Capitol Fax.com - Your Illinois News Radar » Did he now create a problem with GOP voters?
SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      Mobile Version     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
Did he now create a problem with GOP voters?

Monday, Jan 13, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Here’s the first part of my syndicated newspaper column. We’ll get to the rest of it a bit later, for reasons you’ll understand when we do it

If Bruce Rauner manages to successfully back away from his recently unearthed statement from December that he favored reducing the state’s minimum wage by a dollar an hour he will have dodged a very serious political bullet.

According to a new Capitol Fax/We Ask America poll, the idea is absolutely hated in Illinois. Asked if they would be “more likely or less likely to vote for a gubernatorial candidate who supports lowering the state’s minimum wage to the national rate of $7.25 an hour,” a whopping 79 percent said they’d be less likely. That’s definitely a result that could move actual votes on election day, particularly in the context of the messenger: a hugely wealthy political unknown whose advertising campaign is trying hard to turn him into a “regular guy.”

Women were 84 percent less likely and men were 73 percent less likely to vote for a candidate who wanted to lower the minimum wage by a buck an hour, according to the poll taken January 8th of 1,135 likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percent. Democrats were 90 percent less likely, while independents were 77 percent less likely and even Republicans were 63 percent less likely to vote for such a candidate.

As the controversy was building last week, Rauner told a Carbondale audience that if the minimum wage was increased here he would only support it if the state also made “our labor regulations and our tax burden much more attractive to small business.” He added that he could still support lowering the minimum wage “in the context of dramatically improving our schools and creating a business environment where everybody’s got jobs.”

But by Wednesday, Rauner had completely backed away, claiming he was “flippant” when he unequivocally said in a December forum in the Quad Cities that he wanted to roll back the minimum wage to the national level because Illinois’ dollar an hour difference was “hurting our economy.” After a huge firestorm of controversy erupted, Rauner claimed that he could actually support raising the minimum wage, as long as it was coupled with some key legal changes like unspecified workers’ comp and tort reforms.

The Democratic Governors Association, which has formed an Illinois political action committee that will likely be used as a conduit to attack Rauner in the GOP primary, attempted to counter Rauner’s spin.

“They say a gaffe is when a politician tells the truth,” said DGA Communications Director Danny Kanner. “In the case of Bruce Rauner, he showed his true colors when he said that Illinois’ minimum wage needs to be cut… and voters won’t soon forget.”

If voters do forget, then Rauner’s new position in favor of increasing the minimum wage finds favor with a majority of voters when asked: “Would you be more likely or less likely to vote for a gubernatorial candidate who supports raising the state’s minimum wage rate to $10 an hour?”

According to the poll, 55 percent of likely Illinois voters would be more likely to support such a candidate, while 38 percent would be less likely. Women would be far more supportive (62 percent) than men (46 percent) of such a candidate. And it’s a make or break issue for 81 percent of Democrats.

But a strong 65 percent of Republicans would be less likely to support a candidate who backed a hike to $10 an hour, so Rauner may have now created a problem with his GOP primary voter base.

Subscribers have crosstabs and more polling results on this issue.

* Related…

* GOP minimum wage debate could be muted by Democratic action: Steve Brown, spokesman for House Speaker Michael Madigan, D-Chicago, said the House will be working “closely” with the Senate and Quinn on the issue. “It’s always a topic that is of great interest to Democrats because they understand that this isn’t anymore an entry level wage,” Brown said Friday. “I’m sure there will be plenty of House Democrats willing to take a look at it.”

* Rauner brushes off minimum-wage flap, attacks Quinn: “No, I don’t think it’s going to be a big impact at all,” Rauner said when asked about the issue that’s dogged him over the past week. Then, he blasted the governor. “Quinn is failing working families and low-income families in this state,” Rauner said. “He’s been a massive failure. We have brutal unemployment. We have jobs leaving the state. We are de-funding our schools, cutting school funding, and we’re shredding the social-services safety net. All the stuff that Quinn supposedly says he cares about, he is failing.”

* Rauner greeted by protesters in Elmhurst: He responded to the presence of the protesters by linking them to the unions to which many of them belong. “They are making their money from government and they are not really, really here about the wages,” said Rauner. “They’re here because we’re going to shake up those special deals they’ve got with the corrupt politicians.”

* Rauner Does Damage Control at Decatur Campaign Stop: “I’m not a politician,” he said. “I’ll have bumps in the road. Sometimes I’ll speak out of turn in a certain way, or be incomplete in my explanations. I’m sorry. I’ll correct it and I’ll move on.”

* Republican rivals try to capitalize on Rauner’s minimum wage stumble: Asked what damage Rauner caused Republicans, Brady said: “Well, here you’ve got a very wealthy guy running to cut pay for people trying to raise a family by $2,000 a year per person employed on minimum wage. That’s not what Republicans stand for. We stand for greater opportunity, not cutting pay to working families.” Brady has had his own problems with the minimum wage issue. Running against Quinn in 2010, weeks before Illinois’ $8.25 rate took effect, he said he backed lowering it to the federal rate for the sake of competitiveness. Brady altered his position to say the state rate should stay at the current level to allow the federal rate to catch up.

* Durbin adds to attack on Rauner: “I can tell you that people have forgotten his $18 watch,” Durbin said, “because a man who proposes cutting the minimum wage is out of touch with working families.”

* Editorial: Bruce Rauner’s epic about-face: The problem with Rauner seems to be that he wants to answer questions on his own terms when he is good and ready. That’s not the way politics works, as he is learning.

* Finke: Rauner trips over changing stances

       

8 Comments
  1. - wordslinger - Monday, Jan 13, 14 @ 9:32 am:

    –He (Rauner) responded to the presence of the protesters by linking them to the unions to which many of them belong. “They are making their money from government and they are not really, really here about the wages,” said Rauner. “They’re here because we’re going to shake up those special deals they’ve got with the corrupt politicians.”–

    Assuming the protesters were public employees, they certainly have never made “their money from government” like Pay-to-Play Bruce.

    And corrupt politicians? Good-Goo Bruce has dropped millions on politicians from both parties, including Daley and Emanuel.

    Rauner put Stu Levine on the payroll for $25K a month when he was trying to land ITRS business (he got it). And he talks about corruption?

    Unbelievable.

    http://www.chicagobusiness.com/article/20131014/BLOGS02/131019938/political-fixer-levine-surfaces-in-gop-race-for-governor


  2. - Big Debbie - Monday, Jan 13, 14 @ 9:36 am:

    Haven’t seen anyone in the media follow-up on this blog post I had yesterday, but Rauner wasn’t welcome at one of his announced campaign stops in Champaign last week:

    http://bigdebshouse.wordpress.com/2014/01/12/rauner-campaign-stop-not-welcome-at-local-small-business/


  3. - AFSCME Steward - Monday, Jan 13, 14 @ 9:51 am:

    Didn’t he just say it was the union leaders, not the union members, we had issues with. Another flip-flop ?

    “He responded to the presence of the protesters by linking them to the unions to which many of them belong. “They are making their money from government and they are not really, really here about the wages,” said Rauner. “They’re here because we’re going to shake up those special deals they’ve got with the corrupt politicians.”


  4. - langhorne - Monday, Jan 13, 14 @ 10:18 am:

    for rauner, it is a simple equation:

    protesters = union members (bad) = taking government money (also bad).

    so much for being ok w union members, just not the bad union bosses who bribe the politicians.

    and, as others point out, it is rich (oops) irony that he is critical of govt employees making five figures, when he makes seven figures, A WEEK, from government.


  5. - walker - Monday, Jan 13, 14 @ 10:31 am:

    ===They say a gaffe is when a politician tells the truth===

    Ouch. This guy is the spokesman for the Democratic Governors Association?


  6. - midway gardens - Monday, Jan 13, 14 @ 10:50 am:

    And if Dillard uses that “a Jeffersonian free market principle guy” in relation to the minimum wage, would any of his opponents please be smart enough to point out Jefferson’s minimum wages for his slaves?


  7. - Arthur Andersen - Monday, Jan 13, 14 @ 11:30 am:

    Word, if you take Levine’s fee from Rauner and divide it by his time in the slammer, he was actually paid minimum wage.

    /snark #AACanDoMath


  8. - markg8 - Monday, Jan 13, 14 @ 12:21 pm:

    I was out there protesting at Hamburger Jones in Elmhurst Saturday. For what it’s worth the restaurant is owned by Tom Cronin, DuPage County Chair and former state senate leader Dan Cronin’s brother.

    I’m a small businessman. I’ve never been in a union and have never done business with the government. Most of the union folks out there Saturday were from the building trades. Electricians, plumbers, laborers, etc.

    At one point one of Rauner’s aides came out and asked for a couple of us to go inside for a little colloquy with Baron Von Carhartt for the cameras. So he walked three of us around to the entrance where another of his aides said the candidate had changed his mind and we were then escorted back to the sidewalk. Despite all his money Rauner just doesn’t seem to know what he’s doing from one minute to the next.


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


* Proft paper, or not?
* Great mystery solved, kinda
* Today's quotable
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Supplement to today's edition
* Open thread
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today's edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)
* Debate open thread
* Yesterday's stories

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............


Loading


Main Menu
Home
Illinois
YouTube
Pundit rankings
Obama
Subscriber Content
Durbin
Burris
Blagojevich Trial
Advertising
Updated Posts
Polls

Archives
October 2022
September 2022
August 2022
July 2022
June 2022
May 2022
April 2022
March 2022
February 2022
January 2022
December 2021
November 2021
October 2021
September 2021
August 2021
July 2021
June 2021
May 2021
April 2021
March 2021
February 2021
January 2021
December 2020
November 2020
October 2020
September 2020
August 2020
July 2020
June 2020
May 2020
April 2020
March 2020
February 2020
January 2020
December 2019
November 2019
October 2019
September 2019
August 2019
July 2019
June 2019
May 2019
April 2019
March 2019
February 2019
January 2019
December 2018
November 2018
October 2018
September 2018
August 2018
July 2018
June 2018
May 2018
April 2018
March 2018
February 2018
January 2018
December 2017
November 2017
October 2017
September 2017
August 2017
July 2017
June 2017
May 2017
April 2017
March 2017
February 2017
January 2017
December 2016
November 2016
October 2016
September 2016
August 2016
July 2016
June 2016
May 2016
April 2016
March 2016
February 2016
January 2016
December 2015
November 2015
October 2015
September 2015
August 2015
July 2015
June 2015
May 2015
April 2015
March 2015
February 2015
January 2015
December 2014
November 2014
October 2014
September 2014
August 2014
July 2014
June 2014
May 2014
April 2014
March 2014
February 2014
January 2014
December 2013
November 2013
October 2013
September 2013
August 2013
July 2013
June 2013
May 2013
April 2013
March 2013
February 2013
January 2013
December 2012
November 2012
October 2012
September 2012
August 2012
July 2012
June 2012
May 2012
April 2012
March 2012
February 2012
January 2012
December 2011
November 2011
October 2011
September 2011
August 2011
July 2011
June 2011
May 2011
April 2011
March 2011
February 2011
January 2011
December 2010
November 2010
October 2010
September 2010
August 2010
July 2010
June 2010
May 2010
April 2010
March 2010
February 2010
January 2010
December 2009
November 2009
October 2009
September 2009
August 2009
July 2009
June 2009
May 2009
April 2009
March 2009
February 2009
January 2009
December 2008
November 2008
October 2008
September 2008
August 2008
July 2008
June 2008
May 2008
April 2008
March 2008
February 2008
January 2008
December 2007
November 2007
October 2007
September 2007
August 2007
July 2007
June 2007
May 2007
April 2007
March 2007
February 2007
January 2007
December 2006
November 2006
October 2006
September 2006
August 2006
July 2006
June 2006
May 2006
April 2006
March 2006
February 2006
January 2006
December 2005
April 2005
March 2005
February 2005
January 2005
December 2004
November 2004
October 2004

Blog*Spot Archives
November 2005
October 2005
September 2005
August 2005
July 2005
June 2005
May 2005

Syndication

RSS Feed 2.0
Comments RSS 2.0




Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller