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Friday, Aug 20, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* I’m taking the Atlanta Rhythm Section’s advice. You should, too


The rats keep winning the rat race
But I’m not gonna let it bother me tonight

* Check back tomorrow for a few fun State Fair videos. Until then, have a good one.

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Quote of the week - Pat Quinn’s Brain speaks

Friday, Aug 20, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From a Twitter user named Pat Quinn’s Brain

The theme of my campaign is JOBS, JOBS, J…hey! Look! Squirrel!

* And in a related story….

[Gov. Pat Quinn] brushed aside a question about whether his campaign efforts are too undisciplined. “I have nothing bad to say about anybody,” Quinn said. […]

Quinn, who faces Republican state Sen. Bill Brady, Green Party candidate Rich Whitney and independent candidate Scott Lee Cohen on the Nov. 2 ballot, said he wants to ensure his message gets throughout Illinois, saying voters are interested in jobs.

“That’s what I want to focus on,” said Quinn, adding he has “a lot of message work to do, especially on ads.”

* Let’s go back to Pat Quinn’s Brain for react

Screw AKPD. No one knows how to run statewide better than me! Look to my last general election victory in 1990 for evidence!

  16 Comments      


Generic congressional ballot not great for Dems - Halvorson has campaign manager - Obama’s no big impact

Friday, Aug 20, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Public Policy Polling took a look at the generic congressional ballot in Illinois

If the election for Congress was today, would you vote for a Democrat or a Republican?
46% Democrat
40% Republican
14% Undecided

Even though the Democrats are ahead, that’s a bit misleading. It isn’t good news. The pollster explains

In Illinois Democrats lead the generic Congressional ballot by a 46-40 margin. That may not be terribly reassuring though given how much the party runs up the score in a small number of districts. Six of Illinois’ districts voted for President Obama at a 70% rate or higher in 2008.

…the 6 point generic ballot lead for Democrats in Illinois exceeds the 2 point lead we found for Alexi Giannoulias. That may give you a better idea of the shape Democrats would be in that race if they’d chosen a nominee with less baggage.

What that means is a whole bunch of targeted Democrats are in trouble.

* Speaking of targeted Democratic congresscritters, Congresswoman Debbie Halvorson did have a replacement in mind when she ousted her campaign manager. She’s bringing in Julie Merz

“The Halvorson camp is talking with Julie Merz about taking over as campaign manager, Vanderbilt said. Merz’s resume includes being campaign manager for U.S. Rep. Jim Matheson (D-Utah) and U.S. Rep. Dennis Moore (D-Kan.), both of whom are members of the Blue Dog Coalition, a group of moderate to conservative Democrats committed to fiscal responsibility and government accountability. She also worked on former U.S. Sen. Bill Bradley’s (D-N.J.) presidential campaign in 2000.”

They’re more than just talking about it. I’m told it’s a done deal.

* Back to PPP’s poll results

Illinois voters say they would be negatively influenced if a candidate was endorsed by Barack Obama. And if his support isn’t an asset in his home state it’s hard to imagine where it is.

40% of voters in the state say they’d be less likely to support an Obama endorsed candidate to only 26% who say it would be an asset. The reality at this point is that Obama turns Republican voters off to a much greater extent than he excites Democrats. That’s reflected in the fact that 83% of Republicans say an Obama endorsement would be a negative with them while only 49% of Democrats say it would be a positive. Independents also respond negatively by a 38/19 margin.

The numbers on an Obama endorsement are perhaps more relevant with undecided voters. Among those who have not yet made up their minds in the Senate race 21% say an Obama endorsement would resonate positively with them while 33% say it would be a turnoff.

The full results are here. According to PPP, 24 percent of Illinois voters would be more likely to vote for a candidate endorsed by Sarah Palin, while 52 percent would be less likely.

* And

In Illinois Durbin is the favorite politician of 41% of voters in the state, followed by Pat Quinn at 10%, and Roland Burris at 6%. Like Pennsylvania the lack of Republicans in major offices in Illinois leaves 42% of voters saying no opinion. Durbin’s tops among Democrats, 60-11 over Quinn, independents, 40-8 over Quinn, and Republicans, 17-12 over Quinn.

* Campaign roundup…

* Obama unlikely to sway many voters in Senate race, poll shows

* Daily Herald: Hitting the campaign trail head-on

* Retired generals disappointed over Kirk’s no-show at meeting

* Senate, governor candidates to speak in B-N

* Quinn says tax hike plan honest, if not popular, and will preserve schools

* Quinn Campaign Wants 7 Debates With GOP’s Brady

* Pantagraph: Brady, others need to give voters specifics

* Why Did SEIU Give $100,000 to the Republican Governors Association?

* Chamber Backs Kinzinger Over Incumbent Halvorson In Illinois

* Rose: The cutback cuts back

* State owes $2.2 billion to feds for unemployment benefits

* ACLU sues to block law making it illegal to record cops

* ACLU challenges Illinois eavesdropping act

* New health insurance plan for the uninsured launches in Illinois

* Illinois to enroll uninsured in new high-risk pool

* State, feds moving to require cleanup of Chicago River for recreation

* Madigan: $12.7 mil. netted in gas tax investigation

* Madigan Charges 6 Gas Station Owners With Tax Evasion

* Appraisals find Thomson Prison worth nearly $220 mil.

  17 Comments      


*** UPDATED x1 - Comic Con? *** Jury voted 11-1 almost half the time - And is the Adam family out?

Friday, Aug 20, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

*** UPDATE *** I just have no words to describe how I feel about this press release

Rod’s Appeal: Blagojevich To Appear At Chicago Comic Con!

Former Illinois Governor To Sign Autographs, Pose For Pictures, Meet Fans At Pop Culture Festival Saturday!

The verdict is in! Former Illinois Governor Rod Blagojevich will appear at Wizard World Chicago Comic Con on Saturday at the Donald E. Stephens Convention Center in Rosemont, Ill. Blagojevich will sign autographs, pose for pictures and meet fans at the pop culture convention.

The photo session will begin at 10:30 a.m., with autographs to follow at 11 a.m. until 4 p.m.

“I’m looking forward to meeting loyal supporters and other fans on Saturday,” said Blagojevich, whose many recent television appearances included a stint on “Celebrity Apprentice.”

“Wizard World Chicago Comic Con is all about pop culture, and Rod Blagojevich is as relevant to today’s news as it gets,” said Gareb Shamus, CEO of Wizard Entertainment. “We think the court of public opinion will show him to be a popular figure at the show.”

FRB.

[ *** End Of Update *** ]

* WTTW has charted the Rod and Robert jury vote counts on 52 separate acts contained in the 24 counts. They’ve found 23 instances of 11-1 votes.

Keep in mind, that some of these counts don’t match up with what others are reporting. For instance, NBC reported that a majority of jurors voted against convicting Blagojevich on the alleged Children’s Hospital shakedown. But WTTW’s count shows that a majority was in favor of convicting on one act and split down the middle on the two others

[”Guilty” is red, “Not Guilty” is blue.]

And the Sun-Times reported that the jury voted 9-3 to acquit Robert Blagojevich. WTTW’s totals don’t reflect that at all…

…Adding… I forgot to post this one

The father-son team of Sam Adam Jr. and Sam Adam Sr. will not represent Rod Blagojevich in a retrial, a defense attorney with knowledge of the situation told the Chicago News Cooperative.

According to the attorney, the duo has known for some time they would not stay on for another round. Speaking to reporters following Tuesday’s verdict, the lawyers refused to commit to continuing to represent Blagojevich. Although they were maligned by outside observers throughout the case, Adam Sr. and Adam Jr. will leave the former governor’s side having done better than many expected.

Blagojevich’s other main attorney, Sheldon Sorosky, has not indicated whether or not he will stay on for a retrial. Messages left with Adam Jr. and Sorosky seeking comment were not returned. A receptionist at Adam Jr.’s law office said that both attorney’s were out of town and could not be reached.

* And a roundup…

* Bill for Blago jury? $67,463.32

* Itasca juror’s birthday one to remember

* Juror: Blago could face new outcome in retrial

* Blagojevich: Senate Seat Talk Was ‘Horse Trading’

* Democrats weigh impact of Blagojevich trial

* For sale: ‘Governor had some nice stuff’

* Blagojevich’s Elvis statue has left the storage facility

* Blago Goes to Auction

* Blago TV tour starts up again today

* Blagojevich’s Media Redux

* Rod Blagojevich on The Daily Show Monday Night

* Even for GOP, Blagojevich proves popular state fair attraction

* Robert Blagojevich on Trial, Family and Stolen Mustard

* Robert Blagojevich: Retrial will be “a touchdown”

* Patti Blagojevich responds via Twitter

* Time For Federal Prosecutor To Move On?

