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Monken out at ISP - Quinn to sign seniors ride free rollback - Topinka against bankruptcy option - Mendoza up with new TV ad

Monday, Feb 14, 2011 - Posted by Rich Miller

* I told subscribers on Friday that this would happen, then told them about the official resignation and governor’s office confirmation earlier this morning. From Sneed

Illinois State Police director Jon Monken submitted his resignation Monday and will start a new job Tuesday as director of the Illinois Emergency Management Agency.

Monken stepped aside from the state police after the Illinois Senate refused to confirm his appointment by Gov. Quinn over Monken’s lack of law enforcement experience.

It’s been a long, strange trip, but it’s finally ending.

…Adding… So far, his path to IEMA looks pretty clear

State Sen. John Millner (R-Carol Stream), a former Elmhurst police chief who was one of Monken‚s critics in 2009, said he expects Monken will do well in his new post withn the emergency management agency, where he can draw on his vast experience in Iraq, when he commanded a tank company in combat operations.

…Adding More… AP

[Monken] would have gotten the permanent job by default after Wednesday because the deadline for Senate action would expire. However, the Senate raised the possibility of a last-minute hearing to block Monken.

The Senate didn’t just raise the possibility of a hearing. The Senate scheduled a hearing.

…Adding Still More… From the governor’s office…

Governor Pat Quinn today named Jonathon E. Monken as director of the Illinois Emergency Management Agency (IEMA). Monken is a decorated military Veteran who since 2009 has been charged with protecting the public’s safety as director of the Illinois State Police (ISP).

“I salute and thank Jon Monken for his service to the Illinois State Police, which he has led with honor and distinction – most recently during a major winter storm,” said Governor Quinn. “His strong leadership on the battlefield and in keeping Illinoisans safe makes him perfectly suited for preparing our state for disasters, and helping us recover from their aftermath.” […]

Patrick Keen will serve as the interim director of the ISP. Keen is a more than 25-year ISP veteran and currently serves as Deputy Director for the Division of Administration.

Current Interim IEMA Director Joseph Klinger will resume his role as the agency’s assistant director. Klinger has served as the agency’s interim director since May 2010, when Andrew Velasquez III was appointed by President Barack Obama as regional administrator for FEMA Region V. Klinger has served as the agency’s assistant director since 2007 after working for the state’s nuclear safety program for more than 20 years.

Director Monken was under the impression that he wouldn’t be named to IEMA today. Things change.

* Meanwhile, Gov. Quinn will also sign legislation today abolishing the all seniors ride free perk

Sources close to Mr. Quinn say the governor, who had resisted such a move last year, finally concluded that the measure will, indeed, save cash-strapped transit operators $37 million to $90 million a year.

It also will send a signal of fiscal restraint just two days before Mr. Quinn is to unveil a proposed fiscal 2012 budget that he has said will call for painful spending cuts in many areas.

* Comptroller Judy Baar Topinka came out hard today against the bankruptcy for states option. This is from a letter she sent to the US House’s Judiciary Committee, which is holding hearings on the issue…

There is no question Illinois faces serious financial challenges – but declaring bankruptcy is not the answer.

While supporters of bankruptcy are no doubt well-intentioned, their proposal to allow states like Illinois to break their financial commitments is misguided at best. State bankruptcy would immediately result in increased borrowing costs, reduced access to financial markets and suspended or downgraded credit ratings. It is irresponsible. In fact, I fear that the mere discussion of this option runs the risk of destabilizing the bond market.

Beyond those consequences, state bankruptcy threatens to create more financial uncertainty and stunt economic recovery. Residents in our state already face high unemployment, residential foreclosures and other economic difficulties – bankruptcy will only exacerbate their plight. In addition to disrupting the bond market in the short-term, it would stop infrastructure and construction projects that are needed to jump start the economy. In Illinois specifically, it would also further paralyze business recruitment already made more-difficult by the recently-approved corporate tax increase.

She’s right on pretty much all points. Our DC representatives should take heed.

* One thing Tunisia taught reporters is they might wanna check into social media sites before a protest. I received an e-mail the other day touting a “Statewide March on Springfield - ‘THE ILLINOIS STATE WIDE TAX REVOLT,’ so I checked out the group’s Facebook site. Just 77 FBians are planning to attend. No Tunisia yet.

* I’ll be very interested to see this

State Senator John O. Jones says Republicans will release their own budget proposal following the Governor’s budget address on Wednesday.

Jones says the state is already devastated with taxes that are the highest in the country and it’s time to pull the reigns back and stop spending money the state doesn’t have. “We’re going to come out with a proposal after he gives his budget address. It will not include borrowing more money, but will have some drastic cuts in the budget.

* And in a somewhat state-related story, state Rep. Susana Mendoza said this morning she’s putting 1,000 points behind this new campaign TV ad. Not a bad buy at all. Rate it

Script…

VO: Recognized as one of Illinois’s hardest working, independent legislators,

the Sun Times endorses Susana Mendoza for City Clerk for her detailed plans to
add new police, cut the cost of city stickers and help grow jobs.

Secretary of State Jesse White and the Chicago Tribune enthusiastically back Mendoza for City Clerk.

Susana Mendoza: “I want to be an outspoken, independent consumer advocate for you. [Applause.]”

* Other stuff…

* “For the Good of Illinois” former governor candidate says state needs cross party lines

* Mitchell, Brown call for welfare reform

* Mark Kirk: Senate candy man

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Monday, Feb 14, 2011 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Question of the day

Monday, Feb 14, 2011 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Since it’s Valentine’s Day, how about composing a Valentine for an Illinois politician? Choose anyone you want, but, as always, keep it clean and state-centric.

And, of course, snark is not required but is “heartily” encouraged.

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Indiana beefs up poaching effort while more workers’ comp scandals exposed

Monday, Feb 14, 2011 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Indiana has hired a new staffer to poach businesses from Illinois

Indiana plans to up the ante, [Blair West, a spokeswoman for the Indiana Economic Development Corporation] said – officials have scheduled a news conference Monday to unveil details of a wider effort. The state is targeting small- to mid-size businesses, and much of the effort to date has been in the Chicago metropolitan area.

“We’ve hired a person to recruit businesses,” West said. “He’s in northwest Indiana.”

According to the story, the Illinois Chamber’s Doug Whitley recently sent an e-mail to his members saying Illinois is finally starting to turn the corner on fiscal responsibility. And, like many of us, Whitley’s tired of the bashing from outsiders…

“It’s time for Illinois to start sticking up for itself,” Whitley wrote.

“I won’t be an apologist for all of the irresponsible budgets and outrageous actions of the past decade, but after authoring many critical pieces, I think it appropriate to acknowledge that Governor Quinn and the Democrats who control the General Assembly have at long last finally begun to accept responsibility and take positive steps to confront our fiscal and policy ills in a more favorable manner.”

* As much as I agree with Whitley, neither he nor I would say that all our problems have somehow magically been solved. Far from it.

For instance, the Belleville News-Democrat has uncovered even more shenanigans at the Illinois Workers’ Compensation Commission

Illinois workers’ compensation arbitrator Jennifer Teague offered to accommodate an assistant attorney general by setting a special hearing date in a difficult case during the same conversation in which she asked for help in speeding up resolution of her own personal injury case, according to a three-page report from the Office of the Executive Inspector General for Attorney General Lisa Madigan. […]

The report stated that Teague asked assistant attorney general A for help in getting a check for her claim by contacting Susan LeMasters, an employee of Central Management Services, whose job it is to facilitate workers’ compensation claims for state and private claimants. In exchange, she would agree to set a “special hearing date” in a case the attorney general’s office wanted to settle. […]

Teague canceled a scheduled hearing Aug. 5 in the Anderson case, stating she was taking a furlough day. When the assistant attorney general tried to reschedule the hearing, Teague said “she was being forced to take 24 furlough days that she was never going to get the Jo Anderson case done because she was going to have to keep taking furlough days until the last day of the Mount Vernon docket,” according to the report.

“Arbitrator Teague then told AAGA (assistant attorney general A) that she wanted to settle her personal workers’ compensation case, involving a cubital tunnel claim, with Susan LeMasters and asked AAGA if there was a way to avoid the 180-day wait for the payment on her claim. …”

“Arbitrator Teague then said to AAGA that if she (Teague) could get her case settled with Susan LeMasters, then she would give AAGA a special hearing date in the Jo Anderson case.”

Teague, you will recall, was the same arbitrator who allegedly attempted to hold a secret hearing for the former state cop who was injured in a crash which killed two people and for which he pled guilty to reckless homicide.

And

In an e-mail to a Belleville lawyer representing a client in a pending injury case assigned to another workers’ compensation hearing officer, Jennifer Teague provided legal guidance and confided that her bosses considered her fellow arbitrator a “fool.” […]

Teague, 37, gave advice and conducted legal research for private attorneys who specialized in workers’ comp cases, the e-mails showed. It could not be determined whether any of these cases were before Teague.

And

[Arbitrator John Dibble] has ruled in favor of more than 125 Menard Correctional Center guards and employees who hired [attorney Thomas Rich] to obtain injury settlements for repetitive trauma ranging from about $15,000 to more than $150,000. In October, Dibble received $48,790 in his own settlement he said stemmed from when he fell on steps at the commission hearing site in Herrin on Nov. 12, 2009, causing him to develop an unusual condition called, “post traumatic carpal tunnel syndrome.”

“Your bride called this a.m. and asked to purchase tickets to South Pacific at the Fox for the matinee show. … I tried to leave message on her cell phone … think I succeeded … but if not, please tell her no problem,” Rich wrote to Dibble via e-mail.

In.The.Tank.

And

Former Illinois Assistant Attorney General Bill Schneider said he passed along all necessary information regarding the workers’ compensation case involving former Illinois State Trooper Matt Mitchell, who pleaded guilty to reckless homicide in connection with a high-speed crash that killed two Collinsville sisters.

Schneider, who represented the state, wrote Saturday in an e-mail to the News-Democrat that he informed his supervisor of “all unusual aspects of the Matt Mitchell work comp case.”

“I believed that I fulfilled my obligations and passed along all necessary information to my direct supervisor,” Schneider wrote.

But Ann Spillane, chief of staff for Illinois Attorney General Lisa Madigan, maintained that after searching their e-mails, they have found no evidence that Schneider ever told his supervisors about workers’ compensation arbitrator Jennifer Teague’s attempts to have the Mitchell hearing so reporters would not attend.

Sheesh.

* Meanwhile, the workers’ comp reform negotiations took a twist last week when Gov. Pat Quinn’s office hosted a negotiating session. The Illinois Manufacturers pick up the story from there

While Workers’ Compensation negotiations are typically conducted between business and labor only, this discussion [last] week included a host of other sectors including trial lawyers, hospitals, doctors, insurers, physical therapists, and firefighters who are all generally opposed to Workers’ Compensation reform.

The IMA noted vigorously that each of these groups is interested in protecting their access to some of the $3 billion that flows through the system every year while it’s the employers that actually pay the bills. [IMA President Greg Baise] noted that in previous testimony on SB 1066, a large number of physicians testified repeatedly that they charge more for Workers’ Compensation cases than regular cases covered by insurance.

The Chamber’s Whitley adds

Despite considerable work on the issue to date, Quinn’s assumption of leadership from the legislature will mean starting the process over again. Hence, Thursday’s meeting was largely introductory in nature.

However, the Chamber and the other Joint Employers effectively delivered a simple message to the Governor and the legislative leadership: you must clearly define what the outcome of this process will accomplish. Employers deserve to know on the front end if the Governor is committed to real reforms that will dramatically improve our rank of 3rd most expensive system or if he is only interested in window dressing.

* Related…

* AG Madigan opposes ComEd automatic rate hikes: “We have some serious concerns about the proposal in its current form and are strenuously opposed to it. It will seriously harm consumers. We expect this to be a hard fought issue,” Madigan’s office said in a statement.

* AG Madigan undecided on health care lawsuit

* Chicago commercial real estate market dodges collapse, begins recovery: Loan delinquencies are falling, property values are rising and leasing is picking up at the area’s office buildings, shopping malls and warehouses, signs that the market is in the early stages of a broad-based recovery. Though it is far from reclaiming the ground lost in the deepest downturn since the early 1990s, Chicago clearly will avoid the devastating crash many predicted two years ago.

* US House bill threatens O’Hare expansion funding

* An industry re-invented at Chicago Auto Show

* Dark times, bright future: Inside the Mitsubishi deal:Jerry Berwanger admits now there were times he thought Mitsubishi’s Normal manufacturing plant could close. “Yeah, I did,” said the plant’s executive vice president and chief operating officer. “I couldn’t show that. I didn’t want to show that”

* Academics see DuPage Airport improvement

* Rantoul Pork Plant Hiring

* More pork coming to Clinton County: Carlyle-based company adds 50,000 sows

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Welcome back, Judy

Monday, Feb 14, 2011 - Posted by Rich Miller

* My weekly syndicated newspaper column

“Is it weird that I’m kind of glad to have Judy Baar Topinka back?” a Democratic friend of mine asked me the other day.

No, I replied. It’s not weird. I’m glad she’s back as well. She’s crazy, I said, but in a very sane way.

Topinka was elected state comptroller in November by a huge margin, while spending just $270,000. That’s less than half of what it costs to run a decent state House campaign. Some cost many times that.

Down-ballot statewide races like Topinka’s revolve a lot around name recognition. Topinka was state treasurer for three terms, so Illinoisans knew who she was.

After Topinka lost the 2006 governor’s race to Rod Blagojevich, voters this time around may have tried to make it up to her by casting more votes for Topinka than she’d ever received before. She lost just two counties and performed way better in Cook County than any statewide Republican candidate, including U.S. Sen. Mark Kirk.

Topinka has kidded me recently for being responsible for that failed 2006 gubernatorial bid, which put her out of government for four years. I’ve covered her for more than 20 years and she was a great source of information while she was in the state Senate, so while she was attempting to make up her mind about challenging Blagojevich she asked for my thoughts. I don’t give advice, but I did pose two questions to her:

Are you comfortable serving another four years as treasurer with Rod Blagojevich as governor?

If Blagojevich or one of his top cronies is indicted before the election and a Republican goes on to win, are you comfortable with all of the candidates who have announced a primary bid?

Apparently, the answer was “No” to both, because she took the plunge, but then lost by 10 points.

Topinka has a well-known reputation for being tight with a dollar. She’s a thrift shop, garage sale kind of person who lives in a modest neighborhood in suburban Riverside. With the state’s backlog of unpaid bills in the billions, a penny-pincher is good to have around.

She’s also a beloved figure on both sides of Springfield’s political aisle. She’s not overly partisan, and her years in the General Assembly helped her understand how the process works. But she’s no get-along, go-along type. Topinka speaks her mind and has a very sharp tongue. Few in politics can get away with that, but she’s always managed to say what was on her mind while still getting things done.

A few weeks ago, Topinka did something that most Illinois politicians have refused to do. She got specific about actual budget cuts.

As state government slid into budgetary hell, most Republicans chastised the Democrats for not cutting the budget, but then refused to offer up any real cuts of their own. The majority Democrats were even worse. They’re in control, but they punted to Gov. Pat Quinn, sending him “lump sum” budgets that didn’t make any specific cuts but just reduced spending for each of his agencies.

So when Topinka mentioned on a radio program that it would be easy to find a billion dollars in cuts, I challenged her staffers to come up with a list. They did.

Not everybody agrees that her list would actually save a billion dollars, myself included. But at least she was willing to stick her neck out and put her name on some real budget reductions, including a $100 million cut to universal preschool, moving seniors out of nursing homes and into home care to save $120 million more, and eliminating the state’s $26 million Amtrak operating subsidy.

You may not agree with Topinka’s cuts, but we need far more budget ideas on the table. The state budget has been left to the two Democratic legislative leaders and the governor for far too long. Republicans and rank-and-file Democrats have abdicated their responsibility as legislators.

The object of a General Assembly is to collect ideas from all over the state and then percolate them in Springfield. And even though the state just raised taxes, budget cuts still will be required because the hole wasn’t completely filled, and pension, labor, health care and material and energy costs will continue to rise every year.

Topinka has put herself out there. It’s time for everybody else to follow suit.

* Topinka also told Bernie that she’s planning to unveil her own pension reform plan soon

While not providing details, she said the proposal her office will forward will “provide for some customization” of pensions.

House GOP Leader Tom Cross of Oswego has advanced a plan for employees to have choices of pension levels.

“I could support Tom Cross’s position, but I’m taking it a step further,” Topinka said. “I think the answer is choice rather than meat ax.”

“As I read the constitution, I think it’s pretty much of a lock that says you have a contractual relationship with your employees and it cannot be diminished,” Topinka said. But she said her bill would provide “something that’s tolerable” if changes are made.

Thoughts?

* The governor will present his annual Budget Address on Wednesday. We’ve already covered most of this ground, so here are several roundup stories…

* ‘No idea what I’d do’: Child care programs, parents here brace for major state budget cuts

* Quinn warns of ‘lean’ year following major income-tax increase: The governor said he will provide details during his Wednesday budget address, but cautioned that sacrifices must be made in order to get the state’s budget books in order. “It’s going to be a lean year, we have to be very, very frugal,” Quinn said.

* Democrats, Republicans at odds over state’s 2% spending limit: “This spending cap is more like an escalator,” said Sen. Matt Murphy, R-Palatine.

* Quinn wants to borrow $8.75 billion to pay down bills

* Quinn prepares for budget address, Republicans ramp up criticism

* Erickson: Quinn’s budget talk’s probably an un-reality show

* Despite more taxes, budget still won’t be easy for Quinn: Nekritz said that without the new money taxes will bring, Illinois would have had to cut services much more deeply than is probably realistic. The state might still have to cut $1 billion or so in expenses, she said. But it could have been worse. “A billion is a lot different than seven billion,” Nekritz said.

* Durbin wants unemployment aid for states: U.S. Sen. Dick Durbin announced today he will introduce legislation this week that could save the state of Illinois more than $200 million over the next two years.

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Braun disses gays, violates Godwin’s Law, then releases own poll

Monday, Feb 14, 2011 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Equality Illinois’ annual gala was widely attended by most of the big players in Chicago and Illinois politics. But one person was missing

Mayoral candidate Carol Moseley Braun was conspicuously absent; according to a member of her team, she had refused to pay for a table, saying that candidates should not have to pay to interact with voters. Asked about the issue, Equality Illinois CEO Bernard Cherkasov said that as a 501 ( c ) ( 3 ) organization, free seats would have counted as illegal gifts to a candidate.

Wow.

* The next day, Ms. Braun tried to make a joke about the Mel Brooks movie “The Producers” and tie it to Rahm Emanuel’s public persona vs. his alleged private reality. The movie is about some Broadway producers in desperate need of money who come up with a scheme to con people out of cash by producing a play called “Springtime for Hitler: A Gay Romp with Adolf and Eva at Berchtesgaden.’’ There’s a character in the film who loves Hitler, believing him to be a kinder, gentler sort. Anyway, the joke didn’t go down well

Braun asked the 200 people at the rally held at the Parkway Ballroom on South King Drive how many had seen the film. Few, if any, hands went up. She pressed ahead.

She said Emanuel’s “so kind, so nice’’ image in his campaign commercials belied his record as a congressman of voting against 128 bills sponsored by the Congressional Black Caucus and reminded her of the character in “The Producers,” who was “still in love with the Furher, which was Adolf Hitler,’’ she said.

She paused, waiting for the laughter.

It did not come.

“You don’t get the joke,’’ she said. “OK. We get the kind man, the gentle man on television and not the person who voted against $5 million for food aid to Africa.’’

And when asked by reporters whether she was comparing the Jewish Emanuel to Hitler, Braun snapped

“OK, you see that’s the problem with making a joke with you all around,” she said to reporters. “I was not comparing him to Adolf Hitler.

“I was trying to say that people can get confused on the concept, and that the kind, gentle concern for the public that’s being portrayed in all these ads does not square with the record. That’s all,” she said. “I was just making a point about the record versus the portrayal.”

Oy.

And I say “alleged” private reality because I’ve come to the conclusion that Emanuel doesn’t really “lose” his temper. He uses it. Nobody who sat through those hours of questions by the goofballs at his residency hearing has a serious problem with losing his temper.

