* Click here for lots more Chicago-only poll results…
* Methodology…
The WGN-TV/Emerson College Chicago poll was conducted May 31-June 1, 2021. The sample consisted of Chicago registered voters, n=1000, with a Credibility Interval (CI) similar to a poll’s margin of error (MOE) of +/- 3 percentage points. The data sets were weighted by gender, age, education, region, and race based on the voting-age population in Chicago (Census Reporter). It is important to remember that subsets based on gender, age, ethnicity, and region carry with them higher margins of error, as the sample size is reduced. Data was collected using an Interactive Voice Response (IVR) system of landlines, a cell phone sample of SMS-to-web and an online panel.
- allknowingmasterofraccoodom - Wednesday, Jun 2, 21 @ 4:27 pm:
Joe Biden is the luckiest politician in the history of politicians.
- Candy Dogood - Wednesday, Jun 2, 21 @ 4:27 pm:
Imagine how this would look if Lori Lightfoot would just get out of her own way.
- Montrose - Wednesday, Jun 2, 21 @ 4:33 pm:
Being under 50% wouldn’t look that bad for Lightfoot if it weren’t for JB and Biden’s numbers. It is almost as though people prefer their governing styles over Lightfoot’s vigorous defense of democracy.
- Oswego Willy - Wednesday, Jun 2, 21 @ 4:33 pm:
Whew.
Those numbers. Wow.
Think on Lightfoot, with all the comments about “crime” and the seemingly ugly things happening in Chicago, she’s above water.
It should be noted that a winning Republican gubernatorial candidate needs ~20% from the city, and Pritzker is at 24% disapproval.
Biden seems in good stead in Chicago, ahead of them both.., so…
- Oswego Willy - Wednesday, Jun 2, 21 @ 4:34 pm:
===Joe Biden is the luckiest politician in the history of politicians.===
This makes no sense.
Do you know his career at all?
- Wensicia - Wednesday, Jun 2, 21 @ 4:38 pm:
Well, anger and attacks on other politicians and the press didn’t produce poll numbers over 50% for a certain ex-president either.
- Oswego Willy - Wednesday, Jun 2, 21 @ 4:39 pm:
===It should be noted that a winning Republican gubernatorial candidate needs ~20% from the city, and Pritzker is at 24% disapproval.===
Bailey-Trumpkin types won’t get that 20% in the city. Nope.
- allknowingmasterofraccoodom - Wednesday, Jun 2, 21 @ 4:39 pm:
OW - Do you know his career at all?
Yes, that is why I believe he is so fortunate. Picked by Pres Obama, then follows trump.
If that ain’t political luck, then I don’t know what is.
- Grandson of Man - Wednesday, Jun 2, 21 @ 4:43 pm:
Biden is a great communicator, much better than I imagined. The dude is always doing televised speeches, or the TV media are just covering more of them. He seems to be dominating the narrative by constantly messaging on his plans and stimulus accomplishment. But it’s still early, and he has the monumental challenge of delivering on voting rights and infrastructure.
- DuPage Dem - Wednesday, Jun 2, 21 @ 4:44 pm:
Lori’s numbers. Whew. Not sure what to say. Other than the scorched earth rhetoric is a mess.
I’d be pretty happy with those numbers if I was JB. Also, a genuine polite note of different interpretation, Oswego, but disapproval numbers don’t translate into votes for the other guy. If someone asked me if I approve or disapprove of my own state Senator I’d say I disapprove over certain policy conflicts. But I’d vote for them over the Republican. These are good numbers for the gov. And atrocious numbers for the mayor.
- NIU Grad - Wednesday, Jun 2, 21 @ 4:46 pm:
For many Chicago voters, all they know about Lori’s combativeness is the perception that she’s “taking on” the machine and the politicians who are passing all of the things they don’t like (as if she isn’t playing a role at all). Her “outsider status” has kept all of the city scandals from sticking to her and these polls show that voters don’t really know about the long list of bungled political maneuvers and failed promises. These polls, coupled with the odds that opponents (including the unpopular CTU) will overplay their hand, make reelection a possibility.
- Pot calling kettle - Wednesday, Jun 2, 21 @ 4:47 pm:
==OW - Do you know his career at all?==
OW does, your knowledge seems to be pretty superficial. Biden has been working toward this for almost 50 years.
- Oswego Willy - Wednesday, Jun 2, 21 @ 4:48 pm:
=== Picked by Pres Obama, then follows trump.===
Until South Carolina’s primary, that campaign was DOA.
You keep with these drivebys, you seem to grasp things.
Winning South Carolina was not luck either.
- Oswego Willy - Wednesday, Jun 2, 21 @ 4:50 pm:
=== Also, a genuine polite note of different interpretation, Oswego, but disapproval numbers don’t translate into votes for the other guy.===
Hmm.
Asked and answered.
===Bailey-Trumpkin types won’t get that 20% in the city. Nope.===
- Oswego Willy - Wednesday, Jun 2, 21 @ 4:51 pm:
=== Biden has been working toward this for almost 50 years.===
This. Yep.
And the “third time” was the charm?
- 17% Solution - Wednesday, Jun 2, 21 @ 4:54 pm:
Biden lost his first wife and his daughter in a car accident then later lost his son to brain cancer. You have a funny concept of luck.
- Emanuel Collective - Wednesday, Jun 2, 21 @ 4:56 pm:
These numbers aren’t great for Lori to begin with, but digging deeper they’re even worse. She’s underwater with everyone except 18-34 year olds, and 18-34 year olds look like they’re oversampled in this poll at 35.4%; the 2023 electorate is going to be much less than that. Also, the only area she gets good marks in is handling the COVID crisis, which isn’t going to be an issue at all in 2023.
- DuPage Saint - Wednesday, Jun 2, 21 @ 5:00 pm:
Lightfoot is way to much of a prosecutor. I thought she would do better. I doubt she will carry all the wards again
And meaning absolutely no disrespect President Obama was the luckiest politician ever I mean Allen Keyes?
- ;) - Wednesday, Jun 2, 21 @ 5:08 pm:
we are doomed.
- Just Me 2 - Wednesday, Jun 2, 21 @ 5:16 pm:
If you look at Lightfoot’s leaked e-mails they actually aren’t that bad….her problem is inability to communicate and just assume because she is Mayor she should get her way. This is a common problems with Executives who have no legislative experience.
- allknowingmasterofraccoodom - Wednesday, Jun 2, 21 @ 5:23 pm:
==- DuPage Saint - Wednesday, Jun 2, 21 @ 5:00 pm:
Lightfoot is way to much of a prosecutor. I thought she would do better. I doubt she will carry all the wards again
And meaning absolutely no disrespect President Obama was the luckiest politician ever I mean Allen Keyes?==
Disagree. President Obama is THAT good. Keyes had nothing to do with it in my opinion.
- Three Dimensional Checkers - Wednesday, Jun 2, 21 @ 5:37 pm:
===Also, the only area she gets good marks in is handling the COVID crisis, which isn’t going to be an issue at all in 2023.===
Yeah, everyone is just going to forgot about COVID.
- 1st Ward - Wednesday, Jun 2, 21 @ 5:43 pm:
I’m interested in the crosstabs for Gov. The link mostly focused on the Mayor. City of Chicago voters with 24% disapproval numbers on Pritzker. Rauner only got 24% in all of Cook County. The shocker is not just the number one issue of crime at 38% but the fact that “Crime” is 3x higher than “police reform” at 12% AND CPD has 60% favorability numbers AND CPD is not below water with any race is stunning. Need a Non-MAGA candidate to actually have a chance to pull 24% in the City though. There’s an opening for ILGOP but today they have no plan, no infrastructure, no platform, no candidate to appeal to this swath of Chicago voters. What a missed opportunity. Is Kinzinger watching and interested?
- Oswego Willy - Wednesday, Jun 2, 21 @ 5:46 pm:
Things I already know;
Can’t beat someone with no one, and someone is above water in polling.
One can be grossly incompetent in their elected office and be popular enough to win re-election.
This is the Lightfoot wheelhouse. Now, and seemingly from the day she took office.
- 47th Ward - Wednesday, Jun 2, 21 @ 5:48 pm:
Biden’s wife and child were killed in a car accident and he lost his son Beau to cancer. How lucky can one guy get, right?
The mayor is in the unfortunate political position of representing the moderate Democrats and the Republicans but whose base is naturally among the progressives, who have not stopped campaigning against her since she’s been sworn in.
That my friends will get you poll numbers like these.
- Oswego Willy - Wednesday, Jun 2, 21 @ 5:49 pm:
=== Need a Non-MAGA candidate to actually have a chance to pull 24% in the City though. There’s an opening for ILGOP===
This is an “inside straight” kinda thinking, given this candidate must get through a primary first.
With respect.
Possible? Sure. But…
- James - Wednesday, Jun 2, 21 @ 6:10 pm:
Mayor Lightfoot, today: “We’re gonna keep our fight where it should be: making sure that…parents have a seat at the table. [T]here has to be accountability for ignoring the people,” she said.
[T]he mayor argued the Senate version would virtually exclude parents from competing in school board seats because there are “no controls around how much money gets spent” on those races.
Responses: 1) Parents can run. They can form committees and fund raise. These are going to be small districts.
2)If you really want parents to have a seat at the table, why don’t you appoint one, just one parent of a CPS student, to today’s Board? You’ve never appointed a single one. Didn’t accountability start when you took office? How much longer must Chicago parents wait before they have a seat at Mayor Lightfoot’s appointed school board?
- Blue Dog - Wednesday, Jun 2, 21 @ 6:57 pm:
Personally, I always ask myself, was I better off under this person or that person. Trump v. Biden. . About the same. Economy was roaring, and I it looks good again. Rauner v. Pritzker. About the same. Probably give edge to Rauner. Slightly. Trailer plates $18. Now $118($36). Gas 20 c. Less per gallon.
- Thomas Paine - Wednesday, Jun 2, 21 @ 8:36 pm:
A year ago, Lightfoot’s job approval was at 75% and she thought she was invincible.
She’s been trying to shove everyone else around since then, and it hasn’t gone well. She’s flip-flopped on her own campaign promises, and it hasn’t gone well. Ed Burke has fallen out of public view and so she’s devoted herself to punching down on teachers, and it hasn’t gone well.
Biden and Pritzker have exuded compassion during the pandemic, and Lightfoot has seemed coldhearted, and it hasn’t gone well.
Does it mean she wont be re-elected in two years? No. It means her relationship with Springfield and the City Council and the stakeholders in Chicago will change. Aldermen can read polls, and this one tells them that Lightfoot is a lot less popular in their ward than she used to be.
- Birds on the Bat - Wednesday, Jun 2, 21 @ 9:35 pm:
As long as Sleepy Joe and the Dems keep paying people to stay home, those high numbers will continue.
- Emanuel Collective - Thursday, Jun 3, 21 @ 7:52 am:
=Yeah, everyone is just going to forgot about COVID.=
Virtually every state and local elected official in the country got a big COVID polling bounce, and that bounce is already fading away. To the extent COVID will matter at all in 2022/23, it will be because the elected’s response to the crisis caused voters to view their leadership more favorably in general. This poll shows some evidence Pritzker has pulled this off in Chicago, whereas Lori’s numbers keep dropping
- Cheryl44 - Thursday, Jun 3, 21 @ 8:07 am:
People didn’t talk about the Spanish flu 100 years ago. I wonder if we’ll be talking about Covid in a dozen years.
- ChicagoVinny - Thursday, Jun 3, 21 @ 8:38 am:
=== She’s underwater with everyone except 18-34 year olds ===
Guess the memes worked.