* Kass: Wall Street Journal wrong to rip Patrick Fitzgerald over Blago

* Zorn: The Blago memos : Let’s make a deal

* Constable: Courtroom is ground zero for Blago woes, but ‘human fallout’ takes toll

* Hinz: Voters guilty of failing to end Blago-style government

* Jacobson: How To Really Prevent Corruption

* How Twitter and Rod Blagojevich Helped Converge Our Broadcast Newsroom

  26 Comments      


Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - EXTRA: Behind the change

Friday, Aug 20, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Question of the day

Friday, Aug 20, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From Governor’s Day at the Illinois State Fair…



* The Question
: Caption?

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This just in… Quinn’s media firm fired, fires shots

Friday, Aug 20, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* 10:30 am - More really bad campaign news for Gov. Pat Quinn. His media firm, AKPD, has just exited the campaign [it was fired]. And check out this harsh goodbye statement…

“We and the Quinn campaign agreed that our divergent approaches to disciplined, professional communications are incompatible. We wish Pat well.”

Oh, man, what a shot that was. When was the last time you saw a national media firm issue a statement like that? Yikes.

AKPD produced the last two ads of the primary which most believe helped keep Quinn in office. Here’s my favorite of the two. It really was an excellent spot



* 10:52 am -
The Quinn campaign has reportedly hired Joe Slade White as a replacement.

* Quinn apparently fired AKPD after hiring White.

* One of White’s more recent ad campaigns was that 2008 ad blitz by T. Boone Pickens


I’m getting mixed reviews on White. He’s a “big concept” guy who clicks with Quinn, but he’s not a top tier consultant who can also be hired more cheaply than others.

  81 Comments      


*** UPDATED x2 *** Following the script… mostly

Friday, Aug 20, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The Republicans did their best yesterday to look like a governing party and not a collection of angry outsiders. State Sen. Bill Brady even walked away from reporters when he was asked whether he thought Pat Quinn was corrupt


But, not everybody read the memo

Unsuccessful candidate for governor Dan Proft took a shot at Kirk’s Democratic opponent for the U.S. Senate, Alexi Giannoulias, saying, “Getting a lecture from Ali Giannoulias on honesty in government is like getting a lecture from Drew Peterson on domestic violence.”

NBC5 video


Oof. That was a bit more than just tossing red meat at the base. But, Proft is Proft. Last year, the Republicans barely allowed anybody to speak. This year, they probably let too many take the podium.

*** UPDATE 1 *** The Giannoulias campaign wants you to see this statement from Congresswoman Jan Schakowsky…

“Did Mark Kirk think Dan Proft was being clever and funny? If not, he should immediately repudiate Dan Proft’s offensive and misogynistic rhetoric that makes a joke of violence against women. Every one of the Illinois Republicans that shared the stage with Proft should do the same.”

*** UPDATE 2 *** Proft responds…

“Of course Jan Schakowsky rallied to the defense of Alexi Giannoulias. One Chicago Democrat crime family trying to protect another. What else is new? Rep. Schakowsky bailed out a bank (Shore Bank) that aided and abetted her convicted felon husband’s illegal check kiting schemes and Mr. Giannoulias’ bank (Broadway) was seized by federal regulators because he couldn’t figure out how to make loaning money to mobsters a self-sustaining business. Those two deserve each other and Illinois doesn’t deserve either one of them.”

[ *** End Of Updates *** ]

* Tea party favorite Cedra Crenshaw also strayed a bit

Cedra Crenshaw, who fought a Democratic attempt to kick her off the ballot in November, is now blasting “the Chicago machine,” which initiated the petition challenge. Crenshaw is running in a traditionally Democratic district, but has become a cause celebre among Republicans nationally.

“What rational business would want to expand or locate in a state with $130 billion of debt?”

As I noted to subscribers this morning, Crenshaw was making her comments at about the same time that Boeing announced an expansion into the Metro East. The Republicans probably ought to avoid looking like they’re running down their state while they criticize the party in power.

* But for the first time in years hope was in the air at the Illinois State Fair...

“We’re going to have a great new governor in Bill Brady, but he is not going to have success if Mike Madigan remains the Speaker,” said Rep. Tom Cross, the House Minority Leader. “We need 12 seats to retake the House.”

Cross said he had 20 seats in play and with the crowd’s help he could retake the house.

“People are as angry as I’ve ever seen them,” Cross said. Kirk agreed.

Voters are quite angry, but I’d like to see what “in play” means before agreeing with Cross that’s he’s that far in the hunt.

* Mark Kirk predicted an absolute disaster if he’s not elected to the US Senate

Republican U.S. Senate candidate Mark Kirk stressed the importance of winning not only a six-year term this fall but also the special election on the same Nov. 2 ballot for the remaining two months of the Senate seat held by Blagojevich-appointed Democratic Sen. Roland Burris.

Kirk, a five-term North Shore congressman said the special election “could mean all the difference for the economic future of the United States.” Kirk contended Democrats in a post-election, lame-duck congressional session will try to approve a massive spending bill that would “shock” the stock market and the economy.

No embellishment there. [/snark]

* Republican Day speeches…

Bill Brady


Mark Kirk


Tom Cross


Dan Rutherford


Judy Baar Topinka on merging the comptroller’s and treasurer’s office


  58 Comments      


GOP hoping voters issue their own “Blagojevich verdict”

Friday, Aug 20, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Tom Cross said something yesterday about the Blagojevich verdict that’s on many minds right now

“I think maybe in their minds they can say, I’ll send my own guilty verdict so to speak and my own message by voting for Republicans in the fall,” said Illinois House Republican leader Tom Cross. “I don’t know that we need to say that. It’s not like Rod Blagojevich is going to be hiding in the back room over the next two months.”

I don’t know if he’s right, but I do know that this “voter verdict” should be one of the Democrats’ biggest fears. It’s certainly one of the Republican’s greatest hopes. But they can’t actually come out and say it. But they can’t stay away from the topic, either.

My intern Barton Lorimor asked state party chairman Pat Brady yesterday about his statement the other day on WBEZ that he wouldn’t make political hay out of the verdict. Brady said he had changed his mind and blamed it on the Democrats. Watch


Chairman Brady also talked about Blagojevich to the AP

A federal jury’s failure to reach a verdict on most of the charges and the government’s intention to retry him means Blagojevich will be in the news for months to come.

“That was probably the worst day for the Democrats since this race started,” said Illinois GOP chairman Pat Brady. “It’s going to keep this issue alive.” […]

Democrats argue they deserve credit for removing Blagojevich from office after he was arrested. Republicans scoffed at that, saying Democrats knew years earlier that Blagojevich was behaving unethically, if not criminally.

“Those guys sat on their hands until the U.S. attorney’s office came and yanked the guy out of his house,” said Pat Brady, who is not related to GOP nominee Bill Brady.

* The Post Dispatch’s take is pretty good

Illinois Republicans say they don’t intend to spend the next 10 weeks hitting voters over the head with reminders of Rod Blagojevich.

But they have no intention of letting them forget, either.

That was the mixed message emerging Thursday as GOP organizers from across Illinois, gathering in Springfield for their annual “Republican Day,” pondered how to get the most out of the political gift that dropped into their lap this week — without appearing to relish the state’s ongoing trauma.

Details

“They ran arm in arm with Rod Blagojevich for his re-election. Just as there’s accountability in the courtroom, there ought to be accountability at the polling booth,” said U.S. Rep. Aaron Schock, R-Peoria. Schock represents parts of Springfield in Congress.

While he talked mostly about the need to create jobs, Bill Brady stopped short of pledging not to use Blagojevich in campaign advertising.

“I have no idea what our experts are going to run,” Bill Brady told reporters at the morning event. “Make no mistake, this election is about winning. … But we’re going to do it honestly. And we’re going to give them something to believe in.”

From ABC7

“This is going to keep the issue on the front burner. People will be asking Pat Quinn, ‘where were you when all this was going on,” said Pat Brady, the Illinois Republican chairman. “The Democrats haven’t had any accomplishments other than making us one of the worst financially-run states in the country.”

Thoughts?

  36 Comments      


Morning Shorts

Friday, Aug 20, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Illinois unemployment falls to 10.3 percent in July

July marks the seventh consecutive month to show steady or declining rates. The national unemployment rate is unchanged at 9.5 percent.

* Cook County looking at a $300 million shortfall

The administration attributes the shortfall to the County Board’s decision to cut the sales tax rate by a half percentage point against the wishes of Board President Todd Stroger, who earlier had pushed through a 1 percentage point increase. The county also expects lower federal funding, which had spiked because of economic stimulus efforts. […]

But Finance Committee Chairman John Daley, D-Chicago, said he believes the shortfall could be even more and supports the 10 percent cuts.

* RTA makes it official: John Gates is chairman

* RTA appoints new chairman

Once an aide to former governor James R. Thompson, Gates had been tapped by Daley for McPier with a mandate to get the authority’s finances in order. Gates said Daley also spoke with him about the RTA job.

* New RTA leader calls for more public-private partnerships

* Schmich: Slow change coming fast at Cabrini-Green

“Six-sixty was right there,” Dixon said, pointing to the site of a vanished building. “Seven-fourteen was right there. But it’s been so long I can’t remember them all.”

* City to create ‘name registry’ for homeless

* City seeking permanent housing for 125 homeless people by year’s end

But Julie Dworkin, policy director for the Chicago Coalition for the Homeless, said the new program does nothing to address the lack of affordable housing that prevents many homeless people from finding permanent shelter. If 125 people are moved to the top of the housing waiting list, that will simply mean 125 other people will have to wait longer, she said.

* City program to help house homeless

* CPD reviews FBI memo on new commander

The review focuses on new Englewood District Cmdr. Anthony Carothers.

He’s the brother of Ald. Isaac “Ike” Carothers (29th), who was sentenced June 24 to 28 months in prison after pleading guilty to corruption charges. Isaac Carothers, a former deputy Streets and Sanitation commissioner, chaired the City Council’s Police and Fire Committee and was one of Mayor Daley’s staunchest supporters.

Anthony Carothers was promoted from lieutenant to commander on July 16.

* School districts join in clean energy project to address budget woes

A plan by three struggling suburban school districts to create a revenue-generating wind farm has picked up some velocity this summer.

Empowered by recent legislation, Keeneyville School District 20, Carpentersville’s Community Unit School District 300 and Prospect Heights School District 23 have joined together to build a 13-turbine wind farm that would sell energy to defray their own electrical bills.

The unique project would be in rural Stark County, about 140 miles southwest of Chicago.

* Hilton Workers in Chicago Step Toward Strike

* Daley: Worry about lack of memorial, not mosque

* Feds Declare 7 Illinois Counties Disaster Areas

* Federal aid on the way

* President approves disaster relief for DuPage storm victims

* Kendall reaches accord with ex-planning chief

* Highland Park residents vent over sky-high park pensions

* This year, Dist. 211 budget in the black

* Carrollton district can’t get out of the red

* Collinsville schools seek new superintendent; Craft plans to step down

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Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Supplement to today’s edition

Friday, Aug 20, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today’s edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)

Friday, Aug 20, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Morning Blagojevich videos

Friday, Aug 20, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Rod Blagojevich on the Today Show

In a pugnacious, triumphal interview on NBC’s Today, Rod Blagojevich, who was convicted on charges of lying to the FBI but escaped conviction on 23 corruption charges, vowed never to cop a plea in his upcoming retrial, saying he was guilty only of “political horse trading.” Blagojevich compared himself to the Biblical King David, and suggested U.S. Attorney Patrick Fitzgerald should charge himself with hypocrisy for making deals with convicted felons in exchange for testimony. […]

Asked if he would accept a plea deal, given that jurors voted 11-1 to convict him of trying to sell Barack Obama’s U.S. Senate seat, Blagojevich said, “I’m absolutely determined to continue to seek full vindication. I have done absolutely nothing wrong. This is a persecution by a prosecutor who for six years has targeted me. He has spent tens of millions of dollars trying to get me.” […]

“Why are they wasting taxpayer money?” the ex-governor asked. “Chicago is now the crime capital of the world. Children are being gunned down. Police officers are being shot in front of their homes where they were playing. They’re spending millions of dollars to prosecute me when they should instead be using that money to address the real crime problems in places like Chicago.”

You did a good job on Celebrity Apprentice,” Vieira teased Blagojevich at the end of the interview. “Will we see you in another reality show? Are you going to be with Snooki?”

Oy.

Video, Part 1

Part 2...

* The Daily Show’s take


The Daily Show With Jon Stewart Mon - Thurs 11p / 10c
Law & Order - Time Wasters Unit<a>
www.thedailyshow.com
Daily Show Full Episodes Political Humor Tea Party

  30 Comments      


Jurors voted 9-3 to aquit Robert Blagojevich

Thursday, Aug 19, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* With all the weird, busy craziness happening right now, I just finally noticed this story from yesterday

Nine jurors voted in favor of acquittal on the four counts involving Robert Blagojevich and three voted to convict, Grover said.

“I’m further resolved to hear it was a 9 to 3 result in my favor,” Robert Blagojevich said today. “I’m an innocent man. I’ve done nothing wrong. The majority of the jury thought that was the case.”

Should he be retried? Terry Sullivan doesn’t think it’ll happen

Regarding Robert Blagojevich, Sullivan said he wasn’t convinced federal prosecutors would retry him. “That might be considered as piling on,” he said.

* And Robert and his wife Julie were interviewed by WBEZ about that jury vote

Prosecutors told jurors that Robert was a victim of circumstance but they also said he knew his brother was trying to reap a personal profit from appointing a successor to Barack Obama in the Senate. And they say Robert is responsible because he was the only friend left that was willing to help the former governor implement his schemes. But [juror John Grover] said most of the jurors didn’t buy that argument.

JULIE BLAGOJEVICH: I just burst out crying and that man lifted my spirits with what he said. He did. He did.

ROBERT BLAGOJEVICH: She broke down with happiness and joy because we were listening to news accounts how the jury lined up on certain counts and it wasn’t really clear how it related to me.

But Grover told the Sun-Times that 9 of the jurors wanted to acquit the older Blagojevich. Robert says that validates their legal strategy for the second go around.

ROBERT: That’s not in any way a welcoming prospect, but what are we going to do? I’ve got no choice. I’m not going to plea to something that I didn’t do. And so I’m stuck and, you know, my family and I will figure it out.

* Meanwhile, Joe Birkett wants Fitzgerald to go after Patti

DuPage County State’s Attorney Joseph Birkett said, “If I were (U.S. Attorney) Patrick Fitzgerald, I would play hardball and consider charging Patti Blagojevich.

“Clearly they (the defense) used her and the children as a vehicle to get sympathy,” he added. “Their PR tour was designed and planned to put him in the best light possible. He’s now a convicted felon. So, it won’t work the second time around.”

Thoughts?

  58 Comments      


Question of the day

Thursday, Aug 19, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* This quote got me to thinking

There was disappointment from Republican Judy Baar Topinka who lost the 2006 general election to Rod Blagojevich. She called the former governor a “bad man” and cannot believe the jury deliberated so long to find him guilty on just one count. […]

When asked if Republicans will get a boost since the Blagojevich problems hasn’t gone away, she said, “They were only too happy to recount George Ryan to us, he was convicted of 18 counts. He was penny ante compared to this guy.” [Emphasis added.]

* The Question: Who was the worse criminal, George or Rod? Explain.

We’re not talking about governing abilities here. And we’re not necessarily talking about the number of convictions, since Blagojevich’s ordeal is far from over. I’m simply asking your opinion on who you think was the worse criminal.

  103 Comments      


Take Cohen seriously or suffer the consequences - And Halvorson fires manager

Thursday, Aug 19, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* I talked to subscribers about this topic earlier in the week, but it’s why everybody should take Scott Lee Cohen a whole lot more seriously than they are, including pollsters, who haven’t put his name on the candidate list…

Part of Mr. Cohen’s strategy is to appeal to African-Americans, who generally vote overwhelmingly for Democrats.

“If he starts making inroads among blacks…that’s just a nightmare” for Gov. Quinn, said Kent Redfield, a political scientist at the University of Illinois, Springfield. […]

Paul Green, director of the Roosevelt University School of Policy Studies in Chicago, said Mr. Cohen was “an unguided political missile.” But with both major party candidates “running such weak campaigns, if he spends the money he could make a splash,” Mr. Green said.

During a recent campaign stop in Chicago, Mr. Cohen bought breakfast for 30 African-American ministers and told them Democrats had taken their support for granted. Mr. Cohen supports proposals to bring more Wal-Mart Stores Inc. outlets and manufacturing jobs to black neighborhoods. “Give me a chance,” he told the ministers.

Pastor Andre Smith of First Bethel Church said he was impressed. “I believe everybody should get a second chance,” he said.

