Good morning, everybody!
Monday, Oct 13, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller
* I hope you are all having a great Columbus Day weekend. Thanks to you, I am, even though I published a Capitol Fax today. Hey, some things just can’t wait until Tuesday.
Comments won’t be open on this because the blog isn’t starting back up again until tomorrow, but let’s all spend a few minutes enjoying Grace Potter, Steve Kimock and Joe Satriani performing Neil Young’s “Cortez the Killer.” They appear to be having the time of their lives driving each other to higher and higher levels of musical expression, resulting in a breath-taking crescendo…
I still can’t remember when
Or how I lost my way
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* From the Bruce Rauner campaign…
Rauner 2013 Tax Summary:
Income on Federal Return: $60,777,806
Adjusted Gross Income on Federal Return: $60,150,853
Federal Income Taxes Paid: $14,373,718
Federal Effective Tax Rate on Income: 23.65%
Federal Effective Tax Rate on Adjusted Gross Income: 23.90%
Illinois Net Income on State Return: $61,432,654
Illinois Income Taxes Paid: $2,878,381
The basic 1040 return is here.
* The press release…
Bruce Rauner released his 2013 federal and state 1040’s, reflecting income and tax rates, while detailing the Rauner family’s substantial charitable and community giving last year.
Last year, the Rauners paid more than $17 million in federal and state taxes on income of $60.8 million for a total effective tax rate on income of more than 27.5%. Their federal effective tax rate on income exceeded 23.5%.
“I’m nobody that nobody sent and independent of the special interests,” Rauner said. “Unlike Pat Quinn, who put self-dealing and cronyism ahead of the people, I’ll put the people first and end decades of corruption in state government.”
In addition, the Rauners and their family foundation made charitable contributions totaling more than $5 million, including a $1 million contribution to the Red Cross last November for relief efforts following the devastating tornado in Washington, Illinois.
“Diana and I are proud to be able to give back to the state we love by supporting community organizations and giving those in need a helping a hand,” Rauner said. “We are passionate about making Illinois a better place for every person in state, and I look forward to increasing opportunities for every person in our state next year as governor.”
Additionally, Bruce’s wife, Diana, takes no salary for her work as president of the non-profit Ounce of Prevention Fund.
There will probably be updates to this post. If you know anything about taxes, shoot me an e-mail with your thoughts. Thanks.
…Adding… Quinn campaign…
Quinn for Illinois issued the below statement from Communications Director Brooke Anderson in response to Republican billionaire Bruce Rauner’s disclosure of just four pages of his 2013 tax returns showing he raked in more than $60 million. At the same time, he proposed cutting the minimum wage. Bruce Rauner is leading the most deceptive campaign in Illinois history and refusing to release his full tax records like transparent candidates do, including Governor Quinn and Mitt Romney:
“Republican billionaire Bruce Rauner’s partial disclosure of his 2013 tax returns shows that he not only he took in more than $60 million - he took in those millions at the same time he was running around Illinois advocating to cut the minimum wage.
“Mr. Rauner’s disclosure is wholly insufficient and raises more questions than answers. What are his sources of income? What loopholes is he jumping through? Does he have any conflicts of interest in his finances? The voters don’t know because Mr. Rauner is hiding this information from them.
“What we do know is this: Bruce Rauner took in $30,000 an hour last year while he sought to lower the minimum wage and he certainly can’t be trusted to look out for Illinois’ working families.”
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* Thanks to all who voted to take a break on Monday. Whew, I was worried when I hit that “publish” button. I’m gonna take it easy this weekend and I hope all of you do the same.
Los Lobos will play us out with a killer cover of “Bertha.” Turn it up…
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Congressional roundup
Friday, Oct 10, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller
* The House Majority PAC isn’t giving up on the “Meltdown Mike” theme in the 12th District. This is a smallish St. Louis TV buy of $50,000…
* Cheri Bustos and Bobby Schilling debated last night…
When questioned about accusations that he turned his back on workers in Freeport, Illinois, whose jobs were being shipped overseas, Schilling said the claims were simply untrue.
“I tried to have meetings with these people. I actually wrote a letter to the president of the company,” said Schilling.
In turn, Bustos responded to criticism that she failed to follow through after saying she’d voluntarily cut her own pay by 10 percent if elected.
“I made a mistake when I appeared before the Chicago Tribune editorial board, and I’ve acknowledged that. What I do support, the same thing my opponent supports, is a collective 10 percent pay cut for Congress,” said Bustos.
Oy on both…
“It really is a shame how these campaigns are run these days,” Bustos said. “I feel for the people who have to watch these commercials.”
Bustos cited a report by www.factcheck.org which said a Schilling ad that accused her of voting to cut veterans is false.
Schilling referred to an article on www.politifact.com that discredited a common theme for Democratic ads, including ads against Schilling, which say Republicans voted in favor of tax breaks for companies that shipped jobs overseas.
Both Bustos and Schilling defended their own ads when asked about reports that claim they are misleading.
* The Mike Bost campaign sent me this yesterday and I missed it…
I’ve attached a picture of the actual pamphlet that Enyart kept referring to last night about Mike allegedly endorsing the Ryan Budget when, in fact, he never did. As you can see from the literature, it doesn’t say anything like that.
Enyart’s actual claim is that Mike endorsed it on a piece of campaign [literature]. At 31:45 in the capfax video, “It says #1 I would vote for the Paul Ryan budget.”
Yep. Click here to see it.
* The Daily Herald endorsed Bob Dold today. From a press release…
The Daily Herald today endorsed Bob Dold (R-10) for Congress in Illinois 10th District. The newspaper opted to endorse Dold over incumbent Congressman Brad Schneider (D-IL) due to Dold’s independent, bipartisan and effective leadership when he served in Congress, in contrast with Schneider’s highly partisan record.
In their endorsement, the Daily Herald wrote, “When Dold held the office, he maintained the district’s tradition of independent representation, with a voting record that was one of the most bipartisan in Congress. In the two years that Schneider has held office, he has not. His voting record is considerably more party line, as a comparative review of The Washington Post’s Congress Votes Database indicates.”
The newspaper continued, “Only one of these two candidates carries on the dynamic independent tradition of Mark Kirk and John Porter. That candidate is former Rep. Bob Dold, and we give him our endorsement.”
* On the same race, Brad Schneider is still bombarding people with fundraising e-mails like this one entitled “out of options”…
Brad needs your urgent support. Here’s why:
– Last month, polls showed our race in a dead heat.
– Last week, Roll Call named Brad one of the most vulnerable Democrats in the country.
– Now, Boehner’s Super PAC dumped $1,000,000 on Chicago airwaves to distort Brad’s record.
Look, this race is TIED. If we fall behind on this week’s ad buy goal, Republicans will POUNCE.
That’s not an option.
So far, the ad isn’t posted on the PAC’s YouTube page. Anybody seen it?
* And Stu Rothenberg goes way out on a limb (/snark)…
Illinois’ 13th District. Ann Callis was one of the most highly-touted Democratic recruits this cycle, but the challenger never really got untracked, and Democrats failed to put much of a dent into Davis. This is the one seat state Democrats failed to win in 2012 after they redrew the congressional map. The big question is whether Democrats will make this district a priority in two years or decide that the Republican congressman is fundamentally much stronger than they initially assumed. We’re changing the Rothenberg Political Report rating of the race from Lean Republican to Republican Favored.
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Question of the day
Friday, Oct 10, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller
* Monday, October 13th is Columbus Day, a state holiday.
Normally, I don’t work on state holidays. But this campaign season has been gloriously hectic. I put up 23 posts yesterday and y’all commented hundreds and hundreds of times. There were 1,243 votes on a poll I posted at 9 o’clock last night and over 120 comments about that poll before people finally went to bed. We ended up with 214,000 page views yesterday (and a slow site for a while - major upgrade coming after work today). Crazy, man. The NRI hearing and the debate drove lots of traffic, but average traffic this work week has been about 190,000 page views per day. I got 20,000 more page views this past Sunday than I was getting on average weekdays three years ago in October. I’m not sure what to think of that.
I love my job and I love this blog, and I have no problem working on Monday. But I would also love a little extra break and I’m expecting news and comments to be light on Monday, since it’s a holiday. But this has been such an intense and at times overwhelming campaign season that I’m not all that confident in my expectation.
So…
* The Question: Do you want CapitolFax.com to stay open on Columbus Day or should we all just take a little break? Take the poll and then explain your answer in comments, please.
online polls
I will abide by the majority vote at 4:15 this afternoon.
And, of course, any big breaking news will lead to a post if the blog is shut down. There just may not be any comments.
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Local 150 behind yet another anti-Rauner move
Friday, Oct 10, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller
* Back in the GOP primary, the International Union of Operating Engineers Local 150 was the earliest and most enthusiastic supporters of the “Stop Rauner” movement. Subscribers know a bit more about the personal reasons behind this, but the political angle was totally genuine. Rauner is for “right to work,” and while 150 has lots of Republican members, that’s a killer issue for them.
So, on to today’s Illinois Review story [although David Ormsby had it first earlier this morning]…
Within minutes of filing his D-2 Quarterly Report showing $100.00 in his account late Wednesday night, Chad Grimm, Libertarian for Governor, reported getting a $30,000 donation from the International Union of Operating Engineers Local 150 based in Countryside, Illinois. […]
Grimm’s numbers are nearing 7 points in the latest gubernatorial race polling, which could be devastating to the Rauner campaign November 4th.
$30K is chump change, but if 150 or other unions start kicking in more money, they might be able to cause some real trouble for Rauner.
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A few more thoughts on the debate
Friday, Oct 10, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller
Aside from what I wrote in the subscriber section today, here are a few of my takeaways from last night…
* I agree with Tom Kacich on this point…
Finally, for a debate that was supposed to focus on downstate issues, there was no discussion of roads, agriculture, gun rights or higher education. Don’t expect those topics to be addressed in the next debates in the Chicago area.
While that didn’t make the debate a complete failure, Tom is right.
* Also, the League of Women Voters has a terrible debate format. Not enough follow-up between candidates, too tightly controlled.
Amanda Vinicky thanked you, by the way…
Vinicky did her best to skirt the rules, but the League should either come up with a better format or stop hosting debates. They suck.
* Now, on to something that I don’t think many folks noticed beyond a few commenters. One of the questioners pointed out that Gov. Quinn has closed prisons, while Bruce Rauner has said he’d reopen prisons. What would each do about rehabilitating inmates in order to reduce recidivism?
Rauner’s answer…
“We need to reform our corrections system in Illinois. It is broken and is badly mismanaged under Gov. Quinn, just as most departments of our government have been under Quinn.
“We have a tragic situation in Illinois. We have unsafe prisons. We have corrections officers with their life and their personal safety at risk. We have inmates with their personal safety at risk because we haven’t properly staffed and invested in our corrections system.”
Whoa. Stop tape.
When was the last time you heard a candidate at that level in either party bemoaning the lack of personal safety for prison inmates?
The time Rauner has spent with African-American clergy (who deal with this issue on a daily basis) may have informed him on this topic. Yeah, maybe he mentioned it as a way to score a political point or two, but that also comes at the cost of fury from the “get tougher” crowd. He deserves credit for listening and thinking and putting it into a reasonable context.
* OK, restart tape…
“We also incarcerate non-violent offenders very often here. And we do a very poor job relative to other states for providing alternative routes to deal with non-violent offenders - ways that they are more likely to receive help and avoid falling back into lives of crime and helping them find ways to get back in society and be productive citizens.
“We don’t think outside the box, we don’t do good innovative programs like other states do.”
Stop again.
Quinn’s administration has come up with some innovative offender programs, as the governor explained in his own response. But Rauner was absolutely right on the fact that our prisons have too many non-violent criminals (who then learn how to be violent).
Look, Rauner could have easily used that question to bang Quinn for his botched 2009 early release debacle. It would’ve dovetailed nicely with his attack ad. Instead, Rauner chose to focus on inmate safety and finding ways to avoid imprisoning non-violent offenders and instead helping them become productive citizens.
I found this to be quite remarkable. I mean, a candidate with a perfect setup for a full-throated negative assault chooses instead to go with a soft hit and empathy for society’s perceived dregs?
Nicely done, Bruce.
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Tribune, Crain’s endorse Rauner
Friday, Oct 10, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller
* No surprise here. The Mother Ship’s “bottom line”…
Illinois must change direction. This state faces enormous financial and economic perils going forward. We know Quinn’s way — more tax money! — and that he simply can’t bend the powers that be in Springfield. We’d rather have a governor with Rauner’s outsider moxie.
For the broke, broken Illinois of 2014, Bruce Rauner is two challengers in one:
He’s challenging an incumbent who tried and came up short. He would challenge the power brokers who like Illinois just as it is. No wonder they loathe Rauner. He makes them sweat.
He deserves your vote.
* Crain’s chimed in with its own nod for Rauner…
Originally an outsider, Mr. Quinn unfortunately has fallen victim to the vices of one-party rule, promoting patronage and passing around political favors. He has not garnered enough political support, among voters or in the Illinois General Assembly, to serve as a counter-weight to House Speaker Michael Madigan or Senate President John Cullerton. He is too ready to spend taxpayer money on projects that we can’t afford or aren’t even needed, such as an airport in Peotone and the Illiana Tollway.
If elected, Mr. Rauner likely would face stiff opposition in the Democratic-controlled Legislature. Still, his relationship with the Democratic leadership is unlikely to be worse than Mr. Quinn’s, and could be better, by putting honest differences on the table.
Illinois has been on the wrong path for years, going back to a time before Democrats reclaimed the governor’s office. With an independently minded Mr. Rauner, we now have a chance to change course. Mr. Rauner deserves your vote.
The only thing I will point out here is that when somebody claims “Illinois government can’t possibly get any worse,” I always say they are misinformed. Of course it can. I’m not saying that Rauner will make it worse, mind you. I’m just sayin…
…Adding… I should also point out that if Quinn is reelected, things might also get worse. He’ll be a lame duck who isn’t listened to or heeded much now. I don’t know if it’ll get worse, but it’s possible. The point here is that anybody who says it can’t get worse knows nothing about the Statehouse.
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*** UPDATED x1 *** Debate roundup
Friday, Oct 10, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller
* Subscribers already know part of my take on last night’s debate and I’m putting a post together about another highly interesting moment, but you can chew on this stuff for a while until the other post is ready…
* Quinn, Rauner try to create fear about the other guy during debate: Quinn stuck largely to a class warfare script against Rauner, a wealthy equity investor from Winnetka, in delivering a more polished and aggressive performance reflective of his political experience. Quinn repeatedly suggested Rauner’s plan to cut taxes would hurt education funding… “Unfortunately, under Gov. Quinn, Illinois has been one of the worst-run states in America. We have rampant misspending of taxpayer money, massive waste in the system,” Rauner said. The Republican challenger attacked the state’s system of purchasing goods and services as “part of the cesspool of cronyism and patronage that’s so endemic inside our state government. (Quinn) relies on that for his election. He relies on that for campaign cash. And that’s rampant throughout the departments.”
* Governor Candidates Debate: Rauner said Quinn has been a failure as governor. “Pat Quinn has been a failure on jobs. Under his administration, we’ve become the lowest state of job growth of any state in the Midwest,” he said. Quinn said Rauner has had is troubles as a financier. “My opponent talks about successful results – he’s been involved with 12 different bankruptcies involving other companies, and there’ve been six of his executives indicted and convicted and sent to jail. Two are under indictment now. They’ve got 150 lawsuits against a nursing home chain,” he said.
* Quinn-Rauner debate: Each casts other as state’s worst nightmare: “My opponent, all across Illinois, went across this state, saying eliminate the minimum wage. A person taking in $53 million a year running around Illinois saying eliminate the minimum wage. He’s adamantly against the minimum wage. Well, I’m adamantly for raising the minimum wage” [said Quinn]… “Pat Quinn has been governor for six years, and he’s had a super majority of his party in the General Assembly,” Rauner said. “And he has not increased the minimum wage in that time. If he was serious about this, he could have gotten it done. He’s playing political football with people’s lives and with our economy.”
* Illinois Governor Candidates Square Off In Debate: “Politicians in Illinois said every time they want to raise taxes it’s for schools,” Rauner said. “We put the lottery in Illinois to fund our schools. The money doesn’t really fund our schools. Our current Governor raised income tax by 67 percent, said it would be for education then he cut half a billion from school funding.” “When it comes to education funding, my opponent makes up things,” Quinn said. “We’ve increased education funding in the classroom by $500 million, independent fact checkers have indicated that. We’ve also paid the teacher pension every single year.”
* Little focus on downstate issues in first gubernatorial debate: Little else directly related to downstate came up, save for a single question on a proposal by state Sen. Andy Manar, D-Bunker Hill, to change the funding structure for primary and secondary education. But while that’s a measure that “is having a regional fault line,” Mooney said, it’s as much related to wealthy districts versus poorer districts as specific regions of the state.
* Quinn, Rauner clash over Illinois economic climate: Democratic Sen. Andy Manar’s proposal would direct more state money to poorer rural districts at the expense of wealthier suburban districts… Quinn said the state needs to increase education investment. But he says Manar’s proposal needs “a lot of oversight and review” as well as more debate. Rauner said he “probably wouldn’t support that particular bill.” He said he favors an overhaul of the current formula.
* Quinn, Rauner detail regrets in governor’s debate: Quinn says he’s “definitely not perfect,” and doesn’t think any human being is. He says he regrets not cutting lawmakers pay — and his own — to spur an overhaul of the state’s underfunded pension systems sooner. Rauner says not every company his private equity firm has created or acquired has been successful. He also noted he’s “rarely” seen business executives engage in unethical behavior. He says he’s tried to take action to quickly correct that.
Your own take-away?
*** UPDATE *** From the Quinn campaign…
After a panelist hoped against hope during Thursday night’s debate for Bruce Rauner to make his fantastical tax plan “add up,” Governor Pat Quinn set the record straight on the Rauner Tax Plan that not only doesn’t add up, but would devastate Illinois education in order to give billionaires like Rauner a $1 million tax cut.
“I don’t go for that,” Governor Quinn is shown as saying to the new Rauner Tax on services and consumption, and a budget hole that would result in the layoff of 1 in 6 schoolteachers in Illinois.
In a new Quinn for Illinois web video, here’s the question asked by a WUIS reporter that Bruce Rauner just couldn’t answer:
“Outside of your own campaign, nobody seems to make the numbers in your blueprint add up. You said you want to give more money to state parks, to education, higher education, while at the same time cutting revenues and rolling back the income tax to 3% in four years. Let’s try again: Make that add up, please.”
(He couldn’t.)
* The video is pretty cleverly done…
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Ouch! That one’s gonna leave a mark
Friday, Oct 10, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller
* Gov. Pat Quinn’s new TV ad is brutal and, to my eyes and ears anyway, incredibly effective. Perhaps you disagree, so watch it and discuss below…
I’m not calling it “Bloodtober” for nothing.
Wow.
…Adding… Script…
NARRATOR: What do we really know about Bruce Rauner?
Court documents reveal Rauner threatened an executive after firing her for not laying off workers to maximize profits.
NBC news reported Rauner said:
CAROL MARIN: “Quote. I will bury her. I will bankrupt her with legal fees. I don’t know if she has a family or not but if she does she better think twice about this.”
NARRATOR: Did Bruce Rauner really think no one would find out?
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One of the best editorials in memory
Friday, Oct 10, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller
* You won’t see many tweets like this from an Illinois Federation of Teachers spokesperson, but I couldn’t agree with her more…
Like the Trib, I’m not exactly a huge Karen Lewis fan, but like Aviva, I choked up a little reading the editorial. I really wish they would write stuff like this more often. Go read the whole thing.
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* Mike Frerichs’ campaign, through a surrogate, has filed a formal complaint with the Illinois State Board of Elections alleging that Tom Cross’ state treasurer’s campaign has avoided state contribution caps by using multiple campaign committees. The violation is alleged to be at least $180,000.
For background on the allegations, click here to see a post I did late last month. To read the complaint itself, click here.
…Adding… From a press release…
Tom Cross was charged today with gross violations of Illinois campaign finance laws as detailed in a sworn complaint filed with the Illinois State Board of Elections (SBoE). The complaint documents repeated violations of Illinois campaign finance laws by Tom Cross. The complaint alleges Cross filed false financial disclosure reports with the Illinois State Board of Elections, accepted contributions in excess of the statutory maximums, and used multiple political committees to circumvent campaign finance laws. Specifically, the complaint alleges that:
· Cross failed to report nearly 200 contributions totaling $180,000 as required by law that were made to his campaign for State Treasurer as in-kind expenditures;
· Tom Cross personally headed the political action committee, Cross for Treasurer, that filed false financial reports with state regulators;
· Tom Cross accepted over $180,000 in contributions that grossly exceeded the cap of $52,600 by a political action committee;
· Tom Cross controlled, either directly or indirectly, seven different political funds that were used to evade the $5,300 cap on individual contributions on at least two occasions.
The complaint asks SBoE to fine Cross for: accepting contributions in excess of statutory maximums; failing to disclose these contributions in quarterly reports; and failing to report each contribution over $1000 out of the $180,000. The Frerichs campaign estimates that Tom Cross failed to report approximately 40 individual contributions in excess of $1000.
In addition, the complaint asks SBoE to conduct a full audit of each of the seven committees under Tom Cross’s control. The complaint was filed today in SBoE’s Chicago office after serving official notice on Tom Cross and on his campaign. SBoE will likely hear the matter at its next board meeting, October 21st.
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Rate Bruce Rauner’s new TV ad: “Corruption”
Friday, Oct 10, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller
* From the Rauner campaign…
Bruce Rauner’s campaign launched a new ad today highlighting Pat Quinn’s record of cronyism and corruption.
“Pat Quinn took over for Rod Blagojevich and picked up right where he left off,” Rauner campaign spokesman Mike Schrimpf said. “Quinn doubled Blagojevich’s illegal political hiring program and now Quinn’s at the center of federal criminal investigations by two United States Attorneys.”
* The ad…
* The script…
Voiceover: “One hundred years of corruption and counting.”
Pat Quinn: “We do not need a governor of Illinois who is ethically challenged.”
News Anchor: “A criminal grand jury is investigating Governor Pat Quinn.”
Pat Quinn: “We’ve restored integrity and honesty.”
News Anchor: “The findings come on the heels of Quinn defending himself in another investigation.”
Pat Quinn: “I promised to restore integrity – and we have.”
News Anchor: “Another day, another political scandal for Governor Quinn.”
Voiceover: “First Blagojevich. Now Quinn. Can we afford four more years?”
…Adding… Quinn campaign response…
After billionaire Bruce Rauner’s week of desperation began with a demonstrably false ad accusing people of killing babies, slinked into a witch hunt led by the Rauner forces that did nothing but expose their own political motivations and culminated with a fact-free debate “whiff” in Peoria, Quinn for Illinois Deputy Press Secretary Izabela Miltko had this to say:
“Let’s be clear - there’s only one candidate in this race with a real record of corruption and that’s Republican billionaire Bruce Rauner.
“Time and again, Mr. Rauner’s businesses engaged in bribery, fraud, neglect, abuse and outright corruption under his watch, in his name and for his profit.
“Each and every time, Bruce Rauner cashed out before the wrongdoing was exposed, leaving others to clean up the mess.
“As his record is exposed and the public finds out about the REAL Bruce Rauner, we can only expect more desperation and more money spent to try to buy facts that aren’t there.”
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Good morning!
Friday, Oct 10, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller
* The late, beyond great singer-songwriter Townes Van Zandt covered this Rolling Stones song better than the Stones ever coulda done it. Why? His authentic Texas twang and his hard-scrabble life. Townes just owned this one, man…
I know you think you’re the queen of the underground
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