Capitol Fax.com - Your Illinois News Radar » Fun with numbers: When a claimed 40 percent cut is actually a 43 percent increase
SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      About     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact Rich Miller
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
Fun with numbers: When a claimed 40 percent cut is actually a 43 percent increase

Friday, Mar 8, 2024 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The Tribune editorial board likes the idea of eliminating the grocery tax, but hates the idea of cutting funding for local governments

And when you look at the fiscal problems present in suburbs like Evanston, which has little or no money to pay for replacements to aging city facilities, you can understand why the municipalities are trying to argue that the small individual savings are insignificant compared with their own cumulative losses.

You could, of course, argue that about any potential tax cut. But officials like Rockford Mayor Tom McNamara already were complaining about the reductions in the so-called Local Government Distributive Fund. “Since 2011,” McNamara wrote recently in the Rockford Register-Star, “the state has unilaterally decreased the local share of LGDF by almost 40%, so that in State Fiscal Year 2023, the local government share is only 6.16% of individual income tax collections and 6.845% of corporate income tax collections.”

The state did indeed reduce LGDF from its longtime percentage of 10 percent during the 2011 tax hike debate, at least partly because so many mayors were adamantly against that tax hike.

* I asked the governor’s office for a response…

In FY2010, Rockford received $11,392,699 in LGDF. In FY2023, Rockford received $23,167,389 in LGDF. Just FYI, Rockford also received $229,053 in FY23 as its portion of the monies sent to locals through the Cannabis Regulation Fund.

And you did not ask, but I thought I would include statewide totals for LGDF FY10 vs FY23: In FY10, $985,358,544 was distributed to locals through LGDF. In FY23 $1,996,786,951 was distributed to locals through LGDF.

As you can see, LGDF distributions to Rockford and statewide more than doubled from FY10 to FY23.

Adjusted for inflation, the statewide FY10 LGDF would’ve been equal to $1.39 billion at the end of FY23, compared to the $2 billion they actually received from the state last fiscal year.

So, LGDF disbursements to locals weren’t cut by 40 percent, as the Tribune’s editorial more than implies. Instead, municipalities have received a 43 percent increase in inflation-adjusted state LGDF dollars since their percentage was cut.

Also, restoring LGDF to 10 percent would cost the state as much as $850 million and equal a 100.5 percent inflation adjusted increase over what locals received in 2010.

       

8 Comments
  1. - Roadrager - Friday, Mar 8, 24 @ 1:35 pm:

    If you want to make it up the ranks at Alden Global Capital, you better come equipped with an open contempt for math.


  2. - Cool Papa Bell - Friday, Mar 8, 24 @ 1:40 pm:

    Math is hard. Math is also something not everyone is willing to understand or take the time to think about.

    Its so much easier to just say “unfair” and be done with it.

    Pretty easy to get people to believe it too.


  3. - Frida's boss - Friday, Mar 8, 24 @ 1:46 pm:

    Evanston has its problems that have nothing to do with losing the grocery tax.
    Their residents want the Government involved in everything. When you are expected to do everything you eventually can’t afford to do anything. Why do you think Biss decided to take the stadium deal?


  4. - Joe Bloe - Friday, Mar 8, 24 @ 2:08 pm:

    Might be a typo here. In the sentence ear the end beginning with “Adjusted for inflation…” I think you mean “at the end of FY23″ instead “end of FY13″


  5. - IML lover - Friday, Mar 8, 24 @ 3:06 pm:

    Have fun with math all you want. The issue is the Gov is proposing to take $350-$400M from local governments that they are receiving today. Regardless of what happened up to 2/21/24, that’s a revenue cut. If approved, there will be consequences.


  6. - Frida's boss - Friday, Mar 8, 24 @ 3:14 pm:

    @IML Lover- they’ll figure it out. If the IML wants to really stop this they should let CTU know that the money lost for Chicago will have to be covered by the Bring Home Chicago tax. CTU wants $20 million of that money for - administrative services and responsibilities affiliated with homeless children in school utilizing more in-school services,


  7. - Roadrager - Friday, Mar 8, 24 @ 3:18 pm:

    ==The issue is the Gov is proposing to take $350-$400M from local governments that they are receiving today. Regardless of what happened up to 2/21/24, that’s a revenue cut. If approved, there will be consequences.==

    And nothing prevents the locals from enacting their own 1% grocery tax to replace that revenue. Except, of course, the political will to enact and justify a tax of their own, instead of using the excuse of “this tax-crazy state” while happily pocketing the revenues.


  8. - Bond Guy - Friday, Mar 8, 24 @ 3:25 pm:

    The issue here isn’t with the math, it’s with the sleight of hand involved in what is being measured. The reason why the Tribune Board can claim tax revenue distribution has gone down is because the local government’s “share” has gone down. While that may be true, because overall revenue subject to the tax has gone up, the decline in share hasn’t mattered.

    It’s ironic, since the Tribune editorial board is usually a big fan of a “rising tide lifts all boats” type of argument when it comes to tax cuts.


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


* Isabel’s afternoon roundup
* Governor Pritzker meets with the family of Sonya Massey (Updated)
* It’s just a bill
* Showcasing the Retailers Who Make Illinois Work
* Pritzker hasn’t received VP vetting materials from Harris, but doesn’t shut down speculations that he’s interested
* Open thread
* Isabel’s morning briefing
* Selected press releases (Live updates)
* Your moment of zen
* Yesterday's stories

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............

...............

...............


Loading


Main Menu
Home
Illinois
YouTube
Pundit rankings
Obama
Subscriber Content
Durbin
Burris
Blagojevich Trial
Advertising
Updated Posts
Polls

Archives
July 2024
June 2024
May 2024
April 2024
March 2024
February 2024
January 2024
December 2023
November 2023
October 2023
September 2023
August 2023
July 2023
June 2023
May 2023
April 2023
March 2023
February 2023
January 2023
December 2022
November 2022
October 2022
September 2022
August 2022
July 2022
June 2022
May 2022
April 2022
March 2022
February 2022
January 2022
December 2021
November 2021
October 2021
September 2021
August 2021
July 2021
June 2021
May 2021
April 2021
March 2021
February 2021
January 2021
December 2020
November 2020
October 2020
September 2020
August 2020
July 2020
June 2020
May 2020
April 2020
March 2020
February 2020
January 2020
December 2019
November 2019
October 2019
September 2019
August 2019
July 2019
June 2019
May 2019
April 2019
March 2019
February 2019
January 2019
December 2018
November 2018
October 2018
September 2018
August 2018
July 2018
June 2018
May 2018
April 2018
March 2018
February 2018
January 2018
December 2017
November 2017
October 2017
September 2017
August 2017
July 2017
June 2017
May 2017
April 2017
March 2017
February 2017
January 2017
December 2016
November 2016
October 2016
September 2016
August 2016
July 2016
June 2016
May 2016
April 2016
March 2016
February 2016
January 2016
December 2015
November 2015
October 2015
September 2015
August 2015
July 2015
June 2015
May 2015
April 2015
March 2015
February 2015
January 2015
December 2014
November 2014
October 2014
September 2014
August 2014
July 2014
June 2014
May 2014
April 2014
March 2014
February 2014
January 2014
December 2013
November 2013
October 2013
September 2013
August 2013
July 2013
June 2013
May 2013
April 2013
March 2013
February 2013
January 2013
December 2012
November 2012
October 2012
September 2012
August 2012
July 2012
June 2012
May 2012
April 2012
March 2012
February 2012
January 2012
December 2011
November 2011
October 2011
September 2011
August 2011
July 2011
June 2011
May 2011
April 2011
March 2011
February 2011
January 2011
December 2010
November 2010
October 2010
September 2010
August 2010
July 2010
June 2010
May 2010
April 2010
March 2010
February 2010
January 2010
December 2009
November 2009
October 2009
September 2009
August 2009
July 2009
June 2009
May 2009
April 2009
March 2009
February 2009
January 2009
December 2008
November 2008
October 2008
September 2008
August 2008
July 2008
June 2008
May 2008
April 2008
March 2008
February 2008
January 2008
December 2007
November 2007
October 2007
September 2007
August 2007
July 2007
June 2007
May 2007
April 2007
March 2007
February 2007
January 2007
December 2006
November 2006
October 2006
September 2006
August 2006
July 2006
June 2006
May 2006
April 2006
March 2006
February 2006
January 2006
December 2005
April 2005
March 2005
February 2005
January 2005
December 2004
November 2004
October 2004

Blog*Spot Archives
November 2005
October 2005
September 2005
August 2005
July 2005
June 2005
May 2005

Syndication

RSS Feed 2.0
Comments RSS 2.0




Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller