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Afternoon precinct reports
Tuesday, Feb 26, 2019 - Posted by Rich Miller …Adding… Hmm…
But…
* Seniors dominating morning vote [updated with noon totals]…
* More…
* Early voting stats as of yesterday…
* Things are a bit different in the 13th Ward…  * Magnanimity (or total indecision, or a very large and diverse family) in the 19th Ward…
* What’s happening out there?
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- SaulGoodman - Tuesday, Feb 26, 19 @ 12:11 pm:
That house is missing Neal Sales Griffin. He’s coming after the house when he wins.
- wordslinger - Tuesday, Feb 26, 19 @ 12:20 pm:
I’m thinking that 19th Ward house got pranked by some kids in the neighborhood.
Beats the old burning paper bag/ring the doorbell trick.
- Been There - Tuesday, Feb 26, 19 @ 12:28 pm:
I’m helping in the 13th Ward. Really slow and really cold. Surprised the board said the 13th had 20% so far. I think the two precincts I’m at are around 12%
- Humboldt - Tuesday, Feb 26, 19 @ 12:28 pm:
voted at 11am in the 26th ward. I was #36. Election Judges seemed excited for someone new to talk to.
- lakeside - Tuesday, Feb 26, 19 @ 12:30 pm:
My precinct in the 35th barely clearing 7%. Mostly older folks and people in their 30s.
- Hammer - Tuesday, Feb 26, 19 @ 12:32 pm:
At present those 18-24 numbers bode poorly for Amara and Chance. Obv, most of those people will be in class for early turnout but my understanding was that was their base.
- RP_Progressive - Tuesday, Feb 26, 19 @ 12:32 pm:
Hey Lakeside - what precinct are you in?
- Been There - Tuesday, Feb 26, 19 @ 12:41 pm:
===So far the 19th Ward on the South Side has seen the highest turnout, with 26 percent of voters turning in a ballot. That’s followed by the 41st Ward (23 percent), the 47th Ward (22 percent) and the 13th Ward (20 percent).====
Like almost everyone else I thought Jerry Joyce was a long shot. But with these numbers and the early voting numbers he might be getting closer to the pack. Obviously the 19th is his turf but the 41st and 13th will be good for him. The 13th doesn’t even have anyone on their sample ballots for mayor.
- Amalia - Tuesday, Feb 26, 19 @ 12:43 pm:
I love that Beverly sign fest. reminds me that every time I see a campaign poster in a movie, I want it.
- Annon - Tuesday, Feb 26, 19 @ 12:50 pm:
Would anybody know who Madigan is supporting for mayor? What’s on his palm cards?
- Anonni - Tuesday, Feb 26, 19 @ 12:52 pm:
22nd ward is an open seat- Munoz didn’t run (and we can all guess why). Surprised that turnout is so low in that one.
- Anonymous - Tuesday, Feb 26, 19 @ 12:57 pm:
Does this mean I’ll stop getting robocalls at my 217 area code phone for this Chicago election?
- Bobby Beagle - Tuesday, Feb 26, 19 @ 12:58 pm:
12th Ward: Haven’t checked out polling place yet, but lots of digital drama going on.
Martha Rangel’s palm card going semi-Chicago viral and getting a lot of flack on Twitter:
https://twitter.com/ad_quig/status/1100441763121119232
Reports that 12th ward (Cardenas) office is texting cell phones offering rides to the polling place.
Meanwhile, I just received a text with a link to Jose Rico’s campaign song, “Vota Por Rico”:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kK7AEI2d5kQ
What a wild local race!
- Hammer - Tuesday, Feb 26, 19 @ 12:58 pm:
Turnout in 22 is normally among the lowest in the city. I would venture there’s something about it’s population being heavily immigrant.
- Been There - Tuesday, Feb 26, 19 @ 1:07 pm:
===Would anybody know who Madigan is supporting for mayor? What’s on his palm cards? ====
Nobody listed for mayor. Just the clerk, treasurer and alderman.
- bored now - Tuesday, Feb 26, 19 @ 1:07 pm:
- Cheryl44 - if you made it over here, your understanding is correct. that is how it is supposed to be…
- JoanP - Tuesday, Feb 26, 19 @ 1:16 pm:
That Beverly sign fest is a joke by the owners: https://blockclubchicago.org/2019/02/26/when-it-comes-to-the-mayors-race-the-owners-of-this-beverly-bungalow-are-really-hedging-their-bets/
Read the story - they obviously have a great sense of humor.
- lakeside - Tuesday, Feb 26, 19 @ 1:21 pm:
My secret, RP, my secret.
But we’ll greet you warmly if you stop by. We are pressed for company.
- Tom - Tuesday, Feb 26, 19 @ 1:23 pm:
City of Peoria https://twitter.com/peoriaelections/status/1100470021531336704
- Anonymous - Tuesday, Feb 26, 19 @ 1:27 pm:
Reports of expected low turnout means good news for the candidate with the most motivated supporters. I’m looking in your direction, Chicago Party Aunt.