Gov. Pat Quinn’s numbers with African-Americans are flat-out horrible. Yes, African-Americans always break late, but these numbers are pretty unprecedented. The Public Policy Polling survey had Quinn at just 41 percent among blacks, with 44 percent undecided. The Rasmussen poll’s crosstabs were even weirder

In the August edition of [the Illinois Chambers’] campaign-related newsletter, The Political Upside, the headline of an item about a recent Rasmussen poll was that the “crosstabs,” specific details about certain groups, “chew into Brady’s 13 point lead over Quinn.”

In the Rasmussen poll, the crosstabs illustrated a surprising amount of black support — 30 percent — for Brady, the newsletter states.

“Illinois Chamber sources believe that this particular demographic’s 30 percent level of support for an Illinois Republican is extraordinarily high and that in reality Brady’s lead hovers around the 5-6 percent range,” the newsletter said. The poll, which surveyed 750 likely voters Aug. 9, had Brady at 48 percent, Gov. Pat Quinn at 35 percent, with the rest for another candidate or undecided.

Rasmussen had Quinn getting 44 percent among blacks - very similar to the PPP poll. 8 percent were with “some other candidate” and 18 percent were undecided.

Despite the Chamber’s analysis, I don’t think this race is as close as they believe. Scott Lee Cohen is a big reason for that, as is, to a lesser extent, Rich Whitney. We’ll see.

By the way, Alexi Giannoulias’ numbers among African-American voters follow the more traditional lines. According to PPP, he’s getting 69 percent, with 22 percent undecided and 9 for Republican Mark Kirk.

* In other campaign news, Democrat Debbie Halvorson has fired her campaign manager

Halvorson (D-Crete) decided this week to replace Travis Worl, who had worked on Secretary of State Hillary Clinton’s 2008 presidential campaign, in favor of someone else, spokesman Ryan Vanderbilt said. Halvorson has not yet hired a new campaign manager.

“Travis is no longer with our campaign,” Vanderbilt said. “He did a good job getting everything up and running to put us in a position to win going into November. But now, as we look forward to the election and Labor Day, a decision was made to bring in someone new.”

Halvorson, who is nearing the end of her first term in Congress, is facing Republican Adam Kinzinger in the Nov. 2 election.

Worl did not immediately return a call seeking comment.

Worl made news earlier this summer after questioning in an e-mail whether Kinzinger had exaggerated his role as a temporary U.S. Air Force Special Operations pilot. A member of the Wisconsin National Guard, Kinzinger has flown more than 100 special operations missions and Halvorson’s campaign focused on his use of “is” versus “was” on a Web site to describe his special forces status.

They fired the guy with no replacement in mind just before Labor Day? Man, there’s trouble in that camp.

* More campaign news…

* Schoenburg: Taxpayer-funded Schock mailing pushes envelope

* Schilling seeks debates with Hare

* Quinn comes out against mosque at Ground Zero

* Quinn doesn’t support mosque near ground zero

* SJ-R: Voters need budget details — and soon

  50 Comments      


Holdout juror remains mum, but is identified

Thursday, Aug 19, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* That lone holdout Blagojevich juror was a real problem for others

Of particular concern, several jurors said Wednesday, was the lone holdout on numerous counts that would have convicted Blagojevich of trying to sell the U.S. Senate seat vacated by President Barack Obama. John Grover, 52, a juror from Joliet, said he grew so frustrated after three days of deliberating on the same charge that he yelled at the woman who refused to join the other 11 in agreeing to convict.

“I gave her a piece of my mind,” Grover said. “If it wasn’t for that one lady, we’d have had him convicted on probably 80 percent of (the indictment).”

Grover considered going to the judge to tell him that the female juror was deliberating in bad faith, but he felt that would do no good. […]

Stephen Wlodek, of Bartlett, said it bothered him that after the verdict, the former governor and his defense team claimed the prosecution failed to make its case.

“In a way, they didn’t prove it to one person,” he said. “I just felt a little slighted by that. It gave the impression to the residents of the state that this jury was deadlocked right down the middle when we weren’t.”

Mr. Grover probably should’ve gone to the judge. Even if it didn’t work, at least the higher-ups would’ve been notified that there was a serious problem.

* CBS2 has identified the woman

Sources tell CBS 2 News that the holdout juror is Jo Ann Chiakulas, a retired state employee. She used to work for the Illinois Department of Public Health, had been a director of teen counseling for the Chicago Urban League and once handed out campaign literature for a relative who ran for public office.

Coincidentally, the Chicago Urban League was once headed by Cheryle Jackson, a former Blagojevich press secretary, although it appears Chiakulas left the Urban League several years before Jackson became the league’s president. […]

The holdout juror seemed to stand firm no matter how hard her fellow jurors argued.

“It just surprised, shocked all of us I think that someone would have such a different opinion than ourselves,” said Parker.

* And, if true, this revelation from Fox Chicago is not a good thing

FOX Chicago News reported that it is likely to be juror Jo Ann Chiakulas of Willowbrook, after a second-hand acquaintance said that she has been saying since early july that she would find Blagojevich not guilty. [Emphasis added.]

Yikes.

* Meanwhile, some jurors are apparently complaining about media contacts

The Clerk of court has just sent out this release, on behalf of U.S. District Judge James Zagel.

“It has come to the Court’s attention that certain jurors in the Blagojevich trial are calling and complaining about numerous phone calls from the media asking for interviews and visiting their homes. The United States Marshal has advised the jurors to call 911 to report the incidents.

Please keep in mind that some of these jurors simply do not wish to talk, and if they have not agreed to talk with you, we ask that you respect their privacy.”

The cops can’t do much about reporters doing their jobs.

* Kristen McQueary weighs in on whether reporters should leave jurors alone

On one hand, the criminal justice system randomly picked them to serve. They didn’t ask for the spotlight, and they deserve to resume their private lives once they complete their service.

On the other hand, the 12 jurors in Blagojevich’s case deliberated one of Illinois’ most historic cases, which began with the pre-dawn arrest of a sitting governor pulled from his bed sheets by FBI agents. Of 24 criminal counts the federal government splashed on Blagojevich’s rap sheet, jurors returned just one guilty verdict - on quite possibly the meekest charge of the batch.

In some respects, aren’t jurors obligated in a broader, historical context to lend transparency to the proceedings? To answer basic questions? To set the record straight?

Everyone - the public, prosecutors, defense attorneys, the judge, the defendants - wants to understand the factors that played into their decision, particularly when U.S. Attorney Patrick Fitzgerald is vowing to retry the case.

* As does the SouthtownStar

As a news gathering organization, we are compelled to ferret out the best sources for every story we cover, every day, year in and year out. We expect our reporters to act responsibly and respectfully in pursuit of the truth, and never advocate harassing or stalking anyone.

The story, post verdict, is quite simply the jury: What was said, what presented problems, who were the holdouts?

The residents of this state funded this expensive and drawn out drama, and they have every right to learn what it was like to deliberate the fate of our former top elected state official for the past 14 days.

We don’t ask these questions to improve our health. The media doesn’t exist simply to annoy jurors on high-profile cases.

It is our duty to ask the questions that the public cannot, simply because they have jobs and kids and obligations and perhaps cannot devote their lives to asking what they want to know.

That’s our job, and we take it seriously.

So we find it incredulous that the U.S. marshal feels that possibly tying up emergency phone lines is an appropriate response to media inquires.

* Roundup…

* Mitchell: Blame feds — not jurors — for deadlock

* Some Blago jurors support retrial

* A New Trial Means a New Jury

* Jurors wanted to clear Robert Blagojevich

* Blagojevich juror: Robert Blagojevich shouldn’t be tried again

* Profanity for Obama? ‘Where I come from, that doesn’t happen

* Juror: Blago kids should’ve stayed home

* What the Blagojevich Jury Thinks

* Southland Blago jurors keep quiet on case

* ‘I’ve been on juries before, I’ve never had it this tough’

* Do it again, but without us, Blagojevich jurors say

* News-Sun: Retrial? Yes

* $25M-$30M for retrial? Hard to say

* Largest Cost of Retrial: Defending Blagojevich

* What should feds do differently next time in the Blagojevich case?

* Government Has Advantage in Retrial: Former Prosecutor

* Uncertainty surrounds Blagojevich retrial

* Does costly Blago retrial deter further corruption?

* Lawyers: Blago’s media blitz worked

* Blagojevich Seeking Out Media Opportunities

* Sneed: The Blago beat

* Foster: Rod dodges bullet

* Lipson: Jersey Shore politics in Illinois

* Hinz: Rod’s long legal road

* QC Times: Blagojevich conviction doesn’t change much

* Register Star: Corruption must end; Blago retrial necessary

* Herald-Review: Illinois faces more embarrassment

* News-Democrat: One and counting: The Blagojevich verdict

* Guilty count could cost Blago 5 years in jail

* Blago: No comment on retrial, conviction

* Newly-Convicted Blagojevich Takes Daughter to Camp

* Blagojevich does dad duty on day after verdict

* What’s next in USA v. Rod Blagojevich?

