|
Two new polls have Trump maintaining lead, Rubio tanking
Sunday, Mar 13, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller [Reader comments are now open.] * For context, the Tribune poll (March 2-6) had Donald Trump leading with 32 percent, Cruz at 22, Rubio with 21 and Kasich at 18 with 7 percent were undecided. The We Ask America poll (March 7-8) had Trump at 33, Cruz with 20, Kasich at 18, Rubio with 11 and 16 percent undecided. * CBS…  * Methodology…
It’s difficult to say with certainty whether Cruz is surging because of our next poll result. But, hey, these races can and do turn on a dime, so nobody really knows what’s going to happen. Friday night’s UIC rally could make a difference, or not. Trump is clearly hoping it will, considering his remarks since then, but so do his opponents. * NBC…  * Methodology…
* Related…
|
|
Two polls show Bernie Sanders surging in Illinois as primary nears
Sunday, Mar 13, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller [Reader comments are now open.] * For context, the Tribune’s poll (March 2-6) had this race at 67-25 for Clinton, while the We Ask America poll (March 7-8) had Clinton’s lead at 62-25. Things can change fast in presidential primaries, so a Sanders surge wouldn’t be a huge surprise, especially after what happened to Clinton in Michigan. * With that out of the way, let’s start with this new survey…
* From CBS…
But keep this in mind…
Not loving that type of poll, but whatever. Also, the high margin of error means this is still anybody’s ballgame, but if Sanders is indeed surging, the trend is not Clinton’s friend (and, yes, those are hack phrases, but I felt like using them anyway - it’s the weekend). * On to NBC…  She’s above 50, but, again, that apparent Sanders surge must have her worried and is probably why I see Sanders’ ads all over my teevee right now. Sanders has been smartly making the horribly unpopular Mayor Rahm Emanuel a major campaign issue, saying recently that he’s happy Rahm didn’t endorse him, telling reporters that if he lived in Chicago he’d be involved in the “Resign Rahm” movement and running ads blasting Emanuel. As we’ve already seen, numerous legislative candidates have attempted to tie their opponents to Emanuel in their Democratic primary campaigns this season. * From NBC…
That huge Sanders lead over Clinton among Latinos here is somewhat unexpected, but he has the strong endorsement of people like Chuy Garcia. * Methodology…
|
|
Trump Chicago roundup
Saturday, Mar 12, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller [Reader comments are now open.] * Two completely polarized views of what happened in Chicago last night…
* Walsh is a Trump supporter, and he took what is usually the standard conservative line: Blame the black, brown and hippie protesters. But the right is split because Trump is still fighting off Republican presidential rivals. Some of Trump’s GOP opponents pounced on him for inciting violence and Fox News at times seemed unsure about what slant to take last night. Also, check this out…
Paul Caprio ain’t no leftie. At all. …Adding… Caprio’s group has a new radio ad which rips Trump a new one… * Moving right along, as I noted on Friday, some early arrests were made at the rally. But the anti-Trump folks were there in force, and their chants appeared to halt further arrests. * And speaking of arrests, a journalist for CBS was busted last night for no apparent reason…
* But the Illinois State Police say they had no role in the arrest…
* As you probably saw elsewhere, Trump said he canceled the event after discussing things over with law enforcement…
* The Chicago Police Department said they had nothing to do with it…
The U of I police claimed they were surprised at the “abrupt” cancellation of the event. The Illinois State Police’s spokesman I quoted above told me “I’m not aware of any advice given to his campaign.” * And there is some speculation that Trump never actually even arrived in Chicago…
* Mark Brown was supremely unimpressed with the anti-Trump crowd…
Agreed, but when covering a big, fast-moving event like that, it’s easy to become overwhelmed by the brief moments that you, yourself see. * Related…
|
|
Proft’s closing ads in McCann district
Saturday, Mar 12, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller [Reader comments are now open.] * The first closer by Dan Proft’s Liberty Principles PAC is called “Dishonor” and hits Sen. Sam McCann hard because he “lied his way into office… We can’t trust him again.” Oof… * The second is a positive spot for McCann’s Republican primary opponent Bryce Benton, who Proft claims will “challenge Madigan at every turn”… * Related…
|
|
Two new TV ads in Madigan district
Saturday, Mar 12, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller [Reader comments are now open.] * The first ad was recorded off WGN TV last night by a subscriber using his mobile phone. The ad was paid for by Blair Hull’s Illinois United for Change PAC. It hits House Speaker Michael Madigan on his property tax business, whacks him for not increasing the minimum wage “even though voters approved it,” and says one of his “top lieutenants took bribes from the company that makes red light cameras.” It’s a pretty good ad… If they had started running it a week or two ago and had lots more money behind it (from what I can tell, only about a hundred grand has been spent so far), that ad could’ve left a major mark. * The second TV ad is somewhat unusual. This spot was also recorded by a subscriber using his mobile phone and it features Congressman Luis Gutierrez speaking Spanish. Check out how “soft” the ad makes Madigan appear as he speaks with his constituents… …Adding… Helpfully translated by the original sender…
|
|
Sen. Mark Kirk says he’ll endorse Trump if nominated
Saturday, Mar 12, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller [Reader comments are now open.] * Pearson…
* According to the Duckworth campaign, Kirk told Channel 5 “If he’s the nominee, I certainly would,” when asked about endorsing Trump. The Duckworth campaign’s response…
…Adding… The video clip… * But Sen. Kirk’s timing was unfortunate, to say the least…
|
| « NEWER POSTS | PREVIOUS POSTS » |
