Capitol - Your Illinois News Radar » “Exploratory” bid now a “real” bid
SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      Mobile Version     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
“Exploratory” bid now a “real” bid

Tuesday, Jul 30, 2013 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Sun-Times

Bill Daley says he is finished exploring.

His campaign tells the Chicago Sun-Times that on Tuesday morning it will file papers with the Illinois State Board of Elections that “tears the exploratory label” off his committee.

Of course, he’s the one who put it there in the first place.

Nonetheless, Daley wants to convey that he’s not waffling; he’s committed to running for governor. That’s an important signal to send now after many donors are still reeling over Lisa Madigan’s flirtation with a run that ended up going nowhere. And Daley has a reputation for teasing about public office but never pulling the trigger.

Gov. Pat Quinn has said he will run for reelection. But the withdrawal of Madigan — whom Daley considered his biggest threat — gives the former White House Chief of Staff a much greater edge.

Yes, he has a better shot since Madigan dropped out, but I’m still not totally clear on his path to victory here.

          Click here to help buy presents for LSSI foster kids!

  1. - Skeeter - Tuesday, Jul 30, 13 @ 9:44 am:

    Daley’s primary argument seems to be “I’m not Pat Quinn.”

    Conversely, Quinn’s primary argument will be “Ramble ramble ramble I’m not Bill Daley ramble ramble ramble.”

    This is looking like the type of ugly primary that the GOP usually finds itself in.

  2. - ZC - Tuesday, Jul 30, 13 @ 9:46 am:

    His path to victory may lie in an even more thorough and complete collapse of Pat Quinn’s governing authority in the upcoming six months.

    It’s a risk, since Daley doesn’t control his own destiny, in that case … but stranger and more improbable things have happened.

  3. - MrJM - Tuesday, Jul 30, 13 @ 9:46 am:

    “I’m still not totally clear on his path to victory here.”

    All he has to do is convince the people of Illinois that a Daley who got rich at a Wall Street investment bank is the best person to represent their interests as governor.

    That’s all.

    – MrJM

  4. - Glass half full - Tuesday, Jul 30, 13 @ 9:49 am:

    Governor Quinn will NOT run after pensions get settled……Ambassador to Ireland

  5. - lincolnlover - Tuesday, Jul 30, 13 @ 9:49 am:

    It will be a chilly day in Hades before downstaters vote for a Daley from Chicago. Of course, our votes don’t count for much……….

  6. - Oswego Willy - Tuesday, Jul 30, 13 @ 9:54 am:

    Daley will have the money to TRY to define himself beyond the “Big Banker Boogie Man”, but like Rich said, I can’t see voters downstate holding their nose to vote for a Daley, no matter how awful Pat Quinn is in their minds.

    Further, Pat Quinn versus Bill Daley on the South and West sides of Chicago? Pat Quinn has to be seen as the winner in those battleground areas, regardless of what Bill Daley can prop up in advertising.

    Finally, you have to believe there are some in the Cook Democratic Party that would love to see a Daley lose. Some never got to settle business with Rich Daley, but now they have a chance to square-up with Bill, and given the GOP field, today, still keep the Mansion in Democratic hands.

    The Bill Daley route is a Big Ask to get to the finish line, and that just to get to be the Nominee. But …this is why we have elections.

    Oh, and Captain Rennault and I are “shocked” Bill Daley took this next step. We are glad the Daley Camp made this clear. Whew!

  7. - Oswego Willy - Tuesday, Jul 30, 13 @ 9:57 am:


    I do not wanto to put words in Rich’s mouth. I Posted;

    ===…but like Rich said, I can’t see voters downstate holding their nose to vote for a Daley, no matter how awful Pat Quinn is in their minds.===

    Should read …

    “…but like Rich said, I can’t see a clear path for a Daley win, and I personally have trouble seeing voters downstate holding their nose to vote for a Daley, no matter how awful Pat Quinn is in their minds.”

    Apologoies Rich.

  8. - ZC - Tuesday, Jul 30, 13 @ 9:57 am:

    lincolnlover, don’t be too sure. That’s traditionally not been the case.

    Downstate support obviously got Glenn Poshard the Dem nomination in 1998.

    Downstate support (at least if we narrowly define “Downstate” as the E. St Louis / Madison County / St Clair region) was absolutely critical for Rod Blagojevich’s 2002 primary win.