- low level - Tuesday, Feb 26, 19 @ 1:32 pm:
Daley may very well not make the runoff. The traditional Daley strongholds all have other candidates getting significant support that normally would be his
- 47th Ward - Tuesday, Feb 26, 19 @ 1:41 pm:
===treasurer===
Did you happen to notice which candidate for Treasurer is on the 13th Ward sample ballot?
- Montrose - Tuesday, Feb 26, 19 @ 1:44 pm:
To the update, we will see where we end up at the end of the day, but I suspect the low turnout is a combo of
-not having an incumbent to hate
-no clear candidate to love/get excited about
-folks knowing there will be a runoff and feeling this round is not as important
- Montrose - Tuesday, Feb 26, 19 @ 1:53 pm:
Of course, those reasons are on top of folks not understanding what local government does.
- Been There - Tuesday, Feb 26, 19 @ 1:54 pm:
===Did you happen to notice which candidate for Treasurer is on the 13th Ward sample ballot?===
Yes Melissa Conyears Ervin
- ZC - Tuesday, Feb 26, 19 @ 1:54 pm:
Just found a “vote for Amara” lit piece next to a “Did you know how bad Lori Lightfoot is?” printout. Enyia’s team clearly worried.
- Rich Miller - Tuesday, Feb 26, 19 @ 1:57 pm:
===Enyia’s team clearly worried===
lol
They shoulda been worried three months ago. Too late now.
- Bobio - Tuesday, Feb 26, 19 @ 1:58 pm:
Any word on turnout in the 23rd ward and who is on their palm cards?
- Montrose - Tuesday, Feb 26, 19 @ 2:00 pm:
“Enyia’s team clearly worried.”
That’s like saying the Bulls are starting to get concerned they might not make the playoffs.
- its cold out - Tuesday, Feb 26, 19 @ 2:38 pm:
The age numbers are fascinating, more voters over 65 than under 45. I assume the registration #’s tilt that way as well?
- Bobby Beagle - Tuesday, Feb 26, 19 @ 2:47 pm:
Ward 12, P-19: Cast ballot at 2:10. No line, I was the only one working on a ballot. I was #60.
There were about 4-5 people outside of the cones passing out the Martha Rangel palm cards with the 3 mayoral choices. Big snow plow with a “Cardenas” sign parked in front.
As I was leaving someone came in and said there was a last minute change of polling place in the ward and they were directed to vote there.
- Independent - Tuesday, Feb 26, 19 @ 2:56 pm:
Seniors dominating voting, NW and SW bungalow belt Wards showing highest turnout, but with low turnout overall. Daley has to be pleased.
- Name/Nickname/Anon - Tuesday, Feb 26, 19 @ 3:02 pm:
Prediction:
Preckwinkle - 19.7
Daley - 17.8
Mendoza-14.1
Chico - 11.5
Lightfoot- 9.8
Wilson - 8.3
Amara - 6.1
Vallas - 4.8
Joyce- 3.5
McCarthy - 1.9
Fioretti - 1
Kozlar- 1
NSG-.2
- doofusguy - Tuesday, Feb 26, 19 @ 3:18 pm:
Prediction:
Chicago Party Aunt 19.7
Preckwinkle - 17.8
Daley - 14.1
Mendoza-11.5
Chico - 1.5
Lightfoot- .8
Wilson - .3
Amara - .1
Vallas - .08
Joyce- .05
McCarthy - .009
Fioretti - .001
Kozlar- .001
NSG-.0002
- Eyes Open - Tuesday, Feb 26, 19 @ 3:21 pm:
There is no way Joyce is coming in low. I got him to have at least 60k votes and could be higher if some of the organizations are doing what I think they are.
- JJ - Tuesday, Feb 26, 19 @ 3:25 pm:
Have you met Joyce? He didn’t look to me like he was even trying to meet people, much less impress them. He will come in 3rd in his own ward.
- TooDaLooMF - Tuesday, Feb 26, 19 @ 3:28 pm:
Joyce will be in the runnoff - based on signs on private lawns, 3rd in fundraising and the 19th ward highest early vote totals in a low turnout race.
- Eyes open - Tuesday, Feb 26, 19 @ 3:31 pm:
“He will come in 3rd in his own ward.” Man I would like to take that bet.
- Name/Nickname/Anon - Tuesday, Feb 26, 19 @ 3:41 pm:
19th Ward Prediction:
Daley-32
Joyce- 25
Wilson- 13
Field-30
CPA-1
- Bourbon Street - Tuesday, Feb 26, 19 @ 4:10 pm:
Trib is now reporting that Chicago is on pace for a “record low turn-out”. Unbelievable. One of the few times a particular candidate has not dominated and most voters can’t be bothered to get to the polls.
- wordslinger - Tuesday, Feb 26, 19 @ 4:17 pm:
–Have you met Joyce? He didn’t look to me like he was even trying to meet people, much less impress them.–
Must have inherited his old man’s charm.
- Back to the Future - Tuesday, Feb 26, 19 @ 4:50 pm:
Thinking Joyce might surprise on the up side. With the low turnout this could be anyone’s win.
- Anonymous - Tuesday, Feb 26, 19 @ 5:11 pm:
Daley almost certainly made the runoff with turnout like that. I bet Lightfoot comes in second. And we rid of Prekwinkle.
- Anonymous - Tuesday, Feb 26, 19 @ 5:36 pm:
So by turnout do they mean people voting today, or people who have voted including today’s vote but not mail ins? Or everyone who voted, including mailed ballots?
- 39th Ward - Tuesday, Feb 26, 19 @ 5:50 pm:
Walked by St Edward’s polling station and it was empty of voters. Nothing supresses voting better than February
- Anonymous - Tuesday, Feb 26, 19 @ 5:55 pm:
It would include all the votes they have, however, not mail in that come in later but postmarked today or earlier.
- Independent - Tuesday, Feb 26, 19 @ 6:00 pm:
Savvy SW side voters of a certain age have to realize Joyce isn’t making the runoff. So I think they come home to a safer “close enough” choice in Daley rather than risk him missing the runoff, as well.
- Rod - Tuesday, Feb 26, 19 @ 6:00 pm:
Re possible record low turn out. There are so many candidates running, low interest voters are simply over whelmed. On top of the Mayoral field I live and voted in the 47th ward. We have 9 people running for Alderman of the ward. Confusion rules over their positions in the minds of residents. One candidate for Alderman said he would lower taxes and reduce crime and murders by hiring numerous detectives. There was no discussion of replacement revenue for a property tax and sales tax cut he was calling for. He was off my list immediately. That left only 8 so it became easy then.
Then there were the whisper rumors, well this candidate for Alderman who is hooked up with the condo developers who are tearing down two flats and single family homes all over the neighborhood. That part is for sure true. Really so I ask where did you get that info - a friend who fights for preservation of single family homes told me. Is there an article about that I can read? I don’t know if there is.
One of our neighbors wanted to vote for the candidate for Alderman most likely to protect LGBTQ rights, but told me all the literature she saw except from one Aldermanic candidate mentioned having supportied marriage equality and LGBGT rights. As she said it’s really confusing. Really there is no longer the possibility in this ward of running in support of LGBTQ rights, because it is universally supported. I asked her do you support an elected school board because there are some differences in that area, she did not care because she and her partner have no kids, and elected or not the Board will rasie property taxes. That’s enough for now glad this will be done soon.
- Anonymous - Tuesday, Feb 26, 19 @ 6:01 pm:
They would call this a precinct captains election except there is none left. There will be a lot of head scratching after this one.
- Grandson of Man - Tuesday, Feb 26, 19 @ 6:01 pm:
Eighty three people voted at my polling place, as of around 20 minutes ago. We took a family member who needs assistance to vote. We saw people walking to the polling place. Around six were inside voting. We voted early.
- wordslinger - Tuesday, Feb 26, 19 @ 7:37 pm:
Look out for Lightfoot…..
- JoanP - Tuesday, Feb 26, 19 @ 9:03 pm:
=Look out for Lightfoot….. =
I guess the Sun-Times endorsement is more powerful than the Trib’s, though we won’t really know until all the mail-in ballots are counted.
I went out about 6:00 tonight, and just came back to a robocall from Fioretti. Talk about too little, too late (not that I’d have voted for him in any case).
- Three Dimensional Checkers - Tuesday, Feb 26, 19 @ 9:10 pm:
Lightfoot ran a good campaign. She put herself in a good position to perform well. It doesn’t seem like Chuey and Balanoff had the best strategy to defeat Burke. Daniel La Spata may be the Anne Stava-Murray of this election, in terms of pulling a big upset, but more rational.
- Angry Chicagoan - Tuesday, Feb 26, 19 @ 9:21 pm:
Voted at about 6.20pm in my 11th Ward precinct. Very quiet. No line. No wait. No other voter at the same time.
- wordslinger - Tuesday, Feb 26, 19 @ 9:51 pm:
Little surprised that Daley has conceded so early. Maybe he missed that call from Al Gore telling him to hold off.
- Long time R - Tuesday, Feb 26, 19 @ 11:08 pm:
Not a good showing by Mendoza. It’s only one race but coming in 5th is not a good optic for a state wide office holder with big plans for herself
- Anonymous - Wednesday, Feb 27, 19 @ 5:44 am:
Anyone but Prekwinkle.
- Independent - Wednesday, Feb 27, 19 @ 6:35 am:
I’ll eat crow regarding my 6:00pm comment. Joyce did surprisingly well at 7.4%. Well enough to keep Daley out of the runoff. Mendoza seemed to run for mayor because it was there, and it was reflected in her finish.
Ed Burke could survive a nuclear winter.
- Rod - Wednesday, Feb 27, 19 @ 8:06 am:
I have a hard time seeing people who voted for Daley, Mendoza, Vallas, Chico, going for Lightfoot in the runoff. I have no idea where Wilson voters would go, but if you look at what little he said he was fairly conservative within the context of the African American community so it’s hard to believe they will rally in mass to Lightfoot.
If the massive number of nonvoters are mobilized things could turn out in favor of Lightfoot. But Preckwinkle is already running on the basis that Lightfoot has zero idea how to deal with Chicago’s fiscal crisis. That could work well for her in mobilizing voters too.