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Catching up with the congressionals
Monday, Sep 29, 2025 - Posted by Rich Miller * Just ahead of the end of the quarterly reporting period comes a poll from the Democratic Lieutenant Governors Association…
Looks like the LG group is trying to make the case that Robin Kelly should drop out. I don’t blame them for that, but I also don’t yet see any evidence of that ever happening. * Politico…
* From an email sent by Hoan Huynh’s congressional campaign team to a prospective donor and then forwarded to me… Um, the Climate and Equitable Jobs Act was signed into law in September of 2021. Huynh didn’t take office until January of 2023. * More from Isabel…
* Shaw Local | La Salle Dems forum tackles healthcare, economy, campaign Reform: Krishnamoorthi opened the event by describing growing up in an immigrant family and the struggles his family faced, but overcame the challenges by receiving government assistance. “Every night at the dinner table [my father] would remind us of the following,” he said. “He would say think of the greatness of this country….and whatever the two of you do, my brother and me, just make sure it’s there for the next families who need it.” * Advantage News | Raley drops out of congressional race: A former St. Louis radio personality and one-time congressional candidate is dropping out of the race for Illinois’ 15th District seat. In a social media post over the weekend, Randy Raley said a recent health scare has brought him to the decision to bow out. Specifically, Raley stated he had recently suffered a heart attack, and the prognosis is that it will happen again. He says the cardiologist discovered a problem with one of the blood vessels in his heart. It is too small to stent, and it has blockage. There is at least one other Democrat that has announced a run for that same office: Edwardsville’s Jennifer Todd. Illinois 15th District seat is currently held by Republican Mary Miller. * Evanston Roundtable | Biss picks new names for Finance and Budget, after incumbent asks ‘too late’ for second term: The city’s Finance and Budget Committee is set to have new resident members for the first time since its creation, albeit with opposition from at least four councilmembers to one of Mayor Daniel Biss’ selections, Candance Chow. Biss picked Chow, a recent council candidate, over incumbent Leslie McMillan, who says she intended to apply for a second term but apparently did so too late. […] The appointees gave similar responses: McGuire said her donation had “zero to do” with her selection, and Chow said she “absolutely” doesn’t think there’s a link. “Yes, I support Daniel Biss for Congress … I also want to continue to support and serve Evanston,” Chow said. “And certainly, there’s no linkage between one and the other.”
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Stratton breaks from Schumer
Thursday, Sep 25, 2025 - Posted by Rich Miller *** UPDATE *** This story was originally about the bland sameness of the three major US Senate candidates in Illinois. But Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton’s US Senate campaign sent me the full statement they gave to Politico. She has most definitely shifted…
Emphasis added. And Stratton said this to the Washington Post…
So, I changed the headline. * Late last month, I asked the three major Democratic US candidates if they would vote for Chuck Schumer as the Senate’s Democratic/chamber leader (depending on the outcome of national races). As I told you at the time, I figured there wouldn’t be a whole lot of space between them, but thought there could be a chance that somebody might stand out. They all blandly dodged the question, as I mostly expected. * Politico (national, not state) took that an entirely different way…
Non-committal may be a news story in DC, but here it’s just a sign that the three major candidates won’t stick their necks out on almost anything. And as long as that continues, the person spending the most money (Raja) has the best shot at winning. Also, some of the folks Politico talked to were downright hostile to Schumer. This reminds me of the 2020 Illinois House races, when most Democratic candidates just issued bland, non-committal statements about Speaker Madigan. Most every one of them voted for Madigan in the first round, but he came up short because 19 Democrats stood firm and the House wound up with a different Speaker. * I’ve been spending quite a bit of time in the Quad Cities area the past couple of months because I need to be with my parents (for the first time, I’m missing the annual Illinois vs. Missouri legislative softball game at Busch Stadium tonight for that very reason). Anyway, Raja is all over the TV airwaves here. It’s quite something. Speaking of which, here’s a Raja Poll…
I’ve had this poll for a few days, but forgot to post it. Methodology…
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Poll shows broad Chicago opposition to ICE, National Guard
Thursday, Sep 18, 2025 - Posted by Rich Miller * Press release…
Public Policy Polling conducted the survey. * Let’s focus on the racial/ethnic crosstabs. This is a poll of 582 Chicago voters with a Margin of Error of +/- 4.1 percent. But the MoE for the subsets we’re looking at are much, much higher…
White +/- 6.0 Black +/- 7.5% Other+/- 16.6% * With that in mind, we’ll start with Trump’s Chicago approval… ![]() * Trump sending the National Guard into Chicago… ![]() * President Trump has called Chicago a ‘hellhole and ‘most dangerous city in the world.’ He says deploying the National Guard would ‘clean up’ the city, though the National Guard would not have police powers. Local officials say they welcome federal anti-violence resources and law enforcement cooperation, but declining crime rates show there is no emergency that merits a military response and deployment of the National Guard in Chicago. Having heard some more information, let me ask you again: do you strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose, or strongly oppose President Trump’s proposal to send the National Guard into Chicago?… ![]() Notice how support rises among Latinos with the “informed” question, but opposition remains the same. That indicates some persuadability. This poll was taken before everything really ramped up, so we’ll see what happens when reality has kicked in. * Chicago crime… ![]() * Trump increasing federal immigration enforcement in Chicago… ![]() * President Trump has directed Immigration and Customs Enforcement or ICE to aggressively enforce immigration laws nationwide. These enforcement actions have increased deportations of undocumented residents, but have also resulted in cases of unidentified agents detaining and deporting American citizens and valid visa holders, while separating some families. Supporters say that strict enforcement of immigration laws upholds the rule of law, while critics say that recent enforcement action undermines the rule of law, because it lacks due process and transparency. Having heard some more information, let me ask you again: do you strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose, or strongly oppose the Trump Administration increasing federal immigration enforcement in Chicago through aggressive ICE detainments, expedited deportation removals, and workplace raids?… ![]() No real change in the Latino response with the “informed” question. * How worried are you that deploying the National Guard or aggressive immigration enforcement in Chicago could violate residents’ rights or freedoms: very worried, somewhat worried, not too worried, or not worried at all?… ![]() Again, this was taken before the big ramp-up.
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