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Inspector General closes “Buttongate” probe

Wednesday, Nov 9, 2011 - Posted by Rich Miller

* At the end of the first week of veto session, Gov. Pat Quinn demanded that the General Assembly’s Inspector General investigate what the media quickly termed “Buttongate.” As you’ll recall, about 20 Democratic members were off the House floor attending one of the day’s three scheduled budget briefings when the ComEd “Smart Grid trailer bill” was called for a vote. Several opponents of the bill were voted “Yes” by others in the chamber

“The people of Illinois, I think, back home, if they hear that their legislator was letting some staff member vote their switch, or somebody next door to them who wasn’t elected by the people back home, this is not right,” Quinn said during a stop in Normal in central Illinois on Friday. “And the legislators know this. And I think any wrongdoing there, any monkey business, needs to be investigated by the proper authority.”

* Anyway, I just received this e-mail from Inspector General Tom Homer…

I sent a letter to the Governor on Monday relative to the voting procedures on House Bill 3036. I also have provided copies of my letter to the four leaders through their respective legal counsel. In addition, I submitted my report to the Legislative Ethics Commission this morning and provided the commission members with copies of my letter to the Governor.

While I am not able to discuss the particulars, I have no plans at this time to pursue the matter further and consider it closed.

Apparently, there was no there there. No surprise. Quinn completely overreacted.

  10 Comments      


*** UPDATED x1 *** Budget details start to emerge

Wednesday, Nov 9, 2011 - Posted by Rich Miller

*** UPDATE *** If you’re watching our veto session live blog, you already know that the revised regional superintendent funding bill just passed the House after two tries. The bill now goes to the Senate.

[ *** End Of Update *** ]

* Things are always fluid in the second week of veto session, and a new budget plan is now emerging

Under the governor’s new proposal, the Department of Human Services would reduce the number of residents served by state-operated developmental centers by at least 600. That would allow the agency to close up to four of the state’s eight developmental centers by the summer of 2014.

An outline of the proposal did not identify which facilities, including centers in Anna, Dwight, Dixon and Centralia, may be on the future chopping block.

The new plan also calls for the closure of two unidentified state psychiatric hospitals by mid-2014. The proposal would at least temporarily end Quinn’s threat to close Logan Correctional Center and the youth prison in Murphysboro. […]

It appeared Quinn’s decision to cut money for school transportation costs may stand, leaving local districts scrambling to pay for busing.

“There’s not a lot of support for education in the negotiating room,” said state Rep. Will Davis, D-Chicago.

* Kurt Erickson wrote that above report and he also filed a story about the effort to restore salaries for regional superintendents

Less than two weeks after an earlier proposal fell 12 votes short of passage in the House, state Rep. Frank Mautino, D-Spring Valley, said he was still rounding up support for a package that would dip into a fund dedicated to local governments for the $13 million needed for the salaries.

He said he’s included a number of legislative tweaks that could draw enough support to move the proposal to the Senate for further action during the final two days of the General Assembly’s fall veto session. […]

Cities, counties and school districts say the money should come from a different source, but Mautino and supporters say the one-time use of the money can correct what they see as a mistake by Gov. Pat Quinn.

* In other news, the Southern Illinoisan published an editorial slamming striking SIU faculty members. The edit is entitled “Go to work, or get out!”

Striking faculty members at SIU Carbondale have no valid issues. They should return to the classroom today or be replaced Monday.

For anyone driving Thursday on U.S. 51 near Southern Illinois University the sight of pickets at the campus’ main entrances was both historic and emotional. Striking faculty got salutes and toots of the horn from supporters, but a larger group of motorists responded with silent stares or insulting hand gestures.

Were they angry or offended? It is an interesting question to consider as the first strike at SIU moves into a second day. Our region is chronically beset with poverty and joblessness - troubles exacerbated by the nation’s deep and long recession. Employment at SIU is a career goal for many, a source of envy for many more.

It was especially troubling to see the highest-paid, most-protected class of workers, the Faculty Association representing tenured and tenure-track educators, feigning hardship because of their inability to attain what they loftily describe as a “fair contract.” What actually is being sought, and won’t be attained, are ridiculous demands they say are not financial.

In their own words, the FA said it has been offered raises of 0, 1, 1 and 2 percent in the coming four years of a proposed contract. When was your last raise? Can you even remember?

The stumbling blocks for the FA are differences over a new conflict of interest policy, and the procedures following sexual harassment claims. The FA also opposes the tuition hikes needed to yield the raises, wants a say on what constitutes financial hardship for SIU, insists on linking any raises to improved revenues at SIU and makes nonsensical demands for transparency and accountability in matters of tenure. All are senior-level-management issues, but it would be interesting to see what faculty strikers say accepting wage cuts if SIU revenues decrease.

Thoughts?

  18 Comments      


Question of the day

Wednesday, Nov 9, 2011 - Posted by Rich Miller

* As we discussed earlier this week, Rod Blagojevich will be sentenced next month.

* The Question: How long should his prison sentence be? Explain.

  38 Comments      


Are Coal Plant Closings Really a “Nonexistent Problem”?

Wednesday, Nov 9, 2011 - Posted by Advertising Department

[The following is a paid advertisement.]

Critics of SB 678 suggest the closure of hundreds of coal plants is a non-issue. But is it?

    At an ICC hearing in Chicago yesterday on this supposedly “nonexistent problem,” the CEO of MISO, one of Illinois’ two power grids, said, “Environmental regulations pose a serious threat to the deliverability of reliable low-cost energy.” John Bear, CEO MISO.

    Industry analysts expect Illinois to lose up to HALF of its coal plants, which currently provide 45% of Illinois electricity. 239 coal plants (40 GIGAWATTS) have already announced they will close because of the new EPA rules.

While closing old plants may be good for the environment, the cost of doing nothing in response to these closures is high. A recent Chicago Tribune story found:

    “Consumers could see their electricity bills jump an estimated 40 to 60 percent in the next few years.”

According to CUB, consumers ARE ALREADY GOING TO PAY between “$107 and $178 a year” more beginning in June, 2014 because of a recent energy auction.

The problem is real and Illinois legislators have a choice.

The Comprehensive Energy Efficiency and Investment Act is supported by a diverse coalition of consumer, environment, labor and business groups because it will both cut demand and increase supply to help offset these closures. It will also create at least 16,000 direct and indirect jobs, according to a University of Illinois study.

The cost of doing nothing is too high.

Vote Yes on SB 678.

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Tea partiers losing support in Illinois

Wednesday, Nov 9, 2011 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The Paul Simon Public Policy Institute polled tea party support last month. As you’d probably expect, support is dropping in Illinois

* From the pollster

Likelihood of voting for or against a Tea Party-affiliated candidate fell fairly predictably along party lines: 72.1 percent of Republicans said they would be more likely to vote for a Tea Party candidate, while 89.7 percent of Democrats said they would be less likely to do so.

More interesting, however, was the response of Independent voters: 30 percent said they would be more likely to vote for a Tea Party-affiliated candidate, while 57.5% of Independents said they would be less likely to cast a Tea Party vote.

Pro-Tea Party and anti-Tea Party voters view the political world quite differently. Only 11.6 percent of those who said they would be more likely to vote for a Tea Party candidate approved or strongly approved of the job President Obama is doing, while 87.8 percent disapproved.

By contrast, 80.3% of the anti-Tea Party voters approved of the job the president is doing and only 18.5 percent disapproved.

* More questions

* Back to the pollster

Over a majority, 51.4 percent, said they were much more likely to vote for a political candidate who is willing to compromise, and another 28.2 percent said they were somewhat more likely. Those who said they were much less likely to vote for such a candidate constituted only 5.3 percent of the sample and those who chose somewhat less likely were only 4.9 percent of the total.

“It is interesting to note that a total of only 10 percent of Illinois voters regard the willingness to compromise to be a negative quality in their candidates, while almost 80 percent understand that the democratic process cannot function without compromise,” Jackson added.

The poll also posed a related question regarding who was to blame for the lack of civility, Republicans or Democrats. Almost four in ten (37.2 percent) blamed the Republicans most, while about two in ten (18.2 percent) blamed Democrats. Another 35.6 percent blamed both parties equally and 3.5 percent blamed neither party. There were 5.5 percent who said they did not know which party to blame.

However, the pro-Tea Party voters blamed the Democrats over the Republicans by a margin of 46.7 percent to 7.0 percent. The anti-Tea Party respondents blamed the Republicans over the Democrats by a margin of 67.2 percent to 3.6 percent.

Even Tea Party backers said they’d like to see candidates willing to compromise. A total of 71.5 percent of the pro-Tea Party respondents said they were much more or somewhat more likely to vote for a candidate who is willing to compromise, leaving 16.3 percent who were somewhat less or much less likely to vote for such a candidate. The anti-Tea Party group produced 85.9 percent who were much more or somewhat more likely to vote for a candidate willing to compromise, compared to only 8.8 percent who were less likely to vote for a compromise-oriented candidate.

* The tea partiers may be losing support because one of their national icons is kinda on the goofy side. Don’t watch if your office has super-strict rules on bad words, but Congressman Joe Walsh held his usual “Cup of Joe” constituent event Sunday at Gurnee’s UNO Bar & Grill and then totally went off on some constituents

“I need more coffee,” he said. Joe, take their advice and drink decaf from now on.

The full video is here.

* Walsh’s response via e-mail…

I do these cup of joe’s every wkend, I show up at a coffee shop or restaurant anywhere in district and anyone can come meet with me and talk to me about anything. They are fun, engaging sessions, I often get people who disagree w me on issues at these events and the conversation can be very spirited.

I am very passionate at these events as well as at my town halls. This was no different except I was working on an empty stomach and had a quicker fuse than normal.

The woman I had the heated exchange with was great and she appreciated how open and unusual these events are. I apologized to her for getting a bit to passionate and she smiled and didn’t mind at all.

Regarding the substance rich of what I was trying to say - I’m no pal of the big banks and I wouldn’t have voted to bail any of them out. If they’ve abused their charters they need to be prosecuted fully. But they didn’t get us into this mess - goverment policy which has dictated for years that everyone should own a home got us here. The banks only followed the rules government set. And further government meddling will only exasperate the problem.

* By the way, Walsh says that the Family Research Council candidate support statement I linked to the other day was outdated. The PAC isn’t backing a candidate as of yet, he insisted.

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*** UPDATED x1 - Jaffe blasts new bill *** Emanuel, Sun-Times want Quinn to accept compromise on gaming bill

Wednesday, Nov 9, 2011 - Posted by Rich Miller

*** UPDATE *** Why the chairman of the Gaming Board would feel a need to express his views on policy issues like slots at tracks and school funding is beyond me, and he doesn’t offer up any other specific criticisms, so we don’t know exactly what so displeases him, but Aaron Jaffe went off on the new gaming bill today

The state’s top gambling regulator today said a revised gambling package being considered by lawmakers is “a pile of junk” that does little to address concerns outlined by Gov. Pat Quinn.

Illinois Gaming Board Chairman Aaron Jaffe said the latest proposal making its way through the Capitol would place unrealistic time limits for regulators to vet applicants and “passes out money like popcorn” to various gambling interests.

“These guys never learn,” Jaffe told the Tribune in a phone interview. “It’s basically the same bill, worse in some places, a little better in others, but it’s still a pile of junk. No one really takes into consideration any criticism.”

Jaffe said he doesn’t understand why the bill still contains slot machines for horse racing tracks when Quinn has expressed his opposition, and argued the measure would undermine education because of what he calls a “regressive” tax structure that would allow more successful casinos to pay less.

The director of the Gaming Board was asked to testify at a Senate committee hearing on the new gaming bill today. He said the Gaming Board doesn’t take positions on legislation.

[ *** End Of Update *** ]

* If, as expected, Gov. Pat Quinn prevents Mayor Emanuel from getting a casino, there’s gonna be trouble with a capital “T”

Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel said he believes the state is close to passing a bill that could put a casino in the city. […]

Emanuel said he’s had multiple conversations with Governor Pat Quinn about the revised bill says the plan is a good compromise.

“I think it reflects what I call an honest compromise to finally move forward and close up a point of discussion for 25 years and achieve a win for the people of the city of Chicago and the taxpayers,” Emanuel said Tuesday.

I’d like to have been a fly on the wall during those “multiple conversations” between the two.

Oy.

* The Sun-Times is also on board

We are disappointed that the bill does not include a ban on campaign donations from gaming interests and, like Quinn, we’d like to see a change in the legislation that authorizes video poker in taverns and restaurants.

Municipalities should have to vote to opt into video poker in their communities, rather the current requirement that they have to vote to opt out.

Rep. Lou Lang, the bill’s sponsor, called the new gaming bill a “good faith effort to comply with many of concerns” of the original bill.

We agree. Now it’s Gov. Quinn’s turn to compromise.

* Jamey Dunn has lots of details

SB 1849 does not include a controversial provision that called for the Gaming Board to issue temporary licenses within 60 days of application to bars and restaurants seeking video gaming. The proposal was meant to spur the board to implement video gaming, which was approved as part of the funding for the state’s capital construction plan. So far, no licenses have been issued and no revenue from video gambling has come in.

Lang said some lawmakers were uncomfortable with issuing the temporary licenses. His new bill calls for the board to begin implementing video poker before any new casinos can be licensed and before horse tracks can get a license for a permanent location for slots. However, they would be able to operate out of a temporary facility, such as a tent. Lang said he wanted to ensure that the board did not “skip over” video poker to begin work on a gaming expansion. “That could be one machine, it could be 10,000 machines, but they’ve got to get it up and running.”

* Lou states the obvious

State Rep. Lou Lang, D-Skokie, told a legislative panel Tuesday morning that his new plan is the best chance now for Illinois to expand gambling and tap into the billions of dollars in revenue the new casinos would generate.

“If we don’t make it happen this week — because of getting into a new session, because of the primary election, because of all sort of things — it is clear to me that we won’t have a gaming (plan) to vote on until next April or May,” Lang said.

* Anybody up for a Lou Lang caption contest?…

Keep it clean, people. As always, try to elevate yourselves. Thanks.

  51 Comments      


*** UPDATED x2 - Duffy was willing to wait until January - Report: Duffy was OK with delay *** CME: Now or never

Wednesday, Nov 9, 2011 - Posted by Rich Miller

*** UPDATE 1 *** Greg Hinz says Terry Duffy was OK with a delay earlier. And Hinz believes a November 28th special session may very be called to deal with the tax issues

Aides to Mr. Madigan today are saying it will “take some time” to put together a bill that can fly — likely into next week, and quite possibly until after Thanksgiving.

Mr. Duffy Tuesday suggested his exchange couldn’t wait. But earlier, he told my colleague Lynne Marek that working this out in a special legislative session would be okay.

*** UPDATE 2 *** This Crain’s story is from Sept. 28th

Mr. Duffy said the Chicago-based company, which operates the biggest futures market in the country, aims to reach an agreement on a corporate tax revision with Illinois officials before the Legislature’s October veto session, or for consideration during a special session this year. […]

Mr. Duffy said he doesn’t want to set a deadline for reaching an agreement with Illinois officials because he doesn’t want to put pressure on them. But he thinks it isn’t unfair to expect an agreement to be reached within a year of starting negotiations, which began in January. [Emphasis added,]

So, at the end of September, he was OK with waiting until January. Now, all of a sudden, he has to have a decision by Thursday.

[ *** End Of Updates *** ]

* If you watched the House Revenue Committee hearing yesterday afternoon, you saw an obviously tense but polite exchange between CME Group Executive Chairman Terry Duffy and Chairman John Bradley

CME Executive Chairman Terrence Duffy said his hands are tied by “fiduciary duty” to shareholders, who want to know why the big trading company pays tens of millions of dollars a year more in Illinois taxes than it would in another state.

Legislative leaders had told him they would deal with this matter in this week’s General Assembly veto session, and Mr. Duffy said he intends to hold them to that promise.

Asked by a lawmaker if he could give them “a few more days,” Mr. Duffy replied: “I have shareholders that are very concerned about this issue. I have a fiduciary responsibility. . . .I will do what I need to do, in the best interests of the CME Group.”

Mr. Duffy gave a similar response when House Revenue Committee Chairman John Bradley, D-Marion, asked about an extension until a date specific — say, Nov. 29.

“With all due respect, I cannot put the CME Group (there) and limit their options,” Mr. Duffy said. “That decision would have to made by the (CME) board, not by me. . . .I am not going to commit the company to anything other than what I have.”

I wish I had video of that debate, but I don’t. Sorry.

* More

Duffy explained that he couldn’t limit the options of CME’s board of directors, which is considering leaving Illinois after 163 years as the exchange’s home base.

“I will do what I need to do in the best interests of the shareholders of CME Group,” said Duffy, who intends to remain at the state capital in Springfield the rest of this week.

The committee did not take action Tuesday night, but Bradley indicated the panel will work through the issue “as quickly and as thoughtfully as we can.”

“We’ve got to get this right, because there’s too much at stake,” Bradley also said.

* Duffy was defiant and unapologetic

“To expect one company to pay 6 percent of the aggregate tax liability of all companies … and think that’s acceptable, that’s not acceptable,” Duffy told the House Revenue and Finance Committee.

“We’re not threatening anybody,” Duffy continued, disclosing his firm paid $108 million in taxes to Illinois in 2010. “We like Chicago. We love Illinois. We want to remain a big part of it.”

* But Sears was more understanding about legislative realities

“We understand the need for appropriate review by the legislature and we are willing to work with them on this matter,” said Sears spokesman Chris Braithwaite. “As a retailer, our fourth quarter is the most important time of the year and we hope this can be resolved as soon as possible so we continue our focus on the upcoming selling season.”

Sears is asking for an extension of its current tax deal, as well as job-creation credits from the state.

Rep. David Harris, an Arlington Heights Republican, said that the complex deal might not move as quickly as the kind of Internet stock trade CME deals with every day.

“It just doesn’t move quite as fast in the legislature, and I ask you to understand that,” Harris said.

* The tax cut bill has become a classic legislative Christmas tree

The bill that started out as a vehicle for providing tax relief for financial exchanges has evolved into a broad, potentially costly tax-break bill. It not only aims to keep CME Group and Sears Holdings Corp. from moving operations out of state, but also includes a range of breaks for other businesses and individuals.

House Majority Leader Barbara Flynn Currie, D-Chicago, said she introduced the bill on behalf of Gov. Pat Quinn.

Not exactly a ringing endorsement, although she told me she is working to pass it.

* CME, by the way, has released a statement about the impact it has on the local economy…

CME Group jobs impact alone (not including other exchanges, clients or support industry):

    3.37 employment multiplier
    2,060 CME Illinois employees produces an additional 4,880 jobs

Trading Industry in Chicago:

    50,000 Trading employees in Chicago metro
    85,000 Additional jobs created to support those trading jobs
    135,000 Total Illinois jobs reliant on the trading industry – estimated $330 million in state income taxes

CME Group is a hub of job creation and innovation

    Notional value of CME Group 2010 trades was $994 Trillion
    Approx $25.5 billion of CME Collateral (margin) is held at Chicago Banks
    550 new trading companies added to Illinois in last 5 years
    CME has customers in 150 countries with access to its electronic trading platform

Other Losses to Illinois if CME Group were to relocate:

    CME Group and its related foundations and charitable programs donated $22 million to Illinois nonprofits in the past 5 years
    Other taxes, eg. utility and sales and use tax
    Increased unemployment

* And if you’re wondering what this decoupling aspect to the tax package is about, here’a primer

The federal government created a new economic incentive involving depreciation on major purchases. Basically, it let companies write off the full depreciation at once instead of doing it over several years. Because Illinois law is tied to the federal tax code, Illinois suddenly found itself offering the same tax break.

By decoupling from federal law, Illinois would no longer automatically offer that tax break. Illinois businesses would pay what they’ve always paid and do it on the same old schedule.

That would prevent a $570 million hit to state revenues this year and a $350 million hit next year.

But then it goes down to nothing.

* Related…

* John Bouman and William McNary: No to more corporate tax breaks

* Tax cut package in Illinois faces uncertainty

* Chicago’s financial exchanges contribute more cash at the federal level, but there’s history of personal relationships within Illinois

* Should CME Group have flagged MF Global shortfall? - Owner of exchanges had lead regulatory role over broker-dealer before bankruptcy filing

* Electronic trading is emptying Chicago’s pits, but a few holdouts still wear the jacket

  47 Comments      


Revised pension reform bill advances to House floor

Wednesday, Nov 9, 2011 - Posted by Rich Miller

* I have yet to hear anyone say that the pension reform bill is definitely moving forward to a floor vote this week. And even if it does, and even it it passes, barring a miracle, there’s little to no chance of Senate passage by Thursday.

So, keep that in mind as you read the stories

An Illinois House committee has approved a measure to change pension costs and benefits for state employees.

The bill heads to the full House where its fate is uncertain. It would create three different “tiers” of pension benefits and costs. One of those is a 401k-style “defined contribution” plan.

Supporters say the state needs to change its pension plans because it can’t afford them. Unions strongly disagree with the changes being proposed.

* But a provision designed to calm the nerves of current employees will also end up costing the state a lot more cash than the original bill. Read carefully

Unlike the version of the bill considered in the spring, Tier 1 employee pension contributions would not be re-calculated every three years to determine the actual cost of Tier 1 pensions as Tier 1 members die or migrate to other tiers. Unions had protested that the payments would become so cumbersome as to eventually make Tier 1 unaffordable.

The current version of SB512 allows a review of employee contribution rates in 2015 and allows them to be raised by 2 percentage points. After that, no further increases would be permitted.

But that would mean employees in Tier 1 would receive a larger contribution from the state than employees in other tiers, noted Rep. Kevin McCarthy, D-Orland Park, the pension committee chairman. It will also reduce savings – estimated by supporters to be in the the tens of billions of dollars – supporters believe the state will achieve under the bill.

Biss asked an actuary from the Civic Committee of the Commercial Club of Chicago, a group of the city’s top business leaders pushing the legislation, whether she had calculated how much it would cost the state if no Tier 1 members migrated to another tier of benefits. She had not, leading Biss to wonder why the legislation had to be acted upon this week.

The proposal still saves the state money, just not as much.

* AFSCME’s Henry Bayer and House GOP Leader Tom Cross got into it a bit at the hearing

“This bill is a bill that masquerades as pension reform and should have been introduced on Halloween,” Bayer said.

Cross, who said several times that he agreed with Bayer, said organized labor never presented a substantive alternative proposal.

“It started in January of this year, Henry,” Cross said. “We’ve had 11 months, and no one’s offered one thing to me.”

Bayer interrupted: “People said, ‘Why weren’t you at the negotiating table?’ I said, ‘Where’s the table?’”

“You were in my office a month ago,” Cross replied.

* Item of note

In a recognition of the bill’s political sensitivity, state Rep. Karen May (D-Highland Park) voted for the measure during the committee roll call, but changed her vote to “no” after realizing the bill had enough votes to pass.

* And the SJ-R once again editorializes in favor of the proposal

We’ve heard the overheated rhetoric from both sides of this issue. We’re not out to demonize teachers, firefighters or any other public employees. They have a right to be concerned and they deserve a fair deal. But all public employees need to realize what the numbers show. At some point, there will be no money to distribute to retirees under the current structure.

They also need to look at their situation in the context of the American work force as a whole. Many private sector employees have seen defined-benefit pensions end. Many employers no longer match employee contributions to their 401(k) plans. In Illinois, these are the workers who saw their income tax increase by two-thirds.

And the lawmakers who have the power to do something about this situation?

They need to stop quaking with fear of lost union endorsements and take responsibility for correcting years of irresponsibility.

* In related pension news

In other action, the [House Personnel & Pensions Committee] approved a bill that would rescind a 2007 law that allowed lobbyists Steven Preckwinkle and David Piccioli of the Illinois Federation of Teachers to get in line for sizable state teacher pensions. They merely had to work a single day as substitute teachers. They had no prior teaching experience, prompting sponsoring Rep. Jack Franks, D-Marengo, to call their arrangement “obscene.”

“The bill is so blatantly unconstitutional on its face that Mr. Preckwinkle and Mr. Piccioli think it merits no other comment,” said David Ormsby, the lobbyists’ spokesman.

In the Senate, lawmakers introduced a separate proposal that would boot the two lobbyists from the teachers pension system but also sought to stop a series of pension abuses by leaders from a variety of Chicago-area labor unions.

It’s interesting that so many legislators say they can’t support the big pension reform bill because of its doubtful constitutional validity, but can support clearly unconstitutional legislation that does almost nothing except attract media attention.

I’m not going to defend what Preckwinkle and Piccioli did, but I’m also not gonna continue hanging them in the public square.

  44 Comments      


***** VETO SESSION LIVE BLOG *****

Wednesday, Nov 9, 2011 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Another long day ahead, campers. Committees start early today, so look alive.

Live House audio/video is here. Live Senate audio/video is here. BlackBerry users click here. iPad and iPhone users remember to use the “two-finger” scrolling method…

  13 Comments      


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Wednesday, Nov 9, 2011 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today’s edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)

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Tuesday, Nov 8, 2011 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Question of the day

Tuesday, Nov 8, 2011 - Posted by Rich Miller

* I just posted this story on the veto session live blog, but then thought it might make for a good question

A new report shows 46.2 percent of single-family homeowners in the Chicago metropolitan area in the third quarter had negative equity, meaning homeowners owed more on their mortgages than their homes were worth. That represents an increase from 32.9 percent a year earlier, according to the report from Zillow Inc.

It also is up from 42.2 percent in the second quarter.

The report showed home values dropped 9 percent from the third quarter of 2010 and dipped 1.1 percent from the second quarter.

Home values have fallen 37.4 percent since their peak in July 2006 and are now back to the level they were in December 2000, according to Zillow.

* The Question: Is your house currently worth less than what you owe on your mortgage? Take the poll and then explain your answer in comments, please.


  75 Comments      


*** UPDATED x1 *** Gaming and Unions and a Roundup, oh my

Tuesday, Nov 8, 2011 - Posted by Rich Miller

*** UPDATE *** If you’re watching the veto session live blog, you already know that the newly revised gaming bill passed the House Executive Committee 8-2.

[ *** End Of Update *** ]

* As I write this, the House Executive Committee is debating the newly revised gaming expansion bill. Watch the proceedings at our live blog. The Tribune has lots of details on the new bill

The new Chicago casino would keep its 4,000 gambling positions but wouldn’t be allowed to station them at the city’s airports. Slot machines would no longer be allowed on the state fairgrounds in Springfield. Quinn didn’t want the gambling machines there because the fair is a family destination.

Along with Chicago, new casinos still would be authorized for Rockford, Danville, the south suburbs and Park City in Lake County. Quinn specifically had objected to designating Park City as a location for a new casino when he outlined his framework for what would be a more acceptable gambling expansion plan. Quinn preferred to designate Lake County as a whole instead.

Overall, there would be 7,000 fewer authorized gambling positions than in the plan lawmakers approved in late May, which Quinn threatened to veto.

The current 10 riverboat operators would get 4,000 fewer positions under the new plan — being allowed to expand from 1,200 spots to only 1,600 instead of the 2,000 originally promised.

The four new casinos outside Chicago would get 1,600 fewer positions total — each being allowed 1,600 positions to start instead of the 2,000 previously promised. The rest would be cut from the Quad City Downs track and the fairgrounds.

Gov. Pat Quinn, of course, opposes slots at tracks. But a bill without those slots wouldn’t pass. Quinn also wanted a campaign contribution ban from casino owners, but that was dropped as well. Quinn’s campaign received hundreds of thousands of dollars last year from the Pritzker family, which owns part of a casino, and from the children of the Des Plaines casino owner.

* In other news, Illinois Statehouse News has a good report on yesterday’s hearing on Speaker Madigan’s proposal to set a cap on wages and benefits that can be negotiated by the state’s public employees unions

In the fight for control over Illinois’ purse strings, House Speaker Mike Madigan says the Legislature, not Gov. Pat Quinn, decides how to spend the taxpayer’s money and balance the Illinois budget.

“I don’t necessarily subscribe to the view that what the executive (branch) does binds the legislative (branch),” the Democrat from Chicago said at a statehouse hearing Monday here.

The hearing allowed Madigan to further showcase his legislative resolution that would allow the Legislature to indicate how much the state can spend on employee pay during upcoming contract negotiations between Quinn and the state’s largest public-sector union, the American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees, or AFSCME.The contract expires in June.

“One of our responsibilities, under the constitution, is to adopt a balanced budget. Which means, under the constitution, we are expected to be involved in budget making,” Madigan said. “We do not want to replace the governor in negotiations.”

Henry Bayer, executive director for AFSCME Council 31, said Monday that the Legislature gave Quinn the authority that Madigan wants to change.

“The Legislature passed the current collective bargaining (legislation), and gave to the governor the power to negotiate collective bargaining agreements,” said Bayer. “We’ve been doing that … since 1984.

But Madigan said Illinois is broke and the Legislature needs to have input in the negotiations.

* More

“We do not want to replace the governor in negotiations,” Madigan said. “It’s about getting a handle on costs. It’s not about repealing collective bargaining.”

The resolution says the state “will appropriate no more than X% for wage increases” for union contracts. The “X” percentage has yet to be worked out.

Bayer said the legislature gave the governor authority to negotiate contracts for employees under his jurisdiction. Putting a limit on raises before negotiations start “does have an impact on collective bargaining very clearly.” he said. Moreover, union members will look at the number as the minimum the state can afford, he said.

“I’m not sure this will do what you want to accomplish,” Bayer said.

* Roundup…

* Big issues undecided as end of Ill. session nears: Advocates for the mentally ill are pushing lawmakers to restore $30 million that they say was mistakenly cut from their funds. They also want to block Quinn’s plan to close three state mental centers, arguing that the governor doesn’t have a clear plan for treating the people now living in those centers. The National Alliance on Mental Illness says Illinois has cut mental health funds by $187 million since 2009, or nearly 32 percent. Only three other states have cut a bigger share.

* Quinn paints bleak picture for Tinley Park Mental Health Center

* Plenty on the table heading into last week of veto session

* Lawmakers betting on new gambling plan

* Unions: Lawmakers shouldn’t be involved in collective bargaining process

* Illinois legislators return to capitol for round two of veto session

  9 Comments      


*** UPDATED x1 - It may be even bigger than that *** The hole is way bigger than I thought

Tuesday, Nov 8, 2011 - Posted by Rich Miller

*** UPDATE *** Greg Hinz has more bad news

According to Tom Johnson at the Taxpayers’ Federation of Illinois, those [tax breaks] easily would cost the state treasury $400 million or so a year when fully implemented.

Mr. Johnson’s numbers in part come from an analysis of the bill prepared by House Democratic staff, as first reported by Rich Miller at Capital Fax.

Other knowledgeable sources say the ultimate cost is hundreds of millions of dollars a year higher. [Emphasis added]

Sheesh.

[ *** End Of Update *** ]

* I absolutely hate it when this happens, but I made a mistake in this morning’s Capitol Fax. When calculating the out-year cost of the tax cut package, I missed some crucial language in a House Democratic analysis

Bonus Depreciation: Decouple from the federal government on the latest bonus depreciation for the current tax year and beyond. This is expected to generate $571 million in FY 2012… The value of this decoupling is reduced to $354 million in FY 2013 and continues to decline until the earlier state benefit is recovered by taxpayers.

So, my calculation that the deficit created by this plan next fiscal year is about $110 million (due to phase-ins of tax cuts and other tax break increases) is way off. The hit to next fiscal year’s budget will actually be about $317 million. And then the hole gets bigger year after year.

Wow.

Just… wow.

* Meanwhile, CME Group’s Terry Duffy plans to spend the week in Springfield

“It will be an interesting week,” said Duffy. “I am going to be down in Springfield, obviously, all week. Hopefully the legislature understands the value that the CME Group brings not only to Chicago but to the state of Illinois and the rest of the country.” […]

CME’s Duffy will watch what happens and says the General Assembly’s action or lack of same will trigger a decision by his board.

“It will only trigger something that we’ve been looking at all along, which is what’s in the best interest of our shareholders∧ I’ve said that from day one,” said Duffy.

Several states, including Indiana, reportedly have offered CME Group tax incentives to relocate.

Duffy says his company has complained about taxes for many years but apparently the corporate tax increase earlier this year now makes it cost effective to move elsewhere for a better deal.

* And so will opponents of the Sears tax break

Community Unit School District 300 will be back in Springfield today when the Illinois General Assembly’s veto session resumes, this time “in the red” — literally, wearing red T-shirts — as the district’s budget will be “if we’re not successful this week.” […]

The Carpentersville-area school district for months has opposed an amendment to another bill — Senate Bill 540 — that would extend tax breaks another 15 years for the economic development area surrounding Sears corporate headquarters in Hoffman Estates. […]

District 300 said in a written statement Monday evening it was pleased the amendment to Senate Bill 397 would penalize Sears if it left Illinois before 2018.

But district officials plan to push lawmakers to rewrite this legislation, too. It does not require an audit or joint review committee over the EDA. It also would allow the village of Hoffman Estates to continue collecting money from the area if Sears left and use that money to operate the Sears Centre Arena, according to the district.

“The bill filed today is horribly wasteful in reaching its goal of keeping Sears here, and it might as well be renamed the ‘Hoffman Estates EDA’ bill,” Superintendent Michael Bregy said in a written statement.

The Sears committee hearing has been postponed while legislators attempt to work out more details, according to the Daily Herald.

* And check out how the Tribune straddled the tax cut issue in today’s editorial

Wealthy traders seeking an advantage in the corridors of power typically elicit zero sympathy. Still, CME raised a valid point. At top exchanges around the world, the open-outcry trading floors with their shouting and arm-waving have mostly gone the way of the dinosaur. The vast majority of trades occur via computer screen. As a result, it doesn’t make sense to tax CME and its smaller kin, CBOE Holdings, as if all their trades still took place in the physical trading pits of downtown Chicago. Most trades originate out of state or even out of the country, so some adjustment to the tax scheme for the city’s exchanges makes sense.

Look out below.

Once word trickled out that CME and CBOE might be receiving a significant tax cut, the wish list grew. Gov. Quinn, channeling his inner populist, proposed increasing the earned-income tax credit for low- and middle-income families. He also reportedly wants to index personal income-tax exemptions so they rise with inflation.

The GOP, meantime, wants a cut in the estate tax and favorable tax treatment of operating losses. Illinois supposedly would pay for the cuts by introducing a longer schedule for depreciation of asset purchases. That proposal may or may not make up for the lost revenue from the tax cuts being talked about, however.

Sears, which wants financial inducements to keep its headquarters in Illinois, also might profit from this package.

We’ve all seen this before: legislative leaders rushing a complicated package that deserves more careful consideration than it’s likely to get in a veto session. Which leaves us wondering:

However good this tax package, will Illinois be able to afford it? Or will it just lead to more unpaid bills and more taxpayer debt?

* Related…

* Lawmakers could start debating Sears’ future today

* CME Is Legally Liable For MF Global Customer Losses

* Senator speaks to media

  29 Comments      


Three Strikes and “You’re Outta Here!” for the Taylorville Energy Center

Tuesday, Nov 8, 2011 - Posted by Advertising Department

[The following is a paid advertisement.]

Three different times, the Illinois legislature has rejected Tenaska’s proposed Taylorville Energy Center, which would have us pay up to SEVEN TIMES today’s market price for electricity for a power plant we don’t need. After three strikes, legislators should say, “You’re Outta Here!” to the Taylorville Energy Center.

Here’s why:

    • According to Tenaska’s own report, this project would cost Illinois families, businesses, and government agencies at least $286 million per year.

    Illinois job creators would bear the risk and absorb most of the costs from the Taylorville Energy Center. This project would be costly even if built on schedule and on budget, but consider that a similar coal-gasification project in Indiana has racked up a full $1 billion in cost overruns! Predictably, the plant’s owners are passing most of the costs on to Indiana consumers.

    Tenaska wants Illinois consumers to pay even if the Taylorville Energy Center never produces more than a single megawatt of power.

    Power from the Taylorville Energy Center would be one costly drop in a big bucket. The plant’s 544 megawatts would add only two-tenths of one percent to the overall amount of power generation capacity available to Illinois, at a price tag of at least $8.6 billion.

Please take a moment to let your legislator know that you oppose the Taylorville Energy Center. Visit www.STOPCoalition.com to learn more.

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Committee to take up Cross pension bill, but no floor vote promised - yet

Tuesday, Nov 8, 2011 - Posted by Rich Miller

* House Republican Leader Tom Cross’ pension reform bill will get a hearing today, according to Speaker Madigan’s spokesman

The Cross bill “will come before committe and they’ll do what they do,” [Steve Brown] told me a bit ago. And the speaker’s position? The bill is “under review,” with “some questions” about its fiscal impact that may or may not get resolved in committee on Tuesday.

The bill will be heard today at the Stratton Building’s D-1 at 2:30.

* More info

Illinois leaders also are groping for some way to cut government pension costs, but they’re hampered by language in the Illinois Constitution that bars reducing retirement benefits for current employees.

To get around that, House Minority Leader Tom Cross, R-Oswego, has come up with legislation to create three different “tiers” of pension benefits and costs. It would let state employees keep their current level of benefits but would require them to contribute far more money to the retirement system. In other words, it wouldn’t technically reduce their benefits but it would give them a strong incentive to switch to one of the new tiers with fewer benefits.

One of the other tiers is a scaled-down version of the current pension system. It will cost the employee less money but offer smaller payments after retirement. The other tier is a 401k-style “defined contribution” plan, where the state and the employee both contribute money that is invested until the worker retires.

* Details

Option one is to keep their current benefits, but pay more — a lot more. For instance, according to a fact sheet issued by Mr. Cross’ office, workers in the State Employees Retirement System who also get Social Security would have to pay 9.29% of salary, more than twice today’s 4%.

The hike in Chicago and Cook County pension contributions is somewhat less, but still considerable. For instance, workers in the main Chicago municipal plan would have to pay 12.75% of salary every year, up from 8.5% now.

Option two is to accept lesser benefits, but pay less for them than in option one.

Option three is to give up a traditional defined-benefit pension plan and convert to a 401(k)-style self-managed pension.

* The Tribune editorial board is becoming more frustrated by the day at the possibility of no floor vote

We expect lawmakers this week to clamp down on some of those sweeteners for union officials — egregious deals exposed in recent weeks by Tribune reporters. But don’t let anyone tell you that a remedy in this area will save a pension system so grievously in debt. It won’t. Only a cut to the benefits public employees earn in future years will begin to fix a debacle Made in Springfield.

Or lawmakers could again hide from the bigger problem here and let taxpayers’ unfunded obligations keep growing until the spring legislative session. What’s a few more billions?

* And so is Ty Fahner...

“We’re broke, as everyone knows,” said Ty Fahner, a former Illinois attorney general and president of the Civic Committee, which focuses on economic growth.

His group has been pushing legislation that would make state workers, teachers and others pay more toward their retirements. Because the state is so far behind paying its share to their retirement accounts, there is little money left over. The debt grows each year, taking a bigger share of the state budget. […]

But lawmakers seem to be gearing up for their final week of session without addressing the single biggest budget pressure facing taxpayers.

“This all comes from basic cowardice, and I mean that word sincerely,” said Fahner who believes lawmakers are more focused on their re-eletion campaigns than on the state’s budget crisis. Goups that oppose the bill are powerful. Unionized teachers and state workers are hounding lawmakers with phone calls and e-mail. And union leaders are determined to run candidates against incumbents who support the idea of making their members pay more.

* Meanwhile

Union leaders have mounted strong opposition to Senate Bill 512, which would require current state workers to pay more toward their retirements. The proposal was held over from the spring session because legislative leaders lacked the votes to pass it.

Organized labor also reacted furiously to the new proposal from House Republican Leader Tom Cross of Oswego to give the mayor and the Cook County board president power to appoint the majority of employee pension board trustees.

At a news conference last month, Emanuel had acknowledged meeting with Cross about the legislation but declined to say whether he supported it.

On Monday, Cross spokeswoman Sara Wojcicki Jimenez said he was “still waiting on some feedback from Mayor Emanuel’s office” and did not know if Cross would attempt to promote the bill in the veto session.

Discuss.

  75 Comments      


***** VETO SESSION LIVE BLOG *****

Tuesday, Nov 8, 2011 - Posted by Rich Miller

* It could be a long day. Live House audio/video is here. Live Senate audio/video is here. BlackBerry users click here. iPad and iPhone users remember to use the “two-finger” scrolling method…

  10 Comments      


*** UPDATED x1 *** Study: Speed cams would bring in mega bucks

Tuesday, Nov 8, 2011 - Posted by Rich Miller

*** UPDATE *** If you’re watching our live blog, you already know that the House Executive committee passed a package of speed cam bills this morning.

[ *** End Of Update *** ]

* CBS2 aired this report last night

Mike Brockway’s “The Expired Meter” website has the results of a trial run of seven red light cameras temporarily enabled to detect speeders in April and May and he said the study shows those cameras alone would have generated more than $100 million in speeding ticket revenue.

That study found speeders were 20, 30, even 60 times more common than red light runners, who are already contributing millions to city coffers.

And remember, the test covered just a handful of cameras.

Just seven speed cams would bring in $100 million a year? Wow. That’s about $40 million more than the city’s entire redlight camera system generates every year.

Astounding.

* From the study

The current version of the speed enforcement bill would allow Chicago to have speed camera enforcement five school days a week from 6 AM until 10 PM–16 hours a day–not the paltry nine hours during weekdays the study covered. Safety zones around park districts would operate seven days a week starting an hour before the park opens and an hour after it closes.

Extrapolating the numbers provided in CDOT’s study for a school safety zone, based on 48 violations per hour per approach, each camera would produce 768 violations a day or 16,512 citations and potential fines of $1.65 million for the first month. All seven cameras would produce an estimated 115,584 speeding citations or $11.5 million in potential fines for that month

Projecting future revenues is slightly more challenging, as estimates must take into consideration the effect of camera enforcement on driver behavior. The assumption is motorists would alter behavior with the knowledge that enforcement is occurring. Of course, after a few $100 tickets in the mail, people will learn to slow down and violations will decrease over time, but never completely disappear.

But using CDOT’s red light camera violations in 2010 as a model, monthly totals for red light running can be seen to be dropping by an average of 5.3% per month for the last seven months of that year after CDOT stopped adding more cameras to the program.

Applying a regression to the mean to the projected initial numbers, the first twelve months of enforcement where fines would be issued, from just these seven locations would still produce 990,822 speed violations or nearly $100 million in fines–a dollar amount that far exceeds the total revenue generated by the all 382 red light cameras every year.

In other words, projected violations were discounted by 5.3% every month, acknowledging driver behavior will change and violations will fall over time.

Go read the whole thing.

* Not surprisingly, this speed cam bill is at the top of the mayor’s Springfield wish list

Winning approval for cameras to capture and fine drivers who break the speed limits on Chicago’s streets has zoomed to the top of Mayor Rahm Emanuel’s agenda for the last week of the state legislature’s fall veto session.

Even after enjoying a string of successes in the spring legislative session, Emanuel’s lobbyists still have much that they want to achieve in Springfield by the end of the veto session on Thursday. In addition to the anti-speeding bill, the mayor continued pushing for measures to bring a casino to Chicago and avert the Chicago Mercantile Exchange’s threatened move out of state. […]

“I wouldn’t say it has been quite as intensive as the lobbying on school reform, because that was the main issue of his mayoral campaign, but it’s pretty clear that it’s important to them to get the votes for increased speeding enforcement,” said Zalewski, whose father is the 23rd Ward alderman and was appointed chairman of the City Council’s Aviation Committee by Emanuel.

* The mayor held a press conference yesterday with legislators to push the bill

Surrounded by 15 state representatives, Mayor Rahm Emanuel on Monday publicly urged the House to approve a bill to retrofit red-light cameras with speed sensors at intersections near schools and parks.

“The victims here are the children, not those who are speeding,” Emanuel said during a press conference at Chicago’s Office of Emergency Management and Communications.

The mayor pointed to the deaths of 6-year-old Diamond Robinson and a CICS Wrightwood 8th grader, both struck by cars, as proof the city needs more speed enforcement to protect Chicago kids.

* Not all legislators are happy about this idea

As the House vote on the plan nears, Emanuel has stepped up arm twisting. State Reps. Mary Flowers and LaShawn Ford, both Chicago Democrats, said the mayor approached them for support.

Ford said an Emanuel aide later asked him to stand with the mayor Monday. “I didn’t even get the call to say, ‘Are you supporting it?’” said Ford, who didn’t attend.

* And while the mayor touted the safety value of the speed cams, one of his tragic examples wouldn’t have been covered under this proposed law

The crash that killed Diamond occurred on a Saturday night as she crossed 70th Street and Loomis Boulevard near Altgeld Elementary School. The driver was ticketed for “failure to reduce speed to avoid a pedestrian in the roadway.”

The location of the second crash, at 79th and California, would not fall within a safety zone under the legislation sought by the mayor. The 13-year-old boy struck and injured there stepped into the path of an oncoming car, police said. No citation was issued.

* But

According to a study done by CDOT of the first 109 red light cameras, there were 23 pedestrian deaths at those intersections before the [red light cameras] were in place. Two years after each intersection had cameras installed, aggregate pedestrian deaths at those locations dipped to six.

Impressive.

* The Senate has already passed the speed cam bill, which is sponsored by Senate President John Cullerton and House Speaker Michael Madigan. The House Executive Committee is taking up the legislation at 10 o’clock this morning in Room 114. You can listen or watch the committee hearing by clicking here.

  54 Comments      


Reckless Pension Bill Would Cost Illinois Billions

Tuesday, Nov 8, 2011 - Posted by Advertising Department

[The following is a paid advertisement.]

A group of wealthy Chicago businesspeople has been masquerading as economic experts under an organization called “Illinois is Broke,” pinning the blame for the state’s budget problems on the modest pensions earned by teachers, nurses and other public employees.

It’s ironic on two levels.

First, Senate Bill 512–the pension legislation put forth by “Illinois is Broke”–would make Illinois even more broke.

Buck Consultants, one of the world’s leading actuarial firms – true pension experts –analyzed the legislation, concluding it would actually cost taxpayers an additional $34 billion. (Read here for more details.)

The State Journal-Register raised serous questions about the cost of the legislation yesterday, which would be a disaster for Illinois taxpayers.

Second, the premise that modest pensions earned by public employees caused the state’s budget problems is flat out wrong. Whether they are police or fire fighters, teachers or caregivers, these working men and women have contributed to their pensions from every paycheck. It’s the politicians who failed to make their payments.

Illinois is Broke: Intentionally deceitful? Or just painfully incompetent? Either way, their reckless legislation should not be taken seriously.

For more information, please visit www.WeAreOneIllinois.org.

  Comments Off      


Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Supplement to today’s edition

Tuesday, Nov 8, 2011 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today’s edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)

Tuesday, Nov 8, 2011 - Posted by Rich Miller

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