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Fun with numbers
Thursday, Oct 27, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller * Um…
* I’m not sure what poll Mr. DeVore is looking at, but the Emerson poll doesn’t have Raoul up by 6 with 10 percent undecided as he claims. The poll says Raoul is up by eight with nine percent undecided…
Also, the governor isn’t up by 10, he’s up by 9, according to the poll. I mean, these are small differences, but still. C’mon, man. Math ain’t that hard. Use a calculator if you have to. 47 minus 39 equals 8.
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- Big Dipper - Thursday, Oct 27, 22 @ 9:49 am:
As the errors are in his favor, I assume they were intentional.
- Aaa123 - Thursday, Oct 27, 22 @ 9:51 am:
Rounding up for me and down for thee. 8.9 we’ll call it 10.
- Fayette County - Thursday, Oct 27, 22 @ 9:57 am:
He figures since he’s running for Attorney General and not Treasurer or Comptroller math isn’t that important.
- Oswego Willy - Thursday, Oct 27, 22 @ 10:00 am:
When your “rounding errors” still show you trailing, that’s not the type of message you want with “teen” days to go with early voting underway.
I’d like to think it’s merely a “math” thing, but it seems to be a mathematical “ego boost”, purposeful miscalculation, nothing less
- Give Me A Break - Thursday, Oct 27, 22 @ 10:05 am:
Seems the GOP sent the talking point, “GOP closing fast don’t believe the polls”. Have seen that being repeated over and over in the last 72 hours from every GOP candidate.
- H-W - Thursday, Oct 27, 22 @ 10:15 am:
Speaking of Fun With Numbers, when I looked at the poll data you provided yesterday, I believe it said 11% of the respondents were Latino. The Latino population of Illinois is currently 18%.
Are Latinos under-represented in the poll, or are Latinos substantially less likely to be registered voters in Illinois.
- Ron Burgundy - Thursday, Oct 27, 22 @ 10:42 am:
Reminds me of one of my favorite Pat Quinn-isms: “The only poll that matters is the one on Election Day.”
He usually pulled that one out in the races where he got trounced.
- Flying Elvis'-Utah Chapter - Thursday, Oct 27, 22 @ 10:57 am:
If anyone thinks Devore will admit defeat after a fair, secure election I have shares in the new Dongola casino and event center to sell them.
- Steve Rogers - Thursday, Oct 27, 22 @ 11:15 am:
Tom to the Illinois public: “hit me with it”
Illinois: “not good”
Tom: “you mean not good as in 1 out of 100?”
Illinois: “I’d say more like 1 out of a million.”
Tom: “So you’re telling me there’s a chance.”
- Heather - Thursday, Oct 27, 22 @ 11:31 am:
==the Emerson poll doesn’t have Raoul up by 6 with 10 percent undecided as he claims. The poll says Raoul is up by eight with nine percent undecided==
I believe it’s Election Denier 101 allows for the reshaping of any poll to fit your narrative that any Republican loss is simply the result of voter fraud.
- Big Dipper - Thursday, Oct 27, 22 @ 11:47 am:
Am I the only one who has never heard of Emerson College?
- Confused - Thursday, Oct 27, 22 @ 12:36 pm:
Really looking forward to the wave of Pritzker/DeVore voters in November
- Sir Reel - Thursday, Oct 27, 22 @ 12:42 pm:
Rich, Mr. DeVore is just too important, too busy to be subjected to this nitpicking.
Numbers, shumbers, he’s in the homestretch, closing in on Mr. Raoul. That’s tbig story here.
Whoever expected the AG to be a detail man?
- filmmaker prof - Thursday, Oct 27, 22 @ 1:25 pm:
“Calculators are for woke snowflakes. I’m going to file a lawsuit to prevent calculators. Please send me $10 each to finance it.”
- New Day - Thursday, Oct 27, 22 @ 1:29 pm:
Maybe if Kwame had bothered to define his nutty opponent he’d be winning by more than…checks math…7.7 points.
- Madigan's Ghost - Thursday, Oct 27, 22 @ 2:05 pm:
–That– Mark Vargas? Blago’s Vargas?
- Sign of the Times - Friday, Oct 28, 22 @ 8:25 am:
What has happened to the republican party in this state?
Sad.