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*** UPDATED x3 - WIFE SAYS ALLEGATIONS ARE TRUE - Says he owes back child support despite spending binge *** Cohen admits using “injectable steroids”

Thursday, Feb 4, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Scott Lee Cohen admitted to ABC7 today that he used “injectable steroids”

He confirms his ex-wife’s claim that he was using injectable steroids in 2005 but denies her claim that he confessed to repeated affairs and was abusive.

Yesterday, before the divorce records and everything else came out, ABC7’s Ben Bradley asked Cohen if what had surfaced to date was all of it. “Anything else?” Bradley asked…

“No, you know. Again, it was an unfortunate time,” said Cohen.

Oops.

He also admitted to ABC7 that his wife had an order of protection against him in 2005.

…Adding… Via Zorn, a great line from the ArchPundit

Dude is like Jack Ryan meets Blair Hull meets Charlie Sheen.

…Adding More… Commenters are saying that Cohen’s wife has been on ABC7 and NBC5 defending him. Nothing yet on their websites.

…Adding Still More… NBC5’s video of Cohen answering a couple of questions about steroid use and his wife…


…And some more… Cohen’s wife reportedly said that she voted for him this week. She said that he was going through a “phase” back then and is fine now.

*** UPDATE - Cohen’s ex-wife speaks *** “He was a different person than he is now.” Watch it


*** UPDATE 2 *** Oh, man. CBS2’s Mike Flannery’s report is a must-watch. Flannery’s lead-in

“His own brother Larry had to sue him and got a judgment for 200 thousand bucks. Scott Cohen’s wife told me that prior to his marriage he did try to choke her. Now she’s back in court trying to get back child support that he didn’t pay while he was spending $3 million on his run for lt. governor.”

Oh, man. The end. The end.

Cohen claimed that the wounds on his prostitute ex-girlfriend’s throat were “self-inflicted.” But here’s more from Flannery…

“His wife says, by the way, contrary to his denials, that the things that she alleged occurred.”

Well, that’s it then.

*** UPDATE 3 *** Cohen and his ex-wife are appearing on Chicago Tonight. Turn on your teevees and help us live-blog in comments!

[Comments are now closed on this post. Go here for a fresh thread.]

  238 Comments      


Edgar believes Brady’s lead will hold up - And the RGA goes after Quinn

Thursday, Feb 4, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Needless to say, this is a pretty big blow to Kirk Dillard

Despite campaigning on behalf of Kirk Dillard, former Gov. Jim Edgar believes Bill Brady’s slim lead in the Republican primary election for governor will hold up.

As it stands, Brady, the state senator from Bloomington, holds a 406-vote lead over Dillard, the state senator from Hinsdale. Election officials are still waiting on absentee and provisional ballots to trickle in after the close of voting Tuesday.

“I’m saying this as if the 406 votes are going to hold up. I suspect it will,” Edgar said.

Actually, the latest AP tally now has the Brady lead at 420…

Brady , Bill 155,327
Dillard , Kirk 154,907

…Adding… The Republican Governors Association uses Dan Hynes’ TV ads in a YouTube video


That music played behind the clip of Quinn nodding off made me sleepy. Or, maybe it’s just today’s pace.

  33 Comments      


Cohen’s troubles get worse - Divorce papers surface

Thursday, Feb 4, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Oh.My.Goodness

Documents filed in Scott Cohen’s 2005 divorce allege anabolic steroid use and patterns of violence against family members, NBC has learned.

“Over the past year my husband has been taking injectable anabolic steroids,” Cohen’s then-wife Debra York-Cohen said in a statement during their separation proceedings. “As a result he has an erratic and explosive temper.”

As a result of the allegations Cohen, who’s not [sic] the Democratic nominee for Lt. Governor, was ordered by a Cook County Circuit Court to undergo “initial and periodic substance testing.”

The divorce documents also allege that Cohen’s steroid use contributed to periodic episodes of violence against his family.

He was shooting up ‘roids? Oy.

And if you think that’s bad

“Despite my refusals, he tried to force himself on me, until I pushed him away and emphatically told him no,” Debra Cohen claimed in the petition. […]

The petition also includes allegations that Scott Lee Cohen repeatedly threatened Debra Cohen in writing after she filed for divorce.

“Ever since I filed for divorce (Scott Lee Cohen) continually threatens me in writing, by leaving me intimidating notes,” she alleged. “He stopped leaving me handwritten notes on paper, when he discovered I just take them down. Now he leaves harassing messages on my mirror in lipstick, so everyone, including my grandchildren who live with me can see these notes.”

She said she became so afraid of Scott during their marriage that she often asked her sister and mother to stay with her because she was afraid to be alone with him.

She claimed that she called police on several occasions to remove Scott from the house, in front of their children.

He wrote harassing messages on the mirror in lipstick?

Oy.

See ‘ya. Don’t wanna be ‘ya.

* 4:30 pm - The Sun-Times divorce story is up.

  164 Comments      


Brady says he has the votes; McKenna sorta backs Brady; Adlai suggests Quinn form third party; Cohen’s helpers; Adam quotes history; Quinn talks tax hike

Thursday, Feb 4, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

…Adding… I missed this one. I am only sporadically on the Bill Brady press release list…

With the final vote totals now reported, our campaign has a 406-vote lead over Senator Kirk Dillard at the top of the Republican gubernatorial contest. Still to be counted are absentee ballots that were not included in Tuesday’s balloting and provisional ballots that will not be counted for several days. Our legal and political team does not believe those votes will be sufficient to offset our lead.

We’re confident our vote will hold up and we will move onto victory in November.

* Andy McKenna conceded this afternoon and announced that he “stands ready” to support Bill Brady… unless the other guy wins. Check out the press release…

“Now that Democrats appear to be coming together as a Party, Republicans must do the same. There is simply too much at stake in this election to allow Party infighting to distract us from our mission. Based upon the numbers available today, we stand ready to support Bill Brady who appears headed for the nomination, or whoever is declared the eventual winner. We look forward to the process completing itself soon and working with our nominee to win in November.”

Mckenna’s “running mate” Matt Murphy also conceded…

“Congratulations to Jason Plummer on winning the Republican nomination for Lieutenant Governor. He ran a strong campaign on the right ideas. Republicans have a Lieutenant Governor nominee we can be proud to support. I look forward to working with Mr. Plummer and our entire Republican ticket to bring real change to Springfield in 2010.”

* Yeah, this is a good idea. Not

Former U.S. Sen. Adlai Stevenson — who formed a third party to run for governor in 1986 rather than share the same ticket as two disciples of Lyndon H. LaRouche — said Gov. Quinn faces the same political reality in dealing with running mate Scott Lee Cohen.

“It would be very difficult for Pat Quinn, in good conscience, to run for governor with this fellow tied to him as if they’re joined at the hip,” Stevenson told the Sun-Times today.

“One answer is to do what I did, namely to resign the nomination and run as an independent with a different lieutenant governor candidate,” he said. “Of course, they can try to talk [Cohen] out of it, but I’m skeptical as to whether that would work.”

I agree that Cohen isn’t likely to get out quite yet. Threatening to form a third party could be used to put pressure on Cohen.

But people forget that Adlai was the only Democrat to jump ship that year. Everybody was watching to see what US Sen. Alan Dixon would do, and when he decided to remain on the Democratic ticket, the rest of the “legit” ticket stuck with him. Adlai, who spent almost none of his own money on his razor-thin loss in 1982, had to mostly fund his ‘86 race himself. He got creamed.

* Cohen didn’t get elected by himself. He had some help. For instance, Ald. Dick Mell’s 33rd Ward organization had him on their sample ballot. Click here for the full thing, but I’ve given you a helpfully annotated version…

Check out election results by Chicago ward and Cook township to see who else may have helped out. [Hat tip to a commenter.]

* Adam Andrzejewski’s e-mail to supporters…

THE DAWN OF A NEW DAY [STILL] RISES

“Success is not final, failure is not fatal: it is the courage to continue that counts.”
– Winston S. Churchill

In 1955, William F. Buckley called for us to stand athwart history yelling stop.

1964, President Ronald Reagan called for us to preserve for our children this, the last best hope of man on earth, or sentence them to take the last step into a thousand years of darkness.

In 2009, Tea Party patriots across the country stood against increased government taxation, spending, and intervention and reasserted their individual liberty

And in 2010, the citizens of Illinois called for A New Day. A new day of honest, accountable, and limited government.

Many of you have called, emailed, Facebooked or Tweeted asking, “What’s next?”

Tuesday we learned the road to A New Day in Illinois is longer than we had hoped. However, the fight we waged against the under-performing Illinois establishment has not come to an end and certainly does not end with my bid for Governor.

Over the course of the last year, you have opened a new chapter in Illinois politics and renewed the Reagan revolution that first came to Illinois in 1976. Tea parties, 9/12 organizations and other advocacy groups have re-ignited the consciousness of conservatism. Your passion captured the imagination of thousands of Illinoisans across our great state and drew the support of national and international conservative leaders.

Your hard work and dedication created an unprecedented grassroots movement calling for honest, accountable, and limited government. Tuesday, we may have been delayed, but we have certainly not been denied. 

I am committed to rebuilding our party and I am committed to re-laying the foundation with the values and principles our nation’s founders knew to be essential for our Liberty: limited government, free enterprise, individual liberty and traditional American values. 



I still believe that it’s your turn. I still believe the dawn of a new day is rising in Illinois. And I still believe that what you have started over the course of the last year is of epic proportions and has already made history in countless ways. And I am still with you, for the good of Illinois.

* Let’s look at a few videos, shall we? Gov. Quinn talks about a tax hike


* Congressman Peter Roskam talks about the new Republican video that attempts to connect Alexi Giannoulias to the mob


* Mark Kirk’s new “Take Back Illinois” video


* The DCCC has an excruciatingly boring “Illinois Race Review” video, in case you care


  21 Comments      


This just in… Cohen: “No intention of stepping down or stepping aside” - Asks ex wife, girlfriend to hold presser

Thursday, Feb 4, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* 2:20 pm - Democratic lt. governor nomineee Scott Lee Cohen has issued a statement through his spokesman

“I have no intention of stepping down or stepping aside. When the facts come to light, after my ex-wife and ex-girlfriend speak, the people of Illinois can decide, and I will listen to them directly. I am asking my ex-wife and ex-girlfriend to come forward and to talk with the media.

