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Poll has Duckworth leading Walsh by 9 points

Thursday, Aug 16, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The CREDO SuperPAC has a new survey of the 8th Congressional District race conducted by Public Policy Polling

* Of the questions asking whether stuff that Joe Walsh said would make them more or less likely to vote for him, here’s what appears to be the strongest response

* Another, perhaps more interesting result

Crosstabs are here. 500 voters were polled August 13-14. The margin of error is +/- 4.38 percent.

* Meanwhile, Gov. Pat Quinn called Walsh the nation’s worst congressman yesterday

Illinois Gov. Pat Quinn calls outspoken Rep. Joe Walsh “the worst congressman in America.”

The Democratic governor didn’t mention Walsh by name Wednesday, but he was talking about congressional candidate Tammy Duckworth’s opponent. She’s running against Walsh, a Republican from McHenry.

Walsh, in reply, said Quinn was the nation’s worst governor

The Walsh campaign quickly hit back, calling Quinn “the worst governor in the country presiding over a state with 8.6 percent unemployment and a massive unfunded pension liability.”

Quinn, spokeswoman Erin Rapp said, “should spend more time focusing on how to solve Illinois’ fiscal crisis and get Illinoisans back to work rather than share his unwarranted opinions on the congressman.'’

* Related…

* Joe Walsh Doubles Down On Radical Islam Comments

* Quinn Calls Walsh “Worst Congressman in America”: Erin Rapp, a Walsh spokesperson, brushed the criticism aside, telling Chicagoist that Walsh “completely agrees with Gov. Quinn that there is no place in Illinois for hate crime and religious intolerance.”

* VIDEO: Rep. Walsh Response to Homegrown Radical Islamic Terrorism

       

19 Comments
  1. - Cheryl - Thursday, Aug 16, 12 @ 10:30 am:

    So the next time someone shoots up a mosque (or any non-Christian place of worship) is Walsh going to admit he’s part of the reason these things happen?

    I don’t think Quinn should have said what he said. I don’t disagree with him, I just think public figures should be more discreet.


  2. - Deep South - Thursday, Aug 16, 12 @ 10:35 am:

    I don’t know if Walsh is the worst congressman in America. Allen West of Florida may have that honor. But Walsh has to be a close second.


  3. - Mike Mahoney - Thursday, Aug 16, 12 @ 10:35 am:

    And Melissa Bean lost to this guy…LOL


  4. - Anonymous - Thursday, Aug 16, 12 @ 10:39 am:

    Auto poll of only 500 voters - not even Likely voters. Worthless.


  5. - Skeeter - Thursday, Aug 16, 12 @ 10:39 am:

    Did Walsh pay Gov. Quinn to get involved? It is the best thing possible for Walsh.


  6. - Tommydanger - Thursday, Aug 16, 12 @ 10:40 am:

    What’s next, ‘My dad can beat your dad up?’


  7. - TJ - Thursday, Aug 16, 12 @ 10:47 am:

    Quinn calls Walsh the worst congressman in the nation, and Walsh calls Quin the worst governor in the nation?

    …. sad to say, but they both might actually be right….


  8. - wordslinger - Thursday, Aug 16, 12 @ 10:50 am:

    Wonder if the RCCC will cut Walsh off.


  9. - Wumpus - Thursday, Aug 16, 12 @ 10:57 am:

    Cheryl may be the worst commenter in the nation! (lol)Don’t blame Walsh for a mosque shooting that has not occurred unless he pulls the trigger.

    Wow, Finger in the Wind Quinn is more critical of Walsh than he was of Blago.


  10. - Six Degrees of Separation - Thursday, Aug 16, 12 @ 11:25 am:

    Wumpus, that’s an understatement. “He always does the right thing” vs. “the worst Congressman”.


  11. - Shore - Thursday, Aug 16, 12 @ 11:27 am:

    Wordslinger it’s NRCC, as for walsh that’s not a bad poll for him considering how much heat he’s taken over the last 2 years (much of it self inflicted). 39-44 favorability in a district designed to cashier him + his problems is not horrible. Duckworth was awful in their debate performance -almost plummer-esque and if he can behave (unlikely) I think his energy is a real problem for her, as it was for bean, as is the potential for outside superpac help which should be forthcoming given how he’s been there for the Koch wing of the party.


  12. - wordslinger - Thursday, Aug 16, 12 @ 11:33 am:

    Shore, thanks for the correction. Don’t know where that came from.

    Koch Wing of the party? Yikes. Might not want to advertise that too much.


  13. - Javorica - Thursday, Aug 16, 12 @ 11:49 am:

    As a pollster, one cannot honestly publish an up or down number such as this based on a poll which begins with slanted questions, a small sample, non-representative voter modeling, and makes assumptions with the data.

    I’d like to see some real polling here.. This was clearly a push poll and a political tactic, not a legitimate scientific poll.


  14. - Shore - Thursday, Aug 16, 12 @ 1:32 pm:

    http://act.credoaction.com/take_down/about.html

    credo-pac is a new sketchy (not because we disagree politically but because of their background) leftwing organization, I still think given all his self inflicted wounds and the way that district was gerrymandered the 39-44 unfavorable is pretty good for walsh.


  15. - Yellow Dog Democrat - Thursday, Aug 16, 12 @ 2:55 pm:

    === for walsh that’s not a bad poll for him ===

    Shore, that’s not saying much.

    His favorables are upside down. His re-elect is upside down. And his efforts to bring Duckworth down to his level backfire.

    Pundits from Charlie Cook to Contressional Quarterly have been predicting Duckworth wins by 8. It could be even more.


  16. - Shore - Thursday, Aug 16, 12 @ 4:05 pm:

    the thirsty in a desert haven’t had a drink of water in months ILGOP didn’t even think walsh wouldn’t compete last time and he won. if you read their website credo-pac isn’t pro duckworth, they’re militantly anti-walsh and yet in a district again, designed to end his career, the best they can find in a poll is his favorability down 5 points after 2 years of HORRIBLE press for him. You could say duckworth hasn’t begun to unload on him, but the media value of the all the stories about his child support issues alone is probably more millions more than duckworth has to spend. What’s more, walsh has a lot of energy which is in part how he beat bean and I think with the superpac support he has earned and should get, he could make it a lot closer.

    BTW, you could run a generic, clean, dave mcsweeney/steve greenburg type republican in that district and probably get those numbers. They should be a lot worse than they are.


  17. - Fed up - Thursday, Aug 16, 12 @ 4:27 pm:

    Cheryl

    Do you blame goofy Joe Biden they will put y’all back in chains for a liberal shooting up a conservative think tank?


  18. - late to the party - Thursday, Aug 16, 12 @ 4:59 pm:

    Fed Up -

    With the disclaimer that Walsh should not be blamed, I think it’s quite a stretch to connect Biden’s comments a shooting at FRC.

    At least in Walsh’s case, the issues are connected.


  19. - Anonymous - Thursday, Aug 16, 12 @ 6:15 pm:

    Shore, Mahoney
    Bean lost due to a Green Party spoiler who siphoned away 6,500 votes in a race Bean lost by 291. There is no third party on the ballot this time.


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


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