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Illinois exit polls

Tuesday, Feb 5, 2008 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Congressional and Cook County results *** Lipinski wins big *** Sauerberg, Seals declared winners *** Tribune loses *** Schock wins huge *** Alvarez wins ***

Tuesday, Feb 5, 2008 - Posted by Rich Miller

* 8:41 pm - With 36% of the vote counted, Congressman Dan Lipinski has 53 percent, to 24 percent for his closest challenger Mark Pera.

* 8:45 pm - The Republicans were more than a bit worried by the spectacular number of undecideds in their poll of the US Senate primary, but with 13 percent of the vote counted, their anointed candidate Steve Sauerberg has 56 percent of the vote.

*** 9:30 pm *** The AP has called the race for Congressman Dan Lipinski. He’s got 53 percent of the vote with 77 percent counted.

Also, Dan Seals has a gigantic lead over Jay Footllik in the 10th.

And with just 31 percent counted, Rep. Aaron Schock is trouncing his opponents. He has 74 percent. That should more than hold up.

*** 9:34 pm *** With 80 percent of the vote in, Anita Alvarez has a slim one-point lead over Tom Allen in the Cook County State’s Attorney race. Larry Suffredin is further back and Howard Brookins is 9 points behind Alvarez.

Also, slated candidate Gene Moore is whomping on Daley-backed Ed Smith 61-39 with 81 percent counted.

And Justice Alan Greiman lost big.

*** 9:47 pm *** The AP declares Sauerberg the winner. Dan Seals was given the nod by the AP in the 10th Congressional.

* 10:00 pm -
With 53 percent of the vote in, Jim Oberweis has a 56-42 lead over Chris Lauzen in the 14th. Bill Foster leads John Laesch by just three points, 44-41, with 54 percent counted.

*** 10:22 pm *** It appears that incumbent Board of Review member and county party chairman Joe Berrios has stomped “reform” candidate Jay Paul Deratany in the city and even carried the county. I guess this means that Cook County wants a tax hike? Well, wasn’t that the Tribune’s take?

Stroger isn’t on Tuesday’s ballot. But some of his friends hope to convince reluctant members of the Cook County Board that they can support Stroger’s massive tax plan and not lose their own re-election bids two years from now. That pro-tax strategy rests on the fate Tuesday of two close Stroger allies. Which makes it imperative that every voter who requests a Democratic ballot dump two loyal members of Team Stroger, county Board of Review Commissioner Joseph Berrios and county Recorder Eugene Moore:

Moore won, too. Big.

* 10:25 pm -
I don’t know why the AP hasn’t declared him the victor yet, but Tim Baldermann is so far ahead in the 11th District GOP primary that he’ll never be caught.

*** 10:25 pm *** The Associated Press has declared Rep. Aaron Schock the winner. No surprise there, but he has 72 percent of the vote in a three-way primary. Wow.

* 10:55 pm -
With 78 percent of the vote counted, 1,557,497 Illinoisans voted for a Democratic presidential candidate and 653,146 voted Republican.

*** 11:17 pm *** Zorn reports that Tom Allen has conceded the Cook County State’s Attorney race to Anita Alvarez.

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Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Results trickling in… Picking up steam… Dunkin losing big… Delgado almost home… Burns up… Collins with big lead… Gordon up… Hendon wins big… Prochno ahead… Delgado wins… Johnson concedes… Jacobs in tight race… Kevin’s update… Stout wins… AP winner’s list… Jehan Gordon wins…

Tuesday, Feb 5, 2008 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Another Peoria update from Kevin

Tuesday, Feb 5, 2008 - Posted by Rich Miller

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CAMPAIGN NEWS UPDATES

Tuesday, Feb 5, 2008 - Posted by Rich Miller

* 11:19 pm - Clinton may have egg on her face. Obama appears to have won Missouri.

* 10:41 pm - AP calls Missouri for Clinton. That’s a big win for her. Big. Here’s her spin…

Barack Obama outspent Hillary by $300,000 in TV ads in Missouri. He also benefited from the endorsements of high-profile surrogates across the state such as Representatives Carnahan and Clay, and Senator McCaskill, all of whom actively campaigned for him and appeared in ads on his behalf.

* 9:58 pm - I almost forgot about this thread. From Drudge…

CLINTON: AR, MA, MO, NY, NJ, OK, TN
OBAMA: AL, CT, DE, GA, ID, IL, KS, MN, ND, UT

HUCKABEE: AL, AR, GA, MO, TN
MCCAIN: AZ, CT, DE, IL, NJ, NY, OK
ROMNEY: MA, ND, UT

* 8:27 pm - Hillary Clinton claims win in New Jersey…

This weekend, Hillary Clinton’s campaign had an intensive GOTV blitz that included over 100,000 calls to voters. Exit polls showed that the Latino population in particular delivered overwhelmingly for Hillary Clinton.

* 8:19 pm - Hillary Clinton is crowing about her win in Massachusetts. From a press release…

Despite the fact that Senators Ted Kennedy and John Kerry were actively supporting and campaigning for Obama, Hillary Clinton won the state.

Despite the fact that the Governor of Massachusetts endorsed Obama, Hillary Clinton won the state. Despite the fact that Obama visited Massachusetts just last night, Hillary Clinton won the state. This is a strong victory and shows that Hillary Clinton has strength in places where Barack Obama was expected to win.

* 7:08 pm - The Trib has a story about the dumbest election judges in the state.

* 7:05 pm - No surprise here, but the Tribune has already called Illinois for Obama and McCain.

* ArchPundit has some raw, unweighted exit poll rumors.

* Preliminary national exit poll results are summarized: Fox; MSNBC, TIME, ABC, CBS, CNN.

* I’ve taken some of the suggestions from this post, added a few others and put them into a specialized news feed…

* And here’s a national news feed…

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Watch CBS 2’s coverage right here

Tuesday, Feb 5, 2008 - Posted by Rich Miller

Don’t live in the Chicago area? Planning on sitting at your computer instead of your TV while returns come in? Well, you’re in luck.

Starting at 10 o’clock tonight, just click on the banner below and watch CBS-2’s coverage live, right here…

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This just in…

Tuesday, Feb 5, 2008 - Posted by Rich Miller

* 3:42 pm - The beginning of a comeback? From an e-mail just blasted out by the City Club…

The City Club of Chicago welcomes Paul G. Vallas on Monday, April 28, 2008 for a Public Policy Luncheon.

Register for the event by clicking here.

* 3:48 pm - The Illinois Green Party is alleging foul play. From a press release…

Voters who hoped to participate in the Illinois’ first ever statewide Green Party primary are receiving a very rude reception at many polling places, especially in Chicago.

In the early hours of voting, Green Party officials began receiving reports from frustrated voters across the state who, in many cases, had been told by pollworkers that there are no Green Party ballots available at their polling places, or that they had to vote on suspect electronic voting machines, even while other parties use paper ballots.

Some of the most outrageous incidents, however, occurred across the wards of Chicago, where Green Party ballots have been apparently tampered with so they can’t be read and accepted by voting machines, voters are given Democratic ballots despite requesting Green ballots.

* 4:00 pm - A couple of 42nd Ward election judges got into a brawl today

An election judge was charged with battery Tuesday morning after punching another judge at a 42nd Ward West Loop polling place, according to Chicago police.

The female judges, whose party affiliations were not immediately known, were quarreling over “procedures” when one punched the other in the face, said Central District Capt. Joseph Vaclavik.

The judge who was punched, believed to be in her mid-50s, was taken to Northwestern Memorial Hospital for evaluation, Vaclavik said. The other, in her late 30s, whose name was not released, was charged with misdemeanor battery, Vaclavik said. He could not elaborate on the procedural matter that sparked the fight.

The brawl between the twojudges was the culmination of a clash that had been raging for years, fellow poll workers said.

* 4:02 pm - Aaron Chambers is at the Hyatt waiting for the Obama party to begin

Obama is not expected to begin speaking for seven more hours, but already several hundred people are flowing through and around the grand ballroom, in the hotel’s basement, where Obama will stage his event.

The crowd appears to be roughly divided between media and security. Yes, there are a couple hundred reporters, producers, etc., but there are just as many security personnel — secret service, Chicago police (uniformed and in plain clothes), and even officers wearing TSA (Transportation Security Administration) uniforms.

* 4:29 pm - Just a reminder from Emily’s List…

The [Democratic] primaries and caucuses thus far have seen from a 3-4% increase in the share of the electorate that is female. Turnout has been exceptionally high with women making up 57% to 60% of the electorate.


