Question of the day
Wednesday, Apr 11, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller
* Greg Hinz thinks it’s past time that the media got some answers about Sen. Mark Kirk’s current condition and prognosis…
Can he do that job? Apparently not today. Will he be able to do it in a month, a quarter, or a year? No one is saying.
In the days after Mr. Kirk’s stroke, his physicians repeatedly met with the media and pretty much answered all questions. But it’s been months since the public, via the media, got anything except a statement of a paragraph or two in a press release that his recovering “is continuing,” or some such.
That’s insufficient.
Illinoisans deserve full representation in the Senate and almost certainly are inclined to give the senator the time he needs to recover. But it’s been long enough now that voters deserve some answers so that they and the political establishment can begin to plan for a perhaps changed world.
Kirk suffered his stroke on January 21st, about a week shy of three months ago.
* The Question: Should the media pressure Sen. Kirk’s office for more information about his condition and prognosis, or is it still too early for that? Explain, please. Thanks.
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* While this is kind of insulting to the Illinois Republicans, the cash money will be welcome news…
National Republicans have begun to intervene in a handful of key Senate and House battlegrounds where state parties are in disarray, seeking to head off the possibility that local mismanagement could cost the party control of Congress.
The GOP presidential nominee will be impacted by the state party woes, but what especially worries Republican operatives are those states where there is no competition on top of the ticket but which feature a number of pivotal Senate and House contests.
These “orphan states,” most notably behemoths with traditionally weak parties like California, Illinois and New York, are increasingly the focus of top GOP officials in the nation’s capital this spring.
The Republican National Committee is going to set aside at least $10 to $15 million to aid states where there are competitive House and Senate races but minimal presidential action, a party official tells POLITICO. That’s enough to blunt the GOP’s financial disadvantage in several states, though not to erase the disparity or put the orphan-state groups on par with their swing-state counterparts.
Half that money will go to the orphans. The other half will be used for US Senate battles.
* Meanwhile, a guy who couldn’t get 40 valid petition signatures is upset that a new law prevents him from running as an independent…
A new Illinois state law designed to prevent sore losers from running against their primary opponents in general elections has knocked Bill Shelby, challenger for the Logan County coroner seat, off the November ballot - and he never even got the opportunity to be a sore loser.
After being denied a spot on the Republican primary ballot, and now the general election ballot, he will run as a write-in candidate.
“With all the money and effort I’ve already got in it, I just can’t quit now,” Shelby said. “It’s unheard of that a write-in candidate ever wins, but I’m going to keep going and hopefully people will turn out and write my name in.”
The new law, signed by Gov. Pat Quinn just days ago, says that if an individual registers, votes or gets kicked off a ballot while registered for one party during a primary election, the candidate cannot run as an independent during the general election.
It’s pretty simple. If you want to run as an independent in an election cycle, don’t take a Republican ballot or try to run as a Republican. Illinois law was a bit vague on this topic until the state Supreme Court stepped in. The new law just codifies the recent ruling. There was no big conspiracy.
Also, Shelby can still run as a third party candidate. It wouldn’t be easy, but it might be easier than running as a write-in.
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Cutting the budget ain’t easy
Wednesday, Apr 11, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller
* From a State Journal-Register editorial…
Of all the cuts proposed by Quinn as he grapples with a budget deficit of more than $7 billion, closing the state’s “supermax” prison should be among the most easily justifiable. Yet resistance has been strong as opponents decry the potential danger of eliminating a facility that opened in 1998 to house the “worst of the worst” of the Illinois prison system. The main argument of the opposition is that the isolation provided at Tamms is the surest way to keep the most dangerous prisoners — those who menaced other inmates, correctional officers and prison workers — from doing more harm.
As an outpost of complete segregation, Tamms works. But its economics simply don’t work in 2012.
Consider this: When Tamms opened, the state closed its fiscal year with a budget surplus of $1.2 billion. In 1998, the state had the means to devote an entire prison to its worst inmates. That’s not the case today.
At an annual cost of $64,805 per inmate, incarceration at Tamms costs the state more than three times the $21,405 average annual cost per inmate at the 27 other Illinois Department of Corrections facilities. Though it’s known as the state’s super maximum security prison, its population is divided almost evenly between maximum security and minimum security inmates (186 super maximum, 189 minimum). It operates at about half its capacity of 700 inmates.
* Matt Dietrich wrote that editorial and wrote on his blog about the resulting backlash…
I purposely sidestepped the human rights side of the anti-Tamms argument in the editorial and focused exclusively on the numbers. I don’t mean to downplay that side, but going simply by the figures (and I don’t just mean the $26.3 million the state will save closing Tamms), this should be one of the easiest of the many difficult decisions that will have to be made as the state budget is crafted between now and Memorial Day. […]
Judging by the online comments, there is ample public disbelief that Quinn would even consider closing Tamms, and that anyone would agree with him. I say if you can’t accept this cut, you’ll never accept any kind of reduction, especially when it comes to taking away healthcare and a lot of other things that will be even more emotional.
And this is only one cut. It will take about 266 cuts of $26 million to get the state’s budget back in the black. Sorry, folks, but grounding a couple state airplanes won’t get us there.
In hard times, the luxuries go first. There’s no bigger luxury in corrections than Tamms.
* Meanwhile, Sen. John Sullivan had this to say to his local paper about Medicaid cuts…
Sullivan says a small group of lawmakers assigned to study Medicaid has not reached a consensus on how to deal with the problem. He says some want to spread out the cuts over several years while others want to find the entire $2.7-billion this year.
Every dollar in Medicaid cuts that is deferred or not paid for with cuts in other programs or new revenues will mean another dollar added to the state’s already gigantic mountain of backlogged bills. It’s a really stupid idea to defer anything, but politically it may just not be possible to make all these cuts.
* Related…
* Critics of super-prison closure question safety
* Former inmates, employees and congressman oppose closures of prison transition centers
* Timeline for shutting Tinley Park Mental Health Center is called rushed by some lawmakers
* McHenry County day care facilities can’t stand state reduction, providers say
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“Gotcha” rules
Wednesday, Apr 11, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller
* This is one reason why I am no fan of the federal campaign finance laws. People get “busted” for allegedly “breaking” one of a kajillion confusing rules that aren’t really even rules…
Here’s yet another consequence of the confusing super PAC era: House Majority Leader Eric Cantor, R-Va., may have irritated members of his conference by donating to an anti-incumbent super PAC before the Illinois primary, but Rep. Aaron Schock, R-Ill., could have violated campaign finance rules when he solicited Cantor’s donation.
Last week, Roll Call reported that Cantor donated $25,000 to the Campaign for Primary Accountability as a way of supporting freshman Rep. Adam Kinzinger, R-Ill, against fellow Republican Rep. Don Manzullo in a member-versus-member primary in the state’s 16th District (The group ultimately spent over $220,000 against Manzullo). According to both Cantor’s camp and Schock himself, Cantor cut the check at Schock’s request.
That’s where Schock treads dangerously close to the line drawn by the FEC. In an advisory opinion issued last year, the FEC says that federal officeholders and candidates “may solicit up to $5,000 from individuals (and any other source not prohibited by the Act from making a contribution to a political committee)” on behalf of super PACs. Candidates may appear at fundraisers on behalf of super PACs, but they cannot be involved in asking for checks larger than $5,000 — the reason Cantor, Mitt Romney, Harry Reid or even President Obama, for that matter, can appear at fundraisers for supportive super PACs, but they have to leave the room before staffers ask for donations in order to raise unlimited sums.
Schock, it seems, directly asked for a contribution well above the limit the FEC allowed.
Keep in mind that this is an advisory opinion, not an actual law. And the FEC is so screwed up and divided along partisan lines that it’s doubtful anything will become of it.
The “smoking gun” from Roll Call…
Cantor campaign spokesman Ray Allen told Roll Call that Cantor made the donation at the request of Rep. Aaron Schock (R-Ill.) for use only in the Kinzinger-Manzullo race.
“On Thursday, March 15, 2012, Leader Cantor was asked by Congressman Schock to contribute to an organization that was supporting Adam Kinzinger in the Illinois election of March 20. ERICPAC subsequently made a contribution with the understanding that those funds would be used only in the effort to support Congressman Kinzinger,” Allen said.
