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Digging into the mayoral numbers

Thursday, Feb 26, 2015

* Our old pal Scott Kennedy looks at the mayoral results

* In majority AA wards (by census) Emanuel (42%), Garcia (26%), Wilson (22%), Walls (6%), Fioretti (5%). In wards with an AA majority 32% of the vote went to candidates that will not be in the runoff so it will be interesting to see where these voters fall.

* In majority Hispanic wards (by census) Garcia (52%), Emanuel (37%), Fioretti (7%), Wilson (3%), Walls (1%). Only 11% of this vote went to candidates not in the runoff.

* In wards with a white majority (by census) Emanuel (52%), Garcia (34%), Fioretti (10%), Wilson (4%), Walls (1%). 15% of this vote went to candidates not in the runoff.

* In wards with no majority (by census) Emanuel (49%), Garcia (35%), Fioretti (9%), Wilson (5%), Walls (1%). 15% of this vote went to candidates not in the runoff.

* Reminder, the “2011” numbers in my tracker were reconfigured to match the current ward maps. In the majority AA wards the 2015 numbers for Emanuel were about 12-20 points lower than 2011.

* It was harder to draw conclusions about the Hispanic majority wards, some showed Emanuel improvement (10/13/14/31), others big drop (22/25/33/35).

* In only a very few wards did Emanuel improve over his 2011 numbers but somehow in the 13th ward he did almost 15 points better. Interesting.

* It appears that 19 aldermanic races are headed to an April runoff (2, 7, 10, 11, 15, 16, 18, 20, 21, 24, 29, 31, 33, 36, 37, 41, 43, 45, 46). So while the overall numbers were Emanuel (45%), Garcia (34%), Wilson (11%), Fioretti (7%), Walls (3%), if my math is correct in just the 19 wards that are headed to aldermanic runoff the numbers were Emanuel (46%), Garcia (31%), Wilson (12%), Fioretti (8%), Walls (3%). The Mayor did slightly better than average in these 19 wards but there is also 23% of the vote in these 19 wards that went to candidates that won’t be in the runoff so it will be interesting to see where those voters fall. Obviously these 19 wards are likely to have higher turnout in April than the wards without Aldermanic elections.

Speaker Madigan didn’t work his 13th ward for any of the mayoral candidates four years ago, but he pushed hard for Emanuel this year, which explains hizzoner’s much-improved result. I’m told, however, that Madigan’s captains had to practically beg for sign placements. That wasn’t in any way an easy get for an organization which is accustomed to easy gets.

* More

There has been a lot of attention given to the fact that turnout last night was significantly lower than four years ago, which is true, however that year was a bit of an outlier and this year’s numbers track pretty closely to the 2007 and 2003 Chicago Municipal elections:

With some valid late arriving vote by mail ballots left to be counted the total votes in the Mayor’s race last night currently stands at about 466K (very close to my projection last night) and a participation rate of a little under 33% on about 1.4 million registered voters. You can see that over the last four cycles the number of citywide registered voters has stayed within a band of 30,000 so it’s held pretty flat. The total vote last night held remarkably similar to 2003 and 2007. In other words last night’s election was nothing special, wasn’t a big turnout like 2011 and wasn’t a horrible one either, it just tracked well with other recent elections with an incumbent Mayor.

- Posted by Rich Miller        

42 Comments
  1. - VanillaMan - Thursday, Feb 26, 15 @ 9:42 am:

    The Mayor hasn’t generated much love, has he?


  2. - flea - Thursday, Feb 26, 15 @ 9:44 am:

    Love? He will win.


  3. - Bogey Golfer - Thursday, Feb 26, 15 @ 9:49 am:

    Did Daley have any real competition in ‘03 and ‘07? That would explain the low turnouts in those years? But with 5 candidates to have similar a number… Emanuel doesn’t have the org that Daley did in the neighborhoods.


  4. - Independent - Thursday, Feb 26, 15 @ 9:55 am:

    The remnants of the machine are sputtering. When a Mell is forced into a runoff and a Daley is unable to dominate the 11th things have changed. One of the few constants is Ed Burke’s total domination of the 14th. That may be the last thing to change.


  5. - Wordslinger - Thursday, Feb 26, 15 @ 10:02 am:

    Obviously, despite his high negatives, Emanuel has many more paths to 50 percent plus one than Garcia.

    By my calculations, 45 percent is much more than 34 percent. Garcia will either have to run the table or greatly expand turnout among potential supporters, both heavy lifts.