* 4:45 pm -
Planned Parenthood/Chicago Area President and CEO, Steve Trombley writes about those Barack Obama “Present” votes and Illinois NOW’s harsh criticism of him during the current campaign…

During his time as a state senator, no major pro-choice organization questioned Obama’s present votes. Instead, Obama received endorsements from Personal PAC, NARAL of Illinois PAC, the Illinois Planned Parenthood Council, and, YES, EVEN Illinois NOW.

That’s right! Illinois NOW endorsed Barack Obama in his elections in 1998 and 2002 AFTER he voted “present” on several bills. As Illinois NOW officials have stated, they were aware of the “present” vote strategy, and they still endorsed him. They also endorsed several other prominent Illinois politicians who voted the same way.

It is only after years have past that Illinois NOW has changed its mind. Apparently, these days they don’t agree with the strategy that they originally endorsed.

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Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Reports from the field - South Suburbs; Martinez

Tuesday, Feb 5, 2008 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Update from Peoria - Voting troubles? Plus, Kevin files a story from the scene

Tuesday, Feb 5, 2008 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Predictions open thread *** Updated x1 ***

Tuesday, Feb 5, 2008 - Posted by Rich Miller

Try to keep your Super Tuesday predictions as Illinois-centric as possible. Thanks.

*** UPDATE 1 *** This story might help with your predictions…

llinois board of elections officials were more willing to talk today about the weather than the voting, saying it’s too soon to get a strong bead on statewide turnout. But press them, and they say there’s little chance a light rain, mid-30s temps, and a possible freeze toward evening will keep the state from breaking a 15-year turnout record today. […]

The [Cook County early voting] numbers featured a spike in young voter ballots and college absentee votes, said County Clerk David Orr. […]

Turnout in Sangamon County, home of the capital city of Springfield, was also far exceeding turnout in previous years, election officials there said.

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Election day experiences *** UPDATED X2 ***

Tuesday, Feb 5, 2008 - Posted by Rich Miller

[Bumped up for greater visibility.]

Post your election day observations below. How many were at your polling place? How many have voted so far? What was the weather? How many poll-watchers, flier-mongers were present? Any problems? Any goons? Etc.

Give us as much detail as possible, please.

*** UPDATE 1 *** There have been a lot of comments here about demands from Chicago election judges that voters produce an ID. I just called the Chicago Board of Elections and they said they didn’t know why this has been the case. You don’t have to show an ID to vote in Illinois on election day (early voting is different). I’ve been in contact with the attorney general’s office about this and I’ll update in a bit.

*** UPDATE 2 *** The attorney general’s office just called back to say they’ve dispatched some teams around the city to check out complaints of voters being indiscriminately asked for ID’s. There are some instance where election judges can ask for an ID, but if voters believe that the law is not being followed they should contact the AG’s hotline numbers. Chicago area voters call 1.866.536.3496 and downstaters can call 1.866.559.6812

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Message to readers

Tuesday, Feb 5, 2008 - Posted by Rich Miller

There’s been an intermittent problem all morning with the news feeds, which has resulted in the site not being accessible at times. It’s being worked on, but part of the problem, I think, is national Internet traffic is way up today. Hopefully, this problem can be - and will be - fixed soon.

I’ve pulled the feeds down during particularly slow periods, and I’ll do so again if there’s more trouble.

If you run into trouble with slowness, just keep hitting the “refresh” button, or click the banner at the top of the page.

Thanks for your patience.

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Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Martinez; Jefferies; Hendon; ComEd; Cable TV (Use all caps in password)

Tuesday, Feb 5, 2008 - Posted by Rich Miller

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ATTENTION: BLOGGERS AND CANDIDATES

Tuesday, Feb 5, 2008 - Posted by Rich Miller

[Bumped up to give the post more exposure]

If you’re going to be blogging more than just a little about today’s Illinois primary, please make sure to put a link in comments here. We’d like to track your work as much as possible.

Also, if you know of any good campaign parties tonight, slip those into the comment section below. I’ll be home, blogging away, but some readers might be in the mood for a little fun.

* Illinoize is already cranking up pretty hard, by the way.

[News feeds are now on this post.]

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Question of the day

Tuesday, Feb 5, 2008 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Mark Brown writes today about the 150,000 Cook County residents who took advantage of early voting and may have cast their ballots for candidates who are now out of the race…

When Democrat John Edwards and Republican Rudy Giuliani folded their campaigns last week, they essentially nullified the votes of hundreds if not thousands of their supporters in Illinois who had already cast a ballot.

Those voters don’t get a do-over today, and therefore won’t have a real voice in picking this year’s Democrat or Republican nominees (not that they were on a winning track in the first place).

