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*** UPDATED x1 *** Campaign roundup: Bailey has early lead; Sullivan launches TV ads; Pathetic DGA videos; Unclear on the concept

Tuesday, Oct 5, 2021 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Press release…

A new Illinois survey of likely 2022 GOP Primary election voters was released today. This Illinois GOP Gubernatorial primary survey measures President Trump’s approval and breaks down voters’ preference in the 2022 primary election. Ogden and Fry, a nationally recognized polling firm, conducted the poll from October 3-4, on behalf of the Northwest Side GOP Club — a Chicago based Republican umbrella organization.

President Trump’s approval rating remains strong. The results showed that 86.6% of voters approve of President Trump, 13.4% disapprove.

On the second question, voters were asked their preferred candidate in the Illinois Republican Primary for Governor. The results showed that State Senator Darren Bailey, who sued Governor Pritzker over unilateral lockdowns last year, has a commanding lead with 33.3% followed by Jesse Sulllivan at 6.2%, Gary Rabine at 5.2%, and Paul Schimpf at 3.0%.

Ogden and Fry conducted this survey of 400+ respondents from a random selection of likely 2022 GOP Primary election voters. The margin of error is +/- 4.98%.

With the usual caveats about O&F polls, here are some results

* Meanwhile, Sullivan has launched an effort to catch up…

Political outsider and Republican candidate for governor of Illinois Jesse Sullivan released his first television campaign ad [Friday] morning. The ad will air statewide and is part of a six-figure buy, the latest piece of a comprehensive television, digital, and radio plan to get Sully’s message out and begin a conversation with Illinois voters about what’s at stake in this race to replace JB Pritzker, who has already spent millions on the air.

The $222,032 cable TV aspect of this buy runs from October 2 through November 5. That’s slightly less than the governor has been spending per week. Sullivan has the money to sustain this rate for quite a while.

* The spot

* Sun-Times

Former state Sen. Paul Schimpf of Waterloo, who is also vying to be the Republican nominee for governor, has welcomed Sullivan’s entry into the race, but on Friday, he took issue with his opponent’s ad.

“Jesse Sullivan is not a veteran, and a TV advertisement that implies he is does a disservice to the voters of Illinois, who deserve better,” Schimpf said in a statement.

Schimpf spent 20 years in the U.S. Marines, at one point serving as the nation’s top adviser to prosecutors trying Saddam Hussein.

Sullivan’s campaign said in response to Schimpf’s statement Sullivan is “proud of his service as an Army civilian. That service has only deepened his respect for veterans and first responders who keep us safe at home and abroad.”

* These DGA videos are just laughable. All press release, zero impact…

The DGA is launching a new video today that hits the crowded GOP gubernatorial field for their radical anti-choice records. Watch the video here.

Darren Bailey has said he wants to outlaw abortion, even in cases of rape and incest, and Jesse Sullivan agrees on a near-total ban on abortion. Gary Rabine is a self-described “big pro-lifer,” and Paul Schimpf voted against the IL state law protecting abortion access if Roe v. Wade is overturned.

That release was sent out four days ago and it has since garnered precisely 5 views as of this writing. Pathetic. Stop wasting my time with this nonsense.

* Indeed, this particular bit of silliness had far more impact than anything the DGA has done here so far…


In case you need it, a mult box definition is here.

*** UPDATE *** Nothing really new here

Representative Adam Kinzinger, one of former President Donald Trump’s chief GOP antagonists and the only House Republican to vote last week for a “clean” debt limit increase, isn’t ruling out a bid for a Senate seat from Illinois or a campaign for governor.

Kinzinger, appearing Tuesday on Bloomberg Television’s “Balance of Power with David Westin,” said those potential alternatives are “not something I’m planning for at this moment.”

But he added, “I’m certainly not ruling it out,” noting that Democrats control the process of drawing new congressional lines in Illinois, with more details on that expected in the next week.

He said he’s putting what happens “in God’s hands,” adding, “I will not give up the fight for this country.”

  43 Comments      


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