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*** UPDATED x1 *** By the numbers

Thursday, May 14, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* According to Worldometers, Illinois ranks 9th in the nation on number of cases reported per million population, at 6,684. The national average is 4,349.

Illinois ranks 11th in deaths per million population, at 299. National average is 259. New York (1,403), New Jersey (1,095), Massachusetts (771), Louisiana (520), Michigan (472), Pennsylvania (337) and Maryland (309) are among the states with more deaths per million.

Illinois ranks 13th in tests performed per million, at 40,093. National average is 31,363. New York (64,713) and Massachusetts (59,490) are way ahead of us. The others are small states.

* According to IDPH, the positivity rate in region 1 (Chicagoland area) is 20.7 percent. It’s 7.7 percent in the North-Central Region, 5.8 percent in the Central Region and 8.1 percent in the Southern Region.

Also according to IDPH, 50 percent of confirmed cases are women, 47.7 percent are men and 2.3 percent were either unknown or the form was left blank.

55.8 percent of deaths were men, 43.9 percent were women and 0.26 percent were unknown or the form was left blank.

The racial demographics on confirmed cases are almost worthless because 27 percent were unknown or the form was left blank. Deaths are a different story. Just 2.8 percent were left blank. Whites make up 42.5 percent of all deaths, African-Americans are 32.1 percent, Hispanics are 17 percent, Asian-Americans are 4.5 percent.

*** UPDATE *** I meant to update this post and forgot. IDPH has updated its metrics scoreboard since I published earlier today. Today’s positivity rate in region 1 (Chicagoland area) is 19.9 percent. It’s 8 percent in the North-Central Region, 5.7 percent in the Central Region and 7.9 percent in the Southern Region. And so

For the first time on Thursday, each of the four regions in Gov. JB Pritzker’s reopening plan were on pace to meet the metrics required to move into the next phase of opening the state’s economy.

The Northeast region, which encompasses Chicago and the collar counties, where the largest number of COVID-19 cases have been reported, for several days had a higher percentage of positive coroanvirus tests than allowed for reopening. On Thursday, the positive test rate dipped to 19.9%, just enough to put it below the 20% threshold. That rate has fallen more than 3.2 percentage points in the region in the past 14 days, according to the state.

The earliest a region can move into Phase 3 is May 29 because one of the other metrics requires 28 days from May 1 with no overall increase in hospital admissions.

“Every region is poised, if it maintains the metrics that it’s at now, to move into Phase 3 in a few short days,” Pritzker said from his Chicago home Thursday during his daily news briefing. “Literally we’re talking about 14 days.”

       

16 Comments
  1. - Mama - Thursday, May 14, 20 @ 12:54 pm:

    “Whites make up 42.5 percent of all deaths, African-Americans are 32.1 percent, Hispanics are 17 percent, Asian-Americans are 4.5 percent. ”

    I am surprised. I thought there were a lot more positive COVID-19 cases for colored people.


  2. - @misterjayem - Thursday, May 14, 20 @ 12:56 pm:

    “colored people”

    I do understand why people get this wrong, but it’s “people of color”

    – MrJM


  3. - M - Thursday, May 14, 20 @ 12:59 pm:

    According to these numbers, it appears our governor is doing the right thing to protect the people of Illinois.

    The million dollar question is: How can the governor do the right thing to keep people from dying from COVID-19, and help the unemployed get back to work?


  4. - Mama - Thursday, May 14, 20 @ 1:01 pm:

    - @misterjayem - Thursday, May 14, 20 @ 12:56 pm:

    I apologize for not using the correct wording.


  5. - Anyone Remember - Thursday, May 14, 20 @ 1:13 pm:

    So, Illinois’ region with the second highest positivity rate comes from those most resistant to Stay At Home … interesting.


  6. - SOIL M - Thursday, May 14, 20 @ 1:24 pm:

    South Dakota ranks 39th in Deaths per Million pop.


  7. - OpentoDiscussion - Thursday, May 14, 20 @ 1:33 pm:

    Great data source. Hope everyone takes a look at it and see the tremendous differences from state to state.

    In addition infection2020.com which also breaks it down by county


  8. - DownSouth - Thursday, May 14, 20 @ 1:37 pm:

    I had several hispanic workers tell me that they were told by their employer if they got tested their info would be provided to ICE, they might be deported, etc. It would be better for them to just self isolate for 14 days and not test. I am fearful this was not an isolated incident, and may well have impacted the willingness of those testing to complete the race/ethnicity portion.


  9. - Excitable Boy - Thursday, May 14, 20 @ 1:41 pm:

    Mama - Only 14.6% of Illinois’s population is black, yet they account for 32.1% of total deaths. They get a disproportionate share of misery.


  10. - Jibba - Thursday, May 14, 20 @ 1:41 pm:

    ===I thought there were a lot more positive COVID-19 cases for colored people.===

    African Americans make up only 14% of Illinoisans but 32% of deaths. That is what people have been talking about. Hispanics are also overrepresented in deaths. Whites make up only 43% of deaths but 71% of the population, so they are underrepresented in deaths.


  11. - Dance Band on the Titanic - Thursday, May 14, 20 @ 1:55 pm:

    Jibba

    That is why you see very few African-Americans and Latinos out protesting to reopen.


  12. - OpentoDiscussion - Thursday, May 14, 20 @ 2:07 pm:

    @DownSouth

    If you comments have any validity those employers should be reported for hiring illegal immigrants and receive heavy fines and some jail time.

    This is wrong!


  13. - Bruce (no not him) - Thursday, May 14, 20 @ 2:34 pm:

    Illinois has 6,684 cases per million
    The surrounding states who have not had as strict rules:
    Iowa has 4334 cases per million
    Missouri has 1687 per million
    Indiana has 3870 per million
    Wisconsin has 1936 cases per million
    Are we sure we are doing it right?


  14. - GregN - Thursday, May 14, 20 @ 2:42 pm:

    Bruce(nnh):
    Pretty sure IL is testing more than others.


  15. - Decaturland - Thursday, May 14, 20 @ 2:52 pm:

    Deaths per million:

    Iowa 101
    Mo 89
    WI 72
    KN 73
    IN 244
    IL 299


  16. - cermak_rd - Thursday, May 14, 20 @ 3:12 pm:

    Bruce (no not him),

    I’m going to guess that 1. Illinois had more people who initially introduced the virus into the IL population pool. Chicago and its vicinity is a global city with headquarters of businesses and lots of travel for that reason. It is also a communications and transportation hub. In addition, this virus appears to prefer density for spreading and Chicago and its near surroundings are much more dense than anything those states have to offer.


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


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