Putting his ex-wife and ex-girlfriend in front of the cameras to answer questions is a huge risk, but all he has left is risk. Continued…

“There are questions, and I will provide all answers honestly and openly. I only ask for time to do the interviews. 2005 was a difficult time in my life. I was going through a divorce, and I started running with a fast group. I was in a tumultuous relationship with the woman I was dating. We had a fight, but I never touched her. She called the police, however, she never came to court, and the charges were dismissed. I realized this relationship was not healthy, I ended it, and we parted amicably.”

* Meanwhile, in case you missed it earlier, Illinois Statehouse News has the full audio of Gov. Pat Quinn’s press conference. Listen by clicking here. They’re posting

* On an unrelated note, I just checked my site log and discovered that Wednesday’s traffic was even higher than Tuesday’s. As I’ve already told you, Tuesday was the highest usage day since Rod Blagojevich’s arrest. Thanks much.

  74 Comments      


Rasmussen has Kirk now leading 46-40 in US Senate race - And a new DSCC video

Thursday, Feb 4, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Rasmussen has a new poll in the US Senate race. From the toplines (with Mark Kirk’s poll numbers from yesterday followed by Rasmussen’s December numbers in parentheses)…

Kirk 46 (47, 39)
Giannoulias 40 (35, 42)
Some Other Candidate 4
Not sure 10%

From the Rasmussen narrative

In December, Giannoulias was up by three points over Kirk. In October, the two men were tied at 41% each. In mid-August, Kirk held a modest 41% to 38% lead over Giannoulias.

More toplines

* How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President… do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of the job he’s been doing?

33% Strongly approve
21% Somewhat approve
10% Somewhat disapprove
35% Strongly disapprove
0% Not sure

* How would you rate the job Pat Quinn has been doing as Governor… do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of the job he’s been doing?

8% Strongly approve
37% Somewhat approve
31% Somewhat disapprove
22% Strongly disapprove
2% Not sure

Back to the narrative

In Illinois, 45% rate their personal finances as good or excellent, while just 13% say they are poor. But only 20% think their finances are improving, while 42% say they are getting worse.

Forty-seven percent (47%) of Illinois voters believe it is possible to balance the federal budget without raising taxes, but 34% disagree. Forty-four percent (44%) favor an across-the-bard tax cut for all Americans, but 38% oppose such a tax cut.

Still, the majority (53%) of voters in Illinois believe cutting taxes is a better way to create jobs than increased government spending. Twenty percent (20%) believe increased spending is the way to go.

Back to the toplines for the populist stuff…

* Some people believe that the federal government has become a special interest group that looks out primarily for its own interests. What do you think? Has the federal government become a special interest group?
71% Yes
17% No
12% Not sure

* Do government and big business often work together in ways that hurt consumers and investors?
67% Yes
14% No
19% Not sure

Etc…

Illinois Survey of 500 Likely Voters Conducted February 3, 2010. Margin of Sampling Error, +/- 4.5 percentage points

* Meanwhile, Public Policy Polling takes a look at yesterday’s poll results from Mark Kirk, who claimed he led Giannoulias 47-35…

Mark Kirk’s campaign put out a poll yesterday claiming to start the general election with a 12 point lead over Alexi Giannoulias, which was a little surprising to me since we found Alexi up by eight points just two weeks ago. I’ll give Kirk points for transparency though- he put the full results from the poll online.

Of course doing so makes it clear how the big lead in the poll was possible. Just 49% of those surveyed report voting for Barack Obama in 2008 to 42% who say they voted for John McCain. Obama won the state 62-37.

It is more than likely that the folks who turn out this fall will be less Obama friendly than the folks who turned out in 2008, but not to that extent. Our final Massachusetts Senate poll found the electorate there had supported Obama by a 56-37 margin, just a 7 point drop on the margin from his 62-36 victory there. Use a 59-41 Obama split on the Kirk poll and you get a 44-39 lead for Kirk, relatively similar to this morning’s Rasmussen poll.

Beyond that it’s important to note that more than 2/3rds of the undecideds in the Kirk poll were Obama voters- distribute those proportionally and you have a 50/50 race, which feels about right at this point. The last couple of weeks of the primary were a lot harder on Giannoulias than they were on Kirk, and his fate may be determined by the extent to which he is able to unify Democratic voters around him now that he’s the guy.

Some questions from Kirk’s poll

* Thinking now about the economy…Do you think that the 780 billion dollar economic stimulus legislation passed by Congress last year was a good idea, a bad idea or do you not have an opinion either way?

Good Idea 38.3
Bad Idea 46.0
No Opinion 15.7

* Thinking about the way the federal government has responded to the financial crisis in recent months, generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the expansion of the government’s role in the economy?

Approve 38.2
Disapprove 49.6
No Opinion 12.2

* Thinking now about health care…From what you have heard about House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Senate Leader Harry Reid’s health care plans, do you think their plans are a good idea or a bad idea?

Good Idea 30.6
Bad Idea 52.1
No Opinion 17.4

…Adding… The DSCC just posted a new YouTube video attacking Mark Kirk. Rate it


  22 Comments      


*** UPDATED - RRB Attys to hold presser *** This just in… Blagojevich reindicted

Thursday, Feb 4, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

*** UPDATE - 2:44 pm *** From a press release

Attorneys representing former Illinois Gov. Rod Blagojevich will hold a news conference today at 3:30pm Chicago time to respond to today’s developments.

Where: 158 W. Erie, Chicago
When: 3:30pm

I’ll see if there’s some live audio or video available. What a freaking weird day this has been.

[ *** End of Update *** ]

* 1:03 pm - As if this day couldn’t get any crazier. I’ll have links in a minute or two.

* 1:04 pm - Here’s the main document. More in a bit.

Fact sheet

SECOND SUPERSEDING INDICTMENT
United States v. Rod R. Blagojevich, et al., 08 CR 888 (N.D. IL)
Defendants:
Rod R. Blagojevich, 53
Alonzo Monk, 51
John Harris, 47
Robert Blagojevich, 54

Charges: Count(s) Defendant(s)
Racketeering Count 1 (new) Rod Blagojevich
Racketeering conspiracy Count 2 Rod Blagojevich
Wire fraud Counts 3-13 Rod Blagojevich (3-13)
Robt. Blagojevich (4, 13)
Attempted extortion Count 14 (new) Rod Blagojevich
Attempted extortion Count 15 Rod Blagojevich
Bribery Count 16 (new) Rod Blagojevich
Extortion conspiracy Count 17 Rod Blagojevich and Monk
Bribery conspiracy Count 18 (new) Rod Blagojevich
Attempted extortion Count 19 Rod Blagojevich
Bribery Count 20 (new) Rod Blagojevich
Extortion conspiracy Count 21 (new) Rod Blagojevich, Harris and
Robert Blagojevich
Attempted extortion Count 22 (new) Rod Blagojevich and
Robert Blagojevich
Bribery conspiracy Count 23 (new) Rod Blagojevich and
Robert Blagojevich
False statements Count 24 Rod Blagojevich
Forfeiture Blagojevich

Penalties (maximum on each count): Imprisonment Fine
Racketeering; racketeering conspiracy; wire fraud; attempted extortion and extortion conspiracy 20 years $250,000

Bribery 10 years $250,000
Bribery conspiracy 5 years $250,000
False statements 5 years $250,000

The defendants are presumed innocent and are entitled to a fair trial at which the government has the burden of proving guilt beyond a reasonable doubt.

* Government’s filing regarding second superseding indictment

The Second Superseding Indictment presents the following eight new charges against various defendants.

Count One charges defendant Rod Blagojevich with substantive racketeering in violation of Title 18, United States Code, Section 1962(c).

Count Fourteen charges defendant Rod Blagojevich with attempted extortion of United States Congressman A and United States Congressman A’s brother, in violation of Title 18, United State Code, Section 1951.

Count Sixteen charges defendant Rod Blagojevich with bribery in relation to the Chief Executive Officer of Children’s Memorial Hospital, and Children’s Memorial Hospital, in violation of Title 18, United States Code, Section 666. Count Eighteen charges defendant Rod Blagojevich and defendant Alonzo Monk with conspiracy to commit bribery in relation to Racetrack Executive, in violation of Title 18, United States Code, Section 371.

Count Twenty charges defendant Rod Blagojevich with bribery in relation to Construction Executive, in violation of Title 18, United States Code, Section 666.

Count Twenty-One charges defendant Rod Blagojevich and defendant Robert Blagojevich with conspiracy to commit extortion in relation to the appointment of a United States Senator, in violation of Title 18, United States Code, Section 1951.

Count Twenty-Two charges defendant Rod Blagojevich and defendant Robert Blagojevich with attempted extortion in relation to the appointment of a United States Senator, in violation of Title 18, United States Code, Section

Count Twenty-Three charges defendant Rod Blagojevich, defendant Robert Blagojevich, and defendant John Harris with conspiracy to commit bribery in relation to the appointment of a United States Senator, in violation of Title 18, United States Code, Section 371

  21 Comments      


Protected: *** UPDATED w/ NEW INFO AND LINKS TO LAWSUITS *** THIS JUST IN… SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Cohen’s plan

Thursday, Feb 4, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

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THIS JUST IN… Quinn to speak about Hynes, Cohen

Thursday, Feb 4, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* 11:25 am - Gov. Quinn has scheduled a press conference for 11:30. Fox Chicago has live video, so click here. or here.

If you’d rather listen to audio, check WBBM Radio’s stream. UPDATE: BETTER AUDIO LINK.

You may have to hit refresh on that Fox stream if you’re not getting reception.

* 11:42 am - Still waiting.

* 11:47 am - In walks the guv. Help with live-blogging in comments if you can, please.

“Now that the primary is over, I want to salute Dan for his career and public service.” … “Very gracious” phone call. … Said he knows that Hynes’ heart is and has always been for “reform.” …

Here come the questions.

“The man who won the primary for lt. governor has some explaining to do.” … Said he must “fully and completely answer all questions.” … Must speak “quickly and completely about very serious matters that we’re all concerned about.” … Asked about Terry Link’s claim that he briefed the campaign. “First I heard about it was yesterday.” Said nobody in his campaign had heard about it either. [We now have to ask Link who he briefed. But the Quinn campaign did, indeed, know there was a problem because I talked to them about it.]

“My view is that this matter will be resolved.”

Fox has an annoying auto-refresh on its web pages, so use this link instead.

“Our country and our state are bigger than ourselves… If there are matters that are raised about your conduct that disqualifies you from running… Then the only appropriate thing to do is step aside… If explanations are unsatisfactory and the conduct is inappropriate, then the only way to go is to step aside.”

“I am confident that this matter is going to be resolved. I really do.” Said he thinks “the candidate will do the right thing.”

He just said he thought “That will be the way it will go” regarding Cohen stepping aside.

Quinn said people running for office who have things in their past that would be a “distraction” should step aside. “And I look forward to that.”

“I visited with the Speaker of the House about the budget. It [Cohen] came up this morning, and we talked in general terms about the procedures. I believe that the party understands that this is a clear and important matter that must be addressed.”

Lost the Fox feed? Try this one from WBBM.

Asked about all the harsh words exchanged during the primary between himself and Dan Hynes, Quinn said things are said in the heat of a primary that, upon reflection, they may not agree with after the primary is over.

He’s basically repeating his talking points now, so I’m not live-blogging them. He said he didn’t see Mark Brown’s column last March about Cohen.

Quinn says there is a provision that allows the General Assembly to pass a law that allows the governor to pick a running mate. So, there’s the pressure point on Cohen? But could Cohen challenge that law’s constitutionality because he’s already won an election? Could be a long haul.

Quinn said he and Madigan “have some budget ideas that are good.” Said Cullerton also had “some very creative ideas.”

“I think that tax reform is always on our agenda.”

Tribune

Gov. Pat Quinn today said his new running mate, a Chicago pawnbroker with a 2005 domestic battery arrest, should consider withdrawing from the race because his background could hurt the Democratic ticket in the November general election.

Quinn stopped short of saying Scott Lee Cohen should abandon the nomination he won in Tuesday’s primary. But he said Cohen “has an obligation to step aside” if his past becomes a problem.

“I always appeal to others in politics based on what’s good for the people,” Quinn said.

End of presser.

  72 Comments      


THIS JUST IN… Supremes strike down IL med-mal caps - More trouble for the Democrats

Thursday, Feb 4, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

*** Click here to read the Supreme Ct. opinion ***

* 10:40 am - From Crain’s

The Illinois Supreme Court on Thursday struck down limits on jury awards in medical malpractice cases passed by the Legislature four years ago amid spiking liability costs for medical providers.

The court ruled that the caps on pain and suffering and other non-economic damages — $500,000 per case for doctors and $1 million for hospitals — are unconstitutional.

The court’s opinion upholds a 2007 ruling by a Cook County Circuit Court judge determining that the law violated the Illinois Constitution’s “separation of powers” clause, essentially finding that lawmakers interfered with the right of juries to determine fair damages.

It’s the third time the state’s high court has quashed limits on medical malpractice awards, having tossed out similar laws in 1976 and 1997.

* 10:41 am - From the Illinois Hospital Association…

The Illinois Hospital Association is disappointed that the Illinois Supreme Court has struck down critically needed medical liability reforms that were improving health care access throughout the state and restoring predictability to our broken medical liability system.

In doing so, the Court has rejected the clear will of the people of Illinois who called upon their legislators to enact this fair and sensible landmark legislation. In 2005, the General Assembly determined that there was a real public health crisis driving physicians out of Illinois and making health care more expensive and less available. Accordingly, it enacted a bipartisan and comprehensive solution that included judicial reform, strengthened insurance regulation and improved physician discipline.

The hospital community is deeply concerned that this decision will renew the malpractice lawsuit crisis and make it more difficult for Illinoisans to access or afford health care as liability costs for physicians and hospitals are driven to unsustainable levels. Hospitals across the state will again face even greater challenges recruiting and retaining physicians, especially specialists such as neurosurgeons and obstetricians, who were leaving Illinois during the height of the crisis.

This decision and its dire repercussions for the health care delivery system highlight the critical need for the President and Congress to embrace serious and meaningful medical liability reform as part of health care reform. All plausible forms of medical liability reform, such as arbitration, specialized courts and early settlement offer approaches, should be explored as part of health reform. However, caps on medical liability damages in many states (33) across the country have already proven to be effective at reducing health care delivery costs. We call on the President and Congress to include this important cost-reducing solution to the federal health reform package.

* 10:48 am - From the opinion

The circuit court invalidated the statute for the sole reason that, pursuant to our decision in Best, the limitation on noneconomic damages in section 2–1706.5 violates the separation of powers clause of the Illinois Constitution (Ill. Const. 1970, art. II, §1). […]

The issue is not whether the General Assembly may change the common law. As we recognized in Best, the General Assembly’s authority to “alter the common law and change or limit available remedies *** is well grounded in the jurisprudence of this state.” Best, 179 Ill. 2d at 408, citing Grand Trunk Western Ry. Co., 291 Ill. 167. See also Michigan Avenue National Bank v. County of Cook, 191 Ill. 2d 493, 519 (2000) (“legislature has the inherent authority to repeal or change the common law and may do away with all or part of it”). The General Assembly’s authority, however, is not absolute; it must be exercised within constitutional bounds. See, e.g., People v. Gersch, 135 Ill. 2d 384, 395-98 (1990) (recognizing both the legislature’s inherent power to alter the common law and the court’s duty to invalidate unconstitutional actions of our legislature). Here, the legislature’s attempt in section –1706.5 to limit common law damages in medical malpractice actions runs afoul of the separation of powers clause.

* The majority also takes a whack at the minority’s dissent, which is quite unusual…

Among the dissent’s criticisms is that we have “rush[ed]” to address the constitutionality of Public Act 94–677; that we only “purport” to defend the constitution; and that we stand as an “obstacle” to the legislature’s efforts to find an answer to the health-care crisis, “put[ting] at risk the welfare of the people.” Slip op. at 33, 41, 52 (Karmeier, J., concurring in part and dissenting in part, joined by Garman, J.). The dissent implies that the majority opinion is somehow an affront to the health-care reform efforts of the Obama Administration, and expressly cautions that if we “persist in invalidating damages caps,” dire consequences will likely follow. Slip op. at 27-28, 51 (Karmeier, J., concurring in part and dissenting in part, joined by Garman, J.).

Plainly, the Obama Administration’s health-care reform efforts are not the backdrop against which we have decided the constitutionality of Public Act 94–677, and we express no opinion–favorable or otherwise–as to those efforts. Rather, our decision in this case, that Public Act 94–677 cannot stand, is based, as it must be, on the binding provisions of our state constitution and our case law interpreting the same. Although we do not expect that the members of this court will always agree as to what the law is, or how to apply the law in a given case, we do expect that our disagreements will focus on the legal issues, providing a level of discourse appropriate to the state’s highest court. The emotional and political rhetoric that peppers the dissent is ill-suited to this pursuit. [Emphasis added]

The dissent was written by Justice Karmeier, who was elected in the most expensive judicial race in history that was financed by tort reform groups like the US Chamber of Commerce. From his dissent…

While my colleagues purport to defend separation of powers principles, it is their decision, not the action of the General Assembly, which constitutes the improper incursion into the power of another branch of government.

Karmeier’s conclusion…

Our job is to do justice under the law, not to make the law. Formulating statutory solutions to social problems is the prerogative of the legislature. Whether there is a solution to the health-care crisis is anyone’s guess. I am certain, however, that if such a solution can be found, it will not come from the judicial branch. It is critical, therefore, that the courts not stand as an obstacle to legitimate efforts by the legislature and others to find an answer. If courts exceed their constitutional role and second-guess policy determinations by the General Assembly under the guise of judicial review, they not only jeopardize the system of checks and balances on which our government is based, they also put at risk the welfare of the people the government was created to serve.

That reads a whole lot like a political speech, as does the beginning of Karmeier’s dissent, which was the focus of the majority’s criticism…

In a recent address to a joint session of the United States Congress, President Obama admonished that our nation’s “collective failure to meet [the] challenge [of health-care reform]–year after year, decade after decade–has led us to the breaking point.” Millions are unable to obtain health care coverage,” he asserted; “medical costs are rising”; and the existing system is “placing an unsustainable burden on taxpayers.” According to the President, the failure to take immediate corrective action will be dire: “Our deficit will grow. More families will go bankrupt. More businesses will close. More Americans will lose their coverage when they are sick and need it the most. And more will die as a result.”

In outlining his strategy for addressing this crisis, the President advanced a multifaceted plan. Although his proposal focused on expanding health insurance coverage, he also recognized that reform of medical malpractice laws might aid in reducing our nation’s health-care costs, while also improving the quality of care delivered by physicians and received by their patients.

* From House GOP Leader Tom Cross…

“Today’s ruling by the Illinois Supreme is especially disappointing because the law is working. With caps on non-economic damages and other reforms in place, competition has increased among insurance providers, medical malpractice insurance premiums have dropped between 5 and 30 percent, and doctors have begun to return to Illinois to care for families. Today’s ruling is a step backward, putting Illinois families at risk.”

* 11:13 am - Larry makes an excellent point. Things just got worse for the Democrats

It’s a fairly good issue for Republicans so they get another favorite issue to fight and it’ll bring in plenty of money from insurers and hospitals.

* 11:15 am - From the Illinois Trial Lawyers Association…

The state’s highest court has, for a third time, ruled that caps on medical malpractice damages are unconstitutional and unfair to the very patients who rely on our civil justice system when they have been the victims of medical errors that forever harm their lives or take away a loved one before their time.

The majority opinion held “[W]e necessarily consider…the legislature’s goal in enacting the statue-responding to a health-care crisis. Our separation of powers analysis, however, does not stop there. The crux of our analysis is whether the statue unduly infringes upon the inherent power of the judiciary. Here, the legislature’s attempt to limit…damages in medical malpractice actions runs afoul of the separation of powers clause.”

The case before the Illinois Supreme Court was about a little girl, Abigaile LeBron. Her life has been forever changed by the severe brain damage she suffered as a result of medical errors. W Abigaile will have to be fed through a tube for the rest of her life. She will never develop cognitively or physically as her peers do. She will never live independently.

For years the insurance industry has tried to convince the public that patients who are victims of medical errors are responsible for the increased health care costs, even though Illinois’ largest malpractice insurer has reported that payouts have remained flat for the past 13 years. Rather than discussing what can be done to spur competition in the insurance industry and hold costs steady, the insurance companies wanted to convince the public that it was the victims – the families of people like Abigaile LeBron, who were to blame for rising costs and limited access to quality care. But in its ruling today, the Illinois Supreme Court has decided that the health care crisis can not be solved by further hurting the patients who are victims of medical errors.

“Our health care system is reeling and rather than trying to fix it, insurance companies across the country have tried to divert attention from the real reforms that would improve access and care,” said Peter J. Flowers, president of the Illinois Trial Lawyers Association. “With this decision, we can now focus on the real issue – providing meaningful insurance reform that will keep costs down for doctors and patients alike, and ensure access to quality care for every resident in the state.”

Health care in Illinois will only improve when insurance companies are held accountable. The long-suppressed insurance reforms that were contained in this legislation have resulted in a forced reduction of malpractice premiums. The law forced malpractice insurance companies to provide greater transparency on rate-setting and payouts that has in turn spurred competition, motivated more companies to enter the marketplace, and lowered premiums for doctors.

“Today’s Illinois Supreme Court ruling making it illegal to impose caps on financial damages to victims of medical malpractice is a victory for working families whose lives and livelihoods are destroyed by medical negligence,” said Michael T. Carrigan, president of the Illinois AFL-CIO. “All citizens of this state should have the right to a trial by their peers to decide appropriate compensation. Hopefully today’s decision will finally put an end to the efforts of greedy insurance corporations to deny victims their due process.”

* 12:18 pm - From the Illinois Civil Justice League…

Ed Murnane, president of the Illinois Civil Justice League, released the following statement regarding today’s decision of the Illinois Supreme Court to strike down medical liability reforms signed into law in 2005:

“This is very disappointing – and frustrating. Republicans and Democrats in the Illinois General Assembly passed this law in 2005 after carefully considering all the potential and likely issues that could lead to a challenge. They knew it would be challenged and some very brilliant legal minds were involved in the drafting of the legislation and the defense of the law before the Supreme Court.

“It is very unfortunate that an issue that has an impact on the quality of health care for Illinois citizens can be decided by the Supreme Court choosing between doctors and patients on one side, and trial lawyers on the other — and siding once again with the trial lawyers.

“We commend Justices Garman and Karmeier for their dissent. Clearly, they understand what is at stake for the people of Illinois.”

  56 Comments      


Question of the day

Thursday, Feb 4, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Sun-Times columnist Mark Brown points out today that he wrote all about lt. governor Democratic nominee Scott Lee Cohen’s troubles last March

So I duly reported the information, along with his explanation that the charges were dropped when the girlfriend failed to appear in court and with his denial that he’d done anything wrong in the first place. The whole business was tucked into a couple of paragraphs deep within the story, which I thought portrayed Cohen overall as a bit of a goof.

And that’s where it stopped, until a few weeks ago, when I started receiving calls from Democratic political types as his opponents came to realize Cohen might actually win, which I’d already figured out for myself just by hearing all his radio commercials and seeing his campaign mailings.

Some hoped I would remind voters about Cohen’s arrest, but I thought that if his opponents or the candidates for governor believed it was important, they should make it an issue themselves.

Instead, I wrote a column about the very real possibility Cohen could win and pointing out how he was going out of his way to hide his occupation in those campaign ads touting him generically as a successful small-business man.

I hoped that would be enough to bring voters to their senses, which was my second mistake.

Now that the Democrats are stuck with him, they might want to make the most of it.

I also knew about the allegations against Cohen because of Brown’s column. His consultant admitted it all last year when I asked. Like Brown, I didn’t think Cohen had much of a shot at winning. Also, like Brown, I thought that the candidates would use it since Brown had already written about it, and I just wasn’t comfortable writing more until then. I was wrong. Man, was I wrong. I’m sorry about that. I feel horrible.

* Cohen and his strategist talked to the Daily Herald

Cohen said he spent about $2 million, compared to the $300,000 Link spent.

“Some career politicians are bitter,” Cohen said. “What won the election was not the money. It was being with the people, listening to their needs, helping their communities.”

Cohen got into politics after starting Rod Must Resign, aimed at forcing former Gov. Blagojevich from office. In the closing days of the campaign, Cohen ran numerous radio and television commercials promoting his job fairs.

His campaign strategist, Phil Molfese, said surveys and focus groups showed Cohen’s main message of job creation and economic development resonated strongest with suburban residents. Support from Cook, DuPage and other collar counties ended up making the difference in his election.

* As we’ve already discussed, woman in question had been arrested for prostitution. She alleged that Cohen “put a knife to her throat and pushed her head against the wall.” Cohen denied that he ever touched her. This bit is new, though

A spokesman for Scott Lee Cohen says Cohen had the woman arrested for destruction of property.

Sounds like a happy couple, that.

* Chicago Public Radio Web Editor Justin Kaufmann wrote about the situation today and admits that he voted for Cohen

Let’s go with the Trib’s big story on the arrest record of Lt. Governor candidate Scott Lee Cohen. Something tells me Ray and Rick had this one sitting on the desk for a while and dusted it off when they saw the surprising results. He did have the best campaign commercial though, where, in a poorly filmed shot, he stares down someone off-screen and kind of yells at them about needing more jobs. It was effective. I was scared. I voted for him because his tie was loosened a bit and I didn’t want him to stare me down anymore. I’m like that.

Editors don’t usually like to break sensational stories right before an election, but I think that needs to be re-thought. Jack Ryan’s troubles were well-known - or at least heavily suspected - in reporter circles before he won the 2004 GOP primary. Blair Hull’s domestic violence history was dropped into the end of a Tribune profile story, and was then picked up and pushed into the bloodstream by Trib columnist Eric Zorn, among others.

* The SJ-R editorial page lays out some options and urges something be done

* As columnist Mike Lawrence recently wrote, the candidates for governor at least should choose their running mates, just as nominees for president do. As entertaining as it might be to watch, it makes no sense from a governing aspect to foist an undesirable running mate upon the gubernatorial nominee. The past two lieutenant governors (Quinn and Corinne Wood, who served under George Ryan) became estranged from their bosses because of corruption.

* The office simply could be abolished. The lieutenant governor has no constitutional duties other than to take the governor’s place if he or she can’t serve or is removed by the General Assembly. The attorney general would be next in the line of succession.

* The governor could give the lieutenant governor something to do. In Ohio, lieutenant governors often are appointed to agency directorships.

* Some states, such as West Virginia, do not have a lieutenant governor, and the Senate president is next in the line of succession.

* The lieutenant governor could be given the duties of presiding over the state Senate, as was the case before the 1970 constitution. The vice president’s power to do so mostly is a formality. Lyndon Johnson wanted to continue being leader of the U.S. Senate when he went from majority leader to vice president in 1961, but Democratic senators promptly rebuffed that idea. The same thing probably would happen here.

I’m not sure how any of this can be done without amending the state’s Constitution. And that would take a vote in the General Assembly and then another vote by the public in November. I also think that Cohen believes he’s mentally prepared for this hurricane. It’s going to take a lot to get him off the ticket. And in the meantime, the Democrats have a horrendous problem on their hands.

* The Question: What do you think Gov. Quinn should do now?

  77 Comments      


*** UPDATE: HYNES CONCEDES - QUINN TO SPEAK *** And a victory statement from Miller

Thursday, Feb 4, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

*** UPDATE 1 - 10:07 am *** Hynes called Quinn about 25 minutes ago to concede, according to WBBM Radio.

*** UPDATE 2 - 10:16 am *** Hynes is speaking now. He’s conceding. “Let us choose peace.” … “And to the victor goes our compliments, and our support.” … “Illinois needs him to continue as governor.”

* It sounds on the radio as if he is on the verge of tears as he thanks his friends and family for their support.

*** UPDATE 3 - 10:25 am *** NBC5 has live video. CLICK HERE.

Hynes, answering questions from reporters, said he will serve out his term as comptroller. “I don’t see a campaign in my future.”

End. We’re expecting a news conference by Gov. Quinn soon, so stay tuned.

*** UPDATE 4 - 10:29 AM *** From the Quinn campaign…

Governor Pat Quinn will hold a news conference today at 11:30 a.m. in the press room of the Hotel Allegro. At that time, he will have a statement on Comptroller Dan Hynes’ concession this morning and will take questions from reporters.

[*** End of Updates *** ]

* We’ll use this post to live-blog Hynes’ announcement. WBBM Radio says it will be broadcasting it live, so click here and help out with the live-blogging and analysis in comments….

Dan Hynes’ campaign has scheduled a 10 a.m. press conference in Chicago to announce whether he’ll seek a recount against Gov. Pat Quinn.

With final tallies showing Quinn ahead by 8,000 votes, it now appears unlikely Hynes will challenge, though the margin is still well within the 5 percent needed under Illinois law to seek it.

* Meanwhile, as I think I told you yesterday, Raja Krishnamoorthi conceded last night at about 9:30 pm. From an e-mail to supporters…

Thank you for being with me during this incredible journey over the last 10 months.

A little while ago, I called David Miller to congratulate him on becoming the Democratic nominee for Illinois State Comptroller.

This is not the outcome we had hoped for, and we all wish last night and today would have included a victory celebration. Indeed, we came within a whisker of winning.

While I did not finish first in the polls, we did shape the debate on what the office of Comptroller should be - the taxpayers’ watchdog.

Your support during these last 10 months has been incredible and uplifting.

I want to thank all of you for your time, your persistence, your financial support and your belief that we can change the game in Illinois. We can have a government that conducts itself openly and is accountable to you. We didn’t get there with this election, but we pushed the ball forward and will get there someday.

Thank you again for your support and dedication to this effort. I am deeply grateful to have traveled this incredible journey together.

Miller just sent out this press release…

The following statement can be attributed to David Miller, Democratic nominee for Illinois State Comptroller:

The results of this race show we are a diverse party with some very solid ideas on moving Illinois forward.

I commend both Raja and Clint for running great, positive campaigns – they ran for the right reasons. We all share the same heartfelt desire to overcome the challenges before us, and we all seek better transparency and accountability for taxpayers.

Our agreement on these priorities strengthens and unifies us as democrats, and sends a strong message that we are the ones who will get the state back on track.

The people of Illinois have already been through enough, from the budget crisis to a leadership crisis, and the last thing they want to hear is another person calling for terminations.

I am eager to get to work, to restore confidence in our public offices and provide real solutions in managing our state’s finances.

  47 Comments      


Morning Shorts

Thursday, Feb 4, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Redistricting the right way

If Illinois loses a congressional district because the 2010 census shows declining population, political observers say that U.S. Rep. John Shimkus, a Republican, likely would be the odd man out.

* Activists promise fight for more Great Lakes money

* Foreclosures Hit Wealthier Chicago Neighborhoods

The condo building Catalpa Gardens looks more like something from Miami than the traditional North Side neighborhood of Edgewater. It’s painted red, yellow and blue and towers over everything nearby. But the cheerful colors outside mask financial pain inside.

* Daley: Loop Superstation Still Necessary

Chicago Mayor Richard Daley says the Loop still needs a “superstation” where passengers could catch high speed trains to Midway and O’Hare airports. And he thinks the federal government should pay for it.

* East Chicago Mayor Indicted

* Arbitrator gives CTA go-ahead to cut jobs

While calling the planned layoffs of 1,057 CTA workers “nothing less than a mass execution,” an arbitrator ruled that the job cuts could proceed as planned Sunday.

* City inspector general needs power to do job

Now a plan is being drafted — and likely will be brought before the City Council next week — that the Daley administration hopes will convince Andersen that a federal monitor is no longer necessary, that the bad old days of political patronage are over and that trustworthy systems are in place to make sure it never ever happens again.

Call us cynics, but we have doubts.

* The Second City Unveils Its Ode to Limbaugh

* Kennedy Expressway drivers should brace for delays

The lane reduction will run from Washington south to the ramps that connect drivers to the Eisenhower Expy.

* Superintendent, unions spar over letter-writing

More than 30 people met this evening at AFSCME’s Rockford office, 212 S. First St., to talk about the letters and what progress they’ve made.

* Stark board pleased with new sales tax

* Coles County schools feel sting of sales tax proposal’s defeat at the polls

* Davis spells out high school options at [Decatur] Chamber of Commerce breakfast

Decision4Decatur is Phase II of the High School Task Force’s work to determine what to do about the aging high school buildings. In a process that began a year ago, the task force explored options and narrowed them to four choices: renovate the two buildings; build a new consolidated high school; remodel Stephen Decatur Middle School into a single high school, which would also mean remodeling MacArthur High School into a middle school; or do nothing.

* Carl Hansen, 1926-2010: Former Cook County Board member

* O’Fallon hopes to clean up high-profile eyesore

The city paid $1,000 for the former Clark station at 102 E. State St. with hopes of getting federal stimulus grant money to clean it up, according to City Administrator Walter Denton

* Union County OKs courthouse funds

Voters passed the 1 percent increase in the countywide sales tax rate to support the construction of a new Union County courthouse, but other county tax referendums were voted down, including a 0.25 percent increase for the city of Anna and a 0.65 percent property tax increase for the Lick Creek school district.

* ‘Southern Illinoisan’ Publisher Named Illinois Press Assoc. Exec Director

  13 Comments      


Dillard’s numbers are wrong, AP is right - he trails by 406

Thursday, Feb 4, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* My interns and at least one commenter found a big problem with Kirk Dillard’s numbers last night. As you already know, Dillard’s campaign claims that the AP results were wrong. Instead of trailing Brady by 406 votes, as the AP has it, they say Dillard actually trails by a much smaller 115 votes. The difference is important because it’s far easier to overcome a 115-vote margin with late absentees, provisionals and a recount than 406.

But as my interns Barton Lorimor and Dan Weber discovered, the Dillard campaign spreadsheet has a big error. They have this total for Vermilion County…

DILLARD 708
BRADY 680

And here is the Dillard campaign total for Danville, which is in Vermilion County, but has its own election board…

DILLARD 708
BRADY 680

Same numbers. Strange. So, the interns checked it out. Here are Vermilion County’s actual numbers from its website…

KIRK W. DILLARD 1212
BILL BRADY 1475

And Danville’s actual numbers

KIRK W. DILLARD 708
BILL BRADY 680

The Dillard campaign inadvertently inputted Danville’s numbers twice. Oops.

OK, so here is the Dillard campaign’s final tally…

BRADY 154,468
DILLARD 154,353

But, because of their Vermilion/Danville error, we have to add 795 votes to Brady and 504 votes to Dillard and you get this total…

BRADY 155,263
DILLARD 154,857

Instead of a 115-vote spread between the two, it’s 406 votes - exactly what the AP has

Brady , Bill 155,263
Dillard , Kirk 154,857

* Meanwhile, Champaign County Clerk Mark Shelden took a shot at guessing the number of returned absentee ballots

I’ve talked with a few people about how many absentees will be returned in time to be counted in the February 16 canvass of votes. I looked at the 2008 primary for some basis. In the 2008 primary [Champaign County] had 86 absentee ballots that were counted after election day. That was out of 209 absentees that were outstanding.

But further breaking that down demonstrates how important it is to know what types of absentees are outstanding. Absentee ballots automatically sent to the military and overseas voters were returned at a 59% rate that election and just 23% of those outstanding on the day of the election ended up showing up in time to be counted.

Ballots that were affirmatively requested by voters were returned at an overall rate of 91% and 60% of those outstanding on election day were returned in time to be counted.

Dividing the absentees that way and applying those rates of return, we can anticipate about 47 absentee ballots being returned and counted on the 16th. I have no idea about the number of provisional ballots.

Using those numbers, comparing it statewide and talking to others, Shelden added this estimate in an e-mail…

I think we’re talking 2-3 thousand statewide.

Considering the overall Tuesday turnout, about half of those will be Republican ballots. Still, Shelden looked at 2008, a presidential year. This year’s voter interest was far lower.

* In other news, the Champaign News-Gazette compared Brady’s numbers to the last time he ran four years ago

Four years ago, in a five-way Republican gubernatorial primary, Brady won only 22 (all downstate) counties. This year he won 79 of them. They certainly weren’t the biggest counties (the greatest number of votes he got in any county was 10,238 in McLean, his home county), but he won a lot of them.

Meanwhile, the six other GOP contenders divvied up the vote in the six-county Chicago area. McKenna was first with 104,863 votes, followed by Jim Ryan (90,870), Kirk Dillard (80,645), Adam Andrzejewski (56,625) and Dan Proft (41,444).

Brady was a distant sixth (23,304), finishing ahead of only Bob Schillerstrom (4,672), who had dropped out of the race two weeks earlier.

And the Trib lays out the recount rules

If a losing margin is within 5 percentage points of the winner’s total, a candidate can demand a “discovery recount.”

In a discovery recount, the losing candidate can petition the clerk’s office to retabulate votes in up to a quarter of the precincts of the candidate’s choice.

If the discovery recount uncovers evidence of missed votes or other problems, the candidate can then opt to ask the Illinois Supreme Court for a full recount, a process Orr said can take months to complete.

* Related…

* Skype a big winner in governor’s race: Around the time he nosed ahead of early leader Andy McKenna and fellow State Sen. Kirk Dillard, NBC-Ch. 5 interviewed Brady live on the air via Skype in a connection that looked more like something viewers are accustomed to seeing from foreign correspondents stationed in war-torn countries overseas.

* Brady has overcome a recount before

* Close primary races show real cost of not voting

* In Republican battle, Dillard not conceding

* GOP governor primary race still a squeaker

  24 Comments      


Here it comes, campers - The Scott Lee Cohen debacle

Thursday, Feb 4, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Another Illinois political meltdown. This time, it’s about the Democratic nominee for lt. governor, Scott Lee Cohen…

The newly minted Democratic nominee for lieutenant governor said Wednesday he doesn’t think a 2005 domestic battery arrest should hurt him in the fall general election, although records in the case raise questions about his version of events.

Not gonna hurt him, eh? OK. Read on

But the official police and court records show that the woman alleged Cohen put a knife to her throat and pushed her head against the wall.

In their October 14 arrest report detailing the complaint from the 24-year-old woman, Chicago police noted they observed “mild abrasions from knife wound” on her neck. They also noted “minor scars on her hand from her trying to defend herself against the arrestee swinging the knife at her.” The report notes the woman was seen by ambulance personnel but not taken to a hospital. […]

Also, public records show that the alleged victim, Scott’s 24-year-old girlfriend at the time, was a prostitute. Six months before the October 2005 incident, she had been arrested after a police investigation of a Glenview massage parlor. She later pleaded guilty to a charge of prostitution.

That’s just… I dunno… I… Sheesh.

The charges were dropped against Cohen when the woman failed to pursue the case, but this is obviously not a good thing

“It was a difficult time in my life. I was going through a divorce, and I fell in with the wrong crowd,” Cohen said. “I was in a tumultuous relationship with the woman I was dating. We had a fight, but I never touched her.”

Oy.

And Sen. Link was not the only one who tried to warn both Quinn and Hynes

State Sen. Terry Link (D-Vernon Hills), one of the unsuccessful candidates for lieutenant governor, and representatives of the other candidates met a month before the election with representatives of the Quinn and Hynes campaigns to warn them about Cohen, Link said.

“We tried to warn the governor beforehand and they didn’t want to listen to it,” Link said. “He and Dan should have issued a joint statement denouncing this guy.”

And the governor, as usual, dodged responsibility

Asked Wednesday night on WTTW’s “Chicago Tonight” if Cohen should step down from the ticket, Quinn replied, “I think he should come forward and tell us everything about his background. But anything dealing with that has to go through the [Democratic] state central committee. I want to see what Mr. Cohen has to say. I don’t give opinions until I hear all the facts from the person involved.”

Chairman/Speaker Madigan does bear responsibility. He’s the party chairman. But Cohen is the governor’s official running mate. He can’t just hide behind Madigan on this.

…Adding… One of the governor’s people says the guv was talking about the process of appointing a new nominee for lt. governor and not the process of kicking Cohen off the ballot.

  123 Comments      


New and conflicting numbers, an important assignment and the DGA congratulates Quinn on his win

Wednesday, Feb 3, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* 6:43 pm - The AP is now reporting 100 percent of the precincts counted and Bill Brady is leading Kirk Dillard leading by 406 votes…

Illinois - 11215 of 11215 Precincts Reporting - 100%
Brady , Bill GOP 155,263 20%
Dillard , Kirk GOP 154,857 20%

But the Dillard campaign claims their own county-by-county tally is different than the AP’s numbers. With all precincts counted, Dillard’s numbers show that he trails Brady by just 115 votes.

What makes this even more intriguing is that the Dillard campaign has the final tally between the two men quite a bit different than the AP. Here are the Dillard totals with the AP numbers in parentheses…

Brady 154,468 (155,263)
Dillard 154,353 (154,857)

And Dillard’s total GOP gubernatorial vote count is different than the AP’s…

AP 765,371
Dillard 764,994

In a normal race, that wouldn’t mean much, but perceptions are hugely important in a situation like this. Dillard needs to make sure people know he’s much more viable than the AP is saying. Considering technological advances, a recount probably won’t produce much of a vote change. But there just might be enough absentees and provisionals out there to overcome that 115-vote difference.

Did the AP double-count something? Did Dillard undercount something? That’s where you come in.