* Meanwhile, Braun also released her own poll yesterday

Emanuel 44.8%
Braun 22.5%
Chico 16.1%
del Valle 9.6%
Walls 1.1%
Van Pelt Watkins 0.9%
Undecided 5.0%

More

The poll also shows a little more than half — 55 percent — have made up their minds in the race, while 45 percent feel they could still change their minds.

Also of interest, the poll asked whether people “believe the media has provided fair coverage of all the candidates, or … think that they have been biased toward their endorsed candidate?”

A whopping 61 percent of respondents say they belive coverage has been biased. And those numbers are even higher among those who said they would vote for either Miguel Del Valle, Moseley Braun or Chico.

But Zorn takes a look at the pollster, Rod McCulloch

Tribune, 12-1-2010: Rod McCulloch, a Republican strategist convicted of falsifying signatures in 2008, who acknowledges he recruited workers to circulate petitions for (Rahm Emanuel’s tenant Robert) Halpin.

Tribune 11-30-2010 In 2008, McCulloch was convicted of perjury in connection with the falsification of signatures for a DuPage County political candidate. He was sentenced to probation.

That was quite a weekend she had.

* Roundup…

* Separate, Unequal, and Ignored - Racial segregation remains Chicago’s most fundamental problem. Why isn’t it an issue in the mayor’s race?: When [poverty] is combined with segregation, it means blacks are far more likely than any other group to live in concentrated poverty. It’s hard to be poor; it’s much harder to be poor and surrounded by poverty and all the harmful cultural norms and behavior, such as crime, that accompany it. It’s a kind of poverty whites rarely experience, and one tough to escape. When Harvard sociologist Robert Sampson studied Chicago residents in the most disadvantaged quartile of the city’s census tracts a few years ago, he found that no white families, and only a few Hispanic families, were represented. “Residents in not one white community experience what is most typical for those residing in segregated black areas,” Sampson wrote in 2009, in the Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science. “Trying to estimate the effect of concentrated disadvantage on whites is thus tantamount to estimating a phantom reality.”

* Did Weis’ Controversial Gang Meeting Work?

* Civic Federation: Next mayor should consider privatizing everything: Chicago’s new mayor should consider privatizing everything from the city’s water system, garbage collection and curbside recycling to building management and the 311 non-emergency center to resolve a structural deficit that literally has the city on the brink of bankruptcy, according to the Civic Federation.

* Service Couldn’t Be Better, and at $200 a Ton It Should Be

* Does it matter where city workers live? Rethinking the residency rule

* What the mayoral candidates say about city residency rules

* Residency rule long-ignored until elder Daley cracked down

* Blessed restraint

* The Big Question no one seems to be asking Rahm, but should: Mr. Emanuel, do you see yourself as the indispensable man that Chicago will require indefinitely, perhaps even to the end of your life, or will your administration move quickly to master our current challenges, and will you pledge to serve no more than two terms?

* Braun, Chico get campaign assists

* Chico campaign digs out immigration reform (or lack thereof) to ding Emanuel

* McQueary: Political prank mail hits ‘Pick and JohnnyO’

* Braun criticizes Emanuel’s commercials

* Marin: Black pols aren’t backing Braun: Do a search of Braun’s campaign disclosure reports, and you’ll find only Congressman Bobby Rush rushed to her side. His political campaign gave a $25,000 contribution on Nov. 29.

* Washington: Emanuel’s got a foot in each camp

* Chicago Tea Patriots Endorsement of Gery Chico

* Zorn: Braun came from behind in 1992, it’s true. But she wasn’t this far behind

* City Hall bans company indicted in sewer case

* Sun-Times: Our choice in 38th Ward is Caravette­, not the other guy

* Metra’s tests give agency little room to breathe: Metra’s own testing of toxic diesel exhaust inside its passenger coaches shows the transit agency’s pollution problems are more extensive and worrisome than it has publicly disclosed… Soot levels generally were highest inside the first car behind the locomotive, dropped in the second car and declined substantially in the last car. Moreover, levels were dramatically lower on return trips downtown using the same locomotives… In January, the transit agency announced it is installing more efficient air filters on its train cars and switching to cleaner fuel for its locomotives.

* New county finance chief joined firm’s board after awarding it city pension deals

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Reader comments closed for the weekend

Friday, Feb 11, 2011 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Wisconsin’s new governor prepares to amass troops on our northern border

Gov. Scott Walker says the Wisconsin National Guard is prepared to respond wherever is necessary in the wake of his announcement that he wants to take away nearly all collective bargaining rights from state employees.

Walker said Friday that he hasn’t called the Guard into action, but he has briefed them and other state agencies in preparation of any problems that could result in a disruption of state services, like staffing at prisons.

* Déjà Vu

How can you run when you know?

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Illinois bond yields lower than Portugal’s, which ain’t saying much

Friday, Feb 11, 2011 - Posted by Rich Miller

* This is some interesting analysis

Bonds from Illinois, the second lowest-rated U.S. state, are yielding less than issues from comparably rated Portugal as the state prepares to market the largest taxable municipal debt sale on record.

Next week Illinois is selling $3.7 billion of taxable debt to investors around the world after the end of the Build America Bonds program left the municipal market with pent-up demand for such securities. The offering will likely see increased interest from international and crossover buyers, said Richard Ciccarone, managing director of McDonnell Investment Management LLC in Oak Brook, which holds more than $7 billion of muni debt. […]

Its four-year bonds traded yesterday at a 4.40 percent yield. Comparable bonds from Portugal were yielding 6.15 percent, Bloomberg data show. The country, which has the euro- region’s fourth-largest budget deficit, has raised more than 4 billion euros ($5.5 billion) this year selling securities through auctions and private placements as the nation seeks to avoid resorting to international aid. […]

Illinois last month boosted income taxes 67 percent to help close its budget deficit, an act that has “resonated” with international investors, said John Sinsheimer, the state’s director of capital markets. The state has marketed the bonds in eight cities across Europe and Asia in the last two weeks, he said. […]

“They’re going to pay a penalty for their slow movement in addressing some of their basic weaknesses,” Ciccarone said. Still, “a lot of investors will be attracted since yields on investment-grade corporates are relatively low compared to what they can get on Illinois.”

According to Bloomberg, this is the largest taxable muni bond sale since 1990.

…Adding… Our resident budget expert Steve Schnorf points out in comments that the $10 billion pension bond under Blagojevich would be far larger than this one. Bloomberg may have made a goof.

* Meanwhile, Gov. Pat Quinn talked to the media today about the budget. Here’s the raw audio file from IIS

* Trib coverage

“It’s going to be a lean year, we have to be very, very frugal,” Quinn said. […]

The governor would not say what areas will face cuts this time around, but said they will be done “in a fair way, a balanced way.”

When asked if state workers would face layoffs, Quinn said it “depends on the agency,” but noted the state has about 1,000 fewer employees now than when he took over two years ago. […]

“They’re talking about a governor that’s cut more out of the budget than any other governor in Illinois history, that’s what I’ve done,” Quinn said. “There’s always folks in the peanut gallery there that have unspecified reductions that they’re talking about. If they have ideas we’re happy to hear them, but you can’t hide in the corner.”

He also said he considered law enforcement and public safety a “core priority.”

* This week’s Capitol View features talk about the governor’s budget address next Wednesday as well as other stuff. Watch

* Texas’ “Amazon Tax” is costing the state some jobs

Online retail giant Amazon.com is closing a suburban Dallas distribution center and scrapping plans to expand Texas operations after a dispute with the state over millions of dollars in sales taxes, an executive informed employees Thursday in an e-mail obtained by The Associated Press.

Dave Clark, Amazon’s vice president of operations, writes in the e-mail that the center will close April 12 due to Texas’ “unfavorable regulatory climate.” Amazon spokeswoman Mary Osako would not say Thursday how many employees work at the Irving distribution center.

Texas contends Amazon is responsible for sales taxes not collected on online sales in the state. The comptroller’s office last year demanded $269 million in uncollected sales taxes from the company. The case is currently pending before the State Office of Administrative Hearings.

“We regret losing any business in Texas, but our position hasn’t changed: If you have a presence in the state of Texas you are required to pay sales tax, just like any other business that has a presence in Texas,” said Allen Spelce, a spokesman for Texas Comptroller Susan Combs.

A similar tax bill is sitting on Gov. Quinn’s desk.

* Related…

* The “Devastating” Impact Of Human Services Cuts

* Don’t let the “Repeal the Tax Hike” effort dissolve

* Radogno Chamber talk to target state budget, job situation

* Quinn documents show $3 billion in budget cuts

* State Senator Says Public Officials Living Large On Taxpayers’ Backs

* Lawmaker Proposes Corporate Ads On License Plates

* Rep. Bradley wants recall option for all elected officials

* Unfunded liabilities for Chicago funds up 600% since 2000

* Sneed: Some Cook Co. employees to get snow bonus

* Durbin, Kirk laud delay in O’Hare airline lawsuit

* New Jersey rating cut on high debt, pension gap

  30 Comments      


Question of the day

Friday, Feb 11, 2011 - Posted by Rich Miller

* I also received a copy of this e-mail yesterday

The e-mail seemed suspicious as soon as I read it.

“I’m writing with tears in my eyes,” it states.

The writer went on to say that he and his family were in England for a short vacation and were mugged at gunpoint. With money and credit cards stolen, they were at the U.S. embassy and needed help immediately to pay the hotel bill and catch a flight home. […]

On Wednesday, I telephoned [Dean Vallas] to ask him what was going on.

“Someone hacked into my computer and was running a scam using my e-mail address,” he said. “Because I’m working for Gery Chico, I had a list of political contacts in my computer, and that’s how they got your e-mail address.”

“Frankly, I thought the idea of some little English guy robbing me, at 6-foot-7 inches, 230 pounds, sort of funny,” Vallas said with a chuckle.

I wasn’t the first person to call him about the e-mail. At least two of his friends, he said, actually responded to it and asked what they could do to help.

* The Question: What is your “favorite” spam e-mail? Please, do your utmost to keep it clean. Thanks.

  33 Comments      


New Political Thriller

Friday, Feb 11, 2011 - Posted by Advertising Department

[The following is a paid advertisement.]

“Trust me, you won’t be able to put Breach of Trust down.”
— James Patterson

In politics, keep your friends close and your enemies closer.

Unless your enemy is wearing a wire.

A corrupt governor. An undercover FBI investigation.

And one man caught in between.

A novel of political corruption
by Blagojevich Impeachment Prosecutor David Ellis

“An intense, suspenseful tale set in a political cesspool.”
— Library Journal

“There’s sex, suspense, and blood here, but it’s a corrupt-wheels-within-corrupt-wheels world that sparks this narrative.”
— Booklist

“A complicated web of government malfeasance makes the novel a smart, compelling page-turner.”
— Publishers Weekly

On Sale Now

www.DavidEllis.com

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Illinois needs Infrastructure Modernization and Regulatory Reform

Friday, Feb 11, 2011 - Posted by Advertising Department

[The following is a paid advertisement.]

In less than a generation, revolutions in technology have transformed the way we live work and do business. Our economy relies on fast and reliable movement of goods, people and data 24/7. Uninterrupted and efficient electricity supply is more important than ever.

    Businesses, institutions and consumers are demanding greater levels of reliability and new technologies to manage energy use. States that invest in a modern electric grid will be primed to compete in the 21st century economy. States that don’t, won’t.

Illinois cannot fall behind. We must create policies that break down the barriers keeping Illinois from modernizing its grid for the benfit of Illinois residents and businesses.

    The INFRASTRUCTURE MODERNIZATION ACT would unlock billions in economic development, create thousands of jobs and position Illinois in the top-tier of state-based Smart Grid development. The legislation would update a century old regulatory process to both protect consumers and assure that Illinois utilities are investing, innovating and preparing our grid to compete in the new digitized world of commerce.

The INFRASTRUCTURE MODERNIZATION ACT (HB 14-1) is exactly the kind of bold action Illinois needs right now. Our future depends on it.

  Comments Off      


Real cuts, believe it or not

Friday, Feb 11, 2011 - Posted by Rich Miller

* We’ve already talked about how the great budget cutter Chris Christie of New Jersey claims to have done yeoman’s work, but is somehow still facing a $10.5 billion budget deficit in the coming fiscal year, which is only $200 million less than this year’s deficit.

Indiana Gov. Mitch Daniels has a national reputation for being a budget hawk. Moderate Republicans have pinned their hopes on him for 2012. But what has he really cut? Check out this chart from Purdue University.

Daniels took office in January of 2005. Back then, Indiana was spending $11.75 billion. This year, state spending will be $14.45 billion. That’s a 23 percent increase.

* Now, nobody can say that this state has been well-managed. You’d be laughed out of the room if you tried. But last night Gov. Pat Quinn’s office released some documents showing where real spending cuts have been made. $2.4 billion in Fiscal Year 2010 and $1.2 billion in FY11.

I strongly urge you to take a look at those documents. Those are real cuts in discretionary spending. That’s not to say total overall spending decreased by that much. Pay raises, pensions, health care, etc. all contributed to what’s known in the biz as “budgetary pressures.” Other spending has been moved off-budget. But stuff has been cut. Make no mistake about it.

What happens is the media latches onto a meme and just can’t let go. Illinois is the irresponsible state. New Jersey and Indiana are led by real deficit hawks. There is some truth to both statements, but it’s not reality.

* All that being said, I’m hoping this freshman knows what he’s talking about

Sen. Ron Sandack, a Downers Grove Republican, said it’s not enough for Republicans to say no; they have to offer alternatives. He said there would be two or three proposals in the coming weeks offering hard, but real, alternatives.

It’s heartening to see the minority party offering to step up to the plate. Let’s see what they’ve got, debate it and then have a vote. That’s the way government should run.

* Related…

* Quinn releases budget cut documents ahead of speech

* Bond plan allowing Illinois to borrow $8.75 billion divides legislators

* Lawmakers to target state spending, gun control in fresh session

* State treasurer pushes more venture capital investment

* Group wants minimum wage increase

* Minimum wage would go to $10 under Senate bill

* The Chicago Pension Paradox

* Charter school hopefuls cross their fingers - Acceptance letters arrive Friday across Chicago

  38 Comments      


He’s not going out like that

Friday, Feb 11, 2011 - Posted by Rich Miller

* My Sun-Times column

‘Some people just don’t know when their time is up,” I muttered to myself yesterday while watching Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak address his nation.

The media had reported beforehand that Mubarak would abandon his power. His speech said otherwise.

Heck, I thought to myself, even Mayor Daley knew when to quit.

It wasn’t all that long ago when lots of people “in the know” thought Daley would be mayor until he was hauled out of his 5th Floor office feet first. But his magic was no longer working. His parking meter deal destroyed his credibility as a manager. His Olympics bid failure wiped out his reputation as a superior player. He was done, and he knew it. Time to vamoose while the vamoosing was good.

Mubarak’s regime has always justified the civil liberties crackdowns and ever-escalating power grabs by telling the citizenry that they had two choices: Mubarak or those crazy fanatics in the Muslim Brotherhood.

Daley’s apologists played pretty much the same game: It’s either Daley or the city ends up like Detroit. It worked for both men for a very long time.

I don’t want to equate these two people. As much power as he’s had, Daley could never rival Mubarak for complete control. But while the boundaries are far different, the game is basically the same: Position yourself as the “Indispensable Man.”

It’s my guy or chaos.

Almost all truly successful politicians create this aura. Franklin Roosevelt did it so well he was elected to four terms.

Some, maybe even most, were actually indispensable at least part of their time in power. Even Mubarak served his purpose. But if you stick around long enough, the mistakes tend to catch up with you.

And that brings me to Illinois House Speaker Michael Madigan. He’s been one of the most powerful Illinois politicians for decades.

His members re-elect him time and time again because they believe he is their best and only hope for keeping the Republicans at bay. He also had a reputation in many circles for fiscal stewardship.

Madigan’s still quite adept at beating Republicans. He held onto the House during last year’s massive GOP tidal wave despite repeated attacks on him by the media and his Republican nemeses.

But after years of letting too many problems slide, combined with an international economic collapse, Madigan found himself forced to deal with a state budget mess of epic proportions.

While Daley surrendered in similar circumstances, Madigan has seemed to regain his footing. He muscled through an income tax hike which included some very real state spending caps and will force significant budget reforms.

Madigan is talking seriously about reducing pension benefits for current state employees. He’s pushing for some much-needed workers’ compensation changes. He backed some major education reforms. And he scolded his members this week for sponsoring bills which spend money the state simply doesn’t have.

Not to mention that the South Side Irish Catholic helped pass a civil unions bill and another measure to abolish the death penalty.

A whole lot of people disagree with much of what he’s accomplished. But my mantra for the last six years has been: “Always bet on nothing getting done at the Statehouse.”

I based that on Madigan’s refusal to really do much of anything. That’s obviously no longer true.

For now, at least, it looks like he’ll probably avoid Daley’s fate and go out on his own terms, whenever that may be.

* Other stuff…

* A very West Loop inauguration: I later joked that the Speaker often appears so intense that he might actually have the power to steal peoples’ souls.

* Simon says education is a priority, wants death penalty bill signed

* Death Penalty focus of Clarence Darrow event

* Hawthorne meeting opens with industry struggling - Track blames state refusing to allow slot machines at race tracks for reduced schedule and purses

* Governor names Shirley Madigan, 5 others to receive state’s Lincoln honors

  43 Comments      


Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Supplement to today’s edition

Friday, Feb 11, 2011 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today’s edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)

Friday, Feb 11, 2011 - Posted by Rich Miller

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TRIBUNE POLL: Emanuel at 49, Chico in second, Braun totally tanking

Friday, Feb 11, 2011 - Posted by Rich Miller

[Bumped up for visibility.]

* Rahm Emanuel is right on the cusp of avoiding a runoff, according to the Tribune’s pollster

Miguel del Valle was at 8 percent and the two others polled at 1 percent each.

* From the story

(T)he poll showed Braun’s support among black voters cut nearly in half since last month — from 39 percent to 20 percent. […]

At the same time, twice as many voters — 44 percent to 22 percent — now view Braun unfavorably than favorably. Three weeks ago, 39 percent liked Braun, compared with 30 percent who disliked her. Among African-Americans, her unfavorability tally jumped to 30 percent from 11 percent. […]

While Emanuel’s favorability rating of 59 percent remained unchanged from a month ago, his unfavorability rose slightly to 16 percent from 13 percent following Chico’s commercials about Emanuel’s tax plan, which Chico has dubbed the “Rahm Tax.” […]

When asked which candidate would pay most attention to neighborhoods they live in, 37 percent said Emanuel, 19 percent said Chico, 11 percent said Braun and 10 percent said del Valle, who has pushed a similar pro-neighborhoods message.

Chico better go hard, hard negative if he wants to make it into a runoff.

…Adding… Related…

* Braun, Chico blister Rahm at debate: Chico said he was “scared for my children” as they traveled back and fourth to pubic schools, but, he said, “Growing up in our city in the Back of the Yards and living with the threat of violence even in my own neighborhood stays with you. There are people like Mr. Emanuel, who grew up in the wealthy North Shore and probably never experienced that.”

* Live blog of FOX-32 Chicago mayor’s race forum

* Mayoral candidates jostle at forum - Rivals press to force Emanuel into a runoff

* Video: Mayoral Candidates Face Off in Live One-Hour Forum on FOX Chicago

* A bone to pick with Rahm

* Down in the polls, Braun attacks Emanuel’s investment banking job

* Dispatches from the spin room: post-FOX-32 Chicago mayor’s forum

* Emanuel faces ire from some unions, other groups

* Payday lenders concentrated in minority communities

* Next mayor must vow to uphold Shakman

* Daley to turn Taste of Chicago over to park district

* CS-T editorial: The cost of a free Taste — music festivals taking a hit

* Labor Tops Giving to Chicago Council Candidates

* Anything Wrong With This Picture? “Correct me if I am wrong, but I did not think that city employees could use city owned property, i.e. a Streets & San truck, in campaign literature?

* VIDEO: Young politicians take on Chicago

* A product of the old school, candidate vows independence in the 29th Ward

* Crowded field battles in 45th Ward

* City requires show shoveling

* Carbondale City Council candidates meet voters (VIDEOS)

  22 Comments      


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* Campaign news: Big Raja money; Benton over-shares; Rashid's large cash pile; Jeffries to speak at IDCCA brunch
* Rep. Hoan Huynh jumps into packed race for Schakowsky’s seat (Updated)
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