Question of the day
Tuesday, Feb 19, 2013 - Posted by Rich Miller
* Comptroller Topinka, Attorney General Madigan and Lt. Governor Sheila Simon at a weekend Chinese New Year celebration…
* The Question: Caption?
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* This Illinois Federation of Teachers e-mail from IFT President Dan Montgomery is being forwarded around all over the place…
Late last week, State Senators Linda Holmes (D-Aurora) and Pam Althoff (R-McHenry) filed Senate Bill 2404, legislation that includes key components advocated by the IFT and We Are One Illinois labor coalition. In large part, this fair, constitutional bill provides a path to paying down the pension debt that, as you know, neither workers nor our modest retirement benefits are responsible for causing.
We support this legislation, which addresses three of our key priorities:
1. Guaranteed Funding. You’ve always paid toward your retirement. The state has not. Decades of skipped and shorted payments have created a $90 billion debt and a serious crisis. This bill secures an ironclad promise that lawmakers must make the annual pension and debt payment every year. And, SB2404 establishes the right for the state retirement systems - or individuals - to bring court action if they don’t.
2. Creating a Pension Stabilization Fund. Beyond paying the annual costs, the state must also pay down the massive debt. In past years, Springfield leaders used creative borrowing schemes to make payments, which only created more debt through bonds that had to be paid off first by law. SB2404 would create a constitutionally protected fund to directly pay down the debt with resources already in the Illinois budget.
3. Shared Sacrifice. While public workers are not to blame for Illinois’ pension problem, we are willing to be part of the solution. With an ironclad funding guarantee to ensure employer underfunding can never happen again and the dedicated revenue source described above, active members would contribute an additional 2 percent of salary, phased in over the next two years. This will generate more than $3 billion over the next decade.
In the weeks ahead, organized labor aims to add more co-sponsors to this bipartisan legislation. We believe there is an appetite to support an initiative with the union coalition’s backing.
The bill is here.
Notice that there’s no explicit mention of a tax hike in this proposal. There’s just a requirement that all the money be paid. So, without other reforms, there would absolutely have to be either a big tax increase or more budget cuts, or both. Then again, it’s the first time that organized labor has actually supported a bill on this topic. It’s something.
Discuss.
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Today’s quote
Tuesday, Feb 19, 2013 - Posted by Rich Miller
* Treasurer Dan Rutherford spoke at his hometown’s Lincoln Day dinner last night…
“I’m not announcing tonight. None of you walked in this room and thought I was announcing tonight. You know I can’t do it tonight, but I’m in for the governor’s race for the state of Illinois and that’s for doggone sure,” Rutherford said to thunderous applause.
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The Daily Bust
Tuesday, Feb 19, 2013 - Posted by Rich Miller
* So, I saw this headline on Drudge while I was out of town over the weekend…
I smirked, then clicked on the link to what turned out to be a Daily Beast story. The lede…
Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel is said by well-connected Democrats to be considering the idea of running for president if Hillary Clinton opts out of the 2016 race.
Then I read way down into the story to see just who was saying such things…
“I heard there were some conversations with donors especially during the inauguration,” a well-known Democratic politico told The Daily Beast, referring to the January 20-21 celebrations in Washington marking the launch of President Obama’s second term. A second highly placed Democrat echoed that account.
Um, OK. Two guys say they heard some scuttlebutt at the inauguration.
* The Sun-Times took it seriously…
Mayor Rahm Emanuel is taking on chores for President Barack Obama’s new political operation as the president hits Chicago on Friday to sell his second term agenda, and City Hall on Thursday night was scrambling to throw cold water on a report Emanuel is interested in a White House bid.
* Meanwhile, the Daily Beast also interviewed Roland Burris. The article’s description of the man…
Burris, an understated and often overlooked Illinois pol
Understated?
What?
* Among other things, Burris told the Daily Beast about the downsides to his US Senate service…
The commute, for one (not like in Illinois, he noted, when he got to fly to Springfield on state aircraft) and the fact that “there was no per diem. Financially, it was not very rewarding for me at all. You are on your own for expenses. And getting out of O’Hare on commercial airlines.”
* But he’s ready to go back…
Still, he adds, “if there is another vacancy, I would love to go there for a short time again. If something happens to one of our senators, and the governor wants to appoint me, I would love to go back.”
I’m sure he would.
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* The latest results from the Paul Simon Public Policy Institute’s statewide poll of 600 registered voters…
1. What do you think is more important? Protecting the right to own guns, or controlling gun ownership?
Protecting the right to own guns 31.3%
Controlling ownership 59.5%
Other/Don’t know 9.2%
2. In general, do you feel that the laws covering the sale of firearms should be made more strict, less strict, or kept as they are now?
More strict 72.3%
Less strict 2.2%
Kept the same 21.3%
Other/Don’t know 4.2%
3. Do you favor or oppose banning high-capacity ammunition clips that can contain more than 10 bullets?
Favor 62.8%
Oppose 33.3%
Other/Don’t know 3.8%
4. Do you favor or oppose a law which would make it illegal to manufacture, sell, or possess semi-automatic guns known as assault rifles?
Favor 58.7%
Oppose 35.2%
Other/Don’t know 6.2%
5. Do you favor or oppose a law that would ban the possession of handguns, except by the police and other authorized persons?
Favor 32.7%
Oppose 61.3%
Other/Don’t know 6.0%
6. Do you favor or oppose a law that would require background checks before people – including gun dealers – could buy guns at a gun show?
Favor 92.5%
Oppose 5.5%
Other/Don’t know 2.0%
7. Do you favor or oppose putting more armed guards or police in schools?
Favor 46.3%
Oppose 44.8%
Other/Don’t know 8.8%
8. (IF YES ABOVE, N=278) Would you be willing to pay higher taxes to pay for more armed guards or police in schools?
Yes 63.3%
No 30.9%
Other/Don’t know 5.8%
9. Do you believe the Second Amendment includes the right to carry concealed weapons in public?
Yes 39.5%
No 49.7%
Other/Don’t know 10.8%
10. (IF YES ABOVE, N=237) Do you believe there should be exceptions to allowing concealed weapons in public places—excluding them from such places as schools, college campuses, shopping malls and movie theaters?
Yes 71.3%
No 20.7%
Other/Don’t know 8.0%
* From the Institute…
About twice as many Illinois voters surveyed thought controlling gun ownership was more important than protecting the right to own guns (59.5 percent to 31.3 percent). A recent poll of all Americans taken by Pew Research, shows a 49 to 42 percent split on that question. […]
Even within constituencies that are seen as pro-gun, majorities in the Simon Poll said they favored stricter gun control. These groups included downstate voters (66.1%) conservatives (54.6%) and Republicans (55.4%).
Significant majorities also favored most of the specific gun-control policy proposals tested in the poll, including requiring background checks before anyone—including gun dealers—could buy firearms at gun shows (92.5 percent); banning high-capacity ammunition magazines (62.8 percent); and banning semi-automatic “assault rifles” (58.7 percent).
“It’s striking how much stronger the support for gun control measures is in Illinois compared to the nation as a whole,” said David Yepsen, the director of the Institute. “But it’s not surprising because on measurements of many social issues, the electorate in Illinois is more left of center than the American electorate.” […]
Among those who thought the Second Amendment did cover concealed weapons, a large majority (71.3 percent) thought there should be exceptions to concealed-carry in places such as schools, college campuses, malls, and theaters.
Subscribers have the complete crosstabs.
Take a deep breath before commenting, please.
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An inauspicious beginning
Tuesday, Feb 19, 2013 - Posted by Rich Miller
* My weekly syndicated newspaper column…
“Off topic? I can’t imagine what that would be,” cracked Gov. Pat Quinn last week during a news conference.
Just hours before, his lieutenant governor had announced that she would not be Quinn’s 2014 running mate.
Quinn usually does a pretty good job during his news conferences of persuading reporters to wait to ask off-topic questions until all questions about the subject at hand have been asked. Last week was no exception.
Quinn was holding the session with U.S. Health and Human Services Secretary Kathleen Sebelius to discuss her conditional approval in allowing Illinois to move forward with an online health insurance exchange — a major step toward implementing the president’s national health care plan.
“You could get caught by stray bullets,” Quinn jokingly warned the folks who had gathered with him to make the announcement. “You don’t have to be part of the firing squad.”
He knew what was coming. Earlier in the morning, the Paul Simon Public Policy Institute had released a poll showing that Quinn was badly trailing Lisa Madigan in a hypothetical primary election match.
By midmorning, the late U.S. senator’s daughter, Sheila, had announced that she wouldn’t be running with him again for lieutenant governor. Simon’s aides say she didn’t know about the poll from her late father’s think tank, but the rich irony wasn’t lost on those of us who watch these things.
Simon was chosen in 2010 by Quinn after Democratic primary voters made the unfortunate mistake of nominating a pawn broker with a rather “colorful” past by the name of Scott Lee Cohen. After details of Cohen’s alleged assault of a massage parlor girlfriend/lover emerged, he was pressured to drop out of the race.
