Saturday videos
Saturday, Jan 23, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller * From what I hear, Democratic US Senate candidate David Hoffman is surging in the polls. All those newspaper endorsements are surely contributing to that. And when I say “all,” I do mean “all.” He’s pretty much run the table. Whether it’s enough to win remains the big question, because he doesn’t appear to have closed the gap enough as of yet. We’ll see what the Tribune poll says. His upcoming ad buy won’t be as big as first claimed, so that works against him because the TV market is gonna be really crowded this coming week. Hoffman talked about his momentum, and the Massachusetts Senate race, Thursday night in Evanston. Watch… * Illinois GOP Chairman Pat Brady was asked earlier this week about the “dump Mark Kirk movement” in Illinois and the “split” in the GOP over Kirk’s campaign. “The ’split,’ I don’t really accept the premise,” Brady said. “The ‘dump Kirk’ movement is a fringe movement. There’s not one candidate that’s polled about five percent except Mark Kirk. So, if there’s a split, it’s certainly not strong enough to the people that are going to come out and vote. I mean, Mark Kirk has a substantial lead, and none of these guys have been polling above five percent.” Illinois Review posted the audio on YouTube… The reaction was not pleasant with the Right, of course, so Chairman Brady has since issued a clarification of sorts…
* If Bill Brady had any money to spend, this ad might work… * More videos/audio…
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Relentless push-back continues
Saturday, Jan 23, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller * 12:51 pm - From a Quinn campaign press release…
As I wrote earlier, race is really the only avenue the Quinn campaign has to save itself from this TV ad. It is what it is, and they really have no choice. However, this would be a far more valid approach if Quinn hadn’t used Bobby Rush, who has fashioned himself as a more-than-willing race-baiter, particularly since his blatant “lynching” comments on the Roland Burris appointment. The Quinn folks fervently claim that Hynes played the race card first by hypocritically using the late Harold Washington as a surrogate in order to hurt Quinn with black voters and depress black turnout. They have several valid points. But, again, this ad transcends the race issue because, as I’ve written before, the points Washington made about Quinn are so “today.” That’s why the Quinn push-back has to be so strong. Get people to forget about the competency issue and onto Chicago’s divisive racial history. The Chicago media usually loves a race battle, so coverage should be intense. During Quinn’s speech to Operation PUSH this morning, the governor said “We will not let those who would divide go back to those ugly times.” You don’t need a code book to translate what he’s saying there. Have a look… It is what it is. And it’s gonna get really ugly. * Meanwhile, the Hynes campaign has a new Internet video about the controversy. Watch it…
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Quinn plays the race card
Saturday, Jan 23, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller * The only card left for the governor to play is the race card. And he’s playing it in earnest…
From a Quinn press release…
Zorn…
“Careful” viewers won’t have to note anything. The “competence” point is as plain as day in that ad. The Quinn people know that when you force voters to think too much about things - like how Hynes’ father ran against Harold Washington - you lose. So, they’ve resorted to a tactic which doesn’t require thinking because it can be so utterly reactionary: racial politics. Keep in mind that the Tribune poll and other surveys have shown Quinn tanking in the black community, even before the Harold Washington ad. This is a high stakes game. The Hynes people believe they adequately tested this message before running the Washington ad. We’ll find out in a few days whether they tested it enough. Expect a new Hynes ad soon, though. I’m hearing the new ad is Quinn - on video - gushing over Rod Blagojevich. The easily comprehended message is: Harold Washington didn’t like Quinn, but Quinn liked Rod.
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Trib poll: Quinn 44, Hynes 40, and McKenna takes the lead with 19
Saturday, Jan 23, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller * Tribune poll, with December results in parentheses…
No surprise, considering that Quinn’s own tracker had the race as a three-point game…
A more recent poll taken by Alexi Giannoulias’ campaign has this race at 46-44, sources say. According to the Trib poll, Quinn’s approval rating is 43 percent, while his disapproval is at 31 - far lower than the 60 percent claimed by a recent Dan Hynes poll. Two-thirds of Dem voters called Quinn’s early release program “wrong.” Trouble…
Keep in mind that this poll was taken before the Harold Washington ad went on the air. The trend is not the governor’s friend. And he’s below 50, where no incumbent wants to be. * On to the Republicans…
More…
Dillard’s name ID went from about half in the last Tribune poll to 81 percent in this one.
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