    What’s different of course is right now we’re looking at only a two-horse race. But if somebody else jumps in, I wouldn’t be surprised if the votes somewhere south of I-80 again play a critical role.

  9. - wordslinger - Tuesday, Jul 30, 13 @ 10:01 am:

    He’s the-guy-who’s-not-Quinn, so that gives him a puncher’s chance in a one-on-one-fight.

    Obviously, you can make a negative case against Quinn. But he’s largely a known commodity. I don’t think you can move the needle against him too much.

    Daley, on the other hand, is a blank slate. His resume is a mile wide and an inch deep.

    Quinn is going to have the money to devastate him with negative spots — NAFTA, insider deals, influence peddling, cashing in on political connections.

    And I really don’t think the name “Daley” is a positive anywhere, anymore, among Illinois voters.

  10. - Bill White - Tuesday, Jul 30, 13 @ 10:03 am:

    I’ve been reading various articles and I’ve gone to Bill Daley’s website and you know what, I cannot figure out what his platform is, why he wants to be Governor or what he seeks to accomplish as Governor.

    Other than his commitment to enact Ty Fahner’s vision of pension reform into law.

  11. - Small Town Liberal - Tuesday, Jul 30, 13 @ 10:19 am:

    I’m not sure what Daley found in his exploration, but I have a hard time believing it was anything too positive.

    My initial impression is that he’s the kind of guy that hears only what he wants to hear, and has lots of friends that only tell him what he wants to hear. We’ll see how that works out.

  12. - dupage dan - Tuesday, Jul 30, 13 @ 10:24 am:

    El Candidito Real. Appearing at a campaign stop near you.


  13. - too obvious - Tuesday, Jul 30, 13 @ 10:30 am:

    Bill does realize right that he’ll eventually have to tell people downstate that he’s the brother of a former Chicago mayor and the son of another? Just checking.

  14. - Chavez-respecting Obamist - Tuesday, Jul 30, 13 @ 10:49 am:

    I won’t be voting for Daley. Not because of his family, though Ritchie stuck around about two terms too long. I just think Daley would wreak havoc on the state the way Emanuel is on the city.

  15. - Chris - Tuesday, Jul 30, 13 @ 10:49 am:

    “It will be a chilly day in Hades before downstaters vote for a Daley from Chicago.”

    It will be a chilly day in hell before I–a UMC, over-educated, northside white boy lifelong-D–vote for a Daley. I should be his core constituency; he has NO chance at my vote, at any point, bc Illinois cannot be allowed to be the Daley fief, no matter how much they act like it.

    To paraphrase Justice Holmes: Three Daleys in government were enough … time to ‘eugenithize’ the Daley-clan’s political future.

  16. - walkinfool - Tuesday, Jul 30, 13 @ 10:51 am:

    I’ve been hearing some surprising support among suburbanites from both parties, for Bill Daley. He’s viewed as economically Conservative and businesslike, but not toxic on social issues like some of his potential opponents. They also don’t think first of Richie, but rather of banking and Chief of Staff work.

    I think he could beat Pat locally, and Brady or Rutherford, but maybe not Dillard or Rauner, in the general.

    The “burbs are in between Chicago and downstate in more than one way, and can swing elections.

    Still early.

  17. - AFSCME Steward - Tuesday, Jul 30, 13 @ 10:55 am:

    It will be a cold chilly day before a lot of us in Chicago will vote for a Daley also.

    “It will be a chilly day in Hades before downstaters vote for a Daley from Chicago. Of course, our votes don’t count for much……….”

  18. - Chris - Tuesday, Jul 30, 13 @ 10:56 am:

    “I just think Daley would wreak havoc on the state the way Emanuel is on the city.”

    [at the risk of wandering too far off topic]–status quo ain’t an option for Chicago or Illinois. Havoc now or more havoc later.

    If anyone has some non-’havoc’ ideas for Chicago (NO, ‘raise taxes and hire more X, Y and Z’ isn’t a real idea) and, for that matter, Illinois, I, for one, would be very eager to hear them.

  19. - Wensicia - Tuesday, Jul 30, 13 @ 10:58 am:

    He can’t win in a two man race. The negatives attached to the Daley name far outweigh Quinn’s.

  20. - wayward - Tuesday, Jul 30, 13 @ 11:01 am:

    Run, Kwame, run!

  21. - PublicServant - Tuesday, Jul 30, 13 @ 11:22 am:

    Sure Chris, institute a progressive income tax in this backward state that will actually allow YOUR elected representatives to pay the bills they and their predecessors rang up over the last 60 odd years, as opposed to using the constitutionally protected pensions as a piggy bank. And as for havoc, what havoc? The economy is improving, Ty and his boys have been exposed as manipulating our state’s bond ratings. The state is doing quite well in the face of its regressive income tax on the very people (read the middle class and poor) that took it on the chin because of the Wall Street-Republican financial hijinks that caused the Great Recession. But you go ahead and keep screaming that the sky is falling if it keeps you occupied.

  22. - Loop Lady - Tuesday, Jul 30, 13 @ 11:29 am:

    What I want to know is who put this idea in Daleys
    head and why they did it, or did he come up with this chasing your tail idea all by himself? Did Rahm coerce him? The Civic Committee twist his arm? Inquiring minds want to know…

  23. - Arthur Andersen - Tuesday, Jul 30, 13 @ 11:43 am:

    I just don’t see it either. Having worked with him
    professionally a few times, I don’t find him to be a natural campaigner or particularly empathetic. I would tend to agree with those who posted that he may have “selective listening.”

  24. - Skeeter - Tuesday, Jul 30, 13 @ 11:45 am:

    Fascinating reading the comments.

    Looks like I may be the only Daley voter here.
    Admittedly, it is only because I can’t stand Quinn and nobody else is on the ballot. If Kwame (or just about anybody) joins the race, I will of course move over to backing the person.

    I’m thinking of becoming Daley’s “Bill.” If Blago had somebody to explain anyway ever screw up, so should Daley.

  25. - NW Illinois Dem - Tuesday, Jul 30, 13 @ 12:03 pm:

    As I’ve said before, Bill Daley’s bio about being a part of the Clinton-Gore Jobs Machine (22 million in 8 years) may be a powerful narrative for downstate Illinois. Sure, he has to overcome some of the anti-Chicago sentiment attached to the name “Daley” … but that is also what Gov Quinn faces as well.

  26. - ZC - Tuesday, Jul 30, 13 @ 12:30 pm:

    What walkinfool said.

    I’m not a Daley shill by any means (run Kwame run) but it’s always been my impression that the Daley “brand” actually was quite popular in the Cook County suburbs and in much of the collars. Maybe that’s changed since r2d2 left office, of course, but I don’t think the name is near as toxic in Illinois as some posters think. I’m willing to be convinced otherwise with some actual polling data, of course.

    Daley’s problem is I’m not sure those voters are necessarily pulling a “D” ballot in the upcoming primary.

  27. - Barnabas Brown - Tuesday, Jul 30, 13 @ 12:51 pm:

    Word in the bald cypress swamps is that Poshard endorses Daley . . . Might raise a few eyebrows here — and elsewhere. A “little” fallout from the SIU turf war? Inquiring minds . . .

  28. - Shore - Tuesday, Jul 30, 13 @ 12:59 pm:

    we’re living in a world where quinn will have won as many terms as gov as jim edgar 16 months from now and will likely be the nations longest serving gov if he serves until 2019.

    didn’t see that coming in 2003.

  29. - Original Rambler - Tuesday, Jul 30, 13 @ 1:00 pm:

    Those suburban voters were swing voters when the interests of Chicago and downstate clashed. When it comes to Daley, those interests are aligned against him so the suburban vote is insufficient to overcome that.

    In the city, there’s just not a lot of love for the Daley name these days.

  30. - wordslinger - Tuesday, Jul 30, 13 @ 1:26 pm:

    –I’m not a Daley shill by any means (run Kwame run) but it’s always been my impression that the Daley “brand” actually was quite popular in the Cook County suburbs and in much of the collars–

    I think the Daley brand was only popular among some folks when they got a look at the opponent.

  31. - Jake From Elwood - Tuesday, Jul 30, 13 @ 2:25 pm:

    I don’t see a pathway to electoral success.
    Bill does not have the popularity that his brother had.
    Is this is just a Burris-esque ego trip?