…
[Schock:] “I said, ‘Look, I’m going to do $25,000 [specifically] for the Kinzinger campaign for the television campaign’ and said, ‘Can you match that?’”
“And he said, ‘Absolutely.’”
Sorry, but I just can’t get too excited about this. I’m not sure how you feel. Perhaps you can change my mind.
* Also, this…
Illinois’ 2009 campaign finance law, passed in the wake of scandals that enveloped Gov. Rod Blagojevich, sought to limit the four legislative leaders’ ability to fund primary races because of fears that the leaders held too much sway over rank-and-file lawmakers once they arrived in Springfield.
However, House Speaker Michael Madigan, D-Chicago, was able to skirt the law’s $75,000 limit during last month’s hotly contested 96th House Democratic primary by tapping into his personal campaign fund to support Decatur schoolteacher Sue Scherer.
To date, Scherer’s campaign has reported getting $87,849 in contributions from campaign funds controlled by the speaker — $61,886 from the Democratic Majority committee and $25,963 from Friends of Michael J. Madigan, according to State Board of Elections records. […]
David Morrison, deputy director of the Illinois Campaign for Political Reform, said it’s fair for voters to consider whether Scherer and Madigan violated the spirit of the law even though all of the spending fell within the law.
Um. Those contributions were all well within the legal bounds. It’s beyond fair to report the amounts and how the law is being used to someone’s advantage, but “violating the spirit of the law” is more than a bit much.
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* 3:27 pm - I’ll have more in a few, but you can read the indictment by clicking here. [Fixed link.]
* Earlier today, West Side Ald. Jason Ervin demanded that Rep. Smith either “get back to work” or step down…
Ald. Jason Ervin (28th) said it is “totally unacceptable” for Smith to stay at home and collect his state paycheck — and miss 150 votes — at a time when billions of dollars in decisions impacting pension and budget issues are being decided in Springfield.
“Either go back to work or step down,” said Ervin, who is among those ward bosses who would choose Smith’s replacement.
“I’m not trying to force him out. I’m trying to get service to the residents of the 28th Ward. It’s not about him stepping down. It’s about him going to work. Do one or the other. But to stay at home, collect a check and do nothing is not acceptable.”
* Ald. Ervin also suggested that appointed state Rep. Smith could stay on the ballot and run this November for a full term. From a press release…
Under Illinois law, State Rep. Smith could resign his current appointment, which ends in January 2013, and focus on his defense. If acquitted on federal charges, as winning the Democratic Primary last month, he has a spot on the November ballot, and will still be able to run as a candidate in the General Election in November. The temporary resignation would allow the Representative Committee to name a replacement to complete the remainder of the term.
* Gov. Pat Quinn told reporters today that if Smith stays on the ballot “there are opportunities for other candidates to come forward from that district that have better records than Rep. Smith has,” adding, “The voters, I think, are capable of electing a good person on November 6th.” Listen…
* It appears that the feds recovered part of the alleged $7,000 bribe from Smith, but not all of it. From the indictment…
The interests of the defendant subject to forfeiture pursuant to Title 18, United States Code, Section, 981(a)(1)(C) and Title 28, United States Code, Section 2461(c), include, but are not limited to, approximately $4,500 representing unrecovered proceeds of the crime alleged in the foregoing Indictment.
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Question of the day
Tuesday, Apr 10, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller
* The setup…
On Monday, [Comptroller Judy Baar Topinka’s] office unveiled a new website to make information about the state’s financial health more accessible to concerned residents. The website — called “The Ledger” — includes up-to-date information on state employee salaries, daily general funds balances, state bond ratings, all state financial results. Further, the site prominently displays — in its upper-right corner — the state’s unpaid bill backlog.
As of Tuesday, that figure stood just short of $6 billion, at roughly $5.97 billion, an amount that excludes Medicaid bills and some other expenses. While this data has been available online previously, it has never before been available in one place.
The site also allows users to compare what individuals hold state contracts versus who has contributed to influential politicians, the Daily Herald notes.
Topinka told CBS Chicago that unveiling the site presented rare “really good news” for Illinois taxpayers. She wrote in a statement on the site’s front page that the site will help the public “follow the money.”">”The Ledger” — includes up-to-date information on state employee salaries, daily general funds balances, state bond ratings, all state financial results. Further, the site prominently displays — in its upper-right corner — the state’s unpaid bill backlog.
* The site has been getting rave reviews…
* Editorial: Getting on right side of ledger
* Our view: Government website that shines bright
* Our Opinion: Shining a light on spending — and more
* Our View: Find out where your tax dollars go with new website
* Sweeny: Lest you think that this effort required an expensive contractor who got millions of dollars, Topinka assured us “it was all done by our staff without extra cost to the taxpayers.”
Full disclosure: My former intern Barton Lorimor played a key role in developing the site.
* The Question: First, click here and go to The Ledger. Then, come back and tell us what you think.
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Behind the rhetoric
Tuesday, Apr 10, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller
* From the Tribune editorial board…
Emanuel raised, and Quinn discussed, the best idea of the night: that Illinois consider pension changes that the similarly Democratic state of Rhode Island adopted in November.
Briefly: Politicians in that state — like Illinois, its pension obligations are among the nation’s worst-funded — risked their political futures to stabilize a sinking system. They raised retirement ages to Social Security thresholds, tied cost-of-living adjustments to investment returns and the funding level of the pension system, and replaced some guaranteed pension benefits with a 401(k)-style plan. […]
To achieve anything, they will have to be crusaders as forthright and resolute as Rhode Island’s Democratic treasurer, Gina Raimondo. Sit down with her — we had the opportunity a few weeks back — and she’ll soon offer the no-blame, no-histrionics mantra she voiced in hundreds of often hostile public meetings across her state: “This is about math, not politics.” She based her campaign, “Engage Rhode Island,” on educating citizens, and only then negotiating a legislative fix. Her foundational document, “Truth in Numbers,” runs a mere 16 pages, unemotionally laying out the disaster facing retirees and taxpayers.
Raimondo’s success makes her a rock star in, of all things, public finance.
Treasurer Raimondo may be a rock star in the realm of public finance, but she’s a failure in the courts.
What the Tribune didn’t tell its readers is that a Rhode Island judge tossed out a motion by Raimondo and Gov. Lincoln Chafee for summary judgement against a lawsuit filed against the pension reforms. Basically, the judge ruled that the pension cuts violated the state’s constitutional mandates on contracts. Rhode Island doesn’t even have the strict language contained in Illinois’ Constitution about not diminishing pension benefits, but it does have standard contract language contained in most state constitutions.
Back in September, Rhode Island’s top dogs were confident that the state’s supreme court would overturn the decision…
“We’re going to go ask the Supreme Court to review the matter, and we’re going to ask the Supreme Court to do so expeditiously – as promptly as possible,” Tarantino told WPRI.com. Still, he said it’s “unlikely” the justices will rule before lawmakers meet to craft a pension overhaul next month.
The state will also ask both Taft-Carter and the Supreme Court to put the lower-court case on hold until it issues a judgment on today’s contract-rights ruling.
“I’m disappointed,” Tarantino said, but “I believe that the state’s legal position is the correct position, and ultimately I believe the state’s legal position will be affirmed by the [Supreme] Court.”
But that prediction turned out to be dead wrong…
Rhode Island’s Supreme Court is declining to hear an appeal from state officials who sought to reverse a lower-court ruling that public pensions amount to a contract and cannot be arbitrarily changed.
The court announced [November 21st] that it won’t intervene in the lawsuit filed by public-sector unions against the state. The lawsuit now returns to a lower court.
* And now the unions are calling for talks instead of confrontation…
From Smith Hill to Providence and Pawtucket, government lawyers have been batting zero in their efforts to convince Rhode Island judges to uphold changes to public-sector workers’ retirement benefits.
That’s why the four state leaders who pushed through the new pension law should start formal negotiations with union leaders on an alternative overhaul of the system before they lose in court, according to Bob Walsh of the National Education Association Rhode Island.
“The legislative victory that the folks who supported changes in the pension system achieved is going to be short-lived – because it was illegal,” Walsh told WPRI.com on Tuesday. He suggested state leaders should appoint a neutral mediator such as former R.I. Supreme Court Chief Justice Frank Williams to start talks between the two sides. […]
“The realists among labor leadership understand changes have to occur [in the pension system],” Walsh said. “I don’t necessarily believe that our successful efforts in court will lead to a judge saying, ‘Put everything back the way it was.’”
The lesson here is that you can pass all the bills you want and go on an international public relations jaunt touting your own brilliance, but it means absolutely nothing if the courts decide your achievements are unconstitutional. The Tribune ought to at least acknowledge that.
* Meanwhile, the governor’s pension working group is supposed to announce its recommendations by April 17th. The group has refused to invite labor union leaders to any of its meetings for about three weeks, but the unions were whistled in today. I’ll probably have more for subscribers tomorrow.
* In other news, the Tribune editorial board recently screamed about unfunded employee health insurance liabilities…
state government alone faces an unfunded liability of more than $54 billion in retiree health liabilities over the next 30 years.
Illinois lawmakers haven’t yet seen that startling number, but they do know they have to confront a retiree health debacle. Last year Illinois Senate legislation to begin addressing that debacle didn’t make it to a floor vote. Gov. Pat Quinn’s pointed words on the subject in his February budget address both encourage us and make us hope he sticks to his word that something has to happen.
Opinions differ on whether lawmakers can reduce current employees’ pension benefits going forward. (Our view is that lawmakers definitely can do that, and we hope Illinois courts agree if and when legislators pass pension reforms.) But there’s no dispute on this: While pensions have some state constitutional protection, retiree health benefits do not.
The IPI says that only 8 percent of private-sector retirees are offered health insurance benefits, and those retirees pay an average of 54 percent of the cost. Similarly requiring Illinois retirees to pay an average of 54 percent of insurance costs would save Illinois $500 million a year. Over the next 30 years, that change by itself would shrink the anticipated $54 billion shortfall by $21 billion. IPI suggests leaving benefits essentially intact for retired state and university employees with household incomes below $70,000 a year. Those with incomes between $70,000 and $200,000 a year would receive monthly subsidies of $302 and pay $369 themselves. And “retired union heads or university executives collecting pensions nearing $200,000 would be required to cover their own health insurance costs.”
The Illinois Policy Institute’s plan is similar to those proposed by top legislative Democrats, including state Sen. Jeff Schoenberg. There’s a very real possibility that something like this will pass. It would be helpful to see a bit of context here.
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Answering Patti’s question
Tuesday, Apr 10, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller
* Of all the letters written on behalf of John Harris for his sentencing hearing, this one stood out for me the most…
Blagojevich’s longtime executive assistant, Mary Stewart, said he was “very difficult to work with and for” and “basically would wear a person down” — for instance, by peppering Harris with calls early in the morning, late at night and on weekends and holidays.
“Had the former governor just listened to John more, I just know in my heart that the outcome for the administration would have been better,” wrote Stewart, who also worked for Blagojevich when he was a state representative and congressman.
This statement could be said about a lot of people, including myself. Many of us tried to publicly and privately steer Rod Blagojevich toward a more sane, honest governance. He never listened to anyone but the voices in his own head, and the FBI surveillance tapes made that pretty clear.
And that’s really the answer to Patti Blagojevich’s question that she posted on her Facebook page after Harris was sentenced to 10 days in prison…
“I can’t help but wonder what planet we are on. 10 days vs. 5110 days, a sentence that is 51,100% higher than Rod. How do you explain that to your children?”
Harris was culpable, but he fully admitted wrongdoing, never pocketed any cash and he helped the government prosecute his former boss. Rod still won’t admit anything.
* Lon Monk was sentenced to two years in prison last week while I was on break. Some background…
Monk, who was a groomsman at Blagojevich’s wedding, admitted he helped shake down a racetrack owner for a hefty campaign contribution to Blagojevich. He pleaded guilty to wire fraud and testified against Blagojevich in exchange for a recommendation from prosecutors of a two-year sentence rather than the maximum five years.
Monk was a key prosecution witness at Blagojevich’s two trials, telling jurors how he and Blagojevich tried to squeeze the racetrack owner for a $100,000 campaign contribution by threatening state action that would hurt the racing industry. Blagojevich withheld approval of legislation that the industry wanted pending the contribution.
