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To be clear, those Foxx numbers were from a poll of Lipinski’s district

Monday, Sep 21, 2020

* At first or even second or possibly third glance, you might think that these Foxx/O’Brien poll results are countywide

A new Ogden & Fry poll commissioned by the Cook County Republican Party shows Joe Biden clobbering Donald Trump but has Republican Pat O’Brien edging Kim Foxx in the Cook County State’s Attorney Race and Marie Newman in a tight race in the 3rd Congressional District.

Asked if the election were held today, O’Brien received 57.9 percent to Foxx’s 30.7 percent (“other candidate” or undecided garnered 11.4 percent).

But if you believed that this was a countywide poll, you would be wrong. Here’s the polling memo’s headline

IL Congressional District 3

The last census showed that CD3’s voting age population was only 4.54 percent Black. Now, to be clear, getting clobbered by 18 points in Lipinski’s district is definitely not a good thing for Foxx, but the district is not representative of the county as a whole.

* And this is an email I received from the Cook County GOP last week…

Cook County Republican Party Chairman Sean M. Morrison commissioned the polling firm Ogden & Fry to conduct a county-wide poll on the race for Cook County State’s Attorney featuring embattled Democrat incumbent Kim Foxx versus GOP challenger Judge Pat O’Brien.

The results of the Ogden & Fry poll shows Judge O’Brien has significantly closed the gap over the last 8 weeks with Foxx’s numbers falling below 50%.

    48.1% — Kim Foxx
    33.8% — Pat O’Brien
    18.1% — Undecided

The Ogden & Fry poll spoke with 447 Likely Voters with the margin of error for the poll is +/- 3.77% at the 95% confidence interval. The poll was conducted on September 5, 2020.

Also, it’s Ruth Bader Ginsburg, not Ginsberg.

- Posted by Rich Miller        

14 Comments
  1. - Frank talks - Monday, Sep 21, 20 @ 9:58 am:

    Ugh another, trying to be first and quick rather than thorough and correct.


  2. - Highland Il - Monday, Sep 21, 20 @ 10:11 am:

    Someone tell the crew at Illinois Review. They were slightly excited about the poll last week.


  3. - Da Big Bad Wolf - Monday, Sep 21, 20 @ 10:13 am:

    A vote for O’Brien is a vote against Brian Dennehy.


  4. - Blue Dogs are Blind, Deaf, and Dumb - Monday, Sep 21, 20 @ 10:16 am:

    Marie Newman will crush her general election opponent.


  5. - Amalia - Monday, Sep 21, 20 @ 10:31 am:

    watched the Sun Times session on State’s Attorney. surprised that O’Brien was a weak speaker. kinda snide mouselike and clearly reading lots of his answers. also surprised that Foxx seems to have toned down her ego and made herself more relatable. she gave strong answers even when I disagreed with the answer.


  6. - City Zen - Monday, Sep 21, 20 @ 11:17 am:

    Foxx is going to win, but it will be interesting to see how many Biden voters crossover to O’Brien.


  7. - Trapped in the ‘burbs - Monday, Sep 21, 20 @ 11:27 am:

    Preckwinkle didn’t do Foxx any favors by going after Judge Toomin. Foxx has a lot of negatives and Preckwinkle just added to them. Maybe, people who don’t like Preckwinkle will take it out on Foxx.


  8. - Disgruntled IL Democrat - Monday, Sep 21, 20 @ 11:51 am:

    I’m sure Newman will win fairly comfortably but found it interesting to see on social media that she’s knocking on doors. Not something most Democrats are doing in the pandemic. I think she either thinks the race is closer than she wants or just loves the attention she gets campaigning in person. The latter is consistent with everything I’ve seen and observed from her.


  9. - Roman - Monday, Sep 21, 20 @ 12:01 pm:

    The state’s attorney’s race is a big missed opportunity for the Illinois GOP. The party of Thompson-Edgar-Ryan would have seen the opportunity for a pick up here. They would have recruited a female ex-prosecutor from a big downtown firm who could raise money and draw support from suburban swing voters and female voters in the city who are alarmed by this summer’s spike in crime. Instead, their nominee is an old school Irish guy who is playing to the FOP. A Republican can’t win in Cook without a huge number of Dem crossover votes and I don’t see O’Brien pulling that off. Maybe no one can pull it off anymore, but a functioning Illinois Republican Party would have been all over this. The CCSAO used to be a primary focus. Now they just preach to the choir on twitter and in John Kass’ column.


  10. - Miso - Monday, Sep 21, 20 @ 12:05 pm:

    A vote for O’Brien is a vote against Brian Dennehy.

    Ok, I’ll bite. What?


  11. - Amalia - Monday, Sep 21, 20 @ 12:08 pm:

    @Miso, the third candidate is named Brian Dennehy.


  12. - Paddyrollingstone - Monday, Sep 21, 20 @ 12:28 pm:

    Roman - there was a time when the GOP could find and nominate a credible CCSAO candidate. Indeed, the GOP won in 1972, 1976, 1990 and 1992 by doing this. Those days are long, long gone. I am about as loyal a Democrat as you can find and I will not be voting for Kim Foxx but I don’t think there are as many people like me out there as 28 years ago.


  13. - Miso - Monday, Sep 21, 20 @ 12:32 pm:

    Thank you Amalia. I had visions of First Blood Dennehy.


  14. - Unconventionalwisdom - Monday, Sep 21, 20 @ 2:36 pm:

    - City Zen - Monday, Sep 21, 20 @ 11:17 am:

    “Foxx is going to win, but it will be interesting to see how many Biden voters crossover to O’Brien.”

    That sums it up for me!


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