  32. - Precinct Captain - Tuesday, Jul 30, 13 @ 4:20 pm:

    ==Downstate support obviously got Glenn Poshard the Dem nomination in 1998.==

    Not so obviously. Poshard campaigned a lot with Bill Lipinski on the Southwest and South Side in Chicago. The completely unknown John Schmidt, who had Richard M. Daley backing, broke up the Cook County votes with Roland Burris.

  33. - Just The Way It Is One - Tuesday, Jul 30, 13 @ 8:12 pm:

    Good luck William D., and to that other very small Percentage of all other Democrat MILLIONAIRES in Illinois (who, mostly, will be backin’ him–the unabashedly/undeniably SUPER RICH Candidate between the two Democrats–NO doubt…)! No doubt, also, that by FAR, MOST average Democrats in Illinois will, therefore, be altogether able to relate to the ULTRA-WEALTHY kind of guy he is, as such…(pfff).

Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.

* Reader comments closed for the weekend
* Afternoon roundup
* The labor beat
* Alden Global Capital is expanding their usual business of gutting newsrooms to buying up mobile home parks
* Question of the day: 2022 Golden Horseshoe Awards
* Winnebago County state's attorney regrets past remarks, says SAFE-T Act "more of a collection issue"
* *** UPDATED x1 *** House Firearm Safety & Reform Working Group rolls out its new bill
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today's edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)
* Morning briefing
* Open thread
* Live coverage
* 2022 veto session cheat sheet
* Yesterday's stories

Visit our advertisers...








Main Menu
Pundit rankings
Subscriber Content
Blagojevich Trial
Updated Posts

December 2022
November 2022
October 2022
September 2022
August 2022
July 2022
June 2022
May 2022
April 2022
March 2022
February 2022
January 2022
December 2021
November 2021
October 2021
September 2021
August 2021
July 2021
June 2021
May 2021
April 2021
March 2021
February 2021
January 2021
December 2020
November 2020
October 2020
September 2020
August 2020
July 2020
June 2020
May 2020
April 2020
March 2020
February 2020
January 2020
December 2019
November 2019
October 2019
September 2019
August 2019
July 2019
June 2019
May 2019
April 2019
March 2019
February 2019
January 2019
December 2018
November 2018
October 2018
September 2018
August 2018
July 2018
June 2018
May 2018
April 2018
March 2018
February 2018
January 2018
December 2017
November 2017
October 2017
September 2017
August 2017
July 2017
June 2017
May 2017
April 2017
March 2017
February 2017
January 2017
December 2016
November 2016
October 2016
September 2016
August 2016
July 2016
June 2016
May 2016
April 2016
March 2016
February 2016
January 2016
December 2015
November 2015
October 2015
September 2015
August 2015
July 2015
June 2015
May 2015
April 2015
March 2015
February 2015
January 2015
December 2014
November 2014
October 2014
September 2014
August 2014
July 2014
June 2014
May 2014
April 2014
March 2014
February 2014
January 2014
December 2013
November 2013
October 2013
September 2013
August 2013
July 2013
June 2013
May 2013
April 2013
March 2013
February 2013
January 2013
December 2012
November 2012
October 2012
September 2012
August 2012
July 2012
June 2012
May 2012
April 2012
March 2012
February 2012
January 2012
December 2011
November 2011
October 2011
September 2011
August 2011
July 2011
June 2011
May 2011
April 2011
March 2011
February 2011
January 2011
December 2010
November 2010
October 2010
September 2010
August 2010
July 2010
June 2010
May 2010
April 2010
March 2010
February 2010
January 2010
December 2009
November 2009
October 2009
September 2009
August 2009
July 2009
June 2009
May 2009
April 2009
March 2009
February 2009
January 2009
December 2008
November 2008
October 2008
September 2008
August 2008
July 2008
June 2008
May 2008
April 2008
March 2008
February 2008
January 2008
December 2007
November 2007
October 2007
September 2007
August 2007
July 2007
June 2007
May 2007
April 2007
March 2007
February 2007
January 2007
December 2006
November 2006
October 2006
September 2006
August 2006
July 2006
June 2006
May 2006
April 2006
March 2006
February 2006
January 2006
December 2005
April 2005
March 2005
February 2005
January 2005
December 2004
November 2004
October 2004

Blog*Spot Archives
November 2005
October 2005
September 2005
August 2005
July 2005
June 2005
May 2005


RSS Feed 2.0
Comments RSS 2.0

Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller