[The timestamp has been altered to allow for Friday visibility.]
* Gov. Pritzker started his press conference with the number of deaths, moved to his earlier announcement of a regional compact with other governors and then talked about PPE supplies. And then he talked about tests…
Last week I walked you through how our world class researchers and scientists were collaborating with Thermo Fisher to identify and address the efficiency and reliability within the company’s machines, a critical component of our testing expansion plan. I’m pleased to say that Thermo Fisher was not only extremely helpful in working with us to improve these testing procedures, but also committed to prioritizing Illinois as its customer.
Those five machines that we had oncerns about are now up and running with reliable results, So reliable that as we ramp up over the next week, we’re estimating additional capacity of thousands more tests per day at our state labs, alone.
The state has been lagging other states and the national average with its testing capacity.
Remember to pardon all transcription errors.
* More good news…
You’ve heard me talk about the fact that machines and labs are only one part of ramping up testing in our state. We’ve also needed to find adequate supplies of items necessary to take specimens. Over the last month, obtaining the raw materials for specimens, notably viral transport medium called VTM and swabs has been difficult. However, I’m incredibly proud that my team has now managed to virtually eliminate our supply chain problems for VTM and swabs.
Our university partners of Illinois Tech Southern Illinois University in Carbondale, and the University of Illinois at Chicago and University of Illinois Urbana Champaign, as well as outside vendors have committed collectively to providing us with enough VTM and swabs, that we can not only stock our own state labs, but support additional labs throughout the state.
This means even more specimens being taken for testing. And I want to invite labs who need our VTM and swabs, because many out there do, they should come and request it through their local emergency management agencies, they’ll be able to obtain it and provide it to you.
* Testing sites…
The next and final piece of this is the need to increase the number of locations available, so that people can give the specimens that then get tested. With our increased capacity of machines and labs and the new supply of raw materials, we now can take more specimens to test. It’s a great place to be at having the ability to expand testing sites.
Now that we can run more tests, I’m pleased to say that the guests here who are with me today, our partners in our statewide efforts to broadly increase participation in testing to reflect our newfound capacities, especially in African American communities, and other communities that face significant structural challenges in accessing health care, we’re utilizing our incredible statewide network of federally qualified health centers to launch new testing locations and communities across Illinois.
These new sites will feed specimens to our network of expanded laboratory capacity in coordination with the Illinois Primary Health Care Association. We asked which of the over 300 centers would be interested in helping us expand testing an overwhelming number of them were eager to help.
We now have sites coming online across Chicago, the collar counties Peoria, and in Southern Illinois with many more centers expressing interest and working to get their operations up and running. An up to date list of these sites will be onlin at coronavirus.illinois.gov.
And I want to remind everyone that if you think you might need a COVID-19 test, and your symptoms are somewhat mild, please call before showing up. And while each independent provider can and will offer tests with their own unique criteria, the state of Illinois has expanded those eligible to get a test to include anyone who has COVID like symptoms, even if you have not been given a doctor’s order. This will apply to our state run drive through testing centers, and it is guidance that we will now be offering to providers, all across the state of Illinois.
Two days ago we opened our third state drive thru site with excellent turnout. The new site in Markham in Chicago South suburbs, took over 600 specimens in its first day of operations. Now, I want to put that in perspective that’s about four times what the federally run sites were doing previously. With this new site, our drive throughs now have the ability to run up to 1800 tests per day. These sites have produced, terrific results for us and in the coming days I’ll be announcing two additional drive thru testing sites as we continue bringing that success to new regions and new areas of Illinois.
Folks, this progress on testing isn’t all the progress that we need to begin on our path back to normal. But this is truly an important step to help us get there. Until that day comes, please take comfort in the fact that you’re helping to make a difference, all of you, your individual efforts to stay home, wash your hands. Keep your distance and wear masks are what is flattening our collective curve. The day we can begin our path back to normal will come sooner because of your actions right now. So I ask you to continue to tap into your courage, your sense of community, your generosity and stay the course. We will get through this together, all of us together. Thank you very much.
* One of the next steps is to deploy antibody tests. Dr. Ezike talked about that…
We are working hard to evaluate the tests for immunity that are coming online so that the very best of these tests will be offered here in our state. We are working with healthcare systems, universities as well as ramping up our capacity at IDPH to run the virologic tests.
* More from Dr. Ezike…
You have heard me say it before. This is a marathon. We have to keep pace. Can’t get ahead of ourselves. You can see that we still have many new cases and unfortunately many lives that continue to be lost, but running together we will still beat this COVID-19. We are on the right track. We are not over this, but please continue to be all in Illinois.
* Dr. Ezike also explained why testing is so important…
New research suggests that people with Coronavirus may be most contagious the day they start symptoms, or even a day or two before. … So that means they identified individuals who were infected by someone before they actually had symptoms. This is why widespread testing is so important. We need to know who may be infected as soon as we can before they come into contact with many other people, especially the most vulnerable.
And that’s going to mean doing a whole lot more tests than we are now.
* On to questions for the governor. The first question right out of the box is if he is planning to extend the stay at home order. He gave the same answer that he’s given every single day. Again, he’s not going to wait for a reporter’s question to make this announcement.
He did, however, say he would be saying more over the next week.
* The partnership that you have with the other governors in the Midwest. I believe the governor of Wisconsin extended his stay at home order. Do you follow suit? Is that, do you take that into consideration when you’re making up your own orders? I know you said that every governor is going to have, you know, there, you’re going to do your own thing with your own state should do you take that into consideration?…
Well I talked to a number of governors and these are the governors that are you know we’re closest with. And so I certainly look at what they’re doing and I listened to them. They listen to me they asked me questions along the way. And each of us have taken ideas from one another.
I think what we’re trying to do with the collaborative effort together is to make sure that we’re using similar criteria. It matters if you’re bordering states if your region has sort of similar criteria. And I’ve talked a lot about these criteria over time and and that you know, some of them have as well, testing, tracing, treating. Those are all important things having widespread availability of PPE. Those are all things that we share in common. And of course, protecting workers and customers. When you ultimately try to loosen things up and make sure that people can do commerce and that we have an economy that starts to work again in the way that we all want it to. You want to make sure that you’re keeping people safe and so that’s the workers and the customers of course the business owners too. You know, we try to take all that into consideration, but we share a lot of common values and you saw it’s a bipartisan group. You know we share I think in common that those those sets of values and criteria. And that’s really why we created that collaborative so that we can share those best ideas
A question was asked if he had a call with President Trump today. He said he did not.
* Illinois spent millions on N95 mass from China. IDPH is out with a new health alert that says those masks may not meet performance standards, and some could be counterfeit. Governor, in a rush to secure PPE did Illinois get scammed? [TV reporters love asking dramatic questions]…
No, I think what the guidance is is that sometimes you can acquire PPE from people right, not from the state, but anywhere that might say N95 mask on it. But you’ve got to know that that’s a real N95 mask. All the PPE. This is true for all of the health departments and everybody that acquires PPE now. You really got to make sure that what arrives is what you paid for, what you thought you were getting. And so we’re doing our best you know and things come in and shipments of a million. You can’t go through one mask at a time. And so you try to take samples from the shipments that come in and make sure that you got what you were paying for.
He then received several similar questions with predictable results.
* Pritzker claimed the unemployment insurance application process was improving…
We are now I think operating on a much more, a higher level, you know doing what amounts to about 10 times, eight to 10 times the number of claims being processed now that were being processed a year ago at the same time
We’ll see. I’m still seeing lots of tweets from frustrated people.
* The governor of Wisconsin has extended their stay at home a month now through May 22 or May 26. The governor of Ohio was saying that they may start to reopen some businesses by May 1. So you guys are all working in collaboration, does that really work if various states are doing their own thing and why are we waiting to extend this stay at home or if that’s what you anticipate doing?…
Well what I would say is that, April 30 is the deadline that we set ,we certainly will be making decisions about it, we look at it every day. Again, and to the several other states are looking at opening certain kinds of businesses on certain dates. Obviously we have different economies across these states, we share a lot in common. However, and so a lot of the ideas that we each have about our state are applicable to one another as to the date that somebody picks. Look, part of it is dependent as I said upon the increase in testing does a state feel comfortable based upon their population that they’re doing enough testing, because you can’t just look at the base number of tests that a state is doing it’s based upon population right. How many out of a million people are getting tested each day. We’re not where we want to be in the state. The other part of it is that as I’ve said we need to do much more tracking and tracing I think that’s very, very important. And we’re spinning up a tracking and tracing capability this contact tracing. But again, what’s what’s important about this collaborative i think is that we share our economy share a lot in common in the Midwest you know traditionally referred to often as the rust belt. But, so the result is the, the industries are similar. The thinking is a little bit similar. And so, and we’ve all developed a pretty good relationship with one another. And that makes it a very worthwhile collaborative to have because collectively I think we’re making good decisions, importantly, we are saying things that are different than the things that are coming out of the CDC in the White House
* Do you anticipate any businesses in Illinois reopening on May 1?…
Again, I’m looking at the executive orders. Remember in the executive order, there is a list of essential businesses and this is a base starting. We started out with the base of the Homeland Security list, the Department of Homeland Security in Washington of what’s an essential business and then we expanded upon that to include things that we thought were either unique to Illinois or where we might have disagreed with the Department of Homeland Security and wanted more open.
And so we’re constantly looking at and adjusting we indeed have adjusted, since the very beginning right as people have come to us and said, well here’s how we would operate as an industry. If we had the opportunity to open then based upon that you know we’ve been able to do that so we’re constantly looking at it we will, you know, if we extended the stay at home and kept the essential business list in place, we would continue to evaluate where we could make adjustments,
* Iowa is not on the list. Why is it not in the list and don’t you need Iowa if you’re going to make this work with all bordering states?…
We would love to have as many states as want to join as a part of it Iowa chose not to be part of this. I know they have, they don’t have a stay at home rule yet in place. They’ve made a lot of different decisions than we have. And yes, I would like it if every state, frankly fought. We were as you know one of the very first states, the second state in the United States put a stay in order in. I think ours has been copied by a number of others which is terrific, imitation is the greatest form of flattery. And so I would like it if everybody adopted similar rules because we’re bending the curve, not everywhere is bending the curve. So, yeah, there’s nothing I can do with the federal government chose, the White House chose not to take the lead here. And so the states have had to make decisions on our own
* There is some concern around the nation that states are in short supply of medications needed for patients on ventilators is Illinois seeing that shortage of medications and if not, what can we do to make sure that doesn’t happen? [Finally, an original question and of course it was from Sfondeles]…
Dr. Ezike: So as we increase the number of patients that are on ventilators,
there are medicines that we use for sedation and even paralytics to paralyze patients that are being used more than as usual. So, there are, if you go from hospital to hospital they are different drugs, they’re on a shortage list. So, the FDA is aware, IDPH, the state doesn’t have any role in procuring, the medicines, but we are aware that they’re, you know there are drugs that are being used more than they have been because of this COVID-19 pandemic. And so we’re keeping you know we’re keeping an eye but we don’t have a direct role in terms of securing those drugs.
* Have third shifts at state labs all been fully implemented?…
Dr. Ezike: Chicago is running two shifts every single day, Springfield is also running two shifts a day and in our Carbondale lab is running 24/seven.
Gov. Pritzker: Lab technicians are in short supply. And so to even get a second shift at three different labs across the state. And in some areas where it’s more difficult to hire lab technicians is really quite an amazing lift. Now think about having a third shift you know 24 seven so that we’ve done that at one lab. The doctor has been amazing. And now we’re going to have a third shift at two other labs soon enough.
* Why hasn’t Illinois released the names of nursing homes or patients or staff have tested positive as well as the number of cases and deaths as other states are, and what specifically is the state doing to address clusters mushrooming in nursing homes?…
We’re working on getting information out regarding the nursing homes. I think there might be some delays in keeping up with that but working on that in terms of our approach to dealing with really one of our most vulnerable populations.
Again we’ve talked many times from here about how difficult it is to control outbreaks in these congregate settings any of these settings where the people reside sleep live play eat all in the same place. It’s a little bit hard to distance and segregate and isolate when you’re in a confined space, but we have been talking we have some aggressive measures that we are employing where we want to identify people who are the carriers and of course right now in congregate settings with visitation being essentially nil, it’s it’s staff that probably are bringing in the virus. And so we have an aggressive campaign for our congregate settings to try to test all of the staff that work in these settings. We think that if we can identify staff members who are positive maybe they don’t know they’re positive, then we can get ahead of them potentially infecting the people that they’re there, that they’re charged to work with.
* A House Republican released the names and convictions of individuals who have commuted sentences for during this pandemic. How do you pick the individuals that have been released?…
Well let me point out that there are two methods that we’re following for thinking about release. One is the the director of the IDOC, the Department of Corrections has the ability on his own to determine that someone can be released and it’s the criteria that he’s using is non violent convictions. And people who are who have already served a substantial portion of their term or have a comorbidity or something that makes them, especially vulnerable and would not pose a risk to the community. That last part, not posing a risk to the community is incredibly important criteria that gets reviewed very closely.
The second way is that there are appeals to the governor to me for clemency, and those often are the more difficult cases, these are often people who may have committed a violent crime but it may have occurred many many years ago they may have served for example, decades of a term. I can recall a couple of situations where someone was convicted, at the age of 16 of being part of a situation where somebody died and they were essentially convicted of the same crime, even though they didn’t commit the crime themselves they may have been driving the getaway car they may have been standing nearby and part of the same group, but not been part of the violence itself. But they got convicted of a murder and were sentenced sometimes with some old laws in place. They had their normal sentence doubled because of the existing laws at the time. Someone might have gotten 80 years for something that someone doing the exact same thing a few years later, would have only gotten 40 years.
So those are examples anyway of the decisions are made in consultation for me. I often speak with the lieutenant governor and speak with my internal legal counsel, but ultimately it is those things are charged to me and to the Department of Corrections director.
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House cancels next week’s session
Thursday, Apr 16, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller
* From Speaker Madigan’s chief of staff Jessica Basham…
Good afternoon, members and staff –
First, please note that the session days scheduled for next week (Tuesday, April 21 through Friday, April 24) are cancelled. The deadline for House Bills out of Committees, which had previously been rescheduled for April 24, will be extended to Thursday, April 30.
Zero surprise there.
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White House releases its plan
Thursday, Apr 16, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller
* The White House’s plan for “reopening” the economy has a lot of thoughtful and wise preconditions. For instance, this is something we’ve been talking about this week and it’s in an integral part of the initial “gating criteria”…
Downward trajectory of documented cases within a 14-day period
OR
Downward trajectory of positive tests as a percent of total tests within a 14-day period (flat or increasing volume of tests)
That is hugely important. And we are not yet there by any means and nobody really knows when we will be, either nationally or in Illinois. To be on the safe side, the guidelines also include a mandate for a two-week downward trajectory of influenza-like illnesses and covid-like syndromic cases.
* Also, hospitals must be doing this…
Treat all patients without crisis care
AND
Robust testing program in place for at-risk healthcare workers, including emerging antibody testing
* As the governor said today, Illinois is getting close on the first precondition here, but not on the other two…
Ability to quickly set up safe and efficient screening and testing sites for symptomatic individuals and trace contacts of COVID+ results
Ability to test Syndromic/ILI-indicated persons for COVID and trace contacts of COVID+ results
Ensure sentinel surveillance sites are screening for asymptomatic cases and contacts for COVID+ results are traced (sites operate at locations that serve older individuals, lower-income Americans, racial minorities, and Native Americans)
So, even if test results are on the right downward track for two solid weeks, those things also have to happen before we can move forward.
* Illinois is getting there on both of these preconditions…
Ability to quickly and independently supply sufficient Personal Protective Equipment and critical medical equipment to handle dramatic surge in need
Ability to surge ICU capacity
* These requirements that will allow states and regions to continue past the original gating criteria will likely depend on specific definitions…
Protect the health and safety of workers in critical industries
Protect the health and safety of those living and working in high-risk facilities (e.g., senior care facilities)
Protect employees and users of mass transit
Advise citizens regarding protocols for social distancing and face coverings
Monitor conditions and immediately take steps to limit and mitigate any rebounds or outbreaks by restarting a phase or returning to an earlier phase, depending on severity
* More…
State and local officials may need to tailor the application of these criteria to local circumstances (e.g., metropolitan areas that have suffered severe COVID outbreaks, rural and suburban areas where outbreaks have not occurred or have been mild). Additionally, where appropriate, Governors should work on a regional basis to satisfy these criteria and to progress through the phases outlined below.
* Only after all those above preconditions have been met can states and regions move to what the White House refers to as “phase one.” These would be the employer rules once all those preconditions have been met and phase one is reached…
Continue to ENCOURAGE TELEWORK, whenever possible and feasible with business operations.
If possible, RETURN TO WORK IN PHASES.
Close COMMON AREAS where personnel are likely to congregate and interact, or enforce strict social distancing protocols.
Minimize NON-ESSENTIAL TRAVEL and adhere to CDC guidelines regarding isolation following travel.
Strongly consider SPECIAL ACCOMMODATIONS for personnel who are members of a VULNERABLE POPULATION.
* Before states and regions are allowed to move to phase two, they have to meet this requrement…
STATES AND REGIONS WITH NO EVIDENCE OF A REBOUND AND THAT SATISFY THE GATING CRITERIA A SECOND TIME
See the top of this post for the gating criteria, including two weeks of a downward trajectory of reported cases. In other words, if positive test results start going back up or level off again, then phase two is out of the question.
* For employers in phase two…
Continue to ENCOURAGE TELEWORK, whenever possible and feasible with business operations.
Close COMMON AREAS where personnel are likely to congregate and interact, or enforce moderate social distancing protocols.
NON-ESSENTIAL TRAVEL can resume.
Strongly consider SPECIAL ACCOMMODATIONS for personnel who are members of a VULNERABLE POPULATION.
* Here’s what would be allowed in phase two, which, remember, could only happen if all gating requirements have been met a second time…
SCHOOLS AND ORGANIZED YOUTH ACTIVITIES (e.g., daycare, camp) can reopen.
VISITS TO SENIOR CARE FACILITIES AND HOSPITALS should be prohibited. Those who do interact with residents and patients must adhere to strict protocols regarding hygiene.
LARGE VENUES (e.g., sit-down dining, movie theaters, sporting venues, places of worship) can operate under moderate physical distancing protocols.
ELECTIVE SURGERIES can resume, as clinically appropriate, on an outpatient and in-patient basis at facilities that adhere to CMS guidelines.
GYMS can remain open if they adhere to strict physical distancing and sanitation protocols.
BARS may operate with diminished standing-room occupancy, where applicable and appropriate.
* Before moving to phase three…
FOR STATES AND REGIONS WITH NO EVIDENCE OF A REBOUND AND THAT SATISFY THE GATING CRITERIA A THIRD TIME
Again, that means new cases have to continue a downward trend for at least two more weeks straight, among all the other requirements above.
Phase three guidance for employers…
Resume UNRESTRICTED STAFFING of worksites.
Types of employers…
VISITS TO SENIOR CARE FACILITIES AND HOSPITALS can resume. Those who interact with residents and patients must be diligent regarding hygiene.
LARGE VENUES (e.g., sit-down dining, movie theaters, sporting venues, places of worship) can operate under limited physical distancing protocols.
GYMS can remain open if they adhere to standard sanitation protocols.
BARS may operate with increased standing room occupancy, where applicable.
It’s actually a pretty good plan. Your thoughts?
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* Fitch reduced the state’s rating to one tiny click above junk bond status, and handed a non-investment grade status to the MPEA and ISFA…
Fitch Ratings has downgraded the state of Illinois’ Issuer Default Rating (IDR) to ‘BBB-’ from ‘BBB’. Additionally, Fitch has downgraded the following ratings which are linked to or capped by the state’s IDR:
–GO bonds, downgraded to ‘BBB-’ from ‘BBB’;
–Build Illinois senior and junior obligation sales tax revenue bonds, which are linked to the state’s IDR based on state-dedicated tax analysis, downgraded to ‘BBB+’ from ‘A-’;
–Metropolitan Pier and Exposition Authority (MPEA) expansion project bonds, which are capped at appropriation risk of the state, downgraded to ‘BB+’ from ‘BBB-’;
–Illinois Sports Facilities Authority (ISFA) sports facilities (state tax-supported) bonds, which are also capped at appropriation risk of the state, downgraded to ‘BB+’ from ‘BBB-’.
The Rating Outlook is revised to Negative from Stable.
Fitch anticipates reviewing ratings within the next two weeks for Chicago motor fuel tax revenue bonds (BBB-/Stable) that may be affected by the downgrade and Outlook revision. […]
ANALYTICAL CONCLUSION
The downgrade of Illinois’ IDR and GO bond ratings to ‘BBB-’ from ‘BBB’ reflects Fitch’s anticipation of a fundamental weakening of the state’s financial resilience given its already tenuous position entering the current severe downturn. While Illinois should avoid any immediate cash flow pressures, the state’s lack of meaningful reserves and the limited nature of other fiscal-management tools at its disposal mean Illinois will be challenged to maintain its investment-grade IDR.
Illinois’ ‘BBB-’ IDR and GO bond ratings, well below the level of other states, have long reflected an ongoing pattern of weak operating performance and irresolute fiscal decision-making that has produced a credit position well below the level that the state’s broad economic base and substantial independent legal ability to control its budget would otherwise support. The ratings also reflect the state’s elevated long-term liability position, modest long-term economic and revenue growth profile and adequate expenditure flexibility.
The Outlook revision to Negative reflects the risk that the depth and duration of the downturn lead Illinois to implement nonstructural budget-management measures the state finds difficult to quickly unwind once an economic recovery finally begins to take hold.
MPEA had a great credit rating until the Rauner years, when a payment was missed…
The failed transfer prompted Standard & Poor’s to strip the agency’s $3 billion of debt of its AAA rating and Fitch Ratings to lower its AA-minus rating. Both dropped the ratings to BBB-plus, one level below the state’s A-minus rating, as they re-characterized the agency’s debt as subject to appropriation risk.
All three ratings agencies now have Illinois at the lowest possible rating and outlook before hitting junk bond territory.
* Meanwhile, the folks at Wirepoints are all but demanding junk status…
…Adding… From the governor’s office…
The state of Illinois is committed to ensuring we work through the difficult challenges brought on by COVID-19. The state prioritizes its debt payments and will work to ensure our progress on stabilizing the state’s finances continues through this crisis. The state of Illinois’ credit remains investment grade and by working together, Illinois will get through this crisis and rebuild our economy with new resolve.
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1,140 new cases, 125 additional deaths
Thursday, Apr 16, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller
* Press release…
The Illinois Department of Public Health (IDPH) today announced 1,140 new cases of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in Illinois, including 125 additional deaths.
- Bond County: 1 male 70s
- Champaign County: 1 female 80s, 1 male 80s
- Christian County: 1 male 70s
- Cook County: 1 male 30s, 2 females 40s, 1 male 40s, 3 females 50s, 6 males 50s, 5
females 60s, 8 males 60s, 1 unknow 60s, 8 females 70s, 18 males 70s, 10 females 80s, 17
males 80s, 6 females 90s, 5 males 90s, 1 male 100+
- DuPage County: 1 female 80s, 2 males 90s
- Kane County: 1 female 70s
- Lake County: 1 male 50s, 1 female 60s, 2 females 80s, 3 females 90s, 2 males 90s
- Madison County: 1 female 70s
- McHenry County: 1 male 60s, 1 female 70s
- McLean County: 1 female 80s
- Monroe County: 1 female 80s
- St. Clair County: 1 male 60s, 2 males 70s, 1 female 90s
- Will County: 1 male 50s, 1 male 60s, 1 male 70s, 2 females 80s, 1 male 80s, 1 female 90s
Alexander County is now reporting a case. Currently, IDPH is reporting a total of 25,733 cases, including 1,072 deaths, in 90 counties in Illinois. The age of cases ranges from younger than one to older than 100 years.
…Adding… New cases still on a plateau…
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COVID-19 roundup
Thursday, Apr 16, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller
* Tribune…
Twenty-two residents and one staff member at Symphony of Joliet nursing home have died of COVID-19, a spokeswoman for the facility said Wednesday.
The number of deaths at Symphony has risen sharply since early last week, when it reported a total of three deaths, including the staff member.
Nursing homes nationwide have become epicenters and “accelerators” of the spread of the coronavirus that causes COVID-19, according to the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
Nursing homes and other places which are already following the rules might want to look at a study which found that increasing the humidity in enclosed places to 40-60 percent could help slow the spread.
* One way insurance companies make money is by not paying claims…
Erik Baylis’ eight Chicago bars and restaurants have been closed since Illinois barred in-person dining starting on St. Patrick’s Day, smack in the middle of what he says is typically the most lucrative month of the year.
Baylis, who furloughed his 450-plus employees, assumed an insurance policy would cover some of his losses during the coronavirus shutdown, which is causing him to miss out on $5 million to $6 million in revenue each month.
He was shocked when he received a letter from his insurance company saying it would not. […]
Baylis is among a growing contingent of business owners across the country who are suing insurance companies for denying claims for business interruption insurance as revenues take a nosedive during the COVID-19 pandemic. Without the money, some say they may not be able to reopen or hire back laid-off employees.
You also gotta figure they’ll be hugely reluctant to pay claims if the “reopen now” people get their way and people catch the virus because a business owner didn’t take proper precautions.
* And you also gotta figure this is coming…
Illinois students likely won’t be returning to classrooms for the remainder of the school year.
Illinois Deputy Gov. Jesse Ruiz suggested Wednesday that the suspension of in-person instruction for all schools, which began March 17, could be extended through the end of the school year. An official announcement is expected by the week’s end.
“We’ve applied and received a federal waiver to exempt all students from accountability assessments for one year, as soon as it became clear that suspension of in-person instruction would extend beyond the initial two-week announcement and most likely again through the end of the school year,” Ruiz said.
* Headlines from the Tribune’s live blog…
ACLU voices concern about checkpoints being set up by Chicago police across the city
U of I sets up a coronavirus emergency fund for affected students’ tuition and housing
Cook County Jail inmates begin refusing food over COVID-19, sheriff forwards their petition for better treatment to judge
Sens. Dick Durbin, Tammy Duckworth named to congressional task force to advise Trump on reopening economy
$349 billion federal small-business aid fund runs dry; some in Chicago area were lucky but others are left in the lurch
Chicago-area mail carriers navigate coronavirus challenges: Customers eager to chat, the pain of postage-due notices and Postal Service’s financial collapse.
Chicago Park District pushes back summer camp sign-up
The military won’t say how many coronavirus cases are on the Naval Station Great Lakes base
What if back to normal is never? Entertainment companies and cultural nonprofits are feeling increasingly pessimistic.
* Sun-Times live blog…
What contact tracing in Illinois might look like
As coronavirus cases rise, public health experts race to reach Latinos
WHO says there’s no need to disinfect your mail
Lightfoot extends reprieve for motorists, businesses until June 1
Coronavirus has hit the federal jail, so R. Kelly is asking for release — again
City offers free mental health resources for medical personnel and first responders
Public health expert: ‘Marshall Plan’ needed to redress coronavirus race disparities
* More…
* Bank of America CEO to Trump: Focus on virus first, not return to normalcy
* Chicago Transit Agencies Brace For Future Without Another Bailout
* How the Public Health Crisis is Hurting Illinois’ Livestock Farmers
* Coronavirus shouldn’t keep people from worship, a southwestern Illinois sheriff says
* Lake County committee recommends freezing pay over some objections
* Farmers’ markets, festivals adjust amid coronavirus concerns in Rockford region
* Infectious disease doctor: Take off the gloves, wash your hands instead
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Death threat made on Rep. Ammons’ daughter
Thursday, Apr 16, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller
* Ben Zigterman at the News-Gazette…
State Rep. Carol Ammons and Champaign County Clerk Aaron Ammons said their daughter, unopposed county board candidate Titianna Ammons, received a death threat in the mail Monday.
The letter threatened to kill their daughter if Carol Ammons were elected chairwoman of the Champaign County Democrats at its meeting Wednesday, where she did become the chairwoman.
“In the past Carol and I have dealt with threats directed towards us, but it is reprehensible that an individual would threaten the life of our daughter,” Aaron Ammons said. “The author of the letter has caused undue stress and anxiety to our family as well as the dedicated employees that work in our offices. While we are taking this threat very seriously, we will not be bullied or intimidated by whomever is behind this. Titianna is strong, focused, and resilient in the face of all of the challenges she’s facing and she/we will NOT be moved!”
Ugh.
…Adding… The letter…
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* Press release…
Today, Governors JB Pritzker (IL), Gretchen Whitmer (MI), Mike DeWine (OH), Tony Evers (WI), Tim Walz (MN), Eric Holcomb (IN) and Andy Beshear (KY) announced that they will work in close coordination to reopen the economy in the Midwest region.
The governors said, “We are doing everything we can to protect the people of our states and slow the spread of COVID-19, and we are eager to work together to mitigate the economic crisis this virus has caused in our region. Here in the Midwest, we are bound by our commitment to our people and the community. We recognize that our economies are all reliant on each other, and we must work together to safely reopen them so hardworking people can get back to work and businesses can get back on their feet.
“Today, we are announcing that Illinois, Michigan, Ohio, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Indiana, and Kentucky will work in close coordination to reopen our economies in a way that prioritizes our workers’ health. We look forward to working with experts and taking a fact-based, data-driven approach to reopening our economy in a way that protect families from the spread of COVID-19.
“Our number one priority when analyzing when best to reopen our economy is the health and safety of our citizens. We will make decisions based on facts, science, and recommendations from experts in health care, business, labor, and education.
“We will closely examine at least these four factors when determining when best to reopen our economy:
• Sustained control of the rate of new infections and hospitalizations.
• Enhanced ability to test and trace.
• Sufficient health care capacity to handle resurgence.
• And best practices for social distancing in the workplace.
“Phasing in sectors of our economy will be most effective when we work together as a region. This doesn’t mean our economy will reopen all at once, or that every state will take the same steps at the same time. But close coordination will ensure we get this right. Over time, people will go back to work, restaurants will reopen, and things will go back to normal. We look forward to working together as one region to tackle this challenge together.”
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A look at the revised budget numbers
Thursday, Apr 16, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller
* Let’s take a quick look at the Governor’s Office of Management and Budget’s revised projections as compared to GOMB’s forecast back in February, when the governor first released his proposed Fiscal Year 2021 budget.
Here are the revised FY2020 numbers…
Sales tax receipts - ($737 million) or 8.4 percent below February estimate
Total individual income tax receipts: ($1.336 billion) or 6.9 percent below February estimate
Total corporate income tax receipts: ($299 million) or 12 percent below February estimate
Lottery: ($150 million)
Casino gaming: ($57 million)
Federal Sources: $459 million
All other changes: ($77 million)
GRAND TOTAL REVENUE CHANGE: ($2.198 billion)
————————–
GO Bond Debt Service Transfer Increase to Cover Decreases to the Capital Projects Fund: ($120 million)
Actions to Reduce FY20 Deficit
Defer Repayment of Treasurer’s Investment Borrowing: $400 million
Interfund Borrowing: $323 million
Short Term Borrowing Proceeds: $1.2 billion
Spending Controls: $25 million
Total Changes: $1.948 billion
REVISED SURPLUS/DEFICIT: ($255 million)
* FY2021…
Individual Income Taxes: ($1.765 billion) or 8.8 percent below February estimates
Corporate Income Taxes: ($442 million) or 17.8 percent below February estimates
Half-year revenue from potential graduated income tax: ($261 million) or 18.2 percent below February estimates
Sales Taxes ($1.585 billion) or 17.5 percent below February estimates
Lottery Proceeds ($92 million)
Casino Gaming ($7 million)
Other sources and transfers in to the general funds: ($472 million)
GRAND TOTAL REVENUE CHANGE: ($4.625 billion)
Short-term bond repayment and pay off rollover from the Treasurer’s investment borrowing: ($1.6 billion)
TOTAL PROJECTED DEFICIT: ($7.4 billion) without graduated income tax; ($6.2 billion) with graduated income tax
I gotta figure that’s too low, but whatevs.
To put this into context, back in June of 2017, a month before the logjam finally broke and the General Assembly passed a budget and an income tax hike over Gov. Bruce Rauner’s veto, Illinois’ FY17 budget deficit was estimated by COGFA to be $6.2 billion.
So, we’re right back to square one without help from the federal government. Or even worse if the constitutional amendment fails.
Ducky.
* Coverage roundup…
* Illinois coronavirus revenue loss pegged at more than $7 billion
* Pritzker: Virus will cost state budget billions
* Pritzker admin forecasts multi-billion-dollar budget hole
* Pritzker: Illinois could face budget deficit due to COVID-19
* COVID-19 numbers crunch packs one-two punch: Pritzker sees $2.7B budget jab now, $6.2B later
* Pritzker says state could face $7.4 billion budget gap in 2021
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* Dan Petrella and Jamie Munks at the Tribune…
Illinois House Speaker Michael Madigan’s main campaign fund paid nearly $462,000 in legal fees in the first three months of 2020 to a law firm that employs former Chicago Mayor Richard M. Daley, new campaign finance records show.
Federal investigators over the past year have raided the homes of two close Madigan associates, and the Tribune reported late last year that four people who have been interviewed as part of an ongoing corruption probe were asked questions about the speaker and his political operation. […]
“The fees represent legal counsel engaged over the past year to monitor ongoing investigations,” Madigan spokeswoman Eileen Boyce wrote in an email late Wednesday. “The speaker’s status with respect to any probe remains unchanged, and he expects to continue to engage counsel to monitor the situation and provide counsel until investigations conclude.”
Friends of Michael J. Madigan paid $461,967.80 in legal fees to law firm Katten Muchin Rosenman in the quarter that ended March 31, according to a quarterly campaign disclosure filed with the Illinois State Board of Elections on Wednesday just ahead of the midnight deadline.
Madigan has used Katten before, but only for a handful of items. Almost all of its legal work for Madigan has been during the first three months of this year. Needless to say, $462K is a lot of money just to “monitor ongoing investigations.” Katten has a white-collar criminal defense division.
Katten appears to be the only law firm paid by Speaker Madigan in the first quarter. His personal campaign committee shelled out more than $1.2 million in legal fees last year, mostly to Kulwin, Masciopinto & Kulwin (Alaina Hampton’s attorneys) and Hinshaw & Culbertson.
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* On the one hand, the Democratic governor is facing public pressure from the left side of his own party to release thousands of state prisoners, including from Stateville, which is populated with particularly hardcore convicts…
The Illinois Constitution gives crime victims a “right to be notified” of any perpetrator’s release (among other things), which complicates matters.
* On the other hand, a conservative Republican who recently claimed the governor was “acting like a dictator,” issued this press release yesterday about Pritzker’s 13 commutations since March 11th…
State Representative John M. Cabello (R-Machesney Park) has released the names of prisoners (attached) who have been granted a commutation in the past week by Governor JB Pritzker. The list includes perpetrators of violent crimes including murder, armed robbery and home invasion.
“Governor Pritzker used his executive authority to commute the sentences of murderers and armed robbers in an unbelievable attempt to protect these prisoners from the Coronavirus. People in many nursing homes, however, are not allowed to see their families and are “locked down” in order to protect them. I am releasing the names of these offenders in an effort to let the public know whose sentences were commuted and advise victims and witnesses that these people are no longer in prison,” Representative Cabello said.
“The Governor is undermining the criminal justice system and potentially endangering the victims and family members as well as those who may have testified in court resulting in the original incarceration. In what world do we release murderers into the community and be more concerned about their safety over the safety of the public?” asked Cabello.
“It has been reported that Governor Pritzker is doing this “quietly” so I think that it is necessary to expose his actions and warn all of the people in our communities who will be affected by this. People on cruise ships have been required to stay in their cabins when infections of Coronavirus are found, yet here in Illinois we release prisoners and order everyone else to shelter in place and force businesses to close. This truly is a new world,” added Cabello.
Representative Cabello serves the 68th District, which includes portions of Rockford, Loves Park, Machesney Park and Cherry Valley.
* And here they are…
Victoria McCue was sentenced to the minimum penalty of 20 years in 2007. She had claimed her husband punched her in the abdomen multiple times before she shot him.
Alma Durr murdered her infant in 1996 after smoking 12 rocks of cocaine.
James Money filed a federal lawsuit earlier this month with several other prisoners in an attempt to obtain a release. He was diagnosed with Stage 3 metastatic thyroid cancer in 2016 and was at the time of filing the lawsuit within 90 days of his release date.
Supporters of Kwayera Jackson, a high school sports star, claim that he killed his son by accident.
Anyway, I don’t have all day to Google these folks, so maybe y’all can help in comments.
* ACLU of Illinois executive director Colleen Connell…
It is sad to see an elected official playing politics with public health when responding to efforts to reduce the likelihood of further spread of the virus that causes COVID-19 inside Illinois prisons. Illinois prisoners are dying because they are held in conditions that often are unsanitary and rarely allow for social distancing.
Releasing prisoners from these settings improves safety for other detainees, people who work in the corrections system as guards and administrators and also helps protect the communities where Illinois prisons are located. The people who are being released have served time – some of them years. The release of these names is not another opportunity to create faux outrage and perpetuate a criminal legal system that too often confuses being tough with being smart.
Our first and foremost priority right now should be to address the pandemic that has taken the life of nearly 1,000 Illinois residents, and brought grief and fear to thousands of others. It is not the time to posture about imagined dangers of medically-vulnerable people being released from our overcrowded state prison system. We can be better.
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* Washington Post…
More than 22 million Americans have filed for unemployment aid since President Trump declared a national emergency four weeks ago, a staggering loss of jobs that has wiped out a decade of employment gains and pushed families to line up at food banks as they await government help.
Last week, 5.2 million people filed unemployment insurance claims, the Labor Department reported Thursday, making it among one of the bigger spikes, although smaller than the 6.6 million people who applied the week before and the record 6.9 million people who applied the week that ended on March 28.
The United States has not seen this level of job loss since the Great Depression, and the government is struggling to respond fast enough to the deadly coronavirus health crisis and the economic crisis triggered by shutting down so many businesses.
Chart…
*** UPDATE *** IDES…
The Illinois Department of Employment Security (IDES) today released new statewide data showing the department processed over 141,000 new initial unemployment claims for the week ending April 11.
As of March 1, the department has processed more than 650,000 initial unemployment claims, 12 times more than the number of claims over the corresponding time period last year, when it processed 53,000 initial unemployment claims. It is also five times greater than the amount processed during the first six weeks of the Great Recession. Statewide unemployment claims data, which reflects activity for the week prior, will be available on the IDES website every Thursday afternoon.
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Today’s attempt at an imperfect analogy
Thursday, Apr 16, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller
* An oil company’s massive Gulf of Mexico drilling platform exploded last week. A small fire that ignited months ago could not be adequately contained, ultimately resulting in a days-long inferno followed by the explosion. Hundreds of workers have died and many more have been injured since the fire began.
The fire is still dangerous, as shown by the continued daily rise in the platform’s medical casualty report. But that daily increase is easing somewhat because some workers have been temporarily evacuated.
Despite the ongoing fire and the inability to consistently lessen or even halt the platform’s daily casualty increase, oil company officials are now debating whether to order some of its evacuated employees to rejoin the workers who are still on the job.
When asked why they would consider doing this, some executives have pointed to the company’s stock value, which has tumbled 50 percent since the fire began.
* Your turn.
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Open thread
Thursday, Apr 16, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller
* Talk about anything except for anything whatsoever to do with any types of viruses. And please be nice to each other.
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[The timestamp of this post has been altered for Thursday visibility purposes.]
* Press release…
Building on measures to address the unprecedented economic challenges facing Illinois as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, Governor JB Pritzker provided an update on the state’s revenue forecast outlook and efforts to provide fiscal stability during these unprecedented times.
COVID-19 has had a profound impact on the U.S. economy, leading to an unexpected loss of revenues across all 50 states, with early projections showing combined state budget deficits of $500 billion over the next two years. In Illinois, general revenue funds are being revised down $2.7 billion in fiscal year 2020 and $4.6 billion in fiscal year 2021. With short term borrowing to bridge through this crisis, the total shortfall for fiscal year 2021 is $6.2 billion when compared to the spending plan put forth by the Governor in February. That shortfall expands to $7.4 billion if the constitutional amendment to move to a graduated income tax does not pass.
While states are slated to receive federal funding to address costs associated with the pandemic, this funding can not be used for the broader impact on COVID-19 on state revenue. Gov. Pritzker is working with our federal partners and calling on Congress to pass an additional aid package that will provide funding to states to make up for unprecedented nationwide revenue shortfalls.
“This is a public health crisis – but it is accompanied by massive economic disruption that’s unprecedented in modern history. Illinoisans are all too familiar with the pain the lack of a state budget can cause, so let me just say up front: we will not go without a state budget,” said Governor JB Pritzker. “We will need to make extraordinarily difficult decisions on top of the difficult decisions we’ve already made, but together with the state legislature we will make them and we will do so with an unswerving dedication to fairness. In the midst of a pandemic, I am more resolute than ever to protect those who are suffering physical and financial hardship from it.”
As the governor works to protect the health and safety of all Illinoisans he is taking several steps to shore up the state’s immediate fiscal health:
Earlier this month, the Governor’s Office of Management and Budget directed agencies to take all possible steps to manage existing resources for the remainder of fiscal year 2020 by putting on hold all non-essential purchases and operational expenditures, freezing all travel that is not mission essential, and limiting all non-essential hiring. These actions are expected to save at least $25 million for the general funds in fiscal year 2020. This is in addition to earlier efforts to identify efficiencies for the fiscal year 2021 budget, slated to save the state $750 million over the next three years.
Working with our partners, the Comptroller and Treasurer have extended $400 million in investment borrowing agreements that were due to be repaid from the General Revenue Fund in March and April to July 2020. In coordination with the Governor’s Office of Management and Budget, the Comptroller has utilized interfund borrowing authority to transfer an additional $323 million in March and April to the general funds.
Additionally, the Governor, Comptroller and Treasurer will be moving forward with the issuance of up to $1.2 billion in short-term borrowing in May under Article 9, Section 9(d) of the Constitution and Section 1.1 of the Short-Term Borrowing Act (30 ILCS 340) for situations where revenue forecasts do not meet projections. About $1 billion of the decline in revenue for fiscal year 2020 is attributable to the extension of the April 15 deadline for filing 2019 income tax returns to July 15. This action will cover funds lost due to that extension.
As the costs of fighting COVID-19 continue to grow, the Governor has directed nearly $500 million in additional spending authority to IEMA through the emergency powers granted under the gubernatorial disaster proclamation. Much of this spending is concentrated on obtaining personal protective equipment for our frontline workers and ventilators to treat patients suffering from the most severe cases of COVID-19. An estimated $170 million has been expended to date. Federal funding is expected to cover most of the costs the state is incurring in response to the COVID-19 pandemic.
The federal Coronavirus Aid, Relief and Economic Security (CARES) Act is a $2 trillion disaster aid stimulus package that is estimated to provide more than $9 billion to Illinois governments for a variety of programs from education, to aid for seniors and child nutrition to transit systems. It provides $150 billion in direct aid for COVID-19 related expenditures to the states, of which Illinois is expected to receive $4.9 billion – at least $2.7 billion to the state of Illinois directly and up to $2.2 billion to larger local governments.
The GOMB document is here.
This post will be updated with remarks from the governor and others. As always, please pardon all transcription errors.
…Adding… Press release…
In response to Gov. JB Pritzker’s revised state budget numbers, Illinois Senate President Don Harmon today issued a statement calling for continued cooperation among lawmakers and leaders as the state faces the daunting task of digging out from the social and economic effects of the ongoing global pandemic.
“We’ve proven in recent years that we can come together in times both good and bad to solve problems. We will need that spirit of cooperation more than ever before as we continue to face this outbreak and its economic fallout.
“What I told the governor is the Senate Democrats will do our part to help solve problems and stabilize our state.”
* The governor made an important point about the federal aid in the CARES Act…
But I want to be clear, these dollars can be used to cover only new expenditures related to coronavirus. Currently this funding cannot be used to make up for state government revenue shortfalls that have been a result of coronavirus. That leaves states to face this unprecedented financial hole on their own.
* On to questions for the governor. With those numbers, which sounds pretty scary, is it time to rethink the graduated income tax?…
It’s on the ballot for November. I think people will be making their own decision about it. I would argue, in a way that we may need it now more than ever. And of course this isn’t just about one year. It’s about fixing the structural deficit that exists for the state. We’re in a pandemic, we’re in an emergency, this crisis is causing a significant disruption to our fiscal year coming up. But we we have many years ahead and I think a fairer tax makes sense to me.
* There was a report today about a secret flight for PPE. Can you give us more information, and do you really have to make it secret because otherwise the feds might take the mass and gowns, that you’re trying to bring here to Illinois?…
Well, look, I’m responsible for making sure that we have the PPE and the ventilators that we need for the state. The federal government as we’ve talked about many times has not been a great partner in that. They’ve helped. They’ve helped, and I want to give credit for what we’ve gotten from the federal government, but it’s only really, in the end, a few days worth of items. And so we’ve had to search the entire globe to find what we need. Shipping is very difficult and so we’re doing what we need to do to make sure that we get, you know, the kind of PPE that we need. It is true that the federal government seems to be interrupting supplies that are being sent elsewhere in the nation and so I wanted to make sure that we receive what we ordered.
* Iowa released the names of the senior health care facilities and the nursing homes with Coronavirus infections, why not Illinois?…
Dr. Ezike: Releasing information regarding outbreaks that happen in facilities is not something that’s new to us. IDPH regularly does put that information out. I will take that back to the team if we haven’t been updating our lists.
* Also right now family members with loved ones in nursing homes can only find out if a positive case or death. If the nursing home voluntarily releases this info. What would you say to those families who are worried and they’re wondering if their loved one is at risk?…
Dr. Ezike: Again, remember that this is an unprecedented time. And traditionally we know that we’ve had, potentially some shortages in staff in the nursing homes particularly among the staff who are sick themselves. So I think in the midst of trying to check every member of everybody living in the nursing home to make sure that they’re not sick, to make sure that they’re separating people who’ve been exposed from people who are sick from people who haven’t been exposed to doing the pre shift assessments for all of the employees. I think everyone has been tasked with additional duties.
So I think it’s absolutely the intention in every nursing home to contact families when they have a loved one that’s sick and to give updates. I’m going to speak for the nursing homes when I say I probably think it’s just backlog and not that they don’t want to, but trying to manage all the tasks in addition to caring for the loved ones that they’ve been tasked with might you remind them that, that’s it, this is information that folks are just surely, surely.
* Several state senators are urging the lifting of the stringent social distancing when the Illinois Hospital Association says that the ICU bed capacity is sufficient. Is that a factor, will you consider that?…
Again, I’ve said day in and day out that we’re going to rely upon the epidemiologists and the scientists to tell us what social distancing measures, what stay at home measures we need to keep in place in order to keep the population from having a spike of COVID-19 infections that might number one consideration, my number one consideration is the life, safety and health of the people of our state. And of course I am just as eager as all of those states senators and with the President of the United States and everybody else to get everybody back to work. But we’ve got to do it in a fashion that really works for everybody so that we keep customers safe that we keep workers safe.
And so I’m going to repeat something I’ve said almost every day. We need widespread testing, and we’re all working on that no state has widespread testing yet, but we are all working on expanding testing. We need a comprehensive contact tracing effort, which Massachusetts has begun to stand up and that’s something that I’ve been in direct contact with not only the governor of Massachusetts about but also with the people who are actually putting that program together I happen to know for many years, an organization called Partners in Health. And so we’re looking at putting that together for the state of Illinois so we’ll have both of those in the works. We’ve already talked a lot about testing. So you’ve seen that we’re in the works buying machines and the VTM and everything it’s necessary to make sure that our testing increases, the contact tracing and then something that is really dependent upon the researchers and the doctors and we’re cheering them on in every way that we can, but it’s really up to them and that’s the testing that’s going on right now over certain kinds of treatments that can be given effectively they have these what they call them double blind experiments. And they’re some of which is going on in Chicago hospitals I might add, but it’s going on all over the world on things like grim death severe and hydrochloric wind and everything else. Once we have something established that will keep fewer people from going to the hospital, and therefore fewer people going into ICU beds and fewer people getting ventilators, then I think those three things working together, testing tracing and treatment, those together with widely available PPE will help us to begin to reopen commerce across the state.
Lots of words.
* In New York, the death toll sharply increased when they decided to count the victims who never tested positive likely died from it. Are you considering doing the same thing here? And is it possible the state’s death toll is considerably higher?…
Dr. Ezike: As the governor correctly stated, the denominator in terms of the total number of people who have cases is grossly underestimated. We know that because we had limited supply of the testing materials and so then we’re trying to find our highest risk people in terms of in terms of doing the testing in the first place. But on the death number. I think that one is probably closer to accurate because once you’re in the hospital that’s definitely a population that would get tested like that was one of our prioritized groups, people who are very sick who are in the hospital who are ICU who have pneumonia, so more likely the death numbers are close to actual. Of course it could have been missed if there was no suspicion of at all. But in terms of the numbers that are grossly underestimated it would be the total number of cases for the state.
So, the CDC did recently put out the new guidance that we should have a separate column for laboratory confirmed cases and then this second column for probable cases. And so, again, most of those probable cases are the people that physicians and public health departments said yes we’re the household contact of so and so and this person was laboratory confirmed. Yeah, you probably have it so we know that those people exist and so it’s just a matter of. Do we want to increase those numbers but even that will probably be a gross underestimation if we just put those probables we’ve had a couple doctors
* Okay folks who say they have been tested, they’re essential workers, this especially at Roseland hospital, and they’re still waiting for the results. They did self imposed a quarantine but now they have to get back to work their employer saying get back to work. What should they do?…
Dr. Ezike: So I actually have been in contact I think with the VP of Roseland as recently as today. And so, I am working with my team to make sure that all specimens are sent directly to IDPH lab because again the rapid turnover of the results is essential. And so when people send it out to some of these other locations where there’s an exorbitant amount of time decisions can’t be made so we’re working on that, as we speak to make sure that we get timely results.
Gov. Pritzker: I think this is an important part of the answer as well. There was an article actually this morning about how the commercial labs, actually are reporting 30% fewer results than they were before they’ve had their own issues with processing. And I’ve talked about this before how it takes seven to 12 days to get a result from one of the commercial labs. It’s the reason, partly that we’ve started to build up, not just started we’ve been doing it for some time now building up our resources within the state.
* Freelancers are wondering, are they covered by unemployment if you’re a freelancer?…
If you’re an independent contractor 1099 if you qualify as that which is often what a freelancer is, then you would qualify for this new program that the federal government, set up to provide unemployment insurance.
* Parents of course still are wondering about school, and then now they’re looking ahead to the summer, summer camp, do you envision children going to summer camp programs this summer?…
Again, we’re going to make some decisions coming up about what to do about our stay at home order, you know how we will you know make adjustments, or what needs to remain in place we still haven’t decided about whether you know about what to do about schools you know we have an April 30 date. Now, and typically schools, you know, might end in the first or second week of June. And so decisions, you know, need to be made, soon to make you know parents aware and kids aware of what that next month or month and a half might look like. And I think that will begin to give us some indication about the summer. But again, I’m, you know we’re speculating remember everything about this is new. And so it’s very difficult to make projections months in advance of something. But, you know, as a parent as of children who have it, who have in the past gone to camp. I know all the planning is occurring now. And so we’ll try to give some indication if we can, but it’s hard to do I must say is this far in advance.
* Do you think in the next two weeks, the next 10 days?
I’m not, certainly in the next two weeks we’ll be, you know, deciding what to do about the April 30, stay at home. The end of the stay at home order that’s currently in place, but I’m not sure that in the next 10 days or two weeks that we’ll be able to give an answer about summer camp.
* I’m sure you saw and heard the group of protesters circling the block down stairs honking and saying, lift the ban that’s going to be a sign of how rambunctious people are going to get the longer this drags on. [The protesters were actually demanding that Pritzker lift the ban on rent control ordinances.]…
The moratorium on rent control in the state is a state law. It can only be lifted by the state legislature in a vote by the state legislature. [He went on, but you get the gist.]
* Your counterpart in New York is now looking at having people wear masks. We’ve seen a couple of local municipalities, Mayor Lightfoot said she didn’t think today that that was needed. Are you giving any consideration to requiring people to wear masks in public and if so, where would that apply?…
I am. First of all I have given a lot of consideration and I have spoken about that here and indeed recommended to people that they wear masks when they’re out in public or them, especially when they go to anywhere where they’re going to be with you know any other group of people, you know, a grocery store pharmacy gas station or anywhere else, where they know they’re going to be with others.
So, and that doesn’t by the way that doesn’t mitigate the idea that you seem to maintain your social distance you know to having the mask on, is an additional protection. And let me be clear wearing a mask is protecting everybody else. So you’re doing everybody else, a favor or you know you’re doing the right thing for everybody else in your presence by wearing one.
So should we require it is really the question, you’re suggesting and I’ve had this conversation with one of the state reps on the other side of the aisle has been very collaborative and had good ideas. And I think it’s something that, when I look at the mitigation measures that we should be contemplating and making adjustments to, that is one that I think might be seriously important for us to consider in the period going forward.
…Adding… Rep. Mark Batinick (R-Plainfield) confirmed that the unnamed GOP legislator was himself. Batinick advocated for an executive order requiring masks in public in a post on this website yesterday.
* Asked about dairy farmers dumping milk…
I hope that the federal government is able to step in with either price supports or some kind of farm bill to support farmers in this endeavor.
And I would love to get some of those goods to support the, particularly the kids who are on free or reduced lunch who are would otherwise be in school, getting it but it can’t and so the school districts are distributing it. So I would say to any farmer that has the ability to deliver some of that for us I’ve talked to many of the food manufacturers across the country about donating and many of them have donated goods for us by the school districts in Illinois for low income families and so I would encourage them to contact us we’d be happy to put them in touch with school districts.
* Last night President Trump discussed at length the idea of state border checks. Has this been a part of your discussions with Midwest governors and how practical is it? How would it be conducted?…
No.
* What must the state do to ramp up broad contact tracing? Will this require hiring people? How will they be trained? How much will this cost? Is this underway?…
You can take a look at the articles that have been written about the Massachusetts collaborative, that’ll give you a sense of what this looks like. But yes, it involves hiring people that involves good old fashioned shoe leather. That is to say that people are not going to be knocking on doors, but they’ll be using an app, which will populate with someone’s spoken contacts it’s not this is not an Apple, Google app. This is one in which someone who has COVID-19 reveals who their contacts are to someone over the phone. And then that is all populated an app. And through that app, individuals who are part of the collaborative would have the ability to call the contacts that have been registered to let them know that this person has been diagnosed with COVID-19 and that they should self isolate.
* The upward curve of new cases has slowed, but it hasn’t yet gone down. What are the scientists telling you about finally putting the state on a downward trend?…
It’s an excellent question and we’re we’re looking at a variety of models you know we’re going to talk a little more about this in the next few days but you know the answer is that it’s, as you pointed out, it’s climbing it’s climbing at a lower rate than it had been before. And that’s a very good thing.
What the other side of the curve looks like I think looks very different than what the IHME curve looks like. If you have gone online to look at that curve, not just for Illinois but for all the rest, it seems like their curve sort of peaks and then precipitously drops.
And I personally, and others that I talked to, don’t think that’s how it’s gonna work. You’re working your way up to a peak unfortunately and then as you come to the other side it’s going to be a gradual downward slope, not an immediate drop. And so that is another reason why this testing, tracing treatment is so important and why we can’t do what I think President Trump has described which is sort of a massive opening of a variety of states.
* A leader of a local incident management team in Springfield has said the return to normal would probably be done by on a county by county process rather than statewide. What’s the veracity of that?…
We left in the hands of counties and cities, a lot of decisions. The decisions for example about their own city parks or county parks, whether to open those we’ve closed state parks. You heard that the mayor of Chicago close the lake front. There are a variety of places that have made other decisions about things that are not in the executive orders, but things that are in the executive orders are state law or, or I should say they’re mandated by executive order they’re not state law. And so they really can only be removed by the states.
* A local pastor recently complained that he’d been told he couldn’t have a drive through Easter service. He pointed out that marijuana dispensaries are still open, recreational pot isn’t legal in most states. With that in mind, why are recreational pot sales allowed? What do you say to the pastor and business owners who have been forced to close?…
I’m not sure how those are related, but I would say that the advice around drive up and pick up, and that’s what’s happening in dispensaries, has been that it’s very brief contact. And it’s somewhat socially distanced. And so the handoff of, you know, just as it is with a drive up and pick up food is relatively brief.
The problem with a religious service, and I am sympathetic with this because I too would like to worship in the way that we normally do, or even in a drive up circumstance, has been that that’s not a quick endeavor. And the result is that people end up parking very close to each other, opening their windows, sitting in pews very near to each other. And so it turns out that that is one way to spread COVID-19 and we want to avoid that.
* Sen. Shrimpf and others wrote a letter to you requesting a uniform policy that empowers local health departments to make decisions concerning business closures and openings in their respective counties. What is your response to that proposal?…
We will from the state Executive Order perspective, we’re looking at all of our state executive orders and thinking of the health and safety of everybody in the state, no matter where they live. And I of course understand the difference between living in a rural community and living in an urban community, and no I really do understand that, you know, that there are differences.
The problem is that a restaurant in a rural community has the same ability to spread COVID-19 as a restaurant in an urban community. So, it’s really you know it’s a challenge to identify the things that are that much different.
Having said that, we have tried to make adjustments. You’ve seen for example that essential businesses includes virtually everything that’s agriculture related, which is entirely almost entirely in rural communities. So we are thinking about how to make differences between urban and rural communities, recognize those differences and let as many people work as possible without endangering people’s lives
* Do you have any thoughts on the municipal requests to the Attorney General Raoul to issue an advisory opinion allowing local governments to delay the fulfillment of FOIA requests, until the stay at home order’s lifted?…
I don’t really have an opinion about that. We are working hard to try to fulfill FOIA requests, it is hard, I have to admit, with limited staff with our legal staff, you know, constantly working on. I mean I can’t tell you how hard those folks are working. And those are the folks who review all the FOIA requests and try to fulfill them so as I said a few weeks ago I hope that people will continue to have some patience with us about our delivery of FOIA responses to FOIA requests. But I don’t have an opinion about their request to the Attorney General.
* That was the last question, but then the governor had one more thing to say…
Can I just say one thing before I conclude? Standing behind me is General Rich Neely of our National Guard. You’ve seen him occasionally with me here.
And he’s with us today in part because the National Guard has done such a tremendous job of standing up and taking over in some cases for federal government drive thru facilities. But it is the National Guard that has done not only that, but also when we needed to put in additional capability at one of our prisons. It was the National Guard that came in with medical personnel, tents so that we could treat and separate people within the prison. And the National Guardsmen have just been outstanding. And you should be so proud. It’s the best National Guard in the entire nation, Illinois National Guard. We have the best Adjutant General in the entire nation, and I just, I want to recognize the amazing work that they do. Thank you.
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Dueling graduated income tax press releases
Wednesday, Apr 15, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller
* Posted in the order they were received. ILGOP…
Today, Governor Pritzker used his time during his daily Coronavirus briefing to publicly campaign and advocate for the progressive income tax ballot question in November. ILGOP Chairman Tim Schneider released the following statement in response:
“It seems Governor Pritzker has taken Rahm Emannuel’s “never let a crisis go to waste” adage to heart. With a global pandemic that has plunged the state’s economy to depths not seen since the Great Depression, this is the worst possible time to push through a tax hike that will crush small businesses who provide so many of our jobs. Pritzker using a Coronavirus briefing to campaign for the progressive income tax is inappropriate and unfortunate.”
* And Vote Yes for Fairness…
Vote Yes For Fairness Chairman Quentin Fulks released the following statement on the revised budget projections Governor Pritzker announced this afternoon, showing a $6.2 billion budget shortfall in FY2021, which would increase to $7.4 billion if the Fair Tax does not pass:
“While there is still so much uncertainty surrounding the Coronavirus and its impact on our state, Governor Pritzker’s announcement today makes clear that there are serious financial challenges that need to be addressed. That’s why passing the Fair Tax in November is needed now more than ever. Without the Fair Tax, the budget shortfall in fiscal year 2021 would be even greater, making it more difficult to get our state back on track.”
“Coronavirus has impacted nearly every facet of our state, but one thing that hasn’t changed is the need for a tax system that works for everyone, not just the wealthiest Illinoisans. Our current tax system is outdated and fundamentally unfair, burdening the middle and lower-income families who are suffering most from this crisis. The Fair Tax will set this right, while ensuring 97% of Illinoisans see no tax increase or receive a tax cut.
“Vote Yes For Fairness remains committed to fighting with our working families, our small businesses, and our communities across the state to pass the Fair Tax in November.”
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* From an open letter to Gov. JB Pritzker from Republican state Senators Paul Schimpf, Donald DeWitte, Jim Oberweis, Craig Wilcox, Jason Plummer, Chuck Weaver, Sue Rezin and Dan McConchie…
Illinois should start to ease back on some of the more aggressive social distancing measures as soon as the Illinois Hospital Association projects that ICU bed capacity is sufficient to respond to the projected levels of COVID-19 admissions. We are not advocating for an immediate return to normalcy — far from it. But where non-essential businesses or facilities can practice social distancing norms, they should be allowed to operate.
A subscriber read that and texted me this…
How do you advocate for a policy knowing it will put people in intensive care?
He wrote some other stuff, but I’ll just leave it at that.
…Adding… Just to be clear here, we’ve been going over this topic for days and days. But let’s just focus on stuff I’ve posted today.
1) The downward curve doesn’t look like the upward curve. Instead, it looks more like a plateau: The decline may not be as fast as the rise
2) Because of (1) we are still essentially at the peak. Forcing the curve downward could take more measures than we currently have in place, like a mask requirement, for instance: Slowing the upward curve is just not enough
3) Calling for even a partial reopening of the economy while new cases are still rising as fast or faster every day with no end in sight is simply irresponsible: SGOP plan is a bit on the ghoulish side
4) Here’s the graph that matters most….
Those new case numbers need to start going down and stay going down for a period of time before anything can and should be done about lifting the stay at home order.
…Adding… 5) Businesses may want to reopen, but, as we discussed yesterday, economies shut down because of the virus. People essentially voted with their feet: “The fundamental problem with the economy right now is the pandemic” not the stay at home orders
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1,346 new cases, 80 additional deaths
Wednesday, Apr 15, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller
* Press release…
The Illinois Department of Public Health (IDPH) today announced 1,346 new cases of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in Illinois, including 80 additional deaths.
Cook County: 1 female teens, 1 male 30s, 2 males 50s, 11 females 60s, 5 males 60s, 5 females 70s, 11 males 70s, 5 females 80s, 4 males 80s, 1 female 90s, 5 males 90s, 1 female 100+, 1 male 100+
DuPage County: 1 male 70s, 1 female 80s, 2 males 80s, 1 male 90s
Jackson County: 1 male 80s
Lake County: 1 male 70s, 1 female 80s, 1 male 80s, 1 male 100+
Macon County: 1 female 70s, 2 females 80s, 1 male 80s
McHenry County: 3 males 70s
Monroe County: 1 female 90s
Ogle County: 1 female 80s
Rock Island County: 1 male 50s
St. Clair County: 1 male 80s, 1 female 90s
Whiteside County: 1 male 70s
Will County: 1 female 50s, 1 male 50s, 1 male 60s, 1 female 70s
Union County is now reporting a case. Currently, IDPH is reporting a total of 24,593 cases, including 948 deaths, in 89 counties in Illinois. The age of cases ranges from younger than one to older than 100 years.
…Adding… Graph of new cases…
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Slowing the upward curve is just not enough
Wednesday, Apr 15, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller
* We talked yesterday about how the state’s new infection doubling rate had dropped. It’s basic math to figure out what could have happened if that doubling rate hadn’t been curtailed. Here’s Heather Cherone at her new WTTW gig…
By the time Gov. J.B. Pritzker ordered Chicagoans to stay home in an effort to stop the spread of the new coronavirus starting March 21, the number of confirmed cases was more than doubling every three days in Chicago, setting the city on a catastrophic course.
Had that pace of infections remained steady, 2,000 Chicagoans would have died and approximately 64,500 people would have been sickened by COVID-19, the illness caused by the virus, according to new data released by Mayor Lori Lightfoot.
Instead, the governor’s order and the mayor’s campaign to get Chicagoans to stay home through a series of humorous memes and videos mixed with stern warnings has saved at least 1,700 lives, according to newly released city data. […]
The number of cases of the virus is now doubling every 12 days [in Chicago], according to the data.
* But it wasn’t just the orders…
“In many places, many people started staying at home before the orders came out,” [Ali Mokdad at the University of Washington] told me. “Many companies moved to working from home,” he said, including Seattle giant Microsoft, which switched to work-from-home several weeks before formal stay-at-home orders were put in place in the city.
* And the future is unclear…
Most schemes to reopen the country rely on this: They require that case numbers fall for 14 days before the US starts loosening restrictions. The idea is that two weeks of falling cases is enough that it can’t just be a coincidence, and enough to lower the overall case count so regions can trace contacts and use more intensive monitoring approaches in a targeted way.
But even in the parts of the country that have now been living under extensive restrictions for several weeks, case numbers aren’t falling across the board — though in some areas (most crucially New York) they do seem to be. Other, more reliable measures like hospitalizations and deaths, aren’t falling either. That’s why the CMMID estimates the RO in the US at about 1 — each sick person is infecting about one more person. […]
In other words, social distancing is definitely working — but the question of whether it is working well enough remains to be seen, and the fact that numbers are plateauing rather than falling isn’t a great sign.
“It seems that the press has been eager to push the narrative of ‘we are near the peak!’ and ‘the end is in sight,’ but given the strong uncertainty about the future and lack of clear consensus among modelers, I think these messages are premature,” UMass infectious disease researcher Nicholas Reich argued.
This is exactly what we talked about earlier today. Reporters should take note.
* And Gov. Pritzker may well need to do something more like perhaps require masks in public to finally start pushing these new case numbers down. [Changed the link and deleted a graph.]
We’re not getting out of this mess until those new case numbers consistently fall for a period of time.
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COVID-19 roundup
Wednesday, Apr 15, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller
* Kane County Board Chairman Chris Lauzen…
“I cannot criticize other (levels of) government,” Lauzen said at the public health committee meeting. “If I criticize the state, it won’t be the governor who turns around and punishes us. It will be the staff members. I know the quality, or the lack of quality, of the people who make decisions about the resources that come here. They are little people. Terrible. Terrible. You won’t find me at any time criticizing the state.”
Except he just did.
* Hannah Meisel…
Despite Pritzker’s public goal-setting more than two weeks ago for Illinois to conduct 10,000 tests per day by the middle of last week, the state has not come close to reaching that goal in the days since.
The 4,848 new test results reported by IDPH on Tuesday is fewer than half of the 10,000-test benchmark Pritzker and Ezike say will help the state predict the virus’ trajectory and spread more accurately.
So far, 110,616 Illinoisans have been tested for Covid-19, but the state is consistently falling behind testing levels recorded in other states despite starting out as a leader in testing last month.
Pritzker last week said efforts that promised increased testing abilities, including the acquisition of five high-volume RNA extractors and Chicago-based Abbott Laboratories’ much-touted “rapid tests” each came with disappointing caveats.
Chart…
* Manny Ramos at the Sun-Times…
Two nursing home workers accused two Chicago-area facilities Tuesday afternoon for wrongfully firing or suspending them after they raised safety issues.
Greg Kelley, president of SEIU Healthcare Illinois, said these were just just an example of many instances during the COVID-19 pandemic where union members’ concerns were being disregarded by nursing home owners.
Kelley said workers at Bridgeview Health Care Center and Alden Lakeland brought their concerns to management but were “disrespected, insulted and have in fact been fired” for raising issues with their employers.
“These employers seem to care more about maintaining their profits than the safety of those who live and work in their facility,” Kelley said.
* Joe Mahr at the Tribune…
A prior Tribune investigation had found that the nursing home industry — particularly in Illinois — entered the pandemic with a poor track record at preventing the spread of infections. Patient advocates and workers have long complained the industry is built on a business model of overworking and underpaying its employees, such as certified nursing assistants, and that government penalties are insufficient to force change.
Health experts have also expressed fear that a pandemic could sweep through nursing homes, and clusters of COVID-19 cases have already emerged. One, at a Willowbrook home, had killed 10 residents and sickened 25 others, as well as 19 employees, as of Tuesday, health officials said. According to Lake County officials, 24 of 50 coronavirus deaths in that county involved nursing home residents, as of Tuesday morning. […]
In an email, the facility’s administrator, Martha Peck, declined to directly address Somerville’s allegations but said the home hasn’t disciplined or fired anyone regarding use of personal protective equipment or COVID-19 concerns. “Bridgeview is committed to the safety of our staff and residents,” she said.
She said the facility emphasizes to employees the “importance of a safe environment for all and the importance of using PPE to minimize risk.” When the home has temporarily run out of supplies, it has used substitutes approved by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Peck said.
…Adding… Sigh…
* On to selected headlines from the Tribune’s live blog…
Bleak IMF forecast: 2020 will be economy’s worst year since Great Depression. ‘This is a crisis like no other.’
Blackhawks convention — originally scheduled for July 26-28 at the Hilton Chicago — is canceled
Best Buy to furlough 51,000 store employees amid coronavirus sales slump
How to get a refund for coronavirus-canceled travel, from hotline help to ‘the nuclear option’
FDA approves first saliva test for coronavirus
Unprecedented’ number of people turning to GoFundMe as a last resort during pandemic. ‘It’s like you’re putting your heart out there’
Chicago police setting up checkpoints to remind people of stay-at-home order and provide a presence in areas of violence
Getting an economic stimulus check? Trump’s signature will be on it, a break in protocol
37 immigrant children in three Chicago-area shelters test positive for COVID-19
* Sun-Times live blog…
A CTA bus driver with COVID-19 has died, the transit agency announced Tuesday, becoming the second CTA employee to die of the coronavirus.
Two more employees at the Cook County Circuit Court clerk’s office have tested positive for COVID-19, bringing the overall total to 18.
WavePads Water Rafts in Plainfield pivots to manufacturing face shields
* Roundup…
* Peoria faces possible $50 million budget deficit because of coronavirus: The city’s budget was $218 million this year. Without any assistance and if the city’s closed until July 1, it would only take in about $163 million in revenue.
* The story behind Chicago’s deep stock of COVID-fighting equipment: Chicago spent years quietly amassing more than 3.9 million N95 masks and other protective gear before the pandemic hit, and has been busy sharing its stash around.
* Officials announce two more deaths at Fair Havens Senior Living Facility
* Republicans send Illinois Governor J.B. Pritzker this open letter about coronavirus
* With few powers during emergency, some Republican Illinois state lawmakers still want collaboration
* US farmers estimated to lose $20 billion in 2020 due to coronavirus crisis
* Meat prices impacted by plant closures due to coronavirus
* COVID-19 leaves livestock producers ‘in limbo’
* IDHS to close remaining local offices
* DuPage provides $85,000 to help pay for hotel rooms for the homeless
* UI dorms ready to receive health care workers if necessary
* College’s program prepares respiratory care therapists for pandemic
* What community colleges are doing with millions in federal COVID-19 relief funds
* Suburban forest preserves keep monitoring, will stay open ‘as long as people behave’
* Christian County reports fourth COVID-19 death
* Housing market is still moving, but it’s a tougher sell
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* US Department of Commerce…
Advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for March 2020, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $483.1 billion, a decrease of 8.7 percent (±0.4 percent) from the previous month, and 6.2 percent (±0.7 percent) below March 2019.
* The NY Times reports that this is by far the biggest decline in three decades of government record-keeping…
And that’s just March. April is likely gonna be worse.
* From Mark Robyn, senior officer for state fiscal health at The Pew Charitable Trusts…
The sharp drop in retail spending we saw this morning poses significant challenges for state budgets. General sales taxes raise nearly a third of all state tax revenues nationally, and are the largest tax revenue source in 15 of the 45 states that collect them. They are particularly crucial for six states where they accounted for more than half of all tax collections (as of fiscal 2018): Florida, Nevada, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, and Washington.
Furthermore, this morning’s retail sales data illustrates how different this economic downturn is from past recessions. Historically, sales taxes have provided a relatively stable source of tax revenue for states, helping to smooth out the ups and downs from taxing more volatile economic activity such as capital gains, corporate income, or oil extraction. For the last two decades, they have been a more stable source of revenue than personal or corporate income, severance, and property taxes in all but four states where they are levied. Today’s drop in retail spending illustrates one more way the pandemic poses a new challenge for state leaders attempting to stabilize their budgets.
About 34 percent of the money collected by the Illinois Department of Revenue comes from sales taxes.
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About those Tillman op-eds
Wednesday, Apr 15, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller
* John Tillman writing in the Chicago Tribune…
In July 2007, I took the reins at the Illinois Policy Institute. A year later, Lehman Brothers folded and a slowing economy turned into the Great Recession. We raised no material revenue until late January 2009. To survive, I cut every dollar of spending I could. I went without pay. I reached into my savings account and covered payroll, week after week and month after month.
* A Golden Horseshoe winner points out that Tillman did receive a significant salary in 2008 and 2009…
* I asked Tillman for a response…
People grasp for ridiculous things sometimes. I made my regular pay up until Sept. 15 that year. We had raised about $640,000 as of that date. We raised about $5,000 the rest of the year. Sometime that fall I began skipping paychecks for an extended period of time. I would skip paychecks and then other times I wouldn’t; it was a close thing week by week to make payroll.
As the 990s show, I loaned $23,000 to the organization as well. In addition, I fronted over $38,000 in expenses on my personal credit cards that I was eventually repaid in 2009. I also put in other money and never asked for it back. I lived it. What I remember most is wondering if we were going to make it, and we almost didn’t. This is what millions of people are going through right now and it breaks my heart thinking about the pressure they are under. Questioning what I went through in 2008, when so many people are going through the same thing I experienced, is incredibly petty and misses the entire point of my article.