Quinn didn’t pick Simon for her political acumen. She had lost a Carbondale mayor’s race that pretty much everybody thought was in the bag.
Instead, she was chosen mainly for her name. The governor still idolizes her father, and that name is still held in high esteem among older Democrats.
Simon, however, seemed to chafe at times under Quinn’s leadership. He demanded too much control of her budget. She had to fight for every dime, every hire, every square inch of office space.
As with most of her predecessors, Simon found that being lieutenant governor wasn’t worth much.
It doesn’t take a political scientist to see that Quinn could very well be doomed in 2014. He barely won four years ago against a weak Republican candidate, mainly because he convinced voters that his heart was in the right place.
But after four years on the job, the public strongly dislikes him. The Simon Institute’s recent poll pegged his job approval rating at just 32.8 percent. Other polls have shown even worse numbers.
Anyway, back to last week’s big announcement by Simon. Usually with these sorts of announcements, some sort of groundwork is done beforehand. A newspaper is given a tip, for instance. Top insiders are told what to expect.
That didn’t happen this time. I’d told my subscribers several days before that Simon was planning to run for another office and that Quinn was rumored to be looking for a black running mate, but that didn’t come directly from inside. Some top Quinn staffers were completely caught off guard by last week’s announcement, which just fueled the fires.
So, the mainstream media wasn’t kind, and the poll’s timing didn’t help matters much. The fact that Quinn didn’t appear with Simon at her announcement further underscored the curiosity of the whole thing.
Word from inside is that Simon told Quinn in December that she had set her sights on state comptroller. But she reportedly assumed that Republican incumbent Judy Baar Topinka would be retiring. Not happening.
So, now on her radar screen is state treasurer, which will be an open contest if Republican Dan Rutherford pulls the trigger on running for governor, or attorney general if Democrat Lisa Madigan decides to move up to governor.
For Quinn, though, last week’s optics were terrible. Three straight polls have now shown him doing very poorly against Madigan. His lieutenant governor abruptly announces that she’s abandoning him without even knowing where she’ll land.
And he was left to face reporters alone on what should have been a major news day for him.
This was, to say the least, not an auspicious beginning for Quinn’s re-election effort.
* Related…
* Finke: First you’re up, then you’re down
* Erickson: Politicos jockey for state’s top job: “This is odd. I’ve never seen anything like it. It’s very different, and I’m really surprised. You know, look, her good name helped her get the position she’s in, and I think her good work has kept her there. Now she’s going to go out and test the waters to see if her name that she’s developed is electable, and boy, I’m not yet sure,” Jacobs said Wednesday.
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Not true
Tuesday, Feb 19, 2013 - Posted by Rich Miller
* From Fox 32…
Candidates in the South Side Second Congressional District angrily attacked the Mayor of New York Monday.
They complained that Michael Bloomberg’s Super PAC is trying to buy the Democratic nomination for Robin Kelly with millions of dollars in independent expenditures. Not only that, but two of Robin Kelly’s top rivals said they suspect she broke federal campaign rules by secretly coordinating strategy with Mayor Bloomberg.
“I have nothing to do with what he’s doing, never did. So, whatever people are saying, it’s untrue, ridiculous. I don’t know the man,” Kelly said.
Still, Kelly, a native of New York, is the chief beneficiary of more than $2 million that billionaire New York Mayor Bloomberg’s Super PAC is spending in the Second Congressional District.
After a debate in south suburban Matteson late Monday, rival candidates Anthony Beale and Deborah Halvorson pointed to a report on the influential blog Capitol Fax. They said it indicates that Kelly and Bloomberg forces have closely coordinated their actions for more than month — in violation of federal campaign rules.
“According to Capitol Fax, it says that she’s been going around for weeks talking about her strategy being exactly what happened,” Halvorson says.
“That looks extremely suspicious and, so, when you look at the amount of money, we don’t need somebody from New York dictating to us here in the Second Congressional District,” says Ald. Anthony Beale.
I never reported any such thing. I simply posted an analysis by a Toi Hutchinson partisan which made the claim that Hutchinson had won the week and also included the unsubstantiated allegations. In retrospect, I should’ve deleted that part of it. Kelly’s campaign flatly denied the allegation, by the way.
Leave me out of this, please.
* Related…
* SEIU endorses Robin Kelly
* Gov. Quinn: Don’t allow anyone ‘with huge amounts of money’ to dictate race
* Kadner: N.Y. Mayor Bloomberg sets agenda for Illinois race
* Zorn: Will Halvorson have crossover appeal?
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