Jurors even heard a conversation in which Rod Blagojevich is heard coaching Monk on how to ask track owner — and Monk lobbying client — John Johnston for the cash.
“Give us the money. One has nothing to do with the other,” Monk told Blagojevich he would tell Johnston, referring to the contribution and the legislation. “Give us the f—ing money.”
Eventually, Blagojevich signed the bill — after his arrest in December 2008. The contribution was never made. […]
While prosecutors never accused Harris of profiting personally, they have said that Monk did, accepting illicit $10,000 payments from former Blagojevich campaign fund-raiser Tony Rezko, slipped to him in envelopes stuffed with $100 bills.
Taking the money is what really made the difference here. Also, Monk initially refused to cooperate with the feds. Big mistake. The US Attorney is just too powerful a force to successfully resist in cases like these. Plus, Monk knew Blagojevich from way back. He should’ve known what he was in for. Harris was plucked from the Daley administration. I’m not sure he had a good idea what he was getting into when he took the job.
That being said, Harris was a Class A jerk as chief of staff. He made life miserable for a whole lot of people, both on his own accord and at Blagojevich’s command. But, I suppose, that’s not an imprisonable offense. If it was, I could think of a lot of folks who would still be behind bars.
* Related…
* Harris suffered plenty enough while on the job: For instance, Blagojevich wanted Illinois State Police troopers assigned to Chicago to help combat a crime wave in 2008. But he also wanted them clothed in special outfits that would identify them as part of this special unit. In other words, play dress up with real people in a potentially dangerous situation. Harris reportedly intervened and stopped the entire enterprise. Then there was the letter that outlined how Blagojevich wanted to fire his entire legal department because they lacked professionalism. Instead, he wanted to hire an unemployed attorney he met in line at a Starbucks to be the state’s chief legal counsel. What mature leader of a major state would want to install someone he met in line at a coffee shop as his state’s chief legal counsel?
* Sneed: Former Gov. Rod Blagojevich, who is now serving his 14-year prison sentence at a federal penitentiary in Colorado, is expecting his first batch of visitors. The visitor’s list: Sneed is told attorneys Sam Adam and Sam Adam Jr., the father-son duet who represented Blago at his first federal corruption trial, will be Rocky Mountain bound at the end of the month. Familial fodder: “We are like family and my dad talks to him about twice a week,” Sam Adam Jr. tells Sneed. Father & son: “Before he [Blago] went to prison, my dad would literally talk to him four or five times a day,” said Adam Jr. “It had nothing to do with the case most of the time. They read the same books, are both history buffs . . . he’s the intellectual son my dad never had. I love that, it means I don’t have to read that stuff,” said Adam Jr., who plans to bring his 4-year-old son, Parker, on the trip.
* Illinois ranks high for fighting corruption: Illinois ranked tenth in the nation for fighting corruption, according to a recent study by the Center for Public Integrity… The study, part of the State Integrity Investigation, rated Illinois in terms of the systems it has in place to prevent and discourage political corruption. Randy Barrett, the center’s communications director, said although some of this year’s top-scoring states have a reputation of being corrupt in the past, the reforms they’ve created to guard against repeat offenses helped earn them high ranks. “We were not looking at corruption per se,” Barrett said. “We weren’t looking at individuals. We weren’t looking at convictions. We were looking at states’ systems to guard against corruption in the future.”
* Zorn: Fine Line: Unimaginatively venal and irrationally demanding… Frank Kruesi’s description of former Gov. Rod Blagojevich in a letter to U.S. District Judge James Zagel regarding the sentencing of John Harris, Blagojevich’s one-time chief of staff.(CST)
* Bernard Schoenburg: Nix lands job on Biden’s re-election team
* Beavers holding legal defense fund-raiser at a McDonald’s
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Caption contest!
Tuesday, Apr 10, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller
* Yes, I swore on my life that yesterday’s post was the last roast story ever. But this isn’t a roast story. It’s just a caption contest featuring a pic of Comptroller Judy Baar Topinka and Rep. Jack Franks at my roast…
Winner gets something. I haven’t decided yet what it is.
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