* Kadner: Ettinger vows to unveil whole Senate deal story

* Ch. 7 a ratings winner in coverage of verdict

  66 Comments      


Watch the big race

Thursday, Aug 19, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* As I told you yesterday, I placed. John Patterson won. And heeeeeere they come


I love this race. Those horses are huge and they race extremely close together. It’s scary fun when they’re all bunched up and the drivers are maneuvering for position. Marcus Miller, my driver, was an excellent guy and he really tried to win. I suppose that hot dog before the race kept me from the lead. Or, maybe it was the burgers for the last 20 years. Whatever. I had a blast.

It’s too bad we’re not legally allowed to bet on this race. Maybe we can figure something out for next year, though. Any ideas?

  15 Comments      


*** UPDATED x1 *** Huge elephants at Democrats’ big day

Thursday, Aug 19, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The Democrats didn’t ignore the gigantic elephant in the room yesterday

Impeachment. Recall. Ethics reform.

Democrats spent their day at the Illinois State Fair Wednesday rehashing the talking points they’ll be using in the fall election campaigns in the wake of ex-Gov. Rod Blagojevich’s unresolved federal corruption charges.

It’s going to feature heavy doses of “We did our job to get rid of Blagojevich and try to stop it from happening again,” along with smatterings of legislative accomplishments like curbs on predatory lending, utility rate relief and public pension reforms.

But House Speaker Michael Madigan, D-Chicago, who is also chairman of the state Democratic Party, bluntly outlined to Democratic party leaders at the Crowne Plaza Hotel the challenges ahead.

“We all know that there’s a huge scandal hanging over our heads called the former governor,” Madigan said. “We all know that. It’s right and proper for us to ask how shall we go forward, because the opposition will not let us forget the former governor.”

* Watch Madigan’s speech


* Everybody got into the act

Senate President John Cullerton, D-Chicago, said Blagojevich’s tenure as governor was so rocky, voters won’t necessarily link his behavior to all Democrats.

“Madigan wouldn’t even talk to him for years,” said Cullerton.

“I’m just really glad he’s not the governor anymore,” Cullerton added.

* Good analysis here

It was part of an emerging Democratic strategy: Portray Blagojevich as a freelancer who lied to his fellow Democrats even as he lied to the FBI. Remind voters at every turn that it was a Democratic-led Legislature that impeached him. Make the case that he is more akin to imprisoned fellow ex-Gov. George Ryan, a Republican, than he is with today’s Democrats.

“The Republican Party doesn’t have anything to talk about,” Democratic Gov. Pat Quinn said as he arrived at one of the related Springfield party events Wednesday, referencing Ryan. “George Ryan is in jail, Rod Blagojevich is awaiting sentencing, and I’m here to clean it up.”

* There is an obvious downside, however

But Quinn was Blagojevich’s lieutenant governor, replacing him in January 2009, so he may be especially vulnerable to the continuing fallout from the case as he seeks a full term in November.

Asked about his one-time public statements vouching for Blagojevich’s integrity, Quinn harkened to the one criminal count on which Blagojevich was convicted: “Rod Blagojevich lied to me, he lied to the FBI, he lied to the people of Illinois.”

* And talking about pocketbook issues has its downsides as well

Democrats said they hope to soften the effect of the Blagojevich scandal by talking about pocketbook issues.

They promised to bring more jobs to Illinois and criticized Republicans for wanting to lower the minimum wage, opposing a federal aid package for schools and fighting an extension of unemployment benefits. They mentioned legislative accomplishments like approving a statewide public works program and curtailing government pension costs.

There was little mention of the jobs Illinois has lost under Democratic leadership, the state’s massive budget crisis or the income tax increase Quinn wants to pass if he wins the election.

That was the other huge elephant in the room. Because of the big Blagojevich news, they could more easily gloss over that one.

* Oh, yeah, there was also this one

There were some awkward moments Wednesday such as when Cullerton was railing against Republican candidate for governor State Sen. Bill Brady, for, among other things, paying no federal or state income taxes this year and voting against the capital bill after voting for the projects it funded.

“Bill got a little confused,” Cullerton said. “He voted for the projects. He just didn’t vote for the funding. He says he’s against taxes. He’s against taxes. He didn’t pay any last year.”

A few feet from Cullerton, Giannoulias, who also paid no taxes last year, looked at the ground. By the time Quinn got up to complain about Brady paying no taxes, Giannoulias had left the stage with Sen. Dick Durbin for a state fly-around to convince voters Giannoulias’ economic plan beats Kirk’s.

Oops.

*** UPDATE *** I almost forgot the other elephant at the fair. Former Senate President Emil Jones showed up. Gov. Quinn lavished praised on him from the podium. Turns out, Jones is hinting at a mayoral bid

Chicago - Former State Senate President Emil Jones is telling political insiders he may run for mayor next year, even if Mayor Daley is in the race, FOX Chicago News has learned.

Political Editor Mike Flannery asked Jones about the report at Democrats Day at the Illinois State Fair.

“I wasn’t thinking about it, it comes up,” Jones said. “I enjoy what I’m doing now. …[People] have come to me several times you know but again, I enjoy what I’m doing presently.”

When asked how he responds to those who ask him to run, Jones said, “It sounds good, but my wife won’t let me do that, I don’t think.”

Yeah. Listen to your wife. She’s right.

* The Governor’s Day media roundup shows it was all about Blagojevich…

* Dems Talk Verdict, Election at Ill. State Fair Governor’s Day

* Democrats Downplay Ties To Blagojevich Following Guilty Verdict

* Democrats try to counter Blagojevich fallout at state fair

* At State Fair, Democrats Distance Themselves from Blago

* Democrats offer a Fair amount of explaining after Blago verdict

* Analysis: Blagojevich retrial may hurt Democrats in mid-terms

* Illinois Democrats take pains to separate from Rod Blagojevich

* Democrat Day dominated by Blagojevich

* Dems refuse to let Blago drag them down

* Franken, Kaine, Democratic candidates take on GOP at state fair

* DNC Chief Kaine Puts His Weight Behind Illinois Candidates

* State house blues: Governor’s races mean bad news for Democrats

  23 Comments      


Morning Shorts

Thursday, Aug 19, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Which company will land at MidAmerica today? Analysts say Boeing would be a good fit

Is the Boeing Co. coming to MidAmerica St. Louis Airport?

If so, will the defense and aerospace giant use the struggling airport as a facility to customize its much-ballyhooed, but long-delayed 787 Dreamliner passenger plane?

Or will Boeing use MidAmerica to retrofit its 767 twin jet airliners into fuel tankers as part of an effort to win a $35 billion Air Force contract?

* Landowners chime in on plans for water pipeline from Decatur to Taylorville for energy center

* Horizon begins pitch for new McLean County wind farm

* Journal Star: Was ‘Rosty’ perfect? No. Effective? No question

* Ethical conflict in suing county?

He was elected to sit on the Cook County board that hears tax appeals, but Larry Rogers Jr. put on his lawyer hat this week and is now representing a family suing the county in a high-profile wrongful death case.

While several officials are calling this a conflict of interest, Rogers isn’t violating any ethics ordinances.

* Fourth female alderman to retire from City Council

Ald. Ginger Rugai (19th) said Wednesday she would not seek re-election, becoming the fourth of the City Council’s 17 women to retire from politics in a difficult year for incumbents.

Rugai insisted that her decision to retire had nothing to do with the anti-incumbent tidal wave sweeping the nation or the local political backlash that followed the 75-year, $1.15 billion lease that privatized Chicago parking meters.

* Rugai will not run for alderman again

* Mayor Daley offers new plan for high-speed O’Hare-Loop rail

Citing interest already expressed by investors from China, Japan and the Middle East, Mayor Daley today appointed a heavyweight panel of business and labor leaders to try to attract the hundreds of millions of dollars needed to provide express service to O’Hare.

The mayor’s mandate to Lester Crown and others is that no city money be used to build the separate tracks along the Kennedy Expressway that would be needed to duplicate the sort of high-speed rail service that’s already wildly popular in Japan.

“It has to be almost a separate private system,” the mayor told a City Hall news conference.

That means the 17-member panel will do its best to attract private investors — first to build the system, then possibly to run it for the next 25 years.

* Daley dusts off plan for upscale rail service to O’Hare

* Mayor Daley forms group to study O’Hare-downtown express train

* Businessman slated to become next RTA chairman

The candidate, John Gates, would need a super majority of 12 votes from the 16-member RTA board to become chairman. He would replace Jim Reilly, who recently stepped down as RTA chairman to become the trustee in charge of the Metropolitan Pier and Exposition Authority, or McPier. Gates until recently chaired a reorganization of McPier.

* RTA to interview chairman candidate Thursday

* Navy Pier awash in visitors, sales climb

Gross sales for fiscal 2010, ended July 31, increased 5%, to $119 million, boosted in particular by the March-through-July period, when sales jumped 11%.

* Parents Sound Off on Chicago Public Schools’ Proposed Budget

* FEMA gets first-hand flood stories

* Kane Circuit Court clerk considers suing County Board for funding

* Hillside landfill to pay $1 million fine

* Judge orders Warrenville alderman to turn in passport

Alderman Christopher S. Halley was ordered held on $75,000 bail during a brief morning bond hearing in which prosecutors said he tried to flee the area Tuesday instead of turning himself in to police as promised.

Halley, 27, is charged with theft by deception and deceptive practices. It’s his second arrest in recent months. In March, he was accused of writing a bad $1,500 check to a friend in fall 2009.

* Low scores mean transfer is an option at 20 Rockford schools

Rockford is not alone. The Illinois State Board of Education expects more schools than ever will face sanctions this year for consistently failing under the No Child Left Behind Act. In the Belvidere district, 30 students are transferring from a failing school to a better-performing one this year.

Official results from standardized tests taken this year won’t be released until the fall. And while missing the federal targets doesn’t necessarily mean that test scores are down from last year, it does means that schools aren’t making large enough academic gains to keep up with rising achievement standards.

* [East Peoria] schools face $2.8 million deficit

* Heartland eyes record enrollment again this fall

* UIS rated high by U.S. News & World Report

* Mahomet-Seymour teachers on strike; classes canceled

Jordan said the board has “got to put some money on the salary” before she believes the union and board will get closer together in negotiations.

The board and the union’s bargaining team met for about seven hours with a federal mediator Tuesday night and again Wednesday night.

* After trustees are a no-show, Washington Park could shut down in bankruptcy procedure

The village is in danger of being shut down because three of the six trustees did not show up Tuesday night to vote on a resolution to proceed with a bankruptcy case first approved a year ago.
A four vote majority was needed to pass the resolution that would allow bankruptcy attorney Donald Sampson to proceed with the court filing. But only Mayor Cynthia Stovall-Hollingsworth, who is also a trustee, and trustees James Jones and Dorris Davis were in attendance. The meeting was canceled due to a lack of a quorum.

* O’Fallon seeks grants, but it will cost hundreds of thousands in matching funds

* Early audit: Dongola owes state $59,000

* Lazare: Susan Carlson to coanchor new WBBM early news show

  6 Comments      


Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Supplement to today’s edition

Thursday, Aug 19, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today’s edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)

Thursday, Aug 19, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Even though we’re not really celebrities…

Wednesday, Aug 18, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Today’s “celebrity” harness horse race will be held at the Grandstand today around 2:45 pm. I’ll be racing against flaks from the four legislative caucuses.

Use this post as a State Fair Governor’s Day activities open thread. Or, whatever.

UPDATE: I placed. John Patterson got the win. I’ll have video tomorrow.

  20 Comments      


Question of the day

Wednesday, Aug 18, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The Stanley Cup will be at the Illinois State Fairgrounds this Friday

The plan is for the Cup to arrive in Springfield around 10 a.m. Friday for a private reception at the Governor’s Mansion with Gov. Pat Quinn for Betty Wirtz and guests.

There will be brunch at the Mansion until noon, and then the trophy will be taken to the Capitol Rotunda for a photo shoot that’s expected to last from about 12:30-2:30 p.m.

Then around 2:30 Friday afternoon, Rocky Wirtz will accompany the Stanley Cup to the Illinois State Fair. For about an hour, the Cup will be at the Governor’s Tent, and then from 4:30-5:30 it will be at the Director’s Lawn for another photo session.

At about 6 p.m., there will be a cocktail reception at the Governor’s Mansion for members of the legislature and Wirtz Beverage Illinois Employees, and the Stanley Cup will spend the night at the Mansion.

* The Question: What’s your fondest State Fair memory?

  33 Comments      


Bill Brady growing as a candidate, leader

Wednesday, Aug 18, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Sen. Bill Brady tried to tone down the social issues rhetoric yesterday during a Springfield address…

Bill Brady, the Republican candidate for governor, is pro-life but told a group of Springfield senior citizens on Tuesday that there is not much he can do about abortion if he is elected.

“Yes, I am pro-life,” the state senator from Bloomington told a luncheon of about 40 people at Temple Israel on West Governor Street. “But really, if you look at the makeup of the letter of the law, there’s very little that the governor can do.” […]

He did pledge to implement a state law requiring parental notification before a minor can get an abortion.

“I think a parent should be notified anytime their minor child receives a medical procedure. We can implement that. But other than that, there’s not much a governor can do,” Brady said.

Brady has been hammered by the Democratic Governors Association and others for his pro-life views, so this was a good way to make himself appear to be less scary. And even if there is a total GOP takeover this fall, both the House and Senate Republican leaders are pro-choice. So, he’s got a point.

But Brady’s attempt at moderating the rhetoric didn’t sit well with William Beckman, the executive director of the Illinois Right to Life Committee…

“I think he’s probably, to some degree, minimizing the impact the governor can have,” Beckman said. “Unfortunately, in the state of Illinois, it seems the so-called political advisers seem to be of the mindset that you have to put these kinds of issues under the rug.”

True believers always want their candidates to be as forceful as humanly possible on their issues. But whether it’s the Left wing blasting Obama for being too accomodating with the Republicans or pro-lifers dinging Brady for not being belligerent enough, it’s usually bad politics to follow their advice. What Brady showed with his answers yesterday is that he wants to be the leader of the entire state, not just his base. That’s a good thing.

* This is becoming a habit of late. Earlier this month, Brady spoke out strongly in favor of more legal immigration


* He even did a better job than Mark Kirk at keeping an even keel on the not-so-Ground Zero mosque

Republican candidate for Illinois governor Bill Brady says he thinks there’s a “lack of sensitivity” regarding the building of a mosque near the site of the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks in New York City.

Brady on Tuesday wouldn’t give an opinion on whether he supports or opposes the mosque site near Ground Zero. He said he hopes “sensitive minds will deal with this in a sensible way.”

Thoughts? And, please, we had a big knock-down drag-out over this mosque thing already this week. There’s no need to rehash it today.

* A campaign and state news roundup…

* 14th Congressional candidates jump into Social Security debate

* Republican leaders turn out for Hoffman challenger Dwight Kay

* Did Peraica contribute to colleague’s opponent?

* Illinois Policy Institute Turnaround Tour comes to Decatur seeking solutions to state’s budget woes: About 75 people turned out at the Decatur Conference Center and Hotel on Tuesday for the kickoff of the Illinois Policy Institute’s Turnaround Tour.

* Quinn Law Requiring Utilities To Buy Solar Power

* Quinn moves to get more federal schools money

* Effective date of Springfield police layoffs postponed

* Quincy School District’s tentative budget shows $2.6 million deficit
MS

  54 Comments      


PPP: Brady over Quinn and Whitney 39-30-11

Wednesday, Aug 18, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* As I told subscribers this morning, Public Policy Polling has a new survey out. Bill Brady is beating Pat Quinn by nine points, 39-30, with 11 for Green Party nominee Rich Whitney and 20 percent undecided. From the pollster

Pat Quinn’s approval rating is 23% and when it comes to the Illinois Governor’s race that’s about all you need to know. Despite being largely unknown and not particularly well liked Bill Brady leads with 39% to 30% for Quinn and 11% for Green Party candidate Rich Whitney, continuing his path toward becoming one of the most unlikely big state Governors in recent history.

Brady is winning 80% of Republicans while only 60% of Democrats are committed to Quinn. Perhaps most remarkable is the numbers among independents- Brady leads with 40% with Whitney second at 19% and Quinn finishing all the way back in third at 15%.

There’s certainly still room for Quinn to come back but it’s going to depend on whether people vote based on their feelings about the candidates themselves or just choose on party. Among the undecideds 50% are Democrats to only 16% who are Republicans and 67% of them voted for Barack Obama to just 21% who voted for John McCain. Usually you would expect that Democratic leaning crop of undecideds to come home and tighten the race…except that they give Quinn only an 8% approval rating with 49% of them disapproving of him. Getting the votes of Democrats who dislike him is the only way Quinn can pull it out but right now those folks aren’t sure what they’re going to do.

53% of voters disapprove of Quinn. He has only a 40% approval rating even with voters of his own party and Republicans (7/81) and independents (17/60) are pretty universal in their dislike of him. Brady isn’t exactly setting the world on fire either. The largest group of voters, at 45%, have no opinion about him. Among those who do it’s a slightly negative one with 25% seeing him favorably and 30% unfavorably. But at the end of the day the main thing Brady has going for him is that he’s not Pat Quinn and that’s good enough to give him a solid lead less than three months out from the election.

Toplines and crosstabs are here. I need to get to the State Fair soon, so I’m in a bit of a rush. You’ll have to debate this without me.

  53 Comments      


Retrial or bust

Wednesday, Aug 18, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* There is so much wrong with this commentary that I don’t quite know where to begin

We don’t need to spend $25 million on a face-saving do-over for Patrick Fitzgerald. The next trial will probably last twice as long as this one, as Fitzgerald calls in witnesses he neglected to cross-examine the first time around — partly because he didn’t realize Blagojevich wouldn’t put up a defense, leaving him with half a case.

We can also do without a retrial because it will give Rod Blagojevich another six months to repeat his wearying claims of innocence. Maybe he wants that, but the rest of Illinois doesn’t.

It wasn’t a total defeat for the government: they got Blagojevich on one count. It wasn’t a total defeat for Blagojevich: he can say he was never convicted of selling the Senate seat. Maybe Fitzgerald wants a rematch for vindication, and Blagojevich wants one so he can get more attention. But Illinois doesn’t want a rematch. We just want to put the Blagojevich years behind us.

$25 million just for the retrial? What credible person is saying that outside of Sam Adam, Jr.? Also, I got news for you, Blagojevich clearly showed yesterday that he’s not gonna keep his big yap shut. A trial, at least, will force him to stay off the airwaves for a while, giving us a respite, no matter how brief.

And who says Illinois doesn’t want a retrial? Our infamous commenter Bill most surely doesn’t, but he’s not exactly representative of the state at large. Sheesh, what a goofy mess.

I’ll stand with the Sun-Times editorial board on this one

Fitzgerald’s view was — and remains — that Blagojevich shouldn’t get a pass just because he was as lousy a schemer as he was a governor.

And that seems exactly right to us. […]

A couple of hours after the jury’s verdict was read, Blagojevich’s lead attorney, Sam Adams Jr., ripped into the prosecutors for declaring they would retry the case. Adams asked, “Is this worth it?”

To which we say again: You bet. Elvis has not left the building.

Blagojevich and his brother, Robert, were exonerated of nothing, and Illinois remains too crooked a state for the feds to start looking the other way now.

Admittedly, Blagojevich has already been a gift to reform in Illinois. In the wake of his arrest, the state Legislature was shamed into passing a host of bills designed to promote a cleaner and more transparent government and politics. Illinois now has tighter state procurement laws, stronger freedom of information laws, pension board reforms and stricter limits on campaign contributions.

But only by prosecuting public corruption to the fullest extent of the law, retrials and all, can Illinois one day hope to arrive in that happy land of honest government.

And the Tribune

We very much anticipate that second trial. The government’s accusations of racketeering and conspiracy are too serious to go unresolved. We trust that another jury will tell the people of Illinois whether the state’s only impeached and ousted governor is guilty or innocent of more than one felony.

Blagojevich offered his opinion on that question after jurors offered their verdict: “This is a persecution!”

No, Governor, this is a prosecution. And we’re thankful that U.S. Attorney Patrick Fitzgerald and his team were swift in assuring citizens that they would take their case to a second group of jurors.

Judge Zagel, never one to dally, could move as early as next Thursday, Aug. 26, to set a date for jury selection to begin. Good for him. The sooner all of us know whether Rod Blagojevich’s criminal record stops with one federal felony, the sooner all of us can concur that justice has been served.

And pretty much every other sane person outside Blagojevich’s inner circle.

* And speaking of goofy arguments, more than a few people have criticized Patrick Fitzgerald for not waiting until Blagojevich sold the US Senate seat before moving in. This is a fairly decent counter-argument

His backers said that if Fitzgerald had waited to arrest the governor until Blagojevich carried through with an alleged plan to appoint U.S. Rep. Jesse Jackson Jr., D-Ill., to Obama’s vacant U.S. Senate seat in exchange for a sizable donation, it would have created a constitutional crisis.

“What should he have done?” former federal prosecutor Jeffrey Cramer said. “Wait for him to sell the seat? It would have been a disaster. The arrest was not only proper, it was necessary.”

My own opinion is that Fitz was worried that Blagojevich was busily concocting an alibi. The Tribune reported the week before his arrest that the feds had the governor on wiretaps. Blagojevich knew the net was about to drop, so he started undoing things. If they had waited, he most likely would’ve appointed anybody but JJJ.

* Back to the verdict. Mark Brown makes some interesting points today

I will say this, though, and it might surprise you. I would almost rather have seen the Blagojevich jury fail to reach a verdict on any counts than to convict him only of the chicken-bleep lying to a federal agent charge.

We certainly should have an expectation that our elected officials would tell the truth to the FBI, and there are times when their failure to do so deserves punishment, as when George Ryan tried to throw the agents off his scent by lying about how he paid a state contractor for use of his Jamaican vacation home.

That was hardly the case with Blagojevich. Here is the false statement on which he was convicted: “Rod Blagojevich does not track, or want to know, who contributes to him or how much they are contributing to him.”

As many witnesses testified and wiretaps confirmed, Blagojevich obviously did track his campaign contributions. In fact, he monitored them quite closely.

But here’s the problem: There’s nothing particularly wrong with a politician keeping track of their campaign donations. It’s certainly not illegal. In fact, he was in his rights to sit there at his desk in the governor’s office and make fund-raising calls on his cell phone.

Were federal agents thrown off the track, or was their investigation impeded in any way when Blagojevich was stupid enough to tell them such a lie?

No way. They probably just said to themselves: “Gotcha!”

And remember the false statements were made in March 2005, more than three years before the wiretaps.

Fitz should’ve busted him before the 2006 election and saved us a lot of trouble.

* Related…

* Retrial could hurt Democrats’ fall campaigns

* Roeper: 1 out of 24 enough to ruin ex-gov’s victory-lap dream

* Sneed: Blagojevich trial is not over yet

* Sweet: Rod Blagojevich Convicted for Coverup, Not the Crime

* Erickson: Did Blagojevich’s media onslaught make a difference?

* Kadner: No sympathy here for Toxic Blago

* Southtown Star: LIAR

* Pantagraph: Blagojevich verdict doesn’t yield winners

* SJ-R: Would a retrial be worth it? Yes

* Register Star: There are no winners in Blagojevich trial

* Journal Star: Still no end for sorry Blagojevich saga

  73 Comments      


Some Blagojevich trial mysteries solved, but one remains

Wednesday, Aug 18, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* I would really like to know who this lone holdout juror is

A juror in the corruption trial of Rod Blagojevich says the panel was deadlocked 11-1 in favor of convicting the former Illinois governor of trying to sell or trade President Barack Obama’s former Senate seat.

Juror Erik Sarnello of Itasca, Ill., said the panel was deadlocked 11-1 in favor of convicting Blagojevich of trying to auction off the Senate seat. He said one woman on the panel “just didn’t see what we all saw.” The 21-year-old Sarnello said the counts involving the Senate seat were “the most obvious.”

More

[Juror Stephen Wlodek] and the other two jurors disagreed on the exact number of counts in which the jury eventually voted 11-1 to convict, they did agree on this: On at least some of the most serious counts, the overwhelming sentiment was Blagojevich was not just a politician blowing off steam in conversations recorded by the FBI in which he said the power to name a senator was “(expletive) golden” and that he wasn’t going to give it up “for (expletive) nothing.” […]

But [juror Erik Sarnello] and Wlodek told the AP that after three weeks, it was clear one juror, a woman they wouldn’t name, would not be swayed.

“She just didn’t see it like we all did,” Sarnello said. “At a certain point there was no changing. … You can’t make somebody see something they don’t see.”

More

While some votes were split 7-5, 6-6 or 9-3, the most explosive of the charges — that Blagojevich tried to sell Barack Obama’s U.S. Senate seat — came down to a single holdout vote, jurors said.

That one holdout — a woman whom her colleagues declined to single out — felt she had not gotten the “clear-cut evidence” she needed to convict, Sarnello said.

“Say it was a murder trial — she wanted the video,” Sarnello said. “She wanted to hear [Blagojevich] say, ‘I’ll give you this for that.’ . . . For some people, it was clear. Some people heard that. But for some, it wasn’t clear.'’

She sounds an awful lot like the lone holdout in George Ryan’s trial. That woman was removed by the judge after it was reported that she hadn’t told the truth about her criminal record during the selection process. No such luck this time around.

* Another mystery about this case was why the jurors requested a copy of their oath

Sarnello addressed the question of why the jury Tuesday asked for a copy of the oath they took at the start of deliberations. Some jurors felt one of the jurors was not deliberating in good faith. “Some people felt that they were deliberating not under what the law told us to do,” he said.

“What they were looking at wasn’t what we were supposed to be looking at based on what the judge gave us as a set of rules,” Sarnello said.

It’s probably safe to assume that the lone holdout was the target of that action. Yep. She sounds more and more like Ryan’s friendly juror with every revelation.

* Meanwhile, remember that jury note from last week which claimed they had agreed on two counts and were deadlocked on the rest? It turns out, the transcript of Bradley Tusk’s testimony, which the jury requested this week, convinced some jurors to switch their guilty votes to not guilty

The entire jury had been prepared to convict Blagojevich on the bribery charge that dealt with the ex-governor trying to shake down then-U.S. Rep. Rahm Emmanuel, Wlodek said.

But reviewing testimony from former deputy governor Bradley Tusk on Monday made all the difference for certain jurors, he said.

“Reading the testimony swayed two to three jurors to go from guilty to not guilty,” Wlodek said. “I think it just came down to the testimony of the witness. For them, it wasn’t there - they felt it didn’t prove their case.”

* So, besides the lone holdout and the Tusk-inspired flip-flop, what was the problem here? The prosecution’s road map was a jumbled mess

Sarnello, a sophomore at College of DuPage studying criminal justice, said the main problem with the prosecution’s case was that it was all over the place.

“It confused people,” he said. “They didn’t follow a timeline. They jumped around.” […]

Wlodek described the jury’s deliberations as methodical, with the foreman assigning each juror a specific job. Wlodek’s job, for example, was to review the hours of recorded conversations that the government used as a primary piece of evidence against Blagojevich.

And Carol Marin was spot on today

Fitzgerald, who is anything but a politician, used his own awesome power in this case with too heavy a hand. And so Blagojevich wasn’t hit with a federal indictment but a veritable Mack truck of complicated and redundant charges.

The feds are accustomed to winning. They wear it, too often, as a righteous entitlement. There is value in this loss.

Yes, there is.

  59 Comments      


*** UPDATED x1 *** Rate the reacts

Wednesday, Aug 18, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Alexi Giannoulias’ reaction to the Blagojevich verdict arrived late yesterday, so many of you may not have seen it…

“Today, the jury found Rod Blagojevich guilty for lying, and on November 2nd, the voters of Illinois will reject Mark Kirk for lying. The people of Illinois deserve leaders they can trust.”

That was, by far, the most pointedly political reaction of the day. Mark Kirk’s react was more muted and generic, for instance…

“This is a sad day for Illinois. Rod Blagojevich disgraced our state and deserved the full weight of justice. For the sake of our economic future, the citizens of Illinois need to turn the page from Rod Blagojevich and the team he brought to power by electing thoughtful independent leaders who will restore integrity to our state.”

Since few people saw Giannoulias’ statement, I doubt it will make much of an impact beyond these electronic pages, but I’m curious what you think of it.

*** UPDATE *** OK, I apparently hadn’t seen all the reacts. Get a load of this one from the chairman of the Illinois Republican Party, the same guy who said he probably wouldn’t “make political hay” out of the verdict…

“I fully support U.S. Attorney Fitzgerald’s decision to seek a retrial of Rod Blagojevich. Let’s be clear, Rod Blagojevich isn’t concerned about the use of taxpayer money; he is concerned about the use of Rod Blagojevich’s money to mount another high-priced defense.

“Well, Rod should be worried. With Broadway Bank closed, I’m not really sure where he’s going to find a bank willing to loan millions to a convicted felon.”

* Related…

* Quinn: Conviction marks ’sad day’ for Illinois

* Illinoisans react to Blagojevich verdict

* Chicagoans react to Blagojevich verdict

* [Jacksonville] reaction to Blagojevich verdict mixed

* Blagojevich verdict irks East St. Louis man

* After Blagojevich Verdict, Illinois Politicians Promise to Clean Up Corruption

* State of Embarrassment — Illinois

* Metro-east politicians, residents react: ‘Just want to get Rod Blagojevich behind us’

* [Decatur] residents, candidates disappointed by incomplete Blagojevich verdict

* Blago Verdict Prompts Political Mudfight

* Blago Conviction Pleases Some State Democrats

  67 Comments      


Morning Shorts

Wednesday, Aug 18, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Rostenkowski ‘walked in the shoes of the common man’

* Rostenkowski remembered as generous, if flawed

* Dan Rostenkowski’s legacy will cast a long shadow

* Rostenkowski’s final farewell

* Walter’s Perspective: Saying Bye To Rostenkowski

* Trend in ACT scores shows growing racial gap

While white Illinois seniors saw their average ACT scores rise from 22.0 five years ago to 22.4 in both 2009 and 2010, the state’s African-American students saw their scores go in the opposite direction.

The average African-American Illinois senior scored 16.9 in 2006, compared to 16.8 in 2009 and 16.7 in 2010, new data released today showed.

Illinois’ Hispanic scores dipped from 18.2 last year to 18.0 this year, but were up slightly from five years ago, when Illinois Hispanics averaged a score of 17.9.

The state’s highest-achieving ethnic group — Asians — saw the biggest gains on a test used by many Illinois colleges as one measurement of college readiness. Their scores rose from 22.6 five years ago, to 23.7 last year and 23.8 this year.

* Illinois moves toward tightening high school testing loophole

* Average ACT scores dip, but more students ready for college

* Bankruptcy judge gives Tribune more time

* Daley suspends revenue director over memo saying police not writing enough tickets

Revenue Director Bea Reyna-Hickey was suspended for a day over the Aug. 10 memo that told police the city “will witness a dramatic decrease in annual revenues and not meet 2010 targets” if a slump in parking tickets and vehicle-compliance tickets continues.

“Stupidity. It was stupid. Just stupid. Some bureaucrat sent that out,” Daley said at an unrelated news conference. “The revenue department has nothing to do with the police department, period. They [officers] will determine whether you violated a law. No one else can. Especially revenue can’t.”

* Daley suspends aide over ticket-writing e-mail

The mayor reacted after several critics, including Fraternal Order of Police President Mark Donahue, said it’s improper to emphasize ticket writing at a time of high-profile crimes, including the murders of police officers and children. The critics also noted that the Police Department is short of personnel because of budget constraints.

* Police struggle to enforce rule of thumbs

“This law is very difficult to enforce,” said Kristiansen, supervisor of the traffic unit for the Buffalo Grove police. “They will usually have their phone down low, where it’s hard to see.”

* Mayor Daley unveils city’s $1.8 billion spending plan for 2010

As always, the plan includes everything from airport, water and sewer improvements, street resurfacing, sidewalk, curb and gutter repairs to construction of new libraries, police and fire stations.

“Capital improvements are absolutely essential to keep a city moving forward if we want to be a global city,” Daley told a news conference at the Lawrence Avenue viaduct being rebuilt by the city over the Kennedy Expy.

* Chicago climbs global cities list

* Metra adds train stops for New Trier

* CPS unveils push for healthier school meals

* NU Plans More Aid For Evanston, Chicago Students

* IT funding dominates DuPage borrowing talks

* Carpentersville set to start on public works facility

* Surgery still up in the air for Elk Grove Village mayor

* Country Club Hills man guilty of standing

Gregory Gordon Jr. committed the crime of standing. He has the ticket from Country Club Hills police, accusing him of unlawfully obstructing the roadway with his person, to prove it. […]

On Aug. 3, at 5:47 p.m., Gordon was on the street outside of the house where he lives with his parents in the 3600 block of 175th Place - less than a block from the County Club Hills police station. According to Gordon, 25, he was saying goodbye to his cousin, his cousin’s girlfriend and his cousin’s children as they were filing in to their car to head home.

A squad car drove by once.

The officer driving the vehicle circled the block and came back with some instructions for Gordon.
“He said, ‘Get the ‘F’ off the street!’ ” Gordon recalled.

* Homer Glen mayor disappointed in SD 205 board

* Quad City International Airport posts third busiest month ever

* Quad-Cities ACLU chapter protests suspension

* Coles County Crop Survey shows corn clearly ahead of last year’s pace

* Former Shelbyville mayor Bill Shoaff appointed to fill council vacancy

* Suspect in mayor’s shooting withdraws request for a new judge

* SIUC intends to hire new provost

* Journal Star to adopt new format

  3 Comments      


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Wednesday, Aug 18, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today’s edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)

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