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A bit slow around here today
Thursday, Sep 6, 2007 - Posted by Rich Miller
Hmmm…
How do we get things going a bit?
Maybe…
I must be desperate…
Can the Cubs really hold onto first place?
[gag]
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Question of the day
Thursday, Sep 6, 2007 - Posted by Rich Miller
First, the setup…
In an effort to be “creative and innovative,” a Cook County commissioner Wednesday proposed a county tax swap: Eliminating the county’s share of homeowner property taxes while boosting the county share of sales tax by 2.25 percentage points.
Such an increase would boost overall sales taxes in Chicago to 11.25 percent. […]
Moreno also hopes the plan will bring in up to $60 million a year in new revenue for the cash-strapped county, which again is facing a budget deficit.
Moreno… wants property owners to continue paying their taxes, with the county issuing rebate checks to residential homeowners.
What do you think of this idea?
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Senate to return, but future is uncertain
Thursday, Sep 6, 2007 - Posted by Rich Miller
* As I told you yesterday, the Senate is coming back to town next week to take up a transit bill and a capital projects proposal. The Pantagraph starts out our coverage…
The General Assembly’s record-breaking overtime session will carry into another week when members of the Illinois Senate convene Monday.
Just a day after the Illinois House rejected a plan to pump millions of dollars into mass transit programs serving commuters in the Chicago region, Senate leaders announced they would descend on the Capitol to try their hand at a solution that also could include a multi-billion dollar statewide road and school construction program.
* The capital plan would be funded with three new casinos. Despite what a few reported, the mass transit bailout would still be funded the same way as the House proposed…
The Senate plan would call for a quarter-cent sales-tax increase in Cook County, a half-cent increase in the collar counties to support transportation and transit, and a provision that would let Chicago increase its real estate transfer tax, said Senate Majority Leader Debbie Halvorson (D-Crete).
* And…
In addition, existing casinos like the Grand Victoria in Elgin would be given the chance to expand by buying the rights to more slot machines and table games.
* But both proposals face uncertain futures…
Although the ruling Senate Democrats say they expect Senate Republicans to support the latest deal, GOP sources said Wednesday they were unaware of details and there’d been no further conversations on the issue since Senate President Emil Jones Jr., a Chicago Democrat, declared the construction deal “dead” and blamed it all on Senate Republican leader Frank Watson of downstate Greenville.
Even if such a deal were to pass the Senate, it faces a dubious future in the Illinois House where both Republicans and Democrats alike have said there’s not enough votes to approve such a massive gambling expansion.
“I think three casinos would be very difficult,” said David Dring, spokesman for House Republican leader Tom Cross of Oswego.
* And…
House Speaker Michael Madigan has said he supports the concept of a capital bill, but has objected to expanding gambling, saying there is no support for such a step in his chamber.
* But Mayor Daley is starting to get antsy…
Blagojevich is against the [transit] funding plan because of the tax increases.
Daley insisted he is not frustrated with the governor, but “you have to make a decision,” he said.
“If he doesn’t like this, then come up with a plan. I just want to see a plan.”
* Meanwhile, the Tribune’s editorial board is blaming Tom Cross for the bill’s defeat in the House…
In blocking a transit deal for Northeast Illinois, House Republican leader Tom Cross is following a tradition, though not necessarily an honored one. He’s logrolling.
You want more money for mass transit, he was saying, you have to give me more money for roads.
Result: A bill to reform and fund the transit system — the first real overhaul in 25 years — fell 10 votes short of the 71 needed. Only five Republicans voted for it. […]
So don’t blame Blagojevich if your bus isn’t running Sept. 17. Right now Tom Cross is in the driver’s seat on this one.
* The Daily Herald’s editorial board begs to differ…
Republican lawmakers in the House who voted against the mass transit bill have different ideas on how to approach transportation funding. They agree mass transit needs a boost. But they want money for bus and rail folded into an overall transportation program that also includes funding for road improvements.
This argument is more reasonable than obstructionist. It has been a long time since the state has approved a comprehensive transportation program that addresses both transit and road improvements. Meanwhile, roads are congested and bridges are crumbling.
* And the Sun-Times edit board wants politicians to take public transit for a week…
That means you, Gov. Blagojevich. And you, House Speaker Michael Madigan and Senate President Emil Jones, the Chicago Democrats in charge of the Legislature. And you, Rep. Tom Cross and Sen. Frank Watson, the Republican leaders.
See what it’s like for your constituents who maybe can’t afford a car payment, insurance, a $78 state sticker, a $75 city sticker and $9 to $28 a day to park. Oh, and $3-a-gallon, taxed-to-the-hilt gasoline (the answer to so many of the state’s financial shortfalls).
Climb down out of your minivan and climb up 50 stairs to the CTA platform. Join the working people as they walk from train station to bus stop or workplace. If there’s any justice in the world, one day of your week will be windy and raining. You can practice hanging on to your briefcase and your umbrella — while the wind flips it inside-out, of course.
Huddle under a bus shelter. Look for a place to sit while you wait. Run for the bus like your life depends on it. Try arranging your life — just for one week — around a train schedule.
* More session-related stuff, compiled by Paul…
* Ginger Ostro: Inaccurate claims about governor’s budget
* Editorial: Governor’s bridge fails to cross real health care issues
* Editorial: Don’t rock the boat
* Tribune Editorial: CeaseFire’s success
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The Sun-Times had this brief bit in today’s edition…
After raising nearly $30 million during his first term, Gov. Blagojevich’s campaign cupboard is relatively bare.
He had $283,782 in his campaign chest as of the latest reporting date, June 30. That sum has prompted speculation that Blagojevich wants to keep the fund low because his administration is under federal scrutiny, and the last governor, George Ryan, had his campaign fund seized.
Doug Scofield, Blagojevich’s campaign spokesman, scoffed at the idea that the governor has halted his fund-raising.
“I think the second half of the year — now that the budget is completed — we’re going to turn to fund-raising with a major event sometime this fall,” Scofield said.
Scofield told me the same thing when I called him about this over a month ago. He also claimed that Blagojevich had put off his annual funder because of the overtime session fights. So far, though, I haven’t heard of any major fundraising activity yet.
The governor has shown time and time again that he can raise lots of cash at the drop of a hat, so I’m not sure this means too much. Then again, the longer he waits to raise money, the more speculation will abound that he may not be running for a third term, which will make him a lame duck in some minds.
Thoughts?
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Morning shorts
Thursday, Sep 6, 2007 - Posted by Paul Richardson
* Were voters steered to absentee ballots?
The Cook County state’s attorney’s office is investigating whether Ald. Bernie Stone’s (50th) political organization improperly steered Indian and Pakistani voters toward absentee ballots, according to sources.
Those under investigation include city employees. For now, the probe is limited to Stone’s North Side ward, the sources said. Subpoenas have been issued for witnesses and documents.
* State trying to stop medical waste incineration
* Clean air advocates urge tougher smog standards; more here
* State expands loan program for first time homebuyers
* Free legal help will be available to Illinois veterans
* City leaders greenlight Daley’s compliance office
* Federal judge to decide who will police city hiring
* Department declines to review Poshard thesis; more here
* Gun control laws stems from VT tragedy
* Worker’s lawsuit claims race bias at Casino Queen
* Grawley puts family before politics
* Daley wants to raise cost of O’Hare, Midway parking; more here and here
* Tribune Editorial: CeaseFire’s success
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This just in…
Wednesday, Sep 5, 2007 - Posted by Rich Miller
* 3:50 pm - The Senate is coming back to town on Monday and Tuesday. Agenda items reportedly include a slightly different transit bill than the House tried to pass yesterday (not much by way of changes, but some) and the capital package.
Details in tomorrow’s Capitol Fax.
* 6:11 pm - From Crain’s…
A spokeswoman for Senate President Emil Jones said only that the session would involve “discussion of a transit issue.”
But Sen. John Cullerton, D-Chicago, said he believes the Senate will consider a slightly different version of a CTA bill sponsored by state rep. Julie Hamos, D-Evanston, that the Illinois House rejected Tuesday. “I think we’re going to try to pass the bill Julie tried yesterday,” said Mr. Cullerton, who often handles CTA-related bills in the Senate. “It puts pressure on the House to do something. We can’t just sit around and do nothing.” […]
Mr. Cullerton said he would not be surprised if the Senate also took another run at voting on a bill to allow a casino in Chicago as part of a plan to raise money for a statewide capital plan. Such a bill failed earlier this summer and President Jones had declared the issue dead, but House Republicans have insisted on a capital bill as a condition for them providing the necessary votes for a transit bill.
* 6:33 pm - From ABC7…
But next Monday, the Senate will give it another try with transit and infrastructure bills that would be paid for with three new casinos. That approach has been tried before unsuccessfully.
I don’t think that’s totally right. Mostly, but not totally. Tomorrow’s Capitol Fax will have more.
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Question of the day
Wednesday, Sep 5, 2007 - Posted by Rich Miller
Normally, we try to stay as far away from national politics as possible. The discussions generally devolve into regurgitated party-line talking points.
So, let’s try this today without the afore-mentioned brainless, automaton rhetoric, shall we?
Rate Barack Obama’s presidential campaign to date.
…Adding… I think some of you may be jumping the gun a bit. As Bill Baar noted in comments, “Always keep this graph in mind when talking about the primaries.”
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On transit and traffic
Wednesday, Sep 5, 2007 - Posted by Rich Miller
* This excuse is understandable politics, but it doesn’t make a whole lot of sense in the long or short term…
House Republican leader Tom Cross of Oswego said transit funding should be addressed at the same time that a broad-based capital program is taken up to fund construction of schools, roads, bridges and other projects.
“For us to say we’re only going to take care of one component of a two-part problem is a mistake,” said Cross, who voted against the proposal. Suburban drivers, he said, expect the roads to be widened because they are “sick and tired of sitting in traffic.”
* Widening the expressways will probably just invite more cars onto the roads…
Widening and building new highways actually causes, not relieves, traffic congestion in Cincinnati and other major U.S. metropolitan areas, according to a new study presented [in 2000] to the 79th Annual Transportation Research Board in Washington, DC. The study estimated that up to 43% of traffic in Greater Cincinnati is caused just by expanding the area’s road network. The study also says that Tri-State traffic congestion would have grown less rapidly if no new or wider highways were built at all, contrary to what highway planners have predicted.
The study, “Analysis of Metropolitan Highway Capacity and the Growth in Vehicle Miles of Travel,” used data from the Texas Transportation Institute’s most recent database for 70 urbanized areas from 1982-1996. Using three models with different variables, the study found that highway-induced traffic in the Cincinnati area (including Northern Kentucky) increased by 14%-43%. Highway-induced traffic estimates for nearby metropolitan areas were 12%-35% in Columbus; 13%-30% in Cleveland; 20%-50% in Indianapolis; and 34%-77% in Louisville. The national average was 15%-45%.
“Simply put, this study adds to the growing evidence that traffic congestion has been made worse, not alleviated as road builders claim, by more and bigger highways. It follows that to reduce traffic congestion, and therefore air pollution and suburban sprawl, we need to stop building and widening sprawl-causing highways,” said Glen Brand, director of the Cincinnati office of the National Sierra Club. “Instead it would be smarter to plan our communities better so that we aren’t forced to drive everywhere, and to provide greater transportation choices such as commuter light rail and expanded bus service.”
The study’s authors, Robert Noland, University of London Center for Transport Studies and William A. Cowart, ICF Consulting in Fairfax, VA., conclude that “induced travel effects strongly imply that pursuit of congestion reduction by building more capacity will have short-lived benefits. This may be evidence for a strong sprawl inducing impact of large increases in lane mile capacity relative to the existing infrastructure.
