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Poll: Noland leading, but 50 percent undecided
Tuesday, Feb 9, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller * The Politico story was a bit confusing and Public Policy Polling hasn’t yet released its numbers, but here’s the breakdown of its latest poll in the 8th Congressional District Democratic primary to replace Tammy Duckworth…
Still a wide open race with a slight Noland edge. Raja needs to start spending more of that money.
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- VanillaMan - Tuesday, Feb 9, 16 @ 1:48 pm:
If those were my choices, I’d vote for Undecided too.
- burbanite - Tuesday, Feb 9, 16 @ 1:50 pm:
Wow, Raj has sent five mailers, the others zero and he is only at 17%.
- 47th Ward - Tuesday, Feb 9, 16 @ 1:54 pm:
I’ve seen Raja’s FB page and every photo he posts is of him with Indian-American supporters. Nothing wrong with that, except they probably aren’t a majority (or pluralty) of voters in this primary. I’m sure he’s doing more outreach to all sorts of voters, but it doesn’t show up on FB so it makes me wonder.
- Former City Dweller - Tuesday, Feb 9, 16 @ 1:57 pm:
Agreed that the story was a bit confusing, Rich. Not clear when the poll was taken and weird that no margin of error or sample size was mentioned in the story.
- ste_with a v_en - Tuesday, Feb 9, 16 @ 1:59 pm:
Come endorsement time, Raja has the name recognition and the money to get people to knock on doors.
- AlabamaShake - Tuesday, Feb 9, 16 @ 2:02 pm:
I like those numbers if I’m raja, assuming I’m going to spend my money to drive up name ID soon.
- IL08 Voter - Tuesday, Feb 9, 16 @ 2:06 pm:
Looks like poll was taken before Raja mailer/phone call blitz. Haven’t heard any updates from Noland camp on GOTV: no social media calls, not many signs, and likely primary voters have been contact. #NoShowNoland
- Betty K - Tuesday, Feb 9, 16 @ 2:08 pm:
Noland has been a State Senator for a years so no surprising at all. Out of the three, only Raja can grab the majority of undecided.
- Elgin Gal - Tuesday, Feb 9, 16 @ 2:16 pm:
Noland slowed down, especially after a no-show at the Tribune endorsement. If he doesn’t have a majority now - what’s his roadmap to 34?
- A guy - Tuesday, Feb 9, 16 @ 2:26 pm:
Now it’s a race to 30%. We’ll see who gets there first. That will mean a little more.
- DuPage Bard - Tuesday, Feb 9, 16 @ 2:52 pm:
So there is the poll that shows Raja winning. Oh wait.
Let’s see the crosstabs, taken a couple weeks ago or whatever no one has yet to show any poll that has Raja winning.
This looks to be a fun last 4 weeks in the 8th. Raja better start throwing some big $$ haymaker mail pieces soon.
- ABR - Tuesday, Feb 9, 16 @ 2:59 pm:
Honestly Raja has been running for 6 years and only registers at 17%. If I am emily’s why not drop a little money and might be able to get this done.
- Anonish - Tuesday, Feb 9, 16 @ 2:59 pm:
It will be hard for Raja to do that outreach if he keeps burning through staff and volunteers fed up with his management style.
- Anonymous - Tuesday, Feb 9, 16 @ 3:20 pm:
=Honestly Raja has been running for 6 years and only registers at 17%=
What do you mean running? Noland been State Senator for years and can’t close the deal. Get your facts straight.
- IL Senate Demmer - Tuesday, Feb 9, 16 @ 3:22 pm:
=It will be hard for Raja to do that outreach if he keeps burning through staff and volunteers fed up with his management style=
One of the biggest complaints among IL Senate Democrats is the multiple Noland phone calls fishing for anybody. I think he barely has full-time FOs in a large district.
- BCR to ABR - Tuesday, Feb 9, 16 @ 3:24 pm:
So Tammy Duckworth has been around for 6 years and you expect an outsider to poll better than a State Senator? Doesn’t make sense man - leave your political analysis at the front door.
- Real IL08 Voter - Tuesday, Feb 9, 16 @ 3:25 pm:
So much of the Noland Camp commentary is wrong
Tribune endorsement: no show
Chi Fed of Labor endorsement: nothing
Progressive Endorsement: none, Schakowsky went for Raja
His star endorsement: Quinn…
Yes Quinn, who’s polling lower than Bullwinkel
- Joe Tracker - Tuesday, Feb 9, 16 @ 3:29 pm:
I’ve been watching this race for months - Raja has mailers and phone calls blanketing the district. What’s the others expect to do? Deb’s in the red and Noland has no full-time staffers.
- burbanite - Tuesday, Feb 9, 16 @ 6:57 pm:
2 more Raja mailers hit today.
- Daily Heralder - Tuesday, Feb 9, 16 @ 8:06 pm:
The race is wide open with Raja poised to take it all - Daily Herald just endorsed him. #NoShowNoland
- fromtheburbs - Wednesday, Feb 10, 16 @ 10:50 am:
It’s time to stop calling Raja the frontrunner–he’s behind in every poll! Raja, not Noland, is the only one who’s run in this whole district before (and statewide). He’s spent millions campaigning. He should have the name rec. He should have the uspport. Where is it?
- Da Real IL08er - Wednesday, Feb 10, 16 @ 5:54 pm:
What millions? Please list all the the core campaign activities Noland had done?
Where are the mailers?
Where are the endorsements?
Where are the events?
#NoShowNoland
- #NoShowNoland - Wednesday, Feb 10, 16 @ 8:57 pm:
NO significant endorsements
NO money
NO active campaign staff
NO social media activity
NO appearance at Tribune endorsement session
NO Daily Herald endorsement
NO successful GOTV strategy
NO show Noland
- DuPage Bard - Wednesday, Feb 10, 16 @ 10:30 pm:
No show Noland has a poll showing he’s winning. Does Raja?
NO poll Raja
For all Raja’s positives he should have already won. But he’s down, prove I’m wrong, show a poll that he is winning….you can’t!
- Kane County Kyle - Wednesday, Feb 10, 16 @ 11:10 pm:
One poll and Nolabd is winning? You need to close the gap on the undecideds and Noland is no where to be found. Noland doesn’t have the man-power/strategy to main his lead. Weak numbers who no plan to protect it.
Show me the strategy and we’ll talk
- Where's Deb? - Thursday, Feb 11, 16 @ 9:53 am:
Literally, where is she? What does she expect with this race?
- JJ Lopez - Thursday, Feb 11, 16 @ 11:19 am:
I was looking forward to Deb’s campaign but wow - what a disappointment.