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Question of the day

Tuesday, Jun 18, 2019 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Senate Republican Leader Bill Brady said at the City Club today that he believes the Republicans will find a “really good” candidate to run against US Sen. Dick Durbin.

Scott Holland has his own guess

Will anyone emerge to challenge Durbin? I floated Kinzinger’s name in December, a possibility that remains in play.

I’ve previously expressed doubt about finding a Tier One candidate to run against Durbin. It’s a presidential election year and while Durbin has never been super-popular, he always racks up solid margins.

* The Question: Who do you think the Republicans will recruit to run against Sen. Durbin? Make sure to explain why you think this will happen.

       

56 Comments
  1. - Blue Dog Dem - Tuesday, Jun 18, 19 @ 1:07 pm:

    Jason Plummer. Why. His Dad told him he could be anything he wanted when he grew up.


  2. - Keyrock - Tuesday, Jun 18, 19 @ 1:09 pm:

    Do Illinois Republicans have a real Tier One candidate?
    Not snark, just asking.


  3. - Grand Avenue - Tuesday, Jun 18, 19 @ 1:10 pm:

    Try Erika Harold again


  4. - A Jack - Tuesday, Jun 18, 19 @ 1:14 pm:

    Erika Harold. She is a downstater, so could pull some of those votes from Durbin. She has some state-wide name recognition. And I think she received more votes than Bruce Rauner in the last election.


  5. - intentional snark - Tuesday, Jun 18, 19 @ 1:16 pm:

    Why not try Doug Truax again


  6. - OutOfState - Tuesday, Jun 18, 19 @ 1:18 pm:

    Grand, that’s actually the first name I’ve heard that actually makes sense.

    I know she’s already in for a congressional run, but ILGOP would be wells served by recruiting former Lt. Gov. Sanguinetti for the Senate race. She has statewide experience and name-recognition, and she largely avoided the bad reputation associated with Rauner. Yeah, she could get tagged with it, but she could beat up on him with few negative consequences. Heck, he abandoned ship and moved out of state right after he lost.


  7. - Anonymous - Tuesday, Jun 18, 19 @ 1:19 pm:

    But Republicans don’t vote for women.


  8. - Dance Band on the Titanic - Tuesday, Jun 18, 19 @ 1:20 pm:

    David McSweeney. His ability to partially self-fund will be valued. Maybe evokes a touch of nostalgia amongst the base for Peter Fitzgerald.


  9. - What's in a name? - Tuesday, Jun 18, 19 @ 1:21 pm:

    Just ask Oberweis


  10. - Nonbeliever - Tuesday, Jun 18, 19 @ 1:24 pm:

    - Anonymous - Tuesday, Jun 18, 19 @ 1:19 pm:

    “But Republicans don’t vote for women”

    Where did you come up with that?Sure they do. Just not women who are liberal. As a matter of fact Ives came close to beating Rauner.

    And by the way She is a name that should be considered to run against Durbin.


  11. - Rutro - Tuesday, Jun 18, 19 @ 1:29 pm:

    I’ll be really surprised if they find a half-serious candidate.


  12. - Al - Tuesday, Jun 18, 19 @ 1:32 pm:

    Jeane Ives


  13. - AlfondoGonz - Tuesday, Jun 18, 19 @ 1:34 pm:

    Bruce Rauner is gonna shake up D.C.


  14. - Independent - Tuesday, Jun 18, 19 @ 1:35 pm:

    Any top-tier Republican candidates would probably wait until ‘22 to take on Duckworth. Going against Durbin in a Presidential Election year is a suicide mission.


  15. - NIU Grad - Tuesday, Jun 18, 19 @ 1:48 pm:

    “Doug Truax” - Where did he end up? I remember some people thinking he would be a rising star in some circles…


  16. - Jocko - Tuesday, Jun 18, 19 @ 1:54 pm:

    Randy Hultgren. I hear he has a lot of leftover campaign cash. /s


  17. - Skeptic - Tuesday, Jun 18, 19 @ 1:55 pm:

    Is Al Holfeld still around?


  18. - Cynic - Tuesday, Jun 18, 19 @ 2:03 pm:

    None of the losers above.


  19. - @misterjayem - Tuesday, Jun 18, 19 @ 2:04 pm:

    Alan Keyes.

    – MrJM


  20. - Birds on the bat - Tuesday, Jun 18, 19 @ 2:04 pm:

    They will find a sacrificial lamb to run out there to garner some name recognition for a future statewide run, but I have no idea who. It’s a losing battle, so why would Harold jump in only to suffer a second statewide defeat? Durbin wins this easily, retires a year later and passes the seat to Stratton.


  21. - Okay - Tuesday, Jun 18, 19 @ 2:04 pm:

    Peggy Hubbard. She relatively unknown, but already said she plans on running. If you haven’t googled her, I REALLY suggest you do.


  22. - Pick a Name - Tuesday, Jun 18, 19 @ 2:07 pm:

    Too bad the vote count from DD’s home county, Sangamon, couldn’t decide the race.


  23. - Elliott Ness - Tuesday, Jun 18, 19 @ 2:41 pm:

    Ditka


  24. - KA - Tuesday, Jun 18, 19 @ 2:43 pm:

    If they don’t line someone up, they’ll end up with Peggy Hubbard and it will be wild. She’s something else.


  25. - Angry Republican - Tuesday, Jun 18, 19 @ 2:47 pm:

    Todd Ricketts. He has plenty of money and name recognition.


  26. - Anonymous - Tuesday, Jun 18, 19 @ 2:59 pm:

    How about Bob Dold (although he’d probably be better off waiting until 2022)? A true public servant and centrist who won in a Democrat leaning District as Rep. Also his work on the opioid crisis during his last stint in Congress is an underappreciated part of his resume.


  27. - leonard - Tuesday, Jun 18, 19 @ 3:00 pm:

    Darren bailey its his goal


  28. - AgedLikeMilk - Tuesday, Jun 18, 19 @ 3:02 pm:

    ==Just ask Oberweis== he’s too busy trying to lose the 14th primary


  29. - Dude - Tuesday, Jun 18, 19 @ 3:06 pm:

    Erika Harold is a two time election loser who almost certainly could not win the State Senate seat in the District where she currently lives (ironically a position she would likely view as beneath her).

    At some point, don’t you have to WIN an election to be considered for higher office?


  30. - DuPage Bard - Tuesday, Jun 18, 19 @ 3:10 pm:

    They should chat with Kirk Dillard. If he gets the actual backing revenue from DC, he’s a known commodity and he’s well liked.
    May not be conservative enough for some in the party, from his days with Edgar, but he’d definitely make Durbin have to run a real campaign.


  31. - DuPage Bard - Tuesday, Jun 18, 19 @ 3:16 pm:

    Remember with Erika, she got beat by 12 points statewide by Raoul in a non-presidential year.


  32. - cler dcn - Tuesday, Jun 18, 19 @ 3:24 pm:

    Jim Edgar is the only one who probably can beat him can someone get him to run.


  33. - Roman - Tuesday, Jun 18, 19 @ 3:24 pm:

    Erika Harold would be the best candidate to limit the damage in what will likely be a bad GOP year. But this is not your father’s Illinois GOP in which party elders get together and all but handpick the best candidate. Expect a Trumpian candidate to emerge from the primary.


  34. - OutOfState - Tuesday, Jun 18, 19 @ 3:25 pm:

    ===she got beat by 12 points statewide by Raoul in a non-presidential year===

    And the top of the ticket won by 16 points in a wave election with depressed Republican turnout. I think for any Republican, it’ll be hard. It’s going to be even harder if the nominee doesn’t have statewide experience or at least name recognition outside a legislative district.


  35. - lakeside - Tuesday, Jun 18, 19 @ 3:27 pm:

    ==[Sanguinetti] has statewide experience and name-recognition==

    Did a Sanguinetti write this?


  36. - Taylor - Tuesday, Jun 18, 19 @ 3:39 pm:

    There is not one candidate mentioned that is worthy of support. Erika Harold? - no. Jeanne Ives? - no way. Who is Truax? Sanguinetti? The GOP needs to try harder. I vote none of the above.


  37. - So_Ill - Tuesday, Jun 18, 19 @ 3:50 pm:

    ==Erika Harold is a two time election loser who almost certainly could not win the State Senate seat in the District where she currently lives (ironically a position she would likely view as beneath her).

    At some point, don’t you have to WIN an election to be considered for higher office?==

    I love the idea that people think a two-time loser is suddenly going to beat an incumbent who hasn’t lost an election in 37 years.

    Oh yeah, in a presidential year, with a republican on top of the ticket that lost by 17 points to Hillary Clinton.


  38. - Wensicia - Tuesday, Jun 18, 19 @ 3:51 pm:

    Joe Walsh


  39. - Truthteller - Tuesday, Jun 18, 19 @ 3:52 pm:

    Rahm Emanuel. Two more years in finance will give him an opportunity to replenish his bank account and the nomination of a progressive Democratic presidential candidate will make it possible for the GOP to recruit a Dem whose relationship with business is in sync with its own


  40. - Token Conservative - Tuesday, Jun 18, 19 @ 3:53 pm:

    Innits best case scenario, the GOP doesn’t win this seat running to the right. Moderates who appeal to a broad electorate are the key to victory. Mark Kirk may have made Dan Proft’s head explode, but a suburban female saw him as the reasonable choice in 2010.


  41. - Just another Anon - Tuesday, Jun 18, 19 @ 3:56 pm:

    Who is Truax? Sanguinetti?

    Found the guy who just got into IL politics.

    Truax ran for the senate seat in 2014. Sanguinetti is the immediate past Lt. Governor, the first Hispanic American and Latina to hold that role). She’s currently running for the IL-6th.


  42. - Anonymous - Tuesday, Jun 18, 19 @ 3:58 pm:

    Token Conservative, smart observation, that’s why the suggestions of Dold and Dillard are reasonable.


  43. - Truthteller - Tuesday, Jun 18, 19 @ 4:06 pm:

    Only a hardcore conservative will come out from GOP primary, and a cakewalk win for Durban in Nov 2020. Illinois GOP lacks moderates, as most states do now.


  44. - Chicago Cynic - Tuesday, Jun 18, 19 @ 4:19 pm:

    “- The Reasonable Man - Tuesday, Jun 18, 19 @ 4:06 pm:

    As of right now it is:
    Peggy Hubbard vs. Robert Marshall”

    The question was whether the GOP would find a top tier candidate. I guess your answer is no.


  45. - OneMan - Tuesday, Jun 18, 19 @ 4:30 pm:

    Wensicia,

    Joe Walsh has been surprisingly harsh about Trump on twitter and that would prevent him from running.

    Yes, we have reached the point where you read a Joe Walsh tweet and think ‘that seems rational’


  46. - Nick Name - Tuesday, Jun 18, 19 @ 4:34 pm:

    ===Jeane Ives===

    Oh please oh please oh please oh please


  47. - Still Waiting - Tuesday, Jun 18, 19 @ 4:55 pm:

    Members of the Eastern Bloc are waiting by the phone, sure that they are the answer you seek.


  48. - Dave W - Tuesday, Jun 18, 19 @ 4:59 pm:

    Ives or Harold


  49. - Steve Rogers - Tuesday, Jun 18, 19 @ 5:00 pm:

    Brad Halbrook. Just to see how many Cook county votes he gets


  50. - Been There - Tuesday, Jun 18, 19 @ 5:28 pm:

    And don’t forget Durbin first has to get out the primary race he has coming up.

    /s


  51. - Anonymous - Tuesday, Jun 18, 19 @ 5:55 pm:

    Peggy Hubbard is the best choice. A female African American Conservative. Navy vet, ex police officer with police officer husband who was shot on duty. Durbin won’t be able to use politics of division against her.


  52. - Da Lobsta - Tuesday, Jun 18, 19 @ 6:13 pm:

    Bruce Rauner


  53. - Da Big Bad Wolf - Tuesday, Jun 18, 19 @ 6:44 pm:

    ===Durbin won’t be able to use politics of division against her.===
    Lol. Like he’d need to.


  54. - Eire17 - Tuesday, Jun 18, 19 @ 8:48 pm:

    Dillard. But he is not doing it.


  55. - Conservative Veteran - Tuesday, Jun 18, 19 @ 10:15 pm:

    Dr. Marshall will easily win the primary. He’s an army veteran and a former Burr Ridge village trustee. He’s pro-life, pro-gun rights, anti-illegal alien, and pro-tax cuts.


  56. - Lynn S. - Wednesday, Jun 19, 19 @ 2:14 am:

    @One Man 4:30–

    Holy cow, Walsh can be reasonable?

    If I had had time to go on CapFax earlier today, I would have taken your post as a signal to start drinking.

    Good whiskey, of course, and I promise to bring a couple of cases to share with everyone here.


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