* More…
There is no shortage of hard data. A recent University of California at Berkeley study covering thirty California counties between 1973 and 1990 found that, for every 10 percent increase in roadway capacity, traffic increased 9 percent within four years’ time.3 For anecdotal evidence, one need only look at commuting patterns in those cities with expensive new highway systems. USA Today published the following report on Atlanta: “For years, Atlanta tried to ward off traffic problems by building more miles of highways per capita than any other urban area except Kansas City…As a result of the area’s sprawl, Atlantans now drive an average of 35 miles a day, more than residents of any other city.”· This phenomenon, which is now well known to those members of the transportation industry who wish to acknowledge it, has come to be called induced traffic.
The mechanism at work behind induced traffic is elegantly explained by an aphorism gaining popularity among traffic engineers: “Trying to cure traffic congestion by adding more capacity is like trying to cure obesity by loosening your belt.” Increased traffic capacity makes longer commutes less burdensome, and as a result, people are willing to live farther and farther from their workplace. As increasing numbers of people make similar decisions, the long-distance commute grows as crowded as the inner city, commuters clamor for additional lanes, and the cycle repeats itself. This problem is compounded by the hierarchical organization of the new roadways, which concentrate through traffic on as few streets as possible.
The phenomenon of induced traffic works in reverse as well. When New York’s West Side Highway collapsed in 1973, an NYDOT study showed that 93 percent of the car trips lost did not reappear elsewhere; people simply stopped driving. A similar result accompanied the destruction of San Francisco’s Embarcadero Freeway in the 1989 earthquake. Citizens voted to remove the freeway entirely despite the apocalyptic warnings of traffic engineers. Surprisingly, a recent British study found that downtown road removals tend to boost local economies, while new roads lead to higher urban unemployment. So much for road-building as a way to spur the economy.·
More here.
* Even so, people love their cars, likening them to “personal freedom,” and they don’t like to be told anything that might disrupt their views of life. A suburban politician has to be in favor of building more roads and widening current byways or s/he is dead political meat.
And then there’s the very real problem that people like those who live in Cross’ district face. They don’t have easily accessible mass transportation options, even if they work in the Loop.
Until those people have viable alternatives, it’s impossible to tell them that mass transit should be in the mix.
Then, of course, there’s the problem of Downstate, which resents any cash spent on Chicago-area transit, even though Downstate gets more than half of all road money, with less than half the population.
* But hiking fares too much can backfire…
Metra’s letter cited ridership losses resulting from fare increases during the 1980s to deal with worn-out equipment the agency acquired when it took over commuter rail operations from private freight carriers.
“We have brought this system back [from] the depths,” Pagano said. “The bottom line is if we don’t get the money … we will go back to where we were.”
Ridership is up right now because of high gas prices. It’s the same principle. Rising prices in one sector causes consumers to flee to alternatives. Solutions are not easy, which is why the leadership vacuum in this state right now is so frustrating.
* More transit stories, compiled by Paul…
* House rejects CTA bailout as cuts near
* Illinois House blocks bill to aid mass transit
* Bethany Jaeger: Transit trouble
* Chicago Public Radio: RTA still needs cash
* Lawmakers reject measure to raise regional sales tax
* Fare hikes more likely as transit bill fails
* Lawmakers say bridge needs are great, but money still a question
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On Vallas and recall
Wednesday, Sep 5, 2007 - Posted by Rich Miller
* The next gubernatorial election is more than three years from now, yet…
Exactly how bad are things in Springfield? Horrible.
What words do politicians, even members of his own party, use when speaking of Gov. Blagojevich?
Unprintable.
What name is back in play as a possible contender to run for governor in 2010?
Paul Vallas.
That’s how completely crazy it is in the state Capitol. We only just re-elected the current governor 10 short months ago. We’re in the grinding, seemingly endless throes of a presidential campaign that jumped off earlier than we’ve ever seen. And now somebody out there is actually ready to talk up the next governor’s race?
The governor’s bizarre antics, which have led to a never-ending legislative session and tanked poll numbers, are more than enough to make one pine for some grown-up leadership. Paul Vallas would have had his troubles, most definitely, but I highly doubt things would have been this bad.
Still, he lost. A long time ago. There’s no sense in looking back at what might have happened.
* That being said, the story about the state spending over a hundred grand to replace the interior of the governor’s airplane is politically horrifying and is enough to make one fervently wish for a change at the top…
A spokesman for the Illinois Department of Transportation, Mike Claffey, said, “That’s the kind of preventive maintenance that extends the life of the aircraft.”
But we’re not talking about changing the spark plugs or replacing worn tires, as one might on an old car. In this case, the “preventive maintenance” includes replacing carpeting and upholstery that’s “a little frayed around the edges.”
It’s the governor’s priorities - and the nerves of fellow Illinoisans - that are “a little frayed around the edges.”
How can the governor talk about cutting “special projects and other spending that we simply can’t afford” while going ahead with revamping his plane?
* Meanwhile, the SJ-R hosted a “debate” this morning on its op-ed page about the recall issue…
* * Brian Gaines: Voters have brains- let them use them for recalls
Illinois voters have all the defects of modern electorates, but Illinois’s politicians seem to have vices beyond the average, as evidenced not only by the inability of the current government to pass a budget but also by a long, sordid history of corruption and conviction. The Land of Lincoln can use more democracy, not less.
Bring on recall!
* Jim Nowlan: Idea of recall is tempting, but it is best resisted
Voters are good at making big decisions, for example, that the country is headed in the wrong direction and change is needed. Voters are less capable on complex matters, especially on statewide issues where huge sums of money are often spent to propagandize an emotional issue. For example, in 1978 voters enacted Proposition 13 in California, which capped property taxes; in doing so, they eviscerated a once fine public school system, which has never recovered.
Yes, the idea of recall is tempting. But for me, let’s keep temptation out of harm’s way.
I would disagree with Nowlan on this only to the point of saying that recall is one of those “big issues” that he says voters are capable of dealing with. I just don’t think that recall is a good idea. The voters elected them, they should be stuck with them.
Thoughts?
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Morning shorts
Wednesday, Sep 5, 2007 - Posted by Paul Richardson
* City’s absentee ballots probed - Constituents being questioned about election, Stone says
Ald. Bernard Stone (50th) said Tuesday that the city’s inspector general is investigating absentee ballots cast in the election earlier this year that returned him to the City Council for a 10th term in a probe that Stone contended “is occurring all over the city of Chicago.”
“Some of you aldermen had better be advised that [Inspector General David Hoffman] is going all over different wards in this city issuing subpoenas to various people in this city,” Stone said at a meeting of the council’s Budget Committee. “I didn’t know whether he had authority to do that, but he’s doing it.”
But other aldermen said later they were unaware of any investigations in their wards and added that their colleague’s surprise announcement was the first hint they had gotten of a probe. […]
Stone said he has talked to attorneys, whom he declined to name, who have told him they are representing people in other parts of the city who also have received subpoenas. The activity began about four weeks ago, he said.
* Madigan: No decision yet on vote to override veto
* Governor supports school bill
* Lawmakers: School cash a victim of politics
* Daley accuses Springfield of short-changing schools
* Eric Zorn: On special sessions lawsuit
* Conflict between Illinois governor, lawmakers continue
* ComEd customers vent
* State earmarks $16 million for I-57, I-294 interchange
* New state law assists student journalists
* Illinois Attorney General sues home developers
* Luciano: Ryan angling for stay at ‘Disneyland’
* Brookins officially in the race to replace DeVine as State’s Attorney
* Brookins makes bid for top prosecutors post
* Fee can be used for O’Hare expansion; more here and here
* Daley’s proposed hiring office moves ahead
* Hiring oversight office advances to full council
* City promises ‘unique vision’ in Olympic letter
* ArchPundit: IL-14, the panic sets in
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