Boston Marathon explosions
Monday, Apr 15, 2013 - Posted by Rich Miller
* If you’re following the news you know that two explosions occurred at the Boston Marathon finish line. Here’s a quick ScribbleLive feed to help us all keep up.
Try to avoid repeating rumors in comments, please, but help us keep up if you can. Blackberry users click here…
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Money, or lack thereof
Monday, Apr 15, 2013 - Posted by Rich Miller
* From a press release…
1025 contributors donate to Rutherford Campaign First Quarter 2013
State Treasurer Dan Rutherford continued his strong momentum in the first quarter of 2013 by raising over $300,000 for a likely gubernatorial bid. The election finance report was filed with the State Board of Elections and shows he has no debt and cash on hand is at three quarters of a million dollars.
Most impressive is that during the three month span there were 1025 individual contributors donating to the cause. Contributions varied from $10 to $10,000. Over the span of Rutherford’s political career 25,000 contributors have donated to his effort.
That’s a nice pile of contributors, but not a truly gigantic amount of money. Rutherford has $740K in the bank.
* Then again, by contrast, state Sen. Bill Brady had about $280K at the start of the year in two separate funds. But his statewide fund reported raising no money at all this quarter, while his Senate fund brought in just $2,810.
Um, dude. If you’re gonna run for governor, you might wanna start cranking things up a bit.
* State Sen. Kirk Dillard hasn’t yet filed a quarterly report, but he reported starting the year with just $22K in the bank (two different funds) and has reported raising $105K in large contributions since then.
* Meanwhile, surprise here…
Senate Majority Whip Dick Durbin (D-Ill.) rounded out the first quarter of the year with $3.23 million in his campaign fund, placing him in a strong position for a reelection run. […]
Durbin, 68, raised more than $736,00 in the first quarter of 2013.
* Also from a press release…
Congresswoman Tammy Duckworth will report raising $351,285 for the first quarter of the 2014 election cycle. Duckworth once again displayed her grassroots support by receiving contributions from more than 1,500 individuals. The $351,285 raised is near the top of funds raised by House Freshman in the first quarter.
* And a GOP state Rep. responds to Bruce Rauner’s “right to work” ideas…
State Rep. WAYNE ROSENTHAL, R-Morrisonville, like McCarter, has not yet decided on a favorite candidate for governor in 2014. He said he does consider Rauner a serious candidate, and said the right-to-work issue was mentioned at the meeting.
“But I look at it as a non-issue in Illinois,” Rosenthal said. “It’s just not going to happen. So why think about it? … It’s kind of like the people that want (downstate) to secede from Chicago. That’s not going to happen either.”
Rosenthal did call Rauner “personable” and “a very impressive guy.” But the lawmaker also said, “I think he hasn’t been involved in the political process. There’s obstacles there that you need to be aware of. … You don’t worry about the things that you can’t do anything about,” like the right-to-work issue.
* Related…
* Teachers’ union to ramp up political work: CTU says it will register 100,000 more voters, recruit candidates for alderman and mayor.
* NRCC Chair among big names courting IL state Rep. Darlene Senger for Congressional challenge to Foster
* Robin Kelly hopes to change legacy of 2nd District seat
* Congressman Schock on Huckabee Show
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Question of the day
Monday, Apr 15, 2013 - Posted by Rich Miller
* Tribune…
“We will win the World Series,” Chicago Cubs owner Tom Ricketts said Monday at a news conference at Wrigley Field to outline the team’s plans for renovations to the 99-year-old ballpark.
He said the “financial impact” of the development plan “will help us do that.”
* The Question: In what year will the Chicago Cubs win the World Series? Explain.
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*** LIVE *** SESSION COVERAGE
Monday, Apr 15, 2013 - Posted by Rich Miller
* Attorney General Lisa Madigan and Gov. Pat Quinn are both speaking at the Illinois Housing Leaders Conference. BlueRoomStream has the live/archived video. Click here.
* On to the ScribbleLive-enabled coverage. Blackberry users click here…
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Looks kinda thorough to me
Monday, Apr 15, 2013 - Posted by Rich Miller
* Earlier this month we looked at Professor Laurie Reynolds’ thesis about how the Illinois Supreme Court might rule that the Nekrtiz/Cross pension reform was constitutional, even though it appeared to defy the state Constitution’s prohibition against diminishing or impairing benefits. The Tribune editorial page approvingly quoted from her analysis over the weekend and concluded…
The overriding truth here is that all legal speculation is just that. If merely reading statutes, case law and constitutions could settle disputes, we wouldn’t need judges to think more broadly about what’s just. In this dispute, the Illinois Supreme Court could decide that, yes, pensioners are losing some future benefits, but are receiving two gains of great value in return: much healthier pension funds, and a fiscally stable state better able to fund their still-generous benefits.
I don’t disagree that it’s possible the Illinois Supremes could rule this way. With a court, almost anything is possible.
* But there was also this…
As for the 1970 convention: “I have looked at the convention history surrounding the adoption of the pension clause, and it is remarkably scant,” [Professor Reynolds] says. “There was very little delegate discussion of this clause, and I’m not sure how helpful the constitutional history will be to the court’s analysis.”
* I dunno about that. If you click here you can see some pretty extensive Con-Con floor debate, much of it foreshadowing today’s debate.
* Also, according to the analysis prepared by the Senate Democrats’ Eric Madiar, there were at least two attempts to water down the pension language’s impact. Both were rebuffed. The first would’ve tacked some language onto the front of the pension clause itself. The proposed additional language is italicized…
Subject to the authority of the General Assembly to enact reasonable modifications in employee rates of contribution, minimum service requirements and other provisions pertaining to the fiscal soundness of the retirement systems, membership in any pension or retirement system of the state or any local government, or any agency or instrumentality of either, shall be an enforceable contractual relationship, the benefits of which shall not be diminished or impaired
The second attempt would’ve provided some “intent” language read into the record…
The statement provided, in pertinent part, that while the proposed Pension Clause “is taken from the Constitution of New York,” “it should not be interpreted as embodying a Convention intent that it withdraws from the legislature the authority to make reasonable adjustments or modifications in respect to employee and employer rates of contribution, qualifying service and benefit conditions, and other changes designed to assure the financial stability of pension and retirement funds.”
That move was also rejected, leading Madiar to conclude…
The contemporaneous nature of the Commission’s overtures and their rejection by Convention delegates show that the drafters (1) were cognizant of the Clause’s broad limitation on legislative power and (2) intended to immunize pension benefit rights (e.g., employee benefits payments, conditions or contribution rates) from any adverse, unilateral action by General Assembly.
* Voters, of course, had to approve the new Constitution. Madiar looked at the official explanation provided to Illinoisans…
The Convention stated in its official text and explanation of the proposed Constitution that under the Pension Clause “provisions of state and local governmental pension and retirement systems shall not have their benefits reduced.” And, “membership in such systems shall be a valid contractual relationship.”
The Convention’s official explanation also stated that the Clause was a new section “and self-explanatory.” The Convention’s official text and explanation was mailed to each registered voter in Illinois and published in newspapers throughout the State prior to the special referendum election held in December 1970 to approve the proposed Constitution
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* 10:25 am - The US Supreme Court has decided not to hear arguments of an appellate decision upholding New York’s restrictive concealed carry law. From the SCOTUS Blog…
The denial of review in Kachalsky, et al., v. Cacace, et al. (docket 12-845) was the latest in a series of denials of attempts to get the Justices to explore the reach of the Court’s 2008 decision in District of Columbia v. Heller, recognizing a Second Amendment right to have a gun for personal self-defense. That decision, though, was limited to a right to have a gun ready to shoot inside one’s own home.
In the Heller decision, the Court emphasized that the personal right it was recognizing for the first time was not an “absolute” right, and that gun ownership could be subjected to “reasonable” regulations. It provided some examples, such as having a gun in a sensitive public place, but that list was not intended to be complete. That has left it to Congress and to state legislatures to decide whether they want to impose new forms of gun control. […]
There is now such a clear split among federal appeals courts on whether constitutional gun rights extend beyond the home, and yet that was not sufficient to draw the Court back into the center of the controversy in the new case from New York. The new case sought to test the constitutionality of limiting a citizen’s right to a license to carry a concealed gun in public to those who can show they have a “proper cause” for their belief that they need a gun for self-defense away from home.
Essentially, the Court’s decision allows New York’s quite restrictive concealed carry laws to stand as-is. That could strengthen the hands of gun control advocates here, who have bitterly disputed the Chicago federal appellate court ruling that Illinois’ blanket prohibition on concealed carry was unconstitutional. At minimum, gun control groups say, any new state law ought to be pretty darned restrictive. Gun rights advocates had hoped that the Supremes would take the NY case and toss out that state’s law.
I’m assuming the pressure will also increase on Attorney General Lisa Madigan to appeal the appellate court’s ruling that gives Illinois until June 9th to revamp state law.
*** UPDATE *** Washington Times…
Alan Gura, counsel for the [New York] plaintiffs — five residents who had applied for a “full-carry license” — disagreed.
“The only thing worse than explicitly refusing to enforce an enumerated constitutional right would be to declare a right ‘fundamental’ while standing aside as lower courts render it worthless,” Mr. Gura wrote in a reply brief on March 26. “Few outcomes could promote as much cynicism about our legal system.”
The other way of looking at this is that the US Supreme Court hasn’t yet decided that concealed carry truly is a “fundamental right.”
So far, no response from ISRA.
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Today’s number: $86.3 million
Monday, Apr 15, 2013 - Posted by Rich Miller
* From the SJ-R…
As taxpayers rush to send in their 1040s Monday, folks sending a check to the Illinois Department of Revenue may be wondering what happens to all that cash.
The answer for at least $86.3 million last year is that it gets “flushed away,” according to state Comptroller Judy Baar Topinka.
The line of unpaid vendors is much longer and the bill is much higher than that comparatively small amount — the total for outstanding bills stood at nearly $5.9 billion as of Friday afternoon — but those tens of millions of dollars last year went to cover interest owed on those late payments.
If the state can’t pay its bills on time — after 90 days — private vendors become eligible for interest on the overdue amount. That accrues month after month until the bill gets paid.
Many of those overdue bills are in the Medicaid program, which means the state isn’t getting timely federal reimbursement, which just compounds the problems.
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Keep your fingers crossed
Monday, Apr 15, 2013 - Posted by Rich Miller
* From NBC 5…
Gov. Pat Quinn admitted he’s a procrastinator when it comes to taxes.
The Governor said there’s nothing wrong with waiting until the last minute to file tax returns. In fact, Quinn said he’s filing them close to the deadline himself. […]
“You can file early on and if people want to do that I commend them, but those of us who often do our term papers at the last minute often times do our taxes at the last minute,” he said. “But as long as you get in on the deadline you’re OK and that’s what I plan to do.”
As you may remember, the governor did his own returns last year, filing them on April 16th, which was a Monday that year. As we eventually discovered, he goofed up his taxes a bit…
The federal tax he reported paying was actually $1,607.48 less than the tax he reported owing. But he looks like he reversed the numbers. Instead of subtracting what he owed from what he paid, which would have given him a negative result, he subtracted what he paid from what he owed, and then asked for a $1,607.48 refund when he actually appears to owe that amount.
So, filing at the last minute does have its downsides.
Have you filed yet?
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[This story was originally posted Saturday, but has now been updated and bumped up for conversational purposes.]
* Opponents of Republican Party Chairman Pat Brady were not able to muster the votes to oust him today. Indeed, no votes were even taken on an ouster, which was a serious defeat to his most outspoken opponents.
However, the central committee did set up a process to find a replacement. So, it appears as though the “surrender with honor” idea by top Republicans has worked. Brady can announce a resignation “of his own accord” and without a sword over his head. The opponents “win” because Brady will step down, but there will not be a hardline conservative appointed in his place. Expect either Sen. Matt Murphy or somebody like him.
* The Illinois Review summed up a few tweets from the meeting…
# Meeting went to Executive Session without period for public comment
# Crowd got rowdy and began to chant outside Executive Session
# Oberweis went out to crowd to calm them. Offered ice cream.
# Tinley Park police called because of noise complaint
# Reports of “hundreds” outside GOP State Rep. Ed Sullivan’s office - protesting his intention to vote for marriage redefinition
* Um, here’s a photo of what IR called “hundreds” of people outside Rep. Sullivan’s office…
Doesn’t look like “hundreds” to me. More like a few dozen or so.
* Also, click here for tweets from the hashtag #ilgop for your entertainment purposes.
*** UPDATE *** Coverage roundup…
* Tribune: Brady still chairman, but state GOP panel preps for his succession
NBC5: Brady Ouster Fails, Support for Gay Marriage Continues
* Daily Herald: Republicans keep Brady as party chair at Tinley Park meeting
* AP: Brady to remain Illinois Republican Chairman
* IL Review: Illinois Republican State Central Committee retains Brady as party chairman
* IL Review: Videos of ILGOP meeting begin to emerge
* IL Review: Another video from ILGOP meeting
* William Kelly: Kelly Calls on Pat Brady to Apologize for “Treating Republicans Like Animals”
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Not giving up
Friday, Apr 12, 2013 - Posted by Rich Miller
* I told subscribers about this today. You’ll have to subscribe to get all the deets, however. There’s quite a lot left out of this report…
A suburban state senator isn’t backing down from efforts to oust the beleaguered Illinois GOP chair, who supports gay marriage, at Saturday’s state central committee meeting in Tinley Park.
Dairy magnate Jim Oberweis, of Sugar Grove, told the Daily Herald Friday that he believes the state central committee will soon begin interviewing potential candidates to replace GOP Chair Pat Brady of St. Charles, though he did not indicate whether there were enough votes to force the chairman’s ouster in the coming weeks. […]
Oberweis reacted strongly on Friday against speculation that an agreement crafted by Brady supporters could be reached and that Brady might exit gracefully and be replaced by state Sen. Matt Murphy, of Palatine.
“It’s going to be determined by the state central committee and not by anybody who thinks suddenly they’ve got a great idea,” Oberweis said.
I talked to Oberweis yesterday and again today. He wants you to know, in no uncertain terms, that he’s not opposed to Republicans supporting gay marriage. He says he just adamantly believes that the state GOP chairman should adhere publicly to the party platform.
* I was also able to confirm yesterday that it was indeed Sen. Oberweis who recently commented on my blog…
Jim Oberweis - Thursday, Apr 4, 13 @ 10:17 pm:
I have tried to make this clear to every reporter I have spoken to: I believe it is OK for any Republican, including elected officials, to have some differences with the party platform. However, if you are the “CEO” of the state party, it is not OK to lobby against the state party platform. If the State Party Chairman feels so strongly in opposition to the party platform, then he/she should resign from the position as chairman since it will be very difficult for him/her to then lead a unified party. I’m not happy that Mark Kirk or Jason Barickman took a position that differs from our party but that does not mean that they are not good Republicans.
* Oberweis also told me that his political director was upset because I had deleted one of his comments here. I said I didn’t remember deleting the comment, but I delete a lot of them and that maybe it was just held up by my automatic moderation system. So, I went back and looked today and found it. It had, indeed, been held and I didn’t notice, probably because it was posted in the evening and I was out and about by then. Anyway, here it is…
Ben Marcum - Monday, Apr 8, 13 @ 8:44 pm: |Edit
Rich,
I must take issue with your characterization of Jim Oberweis backtracking or recalibrating his message on the Pat Brady issue. Nothing could be further from the truth. Since the story about Pat Brady lobbying legislators first broke, Jim’s message has been the same. From day one Senator Oberweis has stated in nearly every interview that this indeed, has NOTHING to do with gay marriage. Instead, it is and always has been an issue of corporate governance. You’ve been around long enough to know that most of these reporters have the story written before they even speak with him. I am fully aware of the narrative that Jim is some sort of ultra right wing bigot who hates illegal immigrants and gays. I’ve worked closely with the man for a decade and I assure you it is total myth. I fail to see a link of recalibration or retooling drawn from the Kane County Chronicle quote. Jim has always told reporters that if it had been another issue contrary to the Republican platform his response would have been the same. It could have been Pat Brady supporting Obamacare or Quinn’s tax increase. You later go on to say, “A month after saying it was all about gay marriage, Oberweis told Chicago Public Radio “It has nothing to do with gay marriage.” The Chicago Public Radio quote is COMPLETELY consistent with what he has said from the beginning. I’ve heard him give the interviews. It just is not the case!! With the current legislature being the most liberal in my lifetime, I don’t see how Jim is losing the argument when Madigan still can’t find the votes to pass it. It appears to me like Jim is winning the argument.
Respectfully,
Ben Marcum
Political Director
Friends of Jim Oberweis
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*** UPDATED x1 *** Broken Illinois
Friday, Apr 12, 2013 - Posted by Rich Miller
* Oy…
The Illinois Department of Human Services is struggling to provide services as some workers face caseloads of more than a thousand people.
Michelle Saddler, the agency’s director, said that the department is understaffed. “Many of you have probably heard DHS is behind or DHS has a backlog,” she told a House human services budget committee today. “We at DHS overall need more realistic staffing.” The department is asking for $3.6 billion for fiscal year 2014, the same amount proposed under Gov. Pat Quinn’s budget. DHS is expected to spend more than $3.2 billion this fiscal year. The department was cut by almost $150 million under the current fiscal year’s budget.
Linda Saterfield, director of the division of family and community services at DHS, said some of her caseworkers have caseloads as big as 2,600. “If you calculate that out, that leaves that worker less than 45 minutes over the course of a year to serve that family.” The average caseload in the division, which administers such core safety net programs as Temporary Assistance for Needy Families and the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance program, averages more than 900 cases per worker. That compares with the year 2000, when the average was just under 250 cases per worker. Saterfield said that one in four residents are served through one of the division’s programs. “Our caseload has grown dramatically, but our staffing levels have reduced so much that we are unable to adequately meet the needs for services,” she said.
Kevin Casey, director of the Division of Developmental Disabilities at DHS, said there are about 11,000 people with developmental disabilities waiting for services in Illinois. He said the wait time can be up to four years. “It really is a struggle to understand how they get from one day to another at times,” Casey told the committee. He said the department does have a plan to reduce the number of people on the wait list over the next few years. Casey told committee members that he would later calculate what it would cost to address the wait list immediately. “It’s a choker of a number. It would take a good deal of money to serve everyone on that waiting list.”
Theodora Binion, acting director of the Division of Mental Health at DHS, said that more than 80 percent of people in need of mental health services are not receiving them. “Eighty percent of the people who need mental health services aren’t getting them? Something fundamentally is wrong with that system,” said Rep. David Leitch, who serves on the committee. Leitch said that he thinks lawmakers should prioritize mental health funding over other requests the department might have. “To overlook this, to me, is quite a crisis. I think we should as a committee take a very hard look [at it] before we add a lot of new employees at DHS and do some of the other things.” Binion said steps are being taken to serve more people through managed care programs. “I think that there are plans afoot to increase the capacity.”
* Oy…
Social service advocates say agencies providing in-home care for seniors could be at risk if additional state money is not set aside to pay them.
The Illinois Department of Aging notified service providers in a letter March 7 that it would soon run out of money to fund the Community Care Program for the current fiscal year, which ends on June 30. Providers say that $173 million is needed to properly fund service through the end of Fiscal Year 2013. Kimberly Parker, the Department of Aging’s spokeswoman, said in an email it was “common knowledge” the legislature did not give the agency enough money to continue to pay providers through the entire fiscal year and that administrators are hopeful additional money could be found. She said that so far, providers have continued to administer services, but without more funding, payment would likely be delayed until the start of next fiscal year.
The program serves mainly lower-income seniors who apply for assistance through the state for home-based long-term care assistance, with everyday needs ranging from preparing meals and running errands to dressing and bathing, according to the agency’s website. The program helps to care for an estimated 80,000 senior citizens in the state. Aside from at-home providers, it also helps to pay for background checks for at-home caregivers, adult day centers that watch elderly clients during the day and a program designed to preventing elderly spouses from being burdened by their spouses in-home care and falling into poverty. To qualify, Illinois residents must be at least 60 years old, the state must determine that they need long-term care and they must have less than $17,500 in assets aside from their home, car and furniture.
* Meanwhile, the mother of a Murray Developmental Center resident confronted the governor this week, and WUIS’ Amanda Vinicky jumped in…
WINKELER: “It is not safe, one size does not fit all…”
QUINN: “Well I understand that.”
Winkeler’s son, Mark, is 28-years-old…
WINKELER: “He functions like a nine-month old, has an IQ of twelve, needs total round the clock care, diaper changing, feeding, clothing.”
Like the kind care she says he gets at Murray.
Winkler says Quinn might realize that if he ever saw it firsthand.
VINICKY: “Governor, actually have you visited Murray Center, or Jacksonville Developmental Center?”
QUINN: “I made a decision based on what I think was right for the people of Illinois, it’s not an easy decision but a necessary one.”
VINICKY: “But did you visit either of them ever?”
QUINN: “No. I have not. I’ve seen plenty of information about it.”
*** UPDATE *** From the governor’s office…
The one-size-fits-all approach is exactly what we are moving away from. Before Governor Quinn took office, Illinois institutionalized more people than any other state. Now we are rebalancing the way the state provides services for people with developmental disabilities and mental health challenges, increasing community care so that families have more choices and people have a higher quality of life.
Whether it be an institution (once Murray is closed, there will be six institutions left Illinois); community care (which is proven to provide a higher quality of life, which is why we have increased community care and are building more capacity every day); or private intermediate care facilities (of which there are 298 across Illinois) — this is the opposite of a one-size-fits-all approach.
[ *** End Of Update *** ]
* Related…
* The state of mental health funding in Illinois is ill.
* Illinois lawmakers eye $2.5 bln bond deal to pay bills
* Harris: “We’re not solving the problem” by borrowing $2B to pay old Medicaid bills
* Illinois looks to borrow $2 billion
* House votes to end access to state pension system for part-time board members
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Question of the day
Friday, Apr 12, 2013 - Posted by Rich Miller
* A Facebook photo taken during Gov. Pat Quinn’s recent trade mission to Mexico…
* The Question: Caption?
I am fully aware how difficult it will be to keep it clean, but you must keep it clean. And write your posts in English as well. I don’t wanna be using Google Translate all darned day to make sure you’re following directions.
Again, keep it clean.
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About that polygamy argument
Friday, Apr 12, 2013 - Posted by Rich Miller
* I didn’t get into this part of Rep. Tom Morrison’s argument today against gay marriage…
If one male and one female is discriminatory, then isn’t limitation of marriage to just two people discriminatory, too? There are men who would like to marry two or more consenting females. Would you define their relationship as marriage, too?
The post was way too long as it was, so I just skipped over that. But some folks are debating it in comments, including the usual social conservative stance that polygamy must be approved if gay marriage is allowed. The commenter “47th Ward” wrote a highly cogent counter-argument…
Plural marriages would require a complete rewrite of the tax code to determine how and who can file as married filing jointly. Divorce laws would need to be amended, including custody and property rights. What if I want to divorce one of my wives, but my other wives don’t want to divorce the other?
The civil, legal understanding of marriage is a two-party, mutually agreed contract. To argue for polygamy you are truly trying to redefine marriage.
Providing for same sex civil marriage brings none of the extra legal issues to the table. The polygamy argument is ignorant and tiresome.
Discuss. And, please, try to be intellectually honest with the rest of us. Arguing in favor of something you actually oppose in order to score some cheap points in a different argument is not cool or welcome.
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Leading with his chin - Brady’s secret letter
Friday, Apr 12, 2013 - Posted by Rich Miller
* The News-Gazette interviewed possible Republican gubernatorial candidate Bruce Rauner…
Rauner also said he was prepared to use the power of the governorship to take on “special interests.”
“We are a state that has been taken over completely by special-interest groups that make their money from government. Unfortunately for us, they’ve taken over a big chunk of the Republican Party too,” he said. “We don’t like to talk about it, but it’s true. And they own the Democratic Party. The folks who make their money from the government — AFSCME and SEIU and the teachers’ unions and trial lawyers, you look at their financial muscle, who they’ve given donations to. They’ve got our taxpayers by the throats and they’re squeezing. They’ve got our schoolchildren by the throats and they’re squeezing them.”
He declined to say specifically how he would take on interest groups.
Um, hmm. Wouldn’t “special-interest groups that make their money from government” also include the companies which have made millions of dollars from investing government pension funds? And wouldn’t that list include Rauner’s former company?
The attack ad basically writes itself.
* More Rauner…
“The governorship in Illinois is a very powerful governorship,” he said. “You can do things with executive order here that many states can’t do. You have an amendatory veto, line-item veto, you’ve got the ability to appoint to key positions that the Legislature wants to have influence in. If you’re a creative negotiator and you’ve got a steel backbone and are willing to play hardball, you can get a lot of stuff done. We’ll be stretching the power of the office. I’ll be stretching the envelope aggressively.”
Executive orders are basically limited to reorganizing state agencies. Lots of governors have done that, and the reorgs have failed more often than not.
And I think it’ll be extremely important for political reporters to get him to say how he will be “stretching the envelope aggressively” if he’s elected governor. If Rauner intends to do unprecedented things with the office, then we definitely ought to know what he has in mind. And if he won’t say, well, that’s also a great attack ad. Fear of the unknown is the worst.
* And Rauner on Bill Brady’s 2010 campaign…
“I don’t think Bill ran a particularly good campaign. Let’s start with that. I think he ran a pretty lousy campaign and he spent virtually no time in metro Chicago,” he said. “You’re not going to win if you don’t show your face. Nobody will outwork me in this campaign.”
* Speaking of Sen. Brady, the likely 2014 candidate sent a confidential letter to his supporters a few weeks ago. In that letter, he defends his losing 2010 race. Click the pic for a larger view…
The full letter is here. There are some poll results and other stuff that you might wanna discuss below.
* And while you’re at it, take a gander at this letter Sen. Brady sent to his colleagues yesterday. Notice the misspelling of Sen. Durbin’s name. It’s also misspelled as “Durban” on the press release, along with numerous other typos. Oops.
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No data to support sentencing claim
Friday, Apr 12, 2013 - Posted by Rich Miller
* WBEZ has an excellent story about how Mayor Rahm Emanuel’s demand that state legislators increase mandatory minimum sentences is not based on actual research. Emanuel, his police chief and others have pointed to New York City’s great success with reducing crime and claim that harsher mandatory minimums are a big reason for that success…
The situation in New York — that’s one of the main “arguments” Emanuel and Chicago Police Superintendent Garry McCarthy have repeatedly made over the past few months as they’ve pushed their agenda on gun legislation..
“And just look at New York,” said McCarthy at a press conference this week. “It couldn’t be a clearer example of how to do this. The fact is, where these conditions exist, it’s working. I mean, what research do we need?”
But that’s not what the data shows…
[Frank Zimring is] a professor of law at the University of California Berkeley and author of the book “The City That Became Safe: New York’s Lessons for Urban Crime and its Control.”
“The mandatory minimum punishments, is, if you study the New York experience, beside the point,” said Zimring.
Zimring studied 19 years of data tracking crime in New York. He says in 1990 the city had 2,250 murders. In 2012, it had 419. That’s an astonishing 80 percent drop in murder.
It’s that success that’s being used to justify the mandatory minimum sentences being proposed by Emanuel and McCarthy, but mandatory minimums weren’t signed into law in New York until late 2006.
“That’s after 90 percent of the crime reduction!” said Zimring. “I think that what’s going on is that the superintendent and the mayor in Chicago are under a ‘do something fast political pressure,’ and in my experience, at least, that’s never been good for penal codes.”
Go read the whole thing.
* Meanwhile, Rep. Brandon Phelps is not optimistic at all about the future of concealed carry negotiations…
On Thursday, Phelps said he thinks both sides are as divided as they were at the beginning of the spring session, despite ongoing negotiations over several components of his bill, such as defining where guns couldn’t be carried and whether home-rule units could have local control.
“I don’t know if there’s going to be a compromise, to be honest,” Phelps said. “I just think we’re too far apart.”
* ISRA’s Richard Pearson talked about yesterday’s gun control rally…
Pearson said a mandate to make people report lost or stolen guns “actually makes the victim the defendant” and “actually helps the criminal element.”
Pearson said everything gun control advocates want to do “puts a burden on the law-abiding gun owner and doesn’t do anything to punish the criminal.”
The gun control advocates’ real goal is “to nullify the Second Amendment, to stigmatize gun owners and to culturally isolate them so lawful firearm owners look like some kind of weird fringe group, when that’s not true. Actually, they (the gun control advocates) are the weird fringe group,” Pearson said.
I don’t quite see how reporting lost or stolen guns helps criminals. But I do believe that he’s at least partly right on some things. Focusing on generally law-abiding people when crafting gun control measures is often counter-productive. You end up with people prosecuted for harmless stuff. Focus on the violent criminals. Mayor Emanuel’s proposal to up their sentences may not be based on science, but at least it puts the focus where it belongs.
However, if yesterday’s polling is anywhere near accurate, then the gun control groups are solidly within the mainstream. They aren’t fringe by any means.
* Here’s something that could be useful…
While gun regulation supporters rallied outside, House lawmakers inside the Statehouse voted in favor of a measure that would create a mental health first aid program in which certified trainers could teach members of the public how to recognize and help someone who could be dealing with a mental health disorder or addiction.
Backed by lawmakers who referenced the mental health condition of the shooter in Newtown, the bill passed 105-8. It now moves to the Senate.
Sponsoring Rep. Esther Golar, D-Chicago, told lawmakers to spread the word of this proposal through “town hall meetings and in your newsletters” because people need information about mental health issues in society.
* Related…
* VIDEO: Gov. Pat Quinn at gun control rally
* State police say they need more funding for concealed carry
* Heat continues on gun issues
* Sheila Simon: Let’s find common ground on guns
* Will County Board to take up concealed carry in May
* Illinois US Representatives and Gun Control
* Robin Kelly is sworn in: ‘Today is about a new beginning for the people of 2nd Congressional District’
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Illinois NAACP backs gay marriage
Friday, Apr 12, 2013 - Posted by Rich Miller
* From NAACP Illinois State Conference President George P. Mitchell…
“The NAACP was founded 104 years ago in response to the continuing horrific practice of lynching and the 1908 race riot in Springfield.
While the nature of the struggle may change, our bedrock commitment to civil rights and freedom never will and that includes civil marriage equality. The fight for freedom and equality encompasses all mankind.
We live in a democracy. In our democracy we have the benefit of a Constitution which defines the equal rights which we all share and to which we as a nation aspire. The Fourteenth Amendment to that Constitution says, in part, that no state “shall deny to any person within its jurisdiction the equal protection of the laws” and that becomes a significantly relevant issue.
Just 50 years ago, many states would not recognize a marriage between people of different races. Today, we see marriage equality as a civil rights issue and an extension of that fight. Marriage equality is just that – the right to be treated equally in the eyes of the government. What better evidence than the Fourteenth Amendment.
People of good conscience can disagree on this issue. We deeply respect differences of opinion and conscience on the religious definition of marriage, and we strongly affirm the religious freedoms and ceremonial practices of all as protected by the First Amendment.
But, the NAACP will always stand for full equality under the law.”
According to its website, the state conference has no officers from Chicago. That’s a problem because much of the pushback on gay marriage is coming from Chicago ministers.
* And speaking of the ministers, here’s my Sun-Times column…
There was a time at the Illinois Statehouse when using African-American ministers as political props was all the rage.
ComEd touted support from black preachers to pass a bill to raise its rates. AT&T did the same when it passed a major piece of legislation. Before the national real estate and banking crash, the mortgage industry fought a bill to crack down on excessively lenient home loans by putting black ministers up front.
And though the ministers were obviously just doing a bit of payroll shilling, their state legislators took them quite seriously.
ComEd and AT&T won their fights.
The mortgage industry lost, but only because House Speaker Michael Madigan called in every favor he could think of to pass his bill. But then Gov. Rod Blagojevich used his veto powers to basically gut the measure, so Madigan eventually lost and the industry won.
For whatever reason, the big corporations have mostly stopped recruiting African-American ministers to front their causes.
But there’s a new group called the African-American Clergy Coalition that is trying to make some waves in Springfield, and they’re doing a pretty good job.
The group claims on its website that it exists to provide resolutions to problems “affecting the lives of African-American and other oppressed people.”
Right now, though, the only issue the group is tackling is gay marriage. The ministers are against it. Solidly against it, despite the thick irony of declaring support for the oppressed while fighting to deny civil marriage rights to others.
The pastors are doing a very good job so far of intimidating black legislators into backing away from their previous support. Their push has all but halted the momentum of gay marriage backers, who had high hopes when the state Senate approved the bill in February.
Along the way, some of those ministers have picked up a few bucks. For example, Bishop Larry Trotter of the New Century Fellowship International was paid $1,000 out of the group’s new political action committee for “clergy consulting.” Bishop Lance Davis of the New Zion Christian Fellowship Covenant Church was also paid $1,000 for “clergy consulting.”
So far, the group has reported raising $72,000, all of it from the National Organization for Marriage, which was heavily involved in passing California’s statewide proposition that declared marriage to be solely between a man and a woman. NOM is run by white folks who have recently made outreach to the black community a top priority. Polls have consistently shown that African-Americans are not nearly as supportive of gay rights and gay marriage as whites.
Of that significant NOM cash pile, the African-American Clergy Coalition has so far reported spending just $11,250 to actually air radio ads blasting gay marriage.
They don’t really need the ads. For decades, African-American churches have been at the center of black political life. Candidates, black and white, flock to the churches during election time, seeking a few kind words of praise. What the pastors say generally goes.
This is America and church pastors have the absolute right to weigh in on the issues of the day. The prospect of losing their religious tax exemptions is extremely remote because the IRS almost always gives churches the benefit of the doubt.
But the upcoming gay marriage vote here in Illinois is taking place on a national stage. The pastors need to be very careful to make sure they dot all their “i’s” and cross all their “t’s” because a very bright light may be shone in their direction.
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Today’s constituent e-mail
Friday, Apr 12, 2013 - Posted by Rich Miller
* Click the pic for a larger version…
Um, this issue is about marriage between two consenting adults, not pedophilia.
Let’s try to make this clear. To “refuse” an adult the right to marry a nine year old wouldn’t be “discrimination.” It would be preventing statutory rape. It’s defined as statutory rape because a nine year old girl cannot give such “consent” to an adult.
* I talked with Rep. Morrison this morning. He clearly regretted sending the e-mail, which he said he did in haste, adding “I don’t hate anybody,” and saying he wanted to have a “healthy debate” on the issue. He also insisted that he didn’t ever mean to imply that proponents are “advocating for statutory rape.”
Still, some things are just best left unsaid. And when given an opportunity to back down, he wouldn’t.
“If you look at my follow up e-mail, I flesh it out.” Morrison then referenced an article about a nine-year old Saudi girl forced into marriage that he’d read a while ago. “Two years ago we were told, we don’t want marriage, we want legal protections, and furthermore there’s going to be no impact on religious institutions… And less than a year later, Catholic Charities is out of the adoption business, and in the next General Assembly we see SB 10. I think it’s a fair question to ask ‘What is the next thing?… I think that’s the kind of dialogue I want to have with my constituents.”
“Maybe this is a little provocative,” he said, but also claimed that he was being unfairly singled out. “I think the proponents of the bill have to keep the interest level up. That’s why this group sent this e-mail to the media outlets.”
“I apologized to her,” the legislator said. “I invited her to a meeting… This is an attempt to make me look like a bad guy. It’s an effort to paint me in the worst possible light. It’s an attempt to assassinate my character.”
* Rep. Morrison also forwarded me a long e-mail he sent his constituent in response…
Dear [Redacted],
I got an email and phone call tonight from Natasha Korecki at the Chicago Sun-Times. She told me that you were upset by the last email I sent you regarding SB10.
I get hundreds if not thousands of emails everyday, and I do my best to read and personally respond to as many as I can. Sometimes in my haste to deliver, words or thoughts do not translate well.
As you’re well aware, we do disagree on this issue and likely will continue to disagree. That’s OK. I have my strongly felt reasons, and you have yours.
To be clear, however: I do not equate same sex marriage with statutory rape.
The point I was trying to make was this: the state already has certain restrictions on what marriage is. The law itself makes distinctions on who can and cannot marry. For example, one cannot be married to more than one person at the same time. You are not advocating for polyamory (I don’t think), but there are those in Illinois who do. Just google Polyamory Chicago, and see for yourself. They argue that the state is discriminating against their sexual orientation, love, desire to commit, freedom, equality, etc.
The state also defines the age at which individuals may marry. There are groups today that believe young girls ought to be able to marry. Check out the following: (http://jonathanturley.org/2010/02/26/marriage “Saudi Cleric Defends Marriage of Nine-Year-Old Girls and Blasts Human Rights Treaties as the Work of Atheists and Fornicators”). Yes, I find that shocking, too! Saudi Arabia is not Illinois obviously, but would this Saudi Cleric consider IL’s law on marriage to be discriminatory? Probably. I think it’s a fair question to ask. By whose standards do we make our laws? I learned to drive a car at age 10. Was the state prejudicial against me in not allowing me to get a license and drive until I was 16? Why not 15? Why not 12? Why not 10?
So how do we as a society deal with differences of opinion and beliefs on important and emotional issues?
We have a democratic process here. The people’s elected representatives are deciding whether or not our state’s marriage law should be re-defined. Our society is engaged in a healthy debate about that now. You and I can continue to engage in that now, if you wish, either via email, phone call, or in person. In fact, I will be meeting with a Palatine man who is in a same sex civil union later this summer (assuming SB10 still hasn’t been decided by then). You and I could also meet individually or as a group to discuss this.
Changing a law like this is not a light matter. Same sex relationships have been around for millenia, obviously, but codifying marriage as a relationship without regard to gender is a shift of enormous proportions. Interracial marriages have been in existence for millenia, too. Though they were temporarily (in the scope of human history) outlawed in certain jurisdictions, the unions were still of man and woman. That’s why I don’t believe it’s appropriate to say SB10 is analogous with interracial marriage laws, by the way.
Just two years ago, in a lame duck session, the legislature passed a civil unions law. You may believe that it was late in coming, or inadequate, or still discriminatory to same sex couples; you and I haven’t discussed those details so I don’t know. During the debate two years ago, however, the sponsors of the civil unions bill stated that marriage was not their end goal. They also stated that religious individuals and organizations would not be affected if the civil unions law was enacted. We discovered in short order that neither was the case. Same sex marriage is under discussion now, and two large religious-based adoption agencies have had their state contracts cancelled due to religious beliefs. That’s why opponents have real concerns about SB10.
[Redacted name], I don’t seek to intentionally offend or be condescending to anyone, and if I was to you it was unintentional, and I genuinely apologize. If this ever happens again, please do not hesitate to contact my staff or me personally, and I will do my best to respond in a timely manner.
Sincerely,
Tom
Discuss.
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Did the SJ-R get played?
Friday, Apr 12, 2013 - Posted by Rich Miller
* Appearing in today’s State Journal-Register is a guest column entitled “Marijuana not a safe or effective medicine”…
The marijuana bill the Illinois legislature is considering does away with the Food and Drug Administration process, and the legislature assumes the role of the FDA.
The FDA has concluded that marijuana has a high potential for abuse, has no accepted medical use and lacks an acceptable level of safety even under medical supervision. The FDA has approved Marinol, which is not smoked, but is marijuana in pill form. […]
This is about whether Illinois citizens want the legislature to decide on how to approve and dispense medicine instead of the FDA. The medical marijuana lobby has put together myths and money that will not make for a safe or healthier Illinois. The proposal endangers our youth, our highways and our workplaces and increases costs for employers and taxpayers. It is bad medicine.
Etc., etc. Go read the whole thing if you want.
* This is how the SJ-R identifies the column’s co-authors…
Peter Bensinger is former administrator of the U.S. Drug Enforcement Administration and former director of the Illinois Department of Corrections. Andrea Barthwell is former deputy director of the Office of National Drug Control Policy.
Ah, but that’s only part of the story.
* US News & World Report ran an article about Bensinger a few days ago…
Two of the former Drug Enforcement Agency officials who came out this week urging the federal government to nullify new state pot laws in Washington and Colorado are facing criticism for simultaneously running a company that may profit from keeping marijuana illegal.
Robert L. DuPont, who was White House drug czar under Presidents Nixon and Ford, and Peter Bensinger, who was administrator of the Drug Enforcement Administration in the 1970s, today run Bensinger, DuPont & Associates, a company that specializes in workplace drug testing, among other employee programs. Both men signed an open (along with eight other former DEA officials) addressed to Senate Judiciary Committee members this week criticizing the Obama administration for failing to quickly address the new states laws legalizing pot, which are inconsistent with federal law.
* The other co-author, Andrea Barthwell, at one time worked for GW Pharmaceuticals, a company that is marketing Sativex, which is a liquid made from marijuana plants…
GW Pharmaceuticals also announced this week that it had hired former White House Drug Czar Deputy Director Andrea Barthwell in an advisory capacity. As Deputy Director, Barthwell lobbied against legislative efforts to legalize the medical use of whole smoked cannabis by qualified patients. “Having this product (Sativex) available will certainly slow down the dash to make the crude plant material available to patients across the country,” Barthwell told the Los Angeles Times Wednesday.
The pharmaceutical company doesn’t want people smoking weed, they want to provide weed in liquid form and make lots and lots of money.
Barthwell is no longer with the company, but…
Early in Sativex’s development, GW hired Dr. Andrea Barthwell as a consultant to sing the drug’s praises, although she’s no longer in the employ of GM. Barthwell was a deputy drug czar under George W. Bush and is the former president of the American Society for Addiction Medicine (ASAM). In a recent ASAM press release, Barthwell denounced medical marijuana but — significantly — only because it was unregulated by the federal government. […]
The likes of Barthwell and Burr have drawn the ire of supporters for the reform of marijuana laws who believe that they represent the pharmaceutical industry’s goal for medical marijuana: demonize it, prosecute it, shut it down, then grab the market.
So, yeah, to answer the headline, I’m pretty sure the SJ-R got played.
* And I wonder if the Illinois Family Institute knew what was really going on when they scheduled Barthwell, Bensinger and Bensinger’s partner Robert L. DuPont to speak at an April 15th legislative conference…
Truth and Consequences of Marijuana as Medicine
A fact-checked, research-based discussion about marijuana and Illinois
Our speakers will sort fact from fiction about how marijuana impacts health and safety, Illinois youth, drugged driving and the workplace. They will explain what to expect if a medical marijuana law is enacted in Illinois, and how it will dramatically increase use and dependency. Join us to learn the facts.
This FREE conference on marijuana is for elected officials, educators, faith organizations, drug prevention and treatment providers, business leaders, and local governments. A complimentary lunch will be provided.
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* 1:56 pm - The Illinois Supreme Court has agreed to hear a direct appeal of Sangamon County Judge Stephen Nardulli’s ruling that free health insurance is not a pension benefit and is therefore not protected by the state’s Constitution. The plaintiffs and the state both asked for the direct appeal. You can read the order by clicking here.
* Meanwhile, the House just voted to abolish the lt. governor’s office. From a press release…
State Representative David McSweeney (R-Barrington Hills) passed House Joint Resolution by Constitutional Amendment (HJRCA 18) as chief sponsor, a measure that would eliminate the job of Lieutenant Governor and be placed on the 2014 ballot for voters to approve. McSweeney garnered bipartisan support by citing that the measure will save the State money and eliminate redundancies.
HJRCA 18 passed the Illinois House today by a vote of 81-30. […]
The bill will have a positive fiscal impact on the state’s budget as it would eliminate the salary and operating costs of the Office of the Lt. Governor. For fiscal year 2013, the Lieutenant Governor’s salary was $135,900 and total office appropriations were approximately $2 million. […]
Under the legislation, the Attorney General would be next in line to assume the duties of Governor if necessary. The legislation would be effective for the term beginning in 2019.
Arizona, Maine, New Hampshire, Oregon, Tennessee, West Virginia, and Wyoming all do not have the office of Lt. Governor.
The trick here is getting the Senate to act. Usually, these things die in the other chamber.
The constitutional amendment has a long bipartisan sponsorship list.
*** UPDATE *** Lt. Gov. Sheila Simon’s office says she’s neutral on the measure, but opposed to the idea. The full statement…
We’re neutral on the current proposal, as we support the opportunity for the public to provide input in their government through referenda. That said, we are opposed to the idea of abolishing the Lt. Governor’s Office, which is important for a number of reasons.
A total of 45 states have a Lt. Governor to succeed the Governor in cases of emergency, as has happened in Illinois five times, most recently with Governor Quinn.
The Lt. Governor is the only administration officer the Governor cannot fire and can be counted on to serve as an independent advisor.
In these tough economic times, Lt. Governor Simon has made it her mission to do more with less for the taxpayers of Illinois. She has voluntarily cut her budget by more than 12 percent the past two years and gives back a portion of her salary each year.
Simon is working hard to improve the quality of life for Illinois residents as the state’s point person on education reform, an advocate for victims of domestic violence and our military families, and she is leading the effort to preserve our rivers.
[ *** End Of Update *** ]
* Roundup…
* Defendant who cooperated in Blagojevich investigation agrees to plea deal: One of the last loose ends in Operation Board Games — the federal probe that led to former Gov. Rod Blagojevich’s incarceration — was tied up Wednesday when crooked construction boss Jacob Kiferbaum agreed to a final plea deal.
* Daughter of ex-Obama pastor indicted by Springfield grand jury
* IHSA issues sanctions following ugly Harrisburg-Seton Academy title game
* Illinois House to hear testimony from R.J. Reynolds on ‘tobacco harm-reduction’ concept
* Illinois says no to ‘scholarship’ school choice
* Health insurance exchange concerns, optimism voiced
* Video gambling legislation advances; lawmaker fights to include ’social clubs’
* Fertilizer execs pitch plant to Illinois
* Quinn says local governments should be able to impose strict gun laws
* Quinn tiptoes around medical marijuana questions as possible House vote looms
* Quinn won’t commit to signing medical marijuana bill
* Quinn: Closing Illinois institutions right thing
* Quinn says man is transition success story
* Quinn Meets With Developmentally Disabled Wednesday
* Bishop says tighter gun laws will help build culture of life
* House OKs new bond rules - Bill would make it easier for residents to oppose taxpayer-backed debt
* Illinois State House Passes Property Tax bill
* Students, faculty lobby lawmakers for budget support at UI Capitol Day
* ANALYSIS: Why Cubs, City Hall haven’t sealed Wrigley deal yet
* Goat’s head delivered to Wrigley Field
* Illinois AG says time for immigration reform now
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Question of the day
Thursday, Apr 11, 2013 - Posted by Rich Miller
* One of the items not covered by the major media today regarding yesterday’s Senate Executive Committee hearing was a suggestion by Illinois Gaming Board Chairman Aaron Jaffe that agencies like CMS ought to be outright eliminated because of the time it takes to hire new employees. It takes at least six months, sometimes much more to hire people, Jaffe said.
Some Senators then offered to delete state laws governing patronage and civil service hiring for the Gaming Board to help things along, saying the Gaming Board would likely not make bad hiring decisions. Chairman Jaffe and his staff seemed to like the idea, even though the laws were put on the books after decades of state hiring corruption. Jaffe said that in some cases the board had tried to hire experts, but by the time they were given approval the potential employees had found other work.
* The Question: Do you approve of abolishing state employee hiring laws for the Illinois Gaming Board? Take the poll and then explain your answer in comments, please. You might also want to chime in on Jaffe’s abolish CMS idea.
panel management
* Coverage roundup…
* Stormy Senate hearing pits outspoken casino regulator against gambling-expansion advocate
* Illinois gambling expansion gets heated in Springfield
* State senators take on concerns over more gambling
* Ill. senators take on concerns over more gambling
* Illinois Gaming Board questions gambling bill
* Gov. Quinn skeptical about gaming expansion
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Senger prepping race against Foster
Thursday, Apr 11, 2013 - Posted by Rich Miller
* Democrat Bill Foster won by about 17 points last year over longtime Republican Judy Biggert. This is uphill at best…
State Rep. Darlene Senger will meet with Republicans in Washington, D.C., this week in preparation to challenge Democratic Rep. Bill Foster next year.
Senger will sit down with staff at the National Republican Congressional Committee, as well as with House GOP leadership and U.S. Chamber of Commerce officials, according to a knowledgeable Illinois Republican.
She is also scheduled to speak with several Illinois members, including GOP Reps. Adam Kinzinger, Rodney Davis, Peter Roskam, Randy Hultgren and John Shimkus.
Republicans do not expect Senger will formally declare her candidacy until later this month. In early March, Senger told CQ Roll Call that she was “considering” the race.
* Rep. Senger explained her thinking last month…
“Part of what we’re looking at now is a trend in Illinois — [in] all of the non-presidential years, there is a way different race voter profile than there is during the presidential years,” Senger said on why she could outperform Biggert’s 2012 numbers.
Also, Senger or any other GOP challenger will not have to contend with the coattails of Illinois’ native son, President Barack Obama, in 2014 — or ever again.
But if Republicans make another poor showing here in 2014, it is hard to see how they will invest time and money in this district down the line. Also, Democrats point out that Foster outperformed Obama in the district in 2012.
Senger lives in Naperville, a suburb west of Chicago. She has served in Illinois House since 2009. Before her political career, she was a financial adviser. Her state committee assignments are related to finance.
A campaign blog is already set up, but there isn’t much to it.
* For perspective, Rod Blagojevich won this district 47-40, but Pat Quinn narrowly lost it 46-45. Mark Kirk won it 48-45. So, yeah, the numbers are very different in off years. But it’s still gonna be uphill for her as long as Foster does his job.
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* This poll was embargoed until after midnight today, so I refused to post yesterday’s Sun-Times story until I got the actual results…
A new poll shows widespread support among Illinois voters across the political spectrum for the gun-control proposals being debated in Washington and Springfield.
By a 4-1 ratio, voters said they were more likely to elect legislative candidates who backed strong gun-control measures, according to the poll by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner.
Those voters included gun owners, the poll found.
“It’s clear voters in Illinois are ready to reward candidates who support these limits — and punish candidates who don’t,” said pollster Al Quinlan, whose Washington-based firm does work for Mayor Rahm Emanuel.
OK, first of all, the poll was conducted for the Illinois Council Against Handgun Violence. So you gotta take the results with at least one grain of salt.
Secondly, these “more likely to vote” for or against a candidate results are often misconstrued by the media. The results are a gauge of how intense support or opposition really is. You need some pretty high numbers to indicate real electoral trouble or benefit, depending.
And, finally, the pollster surveyed 600 registered voters, not likely voters. That means we’re probably seeing a more liberal skew.
* From the actual poll…
Thinking about the elections for Illinois general assembly in 2014, are you more likely to vote for a candidate who supported a strong conceal and carry law with many of the proposals you just heard, or are you more likely to vote for a candidate who supported a weaker law with fewer restrictions, or would it make no difference?
Kind of a loaded question if you ask me. “Stronger” vs. “weaker”? C’mon.
* Results…
Many of the provisions tested in the poll are actually in Rep. Brandon Phelps’ concealed carry bill, including bans on concealed carry in schools, stadiums, bars, and requiring training, permits and background checks.
The big difference between the two sides is one seeks a far broader ban, even near schools, for instance, while one would only ban it in school buildings.
But the poll did find that by 65-32, Illinoisans want concealed carry banned on buses and trains. That’s a very large margin. Rep. Phelps opposes that idea.
* When asked whether they favored or opposed allowing people to carry “concealed loaded guns” in public, we get this…
That’s a strong majority against, but not spectacularly so.
* Obviously, though, the public is opposed to most of the NRA’s agenda. By a 67-29 margin, they support a “ban on military style assault weapons.” 68 percent support and 28 percent oppose “limit ammunition magazines so only 10 rounds can be fired without
reloading.”
And some of these results are just off the charts.
For instance, by a whopping 93-6 they want “mandatory reporting to law enforcement when guns are lost or stolen.” And also by a huge 82-17 respondents say “All gun owners must register their guns and must notify the authorities when they sell or transfer their gun.”
After all those (and more) proposals are listed, half (300) of the respondents were asked…
Again, thinking about the elections for Illinois general assembly in 2014, are you more likely to vote for a candidate who supported a strong gun law with many of the additional proposals you just heard, or are you more likely to vote for a candidate who supported a weaker law with fewer restrictions, or would it make no difference?
Again, kinda loaded there.
Results…
* The other half (300) were asked this question…
Again, thinking about the elections for Illinois general assembly in 2014, are you more likely to vote for a candidate who supported a strong gun law that included background checks on all gun sales, or are you more likely to vote for a candidate who supported a gun law that did not include background checks on all gun sales, or would it make no difference?
The results…
Read the whole poll here.
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* Billboards are some of the least effective political advertising, but they’re relatively cheap, so…
The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee is putting up billboards in 10 House Republicans’ districts accusing them of “putting radicalism and partisanship ahead of solutions for the middle class.” […]
The National Republican Congressional Committee fired back.
“The only thing that’s radical is the Democrats’ plan to never, ever balance our nation’s budget – and that’s causing a lot more whiplash for voters than these silly billboards will,” NRCC spokesman Daniel Scarpinato said.
From the DCCC…
“Every day when these Members’ constituents drive home, they think of how they will pay their bills, support their families, and pay for their healthcare and retirement – and now they will be reminded that their Republican Member of Congress would rather put radical ideology ahead of solutions for those worries,” said Emily Bittner of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee. “The Republican budget puts millionaires ahead of the middle class and partisanship before solutions, and now Republicans will not be able to hide from their radical records, because they are in plain view. Instead of offering bipartisan solutions, these House Republicans have chosen partisanship again.”
The Davis billboard…
Yeah, that’ll work, I’m sure.
* While the DCCC is blowing cash on a billboard, Davis raked in a pretty darned big haul…
Rep. Rodney Davis, R-Ill., raised just north of $401,000 in his first full fundraising quarter in Congress, according to figures provided exclusively to CQ Roll Call.
The freshman will report having $334,000 in cash on hand and zero debt at the end of March, which marks the deadline to close the books on the first fundraising period of the year. […]
House Democrats have actively searched for potential candidates in the 13th District, even feting a well-known circuit court judge in Washington, D.C., over inauguration weekend.
But so far, not a single Democrat has announced a bid to challenge Davis. Other potential candidates who previously indicated interest in the race include Champaign Mayor Don Gerard and former Champaign County Board Member Brendan McGinty.
I highly doubt they’ll find a solid candidate there. Davis is everywhere, and that district is far more Republican in the off-years than during presidential years, partly because the district is packed with universities. If they couldn’t beat him last year, it’s gonna be a lot tougher to win that seat in 2014.
* Freshman Democratic Congressman Brad Schneider also raised $400K during the first quarter. Bob Dold is looking at a rematch, but that also may be tough row to hoe.
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Devolving on pensions
Thursday, Apr 11, 2013 - Posted by Rich Miller
* During his State of the State address in February, Gov. Pat Quinn said he was in favor of SB1, which at that time was a hybrid pension reform plan that included the Nekritz/Cross language and Senate President John Cullerton’s likely more constitutional reforms…
President Cullerton, thank you for recognizing this, and thank you for your leadership in providing us a path forward through Senate Bill 1, a comprehensive bill that stabilizes our pension systems and fixes the problem.
And thank you, Leader Tom Cross and Representative Elaine Nekritz for working together on a bi-partisan basis to make sure that pension reform is Job One for this General Assembly.
I urge all of you to be part of the solution. And while refinements may come, Senate Bill 1 is the best vehicle to get the job done. [Emphasis added.]
This was something like the third pension bill that Quinn had supported.
* Then, during his budget address last month, Gov. Quinn dropped his explicit support for SB1 and laid out several “fundamental elements” which he said “should be part of pension reform”…
First, there must be a firm guarantee that the State of Illinois will pay its full pension amount every year. I’ve done that since I’ve been governor.
But that did not happen under previous governors and legislatures. They shorted the pension fund and shirked their responsibility. That’s why we have a pension crisis today.
As you know, to make up for that failure, we’ve had to issue two pension obligation notes under my administration. The debt service on these notes will expire in 2020.
Once those notes expire, all of that revenue – nearly $1 billion annually – should be dedicated to the unfunded pension liability.
In addition, employees should adjust their own contributions to their pensions.
A few weeks ago, I attended the summit called by representatives of public employees. I listened to them.
I was pleased that they volunteered to raise their employee contribution to help resolve the pension crisis. This offer should be part of the solution.
* From yesterday…
Quinn endorsed the approach to reforming the underfunded state pensions that has gained the most traction. The House approved separate bills that would rein in cost-of-living adjustments, raise the retirement age and limit how salary could counted toward a retirement check — elements that Quinn wants senators to support in a final pension package.
Trouble is, those bills don’t include Quinn’s “fundamental elements” like guaranteed pension payments, using proceeds from pension bonds for pension payments when the bonds are retired and higher employee contributions.
* The governor’s full remarks…
I respect all of the legislators. I was so happy to see the House come together in a bi-partisan way. They had 25 Republicans, 41 Democrats, vote for a very comprehensive bill - and that’s really good.
I hope this passes the house very quickly. We need to do pensions sooner rather than later. This should not be happening at the last minute. Let’s get it done right away. I’m anxious to get a bill on my desk. In the senate I noticed there were about 23 votes for the House bill. When it comes back over, we only need seven more and I really look forward to working with Senate Democrats to get that extra seven votes to get to 30 to get the job done for the taxpayers of Illinois and the people of our state.
Pension reform is Job 1 this year and everybody has a little different idea. We’re not all going to get every single thing we want.
But let’s get something on my desk that I can sign into law for the people.”
So in just two months he’s gone from insisting on a comprehensive reform that tries to cover all bases, to demanding that “fundamental elements” be included in a pension bill, to yesterday’s “let’s get something on my desk.”
Also, he’s mistaken about that Senate vote. They had a roll call on the much more comprehensive Nekrtiz/Cross bill, not those three individual House bills.
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Report: Rauner compares experience to Romney
Thursday, Apr 11, 2013 - Posted by Rich Miller
* Amanda Vinicky at WUIS reports on a Springfield meeting last night between possible Republican candidate Bruce Rauner and some House Republicans…
One representative who attended the evening meeting, but who asked to remain unidentified, says Rauner said that because he’s not a career politician he’ll say, and do, whatever he wants. The lawmaker says Rauner compared his business background to Republicans’ last Presidential nominee, Mitt Romney. The legislator says Rauner told lawmakers that unlike Romney, he wouldn’t be afraid to upset anyone.
The source says Rauner did not specify how much of his own fortune he’d be willing to put into a race.
Another legislator says the meeting did not go well, and that Rauner is clearly not “ready for big time.” That lawmaker says Rauner threw House Republican Leader Tom Cross “under the bus” by insulting his plan to reduce the state’s pension costs.
Comparing your business background to Mitt Romney is prolly not the greatest idea. There’s already a very effective “defeat Romney” template in place, created by President Obama’s campaign, and it heavily involved whacking the candidate’s business dealings. And Romney did upset quite a few people with his infamous “47 percent” remark. If Rauner plans to go even further, he needs to remember that this ain’t exactly a GOP state.
* The Tom Cross stuff shows that Rauner clearly doesn’t want a negotiated solution to the pension debacle. He has high hopes that a 401(k) program can be somehow passed into law. Plus, dissing a caucus leader to that leader’s own members might not be a great idea, even if Cross does appear to be supporting Aaron Schock’s gubernatorial ambitions.
* I also sat down with a Rauner staffer last night. We had a pleasant evening, but we didn’t get to talk much because there were so many people around that I kept being diverted into other conversations.
The one thing I tried to make clear to him was that there’s nothing personal about Rauner’s coverage here. Rauner is getting more coverage here than others simply because he’s out there talking to folks about his campaign and raising lots of cash. Some candidates (the governor included) get all whiny about their coverage, but so far the Rauner people have stayed pretty professional in their responses. I appreciate that a lot. So, keep that in mind when commenting, please.
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The benefits of SB 1665/HB 2414
Thursday, Apr 11, 2013 - Posted by Advertising Department
[The following is a paid advertisement.]
If passed, the Natural Gas Modernization, Public Safety and Jobs Bill (SB 1665/HB 2414) will:
• Provide Illinoisans with a more reliable, modern natural gas distribution system and reduce the adverse effects of pipe failures or gas leaks;
• Save customers money through new efficiencies in system operations and maintenance, including a reduction in repair costs and the need for repeat visits;
• Protect over 1,000 Illinois jobs;
• Boost our economy. Peoples Gas’ modernization program is expected to directly invest approximately $2.5 billion into the economy over ten years, which is anticipated to generate an additional $3.7 billion into the Illinois economy; and,
• Deliver environmental benefits to Illinois through a reduced release of greenhouse gas emissions. By upgrading and replacing around 1,000 miles of mains, Peoples Gas will reduce methane emissions by the equivalent of about 96,250 metric tons of CO2e, which is comparable to taking around 19,000 cars off the road, once the project is completed.
Illinois needs to invest in our natural gas infrastructure, but our state needs to enact a sound regulatory framework that gives utilities the certainty to invest.
Members of the Illinois legislature: Vote YES on SB 1665/HB 2414. Click here to learn more: www.peoplesgasdelivery.com/legislation
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