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*** UPDATED x1 - Manzullo denies Politico report *** Money, Money, Money, Money… Money

Thursday, Feb 2, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Campaign finance reports have been rolling out for congressional candidates this week. Let’s start with the 8th District Democratic primary

In the race to win the Democratic primary in the 8th Congressional District, Tammy Duckworth has been enjoying a poll advantage. Her campaign’s latest survey shows her with a 42 point lead.

But, when it comes to financing, Raja Krishnamoorthi has $791,000 cash on hand compared to Duckworth’s $562,000.

Duckworth had a big fourth quarter of fund raising, but not enough to overcome Krishnamoorthi’s financial lead.

“Raja has raised more money than Duckworth because he has a stronger message,” said Deputy Campaign Manager Mike Murray.

The Duckworth campaign responds:

“The difference between cash on hand available for the primary is around $140,000. In the Chicago media market, that’s about three day’s worth of television. He would need a lot more than that to make up a 40 point difference in the polling,” said spokeswoman Kaitlin Fahey.

Republican Congressman Joe Walsh, who will face the winner here, raised $146,880 last quarter and had $460,437 cash on hand.

Raja has raised more because he started earlier. And Fahey is probably right about that 40-point difference being too great to be overcome with $140K. I still don’t get why Raja didn’t run in the 10th. He would’ve been almost a sure thing in the primary and given Congressman Dold a real run.

* Speaking of the 10th

Rep. Robert Dold (R-Kenilworth) raised $356,831 for his reelection bid for the quarter ending Dec. 31, 2011, and now has $1.24 million in the bank, according to a campaign spokesperson. […]

Deerfield management consultant Brad Schneider raised more than $134,000 for the quarter ending Dec. 31, 2011, for his Tenth Congressional District campaign in trying to unseat Rep. Robert Dold (R-Kenilworth). […]

Schneider raised more than $630,000 since beginning his effort in May, and has more than $450,000 in the bank.

Earlier this month, Waukegan community organizer Ilya Sheyman and Long Grove business owner John Tree reported their fundraising efforts for the quarter.

Sheyman collected in excess of $180,000 for the period with more than $200,000 cash on hand. Tree, who entered the race in November, raised $101,000 with $80,000 on hand.

* Kinzinger with the edge in what has shaped up to be a very negative GOP primary battle

In a remap-inspired matchup of two incumbent Republican congressman in northwestern Illinois’ 16th District, 19-year Rep. Donald Manzullo of Leaf River reported having $522,864 to start 2012 after raising $169,867 in the final three months of last year.

Manzullo’s GOP primary opponent, first-term Rep. Adam Kinzinger of Manteno reported raising $286,260 and had $651,089 in campaign cash on hand.

From Politico’s David Catanese

Informed Republicans say Manzullo is on retirement watch.

Hadn’t heard that. Interesting.

*** UPDATE *** From Congressman Manzullo’s campaign spokesman…

Rich,

Unfortunately, David Catanese did not contact us before he printed the unsubstantiated retirement rumors from “informed Republicans.” It’s ridiculous on its face to say such a thing when we have more than a half million dollars on hand with less than seven weeks until the election.

The fact is, our fundraising totals right now are solid. We held several successful fundraisers in January that are not reflected in the current totals with several more to come. Congressman Manzullo outraised Congressman Kinzinger by $110,000 the previous filing period (third quarter of 2011), and we likely will have a similar amount of cash on hand once the January fundraising is reflected. Money will not be a factor in this race. What will be a factor is grassroots activism, and Congressman Manzullo is getting strong support from all areas of the new district. He has been endorsed by several major conservative organizations, and has amassed a strong campaign team of area Republican officials, business owners, farmers, and Tea Party leaders throughout the 16th District. Congressman Manzullo has the strong conservative record, the leadership experience, and the plans to help strengthen our economy and help put Americans back to work, and that’s why he is getting so much support for re-election.

Thanks,

Rich Carter
Manzullo campaign spokesman

[ *** End Of Update *** ]

* An impressive haul by Bustos

Democrat Cheri Bustos, still facing a contested primary, came within nearly $1,000 of raising as much money in the last three months of 2011 as incumbent Rep. Bobby Schilling, R-Ill., in the 17th Congressional District race, according to campaign finance reports filed with the Federal Election Commission.

In the reports, which were due Tuesday by midnight, Bustos, a former East Moline alderwoman and hospital executive, said she had raised $219,068 between Oct. 1 and Dec. 31. Schilling reported raising $219,955.

It’s rare for challengers to raise as much money as incumbents.

Even with that, however, the freshman Republican maintained more than twice the cash balance as Bustos with nearly two months of campaigning left before the state’s March 20 primary.

Schilling said he had $612,022 in the bank at the end of 2011, while Bustos reported $278,897 in cash on hand. This was the second full quarter of fundraising for her. Schilling filed four quarterly reports last year.

After the 2010 election, Schilling was considered by Democrats to be one of the easier freshmen marks here. The guy is an amazingly hard worker and has moderated his tone considerably. He won’t be a pushover by any means.

Bustos’ Democratic primary opponents raised practically no money

Augustana College administrator Greg Aguilar only raised $6,618, FEC filings reveal, with roughly $16,000 cash on hand. Freeport Mayor George Gualrapp raised $9,980 total as of September 2011.

I guess I’ll never quite figure out why people run for office if they’re unwilling to do the necessary work to win.

* A miniscule buy, but Gidwitz is obviously trying to raise enough cash to be a real player

With the Illinois primary still seven weeks away, a business-oriented political group headed by Chicago business activist Ronald Gidwitz is launching attack ads against a likely Democratic opponent of Rep. Judy Biggert, R-Hinsdale.

The $25,000 cable TV buy takes aim at Bill Foster, a former scientist at Fermi National Accelerator Laboratory who served one term in Congress before losing two years ago to Rep. Randy Hultgren, R-Winfield.

Mr. Foster has two opponents in the Democratic primary, Aurora attorney Juan Thomas and James Hickey, president of the Orland Park Fire Protection District. But Mr. Gidwitz said, “it’s pretty clear to us” that his group is targeting the likely nominee.

The 30-second ad, called “Signs,” consists of a piano dirge in the background with a voice-over saying: “There were signs that Bill Foster would be bad for Illinois,” citing his votes for health care reform and a bill to make it easier for unions to organize. “How many signs that Bill Foster would be bad for jobs do we really need?” The ad closes with an image of a man in a work shirt taping a sign to a window that reads “Closed — Going out of Business.”

So far, the New Prosperity Foundation (one of those newfangled “SuperPACs”) has raised $205K and had $133K on hand at the start of the year.

* Here’s the anti-Foster ad. Rate it

* J3 catches up

Rep. Jesse Jackson Jr. raised twice as much money as rival Debbie Halvorson in the last quarter of 2011. But with money she already had in her account, the two head into next month’s Democratic primary for the South Side and south suburban 2nd Congressional seat with a roughly equal amount of money to spend.

Jesse Jackson Jr.: $115,046; $262,942

Debbie Halvorson: $66,360; $260,727

* Roundup…

* Is Randy Hultgren Hinting about a Statewide Run?

* Gill challenges Goetten to 13th District debates

* NRCC picks Joe Walsh for Patriot Program

* Schilling votes to freeze own pay

* Manzullo Votes to Continue Pay Freeze

* Rep. Walsh Takes Stand Against Contraceptive Mandate

  29 Comments      


Question of the day

Thursday, Feb 2, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller

* This e-mail just arrived from Rep. David Harris (R-Arlington Heights), a retired National Guard Major General…

Just FYI, I can understand the Governor’s desire to provide a “significant” tax credit to companies hiring “unemployed veterans of Iraq and Afghanistan”

And having served 33 years in the military myself and also having a son in the US Army who is currently on a year’s deployment in Afghanistan, I know the great service and sacrifice that these service members are giving to their country.

But why discriminate against service members who did not serve in Iraq or Afghanistan?

What about the young sailor who is assigned to the Seventh Fleet (Pacific Ocean) and does not get orders to serve in Operation Iraqi Freedom or Enduring Freedom (which is Afghanistan)? Or what about the soldier who is assigned to Korea and spends a year on the DMZ at Camp Liberty Bell or Camp Bonifas (formerly Camp Kitty Hawk)? Or the Air Force airman that is assigned to Elmendorf Air Force Base in Alaska. Those service members are not normally given orders under Operation Iraqi Freedom or Operation Enduring Freedom.

Are these service members any less deserving than those that had orders under Iraqi Freedom or Enduring Freedom. You know, there are thousands of service members who were issued orders under Iraqi Freedom or Enduring Freedom but they never set foot in either those countries (e.g., assignment to Camp Doha, the logistics supply base in Kuwait, or al-Udeid Air Force Base in Qatar).

Whether or not the proposal moves through the General Assembly, I know I am going to bring up this consideration when I can.

* The Question: Do you agree with Rep. Harris that Gov. Pat Quinn’s proposed tax credit to hire unemployed veterans who had orders for the nation’s two wars be expanded to include all vets? Take the poll and then explain your answer in comments, please.


  49 Comments      


Caption contest!

Thursday, Feb 2, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Michael Sneed

A wave of nostalgia will land on Gov. Pat Quinn when he hits the Belvidere Dodge plant to announce hundreds of new jobs assembling the new Dodge Dart … Quinn used to own a Dodge Neon made at the same plant.

* The Dodge Neon…

Have fun.

  48 Comments      


A big SOTS roundup

Thursday, Feb 2, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The Sun-Times SOTS story is headlined “Quinn’s State of State address gets cool reception from legislators” and includes the best line of the day

In his second State of the State speech, the governor facing low approval ratings laid out an array of feel-good ideas whose shelf life will be dictated entirely by the harsh reality of Illinois’ nearly empty treasury and a state Legislature more focused upon the March primaries.

We could probably stop there, but then we’d miss all the other fun.

* It’s not this bad

Can there be a more miserable chore for an Illinois governor than expounding on grand notions for the coming year in a flat-broke state?

The exercise feels like Old Mother Hubbard standing in front of her bare cupboard and announcing plans for a banquet.

The cupboard might be bare, but Gov. Quinn didn’t announce pans for a “banquet.” More like a TV dinner.

* The Tribune was expectedly over the top

Wouldn’t it be loverly, too, if Illinois could afford the lavish wish list that the governor crooned during his State of the State address — a fabulous treasure of new spending notions and tax breaks.

Funny how I don’t remember seeing this same level of vitriol when the big corporate tax cuts passed in December.

* This was a familiar refrain

It’s something the Governor addressed in just one sentence, saying “Suffice it to say, we must have Medicaid reform and pension reform in the coming year.” Trinity President and CEO Rick Seidler says, “I was surprised there wasn’t more discussion of that issue.” There was no discussion about how Quinn would make reform happen.

The budget address is in three weeks. Patience, please.

…Adding… I think because so many of you are affiliated with state government, when you hear “state” you think “government” instead of thinking “Illinois.” The State of the State address is supposed to be about the state in its broadest terms.

* Of course, the Carbondale-area TV station would lede with this

There was one topic noticeably absent from Illinois Governor Pat Quinn’s State of the State speech Wednesday: how the state plans to pay the backlog of millions of dollars owed to Illinois colleges and universities.

I could probably think of a hundred things that were noticeably absent from the speech if I was expecting a budget address instead of a State of the State.

* And then there’s this headline

Quinn’s State of State address lacks budget-crisis solutions

Three weeks, people. Three weeks. This was a State of the State address, not a budget address.

* A bit about Gov. Quinn’s proposal to repeal the natural gas tax

That tax — which is figured as a percentage of usage — generates about $160 million revenue each year, said the state’s Department of Revenue. The typical Illinois household pays about $32 a year for the utility tax, according to rough estimates by the Citizens Utility Board. […]

Illinois Chamber of Commerce president Doug Whitley said talk of ending the utility tax had largely disappeared from the business agenda over roughly the past 25 years. Still, natural gas is vital to some companies, particularly manufacturers, and they would be pleased by Quinn’s proposal.

Natural gas prices are very low right now, and the less than $3 a month savings seems far too low to take such a significant budget hit. But Whitley’s right about the manufacturers. They’d feel the tax cut far more.

* A very legitimate complaint

“We would be most interested in hearing how that could be paid for, given our current fiscal condition,” said Rikeesha Phelon, spokeswoman for Senate President John Cullerton, D-Chicago.

* Another legit complaint, from Rep. Chuck Jefferson (D-Rockford)

“He made excellent points about education, jobs and building the economy as it relates to manufacturing, but my question is, how do we do this? It takes money to make it happen. Early childhood education is fantastic, we need to teach all our children, but how do we fund it? Hopefully he’ll have an answer in our budget speech.

“We know out state is hurting fiscally, and how do we fund all these programs?”

* This quote by Sen. Kyle McCarter (R-Lebanon) falls into a trap of Quinn’s making

“We’re not moving forward.”

Hugely increased exports, more jobs created last year than anyone around us, factories expanding, high tech beginning to really boom. Yes, we have horrible problems, but this state is still moving forward despite the government’s many errors.

* While using a speech like this to raise campaign money is nothing new, this e-mail blasted out to contributors shortly after Gov. Pat Quinn’s speech ended seems more than a little cynical

As Governor Quinn delivered the State of the State address today, one sentence stuck out: “Illinois is moving forward.”

Can you help Governor Quinn fight for progress by donating $25, $50, $100 or $250 right now?

* Of course, I agree with every word of this cogent analysis

“Moving forward on the vision that I laid out today will require true partnership,” Quinn said.

But will that partnership include the leaders of his own party, House Speaker Michael Madigan and Senate President John Cullerton?

Springfield observer Rich Miller of the influential Capitol Fax Blog says lots of work remains in the realm of interpersonal relationships.

“There is still a lot of tension there between those three gentlemen,” he said.

* On style points, I’d also give the speech high marks

Although Quinn’s plans drew more questions than support, the governor did receive high marks for his delivery. The speech clocked in at just under half an hour and Quinn used a teleprompter to read the address, a departure from his usual habit of delivering off-the-cuff remarks.

“This was his most gubernatorial (speech), though the bar was low,” said Sen. Kirk Dillard, R-Hinsdale, like Murphy a potential governor candidate in 2014.

Yes, the bar was low, but he did well this time. Maybe he’s learning.

* Related…

* Text of Gov. Pat Quinn’s State of the State speech

* Tax-break proposals have price tags - Ending natural-gas tax would cost state $164 million a year; child tax credit would cost $130 million

* Lawmakers express funding concerns after State of the State

* ISN fact checks Quinn’s State of the State

* Reaction to Gov. Pat Quinn’s State of the State: “Cuts alone will not get us to a better budget. We must build and grow our Illinois economy like never before to keep Illinois moving forward.” Illinois Gov. Pat Quinn.

* Quinn pushes for government expansion

* Governor outlines programs aimed at growing Illinois’ economy

* Quinn’s speech raises questions for IL lawmakers

* Navistar CEO to lead Quinn exports group

* Is the recovery real? These reports offer encouraging signs

* Governors’ speeches: glimmers of hope, lots of caution, few grand proposals

  35 Comments      


*** UPDATED x1 *** State of the state word cloud

Thursday, Feb 2, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Via the Daily Herald. Click the pic for a larger image…

More SOTS coverage in a bit. There are a ton of stories to go through, so chew on this one for a while.

*** UPDATE *** Something about that word cloud looked a bit off to me. The governor’s office thought the same thing. Turns out, the reason why words like “Quinn” and “Pat” appear so prominently is that the DH likely pasted the pdf version into the program, which would have those words on every page. So, here’s the text-only version. Click the pic for a larger size..

  10 Comments      


Today’s quote

Thursday, Feb 2, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Americans for Tax Reform President Grover Norquist

“While Pat Quinn’s Illinois continues to tax and spend itself into oblivion at the behest of union bosses, Mitch Daniels’ Indiana stands as an example for the entire Midwest.

Norquist was mainly talking about Gov. Daniels’ signature yesterday on that state’s new “right to work” legislation.

Discuss.

  83 Comments      


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Thursday, Feb 2, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today’s edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)

Thursday, Feb 2, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller

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