Poll: Mark Kirk an unknown Senator
Tuesday, Dec 3, 2013 - Posted by Rich Miller
* Public Policy Polling has released more details of its latest poll…
Almost halfway through his first term, Mark Kirk is one of the most anonymous Senators in the country. 32% approve of him, 32% disapprove, and the largest percentage at 37% doesn’t have an opinion about him one way or the other.
What’s interesting about Kirk’s numbers though is that while Republicans are not that enthused about him (only a 35/27 approval), Democrats don’t really have much of a problem with him compared to most Republican Senators (a 23/35 approval).
So, maybe Republican state legislators shouldn’t care all that much about what Sen. Kirk thinks of the pension reform bill. However…
That crossover support means he might not be an easy out in 2016- he ties Lisa Madigan at 41 in a hypothetical head to head, taking 15% of the Democratic vote while losing only 11% of Republicans.
That could be a sign of Kirk’s strength. More likely, though, it’s an indication that Lisa Madigan’s star is truly falling.
* Meanwhile…
As we’re finding most places Illinois voters strongly support raising the minimum wage to $10 an hour. 58% support such a move to only 34% who oppose it. The concept has overwhelming support from Democrats (77/19) and independents (57/30), and even 34% of Republicans favor it.
That’s pretty strong support, but I wonder if it would be as high if respondents were told that Illinois has the highest minimum wage of any of its neighboring states.
* Hilarious…
Who do you think’s done a better job this year: Congress or the Chicago Cubs?
Congress ………….. 9%
The Cubs …………. 67%
Not sure ………….. 23%
Man oh man.
* More…
Jay Cutler’s net favorability with voters in Illinois has declined a net 19 points over the last year from +26 (41/15) in November 2012 to now just +7 at 34/27.
I can’t believe he’s still net favorable.
* Methodology…
PPP surveyed 557 Illinois voters, including an oversample of 375 usual Republican primary voters, from November 22nd to 25th. The margin of error for the overall survey is +/- 4.2% and +/- 5.1% for the GOP sample. PPP’s surveys are conducted through automated telephone interviews.
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“We call it theft”
Tuesday, Dec 3, 2013 - Posted by Rich Miller
* From the Tribune’s coverage of this morning’s pension reform conference committee hearing…
Dan Montgomery, president of the Illinois Federation of Teachers, had a different take on the legislation. “We call it theft,” he said.
The union leader acknowledged the pension funding issue needs to be addressed, but said the cuts in the bill are too drastic. Montgomery said he preferred a union-backed bill that had previously won the support of Cullerton and passed the Senate.
Montgomery said the proposal on the table today looked like a “flashback” to a “nearly identical” Madigan-backed, union-opposed proposal that passed the House but failed in the Senate last spring. Montgomery said the plan ultimately will save nothing because the cuts are unconstitutional and the Illinois Supreme Court will throw the plan out.
* Meanwhile, we discussed Lt. Gov. Sheila Simon’s opposition to the pension bill a little yesterday. Here is her full statement…
You may have read or heard about a pension compromise bill made public yesterday. I congratulate the legislative leaders who came together in a bipartisan way to produce a pension compromise, but the proposed legislation puts too much of the burden on lower income workers and retirees.
We’re getting closer, but we’re not quite there yet. We need changes in the pension compromise to protect lower wage workers and retirees from bearing the brunt of a pension crisis caused by years of underfunding and abuses by a previous generation of longtime politicians.
There also must be language in the bill that protects the retirement ages of workers in physically demanding jobs, such as state police and correctional officers.
How did we get here? Legislators including Judy Baar Topinka helped create this mess in 1994 with a bill that the SEC called the “primary driver” behind a $57 billion increase in unfunded pension liabilities between 1995 and 2010.
Topinka also voted in 1989 for a bill that allowed lawmakers to max out their pensions and grow them far beyond their legislative salaries. As a result of that bill, Topinka in 2009 collected a pension worth over $141,000 - 23 percent higher than any salary she ever earned. [Chicago Sun-Times, 9/11/09]
We are in this situation because of the last generation of politicians like Judy Baar Topinka. It is now our generation’s responsibility to fix the problem, and fix it fairly.
Ouch.
* But a year ago, Simon backed Rep. Elaine Nekritz’s pension bill. From a press release…
Lt. Governor Simon: Illinois one step closer to fiscal stability
SPRINGFIELD – Lt. Governor Sheila Simon today issued the following statement regarding pension reform legislation introduced by members of the Illinois House of Representatives.
“Today we are one step closer to strengthening our pension system and restoring fiscal stability to our state. Without action, the strain pension payments place on our budget will crowd out funding for other priorities like education, public safety and health care. I would like to thank members of the House for their work to come up with a solution, and I look forward to reviewing this proposal and bringing everyone to the table to move forward,” Simon said.
Today’s legislation builds on Governor Pat Quinn’s call for pension reform. The Governor has urged lawmakers to take action that will save the state’s critical programs and services while preserving the pension system for future generations.
* In related news, Democratic US Rep. Jan Schakowsky also weighed in against the bill…
“Members of the Illinois General Assembly have been presented with an unfair pension proposal that places an enormous financial burden on those who did everything right – the public employees who served our state and faithfully made their pension contributions. Yet, this proposal would subject them to deep cuts on their cost-of-living adjustments, which will grow over time and substantially reduce their pensions. For the many teachers and other public employees who don’t collect Social Security, the size of the cuts will take away the retirement security they have earned over a lifetime of work.
“Teachers and other public employees entered into a contract – the obligations of which are recognized by the Illinois State Constitution. It is particularly galling that retirees are being asked to take such a hard hit at the very same time that the legislature is considering additional tax breaks for large, profitable corporations.
“I hope this proposal will be rejected so that a more balanced approach can be passed and one that includes a revenue component and that doesn’t further erode the middle class by putting the entire burden on public employees and retirees.”
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Pension quotes
Tuesday, Dec 3, 2013 - Posted by Rich Miller
* House Speaker Michael Madigan spoke to WGN TV on his way out of the Statehouse last night. He was asked about Bruce Rauner’s opposition to the pension reform bill…
“I think he wants to blow up the issue and have nothing happen so that he’ll keep his campaign issue that he’s the outsider with the $18 watch who can change everything in state govenrment.”
* From the Daily Herald…
“Republicans against pension reform?” state Rep. Ed Sullivan, a Mundelein Republican, posted on Twitter. “Did I wake up in an alternate universe?”
* Wall Street Journal…
Democrats in Illinois have dug a $100 billion pension hole, and now they want Republicans to rescue them by voting for a plan that would merely delay the fiscal reckoning while helping to re-elect Governor Pat Quinn. The cuckolded GOP seems happy to oblige on this quarter-baked reform.
* Tribune…
Senate Republican leader Christine Radogno of Lemont threw down a challenge as she framed up what’s at stake.
The vote, she said, will “separate the leaders from the posers.”
* The Sun-Times editorialized in favor of the bill and took on Rauner in the process…
The bill kicks ordinary working people — secretaries, clerks, teachers and the like — in the teeth. Much of the bill’s $160 billion in savings comes from reducing the cost-of-living increases to their pensions and pushing back their retirement age. Forget what Rauner says — this bill is no gift to “big union bosses.”
I don’t think I’ve ever seen any newspaper approve of kicking ordinary working people in the teeth, but at least they’re honest, which is more than you can say about much of Rauner’s rhetoric on this bill.
* From the Tribune editorial…
The choice is between this reform bill and the untenable status quo. A better bill is not in the offing, not now, and probably not for years down the road.
The Sun-Times made that same argument today as well.
* WLS…
Rauner says it’s irrelevant as to whether the timing of the new pension deal helps Gov. Quinn or his own campaign.
“This is all about good policy for the people of Illinois who are about to be abused as taxpayers. They’re going to stuff through something they are calling reform, it’s just a band-aid on an open wound. We’ve got to stop this and then do the right changes, the changes that I’m recommending, here in the coming months.”
* Wilmette Life…
[IFT President Dan Montgomery] acknowledged the vote will be “tight and dramatic” whichever way it goes.
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ADM and the satellite tax
Tuesday, Dec 3, 2013 - Posted by Rich Miller
* ADM wants its tax break to help open its Chicago world headquarters today…
“We need a decision by the end of ‘13 so now is the time,” Gregory Webb, ADM vice president for state government relations, told the Lee Enterprises Springfield Bureau on Monday.
* But the bill is caught up in some last minute games…
Lawmakers began considering a new set of tax incentives worth $92 million for Archer Daniels Midland Co., chemical distributor Univar and newly merged OfficeMax and Office Depot on Monday that includes a proposed satellite television tax.
The legislation — aimed at keeping companies in Illinois and creating jobs — recycles ideas considered this year after agribusiness giant ADM announced plans to move its Decatur headquarters. The plan calls for a 5 percent fee on direct broadcast satellite services, which is expected to generate $75 million annually..
Yes, the satellite TV tax could be back. It was tacked onto some amendments yesterday. I’m not sure whether it’ll stay on, but the idea is to use the money generated by the $55 a year tax to pay for the new corporate tax breaks.
The Senate approved the tax last year, but those revenues were supposed to go to education funding. Needless to say, some teachers union folks weren’t all that happy with the new plan to take potential education dollars and use them to pay for corporate tax breaks - on the same day that their members’ pension benefits are being cut.
Like I said, the idea may not survive.
‘
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Careful what you say
Tuesday, Dec 3, 2013 - Posted by Rich Miller
* From a press release…
WARRENVILLE, Illinois (December 2, 2013) – Today in Springfield, Adam Johnson filed his nominating petitions with 1,500 signatures, the maximum number allowed by law, to run for State Representative in the 42nd Illinois House District. Johnson, born and raised in the district, is a graduate of Wheaton-Warrenville South High School and Harvard University. Adam currently works in the office of the DuPage County Clerk and resides in Warrenville with his wife Kathy and their two-year-old son.
By filing his petitions today, Johnson will be taking on incumbent Republican State Representative Jeanne Ives, who veteran state house reporter Rich Miller described on August 9, 2013 as “perhaps the least influential member of the Illinois House.” Shortly after filing his petitions in Springfield, Johnson said: “I am running because our district deserves unifying representation that seeks common ground solutions rather than divisive rhetoric that pits neighbor against neighbor and brings us no closer to solving our state’s problems.”
I honestly didn’t remember writing that and I couldn’t find it with my site search, either. So, I used Bing and realized that it was a comment, not a post.
Turns out, I was trying to calm down a commenter who complained that Rep. Ives “introduced at least five ALEC model bills this year.”
My response…
She is perhaps the least influential member of the Illinois House. So, it’s not even a nice try.
And even then, so what? She’s very, very conservative. Wouldn’t you expect that from her? She doesn’t have the right as a legislator to use those ALEC models?
So, I was kinda sorta defending her in an admittedly back-handed way and now I’m in a press release.
Such is life.
But I wasn’t wrong.
* Speaking of new candidates, Marc Zalcman filed yesterday to run against Rep. David Leitch in the Republican primary. From his “short term goals” pledge…
As your State Representative, I would also direct great energy to make conservative and grass-roots Reagan-Republican politics relevant again throughout our State. As a minority party member, it will be my duty and my honor to recruit people in other legislative districts – particularly Democratic districts – to run for office on a reform-Republican ticket. I will make it my business to find those who are interested in taking on the corrupt, liberal, Chicago-Democratic establishment or those who also want to take on ineffective Republicans and offer these new reformers all the help I or my organization or like-minded colleagues and friends can offer. […]
If elected, the rest of the Illinois will know the name Zalcman in a very short time and know I am a true reformer, not a nest-builder, which we are all-too-used-to seeing and paying their way.
A real humble guy that one.
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