    Curiously, the Tribune’s man of the people Kass saw Tuesday’s results as the “mean little man” taking “a whipping” and being “spanked” by Garcia.

    Maybe he just dug the mental imagery. Doesn’t have a basis in reality.


  6. - A guy - Thursday, Feb 26, 15 @ 10:02 am:

    It’s instructive. Given an AA choice in many AA wards, many AA chose the AA candidate(s). That’s where the effort will go and that’s where the difference will come from. I don’t see a plethora of non-primary voters jumping in that will mitigate the numbers of people dropping out because their guy is no longer in the running.

    One guy needs 5% + 1 more. The other needs 16% + 1. That’s a steep hill. Rahm needs to shore up relationships in the AA community. Chuy needs to establish them. My guess is a “humbled” Rahm wins by 10 points.


  7. - Stones - Thursday, Feb 26, 15 @ 10:05 am:

    Word…

    True, on paper I’d rather be at 45% than 35% any day heading into a runoff. That being said I think Rahm had the cloak of invincibility about him that has been tarnished. I’ll admit going into this thing months ago I didn’t think Karen Lewis or anyone else had a snowball’s chance against him. Now, like it or not I think he’s seen as beatable…not an easy task by any means but nobody thought Harold Washington had a chance back in the day either.


  8. - The Captain - Thursday, Feb 26, 15 @ 10:13 am:

    The subset with the most votes that went to candidates not in the runoff were in AA majority wards. In AA majority wards the candidate that received the highest support was Emanuel, and by quite a bit. For Garcia to win in April he has to almost run the table here among Walls/Wilson/Fioretti supporters and I’m not sure the current dynamics lead to that outcome. Maybe the underlying fundamentals of the race change but early voting starts in three and a half weeks (3/23) so the clock is ticking.


  9. - Wordslinger - Thursday, Feb 26, 15 @ 10:13 am:

    Stones, if nearly 80 percent of registered voters go to the polls in April, as they did in 1983, Garcia will be elected.

    As it stands now, he has a puncher’s chance.


  10. - Gooner - Thursday, Feb 26, 15 @ 10:14 am:

    One thing to keep in mind is that turnout may go up in the wards where there was not a contest for Alderman. A lot of those people didn’t show when it looked like a preliminary race but may well show up in April when it means something.

    Those wards are 12 (Cardenas), 13 (Quinn, which may not see a great increase due to the Speaker working on turnout this week), 14 (Burke), 28 (Ervin), 30 (Reboyras), 42 (Reilly) and 48 (Osterman).

    Subjectively, in 42 none of my neighbors were talking about the race. That likely will change in April, particularly if the Mayor goes strongly negative. They need a reason to turn out and nobody gave them one this time.


  11. - Ducky LaMoore - Thursday, Feb 26, 15 @ 10:15 am:

    I would bet Rahm as an 80/20 favorite. Possible to beat, but not probable.


  12. - VanillaMan - Thursday, Feb 26, 15 @ 10:34 am:

    Garcia is winning the emotion, and the heart of the election. Now he needs to win over the logic, and the brain of it. The Mayor is confronted with the opposite of this.

    Garcia is on the rise, and the Mayor is on the defensive. So, Garcia can build from his win by showing that he can be a power player among the business power players in Chicago.

    The win will be if Garcia can convince undecided voters that he won’t destabilize the City. He needs to be seen being comfortable with the Powers that Be.

    The only reason Daley and Emanuel had been elected was by appearing as the last sane Democratic leader in Chicago. There has been no love for either man. They were default choices, bulwarks against chaos.

    Garcia needs to appeal to the logical brains of those City leaders afraid of Chicago’s future more than they are afraid of having an disliked Mayor splitting it’s citizens. Emanuel sucks to a lot of Chicagoans, but if he appears to be the only candidate that can keep the City in one piece, he will be reelected. Garcia needs to show that he can keep the City stable, as well as show that the City can move in a new direction that will make more Chicagoans happy.

    Washington won in a split election by appearing to populist emotions. Garcia can’t repeat that since it is just between him and Emanuel. The middle ground for Garcia is that concerned Chicagoan afraid of change. Whoever wins those voters, wins in April.


  13. - IrishPirate - Thursday, Feb 26, 15 @ 10:35 am:

    Independent,

    Ed Burke may dominate the 14th, but he only turned out 5900 votes. 19th ward was nearly 19,000 total.

    Garcia got 52 percent in the 14th.

    Generally the wards that turn out big numbers in elections are the white wards on the SW and NW sides, the downtown wards and north lakefront and the black middle class wards on the south side.

    In some elections the 19th ward will turn out 4-5 times the vote than in some hispanic wards.

    Chuy needs to ramp up the hispanic vote to less pathetic levels, get a majority of the black vote and keep Rahm under 55% of the white vote. Then he could win it.

    Rahm only got 51 percent of the vote in his home ward, the 47th.

    Rahm only did really well downtown, the north lakefront minus Rogers Park, and in the 50th in West Rogers Park.

    Chuy won’t get Rahm kinda cash, but he won’t need it. He should be able to raise a few million nationally just from the hate the 1 percenters club.

    This is gonna be fun to watch. Rahm should never have left the House. His personality is more fit to backroom dealmaking than being the leader of a major city.


  14. - B.C. - Thursday, Feb 26, 15 @ 10:37 am:

    Rahm’s “loss” yesterday is all about the African-American vote tanking on him.

    He actually improved over his 2011 percentages in some of the old organization wards, despite the high number of Rahm-hating teachers and other city workers who live there. In the 13th Ward, his share of the vote improved from 37 percent in 2011 to 51 percent this year. In the 41st, he moved from 42 to 48 percent. In the 19th he jumped from 37 to 42 percent.

    But those modest gains were blown out of the water by his loss of black support. Look at two of the highest turnout African-American wards: In the 21st, he went from 59 to 42 percent. In the 34th, he dropped from 60 to 45 percent.

    For the run-off, he either has to identify supporters who didn’t show up at the polls Tuesday and get them out in April, or he has to win over Wilson/Walls supporters who just voted against him. Niether task is easy.


  15. - Cold - Thursday, Feb 26, 15 @ 10:57 am:

    I remember polling during the teacher’s strike suggesting that Rahm had problems with female voters. Wonder if anyone has polled on that for Rahm/Chuy.


  16. - Snucka - Thursday, Feb 26, 15 @ 11:03 am:

    The mayoral race is in some serious uncharted waters right now. Since 1995, either Daley or Emanuel have won easily, but I don’t think turnout has ever been above 40%. We also have no data on mayors runoffs, as one has never occurred here.

    Garcia has to generate the kind of enthusiasm that would push turnout closer to 60 or 65%. The last non-presidential race to bring out more than 50% of city voters was the 2010 gubernatorial race (52%). It will require some heavy lifting, but the possibility of national attention makes it at least plausible.


  17. - Hacksaw Jim - Thursday, Feb 26, 15 @ 11:09 am:

    === One of the few constants is Ed Burke’s total domination of the 14th. ===

    === Ed Burke may dominate the 14th, but he only turned out 5900 votes ===

    It is well known that Burke’s goal is to control the vote in his Ward. With that said, Chuy won the 14th with 52% of the vote. Rahm only had 37% in the 14th. Either Burke’s organization isn’t as strong as people think it is, or he really wasn’t backing the Mayor. Something to think about.


  18. - Robert the Bruce - Thursday, Feb 26, 15 @ 12:00 pm:

    Rahm just needs 1 out of every 4 of those who voted for other candidates….Rahm working hard for the African American vote (Obama endorsement can’t hurt…Scrutiny on Garcia now…

    Seems like Garcia needs to excite voters enough to boost turnout, and I don’t see that happening. I’ve seen his TV ad.


  19. - Precinct Captain - Thursday, Feb 26, 15 @ 12:06 pm:

    ==- Independent - Thursday, Feb 26, 15 @ 9:55 am:==

    Both the 11th and 33rd pickup up new territory. The 11th picked up some parts of Pilsen that were bad for Danny Solis.

    ==- IrishPirate - Thursday, Feb 26, 15 @ 10:35 am:==

    One of the Joyce clan was onstage at Chuy’s party. He got 36% in the 19th, Rahm only 41%.

    ==- Hacksaw Jim - Thursday, Feb 26, 15 @ 11:09 am:==

    He didn’t back Emanuel last time, but managed to not get decapitated by Rahm. Maybe Burke did a little calulus: If I don’t work this now and it goes into a runoff, I get some leverage with Rahm and if Rahm won on Tuesday, Burke could’ve said, “the ward’s changing.”


  20. - Hacksaw Jim - Thursday, Feb 26, 15 @ 12:23 pm:

    === Maybe Burke did a little calulus: If I don’t work this now and it goes into a runoff, I get some leverage with Rahm and if Rahm won on Tuesday, Burke could’ve said, “the ward’s changing.” ===

    I guess we will see April 7th. I suspect that the outcome will be silimar to what it was on Tuesday.


  21. - A guy - Thursday, Feb 26, 15 @ 12:54 pm:

    Rumor has it, folks in Burke’s ward had a much clearer path to the polls.


  22. - crazybleedingheart - Thursday, Feb 26, 15 @ 12:56 pm:

    Speaking of his need to court African-American voters, I wonder if Emanuel is going to be made to answer about CPD management and tactics, now that the black site story from Election Day need not be overshadowed by coverage of the horserace.

    On Election Day - immediately following the Guardian story - Frank Main did CPD the giant favor of publishing their “Abu Ghraib Defense” (if you know the building is there, it can’t be the site of secret and illegal interrogation activities).

    For those of you who wondered and exclaimed how, HOW, the Chicago media wouldn’t have known/reported on the story if it were really true: Ask yourselves about Chicago media followup on their own stories with fishy details.

    http://chicago.suntimes.com/news-chicago/7/71/393084/homan-square-site-chicago-police-deny-report-secret-interrogation-compound

    “The Guardian also ominously noted that John Hubbard, 44, was found unresponsive in an interview room at Homan Square and pronounced dead on Feb. 2, 2013. The Guardian said the Cook County medical examiner’s office couldn’t locate a record indicating his cause of death.

    But on Tuesday, the office told the Sun-Times that Hubbard died of an accidental heroin overdose. He was taken into custody after he allegedly bought drugs from an undercover officer, arrest records show.”

    ***********

    It’s been two days.

    1. CPD sold Hubbard drugs.
    2. CPD arrested Hubbard.
    3. ???
    4. Hubbard died of drug overdose in a CPD facility.

    Seems like CPD should be able to fill in the blank.

    Seems like Frank Main should have asked them to in the first place.

    Seems like within two days someone else should’ve asked.

    Seems like if Cook County ME could locate a death record the same day the story broke, the Cook County ME should have been able to tell Frank Main pretty quickly whether or not they received any requests from Ackerman.

    Did he even ask? If so, why not report their response?

    I’d hate to think he was just printing stories CPD journalists handed him.

    Seems like in two days someone else could’ve asked Cook ME whether Ackerman requested Hubbard’s records and what he got.


  23. - A guy - Thursday, Feb 26, 15 @ 1:03 pm:

    Because guy who win the Pulitzer can’t do this without your help? This story still has a lot of fog around it. Need to give this one a few days.


  24. - Rod - Thursday, Feb 26, 15 @ 1:39 pm:

    First there was a reasonably good interview last night on WTTW with Cook County Commissioner García and it can be watched at http://chicagotonight.wttw.com/2015/02/25/mayoral-candidate-jes-s-chuy-garc-runoff-election

    Second, both the Mayor and Garcia are in denial over the situation Chicago faces with its own pension obligations and the fact the City has the lowest property tax rate in Cook County.

    All that having been said Mayor Emanuel is very likely to win for demographic reasons and the fact that I expect the Mayor’s campaign will unleash if necessary Commissioner Garcia’s son’s racist comments made to off duty black CPD officers that appear in court records. On this issue see http://chicago.suntimes.com/news-chicago/7/71/351122/mayoral-challenger-garcia-backed-deal-firm-gave-son-free-legal-help

    While a father can not be held responsible for his adult son’s actions, having this son on the stage with him on election night may take this all to another level. It will be hard for Emanuel’s people not to play this card, the property tax exemption issue that he used against Commissioner Garcia in TV commercials will be tame stuff compared to what could be coming.

    According to the Sun Times in a February 2013 case, Samuel Garcia tried to crash into the car of an off-duty officer while flashing gang signs and yelling a racial slur, according to a police report that said he shouted, “F – - – you n – - – a king killa b – - – -.”

    According to the Sun Times when the officer identified himself as a Chicago cop and unzipped his jacket to reveal his blue uniform, Garcia replied, “I don’t give a f – - – if you CPD. CPD killa n – - – a,” records show.

    Now if you are a black CPD officer or a member of that officer’s family are you likely to vote for a guy who has a son with this on his record. I suspect not and that right there is a good number of black votes lost.