It’s the chance those voters took when they went to the polls early. Obviously, there is no way to retrieve a secret ballot once it’s been cast. But for those who hadn’t really considered the possibility in advance, the result still stings.

“I feel kind of disenfranchised,” complained Naperville Township Republican Chairman Fred Spitzzeri, who tells me he eagerly cast a vote for Giuliani on the first day of early voting and urged others to follow suit, then was shocked as the former New York mayor withdrew from the race six days before our election.[…]

For now, at least, the better option for early voters in future elections might be to at least hold off a little longer, especially in presidential races where the field is fluid. For anyone who had waited, there were still two more days of early voting after Giuliani and Edwards dropped out.

* And, now, to the question: Should early voting be abolished at least for presidential campaigns? Or, should things stay the way they are? Explain.

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Reluctant mushrooms want sweeteners

Tuesday, Feb 5, 2008 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The city council mushrooms are grumbling about the real estate transfer tax increse that they have to approve as part of the mass transit bailout bill. The General Assembly made the tax hike “permissive” - meaning the onus on passing the thing fell to the council. That seems fair to me, but aldermen, like any politician, are upset that the ball is now in their court

On Monday, Finance Committee members vented their anger — by temporarily derailing the increase and attaching a few strings.

Before they could agree to raising the tax from $7.50 to $10.50 per $1,000 of sale price, aldermen demanded that senior citizen home buyers would have to be exempt from the increase — and that active members of the military and disabled veterans join seniors in riding the CTA for free.

* And then there was this

Alderman Walter Burnett says minority firms should get half the investment work [for the CTA pension fund].

“This is beneficial to have the CTA, but it’s also beneficial to our community to have a piece of the pie. We have to have a part of it and employ people, so it’s two-fold for a lot of us and it’s out duty to make sure people get their fair share.”

* Added Ald. Ed Burke

CTA pension fund trustees are “going to have to understand they need to be sensitive to doing business with local money managers, with minorities and women.” […]

Burke added that only six of 43 investment management companies are minority-owned firms and that 16 of 43 are Chicago-based concerns.

* However, as always, they’ll probably just do what they’re told…

The committee will reconvene Wednesday morning and, despite the gripes, is expected to advance the tax increase measure in time for fast-track consideration by the full council, which is scheduled to meet immediately afterward.

“This is one of those votes I think a lot of us will make, holding our noses,” said Ald. Isaac Carothers (29th). “If this doesn’t happen, you are not going to have buses.”

* The most interesting thing about yesterday’s Finance Committee debate was that it was held the day before primary day.

So, some voters who saw the stories last night on TV or today in the papers may take out their anger over another tax hike on any incumbents today. It may not amount to many people, but if there are close races it could make things interesting.

* This idea, from CTA Tattler, is pretty silly, however…

if you live in the 14th Senate District on the Far South Side of Chicago, you should not vote for Senate President Emil Jones. He did the governor’s bidding throughout this mess, and refused to call for votes in the Senate some House-supported transit bills that Rep. Julie Hamos got passed.

If you live in the 22nd House District, House Speaker Michael Madigan is your representative. His feuding with Blago prolonged the “Doomsday” crisis, though he did work with Hamos to get bills passed.

Neither Madigan nor Jones has a primary opponent today. It’s pretty easy to check that out.

* Related…

* No such thing as free rides — ask home buyers

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Reed out at Sun-Times

Tuesday, Feb 5, 2008 - Posted by Rich Miller

* I wondered how my new editor at the Sun-Times was gonna react when candidate endorsement season arrived.

Cheryl Reed thought she had been given total control over the editorial page. I suspected that her independence would not extend to endorsements. And now she’s gone

Cheryl Reed, the editorial page editor, has quit, and quite spectacularly.

* From Ms. Reed’s memo…

“I am deeply troubled that the editorial board members were not allowed to address concerns raised about the Obama [February 1] and McCain [February 3] editorials, even though the endorsements were turned in more than two days before they were published. Instead, wholesale rewrites were done by people who aren’t even on the board, including one person who is no longer employed by the paper.”

* I used to joke with Steve Huntley, the former editorial page editor, that his alcohol intake must’ve increased drastically during endorsement season. The big boys would make him write some difficult pieces, to say the least. Rod Blagojevich, Todd Stroger, and on and on and on. It couldn’t have been easy.

Reed was a relative newcomer to Illinois, so she wasn’t around to see the endorsements from the 2002 primary, which caused a furor when every hack in town got the paper’s nod.

* In Reed’s case however, it doesn’t appear that the endorsements themselves were directed from on-high, as was done before. Reed quit because the editorials were ordered rewritten by the top echelon.

More from Reed’s memo…

Not only does [the rewrite] undermine my position but it devalues and patronizes the editorial board writers who wrote the original endorsements: an African-American, a Latino and two white women. (As you know, both endorsements were rewritten by white men.)

* Reed was very big on bringing diversity to the editorial page. For instance, my twice-monthly (three times in months with five Friday’s) column was cut back to once a month to, I was informed, make room for an African-American woman and a Latina. I never felt so white or so male, even though I try more than many to write about black and Latino politics as much as I can.

But, I got over it. Them’s the breaks. It’s their paper, they can do what they want with it, I figured. They don’t tell me what to put in the Capitol Fax, I don’t tell them how to run their shop. Even, Steven.

* Mike Miner writes that Reed hasn’t been happy for a while. I knew she was upset, but didn’t know she had threatened to quit…

A couple of weeks ago I heard that she’d turned in her resignation — she couldn’t have been a happy camper after layoffs cost her about half her staff.

She was talked into staying, and then the endorsements were rewritten and she quit. There was more going on there - shifting sands of internal politics left over from the previous rulers, but that’s for someone else to write about. I try to stay out of that.

* The irony is, Reed left just as the paper appears to be going on the auction block

Sun-Times Media Group. Inc. said late Monday that directors are weighing a number of “strategic alternatives,” including a possible sale of the struggling Chicago publishing concern.

The board’s decision to “explore strategic next steps” is “the right thing to do the ensure the future of the Sun-Times Media Group publications and Web sites and to generate the highest value for our shareholders,” said Cyrus Freidheim, the holding company’s Chief Executive Officer. […]

Sun-Times Media’s announcement came after the market’s close Monday. Based on the company’s share price of $1.38, Sun-Times Media has a market capitalization of $111 million.

Anybody wanna go in with me?

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Morning shorts

Tuesday, Feb 5, 2008 - Posted by Kevin Fanning

* School scheme: ‘How do they know it’s isolated?’

Chicago’s magnet applications should be audited following revelations that parents tried to clout their kids into one magnet school by falsely claiming they had a child already enrolled there, the head of a government watchdog group said Tuesday.

* Illinois Commerce Commission considers natural-gas rate hike

Under a proposal by Chicago-based Integrys Energy Group, owner of Peoples Gas and North Shore Gas, consumers would be charged a new set fee on expected, rather than actual, usage.

* Collective action - As unions continue to gain power in Illinois’ public sector, they face their toughest battle yet for health care

* Cue The Groans

So much for having a hard delegate count on Super Tuesday, we’re hearing that CA Dems won’t have final delegate tally ready until Friday.

* Polling hours in Illinois

* Semi-Final Fundraising Totals

* SUN-TIMES: Our choices in today’s vote

* TRIBUNE: endorsements

* DAILY HERALD: nods

* SOUTHTOWNSTAR: backs Milan, Smith

* SOUTHTOWNSTAR: Baldermann gets our nod for 11th District Congressional seat

* SOUTHTOWNSTAR: Bennett the best bet for Third Congressional District seat

* PJ STAR: Illinois House 92nd District: Allen Mayer

* PJ STAR: Illinois House 91st District: Mike Smith

* HIRAM WURF: Why I’m endorsing Bill Foster

* Campaigns make last push for votes

* Illinois voters to pick nominees, and not just for president

* Voters have the chance to make history by voting on Super Tuesday

* Voters Head To The Polls For Super Tuesday

* Our Opinion: An end to fear of primary vote

* Illinois’ early primary brings mixed reactions

* East tax hike will appear on November ballot

East Aurora voters will consider a school tax increase for the third time in three years after the School Board agreed Monday to put a $32 million bond referendum on the November ballot.

* Obama team sets the bar low

* Candidates with Illinois ties headline primary

* Highlights from Illinois primary

* Polls open early; snow falls late

* More voters than usual expected today

* IL -14th Dem debate

* 14th District race is twice as nice

* Drum roll, please: My vote for Congress

* The governor will renew his push for health care only to be rechallenged

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Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today’s edition of Capitol Fax

Tuesday, Feb 5, 2008 - Posted by Rich Miller

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* Isabel’s afternoon roundup
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