I think what we need to do is download the Dillard campaign’s numbers [use the right-click function to download that thing]. Then, go to the AP’s county-by-county map, scroll over the counties and see what those totals are compared to Dillard’s. Once we have the discrepancies, we can then then go to the individual county/city clerk websites and see who is right.

Is anybody up for this? Lots of work, but could be fascinating to some of you wonkish types.

* Meanwhile, the AP also has Quinn over Hynes by 8,090…

Illinois - 11215 of 11215 Precincts Reporting - 100%
Quinn , Pat (i) Dem 460,376 50%
Hynes , Daniel Dem 452,286 50%

That’s a lot of votes to overcome, man.

Gov. Quinn is doing a media availability tonight at 6:55 before he appears on Chicago Tonight. So, we’ll track that.

The Democratic Governors Association just weighed in for Pat Quinn and added a bit of gentle, but not-so-subtle pressure on Dan Hynes to concede…

Democratic Governors Association Chair Gov. Jack Markell issued the following statement after the Illinois gubernatorial primary:

“I want to congratulate Governor Pat Quinn on his victory. During a global recession and difficult political conditions, Gov. Quinn has successfully restored confidence in state government, balanced the budget and fought to create good jobs for Illinois’ working families. He’s taken concrete steps to turn the corner on this recession and has the kind of optimistic vision for the future that will build a 21st century economy instead of taking Illinois back to the failed policies that caused this recession.”

“I also want to congratulate Comptroller Dan Hynes on running a strong race. He should be very proud of his time in public service and we all believe he will continue to build on what is already an impressive record.”

DGA Executive Director Nathan Daschle echoed Governor Markell’s confidence that Democrats will hold the Illinois governorship.

“While the Republicans will likely spend the next several weeks talking to judges and lawyers, we look forward to talking to voters,” Daschle said. “Eventually we’ll learn which one of these Springfield insiders with a 20-percent mandate will try to become governor on a record of fiscal irresponsibility and failed economic policies. Given what their court battles are bound to entail, though, this morning’s Unity Breakfast would have been better billed as a Prayer Breakfast.”

“I also commend our colleagues for making that the world’s shortest “unity” breakfast. It must have been uncomfortable with so many candidates brushing elbows at the head table, and I hope they had enough coffee – though I imagine there was plenty of tea to go around.”

* The AP also has Plummer over Murphy by 4,722…

Lieutenant Governor - GOP Primary
Name Party Votes Vote %
Plummer , Jason GOP 237,646 34%
Murphy , Matt GOP 232,924 33%

And Miller over Krishnamoorthi by 8,328…

Comptroller - Dem Primary
Illinois - 11215 of 11215 Precincts Reporting - 100%
Miller , David Dem 392,000 47%
Krishnamoorthi , Raja Dem 383,672 46%

  166 Comments      


This just in… Sundown arrives and no Dillard lead… Franks on Hynes… Rosen claims Quinn “mandate”… 2 months?

Wednesday, Feb 3, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* 5:03 pm - I received the following press release just six minutes before sundown, when Sen. Kirk Dillard had earlier predicted that he would be ahead in the count. He’s still behind, of course…

State Senator Kirk Dillard, Republican candidate for governor, today released the following statement in response to the current status of the Republican gubernatorial race:

“Yesterday was a real testament to the strength and power of our grassroots. Both Senator Brady and I were vastly outspent in this primary, but we are the ones still standing today. The strength of that grassroots support is how Republicans are going to take back the Governor’s seat this November.

But a winner has not been decided yet. Yesterday’s election was really close and the simple fact is that they are still counting the votes. There are hundreds of provisional and absentee ballots left to be counted along with several precincts votes to be reported. We believe every Illinoisan’s voice needs and deserves to be heard. We do not know who won yet and we probably won’t for several more days.

Rumors of a victory are not legitimate when votes are still being counted. I’m confident that when all of the ballots have been counted, I will be the Republican nominee for Governor.”

The “rumors” he’s probably referring to here are Sen. Bill Brady’s claim that he’s still about 430 votes ahead.

The AP count, which hasn’t moved since the last time I told you about it…

Illinois - 11143 of 11215 Precincts Reporting - 99%
Brady , Bill GOP 155,210 20%
Dillard , Kirk GOP 154,701 20%

* 5:07 pm - Meanwhile, in the other gubernatorial race, we have yet to hear anything out of Dan Hynes, who is still seven thousand or so votes behind Gov. Quinn…

Illinois - 11143 of 11215 Precincts Reporting - 99%
Quinn , Pat (i) Dem 454,665 50%
Hynes , Daniel Dem 447,235 50%

My intern Dan Weber asked Rep. Jack Franks a few minutes ago what he thinks Dan Hynes should do right now. Franks endorsed Hynes in the primary. Dan also asked Franks why he thought Hynes came up short. Have a look


Last night, my intern Barton Lorimor talked to Quinn campaign finance director David Rosen about the election results. “I think that one person cannot divide the party any longer,” Rosen said. Rosen also called the victory a “mandate,” and said that even a “one-point” win would be a “mandate.” Watch


* 5:18 pm - State GOP Chairman Pat Brady says the back and forth on this Brady/Dillard primary could take quite a while

Republican state senators Kirk Dillard and Bill Brady remained only a few hundred votes apart, with Brady up slightly Tuesday afternoon. That photo finish is threatening a lengthy and costly recount, though neither campaign has said yet they are ready to pull the trigger.

“It could be a couple of months,” said Illinois Republican Party Chairman Pat Brady about a final outcome. “It depends on what happens today. We are not done yet.”

[Comments are now closed on this thread. Go here for a fresh one.]

  26 Comments      


*** UPDATED x5 *** This just in… New numbers

Wednesday, Feb 3, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

[Updated and bumped up for visibility and importance.]

* As of 2:30 pm, Dillard trails Brady by 509 votes…

Illinois - 11142 of 11215 Precincts Reporting - 99%
Brady , Bill GOP 155,210 20%
Dillard , Kirk GOP 154,701 20%

Hynes is making no headway and is down by 7,430…

Illinois - 11142 of 11215 Precincts Reporting - 99%
Quinn , Pat (i) Dem 454,665 50%
Hynes , Daniel Dem 447,235 50%

Jason Plummer leads Matt Murphy by 4,976…

Lieutenant Governor - GOP Primary
Illinois - 11142 of 11215 Precincts Reporting - 99%
Plummer , Jason GOP 237,478 34%
Murphy , Matt GOP 232,502 33%

Miller leads Krishnamoorthi by 6,923…

Comptroller - Dem Primary
Illinois - 11142 of 11215 Precincts Reporting - 99%
Miller , David Dem 386,641 47%
Krishnamoorthi , Raja Dem 379,718 46%

* UPDATE 1 - 2:44 pm - It appears, but I can’t be totally sure, that the precinct count is done in Cook County and included in those numbers. Dillard isn’t moving up as fast as maybe he thought he would. We still have late absentees and provisionals, however.

* UPDATE 2 - 2:49 pm - Clinton County has finished counting its three outstanding precincts. Brady picked up a net 53 votes - a tiny bit more than I expected. St. Clair County is still reporting one precinct not counted.

* UPDATE 3 - 3:18 pm - From the Cook County Clerk’s office…

All precincts reported in suburban Cook County

Unofficial election results for all precincts in suburban Cook County are now posted on cookcountyclerk.com.

Absentee ballots postmarked by midnight on Feb. 1 will be added to the results if they arrive within two weeks of the election. About 800 provisional ballots will be individually checked and, if validated, added to the tally.

Precinct-level results are coming soon.

* UPDATE 4 - 3:20pm - From a commenter…

The City Board of Elections is now reporting everything no except Chicago ward 4 precinct 37.

From this morning:

Dillard +115
Brady +39

Net for Dillard +73

Brady has reportedly told WLS Radio that all votes are in and he won by about 400 430 votes.

Also from comments…

St Clair only has 199 precincts. Yes I counted. #200 might be a software bucket for early or absentees or whatever.

* UPDATE 5 - 3:47pm - The Dillard campaign was hoping to pick up a net of about 100 votes in uncounted Chicago precincts. They fell just a bit shy. Based on my reading of an internal memo, they also apparently didn’t pick up what they thought they would on Cook County absentees.

They were saying earlier that they thought they were about 218 votes down, but that’s not happening yet, of course.

The more immediate problem for Sen. Dillard right now - and it’s one of perception - is that he claimed this morning that he would be ahead by “sundown” today. Sundown today is at 5:09 pm. That’s an hour and 22 minutes from now.

[This thread is now closed. Go here for a fresh one.]

  64 Comments      


The spinning begins in earnest

Wednesday, Feb 3, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Mark Kirk has released a couple results from a new campaign poll which he says has him thumping Alexi Giannoulias in the US Senate race. From a press release…

Just hours after winning the Republican nomination in a landslide election, five-term Congressman and Navy veteran Mark Kirk today released a new survey showing his campaign out to an early double-digit lead over Democratic nominee Alexi Giannoulias, 47% to 35%.

The survey of 885 Illinois voters, conducted by Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies between February 1-2, 2010 with a 3.3% margin of error, showed Kirk holding a net positive favorable/unfavorable rating of +5% while Giannoulias held a net negative favorable/unfavorable rating -15%.

* An NRCC spokesman trashed Dan Seals…

“The nomination of two-time loser Dan Seals is severe blow to the Democratic establishment’s hopes to running a winning campaign in November. As a Democrat, Seals will still have to defend an unacceptably high unemployment rate, a skyrocketing deficit and an out-of-touch agenda to the voters who’ve rejected his ideas twice before.” – Tom Erickson, NRCC spokesman

* The DCCC slammed Sen. Randy Hultgren…

Republican candidate for Illinois’ 14th Congressional District State Senator Randy Hultgren’s real record of raising taxes stands in stark contrast to his hypocritical pledge to oppose any and all efforts to increase the marginal income tax rates. This hypocrisy was not lost on Hultgren’s primary opponent, Ethan Hastert, when he said in a radio commercial “Senator Randy Hultgren, voted for a massive $31 billion tax increase just last year…Randy Hultgren campaigns like a Springfield politician too.”

“Randy Hultgren’s hypocrisy on pledging to not raise taxes and then voting for a $31 billion dollar tax increase, shows his Springfield political tendencies of talking out of both sides of his mouth,” said Gabby Adler, Midwestern Regional Press Secretary at the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee. “In these tough economic times, Illinois families need an honest Representative whose priority is helping middle class families and creating jobs, and State Senator Randy Hultgren simply does not meet this standard.”

* The DCCC also went after Bob Dold…

Republican candidate Robert Dold, who is running against Dan Seals in the 10th Congressional District of Illinois, not only wants to privatize Social Security, he wants to raise the retirement age – taking away critical benefits from Americans of all ages that they have rightly earned and deserve. Just as Washington Republicans are dusting off old failed plans from the past to privatize Social Security, Robert Dold seems to be fitting right in with these Washington Republicans who have time and again attempted to dismantle Social Security.

“Illinois families simply cannot afford to let Robert Dold take us back to the failed policies of George W. Bush that would privatize Social Security and cheat seniors who have worked hard and played by the rules out of the retirement benefits they earned,” said Gabby Adler, Midwestern Regional Press Secretary at the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee. “It is only Day One of this campaign, and Robert Dold is already mimicking the very Washington Republicans who shamefully want to jeopardize Social Security when so many Americans are still reeling from their investment losses of the past two years.”

* As I told you earlier, the NRSC has a new YouTube vid slamming Giannoulias. The DSCC issued a press release…

CONGRESSMAN MARK KIRK TO KICK-OFF GENERAL ELECTION CAMPAIGN WITH FELLOW WASHINGTON INSIDER AND MEGA LOBBYIST HALEY BARBOUR

Kirk’s First Move After Winning Primary Is To Stand Shoulder To Shoulder With Embodiment Of GOP Establishment And Special Interests

Republican “Unity” Event To Feature Same Players That Got Country Into Economic Mess In First Place

Today, the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee is on the offensive against Republican Senate nominee Mark Kirk for kicking off his general election campaign with fellow Washington insider and Mexico lobbyist Haley Barbour. The Republican “Unity” event comes less than 24 hours after Congressman Kirk won the Republican nomination. Now, instead of reaching out to voters he will need to win over in November, Kirk has decided to make a statement about his candidacy by instead, standing shoulder to shoulder with Barbour, who is the embodiment of the GOP establishment and of special interests, having served as Chairman of the RNC and a mega lobbyist in DC.

“Congressman Mark Kirk made a bold statement today about his general election campaign by holding his first post-primary event with a politician whose resume as a Washington insider rivals his own,” said DSCC National Press Secretary Deirdre Murphy. “Instead of reaching out to independent voters, Kirk has decided to kick-off his campaign by standing shoulder to shoulder with fellow Washington insider and establishment Republican Haley Barbour. As if they needed a reminder, this event just shows that Illinois voters will face a stark contrast this November between a candidate who wants to take the state forward and one who wants to take the state backwards.”

Are you feeling all nice and clean? Me neither.

  39 Comments      


Undervoting and a big campaign roundup

Wednesday, Feb 3, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The uproar over the new “undervote” law was partially justified, particularly in areas that didn’t have electronic notification

In many counties, the machines will not only reject the ballots, they’ll beep.

Voters then must take the ballot to an election judge, who will ask the voters if they intentionally left part of the ballot blank. If not, they’ll be allowed to vote in those races. If so, the ballot will be approved. […]

Even in counties where machines don’t beep, voters with rejected ballots will have to approach an election judge, show their ballot and ask for help, said Schultz.

State Board of Elections Director Daniel White said election judges are required to protect the integrity and the secrecy of the voting process and doubts there will be serious problems.

“There’s no reason for them to be staring at the ballots,” White said.

They shouldn’t even be looking at ballots, let alone starting at them.

But, despite the Rockford Register Star’s paranoia, there is a good reason for the law

We’re supposed to have a secret ballot, but when we decided not to vote in a particular race it was no secret to those assembled at our polling places. Election judges were required to ask if we really wanted to leave a race blank. They had enough to do without that extra chore.

People accidentally skip races. The way my paper ballot was laid out yesterday, that would’ve been easy to do.

I first encountered this undervote warning several years ago in Chicago. The card reader wouldn’t accept my ballot and it caused some consternation with the polling judges.

I always undervote. I never vote for unopposed candidates, for instance, and I often skip over judicial retentions. I undervoted yesterday in Springfield and a little light went off alerting me, and all I had to do was push that button and I was done. No biggie. So, it’s probably not a huge deal for many of us

A first-time law aimed at catching ballot errors took effect with Tuesday’s election. It calls for voters to be notified of an “undervote,” that is, if they did not vote in races for statewide constitutional office. If they choose, they can go back and vote in that race. Most did not.

“No. There’s no complaints,” said election judge Mike Chiras after handling Tazewell County voters like Long at the Methodist church. “They know what they want to do.”

“No. There’s been no problem with that,” agreed Harold Dikeman, who was serving as an election judge for Knox County in Yates City. “I know everybody was worried about that.”

Concerns were raised that the 2007 law might create more confusion, not to mention more expense to upgrade voting machines. A couple of state legislators hope to overturn it, and even some sponsors have called for more review.

However, this would not be a good thing, if true. From Illinois Review

One frustrated voter from Aurora spoke to IR today, telling the story of purposefully under-voting because they didn’t know enough about certain candidates and offices. By the time their ballot was submitted, several poll workers had reviewed it - one even asking them why they weren’t filling it all out and pointing to the specific offices this person had purposefully not voted in!

That voter should’ve called the authorities. I hope IR suggested it. I would’ve.

Do you deliberately undervote?

* Here’s your campaign roundup…

* Todd Stroger Talks Race Relations in Concession Speech

* Keats Says He Shouldn’t Be Written Off

* Keats Gets GOP Nod For Cook County Board President

* Berrios Wins Cook County Assessor Primary

* Cronin sails to victory in DuPage chairman race

* Cronin wins DuPage Co. Board chair race

* Dold, Seals declare victory on North Shore while Hastert’s son loses congressional bid

* Hultgreen defeats Hastert in 14th race

* Hultgren defeats Hastert in 14th Congresional Dist. race

* Kinzinger wins in the 11th, will take on Halvorson

* Seals holds slender lead over Hamos in 10th race

* Dold, Seals will face off in 10th District

* Coulson loses to Dold in 10th Congressional; Hamos trails Seals

* Walsh to face Bean in 8th District

* Hirner leading in 18th Congressional race

* Shimkus wins GOP primary in 19th Congressional District

* Newman leading in 12th Congressional District

* Burke barely holding off Lozano

* Burke in tight legislative race in Chicago

* Bassi loses to Morrison in 54th House District GOP primary

* Higgins defeats Forte-Scott in 56th House GOP race

* Sente tops Hartstein in House District 59

* Winters, Wilson win 68th District races

* Voters say no to New Trier referendum

* Carol Stream voters backing rec center plan

* Clark County voters approve half-cent sales tax to finance new courthouse

* Stark County voters OK safety sales tax

* Property tax hike OK’d for new Brimfield high school

* Wind farms: Voters seek slowdown on permits

* Officials: Ill. voter turnout lower than past

* Primary voter turnout ‘extremely disappointing’

* Voter turnout disappointing

* Election 2010: Boone’s 19.95 percent turnout is best in area

* Election judge booted from precinct for bad behavior

* How much does a campaign cost?

* Primary’s over; time to move it to a reasonable date

  20 Comments      


*** UPDATED x2 - Obama calls Hynes *** Obama not so subtly weighs in

Wednesday, Feb 3, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

*** UPDATE 1 *** Dan Hynes’ campaign manager just said Obama called Hynes as well and didn’t ask Hynes to concede.

*** UPDATE 2 *** From Hynes spokesman Matt McGrath…

While I would never pretend to speak for the President, it was a warm call, wherein he indicated that he understood our position that every vote should be counted.

[ *** End of Updates *** ]

* President Obama tried to force Dan Hynes’ hand today. No luck yet, though

President Barack Obama called Gov. Pat Quinn to congratulate him on his win in the Democratic primary, even though back in Illinois opponent Dan Hynes has not conceded yet.

News of the phone call, which came at a White House press briefing, puts added pressure on Hynes, who is mulling his options as he trails Quinn by about 7,100 votes. […]

In the Democratic governor’s contest, Hynes is staying out of the public eye so far today.

“We are still in the same posture as last night, taking a look this morning at where things stand,” Hynes spokesman Matt McGrath said. “We’re not prepared to declare victory or concede until all the votes are counted.”

* Mayor Daley called for unity, but wouldn’t say whether Hynes should concede

“I lost an election to Harold Washington in 1983, and the next day I had breakfast with Harold, and I supported him. Just like a basketball or football game, it’s over with, then you support the individual” he said.

But Daley refused to say that Comptroller Dan Hynes should concede to Gov. Pat Quinn and help strengthen the Democratic push to hold onto the governor’s mansion.
“I don’t know. It’s real close,” the mayor said. “I don’t know all the — I haven’t seen the end result.”

* More from Hynes

“I don’t really want to get into the campaign’s mood, other than tired after a long night,” said Hynes spokesman Matt McGrath. “For the time being, we are waiting for every vote to be counted, and that will be our posture for the foreseeable future.”

Thom Serafin, a Chicago political strategist who has advised both Republicans and Democrats in the past, said the feeling on the ground is that Quinn will probably narrowly escape with a win, but that Hynes could mount a recount.

“Dan Hynes has a determination to make on proceeding with any kind of discovery,” he said. “He probably should do it with how close it is.”

* The latest results as of 1:46 pm…

llinois - 11118 of 11215 Precincts Reporting - 99%
Quinn , Pat (i) Dem 451,871 50%
Hynes , Daniel Dem 444,779 50%

* What’s left to count in Cook County

There’s also about 800 provisional ballots that need to be verified and at least 1,000 absentee ballots to be counted. The absentee ballots had to be postmarked Monday, but have two weeks to arrive at county offices.

Around 7,000 total absentee ballots were sent out, and about 3,700 already have been counted.

  22 Comments      


GOP Unity Breakfast videos - And the NRSC goes after Giannoulias

Wednesday, Feb 3, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Sen. Bill Brady talks to the press as he arrives at the Illinois Republican Unity Breakfast this morning. Brady said he considers Illinois be to a “center right” state


* Sen. Kirk Dillard speaks to reporters about the margin of the race. He predicted “by sundown today, I’ll be in the lead”


* Senate GOP Leader Christine Radogno talks to my intern Barton Lorimor about the results


Chew on these for now, and I’ll upload more in a bit.

* The NRSC releases a YouTube video claiming that Alexi Giannoulias “would make Tony Soprano proud.” Watch it


* OK, back to the breakfast. Jim Ryan supporter Joe Birkett talks to reporters


* More vids from this morning…

* Mark Kirk’s address to the IL GOP Unity Breakfast

* Sen. Brady addresses the IL GOP Unity Breakfas

* Sen. Dillard addresses the IL GOP Unity Breakfast

  30 Comments      


Breaking campaign news open thread

Wednesday, Feb 3, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* 7:30 am - I’ve been up all night working, so I’m gonna take a nap. I have session this afternoon and I definitely need some rest.

I’ll post more stories later. But if big news breaks - somebody concedes, or final counts come in, or the like - please post it here and discuss it in comments. Thanks.

…By the way, I just checked the site stats, and yesterday’s traffic was higher than any day since Rod Blagojevich’s arrest. Wow.

[This thread is now closed.]

  162 Comments      


Question of the day

Wednesday, Feb 3, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Why do you think some of your primary predictions didn’t match up with reality yesterday? Be honest, please.

  70 Comments      


We will not be shoehorned

Wednesday, Feb 3, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* A good friend sent me an e-mail last night with the subject line: “A message to the national media”…

Go ahead and try to decipher those election non-results and fit them into your nice little MSM political puzzle.

Heh. Scott Brown redux it wasn’t, that’s for sure.

Let’s see, now…

The flawed incumbent governor won a hard-fought primary with gigantic piles of cash from SEIU (horrors) and old guard party leaders. A conservative gubernatorial candidate with no real ties to the “Tea Party” types is essentially tied with the candidate of the true GOP old guard. A moderate Republican tied his conservative tea party enemies in knots and easily won the US Senate primary, and his Democratic opponent defeated a noted “reformer” backed to the hilt by angry newspaper editorial boards - and his chief of staff won the treasurer’s primary with slating from party regulars. A ten-year state Rep. defeated an insurgent “new politician” in the Democratic comptroller’s race. A longtime office-holder won the Republican comptroller’s race. And a pawnbroker with a past won the Democratic lt. governor’s race…

Scott Lee Cohen, a pawn broker and cleaning supply distributor, appeared to be edging out state Rep. Art Turner for the Democratic nomination. Cohen had 26 percent of the vote to Turner’s 22 percent, with 97 percent counted.

Cohen, a little-known candidate who financed much of the campaign with his own fortune, will have to answer questions during the general election race as more is learned about him. He was charged with a 2005 misdemeanor domestic battery charge.
He was accused of beating a woman, but the case was dropped a month later when she refused to show up in court to pursue the charges.

Hmmm. How about Jason Plummer? He’s certainly a fresh face, but he got the lt. guv nomination after spending a ton of his family’s money on a mostly non-ideological campaign.

Ethan Hastert’s loss to Sen. Randy Hultgren? Maybe. But was it “insider vs. outsider” or just “the kid ain’t his old man”?

Bob Dold over Beth Coulson in the 10th CD Republican primary? Dold was a mainstream conservative who touted his endorsement by Sen. Dick Lugar. Dick Green was the candidate who really tried to reach out to the “tea party” types.

Adam Kinzinger in the 11th CD? Great, young politician. Will get a lot of help from DC. But his primary opposition wasn’t much to crow about, and he’s basically a hand-picked DC candidate, so I’m not sure you can say he’s a total outsider.

Toni Preckwinkle probably comes closest, but she’s a black, liberal, wonkish Democrat. That’s not exactly the meme being developed by the DC crowd these days.

The Tribune ecstatically congratulated voters for listening to its constant rants and ousting Todd Stroger (as if that was in any danger of not happening). It didn’t mention all those other big losses, though, except for a petulant broadside against Giannoulias which began with an out-of-context quote from the preznit.

Can you think of an appropriate meme for this primary election? Snark heavily encouraged.

  47 Comments      


How close is Brady/Dillard? Very

Wednesday, Feb 3, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* In case you missed it last night, Bill Brady is leading Kirk Dillard by just 503 votes with 97 precincts to count…

Governor - GOP Primary
Illinois - 11118 of 11215 Precincts Reporting - 99%
Brady , Bill GOP 154,646 20%
Dillard , Kirk GOP 154,143 20%

Nate Silver at 538 takes a look at the numbers

If I project out the remaining Cook County precincts based on the previous ones, I show Dillard picking up another 800 votes and Brady another 225. That would make the statewide margin Dillard 154,876, and Brady 154,877 — an advantage of literally one vote for Brady.

Silver didn’t include results from three Downstate precincts, where I give Brady about a 36-40 vote net advantage, plus things like provisional ballots, absentee ballots, etc. But this race is certainly close. Very close. It’s going to a recount for sure.

He’s totally right about the Quinn/Hynes race, though…

In the Democratic gubernatorial primary, incumbent Pat Quinn is performing slightly better than his statewide numbers in Cook County and it looks like his ~7,000-vote advantage over Dan Hynes will expand rather than contract. There might be a recount but unless there are mass irregularities or whole stashes of ballots that haven’t been counted yet, it is unlikely to change the outcome.

It’s over. Hynes should bow out. The same goes for Raja Krishnamoorthi…

Comptroller - Dem Primary
Illinois - 11118 of 11215 Precincts Reporting - 99%
Miller , David Dem 383,895 47%
Krishnamoorthi , Raja Dem 377,717 46%
Krislov , Clint Dem 62,729 8%

And Matt Murphy…

Lieutenant Governor - GOP Primary
Illinois - 11118 of 11215 Precincts Reporting - 99%
Plummer , Jason GOP 236,445 34%
Murphy , Matt GOP 231,469 33%

…Adding… Jason Plummer isn’t waiting on Sen. Murphy to concede and has gone ahead and declared victory. From a press release…

Jason Plummer, Republican candidate for Lt. Governor declared victory this morning. With 99percent of all Illinois precincts reporting, Plummer leads his closest opponent by nearly 5000 votes. “Late last night, I accepted the congratulation of three of my opponents, this morning as the Republican Party’s Lt. Governor nominee, I look forward to out ticket coming together and beginning the work of creating a new brand of leadership in Springfield.” Plummer said.

Plummer and some of his supporters will attend the Republican Party Unity Breakfast this morning at the Union League Club in Chicago.

We’ll have video from that unity breakfast later today.

* So, what happens next? The AP fills us in

Right now, the results are unofficial. Election authorities will count late-arriving absentee ballots, randomly check some of the results, inspect voting equipment and then declare official winners.

That takes two weeks. Then the losing candidates might decide to seek a recount.

Unlike some states, Illinois doesn’t automatically conduct recounts in close races. Officials say the candidates have to go to court and ask for one.

They also have to pay for the recount.

  29 Comments      


Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today’s edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)

Wednesday, Feb 3, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

This post is password protected. To view it please enter your password below:

  Comments Off      


Live-blogging the results, Part 5 - It ain’t over ’til it’s over, unless you’re David Orr

Wednesday, Feb 3, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* 1:36 am - New numbers in the GOP governor’s race…

Governor - GOP Primary
Illinois - 11091 of 11215 Precincts Reporting - 99%
Brady , Bill GOP 154,622 20%
Dillard , Kirk GOP 154,076 20%

546-vote margin. Dillard made up about 900 votes since the last tabulation. I think that was from the uncounted (by AP) votes in Lake County. Dillard is outpolling Brady 3-1 in the city and almost 4-1 in suburban Cook.

* The Tribune wasted no time in going after Scott Lee Cohen

Scott Lee Cohen, a pawn broker and cleaning supply distributor, appeared to be edging out state Rep. Art Turner for the Democratic nomination [for lt. governor]. Cohen had 26 percent of the vote to Turner’s 22 percent, with 97 percent counted.

Cohen, a little-known candidate who financed much of the campaign with his own fortune, will have to answer questions during the general election race as more is learned about him. He was charged with a 2005 misdemeanor domestic battery charge.
He was accused of beating a woman, but the case was dropped a month later when she refused to show up in court to pursue the charges.

* As I told you earlier, Raja Krishnamoorthi refused to concede. But there’s little chance of overturning this one…

Comptroller - Dem Primary
Illinois - 11097 of 11215 Precincts Reporting - 99%
Miller , David Dem 382,850 47%
Krishnamoorthi , Raja Dem 376,897 46%

That’s almost 6,000 votes. In the age of electronic balloting, that’s gonna be pretty darned tough, if not impossible to overturn. Here’s Rep. David Miller’s speech


* 1:49 am - New numbers

Governor - GOP Primary
Illinois - 11097 of 11215 Precincts Reporting - 99%
Brady , Bill GOP 154,629 20%
Dillard , Kirk GOP 154,119 20%

510 votes. That’s a 36-vote pickup in the six precincts counted since the last update - 6 votes per precinct. If that trend holds, Dillard picks up a net 708 votes - meaning he has the potential of winning by 198 votes. LOL. Recount city, baby.

There are 117 GOP precincts still to be counted in suburban Cook and Chicago. Only one other precinct remains unaccounted for. I’m not sure where that one is, or maybe AP and I have different numbers for Cook/Chicago.

* Clinton County hasn’t yet counted 3 precincts. Brady is doing very well there, and if current trends hold, he picks up about 35 or 36 net votes.

* St. Clair County hasn’t yet counted one precinct. Based on current trends, that’s a couple/three votes net for Brady.

* 2:11 am - New numbers…

Illinois - 11118 of 11215 Precincts Reporting - 99%
Brady , Bill GOP 154,646 20%
Dillard , Kirk GOP 154,143 20%

503-vote margin. That’s only a seven-vote pickup, even though 21 precincts were counted. Not many Republicans in those precincts. Somebody on the Brady team might want to call Clinton and St. Clair counties and see if they can finish counting tonight, but he may not need it. Fun.

* 2:24 am - David Orr has suspended tallying. From a press release…

To allow for public viewing, tallying of results for suburban Cook County will resume on Wednesday, Feb. 3, at the Clerk’s election warehouse, 4545 W. Cermak, Chicago.

Counting of the remaining 24 of 1,937 precincts will begin at 9 a.m. All are welcome.

Unofficial suburban Cook County election results, suspended at 98.76 percent of precincts reporting, are available at cookcountyclerk.com.

That really sucks.

* I just got an e-mail from the Jim Ryan campaign…

ELECTION DAY:
Help Us Send 100,000 E-Yard Signs Today!
It’s Primary Election Day — and today the Illinois Republican voters will take a first step toward restoring honest, ethical authentic leadership to Springfield.
I would be honored to have your vote — and need your help to get our voters to the polls today.

That explains some things.

* Well, since Cook, Chicago, St. Clair and Clinton counties have all suspended counting, it’s time to end the blog portion of our program.

  45 Comments      


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