  25. - Wordslinger - Thursday, Feb 26, 15 @ 1:40 pm:

    Chicago media is in “knockdown” mode on the Guardian story. Not unusual when you’ve been scooped.

    A suspect dies in police custody. At first, medical examiner has no record. Then, they come back and say it was an accidental heroin overdose. The dude was in custody for buying drugs from an undercover cop.

    End of story? Seriously?


  26. - Carhartt Representative - Thursday, Feb 26, 15 @ 1:48 pm:

    I think the problem is that people assume that the next six weeks will play out just like the last six weeks.

    1. Rahm’s air of invincibility is very diminished. People discouraged from going to the polls because they didn’t see a point, may well come out for Chuy.

    2. Garcia had no money and not a single staff expenditure through December 31st. He didn’t have a single out of state donation over $150. I expect all of that to change.

    3. Chuy’s got the momentum now.

    4. A lot of CTU and other activist folks who were voting for him without a lot of enthusiasm because he wasn’t Karen Lewis are now going to be energized.

    5. Emanuel already saturated mailboxes and airwaves. There are diminishing returns here. It’s all about ground game at this point.

    6. I think we might as well just add 100% of Fioretti’s vote to Garcia. Wilson’s crowd probably leans Garcia as does Walls, but I don’t see anyway somebody goes for Fioretti and then goes 100 degrees to vote Rahm. The Fioretti supporters I know already have Garcia signs up.

    I still think Rahm is the favorite, but I’d call him a 3-2 favorite, not any better than that


  27. - orzo - Thursday, Feb 26, 15 @ 1:52 pm:

    ===Either Burke’s organization isn’t as strong as people think it is, or he really wasn’t backing the Mayor.===

    This is an issue worth pondering. The Chairman managed to scare off any Hispanic opposition in a majority Hispanic ward, but couldn’t–or wouldn’t–carry for Rahm. Perhaps he sees his power increasing under a Garcia administration.


  28. - Gman - Thursday, Feb 26, 15 @ 1:52 pm:

    I agree with B.C. @ 10:37.

    Rahm improved his percentages on the Northwest and Southwest Sides. Or another way of looking at it, Chuy underperformed Gerry Chico pretty dramatically in the 13th, 19th and 41st Wards. Chico went 50-49-50 percent respectively in those wards, and that was with Miguel DeValle on the ballot too. Chuy went 37-36-31 percent in those wards on Tuesday.

    So the whole ball game for Rahm is in the black community. He must regain his mojo there. Not sure he can improve much over his Tuesday numbers in what we used to call the “white ethnic” wards, or on the lakefront either.


  29. - Gooner - Thursday, Feb 26, 15 @ 1:53 pm:

    “Air of invincibility”?

    Geez, that hasn’t existed since March, 2011.

    The only people who thought there wouldn’t be a run off were progressives so used to losing that they just assumed this race would be like most of the rest.

    And you are right. Until the time that the CTU convinced him to run and then funded his campaign, he didn’t spend a dime.

    Poor, poor Chuy, the guy who had to rely on huge union checks to keep the doors open.

    But if he’s elected, he will not owe them a thing.

    Nope, he’s going to be our mayor, and not just the mayor of those who first convinced him to run and then wrote just about every significant check to his campaign.


  30. - Gooner - Thursday, Feb 26, 15 @ 1:57 pm:

    Rod,

    I can absolutely guaranty that nobody connected with the Mayor is going to touch that card.

    Despite all the garbage thrown at the Mayor, he knows that kids are off limits.

    You will never hear about that from him.


  31. - anon - Thursday, Feb 26, 15 @ 2:01 pm:

    @Gooner. I’m sure Rahm doesn’t owe any of his numerous and wealthy donors a single thing either.


  32. - Carl Nyberg - Thursday, Feb 26, 15 @ 2:26 pm:

    Fioretti’s support came from White voters.

    Don’t be shocked if some Fioretti voters can’t stomach voting for a Mexican.

    But an anecdote: a person I know is Black and frequently posts pretty racist stuff against Mexicans and Latinos. S/he attacks Obama for doing too much for Latinos.

    And this person is all-in for Chuy.

    If turnout increases, Rahm is going to be drubbed.

    If turnout stays the same, Rahm will lose.

    So, Rahm needs to depress turnout even more.

    How does one reduce turnout even further? Negative ads about Chuy.

    As a wise man noted: Rahm doesn’t have many friends in Chicago politics. If they see Rahm circling the drain, nobody is going to save him b/c they like him.


  33. - Hesh - Thursday, Feb 26, 15 @ 2:29 pm:

    Rod, Gooner

    I think Rahm will subtly play that card by focusing on the pro-bono legal work from a law firm that Chuy voted to give a big county contract to…that’s actually a legit hit.

    And I hate to add to the off-topic discussion on the Guardian story, but I sense a bit of sensationalism. No doubt, CPD has deservedly caught heat for their handling of criminal suspects over the years, but the “black site” stuff in this story is pure hyperbole. Interesting little conflict here:
    http://my.chicagotribune.com/#section/-1/article/p2p-82918274/


  34. - Gooner - Thursday, Feb 26, 15 @ 2:35 pm:

    Hesh,

    Chuy wasn’t at the County when the firm did the free work and moreover, the contract was routine. That firm does a lot of work for the County. There is no real issue.

    Rahm will not touch it.

    The police will not touch it either since Chuy will likely be easier on them than Rahm at contract time.

    Rahm’s a tough guy, but he doesn’t cross that line.


  35. - Under Further Review - Thursday, Feb 26, 15 @ 2:42 pm:

    Mary Mitchell of the Sun-Times had a similar take on Emanuel’s poor performance as did Kass, but she emphasized the candidacy of Willie Wilson that pulled 10% of the vote. Sneed suggested that the meeting between Emanuel and Wilson did not go too well — hard to expect much from such a meeting since Emanuel’s allies challenged Wilson’s nominating petition and lost after a costly records check.

    In all likelihood, Rahm’s nonstop advertisements probably fostered some complacency with some of his likely voters (Why vote when you are being told that it is in the bag for weeks and weeks?)

    Chicago voter apathy was the story of the 2015 election, but I was shocked how Emanuel failed to match his poll numbers on Tuesday and Garcia pulled in more votes than the last polls indicated.

    Obama was able to deliver for Quinn in 2010 and Emanuel in 2011, but his endorsement does not seem to count for much now.


  36. - jimbo2 - Thursday, Feb 26, 15 @ 2:55 pm:

    “The Chairman managed to scare off any Hispanic opposition in a majority Hispanic ward, but couldn’t–or wouldn’t–carry for Rahm. Perhaps he sees his power increasing under a Garcia administration.”

    Could that be a dynamic that plays out in other words?


  37. - Hesh - Thursday, Feb 26, 15 @ 3:00 pm:

    Sorry, Gooner, Couldn’t disagree with you more.

    First, re-read the Sun-Times story. Chuy not only supported the bond deal for the law firm, he co-sponsored it. Second, look at that headline: “Garcia backed county deal with firm that gave son free legal work”

    Not using that in a campaign would be political malpractice.


  38. - Under Further Review - Thursday, Feb 26, 15 @ 3:05 pm:

    Credit where credit is due: Garcia was endorsed by County Clerk David Orr, who was the longtime alderman of the 49th Ward. He still lives there. Obviously, Orr’s endorsement helped Chuy in Rogers Park.

    Emanuel had Congressman Luis Gutierrez introduce him at the Plumbers’ Hall. Luis used to represent the 26th Ward, both as an alderman and committeeman, but Garcia carried the 26th.


  39. - Gooner - Thursday, Feb 26, 15 @ 3:20 pm:

    Hesh,

    The events were roughly five years apart. At the time the firm did the work, Chuy was not in a position to help them.

    The contract itself was routine. That firm does that sort of work constantly. It is like approving FedEx to do deliveries.

    There is nothing there.


  40. - Hesh - Thursday, Feb 26, 15 @ 4:03 pm:

    Gooner,

    I’m not arguing with you about the merits of the Sun-Times piece…I’m arguing with your “Rahm will not touch it” theory. We’re talking about Rahm Freaking Emanuel. He will touch it. He’s punched much, much further below the belt than this.

    And actually, now that I think of it, while this ain’t exactly the Watergate break-in, there are some legit questions raised by this story. Hot shot law firms do pro-bono work for poor criminal defendents on ocassion, but giving the middle-class son of a long-time politician a freebie? That’s gonna raise an eyebrow or two. I’m not saying his vote on the county board was a quid pro quo…my sense is you’re probably right, approving the contract was a mere formality for the county board. But, c’mon. There’s a little bit of smoke here. He at least has to explain how he swung pro-bono work out of one of the city’s most clout heavy law firms.


  41. - Carhartt Representative - Thursday, Feb 26, 15 @ 4:40 pm:

    =“Air of invincibility”?

    Geez, that hasn’t existed since March, 2011.=

    Read this forum and look how many people posted that there would be no runoff. On Chicago This Week, 5 “experts” all agreed there would be no runoff. All the newspapers the week before the election were trumpeting a poll showing Rahm at 45% as him being inches a way and so many Chicagoans felt that nobody had a chance to beat Rahm.

    =Poor, poor Chuy, the guy who had to rely on huge union checks to keep the doors open.

    But if he’s elected, he will not owe them a thing.=

    Look how much Garcia got from CPU http://www.elections.il.gov/CampaignDisclosure/CommitteeDetail.aspx?id=26214

    Now look how much Rahm got from hedge funders
    http://www.elections.il.gov/CampaignDisclosure/CommitteeDetail.aspx?id=22989

    We already know about the sweetheart deals that Rahm’s donors get http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/local/politics/ct-rahm-emanuel-political-donors-met-20150130-story.html#page=1


  42. - LatinoVoterSpokesman - Thursday, Feb 26, 15 @ 9:46 pm:

    The Sleeping Giant is stirring…


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


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* Ex-doctor gets 20 years for trying to kidnap prosecutor
* Legionella bacteria possibly at Illinois Capitol Complex
* Democratic governor candidates to have 1st televised forum
* Police: Man who shot at motorist was angry about truck crash
* Retrial to begin in 1995 arson, murder case
* Popular Lincoln sculpture in Bloomington needs cleaning
* Bill would require state jobs be located in Sangamon County
* Legionella bacteria possibly at Illinois Capitol Complex
* Board approves plan to create Will County's 1st solar farm
* William Cousins, prominent in Illinois law, dead at 90

* Former Springfield Ald. Jobe added to State Fair Advisory Board
* Democratic governor candidates to have 1st televised forum
* Popular Lincoln sculpture in Bloomington needs cleaning
* Legionella bacteria possibly in Capitol Complex water system
* Rauner wants to 'step-down' income tax increase
* Sangamon County should get first dibs on state jobs, lawmaker says
* Report: State agencies holding nearly $2.5 billion in bills
* Illinois lawmakers hold hearing on marijuana legalization
* Illinois hunters harvest 2 percent more deer than last year
* New session will bring new efforts at pension reform

* Tax winnings in hand, Chase shares some with 2,700-plus local workers
* Chicago Stock Exchange bidders may seek extension
* Naf Naf to debut new stores, franchise program
* Tick tock: Bid for Chicago exchange involving Chinese investors delayed
* Chinese-backed bid for Chicago Stock Exchange hits a snag


* 80-year-old man reported missing from Albany Park
* Man tries to kidnap girls in Fuller Park
* Blachawks goalie Corey Crawford works out again, could be on the ice ‘soon’
* Mary J. Blige thrilled at becoming a double Oscar nominee
* LETTERS: Change state constitution and make pensions less generous
* Legionella bacteria possibly at Illinois Capitol Complex
* Police: Man in custody after holding girlfriend, kids hostage in Riverdale
* Schumer takes back wall offer in new immigration push
* Bulls guard Zach LaVine is finding out that minute restrictions have no give
* Alex Rodriguez, Matt Vasgersian join Jessica Mendoza for ‘Sunday Night Baseball’


* Bulls could have a brief stay in lottery land
* Kentucky high school shooting: 2 dead, 19 injured, 15-year-old suspect held
* Corey Crawford works out, could return to ice ‘soon’ for Blackhawks
* 'The Shape of Water' leads Oscar nominees with 13 nods
* JPMorgan Chase raising wages, hiring, opening more branches
* Illinois gubernatorial candidate Daniel Biss to meet with Indivisible Naperville Wednesday
* Diana Krall to perform at Paramount in Aurora for one night only
* Max Strus stayed close to home to give DePaul a long-range shooting threat
* Bank of America ends popular free checking option, causing customer uproar
* Man dead after Evanston apartment fire


» State Pays $1 Billion In Late-Payment Charges
» CHA To Add More Mixed-Income Housing In Bronzeville
» National Study Hammers Illinois Budget Practices
» Hundreds Of Thousands Gathered For Women's March In Chicago
» Women's March Chicago Stays on Message - Get to the Polls
» Chicago Schools Chief: Cost A Driver In Special Ed Overhaul
» One Year Later, Women’s March Demands More Than Attendance
» State Week: Education Funding, Pritzker-Blagojevich, Rauner-Duke
» Sheriff Offers To Help Review Police Shootings In Suburban Cook County
» A Prescription For Fruits And Veggies: One Solution To Food Insecurity in Illinois


* Former Springfield Ald. Jobe added to State Fair Advisory Board
* Democratic governor candidates to have 1st televised forum
* Popular Lincoln sculpture in Bloomington needs cleaning
* Legionella bacteria possibly in Capitol Complex water system
* IBHE: There is a need for bold changes for Illinois' higher education system
* Rauner wants to 'step-down' income tax increase
* Sangamon County should get first dibs on state jobs, lawmaker says
* Report: State agencies holding nearly $2.5 billion in bills
* Illinois lawmakers hold hearing on marijuana legalization
* Illinois hunters harvest 2 percent more deer than last year


* Construction will close lanes, ramp on I-64 in St. Clair County
* Iowa jobless rate dips
* Tiny and high-tech: QC Fuel offers coffee and more in Moline
* 2 dead, 19 injured in Kentucky school shooting; suspect held
* LISTEN: All about the Winter Throwdown
* Former massage therapist to serve 16 years for sexual assault
* You could soon save money on electricity and natural gas. Here’s why.
* This is what America must do to end its problem with race, Bishop Braxton says
* Harrisburg man gets 20 years in attempted kidnapping of prosecutor; in jailhouse tapes, he offered $1K for the job
* UPDATE: I-74 reopens after crash spills cash


* WWE star Enzo Amore fired after rape allegation
* Love and hot sauce: New Orleans revives 1894 Tabasco opera
* NHL wants Seattle, but is the Emerald City a hockeytown?
* Norwegian curlers bringing crazy pants back to Olympics
* Egypt's military arrests ex-general running for president

* Bipartisan Illinois criticism follows Trum...
* US places Pakistan on special watch list f...
* Letter: Talk to tax preparer about GOP tax...
* Our view: End patronage at Algonquin Towns...
* Letters to the editor: Election commission...
* Teacher raised in Yorkville running agains...
* Suburban Democrats line up to challenge Ro...
* Dissident artist Ai Weiwei and US Rep. Ran...
* Lawmakers back renaming Warrenville post o...
* Subcommittee on Financial Institutions and...

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* Durbin: Schumer Took the Wall Off the Nego......
* 'Terrorizing' Congress?! Ingraham Hits Bac......
* Chuck Schumer yanks offer to fund border w......

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* Dick Durbin's not the only Illinois Senato......

* Two gubernatorial candidates support repealing Illinois’s rent control ban
* Academy Awards 2018: The Oscar nominees
* Hitting Left with the Klonsky Brothers. Episode #48. Amber Smock, people with disabilities advocate and activist.
* Sketchbook.
* Ahead of Janus, union haters are collecting teacher names.
* Two more candidates removed from ballot
* Documentary on violence in Roseland
* Martin D. Reggi fundraiser set for January 25
* Moore withdraws from countywide McGinnis race
* In 1924 Maxwell Street regular Daddy Stovepipe became one of the first bluesmen ever recorded


* Illinois Awarded Funds to Offer Advanced Training on Detecting Impaired Driving
* Illinois EPA Announces Upcoming Household Hazardous Waste Collection Events
* IEMA Highlights Emergency Preparedness for People with Access and Functional Needs in May - Ready Illinois website offers preparedness tips for people, caregivers
* First Lady Launches Illinois Family Connects
* Governor and Lt. Governor Unveil 2016 Journal of Local Government Shared Service Best Practices

  
* HomePod AppleCare+ plan will cost $39
* Cambassy lets you be your country’s digital ambassador
* RED’s ‘holographic,’ ‘SOLID’ Hydrogen phone will ship this summer
* The iPhone X was the top shipping smartphone over the holidays, according to analysts
* YouTube TV and Hulu pick up 750,000 subscribers
* [TA Deals] Pick up the Ethical Hacking A to Z bundle for just $19 right now
* Apple Releases New Beta Software for HomePod

* Notable 2018 Spring Training non-roster invitees
* Anderson on mission after challenging 2017
* Burger third among top third-base prospects
* Burger among MLB's Top 10 3B prospects
* Kopech, Jimenez among White Sox NRIs
* Baseball America top 100, Sox-Brewers rumors, and other reading
* Advocating for retired non-numbers


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