* Back to the op-ed…
In the long term, fostering a strong economic recovery means eliminating avoidable uncertainty, particularly as it relates to tax burdens. That means abandoning plans to place a progressive tax hike on recovering businesses and canceling scheduled gas tax increases. It also means pausing all new capital spending and re-prioritizing projects from last year’s $45 billion capital bill, given now-lower revenue expectations.
* I asked Operating Engineers Local 150 for a response to Tillman’s call to pause all new capital spending…
People who are familiar with research on state economic development policy know that the most effective stimulus tool available to state governments is infrastructure investment. So if you want to foster an economic recovery, literally the last thing in the world you would do you would do is pause capital projects.
* Tillman also penned an op-ed for the Sun-Times…
My organization, the Illinois Policy Institute, is the strongest taxpayer advocate network in Illinois. I am proud that we have been able to use our megaphone to make sure the people of Illinois are seen and heard by state and local lawmakers, and we’ve fostered conversations within our community as to what should happen next.
Those conversations are open-minded and productive. The same is not true in Springfield, where so far the only specifics residents have heard in the way of economic problem-solving is pointing the finger at the federal government. In a crisis, strong leaders prove themselves by stepping up and taking action. My organization has commended Pritzker on his efforts to contain the spread of the virus when it was warranted — we understand that public health and people’s lives must always come first.
But we hear almost every day from people struggling to make ends meet, with no money coming in this month or last, and no idea when they’ll be able to work again. So we decided to open up a conversation, asking people what they think and what they’d like their leaders to do.
Instead of offering help to the Illinoisans we highlighted, a spokesperson for the governor proceeded to attack us for providing them a forum.
The spokesperson didn’t attack IPI for providing anyone a forum. The spokesperson went off on them for telling business owners that they wanted to use the stories to pressure the governor to reopen the economy.
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Today’s heroes: Advocate’s hospital workers
Wednesday, Apr 15, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller
* Lizzie Schiffman Tufano at the Sun-Times…
Advocate Aurora Health discharged its 1,000th COVID-19 patient this week, a landmark that health care workers at the hospital system are celebrating by spotlighting the many individual victories behind that figure.
At Advocate Illinois Masonic Medical Center in Lake View, Carmen Benabe, 86, was released to quarantine at home four days after being admitted to the emergency room with a COVID-19 diagnosis, according to a release from the hospital system. Benabe’s daughter, Dalia Colon, said the family is thankful in a statement, and that her mom is looking forward to enjoying home-cooked Puerto Rican meals again soon.
At Advocate Trinity Hospital on the South Side, Paul Richards, 69, a retired Chicago firefighter and a Vietnam veteran, headed home amid a standing ovation, passing handmade posters that read “#GOINGHOME” after he spent two weeks on a ventilator for COVID-19 symptoms.
“It was like being in Vietnam,” Richards said in a release from the hospital. “Everyone responded with no hesitation. Everyone stepped up to do what they had to do and put their lives on the line to care for me.”
* Caption: Hospital workers at Advocate Illinois Masonic Medical Center in Chicago, Illinois cheer for Carmen Benabe, 86, as she’s released after four days of treatment for COVID-19…
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* I asked a spokesperson for the Illinois Retail Merchants Association why they believe the Illinois Workers’ Compensation Commission’s emergency rules this week violate state law. The new rules, you will recall, decree that it will be presumed that certain workers contracted COVID-19 on the job, allowing them to start receiving workers’ comp payments. That presumption can be challenged by employers, but it puts the onus on business. Employer groups were furious this week after the IWCC issued its rules. Here’s the response…
The business community believes the IWCC’s “emergency rule” violates state statute since an agency cannot make substantive policy changes in the rulemaking process. Rules are adopted to help implement laws passed by the General Assembly and signed by the Governor. While we are in an emergency situation, the scope of the ruling is outside what the statute allows them to do. That can only be done by the legislature.
Two points to consider here:
The firefighters have been pushing HB 2480 (or similar legislation) for years, which would add MRSA (Methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus) to the list of ailments giving rise to a rebuttable presumption rule (i.e. employers must prove employees didn’t get it on the job.) Why are they pushing this legislatively; because under law they cannot simply have the IWCC change the law through rulemaking. This is exactly what happened yesterday though – ironically with the firefighters in attendance.
It’s important to note that courts have ruled on this issue repeatedly. In 2009, Governor Rod Blagojevich was sued by Ron Gidwitz and Greg Baise over the expansion of Kid Care. Blagojevich lost at every level and the case was finally settled in 2009 when Pat Quinn became Governor. That case cost Illinois nearly $2 million in legal fees. Keep in mind that Illinois statute (5 ILCS 100/10-55) provides that Illinois must pay the legal fees and reasonable expenses when an administrative rule is invalidated by a court for any reason, but not limited to the agency’s exceeding its statutory authority or the agency’s failure to follow statutory procedures in the adoption of the rule.
I reached out to the governor’s office late yesterday and haven’t yet heard back. I’ll let you know.
* Meanwhile, here’s Hannah Meisel’s story today on another topic…
New summons for wage garnishment and deductions, as well as citations to discover assets for debt collection, will be temporarily suspended for the duration of Illinois’ disaster proclamation prompted by the coronavirus just as Americans are set to begin receiving federal stimulus checks, per a new executive order signed by Gov. JB Pritzker Tuesday.
In the order, which was not publicized by Pritzker’s office, the governor described the measure as having been drafted “to ensure that residents have funds for essential items such as food, medicine, housing, and transportation.”
“Involuntary debt collection causes debtors to travel, including to courthouses and financial institutions, to seek relief from debt collection activity and, as a result, undermines critical efforts to maximize social distancing and prevent the spread of COVID-19,” the order said.
The Illinois Department of Financial and Professional Regulation announced the “protections” for stimulus money on Tuesday afternoon, though the agency did not mention the underlying executive order issued the same day.
The EO is here.
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West Side United Supports Illinois Kidney Care Alliance
Wednesday, Apr 15, 2020 - Posted by Advertising Department
[The following is a paid advertisement.]
In Illinois, more than 30,000 people suffer from kidney disease. To highlight their needs, organizations from across the state formed the Illinois Kidney Care Alliance (IKCA). This coalition – made up of health advocates and professionals, community and patient groups, health providers and businesses – is focused on raising awareness about those who suffer from kidney disease, who are among our society’s most vulnerable.
IKCA is proud to announce West Side United (WSU) as a new member of the coalition. WSU is a nonprofit that works with local residents to improve neighborhood health by addressing inequality in healthcare, education, economic vitality and the physical environment. By partnering with healthcare providers, education providers, the faith community, business, and government, WSU helps coordinate local investments and improve the quality of life for those on Chicago’s West Side.
IKCA’s goal is to protect these vulnerable populations, including those on life-sustaining dialysis and those waiting for a kidney transplant.
For more information, follow us on Twitter, like us on Facebook, and visit our website.
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Who Should Control The Remap Process?
Wednesday, Apr 15, 2020 - Posted by Advertising Department
[The following is a paid advertisement.]
In Illinois, the five people who have the ultimate say in shaping our state legislative districts include House Speaker Michael Madigan, Senate President Don Harmon, House Minority Leader Jim Durkin, Senate Minority Leader Bill Brady, and Governor J.B. Pritzker. If state lawmakers don’t follow the lead of other states and pass the Fair Maps Amendment, our representation will be determined by career politicians and attorneys.
Or, we could follow a path that would lead to a more diverse group representing the people of Illinois. If we follow California’s lead and establish an independent commission, we could have our next remap led by people who have spent their lives educating high schoolers, running small businesses and doing community foundation work and urban planning. That was the result of California’s first independent, citizen-led commission. Which group would you trust to represent your community’s interests?
State lawmakers must take votes on HJRCA41/SJRCA18, the Fair Maps Amendment, by May 3rd or we will be left with the status quo.
Learn more about the effort to end gerrymandering in Illinois by visiting: https://www.changeil.org/policy-priorities/redistricting-reform/
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* Frank Main with the scoop…
Gov. J.B. Pritzker is planning to obtain millions of masks and gloves from China and bring those supplies back to Illinois on charter jets — but he’s keeping the details secret out of fear the Trump administration might seize the cargo for the federal stockpile, sources said Tuesday.
Illinois Comptroller Susana Mendoza announced Tuesday that the state has spent more than $174 million on purchases related to COVID-19, including supplies such as ventilators, masks, gloves, gowns, protective eyewear and hand sanitizer.
But one of the items on the list of expenditures was unusual: two invoices, each for $888,275, to FedEx Trade Networks Transport for “aircraft charter flight to Shanghai, China for COVID-19 response. … Prepayment required.”
Jordan Abudayyeh, the press secretary for Pritzker, wouldn’t provide details about the flights, including when they will happen, how many there will be and what the routes are.
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Posted by Barton Lorimor
* Full economic recovery from a COVID-19 recession is not expected until the first quarter of 2023, say analysts for a major electric grid operator in 15 states and parts of Canada.
In an open meeting of its Planning Committee yesterday, PJM Interconnection repeated Moody’s Analytics’ belief the 2020 recession would cut the country’s GDP by 2.3 percent this year. The projections are important information for utilities as they try to grapple with a sudden departure from economic forecasts set earlier this year before COVID-19 contingency plans were thought to be required. It also comes at a time when electric load data is filling a void left by many traditional indicators many economists believe are faltering because of the sudden shift.
Andrew Gledhill, who presented the findings on behalf of PJM, said the recovery timeline is based on the presumption a vaccine is available by mid-2021, which may or may not happen, of course.
* PJM analysts say electric peaks have missed their projections by as much as 10 percent in some instances throughout the organization’s territory, which includes metropolitan Chicago. The most dramatic departures are on weekdays when residential and commercial loads resemble what is normally observed during a recession, Gledhill said.
A copy of the presentation is available here.
From the presentation materials…
On weekdays last week, peak came in on average 8-9% lower (~7,500 MW) than what we would have anticipated. The largest impacts thus far were around 10-11% on March 26th and 27th(~9,500 MW)
The drop off is observable on March 16. For context, that was the Monday before Gov. JB Pritzker and his counterparts in other states began issuing stay-in-place orders. Slowdowns are even more evident the following week…
This is preliminary data, so it is possible factors such as weather or solar energy could be altering the figures a bit. Gledhill said weather in March was “pretty atypical.”
* Our own analysis of PJM’s preliminary data for northern Illinois shows usage also appears to be slipping compared to loads in 2019, and at the same time highlighted by Gledhill…
Again, this is the preliminary data, which does not factor in the weather. That said, it would take a pretty significant weather event to make up for some of these readings.
* Some of what Gledhill said about PJM’s system-wide data struck a chord because they were trends we also noticed earlier this week while analyzing daily load data from MISO, which operates the grid used by Ameren Illinois customers. For instance, the March 23 dropoff is noticeable here, too…
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Wednesday, Apr 15, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller
* Baseball without fans. I dunno…
* Also…
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