dire straits and Edgar needed the money in a big way.

So, we asked Lawrence, the spokesman, why his boss’ non-tax increase idea looked so much like a tax increase. Lawrence said, and I’m paraphrasing here, “I think it’s a tax increase. The governor and I disagree.”

Well, that killed the guv’s plan right then and there, but Lawrence was not fired, or even publicly reprimanded. The respect I had for him that day has never waned. Imagine that - a press secretary who told the truth.

Lawrence deserved this job, and I’m happy that he got it.

CARBONDALE, Ill. - - Veteran newsman, press secretary and respected political analyst Mike Lawrence is the new director of Southern Illinois University Carbondale’s Public Policy Institute. Provost and Vice Chancellor John M. Dunn announced the appointment today (Tuesday, Oct. 5).

Lawrence’s appointment, which is subject to ratification by the SIU Board of Trustees, became effective Oct. 1.

Lawrence has been serving as the Institute’s interim director since December when founder and former U.S. Sen. Paul Simon died. Lawrence joined the Institute as associate director in 1997.

Lawrence was chosen from among four finalists who were selected from a pool of 17 applicants in a national search. [Snip]

“The Institute is never going to be the same without Paul Simon, but I am confident that we can achieve what he would want the Institute to accomplish,” said Lawrence. “I am committed to building on what he achieved here, and I also am committed to remaining faithful to his vision of the Institute.” [Snip]

Before his work at the University, Lawrence was press secretary and senior policy adviser to former Illinois Gov. Jim Edgar for more than six years. Prior to that, he was press secretary to Edgar for more than three years while Edgar was Illinois’ secretary of state. He previously headed news bureaus in the Illinois State House, first for the Quad-City Times and later for Lee Enterprises and the Chicago Sun-Times, and held top editing posts at the Quad-City Times. He got his start covering government news for the Galesburg Register-Mail.

Lawrence attended Knox College, where he also received an honorary doctor of laws degree in 1998.

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Transcript

Thursday, Oct 14, 2004 - Posted by Rich Miller

If you just didn’t get enough of Tuesday’s debate, there’s a transcript here and the audio file is here.

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A bit much

Wednesday, Oct 13, 2004 - Posted by Rich Miller

Keyes campaign gloats over debate “win” in campaign e-mail:

(SPRINGFIELD, OCTOBER 13) – Keyes 2004 campaign manager Bill Pascoe, reacting to Alan Keyes’ clear win in last night’s debate against Barack Obama, released the following statement:

“The first debate is history, and the result is clear: Alan Keyes won this debate with a clear knock-out. After watching the way he put Barack Obama on the defensive from the opening bell, it’s easy to see why Obama went from doing his impersonation of Muhammed ‘I’m the Greatest!’ Ali to doing an even better impersonation of Roberto ‘Watch me throw up my hands as I quit and yell “No Mas!”‘ Duran. [Snip]

Obama’s Malthusian views on economics – which would enhance, rather than reduce, the economic stratification of our society – were put in their place as the poppycock they are. [Snip]

Alan clearly had a better grasp of the issues, and represented the views of the great majority of Illinois’ mainstream voters.”

Now he’s going after mainstream voters? Now? Or does he believe that he’s the mainstream guy and people are finally waking up to this undeniable fact? His relatively sedate delivery last night suggests the former, but I’m pretty sure it’s the latter.

  2 Comments      


An invaluable tool

Wednesday, Oct 13, 2004 - Posted by Rich Miller

I was just talking to Cindi Canary over at the Illinois Campaign for Political Reform about something that I’m writing for Thursday or Friday and she tipped me to the ICPR’s new blog.

Called “The Race is On!” the blog wades through A-1’s every day and pulls out some of the tastier bits. Here’s today’s:

October 13
State Sen. Pat Welch shows $150K in-kind from the Senate Dems. And Judge Karmeier shows $350K from JUSTPAC, half in-kind for TV and the other half in cash. Karmeier’s A-1 money is now just about equal to what both candidates spent on the entire Supreme Court campaign two years ago.

I will be all over this site in the coming days.

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More on Mike Baer

Wednesday, Oct 13, 2004 - Posted by Rich Miller

From the State Journal-Register:

RALEIGH - A Springfield man on the campaign trail for an Illinois Supreme Court candidate died in a one-vehicle crash Monday night in southern Illinois.

Michael R. Baer, 29, of the 1700 block of Bent Oak Drive was pronounced dead upon arrival at a hospital in Eldorado.

Authorities said they are looking into the possibility the crash was caused by Baer experiencing a diabetic-related reaction while he was driving.

“We do know that Baer called a friend in Springfield about 10 minutes prior to the accident and stated he was experiencing an insulin reaction,” Saline County Sheriff Ed Miller said in a written statement. “We also know that he was a severe diabetic, and the initial investigation points towards a medical reason for the crash.”

Baer was a member of the Illinois Senate Republican staff but had taken a leave of absence from that job to be a campaign aide for Lloyd Karmeier, a Republican judge who is running for a seat on the state Supreme Court from southern Illinois.

Baer had been at a Saline County Republican Central Committee meeting in Harrisburg earlier Monday evening and was driving to another meeting in nearby Hamilton County, authorities said.

Baer was headed east near Raleigh, some 30 miles east of Marion, at about 7:10 p.m. when the 2004 Oldsmobile Bravada he was driving veered off the roadway about 150 feet, struck a culvert, went airborne for 20 feet and landed on the passenger side, the sheriff’s office said.

He was extricated from the vehicle by the Eldorado Fire Department and taken to Ferrell Hospital.

Read the full story. The SJ-R did a good job on this one.

  2 Comments      


Favorite Debate Headline

Wednesday, Oct 13, 2004 - Posted by Rich Miller

WHO ARE YOU AND WHAT HAVE YOU DONE WITH ALAN KEYES?

Kudos to Eric Zorn.

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Bean has new poll

Wednesday, Oct 13, 2004 - Posted by Rich Miller

As a follow-up on today’s Phil Crane story, Melissa Bean reportedly has a brand spanking new poll “that shows the race is tighter than Joan Rivers’ face,” according to a reliable source in the area.

Like I wrote in the Capitol Fax today, if Crane wins, it won’t be by much.

  1 Comment      


Making a little lemonade

Wednesday, Oct 13, 2004 - Posted by Rich Miller

All those lawsuits could soon be used as a cash cow in Madison County.

Raising filing fee(s) on attorneys who file lawsuits in Madison County will add a half million dollars to the fiscal 2005 Madison County budget, said County Board Chairman Alan Dunstan.

Exactly which fees end up getting raised, and by how much, will be discussed at Thursday’s Finance Committee meeting. Figures on how much the county takes in annually from filing fees were not available Monday. [snip]

The number of class action lawsuits filed in Madison County jumped from two in 1998 to 43 in 2001. In 2003, they increased to 106, Dunstan said.

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