Capitol Fax.com - Your Illinois News Radar » Even more bad budget news
SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      About     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact Rich Miller
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
Even more bad budget news

Tuesday, Mar 7, 2017 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Ugh…


* COGFA’s February revenue report is entitled “February Freefall—Significant Downward Adjustment Coming in March”

Overall base revenues fell $423 million in February. Like a broken record, monthly declines reflected weaker income taxes along with poor federal sources. Unfortunately, February’s lackluster performance was widespread with only a couple sources managing to show gains. One less receipting day likely contributed to the decline, though certainly not the primary culprit. […]

To date, gross corporate income taxes are off $482 million, or $422 million net of refunds. Gross personal income tax is down $375 million, or $456 million if refunds and diversions to the education and human service funds are included. Public utility taxes are down $67 million, in part due to a one-time accounting change at IDoR. The highly volatile inheritance tax is down $58 million. Vehicle use tax is behind $3 million, while cigarette tax is off $2 million. […]

To repeat comments from previous briefings, with continued dramatic falloffs month after month in federal sources, receipts are behind last year’s dismal pace by $565 million. Absent an infusion of resources that could be committed to reimbursable spending, the outlook for a meaningful recovery for federal sources remains grim.

       

31 Comments
  1. - Rocky Rosi - Tuesday, Mar 7, 17 @ 11:14 am:

    There must be a “VAT” tax to save the great state of IL. We are hurting, IL needs revenue and a budget.


  2. - wordslinger - Tuesday, Mar 7, 17 @ 11:14 am:

    So maybe running up billions in unpaid bills, reneging on contracts and forcing thousands of layoffs isn’t good for the economy after all?


  3. - Gruntled University Employee - Tuesday, Mar 7, 17 @ 11:16 am:

    Trust me, once we have term limits this will all be worth it. s/


  4. - RNUG - Tuesday, Mar 7, 17 @ 11:18 am:

    You cut payments to social services and state contractors, who then cut payroll, and you gett less income tax revenue. Then you scare the heck out of all state government employees, including teachers who will be affected by the health insurance, then those employees cut back on spending, and you are surprised sales tax revenue is down. In effect, you created a recession in a significant portion of the state economy.

    You’re getting exactly the results that should have been expected …


  5. - facts are stubborn things - Tuesday, Mar 7, 17 @ 11:20 am:

    You mean a dysfunctional government with no budget spending billions more then they bring in is not a good business climate. I thought things would be improving just on the hope of term limits and a property tax freeze along with some additional workers comp changes. snark


  6. - Norseman - Tuesday, Mar 7, 17 @ 11:23 am:

    Uff da! What next, a conservative congress will get elected and vote to constrain federal spending to the states? Oh wait, that’s happening.

    We’re in deep … and being lead by a governor who is not leading.


  7. - cdog - Tuesday, Mar 7, 17 @ 11:23 am:

    Gallup says February spending was highest ever. Once again, Illinois has to be an outlier.

    http://www.gallup.com/poll/204911/consumers-february-spending-highest-2008.aspx?utm_source=alert&utm_medium=email&utm_content=morelink&utm_campaign=syndication

    Another thought, tax returns for EIC tax payers, and taxpayers receiving refunds, were delayed significantly this year by Feds.

    That would have made them miss a projection if not factored in to their estimates.


  8. - Honeybear - Tuesday, Mar 7, 17 @ 11:24 am:

    Well duh! Of course we aren’t getting Revenue in the coffers when we let almost 90 large businesses off the hook for taxes through EDGE incentives in 2016

    RELEASE the 2016 EDGE Report and you’ll see the what I estimate to be 696 million for corporate welfare
    (215mil / 27 = 8mil. 8mil x 87 = 696 mil)

    That’s where a HUGE chunk of your tax dollars went

    696,000,000 would have helped a lot


  9. - Anotheretiree - Tuesday, Mar 7, 17 @ 11:31 am:

    I’m even more afraid of the next recession. A sharp downturn may be the final nail in our fiscal coffin. Lovingly crafted by the Barron.


  10. - Ducky LaMoore - Tuesday, Mar 7, 17 @ 11:32 am:

    When statistics from COGFA look like alarmist end of the world doomsday nut-hatchery, we know we are in big trouble.


  11. - walker - Tuesday, Mar 7, 17 @ 11:41 am:

    Pardon if there’s another way to get this, but has COGFA revised the Revenue forecast for fiscal 2018?

    How deep a hole is Rauner’s “spending budget” proposal facing, even if he agrees to a “4.99″ new tax plan?

    Is this deterioration making even the current “grand bargain” untenable?


  12. - Shemp - Tuesday, Mar 7, 17 @ 11:41 am:

    If it wasn’t coming to a head now, we’d have been here in a few more years anyway due to the perpetual inability to balance a budget and finance pensions without monkeying with the numbers.


  13. - VanillaMan - Tuesday, Mar 7, 17 @ 11:43 am:

    Rauner has raised our taxes and made state government more expensive, while stripping us of whatever value there had been.

    Whatever supposed savings his Turnaround Agenda may have had, has been lost three times over, by how Rauner tried to implent it. He is a man who has committed gubernatorial malpractice.

    If Rauner was a surgeon, he’d demand that our needed tonsillectomy granted him the right to remove our tonsils through our butt.

    He wonders why we question his “approach” to governing? Anyone with half a brain would.

    This is his economy. He blew it up. While it wasn’t fantastic, Rauner figured out how to make it worse.

    Do you think it’s possible that Rauner’s plan for our economy is to eventually sell it to a senior living in one of his old nursing homes, as used computer parts?


  14. - illinoised - Tuesday, Mar 7, 17 @ 11:53 am:

    Note to voters:

    Running a government like a business leads to disaster.

    Running a business like a government leads to disaster.

    Government and business are note the same thing. Why do voters keep making that mistake? It is not working with our president and it has not worked with our governor.


  15. - Anony - Tuesday, Mar 7, 17 @ 11:54 am:

    Why are individual tax revenues down? Fewer taxpayers? Lower taxable income per taxpayer? Both? If jobs are leaving Illinois, do we think it is because of the budget impasse? Or is it that they realize taxes are going up?

    One thing we often ignore is that policy decisions by the government impacts the behavior of the people, which in turn alters the impact of the decision.

    The corporate welfare debate is a good example. Just eliminate it! Of course that will cause many of those companies to leave the state. So the amount added to the revenue pile will be far less than forecast. In addition, some of their employees will leave, too; and others will be unemployed here.


  16. - Sue - Tuesday, Mar 7, 17 @ 11:56 am:

    Wonder how much of the revenue decline is attributable to the large outflow of residents. It’s not poor people leaving but of course word will call be an imbecile for asking


  17. - Anonymous - Tuesday, Mar 7, 17 @ 12:02 pm:

    Wasn’t Fantastic VanillaMan??? LOL, the state was in terrible condition and has been for a long time.

    Memo: This state isn’t coming back. Waaaaaaaaay to much debt, heavy taxation, people leaving. The University of Illinois basketball team has a better chance of winning the national title this year.


  18. - Ghost - Tuesday, Mar 7, 17 @ 12:15 pm:

    how weird. The State removed billions in spending from the economy when it lowered taxes. The state put lots of small buisness our of buisnes when it stopped paying them. and it froze salaries of State workers causeing them to reduce soending. its almost like spending is good for economies. meanwhile the tax savings has not trickled down from the coffers of the ultrawealthy Rauner and cronies to grease the economic engine. Only making the wealthy wealthier by reducing wages will help the economy.

    minnesota raised taxes and raised the min wGe. the extta spending has boosted their economy


  19. - Earnest - Tuesday, Mar 7, 17 @ 12:22 pm:

    >with continued dramatic falloffs month after month in federal source

    Agree with Norseman. We haven’t seen anything yet in terms of reduced federal funds while we keep running up our own bills day after day.


  20. - Anon - Tuesday, Mar 7, 17 @ 12:29 pm:

    The biggest tax reduction in state history occurred with expiration of most of the temporary income tax hike. Apparently that big reduction did not jumpstart the state economy.


  21. - WhoKnew - Tuesday, Mar 7, 17 @ 12:34 pm:

    - Anonymous - Tuesday, Mar 7, 17 @ 12:02 pm:

    GO ILLINI!!


  22. - Precinct Captain - Tuesday, Mar 7, 17 @ 12:39 pm:

    Looks like Bruce’s magic beans budget line just got bigger.


  23. - VanillaMan - Tuesday, Mar 7, 17 @ 12:45 pm:

    OK - if you say so…

    “While our economy wasn’t fantasic, and Anonymous would even say that the state was in terrible condition, (thx Anon!), Rauner figured out how to make it worse.”

    Memo: Anonymous isn’t a fantastic blogger, but he’ll probably say that he’s in terrible condition.


  24. - @MisterJayEm - Tuesday, Mar 7, 17 @ 12:59 pm:

    Wonder how much of the revenue decline is attributable to the large outflow of residents. It’s not poor people leaving but of course word will call be an imbecile for asking

    I can’t speak for wordslinger, but if you have a legitimate source for your claim that “it’s not poor people leaving”, then I’d first check with the data contained in that source.

    If you don’t have a legitimate source for your claim, then I’d suggest you don’t post such unsubstantiated claims.

    But again, I don’t presume to speak for wordslinger.

    – MrJM


  25. - City Zen - Tuesday, Mar 7, 17 @ 1:11 pm:

    How many tax returns claimed the retirement income exception this year versus last year?


  26. - City Zen - Tuesday, Mar 7, 17 @ 1:14 pm:

    @Ghost - One way or another, the state is going to remove billions from the economy, either via spending cuts or tax hikes. The money has to come from somewhere. It’s a zero sum game.

    Any dollar not removed from the economy is probably coming out of someone’s savings account. So they’ll pay later…and bigly.


  27. - wordslinger - Tuesday, Mar 7, 17 @ 1:49 pm:

    Sue, is it your contention that people making good money in Illinois are leaving?

    I would think that those leaving are those looking to make more money elsewhere, or retirees.


  28. - Honeybear - Tuesday, Mar 7, 17 @ 2:43 pm:

    I almost forgot about Enterprize Zones and historical tax credits. Both 2015 reports are missing and mandated by statute. Where are they Rauner? Why are they being hidden?

    I bet they show hundreds of millions for things like luxury condos a marina and brewpub in Rockford.

    At tax payer expense AND meanwhile Grandma has to vut back on meals on wheels

    Historical Tax Credit 2014 2016 2016
    EZ Zone report 2015

    Show the outflow!


  29. - Honeybear - Tuesday, Mar 7, 17 @ 2:53 pm:

    Who benefits from this fiscal carnage? Who benefits from the destruction of labor? Call me the Owl but who? Rauner somehow managed to benefit. He tripled his income since coming to office.


  30. - Yellow Dog Democrat - Tuesday, Mar 7, 17 @ 6:39 pm:

    More Rauner wreckage.

    I hope the Chamber, Retail Merchants, IMA are paying attention.


  31. - Tone - Tuesday, Mar 7, 17 @ 9:26 pm:

    Less taxpayers as people continue to flee.


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


* Speaker Welch on White Sox, transit
* Does ShotSpotter slow down response to 911 calls?
* Showcasing The Retailers Who Make Illinois Work
* Open thread
* Isabel’s morning briefing
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Supplement to today’s edition
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today's edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)
* Live coverage
* Selected press releases (Live updates)
* Yesterday's stories

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............


Loading


Main Menu
Home
Illinois
YouTube
Pundit rankings
Obama
Subscriber Content
Durbin
Burris
Blagojevich Trial
Advertising
Updated Posts
Polls

Archives
September 2024
August 2024
July 2024
June 2024
May 2024
April 2024
March 2024
February 2024
January 2024
December 2023
November 2023
October 2023
September 2023
August 2023
July 2023
June 2023
May 2023
April 2023
March 2023
February 2023
January 2023
December 2022
November 2022
October 2022
September 2022
August 2022
July 2022
June 2022
May 2022
April 2022
March 2022
February 2022
January 2022
December 2021
November 2021
October 2021
September 2021
August 2021
July 2021
June 2021
May 2021
April 2021
March 2021
February 2021
January 2021
December 2020
November 2020
October 2020
September 2020
August 2020
July 2020
June 2020
May 2020
April 2020
March 2020
February 2020
January 2020
December 2019
November 2019
October 2019
September 2019
August 2019
July 2019
June 2019
May 2019
April 2019
March 2019
February 2019
January 2019
December 2018
November 2018
October 2018
September 2018
August 2018
July 2018
June 2018
May 2018
April 2018
March 2018
February 2018
January 2018
December 2017
November 2017
October 2017
September 2017
August 2017
July 2017
June 2017
May 2017
April 2017
March 2017
February 2017
January 2017
December 2016
November 2016
October 2016
September 2016
August 2016
July 2016
June 2016
May 2016
April 2016
March 2016
February 2016
January 2016
December 2015
November 2015
October 2015
September 2015
August 2015
July 2015
June 2015
May 2015
April 2015
March 2015
February 2015
January 2015
December 2014
November 2014
October 2014
September 2014
August 2014
July 2014
June 2014
May 2014
April 2014
March 2014
February 2014
January 2014
December 2013
November 2013
October 2013
September 2013
August 2013
July 2013
June 2013
May 2013
April 2013
March 2013
February 2013
January 2013
December 2012
November 2012
October 2012
September 2012
August 2012
July 2012
June 2012
May 2012
April 2012
March 2012
February 2012
January 2012
December 2011
November 2011
October 2011
September 2011
August 2011
July 2011
June 2011
May 2011
April 2011
March 2011
February 2011
January 2011
December 2010
November 2010
October 2010
September 2010
August 2010
July 2010
June 2010
May 2010
April 2010
March 2010
February 2010
January 2010
December 2009
November 2009
October 2009
September 2009
August 2009
July 2009
June 2009
May 2009
April 2009
March 2009
February 2009
January 2009
December 2008
November 2008
October 2008
September 2008
August 2008
July 2008
June 2008
May 2008
April 2008
March 2008
February 2008
January 2008
December 2007
November 2007
October 2007
September 2007
August 2007
July 2007
June 2007
May 2007
April 2007
March 2007
February 2007
January 2007
December 2006
November 2006
October 2006
September 2006
August 2006
July 2006
June 2006
May 2006
April 2006
March 2006
February 2006
January 2006
December 2005
April 2005
March 2005
February 2005
January 2005
December 2004
November 2004
October 2004

Blog*Spot Archives
November 2005
October 2005
September 2005
August 2005
July 2005
June 2005
May 2005

Syndication

RSS Feed 2.0
Comments RSS 2.0




Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller