Capitol Fax.com - Your Illinois News Radar » Rate the new Pritzker ad
SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      About     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact Rich Miller
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
Rate the new Pritzker ad

Thursday, Nov 3, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Here you go

* Script

Donald Trump wants you to vote for Darren Bailey.

Trump: “Darren has my complete and total endorsement.”

Why? Because Darren Bailey spread Trump’s lies about the 2020 election.

Like Trump, Bailey stands with the NRA against banning assault weapons.

And Bailey wants to outlaw abortion even in cases of rape or incest.

Bailey: “I’ve made a promise to President Trump that in 2024, Illinois will roll out the red carpet out for him, because Illinois will be ready for President Trump.”

       

42 Comments
  1. - Mr. Potato Head - Thursday, Nov 3, 22 @ 8:56 am:

    He’s scared to death. It is hilarious to watch.


  2. - Oswego Willy - Thursday, Nov 3, 22 @ 9:01 am:

    ===scared===

    Scared of what, exactly?

    To the ad,

    It’s an A

    Good reminder that Bailey supports Trump, Trump is a danger to American Democracy, and voting for Bailey is welcoming Trump.

    Good ad, sharply edited too

    A


  3. - Save Ferris - Thursday, Nov 3, 22 @ 9:03 am:

    Great ad.

    If it was August.


  4. - Too cute by half - Thursday, Nov 3, 22 @ 9:05 am:

    “Mr. Potato Head has not read the polls” is not a sentence I ever expected to type out yet here we are.


  5. - Kayak - Thursday, Nov 3, 22 @ 9:06 am:

    It’s an A. TeamJB didn’t let up one day in 2018 and he’s not about to start now.


  6. - Bruce( no not him) - Thursday, Nov 3, 22 @ 9:06 am:

    Didn’t he already run this same ad during the primary? s/


  7. - Pundent - Thursday, Nov 3, 22 @ 9:07 am:

    It’s a good ad. I’d give it a B+. To the extent there are any undecided voters it reminds them of who both men are. Donald Trump has not fared well anytime he’s been on a ballot in Illinois. Darren is a disciple of Donald Trump. You don’t need to convey much more than that. At the end the reality of this election is no different than it was at the beginning.


  8. - Rich Miller - Thursday, Nov 3, 22 @ 9:07 am:

    ===He’s scared to death.===

    That’s very possible, considering some national trendlines.

    But when Rod Blagojevich was way ahead of Judy Baar Topinka in 2006, he really poured it on at the end like nobody had ever seen before here.

    Turns out, because he was in a three-person race and the Green Party candidate was keeping him under 50 percent, Blagojevich decided he wanted to reach that majority mark for perception and governing reasons (Madigan). He ended up missing it by just a hair, 49.79 percent. JBT got 39.26 percent, and Rich Whitney got 10.36 percent. https://www.elections.il.gov/ElectionOperations/ElectionVoteTotals.aspx

    The Libertarian this year has been polling fairly high.

    Not saying this is the reason at all. Just saying that not everything is always what it may seem.


  9. - Arsenal - Thursday, Nov 3, 22 @ 9:11 am:

    == Great ad.

    If it was August.==

    He basically did run this ad in August and has never really stopped.


  10. - Amalia - Thursday, Nov 3, 22 @ 9:13 am:

    A says it all. and scares me so much.


  11. - Oswego Willy - Thursday, Nov 3, 22 @ 9:16 am:

    ===Not saying this is the reason at all.===

    That’s the only reason I even called out the drive by.

    If the reason is “always run like you’re 10 points behind”, yeah, that’s a “fear” or being “scared”

    As only an observation, including the Chicago early voting, there seems to be more fatigue and not much surging, and if it’s on the Dem side, yeah that is a reason to be “scared” too.

    The ad to itself? Folks voted already know why they are voting for whom, and the choice is made… done.

    This is an ad, for me, to the straggler, the fatigued voter, the one not motivated… ginning up one more time Trump, who doesn’t poll well.

    The other side, including or riffing off Rich’s story? I dunno anything about anything to the thinking internally to Pritzker hitting the gas, why, or motive. Still, it could be a real possibility as much as anything.


  12. - Paddyrollingstone - Thursday, Nov 3, 22 @ 9:17 am:

    As a Dem, I’m glad he’s running scared. Everyone should, all the time. Whatever metaphor suits you - don’t take your foot of the gas; don’t celebrate until your on the bus ride home; beat the other guy like a rented mule - just win, baby. Just win.

    Its a great Ad - in August or now. A


  13. - Early voter - Thursday, Nov 3, 22 @ 9:23 am:

    This ad is giving Terry McAuliffe vibes for a governor who has been giving Andrew Cuomo (pre-controversy) vibes all election season.

    Darkie Belly will be yesterday’s news you can lose in six days. JB needs to set his sights higher than defeating him.


  14. - Give Me A Break - Thursday, Nov 3, 22 @ 9:25 am:

    Mr. Potato Head if you think this ad is going to bring votes to Bailey, you are beyond help.


  15. - JS Mill - Thursday, Nov 3, 22 @ 9:36 am:

    The ad is a solid B+ maybe A-.

    Best part about it uses bailey’s own words and he cannot dispute what he said.

    Pritzker needs to ramp up the intensity in these last few days and run every single ad 24/7.


  16. - Mr. Middle Ground - Thursday, Nov 3, 22 @ 9:38 am:

    Ad is a B. Message is clear. Trump remains particularly unpopular in the suburbs which is where the final days of the race will be spent.

    I’m not convinced it moves many undecideds. Trump endorsed Bailey months ago. It was well covered then and advertised heavily since. It is just message reinforcement.

    The Governor’s team is essentially saying: Food costs too much. Gas costs too much. Your kids learned less in the last two years than the generation did before them. But Trump supports this guy and your problems could be way worse.


  17. - XonXoff - Thursday, Nov 3, 22 @ 9:39 am:

    I give it an A.

    It’s a deserving reminder.

    Now do “guns for everyone”, big time. And don’t forget the ghost guns vote, fundraiser gun raffles, void the FOID, and die on my porch clip.

    We need this guy in charge like a 9mm hole in the head.


  18. - Oswego Willy - Thursday, Nov 3, 22 @ 9:43 am:

    ===I’m not convinced it moves many undecideds.===

    It’s seemingly designed to gin up pluses to vote.

    If Pritzker is up 7-10 points, it’s not about persuasion, it’s about voting the already converted.


  19. - George Ryan Reynolds - Thursday, Nov 3, 22 @ 9:44 am:

    Gov not letting up. Also a natural response if gov campaign operation sensed even the slightest of tightening as Election Day approaches (or they’re trying to goose early voting to avoid day-of problems some may have).


  20. - Arsenal - Thursday, Nov 3, 22 @ 9:46 am:

    == If the reason is “always run like you’re 10 points behind”, yeah, that’s a “fear” or being “scared”==

    Two weeks ago the criticism was that Pritzker was not “running like he was 10 points behind”. Some people are just looking for reasons to guess he’s in trouble.

    Meanwhile, his opponent struggled to even keep an ad on the air.


  21. - Pundent - Thursday, Nov 3, 22 @ 9:49 am:

    =I’m not convinced it moves many undecideds.=

    Undecideds can be measured in two ways. Those that haven’t made up their mind on who they’re voting for (likely few) and those that haven’t decided whether it’s worth voting at all. The ad likely targets the second group.


  22. - Oswego Willy - Thursday, Nov 3, 22 @ 9:51 am:

    ===those that haven’t decided whether it’s worth voting at all. The ad likely targets the second group.===

    That’s some really good stuff there.

    It’s why I gave it an A

    Simplistic rationale to the converted to make sure they vote.


  23. - need - Thursday, Nov 3, 22 @ 9:53 am:

    He spent $30 million in R primary so he could make this commercial.


  24. - Mr. Middle Ground - Thursday, Nov 3, 22 @ 10:02 am:

    ===those that haven’t decided whether it’s worth voting at all. The ad likely targets the second group.===

    I buy this argument. Good point. I give the ad a B+ but still not an A. The message is essentially the same all campaign. If they want to scare someone into voting, they will (sadly) have to go more negative than this.


  25. - JS Mill - Thursday, Nov 3, 22 @ 10:05 am:

    =He spent $30 million in R primary so he could make this commercial.=

    No, he defined the likely opponent before the opponent had a chance to define himself.

    The ILGOP faithful took care of the rest.


  26. - Oswego Willy - Thursday, Nov 3, 22 @ 10:09 am:

    ===He spent $30 million in R primary so he could make this commercial===

    Are the 56+% Republican voters merely mindless drones?

