More fallout from “documentary”
Tuesday, Sep 20, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller
* Tribune columnist John Kass fesses up to willfully participating in the Illinois Policy Institute’s upcoming “documentary” on Speaker Madigan and offers an apology to his readers and his paper…
But it was bad judgment for me to participate in the documentary, since it was backed by the Illinois Policy Institute, a group that supports Gov. Bruce Rauner in his political fight with Madigan. I have no complaints with the institute, and understood from the start that the group was behind the documentary. But I should have declined the group’s request, since the Tribune is an independent newspaper, and my participation is inconsistent with that mission. For this I apologize to my readers and to my newspaper.
70 Comments
|
Chicago Bears open thread
Tuesday, Sep 20, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller
* My Twitter feed exploded in anger last night and is continuing to rage today. And for once the extreme passion isn’t about the presidential race…
As a White Sox fan, I had desperately glommed onto a thin ray of hope that football would distract me from October. No such luck.
* I have a routine doctor’s checkup this afternoon, so don’t go too nutso in comments, please. Thanks.
58 Comments
|
Question of the day
Tuesday, Sep 20, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller
* Press release…
Governor Bruce Rauner today signed Executive Order 2016-10 to create the new Illinois Bicentennial Commission and the Governor’s Office of the Illinois Bicentennial to lead the planning for the celebration of the state’s 200th anniversary.
“The Illinois Bicentennial is an incredible opportunity to celebrate Illinois’ contributions to the country and the world and plan for our next 200 years of innovation and achievements,” said Governor Rauner. “I look forward to the commission’s recommendations on how best to move forward to ensure that this will be a celebration to remember.”
Executive Order 2016-10 creates the Governor’s Office of the Illinois Bicentennial. The Bicentennial Office, with administrative support from the Governor’s Office and other state agencies, will develop the strategic vision for the bicentennial celebration and work with the public and private sectors to implement that vision.
The EO also rescinds Executive Order 2014-07, dissolving the 77-member State Bicentennial Commission. In its place the EO establishes a reconstituted commission of no more than 51 members to be called the Illinois Bicentennial Commission, which will be housed within the new Bicentennial Office. No more than 40 members may be appointed by the Governor and one member each may be appointed by the President of the Senate, the Speaker of the House, the Senate Minority Leader, the House Minority Leader, the Attorney General, the Lieutenant Governor, the Treasurer, the Comptroller, the Secretary of State, and the Mayors of Chicago and Springfield.
The Governor today also announced the hiring of Stuart Layne to serve as the Illinois Bicentennial Executive Director. Stuart brings decades of experience in strategic marketing and communications, with expertise in research, branding, publicity, events and sponsor partnerships.
* The Question: Your predictions for how this turns out?
48 Comments
|
Elections have consequences
Tuesday, Sep 20, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller
* Remember when the CTU president grumbled about Pat Quinn’s running mate?…
The Chicago Teachers Union has supported Governor Quinn in the past because of his commitment to grassroots organizing, publicly funded public education, and collective bargaining. For these reasons we are concerned about his choice of Paul Vallas as a running mate. His choice takes us in the wrong direction for public education in Chicago and Illinois.
* The union ended up endorsing Quinn, but people weren’t happy…
In perhaps the most lively debate in the Chicago Teachers Union in quite some time, the delegates voted overwhelmingly to endorse Dem. Gov. Pat Quinn on Wednesday at the House of Delegates first meeting of the new school year.
This strong endorsement came despite impassioned speeches to not endorse Quinn, including several members from the CTU caucus party CORE.
“You know what will happen to someone who will lick their boots,” asked delegate and CORE activist Michelle Gunderson, “they will treat you like a dog.”
But despite the pleas to not endorse a candidate who has burned the CTU, including naming anti-union extraordinaire Paul Vallas as his running mate, and just recently signing devastating pension legislation for municipal workers (look out CTU members - You’re next!), the fear of republican candidate Bruce Rauner was just too much for a house that listens carefully to what its headmistress has to say.
* Keep that in mind…
The Chicago Teachers Union claims the Illinois Educational Labor Relations Board was further compromised Friday when Gov. Bruce Rauner appointed a former attorney for Chicago Public Schools.
With Lara Shayne’s appointment, three of the five members have been appointed by Rauner, who is known for his anti-union views and dislike of the Chicago Teachers Union. […]
But CTU leaders have complained recently that the board is skewed against them. CTU Vice President Jesse Sharkey said the more Rauner appointments to the board, the less legitimate it is becoming.
“These appointments undermine the board,” he said.
Yeah, well, he won, didn’t he?
35 Comments
|
The artful dodger strikes again
Tuesday, Sep 20, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller
* From yesterday…
Reporter A: As the head of the Republican Party, are you yet able to say for whom you are going to vote for—for President. We heard you said you were voting for Trump in a crowd. Why won’t you say as the leader of the Party.
Gov. Rauner: I am not going to comment on the Presidential race. I am very focused on-
Monique Garcia [Chicago Tribune]: Was that report inaccurate?
Gov. Rauner: I am very focused on Illinois, as you guys know.
Reporter A: Is that a cop out? As the Leader?
Gov. Rauner: We need big reform in the State of Illinois. We need to grow more jobs. We need to protect our taxpayers. And we especially need to reform our political system, through term limits and Fair Maps. That’s where I am focused.
41 Comments
|
* Press release…
In the high-profile contest for the U.S. Senate in Illinois, the new Loras College Poll finds Democratic Rep. Tammy Duckworth with a five-point edge over incumbent Republican Sen. Mark Kirk. The live-caller statewide survey of a random sample of 600 likely voters was conducted Sept. 13-16.
* The numbers…
Tammy Duckworth 41 percent
Mark Kirk 36 percent
Unsure 22 percent
For whatever reason, they didn’t include the Libertarian and Green Party candidates. Not wise.
* And…
Net Favorability
The new Loras Poll of Illinois asked likely voters whether they had a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the candidates for U.S. Senate. The results below indicate the net favorability of the candidates (percentage favorable opinion minus percentage unfavorable opinion). Positive numbers indicate a net favorable view, whereas negative numbers would indicate a net unfavorable opinion.
Tammy Duckworth +12
Mark Kirk +4
In addition, 31 percent of likely voters indicated they had no opinion of Kirk, and 22 percent held no opinion of Duckworth.
“The numbers of undecided and those who have yet to form an opinion of Kirk, coupled with his net favorable rating, mean this race is not over. Add in the general volatility of this year’s campaign season, and the next several weeks could be interesting in Illinois,” Budzisz said. “That said, Duckworth holds some real advantages—including that this is a presidential election year and that tends to help Democrats in a state such as Illinois.”
How a guy can go through a high-profile Senate race and then spend almost six years in office and 31 percent still have no opinion of him is more than a bit troubling for Kirk.
* Kirk does seem to be doing better than expected in Chicago, which may be why Duckworth hit the race button yesterday…
Kirk appears to have more crossover appeal than Duckworth, as 22 percent of self-identified Democrats indicate they intend to vote for the Republican Kirk, compared to 13 percent of Republicans supporting Duckworth.
Turning to those who view themselves as political independents, Duckworth has the edge over the incumbent. Duckworth receives support from 41 percent of independents compared to Kirk’s 29 percent.
Not surprising given the partisan divide on these issues, those who approve of President Barack Obama’s job performance and/or believe the country is on the right track are more likely to support Duckworth than Kirk.
20 percent of Trump supporters are undecided when it comes to the choice between Kirk and Duckworth, compared to only 12 percent of Clinton supporters who remain undecided on the Senate race.
Turning to support within regions of the state, Duckworth has a clear advantage in the City of Chicago (54 percent to 21 percent), while Kirk leads Duckworth Downstate (41 percent to 32 percent), and in the Chicago Metropolitan Statistical Area the two split support nearly evenly, 41 percent Duckworth to 39 percent Kirk.
He’s been attacking Trump, so no surprise there.
* Now, check this out…
Direction of Illinois
Right Track 14 percent
Wrong Direction 75 percent
Unsure 11 percent
Not a good year to be an Illinois incumbent (although it rarely has been for quite a while).
Crosstabs are here.
*** UPDATE *** FYI, FiveThirtyEight gives Duckworth an 80.9 percent chance of winning.
19 Comments
|
When the majority starts to become a minority
Tuesday, Sep 20, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller
* Tribune…
The majority of Illinois children will be of a minority or mixed race by 2020, according to projections recently released by demographers at two public policy institutions.
It’s a forecast that signals a more racially diverse America in the coming decades, as the country is expected to become minority-majority around 2043. By the early 2030s, 18- to 44-year-olds become minority-majority, and adults 45 and older reach the shift in the late 2050s, according to projections by the Brookings Institution and the Center for American Progress based on U.S. census data.
Children, however, will reach the milestone far sooner, and Illinois is among the first 18 states expected to cross the bar in 2020. […]
In Illinois, the children of first and second generations of Mexican immigrants who moved to the state throughout the 1990s are bolstering the Hispanic population, as Hispanic children are expected to make up 25 percent of the state’s child population by 2020, projections show. That same year, just under 50 percent of Illinois children will be white, about 16 percent of children will be black and about 9 percent of children will be Asian, multiracial or of another race. By 2060, the number of white children in Illinois will slip to about 35 percent, projections show, while the number of Hispanic children will rise to 36 percent. Black children will be at about 15 percent and Asian, multiracial and other nonwhite children at about 15 percent.
* The accompanying chart…
Go read the whole thing.
* This is not particularly new, by the way. From a 1996 study…
At mid-decade, the population of Illinois is just under 12 million. At the 1990 census, 11,430,602 Illinoisans were enumerated, including 952,272 foreign-born residents. From 1990 through 1994, about 250,000 legal immigrants settled in Illinois In addition, the number of illegal residents in Illinois is estimated at between 215,000 and 355,000. Thus, immigration is a major contributor to population growth in the state, and illegal immigrants may comprise as much as 30 percent of the state’s foreign-born population, most of which resides in the Chicago area.
More people leave Illinois and move to other states than enter from other states. Between 1985 and 1990, while 667,778 people moved to Illinois from another state, just under one million moved from Illinois to another state. Over the same period, almost 200,000 people moved into Illinois from abroad. Thus, the population challenge facing Illinois is not growth; it is composition. For example, according to studies by demographer William Frey of the University of Michigan, between 1985 and 1990, almost three-quarters of the net out-migration of 320,331 were non-Hispanic Whites; of the 195,654 immigrants who came to Illinois, over two-thirds were minorities.
According to the 1990 census, 74.8 percent of Illinoisans were White, 14.6 percent were Black, 8.0 percent were Hispanic and 2.6 percent were Asian or Other (i.e., including Native Americans and Others). Of the 952,272 foreign born residing in Illinois in 1990, Mexico was by far the leading country of birth, accounting for 281,651 people- almost 30 percent of all the foreign born living in Illinois. Other leading sources included Poland (80,594), the Philippines (49,119), India (40,817), Germany (39,920), Italy (33,812) and Korea (30,058).
29 Comments
|
Rauner denies he’s “hurting some class”
Tuesday, Sep 20, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller
* Jordan Abudayyeh…
The Governor says he hasn’t been talking with democratic leadership about these things, but he’s hopeful the outcome of the election will swing things in his favor.
“Are you going to support the status quo? Or are you going to support reform? We clearly need to go in a different direction. And folks that argue our proposals on reforms are too extreme, or hurting some class, or whatever, that’s just not true. That’s political spin,” said Gov. Bruce Rauner.
I think some “classes” would beg to differ.
44 Comments
|
He gone… for now
Tuesday, Sep 20, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller
* Dan Petrella…
Barring future court action, David Gill’s name will not appear on the Nov. 8 ballot as an independent candidate in the 13th Congressional District.
The Illinois State Board of Elections voted unanimously Monday to remove Gill, a Bloomington physician who’s previously run for Congress four times as a Democrat, because he failed to collect the 10,754 signatures he needed on his nominating petitions to earn a spot on the ballot. […]
When the board met Aug. 26 to certify the ballot, it was under an order from U.S. District Judge Sue Myerscough to allow Gill’s name to appear alongside those of incumbent U.S. Rep. Rodney Davis, R-Taylorville, and Democratic challenger Mark Wicklund of Decatur. […]
But a three-judge panel of the U.S. 7th Circuit Court of Appeals stepped in and blocked Myerscough’s order, pending the outcome of an appeal from the Illinois attorney general’s office.
* Bernie…
Ken Menzel, general counsel to the elections board, said Monday the ballot has now been certified without Gill’s name on it, but his name can still be returned if that is ordered by the federal appeals court. […]
Sangamon County Clerk Don Gray said ballots being readied in his county – part of which is included in the 13th – do not have Gill’s name, and the first ballots are to be sent out Saturday to people in the military serving overseas. Early voting in the county begins Sept. 29.
Gray said ballot updates can be made if ordered by a court. He also said there will be a line for write-ins in the 13th on the ballot, so if Gill files as a write-in, there would be a place for voters to cast votes for him.
* From Gill’s attorney Sam Cahnman…
Today’s action by the State Board was expected after a 3-judge panel of the Court of Appeals issued its one sentence order temporarily staying Judge Myerscough’s preliminary injunction pending the outcome of the States appeal. Our focus now is to get Dr. Gill back on the ballot by a) getting the temporary stay lifted; or b) defeating the State’s appeal of Judge Myerscough’s 26-page well reasoned opinion, letting the voters of the 13th Congressional District decide who will represent them in Congress rather than 8 Gubernatorial appointees at the Board of Elections, or 3 Judges in Chicago.
Here’s a candidate who got more than 15 times the signatures the Republican and Democratic candidates had to get. I don’t know what they are afraid of. They are certainly going to great lengths to keep voters of the 13th Congressional District from even getting a chance at voting for this highly qualified candidate.
19 Comments
|
* Tribune…
Senate-seeking U.S. Rep. Tammy Duckworth appeared with fellow Democrats on Monday to advocate for long-sought changes to immigration laws, casting the November election as crucial to the cause while blasting opponents as “bigots and racists and fear-mongerers.” […]
Duckworth asserted that votes had stalled in Congress on legislation to open citizenship opportunities to students and people who serve in the military “because there are bigots and racists and fear-mongerers who don’t understand that they are in fact weakening this great nation when they turn their backs on immigration reform.” […]
While Duckworth did not direct her comments about racism and bigotry at Kirk specifically, she did cast herself and the Democratic ticket generally as the pro-immigrant choice.
“We’re not going to get anywhere with comprehensive immigration reform unless we have Democrats in charge of the Senate, unless we have a Democratic leader of the Senate, because it will never come up for a vote, just like we never got a vote on a next member of the United States Supreme Court,” Duckworth said. “So if you vote for the Republican, then you are voting for Republican control of the Senate, and that means we’ll never get this issue to come up, it will never pass out of the Senate.”
* Meanwhile, Duckworth’s spokesman is wearing criticism from this blog’s commenters as a sort of badge of honor on his Twitter page…
Heh.
* Related…
* Funds gush in deep blue Land of Lincoln as Kirk struggles to hold seat
* Illinois Dems Discuss Immigration Reform, NYC Terror Attack
25 Comments
|
* Zoe Galland for Crain’s…
Gov. Bruce Rauner’s approval rating comes in at 33 percent in a new poll.
MorningConsult, a media and polling firm, finds that the governor’s disapproval rating is at 56 percent. Governors who are more unpopular include New Jersey’s Chris Christie, Michigan’s Rick Snyder and, at No. 1, Kansas’ Sam Brownback.
Where would Rauner’s numbers be if he actually got his agenda through?
I about spit out my coffee when I read that line.
According to the poll, Rauner is just slightly more popular than Maine’s bizarre governor Paul LePage.
Whew.
* However, take these numbers with a gigantic grain of salt…
Morning Consult surveyed 71,900 registered voters in all 50 states from early May 2016 through early September 2016. Survey respondents were asked whether they approved or disapproved of their governor’s job performance.
Ancient numbers and an online poll.
26 Comments
|
Comments Off
|
Comments Off
|
|
Support CapitolFax.com Visit our advertisers...
...............
...............
...............
...............
...............
...............
...............
|
|
Hosted by MCS
SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax
Advertise Here
Mobile Version
Contact Rich Miller
|