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*** UPDATED x1 - Maybe not *** I think Duckworth won this round

Wednesday, Nov 18, 2015 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Mark Kirk campaign oppo…

Duckworth Says She Has Confidence In America’s Vetting Process

Duckworth Said She Has Confidence Our Security Can Properly Vet Syrian Refugees Entering The United States. But U.S. Rep. Tammy Duckworth, D-Schaumburg, said at a separate event that the country needs to “have confidence in our intelligence services” and not put up walls. “Our nation is better than that,” Duckworth said, underlining her support for a measure to allow up to 200,000 refugees from the war-plagued country in the U.S. (Greg Hinz, “Stark political split opens up on Syrian refugees,” Crain’s Chicago Business, 11/16/15)

In A Press Conference Tammy Duckworth Said She Was “Confident” US Can Filter Terrorists. “.@RepDuckworth “confident” US intelligence can filter terrorists from Syrian refugees.” (Charles Thomas Twitter Feed, 11/16/15)

But In 2014 She Said She Did Not Trust The Vetting Process

VIDEO: In 2014, Duckworth Said She Was Not Comfortable With The Vetting Process When It Comes To Syrian Rebels. DUCKWORTH: “I can’t trust the Syrian rebels, Kate. We don’t know who they are. I’m not comfortable with the vetting process, and I don’t know how long this commitment is.” (CNN, 9/17/14)

* Initial Duckworth campaign response…

More of the same fear-mongering from Mark Kirk. Incredibly dishonest and disingenuous.

She’s explicitly referring to the plan to arm Syrian rebels - in Syria - a program, by the way, she was right about and has since been suspended.

We’re talking now about refugees who are attempting to flee the awful effects of the Syrian civil war. This isn’t even apples to oranges, it’s apples to bowling balls, and they should be ashamed for trying to blur the difference on a crucial matter of national security.

* And then came the roundhouse from Team Duckworth…

It is an apples to oranges comparison. They are completely different processes. The refugee process is 18-24 months while they were handing out weapons to Syria rebels like candy.

http://www.cnn.com/2015/10/09/politics/us-syria-rebels-arms-program-suspended/

The flip of this is Kirk supports the vetting process of giving guns to Syria rebels but not the vetting of orphans and widows. This vote was less 18 months ago

    Kirk Voted To Train And Equip “Appropriately Vetted” Syrian Forces To Fight ISIS. “Durbin was explaining why he would be voting for a measure, to run through Dec. 11, to train and equip ‘appropriately vetted’ Syrian forces to battle the Islamic State group - also called ISIS or ISIL - and temporarily fund the federal government. A day after the House approved similar legislation, the Senate concurred 73-22 on a bipartisan roll call, with Sen. Mark Kirk, R-Ill., also voting yes. […] Earlier in the day, after Durbin said he would vote for the measure - which did not specifically authorize a war against ISIL - I asked him about his decision. […] Kirk told me he also wants an authorization vote. And if the Obama White House called him, Kirk said, ‘I could offer some very good guidance to build bipartisan support for the military mission in Iraq.’” [Chicago Sun-Times, 9/19/14]

I’ll let you know if the Kirk campaign responds.

*** UPDATE *** The Kirk response is good…

The simple truth is that Rep. Duckworth has expressed confidence in a vetting process that is not shared by either the Director of the FBI, the Director of National Intelligence nor the Director of the National Counter Terrorism Center. Moreover, Rep. Duckworth seeks to let in 200,000 refugees over the next 13 months–that’s twenty times more than the administration is requesting–utilizing a vetting system that has failed before.

ABC News Headline: Terrorists Once Used Refugee Program to Settle in US. (James Gordon Meek And Brian Ross, “Terrorists Once Used Refugee Program To Settle In US,” ABC News, 11/18/15)

Two Men Who Had Used A Refugee Program Turned Out To Be Al-Qaeda Linked Terrorists. Of the 31 states that have declared their opposition to taking in Syrian refugees, one state, Kentucky, has a specific reason to be wary of the background check process: previously two Iraqi refugees who settled in Bowling Green turned out to be al Qaeda-linked terrorists with the blood of American soldiers on their hands, an ABC News investigation found. Both pleaded guilty to terror-connected charges after trying to acquire heavy weapons while in America’s heartland. (James Gordon Meek And Brian Ross, “Terrorists Once Used Refugee Program To Settle In US,” ABC News, 11/18/15)

Other Suspected Terrorists Had Been Let Into The Country Posing As War Refugees From Afghanistan. The 2013 ABC News investigation also revealed that several dozen other suspected terrorist bombmakers, including some who were believed to have targeted U.S. troops, may have mistakenly been allowed to move to the U.S. as Iraq and Afghanistan War refugees, among the tens of thousands of innocent immigrants. (James Gordon Meek And Brian Ross, “Terrorists Once Used Refugee Program To Settle In US,” ABC News, 11/18/15)

  19 Comments      


*** UPDATED x1 *** Question of the day

Wednesday, Nov 18, 2015 - Posted by Rich Miller

* AP

Illinois groups that help Syrian refugees resettle are calling on Gov. Bruce Rauner to reverse his decision to temporarily stop accepting new Syrian refugees after the attacks in Paris.

Members of groups including RefugeeOne and the Heartland Alliance said Wednesday they believe Rauner doesn’t have the authority to halt the federal resettlement program, but they want a welcoming atmosphere in Illinois. They say Rauner and other GOP governors’ similar decisions were made out of fear. They say refugee screening processes are vigorous.

Since 2010 Illinois has received 169 Syrian refugees.

RefugeeOne executive director Melineh Kano says at least 21 more individuals are expected in December. She says Rauner’s administration has requested information on them.

Congresswoman Tammy Duckworth has also weighed in with a Tribune op-ed.

*** UPDATE *** A new statement from the governor

“The Governor has been very clear — we need to preserve our heritage as a state welcoming of refugees while addressing the all-too-real security concerns that continue to evolve every day,” the statement reads. “A State Department official confirmed to our staff this morning that ISIS has demonstrated an interest in infiltrating refugee populations heading to the West. The official also confirmed that in recent years, some refugees admitted to the United States were later discovered to have terrorist ties.

“At the same time, we continue to request briefings from the federal government on refugees being resettled to Illinois before they come — and the federal government has no official information sharing mechanism to coordinate directly with Governors on such individuals. As California’s governor reportedly said to the White House chief of staff last night, the federal government must evolve with the threat and modernize their information sharing with state governments. This is a reasonable and responsible step to take to ensure we maintain a balance between compassion for refugees and security for our citizens.”

* The Question: Should the governor reverse his decision? Take the poll and then explain your answer in comments, please.


survey service

  126 Comments      


No need to read more than this

Wednesday, Nov 18, 2015 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Mark Brown

The city of Chicago’s last chance for finding a semi-soft landing to its pension crisis appeared to fade away Tuesday as the Illinois Supreme Court looked askance at Mayor Rahm Emanuel’s plan to save two of its troubled pension funds.

Just as they were when state officials argued they had found the magic legislative end run to the Illinois Constitution’s strict pension protection clause for public employees, the justices were tough in their questioning of City Corporation Counsel Stephen Patton, signaling that they’re no more impressed by the city’s effort to thread the needle.

Tough questions aren’t always an indication of how a court will rule, but when coupled with the court’s earlier ruling overturning the state’s pension reform efforts, this would seem a good time for everyone to buckle up in anticipation of when they do.

Every other story is pretty much the same.

  50 Comments      


*** UPDATED x2 - SEIU Healthcare responds - AFSCME Responds *** Rauner reaches new contract agreement, lashes out at AFSCME

Wednesday, Nov 18, 2015 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From a press release…

Governor Bruce Rauner and the following labor unions have agreed to terms on new four-year collective bargaining agreements: Service Employees International Union (“SEIU”), Local 1 Chicago, the International Union of United Food and Commercial Workers, the International Union of Painters and Allied Trades, the International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers, Three Councils of the United Brotherhood of Carpenters and Joiners of America (The Chicago Regional Council of Carpenters, Mid-Central Illinois Regional Council of Carpenters, and the St. Louis-Kansas City Carpenter’s Regional Council), the International Brotherhood of Boilermakers – Iron Shipbuilders, Blacksmiths, Forgers, and Helpers, the Laborers International Union of North America, the International Association of Sheet Metal, Air, Rail, & Transportation Workers, and Illinois State Bricklayers and Allied Craftworkers.

In October, the Administration announced agreements with the International Union of Operating Engineers, the United Association of Journeymen and Apprentices of the Plumbing and Pipefitting Industry, and the International Association of Machinist and Aerospace Workers. These agreements have now been ratified. Over the summer, the Administration reached collective bargaining agreements with 5 different bargaining units represented by the International Brotherhood of Teamsters, all of which have also been ratified.

Altogether, the Governor has now successfully negotiated new collective bargaining agreements with 17 different bargaining units representing more than 5,000 state employees. These developments stand in stark contrast to the ongoing negotiations with AFSCME Council 31. Despite being offered substantially the same material terms as the Teamsters and the Trades, AFSCME has to date rejected the Governor’s chief proposals.

The agreements announced today include:

    · The State will expand the existing group health insurance program by offering employees a variety of new options. In the expanded program, employees will receive on average $967 per month to either maintain their current premiums, maintain their current coverage, mix and match in the way that is most beneficial to them, or shop for an entirely new custom health insurance package potentially on a new health insurance marketplace. Employees can also use the State’s contribution to purchase insurance through a union plan.

    · A new performance incentive program to reward employees with bonuses for cost-saving measures and meeting or exceeding performance standards.

    · A new, collaborative managed competition program that allows management and the unions to work together to provide low-cost alternatives to outsourcing.

    · A reduction in the payout for accumulated unused vacation from 75 to 45 days for employees hired after January 1, 2016.

    · Continuation of a 40-hour work week with overtime earned after 40 hours.

    · A program to enable the State of Illinois to address minority underutilization in state government.

    · Increased training and certification opportunities for employees.

    · Continuation of the prevailing rate system administered by the Illinois Department of Labor.

AFSCME is now on the opposite side of these negotiations from their own colleagues in organized labor. AFSCME continues to reject many of the same, reasonable proposals being ratified by wide margins by their fellow state employees:

    · AFSCME continues to reject the health insurance framework accepted by the trade unions. AFSCME’s proposal is to continue the same unaffordable health insurance system that the credit rating agencies have noted in the recent downgrades.

    · AFSCME continues to reject a new performance incentive program accepted by trades and Teamsters. AFSCME’s proposal is to continue to pay employees unaffordable automatic wage increases.

    · AFSCME continues to reject a new, collaborative managed competition program accepted by trades and Teamsters.

    · AFSCME continues to resist moving the overtime trigger to the common workplace benchmark of 40 hours.

    · AFSCME continues to reject a program to enable the State of Illinois to address minority underutilization in state government.

    · AFSCME continues to reject a four-year wage freeze. Teamsters, in contrast, not only agreed to freeze their wages but did so on top of the 75% in-hire rate.

*** UPDATE 1 *** From AFSCME Council 31…

Contrary to statements from the Governor’s Office today, the Rauner Administration has failed to reach agreement on union contracts covering the vast majority of state employees. In addition to AFSCME, unions that have not reached agreements include the INA, LIUNA, IFT, FOP, PB&PA and SEIU Healthcare, which together represent more than 40,000 state employees and tens of thousands of state-funded independent providers.

In contrast, the trades unions whose agreements were announced today represent only several hundred state workers.

The issues at stake in the trades negotiations are likewise very different. Because these unions have independent health plans, their members have the option not to take state health insurance. Similarly, their pay is typically set by the prevailing wage. Our union negotiates the health plan covering state and university employees and retirees, and bargains wage schedules for more than 500 job titles.

In negotiations with AFSCME, the Rauner Administration is demanding a four-year wage freeze and huge hikes in employee health costs, forcing workers to pay double their current premium to keep their coverage and driving down their take-home pay.

The Rauner Administration is also seeking to eliminate our contract’s safeguards against reckless privatization of public services, and demanding a so-called “merit pay” scheme that opens the door wide to cronyism by letting politically appointed bosses determine who gets a raise.

Like all working people, caregivers, child protection workers, correctional officers and other AFSCME-represented public service workers in state government deserve wages that sustain a family, affordable health care, retirement security and a voice on the job.

Our union is committed to reaching a fair agreement that achieves those goals. If the governor shares our commitment, he will correct his staff’s misleading claims and alter his confrontational tactics that make it harder, not easier, to find common ground.

*** UPDATE 2 *** Press release…

Following is the statement of SEIU Healthcare Illinois President Keith Kelleher in response to the breaking news that the Bruce Rauner administration had reached a contract deal with a unit of SEIU Local 1:

“While we are happy for our sisters and brothers at SEIU Local 1, the fact remains that the state’s largest bargaining units, the 52,000 low-income Illinois home healthcare and child care workers of SEIU Healthcare Illinois, continue to work without a contract while Bruce Rauner presses extreme demands that would totally destabilize this workforce.

“Our contracts expired June 30th. At the bargaining table, Gov. Rauner has sought to strip the lowest-paid workforce in the state of health insurance and training, along with other demands meant to diminish if not outright eliminate the workplace voice of these vital workers. He also is demanding a wage freeze for workers earning poverty-level wages. Already, he has stopped payments to the healthcare funds for our workers, raising immediate threats of misery and economic hardship on a large scale.

“For some reason, Rauner appears to be willing to single out SEIU Healthcare for demands harsher than the other units of government with whom he has reached a deal and ALL OF WHICH were able to keep their bargained-for health insurance—and their union voice.

“Rauner recently attacked our workforce through administrative rules meant to diminish the size of the home healthcare and child care workforces. And he bankrolls anti-union groups that are shamefully attacking our workers in the courts and in the media. His ongoing attacks at the bargaining table are part of his greater hostility against collective bargaining in general and his billionaire agenda to permanently weaken the union movement.”

  64 Comments      


Weirdest story of the day

Wednesday, Nov 18, 2015 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From the Daily Racing Form

A move to create new rules to prevent racehorses in Illinois from being sold for slaughter was voted down and tabled until at least next month during a meeting of the Illinois Racing Board on Tuesday, prompting Kathy Byrne, the commissioner who has pushed for enhanced anti-slaughter regulation and submitted the item on the Tuesday agenda, to withdraw the proposal and hastily leave the meeting, saying she was resigning her post. […]

Enhanced anti-slaughter rules were first brought up by Byrne during an IRB meeting in August. Byrne attempted to bring forth the measure during the IRB’s September meeting to award racing dates, but Brincat insisted it be put off until October, and when that meeting was canceled, Byrne’s measure to initiate rulemaking was rescheduled for Tuesday.

The amended official language under consideration would have required racetracks to monitor horses leaving their grounds to attempt to ensure that they were not on the way, directly or indirectly, to slaughterhouses. Trainers or owners would be required to sign forms attesting to a departing horse’s destination.

Both Chicago-area horsemen’s groups, the Illinois Thoroughbred Horsemen’s Association and the Illinois Harness Horsemen’s Association, supported Byrne’s measure, which seemed to be on the way to passage Tuesday when Arlington chairman Dick Duchossois rose to speak against it, expressing concern about racetracks’ legal liability. Duchossois said Arlington needed more time to review the proposal, but Byrne said the specific language called into question had come straight from Arlington during negotiations over the measure.

And that’s when she quit and walked out.

Mr. D isn’t to be trifled with, apparently.

Byrne, by the way, is the daughter of the late Mayor Jane Byrne.

  35 Comments      


Good government groups: Skip the opening remarks and get on with the meeting

Wednesday, Nov 18, 2015 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Press release…

ICPR to Governor, Leaders: Skip Hour Long Opening Remarks, Proceed Directly to Budget Talks at Dec. 1st Meeting

Last week, ICPR and other leading Illinois reform organizations called on Governor Rauner to propose a bipartisan agenda for the upcoming budget meeting with the legislative leaders, now scheduled for December 1st. On Friday, Governor Rauner circulated a letter outlining a tentative agenda for the meeting, which allots the first hour for individual statements by each meeting participant. ICPR and other signing reform groups believe that proceeding directly to open budget discussions between the Governor and leaders would ensure a more productive meeting.

The groups recommend focusing on recently released bipartisan budget proposals as a starting point for budget talks. ICPR Board Chair Hon. Susan Garrett believes that “these proposals could serve as an important framework and jump-start the budget negotiation process.” Copies of ICPR’s letter were distributed to the Governor and legislative leaders’ offices on Wednesday. Click here for a copy of Governor Rauner’s letter. Click here for a copy of ICPR’s letter.

ICPR, the League of Women Voters of Illinois, Business and Professional People for the Public Interest, the Citizen Advocacy Center, Illinois PIRG, and CHANGE Illinois were signers on the letter.

The Better Government Association did not sign the letter, which could be an interesting development. But if the BGA comes out against this idea, they’ll surely be reminded of the governor’s very large contributions to the group.

* The letter, with emphasis in the original…

November 18, 2015
Hon. Bruce Rauner, Governor State of Illinois
James R. Thompson Center 100 W. Randolph, 16-100 Chicago, IL 60601

Dear Governor Rauner:

Thank you for circulating your November 13th letter regarding the upcoming budget meeting, now scheduled for December 1st. We continue to be hopeful that this meeting will lead to a meaningful budget framework accepted by all parties – one that will provide a springboard to finding a solution to the ongoing impasse.

Illinois needs and deserves an immediate budget resolution for many reasons, most importantly to provide fiscal certainty to millions of individuals, families, businesses, municipalities, and organizations that provide much needed services. Without a budget resolution, Illinois will lose even more credibility nationwide. We cannot afford another week or month without a clear solution in sight.

We write today to respectfully express our reservations with your plan to devote the first hour of the meeting to individual commentaries from the leaders and yourself “on the issues about which they feel most passionately.”

Instead, given the urgency of the situation, we encourage you to dispense with the hour of individual statements and proceed directly to a public and open discussion of the various comprehensive bipartisan budget proposals that have been recently released. We believe this approach will enable all participants to collectively discuss their priorities on critical budget issues and lead to a more productive meeting.

We believe this discussion has the potential to generate a path to resolving the ongoing budget stalemate. Like many across the state, our expectations and hopes are high.

…Adding… It is worth pointing out, however, that all legislative leaders except Speaker Madigan have publicly agreed to the governor’s format.

I wouldn’t expect this to have much impact, unless MJM uses it somehow.

  70 Comments      


Focus on this now

Wednesday, Nov 18, 2015 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Sun-Times editorial

As reported in the Sun-Times on Sunday, the State Police have largely ignored a state law that they track what happens to guns owned by thousands of people whose gun ownership rights have been revoked for mental health reasons. The state police started doing so only in recent weeks — and only after Sun-Times reporters Frank Main and Mick Dumke began asking questions.

Many local police departments also have paid no attention to the law, often unaware that it even exists.

At every level, then, law enforcement agencies in Illinois largely have failed to perform a basic and legally required task — check whether people whose gun ownership rights have been revoked for good reason are, in fact, complying with the law.

After the mass shooting at Virginia Tech University in 2007, Illinois required health professionals to notify the state of any patient showing “violent, suicidal, threatening or assaultive behavior.” Then, as part of a 2013 law allowing concealed carry in Illinois, State Police were required to send notification letters to Firearm Owner’s Identification Card holders when their cards are revoked. The cardholders have 48 hours to turn in the cards, transfer the firearms to the police or a valid FOID holder, or file a report with police saying how many guns they have, where they are and whether they plan to transfer ownership.

If they don’t follow the rules, police can get a warrant and search their homes.

The idea behind the law makes sense. The vast majority of people struggling with issues of mental health are not violent, obviously. And people who have been diagnosed with mental health issues are, almost by definition, seeking help. But it is a matter of common sense that people who have been judged a legitimate threat to themselves or others shouldn’t own guns.

Last year, the State Police revoked 1,415 cards because of mental health issues and denied 1,791 new applications. What they did not do is check to see if the people whose cards were revoked actually got rid of their guns. They don’t know if people whose cards have been revoked are complying with what the letters say they have to do.

* And along those same lines, here’s Wordslinger in comments today

Since Sandy Hook, there have been more than 1,000 documented mass shootings in the United States.

Guess how many involved Syrian refugees?

Meanwhile, it was reported here the other day that 50,000 Illinoisans have been refused issuance or had their FOID cards revoked, under state law, due to mental illness.

Yet the ISP has no clue as to how many of those folks currently possess guns, illegally. and no authorities are employing the tools of the state law to find out.

That would appear to be a public safety issue.

Who in the administration is carrying the ball to ensure that state law is being executed faithfully, when it comes to guns and the mentally ill?

What’s gonna happen if, God forbid, we have a school shooting here and it turns out that the cops didn’t follow state law?

Get on it, folks. Now.

  44 Comments      


That’s optimism?

Wednesday, Nov 18, 2015 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Oy

[Rep. Charlie Meier (R-Okawville)] said he does not expect there will be a budget passed by the end of the current calendar year.

“But I’m more optimistic, and expect that the budget will be approved in February or March,” he said.

Just for context here, the governor’s next budget address has been scheduled for February 17th.

  19 Comments      


Kirk backs away from “100 percent assurance” demand on refugees

Wednesday, Nov 18, 2015 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From US Sen. Mark Kirk

Keeping Americans Safe from ISIS

Dear Friend,

This week, I urged President Obama to ensure no refugee related to the Syrian crisis is admitted to our country unless the U.S. government can guarantee, with 100 percent assurance, that they are not affiliated with ISIS.

Um, the government can’t guarantee anything with 100 percent certainty. No human entity can do that. Ever. Human beings are not perfect. Sen. Kirk ought to know that.

I asked Kirk’s office for an explanation. Here it is…

“Currently, the FBI, the Director of National Intelligence and the Director of the National Counter Terrorism Center all have grave concerns about our national ability to filter and vet Syrian refugees to prevent ISIS infiltration into the United States. In the Senate, Senator Kirk is introducing legislation to pause the refugee program until a time when our law enforcement and defense entities reach a level of certitude that they can in fact prevent ISIS infiltration via refugees without unnecessary risk to Americans.”

A “level of certitude” to protect against “unnecessary risk” is a whole lot different than “100 percent assurance” that nobody has ISIS ties.

* There are some legit concerns, however

In a call with senior Obama administration officials Tuesday evening, several governors demanded they be given access to information about Syrian refugees about to be resettled by the federal government in their states. Top White House officials refused.

Over a dozen governors from both parties joined the conference call, which was initiated by the White House after 27 governors vowed not to cooperate with further resettlement of Syrian refugees in their states. The outrage among governors came after European officials revealed that one of the Paris attackers may have entered Europe in October through the refugee process using a fake Syrian passport. (The details of the attacker’s travels are still murky.) […]

“There was a real sense of frustration from all the governors that there is just a complete lack of transparency and communication coming from the federal government,” said one GOP state official who was on the call.

The administration officials, led by McDonough, assured the governors that the vetting process was thorough and that the risks of admitting Syrian refugees could be properly managed. He added that the federal government saw no reason to alter the current method of processing refugees.

Gov. Rauner did not participate in the call. I’m told that they had “a senior administration official and subject matter expert on the call.” One of those folks was Rauner’s chief legislative liaison Richard Goldberg, who has significant foreign policy experience and came from Mark Kirk’s office.

* Crain’s

We expected better of Bruce Rauner. When Illinois hired him to be its 42nd governor, we counted on him to do what he said he would do: to take on the state’s biggest problem—namely, the pension-fueled deficit crisis—and to do it as the more-or-less compassionate conservative that he styled himself to be on the campaign trail.

What a difference a year makes.

The governor this week joined the chorus of Republican governors who, in the wake of the Paris terrorist attacks, declared they would accept no further refugees from Syria. This from the governor of a state whose Syrian refugee population so far numbers in the hundreds.

There is no rational basis for Rauner’s action. The terrorists responsible for the Paris atrocities were not Syrian refugees—they were European nationals. And while the governor argues that Syrian refugees represent a security threat grave enough to merit even a temporary review of our immigration procedures, we are not hearing him object to waving in refugees from other war-torn regions. How are the thousands of refugees coming into the U.S. from Afghanistan and Iraq any different from Syrians?

As the Economist recently pointed out, if a potential terrorist is determined to enter America to do harm, there are easier and faster ways to do it than via this nation’s complex refugee resettlement process. Refugees, in fact, are among the most heavily vetted of any U.S. immigrants, undergoing at least 18 months of background checks before being allowed to move freely on U.S. soil. […]

What’s shameful is the governor very likely already knows banning additional Syrian refugees from the Land of Lincoln is ridiculous. Why do we think so? Because we know he’s a smart and fairly reasonable person. Yet he made this declaration anyway—despite evidence that he doesn’t have the legal authority to do so.

* Um, OK, did the Crain’s editorial board forget about this?

With Election Day fast approaching, Democratic Gov. Pat Quinn is seeking to inoculate himself against criticism he hasn’t done enough to jump start Illinois’ economy, while Republican challenger Bruce Rauner is trying to make the final week of the campaign about the Ebola virus. […]

Rauner said his support for an Ebola travel ban was based in part on conversations with Republican U.S. Sen. Mark Kirk’s staff.

Gov. Quinn had no legal authority to institute a travel ban and everybody, including Crain’s (which endorsed Rauner), knew it. This is not some new Bruce Rauner.

* Lynn Sweet

A Syrian family fleeing war starts a new life in Chicago on Wednesday, despite Gov. Bruce Rauner’s temporary ban on accepting Syrian refugees in the wake of the Paris attacks.

The Muslim family of five – parents and three children – will be assisted by volunteers organized by Exodus World Service, the non-profit headquartered in suburban Bloomingdale dedicated to mobilizing “the Christian community to welcome refugees.” […]

A spokesman for the Jewish Federation of Chicago, the agency that administers the Illinois Refugee Social Services Consortium, a network of nine non-profits who contract with the federal government to provide services, said Tuesday nothing has changed.

What will Rauner do about those three kids? He can’t expel them. Will he deny them federal benefits that the state controls?

* Meanwhile

In Germany, Interior Minister Thomas de Maiziere told reporters in Berlin that a Syrian passport found with one of the Paris attackers with the name Ahmad al Mohammad may have been a false flag intended to make Europeans fearful of refugees. The passport showed registrations in Greece, Serbia and Croatia, which he described as “unusual.”

He said the multiple registrations by a person using the passport were “evidence that this was a trail that was intentionally laid, but it can’t be ruled out at the moment that this was an IS terrorist who came to France … via Germany as a refugee.”

* Related…

* Overall hate crimes down, except against Muslims: FBI

* Steinberg: Give Rauner a break

* Tribune editorial: The case for a refugee pause: Cooler heads, and this includes House Speaker Paul Ryan and Illinois Gov. Bruce Rauner, have called for a “pause” in the acceptance of Syrian refugees. The Obama administration should take heed.

* Sneed exclusive: Burke plans to reaffirm Chicago as sanctuary

* Tom Kacich: State — and C-U — once welcomed refugees

  39 Comments      


An idea whose time has come (maybe)

Wednesday, Nov 18, 2015 - Posted by Rich Miller

* An interesting idea

In the Massachusetts 2012 Senate race, Elizabeth Warren and Scott Brown proved that when candidates are serious about curbing the influence of super PACs on their race, they can work together to make it happen.

In an agreement known as the People’s Pledge, Warren and Brown made a mutual promise to reject the support of super PACs. They pledged that if a super PAC spent money to support either of their campaigns, whoever benefited from the expenditure would offset it by forfeiting money from their own campaign coffers. The idea was new, bold, and bilateral, and it changed the calculus of spending in the race.

Because super PACs saw that making expenditures to support Warren or Brown would ultimately hurt them, it no longer made sense for super PACs to spend money in the race. As a result, the People’s Pledge successfully eliminated virtually all super PAC spending, and it helped to cut the volume of negative advertising – which super PAC money almost exclusively buys – in half. In short, with the mere stroke of a pen, Warren and Brown gave the people of Massachusetts a substantially more accountable race.

* Press release…

New television advertisements airing this weekend in Illinois are targeting both frontrunners in the Illinois Senate race by challenging Mark Kirk (R) and Tammy Duckworth (D) to refuse the flood of unaccountable election spending by outside groups. The ads, which will air online during the week and on local CBS around the Chicago Bears game on Sunday, are part of a campaign run by CounterPAC, a group backed by tech entrepreneurs advocating for fair elections by curbing the influence of outside spending.

The new video ads follow print ads in October from CounterPAC in the Chicago Sun-Times and the State Journal-Register that encouraged the Illinois’ Senate candidates to “Take the Pledge” and mutually agree to reject expenditures by outside groups during the 2016 campaign. Recent reports indicate that spending from outside groups in the Illinois’ Senate race has already eclipsed $1.7 million, with more than $1 million favoring the Democratic side.

The ads highlight the candidates’ own criticism of the influence of outside spending and challenge them to do something about it by taking the CounterPAC pledge to reject outside money. The ad targeting Kirk plays on Kirk’s comments that an unknown group could run ads saying he strangles kittens – then offers a short glimpse of a Mark Kirk: Kitten Killer style ad. The ad targeting Duckworth highlights the inconsistency of Duckworth’s stated commitment to stemming the tide of money in politics as she rides a wave of outside spending in her own campaign for Senate.

“Both Mark Kirk and Tammy Duckworth have been outspoken about the trouble with elections that are dominated by super PACs – so this is a chance for each of them to put their money where their mouth is,” said CounterPAC Executive Director Jay Costa. “A simple pledge could erase outside money – giving voters a race free of unlimited outside spending and offering a model of accountability for other races across the country.”

CounterPAC is prepared to act as the arbiter and enforcer of a “no outside spending” pledge after candidates have mutually agreed to the terms, which include rejecting expenditures from outside sources and countering rejected expenditures by donating 50 percent of the cost of the rejected expenditure to a charity of the opposing candidate’s choice. In the 2012 Massachusetts Senate race, Elizabeth Warren and Scott Brown agreed to a similar pledge. That agreement set the precedent for the CounterPAC pledge and was widely regarded as successfully limiting outside spending.

A recent poll conducted by Bloomberg shows that 87% of Americans think the current campaign finance system should be reformed to curb the influence of wealthy donors, with 78% saying specifically that they disapprove of the unlimited corporate spending unleashed by the Supreme Court’s 2010 Citizens United decision.

Your thoughts?

…Adding… From a good pal…

I worked on Brown’s campaign. It ended up being a bad deal for Brown, which is why he didn’t do it in 2014.

The problem was not so much with the outside spending that it did ban, as the outside spending it did not. Specifically, only TV, radio and print ads were banned. Outside groups could, and did, spend money on direct mail, robocalls and, most crucially, get out the vote drives.

Get out the vote drives are a traditional strength on the Democratic side, particularly unions, and a traditional weakness for Republicans. Outspending them on the air was the Republican counter. The People’s Pledge, combined with Warren’s extremely robust fundraising, made that impossible.

Point taken.

  16 Comments      


Rauner to intervene in Springfield’s House appointment

Wednesday, Nov 18, 2015 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Give the governor credit for his chutzpah. I mean, an anti-union governor endorses a replacement for a pro-union Republican in the center of AFSCME’s universe? Whew

Rosemarie Long, who chairs Sangamon County Republicans, said Tuesday that she hopes her party can name a replacement in the Illinois House for state Rep. Raymond Poe by Friday.

And Gov. Bruce Rauner may become involved.

“The governor is watching the process closely and has not weighed in at this time, but plans to make an endorsement,” said Rauner spokeswoman Catherine Kelly.

Poe resigned from the House, where he served since 1995, last week to begin his new job as director of the Illinois Department of Agriculture, to which he was appointed by Rauner.

If Team Rauner and the local GOP can keep any other Republican candidate off the ballot, they’ll have a very good shot at winning. Rauner won the district, but so did Jim Oberweis. Jesse White and Lisa Madigan won it, so I suppose that gives the Democrats a tiny ray of hope, and Democratic turnout will be stronger next year than it was last year. But just imagine a Raunerite House member in the 99th. That would truly be something.

  77 Comments      


Oops

Wednesday, Nov 18, 2015 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Yesterday at 4:43 pm…

NRDC: Senator Kirk Votes to Ignore Climate Change

CHICAGO (November 17, 2015) – Senator Mark Kirk (R-IL) voted for a Congressional Review Act (CRA) resolution that would block the Environmental Protection Agency’s (EPA) rule to cut dangerous carbon pollution from power plants. President Obama is expected to swiftly veto the parliamentary maneuver, which has rarely been successfully used by Congress.

The following is a statement by Henry Henderson, Midwest Director of the Natural Resources Defense Council:

“Senator Kirk admits that climate change is real and a huge threat to our future. But he votes to kill the only proposal out there to take action to meet the huge threat: the Clean Power Plan. If Senator Kirk opposes the best tool available we have to address climate change, then what is his solution to a problem he calls ‘too important to ignore’?

“The Clean Power Plan will reduce dangerous carbon pollution while creating good jobs, boost the economy and protect public health right here, right now in Illinois. Senator Kirk’s vote against the Clean Power Plan threatens these benefits for all of us — for today and for future generations. Senator Kirk should focus on the people over polluters.”

For more information please see the following:

-Poll showing Illinoisans Ready To Lead On Clean Energy - http://switchboard.nrdc.org/blogs/hhenderson/polling_shows_illinoisans.html

-Henry Henderson Blog - Senator Kirk: If climate is too big to ignore around the world, it is too big to ignore here too: http://switchboard.nrdc.org/blogs/hhenderson/senator_kirk.html

-African American attitudes toward climate change that includes information from Chicago focus groups - http://switchboard.nrdc.org/blogs/aquintero/poll_most_african-americans_co.html

* Yesterday at 6:19 pm…

UPDATED: NRDC: Senator Kirk Votes Against Climate Action Blocking Bill

CHICAGO (November 17, 2015) – Senator Mark Kirk (R-IL) today voted against a Congressional Review Act (CRA) resolution that would have blocked the Environmental Protection Agency’s (EPA) rule to cut dangerous carbon pollution from power plants.

The following is a statement by Henry Henderson, Midwest Director of the Natural Resources Defense Council:

“Senator Kirk has gone against many in his party leadership that wished to block the Clean Power Plan. The Senator has noted that climate change is real and a huge threat to our future; and today he voted for action.

“The Clean Power Plan will reduce dangerous carbon pollution while creating good jobs, boost the economy and protect public health right here, right now in Illinois. Senator Kirk’s vote today keeps those benefits on the table for Illinoisans now and in the future. I hope that today’s vote forecasts things to come for Senator Kirk.”

NRDC ran ads this summer criticizing Senator Kirk for an earlier vote against the Clean Power Plan.

…Adding… The NRDC may have messed up, but some enviros sang Kirk’s praises after the vote…


  23 Comments      


About that poll

Wednesday, Nov 18, 2015 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Politico

Good Wednesday morning, Illinois. We have first dibs on a new poll that asks Illinois residents about the state’s budget mess. It shows 35 percent of those surveyed point the finger at the Illinois Legislature and another 25 percent blame Gov. Bruce Rauner. The majority of those surveyed want government pensions cut (though respondents were only given four choices). And people overwhelming (81 percent) feel the state’s headed down the wrong track. […]

– This may shock you but — residents don’t want new taxes! The survey of 600 registered Illinois voters shows 66 percent want to plug the state’s $4 billion shortfall by cutting state spending.

– 15 percent support raising taxes.

– 3 percent backed borrowing, 4 percent wanted a combination of raising taxes and spending cuts and 1 percent supported raising taxes and borrowing.

As noted later in the story, the poll was sponsored by Americans for Prosperity Illinois. Yes, AFP is a Koch brothers group, but the state chapter claims it raises its money here. The poll was conducted by Public Opinion Strategies. Click here for the full poll. Crosstabs are here.

* From the poll

3. Who do you think is more responsible for the wrong direction of the state, (ROTATE) Governor Rauner…or…the Illinois General Assembly?

    26% GOVERNOR RAUNER
    35% ILLINOIS GENERAL ASSEMBLY
    15% BOTH (DO NOT READ)
    1% OTHER (SPECIFY: _______) (DO NOT READ)
    4% DO NOT KNOW (DO NOT READ)

This is a question asked of only those who said the state was on the wrong track. The question wasn’t about the “state’s budget mess.” It may seem like a minor point, but there’s more to this state’s problems than the budget mess, despite what Speaker Madigan says [/snark].

And even though more people blame the GA for the state’s slide than the governor, it ain’t by much. Add in the 15 percent who said “both” and you get half blaming the GA and 41 percent blaming the governor. He’s not owning it yet, but the GA isn’t the overwhelming villain here, either.

* Also, check out this question about household income

26% UNDER $40K
24%^ $40K-$80K
40% OVER $80K

That percentage of households earning more than $80K seems kinda high, and the percentage earning under $40K seems a bit low so the answers may be skewed. However, the other xtabs don’t seem too off.

* Also, the majority of respondents clearly believes in magic beans

Would you favor or oppose a proposal to close the state budget shortfall that would cut one dollar in state spending for every one dollar in additional taxes?
(IF FAVOR/OPPOSE) And, would you STRONGLY (favor/oppose) or just SOMEWHAT (favor/oppose) this proposal?

    18% STRONGLY FAVOR
    38% SOMEWHAT FAVOR
    15% SOMEWHAT OPPOSE
    14% STRONGLY OPPOSE
    14% DON’T KNOW (DO NOT READ)
    1% REFUSED (DO NOT READ)

    56% TOTAL FAVOR
    29% TOTAL OPPOSE

To help close the state budget shortfall, which of the following programs and services would you prefer to see cut? (RANDOMIZE) (ACCEPT MULTIPLE RESPONSES)

    53% GOVERNMENT EMPLOYEE PENSIONS
    6% MEDICAID FUNDING
    22% PUBLIC ASSISTANCE PROGRAMS
    3% EDUCATION FUNDING
    1% ALL OF THE ABOVE (DO NOT READ)
    16% NONE OF THE ABOVE (DO NOT READ)
    3% DON’T KNOW (DO NOT READ)
    1% REFUSED (DO NOT READ)

If you want a dollar for dollar tax hike/budget cuts, let’s see the cuts, because, regardless of what the majority thinks, cutting government employee pensions is not gonna work.

  91 Comments      


Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Supplement to today’s edition and a campaign roundup

Wednesday, Nov 18, 2015 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today’s edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)

Wednesday, Nov 18, 2015 - Posted by Rich Miller

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