    They *wanted* Bailey. Wanted.


  27. - Arsenal - Thursday, Nov 3, 22 @ 10:09 am:

    ==Also a natural response if gov campaign operation sensed even the slightest of tightening as Election Day approaches==

    Also a natural response if you have deep pockets and hungry media consultants.

    Just sayin’, lol.


  28. - Demoralized - Thursday, Nov 3, 22 @ 10:10 am:

    ==I’m not convinced it moves many undecideds.==

    I don’t think that’s who it’s designed for. I think it’s designed to make sure his base turns out.


  29. - need - Thursday, Nov 3, 22 @ 10:30 am:

    Heard of Chaos Theory/Butterfly Effect? We’ll see the consequences, if any, of spending $30 million in R primary to elevate the crazy come November 8th. Because it wasn’t just the crazy elevated at the top of the ticket.


  30. - Rich Miller - Thursday, Nov 3, 22 @ 10:47 am:

    ===Heard of Chaos Theory/Butterfly Effect?===

    Kinda nonsensical in this context.


  31. - Jocko - Thursday, Nov 3, 22 @ 11:00 am:

    I give it a B/B+. It hits hard, but there’s no “Vote for me.” or “I endorse this message” coming from JB.


  32. - Jaguar - Thursday, Nov 3, 22 @ 11:31 am:

    Terrible ad.

    “Donald Trump Wants You To Vote For Darren Bailey”

    Don’t remind Trump voters to go out and vote for Darren Bailey. There were 2,446,891 votes for Trump in Illinois in 2020.


  33. - Rich Miller - Thursday, Nov 3, 22 @ 11:35 am:

    ===Don’t remind Trump voters to go out and vote for Darren Bailey===

    They did that in 2020 and it backfired badly on the constitutional amendment. Ad was something like Trump hates the Fair Tax Amendment or whatnot.


  34. - Oswego Willy - Thursday, Nov 3, 22 @ 11:36 am:

    ===Don’t remind Trump voters to go out and vote for Darren Bailey. There were 2,446,891 votes for Trump in Illinois in 2020.===

    Trump LOST Illinois by 15+ points

    Bailey already has the voters. It’s the midterms, they’re not the ones where motivation is a worry.


  35. - Adele - Thursday, Nov 3, 22 @ 11:44 am:

    Clearly, Trump and his minions are telling the “Big Lie” over and over again to cover their tracks. I expect that the Trumpters will engage in a host of dirty tricks to suppress the opposition vote to steal the 2022 election. The Trumpsters main problem is that they think voters are complete idiots and haven’t figured it all before voting.


  36. - Arsenal - Thursday, Nov 3, 22 @ 11:48 am:

    ==There were 2,446,891 votes for Trump in Illinois in 2020.==

    Now do the votes for Biden.


  37. - Jaguar - Thursday, Nov 3, 22 @ 11:50 am:

    I’m aware of how much Trump lost by but the number of votes Trump received in 2020 wasn’t too far short of of what Pritzker got in 2018. I just see the ad unintentionally firing up voters for Bailey. Let sleeping dogs lie.


  38. - Arsenal - Thursday, Nov 3, 22 @ 12:11 pm:

    ==wasn’t too far short of of what Pritzker got in 2018==

    Midterms vs. Presidential years are entirely different turnout universes. In fact, that Trump in a Presidential election got less votes than Pritzker in a midterm is a pretty good indicator of just how little love Trump has in IL.

    I can imagine that there might be diminishing returns on running the Trump play on Bailey (Is Trump really at the top of anyone’s mind? It didn’t work in VA) but Pritzker has been running that play on Bailey all season and Bailey’s never had an answer for it. The fact that Pritzker sees no need to change his strategy now is indicative of something.


  39. - Responsa - Thursday, Nov 3, 22 @ 12:44 pm:

    Honestly, I think JB could have used his closer money much more effectively than rehashing this very old news. Whatever. B-


  40. - New Day - Thursday, Nov 3, 22 @ 1:24 pm:

    “than rehashing this very old news”

    Huh? This news is from two months ago and at the debate, Bailey lied and tried to distance himself from Trump. Trump is toxic in most parts of IL so this is a great ad and well played. A-


  41. - Streator Curmudgeon - Thursday, Nov 3, 22 @ 1:28 pm:

    ==I give it a B/B+. It hits hard, but there’s no “Vote for me.” or “I endorse this message” coming from JB.==

    I agree with Jocko. Always ask for the sale. This may sway some Independents or undecideds, but never take anything for granted. It needed JB’s face at the end.


  42. - west wing - Thursday, Nov 3, 22 @ 5:14 pm:

    Waiting for the campaign to swing 100 percent positive. That’s the touch needed at about now.


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


* Showcasing The Retailers Who Make Illinois Work
* Reader comments closed for the holidays
* And the winners are…
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Update to previous editions
* Isabel’s afternoon roundup
* Report: Far-right Illinois billionaires may have skirted immigration rules
* Question of the day: Golden Horseshoe Awards (Updated)
* Energy Storage Brings Cheaper Electricity, Greater Reliability
* Open thread
* Isabel’s morning briefing
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today's edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)
* Live coverage
* Selected press releases (Live updates)
* Yesterday's stories

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............


Loading


Main Menu
Home
Illinois
YouTube
Pundit rankings
Obama
Subscriber Content
Durbin
Burris
Blagojevich Trial
Advertising
Updated Posts
Polls

Archives
December 2024
November 2024
October 2024
September 2024
August 2024
July 2024
June 2024
May 2024
April 2024
March 2024
February 2024
January 2024
December 2023
November 2023
October 2023
September 2023
August 2023
July 2023
June 2023
May 2023
April 2023
March 2023
February 2023
January 2023
December 2022
November 2022
October 2022
September 2022
August 2022
July 2022
June 2022
May 2022
April 2022
March 2022
February 2022
January 2022
December 2021
November 2021
October 2021
September 2021
August 2021
July 2021
June 2021
May 2021
April 2021
March 2021
February 2021
January 2021
December 2020
November 2020
October 2020
September 2020
August 2020
July 2020
June 2020
May 2020
April 2020
March 2020
February 2020
January 2020
December 2019
November 2019
October 2019
September 2019
August 2019
July 2019
June 2019
May 2019
April 2019
March 2019
February 2019
January 2019
December 2018
November 2018
October 2018
September 2018
August 2018
July 2018
June 2018
May 2018
April 2018
March 2018
February 2018
January 2018
December 2017
November 2017
October 2017
September 2017
August 2017
July 2017
June 2017
May 2017
April 2017
March 2017
February 2017
January 2017
December 2016
November 2016
October 2016
September 2016
August 2016
July 2016
June 2016
May 2016
April 2016
March 2016
February 2016
January 2016
December 2015
November 2015
October 2015
September 2015
August 2015
July 2015
June 2015
May 2015
April 2015
March 2015
February 2015
January 2015
December 2014
November 2014
October 2014
September 2014
August 2014
July 2014
June 2014
May 2014
April 2014
March 2014
February 2014
January 2014
December 2013
November 2013
October 2013
September 2013
August 2013
July 2013
June 2013
May 2013
April 2013
March 2013
February 2013
January 2013
December 2012
November 2012
October 2012
September 2012
August 2012
July 2012
June 2012
May 2012
April 2012
March 2012
February 2012
January 2012
December 2011
November 2011
October 2011
September 2011
August 2011
July 2011
June 2011
May 2011
April 2011
March 2011
February 2011
January 2011
December 2010
November 2010
October 2010
September 2010
August 2010
July 2010
June 2010
May 2010
April 2010
March 2010
February 2010
January 2010
December 2009
November 2009
October 2009
September 2009
August 2009
July 2009
June 2009
May 2009
April 2009
March 2009
February 2009
January 2009
December 2008
November 2008
October 2008
September 2008
August 2008
July 2008
June 2008
May 2008
April 2008
March 2008
February 2008
January 2008
December 2007
November 2007
October 2007
September 2007
August 2007
July 2007
June 2007
May 2007
April 2007
March 2007
February 2007
January 2007
December 2006
November 2006
October 2006
September 2006
August 2006
July 2006
June 2006
May 2006
April 2006
March 2006
February 2006
January 2006
December 2005
April 2005
March 2005
February 2005
January 2005
December 2004
November 2004
October 2004

Blog*Spot Archives
November 2005
October 2005
September 2005
August 2005
July 2005
June 2005
May 2005

Syndication

RSS Feed 2.0
Comments RSS 2.0




Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller