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This just in… Cubs say they’re moving forward

Tuesday, Nov 16, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* 2:03 pm - House Speaker Michael Madigan just told reporters that it was his understanding that the Cubs have withdrawn their stadium proposal.

No word yet on whether we’ll see a new plan.

* 4:00 pm - From the Cubs: “Nothing has changed and we are hard at work.”

  53 Comments      


Davis is hardly a “consensus” candidate - Meeks’ mouth - Emanuel leads in new poll

Tuesday, Nov 16, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Mark Brown is his usual astute self

Noticeably absent from all three [weekend mayoral candidate announcements] were other elected officials. […]

While their hesitancy could prove a factor in all the campaigns, it was particularly noticeable for Davis, selected as the “consensus candidate'’ of a group that had hoped to winnow the field to avoid splitting the black vote.

Ald. Ed Smith (28th), who isn’t seeking re-election, was the only member of the City Council to stand with the veteran congressman, a further indication of a lack of true consensus among the group that had initially narrowed its endorsement to two finalists — former Sen. Carol Moseley Braun and Board of Review Commissioner Larry Rogers Jr. — only to pull the rug out from under them and throw its support to Davis.

Davis needed a large turnout of elected officials from both the South Side and West Side to give a clear indication of widespread support and remove any confusion. His backers said that will come later, but they lost a chance to get off to a big start.

I still don’t understand the Danny Davis choice unless I look at it as yet another in the endless skirmishes between the oldtimers and the up and comers. The oldtimers have won almost every one of those battles. Obama is the exception, not the rule. And even he lost to Bobby Rush, remember.

* Although Rev. Sen. James Meeks’ habitual use of racial epithets probably didn’t do him much good

On “Chicago Tonight,” State Sen. Meeks said for the first time that he regrets his repeated use of the N-word to describe African-American allies of Mayor Daley.

“Sure, I regret it,” Meeks said. “I don’t regret being passionate about the subject of education. And for those who would accuse me of using the N-word, I would just want to find any speech they’ve made about education, period.”

Yeah, that makes sense. Sheesh. A refresher


* Meanwhile, the Teamsters Union commissioned a poll of likely Chicago voters Nov. 8 through 14 with a +/-3.7 percent margin of error. Rahm Emanuel has a big lead

36 Rahm Emanuel
14 Rep. Danny Davis
13 Moseley Braun
10 Attorney Gery Chico
7 State Sen. James Meeks
4 City Clerk Miguel Del Valle

Among African-Americans…

29 Emanuel
22 Davis
18 Moseley Braun
14 Meeks
2 Chico
1 Del Valle
14 undecided.

Emanuel also leads among whites and Latinos and in all of the city’s congressional districts, according to the poll.

* Emanuel head-to-heads…

Emanuel 54% / Davis 33%
Emanuel 55% / Moseley Braun 32%

* Check out Carol Moseley-Braun’s unfavorables. Not great…

• Gerry Chico 31% Favorable / 16% Unfavorable - 47% Name ID
• Danny Davis 55% Favorable / 24% Unfavorable - 79% Name ID
• Miguel Del Valle 24% Favorable / 13% Unfavorable - 37% Name ID
• Rahm Emanuel 58% Favorable / 29% Unfavorable - 87% Name ID
• James Meeks 34% Favorable / 39% Unfavorable - 73% Name ID
• Carol Moseley Braun 48% Favorable / 42% Unfavorable - 90% Name ID

Her fave/unfaves among blacks are better, but not outstanding at 61-33. But her fave/unfaves among whites are quite bad at 36-55. It’s amazing that she is so disliked after all these years. But, then again, she completely blew it when she had her shot.

Meeks’ unfaves among African-American voters are also relatively high at 36 percent.

* It appears that the residency issue is actually working a bit in Emanuel’s favor…

Chicago voters are aware of the recently-raised residency issues involving Rahm Emanuel, but an overwhelming majority believes he should be allowed to run.

• Almost two-thirds of the electorate is aware of the press reports involving Emanuel’s residency (63%), and - by a greater than 3:1 margin (62% Yes / 20% No) - Chicago voters believe Emanuel meets the residency requirements to run for mayor. In fact, Emanuel’s lead is actually slightly greater among voters who are aware of the residency issues than among those who are not aware.

• Just 24% agree that “because he has spent so much time living outside the city, Emanuel just doesn’t understand the city well enough to be a good mayor”. Almost three-quarters (72%) disagree. [Emphasis added]

The theory is that attacks on his residency are “Machine style” politics, so it helps paint him as the non-Machine guy. That ain’t reality, but it could be the perception.

* TV ads might be able to turn these numbers around, but nobody yet has shown they can raise the cash to do that…

Only 36% of voters agree that, “Emanuel is an opportunist. He left his seat in Congress to work in the White House. Then he abandoned the President to run for Mayor before the difficult mid-term elections. Now, he wants to run for Mayor even though he has not lived here.” A solid majority (59%) disagrees.

Voters also disagree that “Rahm Emanuel’s personality would make it hard for him to get things done as Mayor” (37% Agree/ 50% Disagree).

* Roundup…

* Chicago mayoral filing: Not quite a free-for-all

* Gery Chico Asked for John McCain to Fundraise: GOP Source

* Fire and ice, Meeks and Emanuel, begin the campaign

* U.S. Transportation Secretary on Chicago’s mayoral race: Rahm Emanuel will win

* Burke: Next mayor will be less powerful

  42 Comments      


Utter, rank hypocrisy

Tuesday, Nov 16, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Back in October of 2009, Cubs chairman Tom Ricketts told the Tribune that his family saw the Boston Red Sox as a model for their organization. I’ve set the embed to start at that point in the conversation. Watch


But the Red Sox revamped their stadium without any taxpayer financing. The owner put $200 million of his own money into the place. And the investment has paid off…

Revenue has grown to $266 million today from about $180 million in 2002. The team’s market value has also risen, to $870 million from $617 million in 2005. All without building a new stadium or asking for a dime of taxpayer money.

* Yesterday, I showed you a video of Ricketts family patriarch Joe Ricketts deriding government borrowing as a “crime” and a Ricketts website that labels US Sen. Dick Durbin and others “hooligans” for supporting projects just like what the Ricketts family wants to do here.

The elder Ricketts, who controls the family cash, is also a board member of the American Enterprise Institute. Ironically enough, an article published a couple of years ago in AEI’s magazine derided publicly financed sports stadiums. The conclusion

Of course, even if the benefits of stadiums and arenas cover the subsidies, the subsidies still may not be sound policy. First, there may be enormous variation in the distribution of the consumption and public-good benefits. It is clear that not all citizens in a community benefit equally from the presence of professional sports franchises in their city. Indeed, because the tax revenues used for the subsidies are often generated from lotteries and sales taxes whose burden falls disproportionately on the poor, while the consumption benefits go mostly to relatively wealthy sports fans, the net benefits are distributed regressively.

Second, we should consider the net benefits to the community of alternative uses of the funds spent subsidizing sports facilities. Good policy means using the money where the net benefit is greatest, not simply where the net benefit is positive. That’s something state and local governments should keep in mind before pledging millions of dollars to fund the next new stadium project.

This proposed Wrigley Field deal is so anathema to the Ricketts family’s political and ideological history that it just reeks of rank hypocrisy.

Taken as a stand-alone, the renovation plan has plenty of merits. But this family has literally spent millions of dollars stoking hatred of government subsidies for just about everything. To see them now eagerly run to Big Brother with an out-stretched hand kinda makes me ill.

* Meanwhile, an added dynamic is injected into the political debate whenever a sports team wants something from the government. Sports columnists become part of the mix, and they’re far more brutal than political columnists

Can’t you see the Cubs’ lightweight battle for stadium financial support shaping up like the Bears’ mess did? I don’t know if the respective pols will act the same, but the respective owners are stumbling along similarly, not to mention the way Ricketts has seemingly adopted McCaskey’s elfin voice.

Except, the Bears actually got their stadium rehab. It wasn’t everything they wanted, but they did get something. Right now, the Ricketts family isn’t faring nearly as well.

Still, though, “elfin voice”? Oof.

* The other thing that happens is city reporters are often given the assignment to cover the story rather than Statehouse reporters. From the Sun-Times

The mayor said he likes the concept of a stadium renovation plan that would keep the Cubs at Wrigley for at least 35 years and free up the money the Ricketts family needs to develop a triangle building promised to Wrigleyville residents in exchange for a bleacher expansion.

But Daley said he’s not about to saddle his successor with a deal that requires Chicago taxpayers to forfeit 35 years of amusement-tax growth needed to bankroll basic city services

Daley is a lame duck. His Statehouse power is pretty much gone. And the bill will preempt his home rule powers, so he’s been written out of the script.

* Admirably enough, the Tribune editorialized against the Ricketts plan, but as usual they got their facts wrong

Perhaps the strongest argument of all: The Civic Federation’s Laurence Msall warned against taking on debt for non-essentials with a $15 billion deficit looming. “The state of Illinois faces an enormous financial crisis and will be needing all of its borrowing power just to pay its bills and continue to operate,” he said.

The bonds won’t be backed by the state whatsoever, so it wouldn’t impact the state’s borrowing abilities.

* The governor’s petulance at not being consulted is completely understandable, but perhaps he ought to tone it down a bit

“They haven’t shown it to me. Apparently they don’t think I’m as important as some others, and I am important in this matter because I’m a goalie for the people of Illinois to make sure they get their priorities addressed.”

All true, I suppose, but the bill will require a three-fifths vote, meaning that even if he vetoes it the General Assembly will have enough built-in votes to override.

* Whatever the Ricketts family did, this would probably not go well. People are naturally averse to using tax money of any kind to build stadiums.

But there’s no doubt that they completely screwed up this process. It’s mind-boggling, in fact. And in the end they may get far less than the Bears did if they don’t make some adjustments very soon.

In that October, 2009 interview posted above, a Ricketts family member told the Tribune that “hope is not a strategy any more.”

He was talking about the team’s on-field play, but it could just as easily apply to this stadium revamp.

  89 Comments      


Question of the day

Tuesday, Nov 16, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* It seems pretty clear to me since the election that Gov. Pat Quinn didn’t learn much, or grasped the wrong lessons from his victory.

Before proceeding, let’s review Paul Lis’ wise words of advice from a previous newspaper column of mine

“Strength,” Lis says, “Is the ability to advance your agenda.” And when you fail to get things done, you look weak, no matter the reason.

So, what does Gov. Quinn do right after the election? He claims a “mandate” and insists his victory means that voters want an income tax hike.

Look, he campaigned on the issue and was mercilessly drubbed for proposing the tax hike, so he has an obligation to move it forward. But actually moving it forward is far different from holding press conferences.

And what happens if and or (more likely) when his tax hike fails to pass during the veto session? He’ll look weak before he’s even sworn in for a full four-year term.

* And the tax hike vote isn’t the only dead duck Quinn is supporting during the lame duck session. He wants a civil unions bill to pass, for instance. He will also be defending an amendatory veto that created an open primary system. Another AV would force the General Assembly to vote on citizens ethics initiatives.

* The bottom line here is that Quinn needs some veto session wins to balance out his inevitable big losses or he’s going to enter the spring session as a hobbled incumbent.

* The Question: Any suggestions for the governor?

  63 Comments      


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Tuesday, Nov 16, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Morning Shorts

Tuesday, Nov 16, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Zell: ‘I don’t envision any role’ at Tribune after Chapter 11 exit: “As soon as the bankruptcy proceedings are done, I’ll turn it over to whoever the creditors decide they want to run it.”

* Big turnover likely on City Council

* Ald. Levar will not seek re-election

* Affordable housing plan advances despite Daley opposition

* Sun-Times: City water revenues down the drain

* Chicago ATF boss nominated as national director

* Sneed: The 411 on privatizing the 911 call center

* Call for Illiana bids could go out this month

* Kadner: No one can explain Property tax bills

* Schaumburg Taxpayers Ticked About Tax Bills

* Arlington Hts. votes for smaller property tax increase

* Batavia council picks future site of bridge

* Rutherford’s replacement candidates pitch their ideas

  7 Comments      


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Tuesday, Nov 16, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

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« NEWER POSTS PREVIOUS POSTS »
* Reader comments closed for the weekend
* Isabel’s afternoon roundup
* The Waukegan City Clerk was railroaded
* Whatever happened, the city has a $40 million budget hole it didn't disclose until now
* Manar gives state agencies budget guidance: Cut, cut, cut
* Roundup: Ex-Chicago Ald. Danny Solis testifies in Madigan corruption trial
* Open thread
* Isabel’s morning briefing
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today's edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)
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