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Your best wild guesses about tonight?

Tuesday, Nov 8, 2016

* How about we kill a little time by sharing predictions? Make sure to explain your votes in comments. First up, who do you think will win the US Senate race?


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And, please, don’t cheat. Be sporting and vote only once on each of these and then leave it alone. Thanks.

* Comptroller


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* CD 10


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* CD 12


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* On these next two, we’re looking for final net changes, not simply pickups.

Keeping in mind that most figure Rep. Jack Franks’ Democratic seat was a goner from the get-go (but hey, maybe they were wrong), let’s start with the Illinois House


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* And now let’s move to the Senate, where the Democrats didn’t even bother to find a candidate to run in retiring Democratic incumbent John Sullivan’s district


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* Bonus Question: Biggest surprise of the night will be… ?

- Posted by Rich Miller        

105 Comments
  1. - AlfondoGonz - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 10:38 am:

    Shocker of the day: In Illinois, nothing. US shocker will be that Trump gives a surprisingly passable “concession” speech, though he won’t frame it as a concession and any other year it would be skewered. But people will breathe a sigh of relief after he concedes and they will say, “Could have been a lot worse.”


  2. - P. - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 10:38 am:

    Margin of victory Mendoza over Munger. It’s not going to be close.


  3. - Flynn's mom - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 10:39 am:

    I think that Kirk will lose big to Duckworth. His comment in the 10/27 debate killed his chances. Munger will lose. Illinois will go big for the Democrats because of the presidential race. Also, there are people who make up their own minds and are not swayed by big Rauner and Griffin dollars.I also predict the Democrats will pick up one seat in both the Illinois House and Senate.My guess is the new president, HRC, is giving her acceptance speech somewhere between 11pm and midnight.


  4. - Juice - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 10:41 am:

    Senator Kirk has done himself no favors recently and will just barely outperform Trump.

    I don’t think Comptroller Munger has done enough the differentiate herself from generic Republican which isn’t going to help in a Presidential year.

    In the House I’m thinking (though not necessarily hoping) that the Dems do poorly along I-80. Especially considering that Smiddy’s seat wasn’t drawn for him (Verschoore got a lot of the stronger Dem areas from the old district). On the other hand, I think the Dems beat McAuliffe.

    Big surprise of the night, Sheila Simon. (Had to come up with something, which is why I have the Senate staying the same.)


  5. - Anon221 - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 10:41 am:

    Not surprise of the night, but dread of the night…

    Trump wins popular, barely, and Clinton wins electoral, soundly. And, Bush/Gore was just a skirmish.


  6. - lake county - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 10:42 am:

    Biggest surprise will be Kirk losing big in his hometown Moraine and Waukegan Township, bringing Bob Dold down with him.

    Lots of early vote and enthusiasm for Brad.


  7. - Meh - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 10:42 am:

    Duckworth is definitely going to win.
    I think Mendoza will pull it off, but it’ll be super close. Quick question: did Munger do any campaigning with the Latino community? Only asking because of the turn out (due to Trump not because of Mendoza).
    I don’t live in the 10th congressional district, but the many times I’ve been up I’ve seen so many Dold signs.


  8. - nadia - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 10:43 am:

    Perception on Kirk is not good and his debate performance was poor. Add in his anti-Trump message, which may cause him to lose votes he needs, gives Duckworth the seat.

    Mendoza’s charisma pulls out a close one.

    Bost fits the Southern Illinois mold and Trump will do well in his CD.

    IL House, too many DEM incumbents have things spread a little thin.

    IL Senate, the Madigan connection doesn’t work as well on the Senate side.


  9. - Big Muddy - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 10:45 am:

    John Bradley loses by 5 points.


  10. - Madigan's Lapdog - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 10:47 am:

    Kirk: bad from get go, Duckworth: hung tough
    Munger: benefits from ‘because…Madigan’ & $$$$$
    Dold: good candidate/incumbent, overcomes ticket top of Trump
    Bost: see Dold… also good dist for him
    Net gain for R’s: $$$$$$ and ‘because…Mad’


  11. - DuPage Dave - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 10:47 am:

    The biggest surprise of the night will be when Bruce Rauner tells the press he just spoke with Mike Madigan and it turns out he really spoke with Mike Madigan.


  12. - nadia - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 10:48 am:

    Biggest surprise, DelGiorno over Jimenez (not totally sold on that but Rich asked for a surprise!)

    Close second, Forby wins another squeaker.


  13. - 32nd Ward Roscoe Village - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 10:49 am:

    DuPage Dave FTW

    I only voted in the first 2: No question Duckworth but I thought Munger because it is state-wide.


  14. - wordslinger - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 10:51 am:

    Duckworth, Schneider, Mendoza, Bost.

    Trump sinks Kirk, Dold and Munger, but not Bost Downstate.

    No clue on House or Senate.

    Biggest surprise: Clinton a +3 on RCP battleground state polling averages due to superior analytics and GOTV.


  15. - Blue dog dem - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 10:51 am:

    Baricevic over Bost.


  16. - SOIL M - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 10:52 am:

    Biggest surprise of the night will be the revelation that the signs of the end times are here. The Cubs are World Series Champions and Donald Trump is President Elect, brings people the world over to see that Armagedon must be around the corner.


  17. - Anonymous - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 10:53 am:

    Biggest surprise, lockbox amendment losses.


  18. - illini - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 10:53 am:

    Forby, Bradley and Phelps are all reelected. Simon wins an open Senate seat and Griffin barely wins a contested race against an incumbent.

    All this in spite of the Rauner millions being spent against them.


  19. - Downstate Democrat - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 10:53 am:

    In the House, Dems will lose the Smiddy seat and the Franks seat - net GOP pick up of 2.


  20. - SOIL M - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 10:55 am:

    Actual big surprise of the night will be Baricevic over Bost. Kirk and Munger loss will wont be a big surprise to many people.


  21. - Come on man! - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 10:57 am:

    Mazeski over McConchie


  22. - Grand Avenue - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 10:57 am:

    Madigan announces he will retire at end of the next General Assembly


  23. - JoanP - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 10:57 am:

    Gary Johnson outpolls Donald Trump in Hyde Park (both losing big to Hillary, though).


  24. - JohnnyPyleDriver - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 10:58 am:

    Looks like I went chalk with all but the Dold/Schneider race, which I completely guessed at. Surprises? I’m not seeing any surprises so far, though I’m sensing a dramatic late turn away from the Safe Roads Amendment, but I’m not sure if its defeat would be a surprise


  25. - Pelonski - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 10:58 am:

    Republicans pick up a seat or two in both chambers, but it is not enough to change the political dynamics. Jiminez and Bourne barely win setting them up as key targets in the next election.

    Biggest surprise? Madigan and Rauner hold a joint press conference to announce that they are both resigning to allow true leaders to reach a budget deal that is in the best interest of all Illinoisans. (I can dream, can’t I?)


  26. - Augie - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 10:59 am:

    Duckworth over Kirk - no explanation needed after watching Kirk in this campaign.

    Mendoza over Munger- Susan just worked harder and seems like she wants it more. Munger just let her money talk. Dose not seem to be in touch with middle class.

    75th Shugart wins and 38th Benson wins.


  27. - Downstate43 - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 11:00 am:

    Citizens United has no discernable effect on elections.


  28. - Chicago Cynic - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 11:01 am:

    Nationally it will be an early night as Florida comes in for Hillary.


  29. - Yellow Dog Democrat - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 11:01 am:

    Given all of his promises, all the money he has spent, Rauner needs to pick up eight seats in the House today to claim success.

    I think he will get four - no where what he needs to move his turn around agenda, but enough to prevent a full scale mutiny.


  30. - Six Degrees of Separation - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 11:03 am:

    At this point, not a surprise that Kirk is seen as a floundering fish that needs to be thrown back in the water. Munger might carry the day based on her popular “cut off pay to the GA” meme, but it will be close. Road amendment passes. Any change in GA more than 2 either way will be an eyebrow raiser. BTW,I undervoted POTUS and US Senate…interesting to see what percentage the undervote will be statewide.


  31. - oldman - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 11:05 am:

    It makes me sick, but Trump ends up winning, even carrying Wisconsin and Michigan.


  32. - Anonymous - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 11:05 am:

    After years of getting a bum rap, deceased Chicago voters, who cast a ballot today, decide to give back and perform the dance scene from the music video “Thriller” at Grant Park. Crowd cheers and then runs for their lives.


  33. - kitty - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 11:08 am:

    In the 52nd Senate district, Michael P. Madigan over incumbent Scott Bennett due to unprecedented Rauner funded media saturation and a lackluster effort by Bennett, who completely failed to tie his opponent to Rauner policies. DelGiorno over Jimenez in the 99th House district due to his GOTV effort and despite Rauner funded media saturation.


  34. - Wensicia - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 11:11 am:

    Biggest surprise of the night: GOP loses control of the U.S. Senate.

    Neither Rauner or Trump will concede to losing this election cycle.


  35. - Rich Miller - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 11:13 am:

    ===Michael P. Madigan over incumbent Scott Bennett due to unprecedented Rauner funded media saturation===

    That’s a joke, right? Seriously, are you on something?


  36. - hisgirlfriday - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 11:13 am:

    A big-time surprise I would really enjoy is somebody like Peter Roskam getting taken out in a blue suburban female wave against Trump. His foolishness over whether he supported Trump stuck out for me this cycle.


  37. - RIJ - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 11:13 am:

    Clinton wins the popular vote (as well as the electoral college) by a convincing margin, at least by 7%.


  38. - doofusguy - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 11:13 am:

    Bartman keeps the Franks seat blue!


  39. - From the 'Dale to HP - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 11:14 am:

    Tammy, Mendoza, Schneider, Bost. GOP picks up 1 House seat, but I’m conisdering Dunkin as a Dem gain, so if you want to think it as +2 to the GOP, okay. No change in the Senate.

    Biggest shocks: race will have broken hard to Hillary in the last 48 hours, the race is all but over by 8pm cst. McCain goes down in Arizona (don’t have much faith, but if we want a real shock… why not?). As for IL specific… Tammy blows Kirk out of the water and Mendoza wins easily.


  40. - Huh? - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 11:14 am:

    Anon @ 11:05 - thanks for the laugh. I needed it.


  41. - Rich Miller - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 11:15 am:

    ===Rauner needs to pick up eight seats in the House today to claim success===

    Dude, lay off the sauce. It ain’t even noon yet.

    lol


  42. - Downstate GOP Faithless - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 11:18 am:

    Bost holding is a bit of a surprise. I agree with an earlier commenter that Munger goes down hard. Biggest surprise, but maybe not, no matter what happens Rauner declares it a big night for the GOP (that was not snark).


  43. - Honeybear - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 11:19 am:

    Mendoza DESTROYS Munger in the harshest rebuke of Rauner possible.


  44. - Pyrman - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 11:19 am:

    Baricevic wins by 3 points


  45. - Anon221 - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 11:20 am:

    RIJ- I am really hoping that happens. Trump is going to complain and stomp his feet and twitter away, but there needs to be as many votes both popular and electoral to make the race an obvious win for Clinton. Even then, the healing of this Nation is going to be very hard to do, especially if the Republicans in Congress continue to build their own “walls”.


  46. - Oswego Willy - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 11:21 am:

    Duckworth will beat Kirk, but in the last 45 days or so, and honestly, for a long time before, Kirk beat himself, and was left out in the cold by those he may have thought he had as allies.

    Munger will beat Mendoza in a nail biter, as Mendoza refused to differenciate herself from Munger and Mendoza has had to hope on Labor and Democrats to save herself from a poorly communicated campaign, outside herself. Real, real, close.

    Schneider will be swept in Clinton/Duckworth, unlike Mendoza, within a district, not a statewide situation, that will swing as it seems to have done every single election since it was drawn.

    Bost, all day. A member who mirrors their district and knows his/her district better? Not too many you’d find outside Bost.

    IL House, I had my number at +3 for the over/under, I’ll stay there for the Raunerites. To get to +3, the Raunerites may need to cover a loss or two, but with all the Raunerite bluster, then lowering of bars, then the +6 ridiculousness, I’m cool with +3 Raunerite.

    IL Senate, Jil Tracy, and the rest is a “wash” of nothing, so +1 Senate GOP, but many close calls including Michelle Smith and Mike Schimpf. Still, +1.

    Surprise?

    Bourne and Jimenez. Two are running, one will win.


  47. - ChicagoVinny - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 11:21 am:

    Trump has a “Trump TV” place saved in the media pen for his thing tonight, hoping he loses and wondering whether to take the over or under on him spending 10 minutes extolling “Trump TV” in his “concession” speech.


  48. - RNUG - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 11:23 am:

    Surprises:

    Just how big the Mendoza blowout is

    Tony squeezing in past Sara (it will be a surprise to Sara, at least)

    National race turns out a lot closer than everyone thinks and we have to wait until Wednesday or Thursday to know for sure.


  49. - Dance Band on the Titanic - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 11:26 am:

    A Dem wave in DuPage saves Conroy and Cullerton while Winger loses a squeaker and Olsen wins by a much tighter margin than expected.


  50. - Anon - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 11:27 am:

    “Baricevic wins by 3 points”

    Highly unlikely. I suspect Bost will win by at least 5.


  51. - Exit 59 - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 11:28 am:

    Bradley and Forby will win by 5. Surprise would be Baricevic…obviously depends on Belleville Dems.


  52. - Nick Name - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 11:30 am:

    Biggest surprise: in the 99th, DelGiorno unseats Jimenez.


  53. - Ironman - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 11:32 am:

    The Illinois house will pick up 5 to 6 seats. And the Senate will pick up 2 seats.all winners today: Fowler, Schimpf (Senate) Bryant, Severn ( House) Bost by 12 (US House)


  54. - Dome Gnome - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 11:34 am:

    Not a huge surprise, but seeing DuPage flip to the Dems will be a source of great delight.


  55. - Honeybear - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 11:35 am:

    Bost, all day. A member who mirrors their district and knows his/her district better? Not too many you’d find outside Bost.

    True but CJ mirrors his constituency in the Metro East. I’ll stop there. Before I say something unkind.


  56. - Clubber Lang - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 11:36 am:

    Mendoza crushes Munger.
    Rauner picks up 3 seats.
    Both Madigan and Rauner claim victory.
    We go another year without a full budget.
    (and Sandack’s old seat goes Dem)


  57. - Uptown Progressive - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 11:36 am:

    The number of votes for Clinton in traditionally Republican parts of Illinois. It is a secret ballot and conservative women are quietly disgusted by Trump. (Polling sample: my mother-in-law)


  58. - Seats - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 11:39 am:

    GOP picks up 2 seats.
    Duckworth wins with ease.
    Schnieder wins close
    Bost wins
    Mendoza wins and its not as close as many on here expect it to be.

    Biggest upset: Either Long or Jimenez will lose.


  59. - Colin O'Scopey - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 11:43 am:

    Biggest surprise? Michelle Mussman loses.


  60. - Oswego Willy - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 11:47 am:

    I guess I’d add this to the “surprise” part, but it’s more post-mortem work than anything.

    The solid and unquestionable impact Labor may make and making clear their displeasure with Raunerite ways and the systematic way Labor may leave a mark, where, and how deep.

    The Labor and Democratic melding and the results, that “surprise” could be one of the biggest teaches in the post-mortems(?)


  61. - Honeybear - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 12:00 pm:

    The solid and unquestionable impact Labor may make and making clear their displeasure with Raunerite ways and the systematic way Labor may leave a mark, where, and how deep.

    Yep, that is what I’m looking for. So many worked so hard.


  62. - RIJ - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 12:03 pm:

    Anon221 - agreed. No matter what happens, it’s going to be a rough and very partisan four years. I fear that the GOP will learn no more lessons from this year than they did in 2012.


  63. - Ron Burgundy - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 12:14 pm:

    I dunno how much of a surprise, but I’ll go Dold survives the tide that takes down Kirk, Munger et al. due to his independence and being a pretty good public official. The 10th district seesaw ends for the moment.


  64. - Anonymous - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 12:21 pm:

    Biggest surprise: Jill Stein gets 5%


  65. - GlimmerGirl - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 12:23 pm:

    Hillary in a BIGLY, HUGE, and AMAZING landslide!


  66. - whetstone - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 12:24 pm:

    Kirk has been done even before his debate error; he barely won the first time against an abysmal candidate, has made lots of unforced errors, and he’s up against a decent candidate with strong party backing.

    Munger seems too far behind in the Chicago ‘burbs unless undecideds really strongly break for her.

    Mendoza + small GOP gain in the legislature seems like a proxy-war wash.


  67. - lake county - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 12:29 pm:

    ==I dunno how much of a surprise, but I’ll go Dold survives the tide that takes down Kirk, Munger et al. due to his independence and being a pretty good public official.==

    lol


  68. - illini - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 12:29 pm:

    Second post on this thread - my biggest “wild guess” would have to be Baricevic barely defeating Bost


  69. - Blue dog dem - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 12:29 pm:

    OW. Incumbant Bost will be hard to beat. My only reservation is that Costello I had plenty of redistricting help throughout the years. I at first thought that the Rauner SIUC thing would hurt Bost, but i realize now that Carbondale cares little for its University and the problems it leaves.


  70. - One to the Dome - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 12:33 pm:

    The total amount of money it took to gain or lose one or two House seats per vote.


  71. - CLJ - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 12:40 pm:

    Munger defeats Mendoza with significant crossover votes from people feeling the need to balance the ballot after voting for HRC and figuring the comptroller isn’t that important of a position to do real harm.


  72. - Sheesh Hecuka Cupajava - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 12:47 pm:

    No Safe Roads poll?


  73. - Jocko - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 12:48 pm:

    My wild guess is that Mark Kirk will take the high road when he concedes to Duckworth. BTW - What is with Mark’s heavy reliance on a wheelchair lately?


  74. - HRC2016 - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 12:57 pm:

    Rauners still won’t say if he voted for Trump. Will just say I support the Republican nominee


  75. - Man with a Plan - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 1:02 pm:

    Safe Roads Amendment passes with 75+ and Bartman squeaks one out in McHenry County


  76. - Deft Wing - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 1:11 pm:

    House GOP nets three seats.
    Duckworth wins big.
    Schneider, unfortunately, wins fairly comfortably.
    Bost wins.
    Mendoza wins & it ain’t that close.

    Biggest upsets– One of the following GOP incumbents will lose: Bourne, Kay, Hammond or Jimenez. While three losses will come from this Dem incumbent group: Conroy, Yingling, Beiser, Bradley, Smiddy, Cloonen or … Jay Hoffman.


  77. - Jake From Elwood - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 1:12 pm:

    At least two judges will fail to be retained.
    Think Metro-East area.

    Bonus: Sen. Bertino-Tarrant will lose and none us have to hear her called JBT again.


  78. - wordslinger - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 1:14 pm:

    –BTW - What is with Mark’s heavy reliance on a wheelchair lately?–

    He had a stroke.

    Duckworth uses a wheelchair, too. She lost her legs in the war.


  79. - Honeybear - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 1:24 pm:

    QUESTION Where is the best place to get the local election results? Hometown newspaper site? Is there a good website for all the house/senate races? Just wondering where I will obsessively be checking tonight.


  80. - Dr X - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 1:27 pm:

    Big Surprise? I think Munger pulls it out. I think enough voters don’t connect her to the Rauner destruction.


  81. - FAIRNESS AND FAIRNESS ONLY - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 1:51 pm:

    I expect the biggest surprise of the night, for half of the voters, will be who wins the top of the ticket. With the filter bubble firmly turned on and more reliance on opinion pieces, internet headlines (only) and fake news sites, I think a lot of voters begin to assume that most people are aligned with their choices. I think that a lot of people are going to be genuinely surprised by the outcome, despite all of the data that points to a slim margin.


  82. - Elliott Ness - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 1:53 pm:

    House Dems will pick up enuf for a real supermajority- Mendoza wins for sure for the same reason- presidential year and Dems will be out for Hillary


  83. - Turn Around For What? - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 1:56 pm:

    Big surprise will be that Mendoza wins by a large margin.


  84. - South Central - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 1:59 pm:

    A big surprise? Honestly, is it still possible to be surprised by anything after all that has happened and all that has been said in the last year?


  85. - Honeybear - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 2:05 pm:

    – I think enough voters don’t connect her to the Rauner destruction.–

    I don’t know about that. Stateworkers sure the heck do AND every Dem voting against Trump is going to most likely vote Dem down ballot. I think Trump will wreak havoc all the way down.


  86. - Anonymous - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 2:11 pm:

    To many candidates were Republican only on the ballot. I guess the Dems couldn’t find anyone to run.

    Jimenez will win . Kirk will lose.

    I have a sick feeling Trump & Clinton ticket will be to close to call in IL.


  87. - Blue dog dem - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 2:13 pm:

    Honey. Hate to burst your bubble. I know hundreds of union households. Mostly Dem leaning. Voting Trump. Wont overcome Chicago, but the tides are shifting.


  88. - Metro East Transplant - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 2:15 pm:

    I’m choosing Duckworth over Kirk, all reasons given above. I’m going with Munger. No Mendoza ads whatsoever in the Metro, if that even matters. I like to have a some balance in my ticket so the least personal impact is Munger.

    I didn’t vote for the CD’s, as I’m in neither.


  89. - Oswego Willy - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 2:19 pm:

    - Blue dog dem -

    ===…Dem voting against Trump is going to most likely vote Dem down ballot.===

    Reading is fundamental.

    The Labor cross tabs could be a big surprise. The “local” Labor impact, versus Trump votes from Labor is kinda where my surprise might be in the post-mortem.


  90. - baloneymous - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 2:20 pm:

    I don’t see how Munger and Mendoza are supposed to differentiate themselves. its the Comptrollers race. I think if HRC and Duckworth win handily then Mendoza also wins


  91. - plainfield liberal - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 2:24 pm:

    Despite all the anti commercials…Cloonen and Yingling will both keep there seats within 300 votes. And Marwig will take a big win due to her talented campaign mgr JL!


  92. - plainfield liberal - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 2:25 pm:

    Despite all the anti commercials…Cloonen and Yingling will both keep thier seats within 300 votes. And Marwig will take a big win due to her talented campaign mgr JL!


  93. - walker - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 2:26 pm:

    Biggest surprise: Results all reported before midnight.


  94. - Not Alan Keyes - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 3:06 pm:

    Kinzinger wins in a landslide (he’s unopposed.). Hillary wins bigly and gop makes respectable state house gains


  95. - Uptown Progressive - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 3:22 pm:

    My ballot, except for state rep (no choice, but happily voted for Greg Harris), was cast for women and all of them will win! Not really a surprise, but a surprising development in political life. Not counting judges but does include Metropolitan Sanitary District.


  96. - BK Bro - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 3:27 pm:

    Looks like another 2 years of the same gridlock that’s been going on for the previous 2 years. Yawn.

    Side note: Possible action/drama if AFSCME strikes.


  97. - 4 percent - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 3:52 pm:

    Republican wave

    Munger wins narrowly.

    Dems lose Bradley, Beiser, Skoog, Smiddy, Cloonan, and Conroy.

    Forby and Jil Tracy.

    GOP loses Kay and Bourne.

    Safe Roads defeated.


  98. - Anonymous - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 3:52 pm:

    And the first and only meaningful bill passed in veto session i campaign finance reform to hamstring Rauner in 2018.


  99. - LessAnon? - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 4:14 pm:

    Munger wins.


  100. - Arthur Andersen - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 4:17 pm:

    Hillary gets Trumped by a tiny margin.

    Mendoza loses if for no other reason than her atrocious TV ads.

    Safe Roads goes down like a failed bridge.

    Boat holds his seat. The Baricevic name doesn’t have the “cachet” it once did.

    Surprise of the night: A crowd-funded covert write-in campaign rejects both Senate candidates and at the end of the evening, Senator Oswego Willy will be the hottest interview in the country.


  101. - DuPage Dave - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 4:18 pm:

    Robo call technology has reached a new level of sophistication. At about 11:15 this morning “Mark Kirk” addressed me by my first name before beginning his recorded spiel.


  102. - Robert the 1st - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 4:31 pm:

    Good news. No more arbitration attempts.


  103. - blue dog dem - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 5:46 pm:

    AA. Please. Not another tax and spend rino!


  104. - Yellow Dog Democrat - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 5:58 pm:

    With all due respect, I just do not think there are enough folks who are gonna vote Clinton-Duckworth and then say hmmmm….Munger!

    Kirk needed to keep it close for Munger to do well, and I suspect he can start his concession speech at 7:02.


  105. - Yellow Dog Democrat - Tuesday, Nov 8, 16 @ 6:26 pm:

    Given the surge in Latino early voting to defeat Trumo, Munger is gonna have a tall hill to climb.

    I suspect that Latino surge will also benefit a number of suburban Democratic incumbents.

    Unfortunately, Rauner set the bar when he pledged a GOP majority by 2022. it is difficult to see that happening if he cannot make sizeable gains this year. What remains will only be harder to pick up in 2018 and beyond.


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* Preckwinkle mayoral announcement roundup
* Follow the money
* Empty threat? Or does somebody know something we don't?
* A couple of quick debate clips
* Supremes side with hospitals on property taxes
* Report: IEPA stonewalls AG until HGOP leader steps in
* A TIF primer
* Raoul's new ad blasts Harold over abortion rights
* Debate coverage roundup
* Question of the day
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